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One Bitcoin By the Numbers: Is There Still Profit To Be Made?

massivepanic writes with an article that "runs through the logistics of mining a Bitcoin on everyday gaming computers while keeping an eye on power consumption, time spent, and return on investment. From the article: 'I have mined a Bitcoin. This was not much of an accomplishment a year or two ago, but in 2013, after the infamous early-April peak at $260, unearthing a Bitcoin is no easy task. Competition is on the rise and we are getting close to the end of the good ol' days of Bitcoin; the time when a desktop computer or two have any real mining capabilities.'"

46 of 239 comments (clear)

  1. Remember the old adage by DigiShaman · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It takes money to make money. The ROI is higher the more you spend.

    --
    Life is not for the lazy.
    1. Re:Remember the old adage by femtobyte · · Score: 5, Interesting

      And remember another old adage: "There's a sucker born every minute." Want to get some ROI? Don't mine bitcoin, sell bitcoin mining rigs. Like selling shovels and booze to miners in a gold rush, it's a great way to make sure you get the cash now, and leave someone else scrabbling in the dirt with all the risk that tomorrow's newer custom FPGA rigs and market prices will make today's mega mining cluster not worth the electricity to switch on.

    2. Re:Remember the old adage by omnichad · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As long as you know when to get out. Otherwise, you'd be just like the miner - left with a lot of spare equipment of no value. Inventory isn't free.

    3. Re:Remember the old adage by BasilBrush · · Score: 4, Funny

      A bitcoin may cost more in electricity than the bitcoin is worth, but hell we can make up for it with volume!

    4. Re:Remember the old adage by ArcadeMan · · Score: 2

      Aren't Bitcoin mining rigs regular FPGA rigs configured for that specific task? Reset the hardware/software and you can sell it as regular FPGA to any number of people, it's nothing custom-made for mining Bitcoins.

    5. Re:Remember the old adage by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 2

      It's hard to make a general-purpose fpga board cost-efficient for bitcoin mining.

      Possibly you missed the adage: "There's a sucker born every minute."

    6. Re:Remember the old adage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      But bitcoin is extremely wasteful. At least with real coins the metals are still useful.

      Bitcoin bits are infinity reusable. You could reuse those bits to make a picture, song, movie, spreadsheet, game, encryption key, etc.

    7. Re:Remember the old adage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In college dorms, electricity is "free".

    8. Re:Remember the old adage by Darinbob · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bitcoin appears very strongly to have been designed so that the inventors and early adopters got the most money for free, the late adopters have a difficult time getting the money out of it, and may even be spending money to try to get some faster. At least with a real gold mine there was actual work and sweat required even by the first miners and they never lied and said they were doing this for the good of others or to try and create an alternative system.

    9. Re:Remember the old adage by petermgreen · · Score: 4, Informative

      Bitcoin mining is starting to move towards ASICs now.

      But ignoring that even with FPGA while the FPGAs themselves are standard parts the boards usually aren't. Afaict most off the shelf boards for FPGAs fall into one of two categroies. Either they are PCIe/PXIe cards designed to move a lot of data over a bus system or they are hardware dev boards with loads of different interfaces for a developer to play with. Bitcoin mining needs neither of those, it just needs power and a way to get a tiny ammount of data in and out. The result is an off the shelf FPGA board is a poor value proposition for mining and a mining optimised FPGA board isn't much use for anything else.

      I guess you could desolder the FPGAs from your no longer viable FPGA boards and then reball them and try and sell them but I think you'd find it pretty hard to find a buyer for such parts (afaict reballing voids the warranty) and if you did find one you'd have to sell them at a massive discount to fresh FPGAs from the manufacturer.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    10. Re:Remember the old adage by femtobyte · · Score: 2

      "I'll trade you some of these pretty rocks I effortlessly found in a stream for that saber-tooth tiger skin."

      "Screw that. I'll just go down to the stream myself."

      ... a few hours later ...

      "Screw that; looks like you found all the obvious sparklies. See this big spiky club I just whacked a saber-tooth tiger with? How about you give me your sparkly rocks in trade for keeping your skull in one piece?"

    11. Re:Remember the old adage by femtobyte · · Score: 2

      If you like get-rich-quick schemes that involve robbing utilities in bad neighborhoods, you could also consider calling in fake water leaks and downed power lines, then carjacking the utility repair crews at gunpoint when they show up. On the other hand, you could consider not trying to get rich quick off of antisocial douchebaggery.

    12. Re:Remember the old adage by wed128 · · Score: 4, Funny

      It's called a Ponzai scheme.

      Which is sort of like a Ponzi scheme, but groomed very carefully over many years to be much smaller.

  2. other ways by deodiaus2 · · Score: 2

    I wonder if at this point it makes more sense to push an alternative, E-coins. I better go out and push it!! Maybe just as a contingency in case Bitcoins have technical issues.

    1. Re:other ways by ArcadeMan · · Score: 2

      Plenty of letters left in the alphabet - Captain Jean-Luc Picard

    2. Re:other ways by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 2

      Bitcoin is the first technology to make money transfer without trusted third party possible and will possibly remain an only one for a long time.

      Really? Back in my day, we used this technology:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paper_money

      --
      Palm trees and 8
    3. Re:other ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Involves a trusted third party. The one who prints the money.

    4. Re:other ways by BitZtream · · Score: 2

      If you'll take bitcoin from me without a trusted 3rd party to verify it, I have an infinite supply of bitcoins for you.

      You clearly don't understand how bitcoin works.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  3. Bitcoin is dead... by magic+maverick+ · · Score: 4, Funny

    Bitcoin is a scam, and is never going to go anywhere. After all, you can't pay your taxes with it.
    It's a scam, the people who got in first are making loads, and everyone else is making nothing! Just like a pyramid scheme.

    And it's not worth mining, because of ASICs etc.

    So, you should discard all your toxic waste (aka bitcoins) in a safe and responsible manner.

    Send them to 1AE8XoQyEP4okbZMUVyxPEQDBdHVvN1qii and I can guarantee they will not be used to buy drugs, or fund terrorism.

    --
    HELP MY ACCOUNT HAS BEEN HACKED BY AN ILLIBERAL ART STUDENT SET TO DESTROY THE INTERWEBZ!
    1. Re:Bitcoin is dead... by ArcadeMan · · Score: 2

      Please help! My friend is a Prince and he needs to hide a lot of money quickly! We were planning on using your Bitcoin account, but I tried www.1AE8XoQyEP4okbZMUVyxPEQDBdHVvN1qii.com and it didn't work! Something about HOSTS FILES NOT FOUND or some other crap. I also got an APK ERROR on top of that!

  4. Four ways to profit by onyxruby · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You can profit from bitcoin in four different ways:

    1. Have a special asic rig that is custom made for mining bitcoins.
    2. Have a botnet that you put to work mining bitcoins using other peoples electricity.
    3. Speculate in bitcoins and bet that they will go up or down in value.
    4. Hack someone else that has bitcoins.

    Two out of the four ways to make profits with bitcoins are illegal and one of the others is often accompanied by illegal activity (DOS) to manipulate the exchanges to try to force the value up or down. It's been a while since you could mine them on your own and come out ahead on electricity versus bitcoin value. Perhaps there are some good reasons bitcoins have a shady reputation?

    1. Re:Four ways to profit by Nrrqshrr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not really a defender of Bitcoins, but:
      You can get real money in four different ways:

      1. Have a special skill or qualification that allows you to acquire money.
      2. Put others to work earning you money for a profitable wage using other peoples special skills or qualifications.
      3. Speculate, lol.
      4. Steal.

      Only one of these is ethical.

    2. Re:Four ways to profit by Entropius · · Score: 2

      2. Have a botnet that you put to work mining bitcoins using other peoples electricity.

      Which, legalities aside, will quickly make the production of bitcoins more expensive than any currency ever developed; And it's designed to continue to use resources up like a cancer. The Native Americans once said "Only after the white man has killed every buffalo, and cut down every tree. Only then, will the white man learn he cannot eat money." They probably didn't realize at the time that the siren call of 'digital' currency would result in the creation of a cancerous monetary system that attaches itself directly to the nervous system of society: Our energy grid.

      Yes, this is exactly the point. The bitcoin system is designed to make the production of bitcoins far more expensive than their value. This doesn't mean that people will "continue to use resources like a cancer" -- if those resources are accurately priced, then people will simply stop using them to mine bitcoins. If the cost of electricity (in dollars) is drastically below the cost of electricity to society, then that's not a problem with people using electricity; it's the result of market-breaking subsidies to the production of electricity (like the failure to account for the environmental costs of burning coal). You can't blame bitcoin miners for the fact that electricity is artificially cheap.

      But, even with an artificially depressed cost of electricity, eventually the cost of mining a bitcoin will be more than the value of a bitcoin. The "white man" isn't going to "kill every buffalo, cut down every tree, and try to eat money" at that point; he'll simply stop mining bitcoins and do something else (and, perhaps, use bitcoins as the medium of exchange for them).

      Bitcoin doesn't depend on exponentially increasing our energy supply; only the continued mining of the things does.

      I don't think our current financial system is fatally broken, so I'm not a bitcoin-nut. But the idea behind the thing is not as bad as you describe.

    3. Re:Four ways to profit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      The Native Americans once said "Only after the white man has killed every buffalo, and cut down every tree. Only then, will the white man learn he cannot eat money."

      "It is bad to ruin the environment. But it is far worse to misattribute modern environmental sayings to ancient Native Americans."

      - Native American proverb.

  5. Re:Another bitcoin article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The pyramid scheme never ends...

    That's because Bitcoin is not a pyramid scheme. You have completely misunderstood the meaning of one or both of these, to make a comment like that.

  6. There are alternative alternatives. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    More crypto-based currencies are coming around, Litecoin being the apparent "next big thing" I have been hearing.

    Me and a friend were going to get in on it to see if it would at least maybe get a few quid or so, not expecting huge returns, just a little bit of profit.
    But eh, I'm too lazy to leave a program running on its own.
    I may try it out, but it is getting in to figuring out exchanges, knowing when to sell, etc.
    I have a hectic life as is. Watching my investments is something I already don't do, probably stupidly on my part.

    Litecoins seem to be aiming at a more general lower priced currency for cheaper purchases because it is easier to do initial mining even on fairly old machines.

    So what does this say in general?
    There is likely going to be a boom in crypto-currencies in the coming decades.
    It might even end up leading to more virtual currencies in this century than there has been in the past all of human history, in fact.
    As more begin to dry up and stabilize, people will jump to new systems, or even make new systems, in attempt to get money.
    I could see a scenario where the creator of a currency gives their friends and family X coins before even going public, then when it gets remotely big, sell it.
    Someone smart enough could probably make a killing, and it will likely happen sooner rather than later since it is early days.

    Governments should probably get in on this and potentially make lots of money too.
    As these systems grow, it is going to get harder with time in general.
    If you thought the stock markets were crazy, this would be 100 times worse, it would move so much quicker because the only thing backing it is literally number count and word of mouth.

    1. Re:There are alternative alternatives. by magic+maverick+ · · Score: 2

      I personally don't think that Bitcoin is a scam. I think it has great potential. But the myriad of other "digital currencies" popping up, I suspect most, if not all, are scams. Seriously, someone went and started a new chain, presumably hoping to do some mining, and then cash out.

      With Bitcoins, you can buy various things, but what can you buy with "Litecoin"? Bitcoins? Bitcoins are established (though still niche) and can be used to purchase various services and products (though often via a middleman purchasing the product for you from a company like Amazon, and then sending it on). Litecoin can be used to purchase...

      Smells like a right scam to me. Though I'll happily be wrong, I'd advice anyone and everyone to avoid all alternative chains until they have verified that the particular chain can be used for what they want (whether that be buy drugs, or webhosting).

      --
      HELP MY ACCOUNT HAS BEEN HACKED BY AN ILLIBERAL ART STUDENT SET TO DESTROY THE INTERWEBZ!
    2. Re:There are alternative alternatives. by BitZtream · · Score: 2

      I personally don't think that Bitcoin is a scam. I think it has great potential. But the myriad of other "digital currencies" popping up,

      Considering that all these 'new digital currencies' are just literal copies of bitcoin ... what you've done is shown that you think bitcoin is good for no logical reason, and that its copies are bad, again for no logical reason.

      You've illustratued that your reason for liking BitCoin is you're just ignorant of any actual information about it.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  7. Same as the old boss... by taiwanjohn · · Score: 2

    So now Bitcoin becomes the province of "big iron" players like the gubmint and TBTF banksters. Great.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  8. For those to lazy to click the link.... by MasseKid · · Score: 2

    Some guy mined a bit coin using the computers he had lying around not in use. It took him 15 days with 2 machines w/ AMD graphic cards. He spent 5 hours setting it up and 24$ of electricity to mint a single coin.

    1. Re:For those to lazy to click the link.... by egcagrac0 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      While that doesn't sound great, the 5 hours setting it up is one-time fixed overhead.

      Let's assume he can sell coins for at least $125... and the rate of generation stays about the same.

      That's $50 a week. If you saw $50 on the sidewalk, would you bend over to pick it up?

  9. Hopeless without a FPGA by Animats · · Score: 4, Informative

    Bitcoins earned: 1.00
    Value today: $133.58
    Total time: 14.5 days
    Rigs operating: 2-3

    Towards the end of the run I was getting impatient and ExtremeTechâ(TM)s Joel Hruska helped me sprint to the finish by giving me access to some of his machines...

    The era of Bitcoin mining with off-the-shelf hardware is over. The serious people are already using FPGAs, and if the people advertising ASIC hardware actually ship working product in quantity, even that will be obsolete. Like most Bitcoin-related businesses, the people selling ASIC mining hardware are flakes.

    Bitcoin mining becomes exponentially harder as the 21 million Bitcoin limit is approached. Over 11 million Bitcoins have already been found, so this is already more than half over. All miners are in competition. The rate of Bitcoin discovery is fixed, so the more people mining, the less each miner makes.

  10. Here's a tip by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 2

    Nothing you post on a web forum is worth any money.

  11. Re:Another bitcoin article? by Animats · · Score: 4, Interesting

    A founder at the top making a mint...

    Analysis of the block chain indicates that somewhere around 5 million early Bitcoins have never been traded. Those were generated when the difficulty was so low that ordinary CPUs could generate thousands of Bitcoins. Some of them were probably lost by people running the software in the early days and not keeping the results, but there's a reasonable chance that, somewhere, the anonymous people behind this have a few million Bitcoins stored up. Someday they may cash out.

  12. Re:Another bitcoin article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I just read from an investment newsletter that the Winklevoss Twins have a ton of bitcoins on flash drives locked up in safety desposit boxes.

  13. Re:Deflation, numbnuts by eln · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I agree that bitcoin is built to be scarce, and therefore valuable, but that sort of thing is the opposite of what you want in a currency. If the currency constantly increases in value, then the best option is to obtain as much as possible and stuff it under the mattress. Only an inflationary currency encourages investment, because you actually lose money by hoarding it rather than investing it. If everyone hoards the stuff instead of spending it, it becomes useless as a medium of exchange.

  14. Re:Heat your home by mining by femtobyte · · Score: 2, Informative

    Not compared to heat pump systems, that can often provide a lot more warming per watt than dumb direct heat generation methods. From Wikipedia on heat pumps:

    When used for heating a building on a mild day, for example 10 C, a typical air-source heat pump (ASHP) has a COP of 3 to 4, whereas an electrical resistance heater has a COP of 1.0. That is, one joule of electrical energy will cause a resistance heater to produce only one joule of useful heat, while under ideal conditions, one joule of electrical energy can cause a heat pump to move much more than one joule of heat from a cooler place to a warmer place.

    On the other hand, ground-source heat pumps (GSHP) benefit from the moderated temperature underground, as the ground acts naturally as a store of thermal energy.[4] Their year-round COP is therefore normally in the range of 2.5 to 5.0.

    Burning energy for 1:1 return on heat (+bitcoins) is still a terribly inefficient use of energy.

  15. US Currency on soft rolls of paper by Dareth · · Score: 2

    I imagine US currency coming in nice $100 "soft rolls of paper". Least that way you know your money is always worth a ... well you get the picture.

    --

    I only look human.
    My mother is a halfling and my dad is an ogre, so that makes me an Ogreling
    1. Re:US Currency on soft rolls of paper by alexander_686 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I am an advocate of fiat money, but that is because I fear deflation more than inflation. (Well, my view is a bit more complex then that.)

      As for what you are saying, “years” is not the right answer. We have been in a finical crisis for the past few years, and those tend to be deflationary. The reason why we have not seen major deflation is because Central Banks have been pumping money.

      As for modern systems, there is a tension between independent Central Bankers who fear inflation verse politicians who like easy money. I can point to issues in recent years, but not in big mature countries.

      What I fear (though less than inflation) is a repeat of the 1950s and financial repression. Back then the governments had a lot of debt (from WWII), like today. They rigged the bond market so interest rates were low in relationship to government debt, thus inflating the debt away (This does not require high inflation, just the relationship).

      Bill Gross of Pimco has done some great blogs on this issue.

    2. Re:US Currency on soft rolls of paper by oldlurker · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I am an advocate of fiat money, but that is because I fear deflation more than inflation. (Well, my view is a bit more complex then that.)

      Most economists would agree with you on that (not sure if that in geek circles is taken as a compliment or not, but given as one, we tend to be far too dismissive of other expertise than our own)

      As for what you are saying, “years” is not the right answer. We have been in a finical crisis for the past few years, and those tend to be deflationary. The reason why we have not seen major deflation is because Central Banks have been pumping money.

      As for modern systems, there is a tension between independent Central Bankers who fear inflation verse politicians who like easy money. I can point to issues in recent years, but not in big mature countries.

      Indeed. And this tension is holding the balance. These are much more complex systems than most imagine, and we have developed a set of checks and balances that work. Soundbites about "feds printing money" doesn't really mean anything if you don't understand the model. And your point about the issues not being in big mature countries is my point as well. On the other hand bitocoins that some see as a better alternative loose 2/3rds of value overnight. You have you to be really idealistically theoretically motivated to compare that as equal or better.

      Thanks for blog references, will read, actually interested in the various sides of this topic.

    3. Re:US Currency on soft rolls of paper by rolfwind · · Score: 2

      “Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value – zero.” (Voltaire, 1694-1778)

    4. Re:US Currency on soft rolls of paper by femtobyte · · Score: 2

      Which is why magic random bit sequences, with their loads of intrinsic value, are so much better!

  16. And that is the problem with bitcoin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That miners want to make a profit, a fat one if possible. It would be like the US mint being a for profit organization. It isn't. Even republicans can see why not and that is saying something.

    Bitcoin mining was NOT meant as a profit generation scheme but as a way to keep the coins in relative limited supply, to avoid the "tree leaves for currency requiring the burning down of all the forests to control inflation" problem. Bitcoin was originally meant as a barter currency, where you kept the barter. You provided something to somebody for bitcoins and in turn you use them to barter for something else. The idea was to create an altnernate barter market seperate from established currencies. To however create a "secure" currency, where somebody couldn't just print a lot of fake bills, both the mining and transaction require serious computation. In order to get volunteers to do this, a small amount of bits coins are set aside as a reward for handling transactions and miners get the bitcoins they intoduce into the pool to barter with.

    BUT the original idea was that the mining would be a tiny amount compared to the flow of bitcoins. A bitcoin was supposed to be traded thousands of time before a new one was generated.

    But as always, greed took over. Mining bitcoins was being seen as the ability to mint money and so people did it. Bitcoins became about speculation, who could mine them the fastest, hoard the most and then exchange them for something with real value. The MORE people shout about how many dollars bitcoins are "worth" the more bitcoins loose their value as a barter currency. People don't seek to make a profit from trade through a new way to exchange currency but by speculating in the currency itself. It resembles the gold market a lot. Not the real one, the gold market that has vending machines with tiny gold bars inside, the kinda people that believe that if they got a tiny fortune in gold, when the apocalypse comes, they will be rich because EVERYONE will be wanting gold then... nothing like dealing the end of civiliation then a gold bar.

    Bitcoins as a paypal alternative for small traders makes some sense, keep some"value" in bitcoins as a user who sometimes buys and sometimes sells, avoid the traditional exchange fees. But for this to happen, the currency needs to be stable. It isn't and traders are either seeking to get bitcoins "cheap" and sell them high or just doing it as a novelty to create some press.

    Google for places that accept bitcoins. The trade is simply non-existent. Places that reached the news have stopped accepting them and the remaining online shops are the ones you would normally stay a million miles away from. Shady doesn't even begin to describe them.

    It was a nice idea but human greed and the lack of any counter measures have doomed it from the start.

  17. 1FuckBTCqwBQexxs9jiuWTiZeoKfSo9Vyi by nweaver · · Score: 2

    Yes, send your unwanted bitcoins here: 1FuckBTCqwBQexxs9jiuWTiZeoKfSo9Vyi

    Overall, a general problem with BitCoin mining is that it is a classic "Red Queen's Race". The fixed rate of bitcoin addition means you can only get ahead at the cost of someone else. Which means, IF bitcoin succeeded, mining is effectively non-profit as the rather low barrier to entry (even ASIC rigs are only $2K) and no monopoly power means that the profit from mining gets, well, stripped out.

    --
    Test your net with Netalyzr
  18. Re:Deflation, numbnuts by lgw · · Score: 2

    There's a related problem here I think people are overlooking. Part of the appeal of bitcoin is it's decentralized nature - a government can't easily stop transfer of bitcoins between individuals. However, since mining is transaction processing, if it becomes only profitable to do transaction processing in the 3 biggest miner's datacenters, we're back to centralization and therefore easy government control.

    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  19. Bitcoin vs electricity by ThePeices · · Score: 2

    Since the biggest gripe on Slashdot seems to be the cost of electricity of running gaming rigs to mine bitcoins....hmm...i think i now have a use for that spare 160W solar panel ive got lying around, and all those Spartan6 FPGA development boards i happen to have sitting around consume very little power each....

    1) Idle equipment and free electricity
    2) Spare Time
    3) ????
    4) Profit