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Global Warming Shifts the Earth's Poles

ananyo writes "Global warming is changing the location of Earth's geographic poles, according to a study published this week. Researchers at the University of Texas, Austin, report that increased melting of the Greenland ice sheet — and to a lesser degree, ice loss in other parts of the globe — helped to shift the North Pole several centimeters east each year since 2005. From 1982 to 2005, the pole drifted southeast towards northern Labrador, Canada, at a rate of about 2 milliarcseconds — or roughly 6 centimetres — per year. But in 2005, the pole changed course and began galloping east towards Greenland at a rate of more than 7 milliarcseconds per year (abstract). The results suggest that tracking polar shifts can serve as a check on current estimates of ice loss. Scientists can locate the north and south poles to within 0.03 milliarcseconds by using Global Positioning System measurements to determine the angle of Earth's spin. When mass is lost in one part of a spinning sphere, its spin axis will tilt directly towards the position of the loss — exactly as the team observed for Greenland."

38 of 482 comments (clear)

  1. Three Gorges Dam by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Part of this shift could be caused by filling the reservoir behind the Three Gorges Dam, since that is on the opposite side of the world from Greenland. But that would only explain part of it, since the reservoir holds about 40km^3 and Greenland is losing about 240km^3 per year.

    1. Re:Three Gorges Dam by Aardpig · · Score: 5, Funny

      I welcome our new Asian Overlords and their Moment of Inertia.

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    2. Re:Three Gorges Dam by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Informative

      With that said, why did they change from "centimeters" to "milliarc"? What the hell is the ratio?

      A Nautical Mile is one minute of arc. Since a NM is 1852 meters, an arc second would be 1852/60 = 30.87m, so a milliarcsecond would be 3.087. So the ratio is about 3.

    3. Re:Three Gorges Dam by JMJimmy · · Score: 5, Informative

      Something about this article just feels wrong. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/True_polar_wander feels more right - just sits better in my gut. ;)

    4. Re:Three Gorges Dam by bmo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      A nautical mile isn't an "imperial unit"

      It's a nautical unit. It's actually Babylonian. It's useful for measuring the Earth because it's "close enough" to a minute of arc.

      If Gunther had changed his surveyor's chain to 1/100 of a nautical mile in 1620, (instead of 1/80'th statute mile)^1 we wouldn't be talking about the Meter at all, as it would have been useless.

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      BMO

      1. A nautical mile is 92.06 chains. An adjustment of the chain to 100 per NM wouldn't have been a big difference, and made things even easier for surveyors and engineers.

    5. Re:Three Gorges Dam by vikingpower · · Score: 4, Informative

      . Meters and kilometers are strait-line measures, and can only approximate distance on Earth (unless you want to bore through the earth).

      Which is bollocks. The one is not more "curved" than the other. Both can be used to measure distance on either flat ( Euclidean ) or curved surfaces.

      --
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  2. Re:The opposite might also be true by ZaMoose · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I was actually going to post something incredibly close to this. The causal link just isn't there, as far as I can tell. It could very well be that the glaciers melt/freeze due to slight shifts in the poles' positions and variations in the Sun's output.

    --
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  3. Spinny-Chair by Mystakaphoros · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Is this a conservation of angular momentum thing? Because I feel like my high school physics teacher would try to explain this by spinning someone around in a chair with a melting ice cube on their head.

    1. Re: Spinny-Chair by mrvan · · Score: 3, Informative

      You seem to be talking about the magnetic poles, which are indeed caused by the spin of the core and move a lot every year, in the magnitude of 50 km/year. This is so much that navigating using a compass requires compensating for the specific declination of that year. You can even observe it if you have a good bearing compass: take the bearing from a fixed position to a relatively far away object, such as a broadcast tower. A couple years later, take the bearing again, and (depending on your location) it may have changed by one or even several degrees.

      TFA talks about the geographic north, e.g. the intersection of the surface and the axes around which the earth spins. This does not generally move around much, as it is affected by the distribution of mass around the earth causing the axis to shift. According to TFS, it can be measured using GPS, and moves in the magnitude of centimeters per year.

  4. it all goes south from here... by burdickjp · · Score: 4, Funny

    When you're at the North Pole, which way is East?

    1. Re:it all goes south from here... by ultranova · · Score: 3, Funny

      When you're at the North Pole, which way is East?

      Well, you're facing south, so east is to your left.

      --

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    2. Re:it all goes south from here... by i+kan+reed · · Score: 4, Funny

      A quick bit of projection math tells me the value of east is the set of all angles when you're at the north pole.

  5. It's another check on the measurements. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Just like the age of something can be measured by multiple decay products, layer depth, and many other measures of archeological assessment, and when they are in agreement, you know your results are robust, this is another way to measure the loss of ice which, if it agrees with GRACE, land measurements and predictions from models, will indicate that the model results are robust.

    It's even in the FS:

    "The results suggest that tracking polar shifts can serve as a check on current estimates of ice loss."

  6. Shifting Poles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    There was this guy called Adolph that shifted the Poles too

  7. GPS reference system by XNormal · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I wonder how this affects high-accuracy geodetic GPS measurements. The GPS coordinate system is defined by the Earth's axis.

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    1. Re:GPS reference system by Maximum+Prophet · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If you had a run of the mill GPS system, and you drove your car very, very, far North, eventually you'd lose signal.

      What I imagine is going on here, is that there is a ring of base stations watching the GPS satellites around each pole. If you know the base stations haven't moved w.r.t. the pole, then you can calculate where the center of spin is, thus where the pole is.

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  8. Re:The opposite might also be true by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I agree. Global warming may or may not be caused by humans. Perhaps in part. Regardless, we should focus on cutting pollution even if global warming is not man-made.

  9. WTF? has been happening for years by alen · · Score: 3, Informative

    i first read about this a decade ago and it has been happening for hundreds of years. scientists are studying ships' logs from the 1700's and earlier and this process started 300 years ago.

    1. Re:WTF? has been happening for years by ElderKorean · · Score: 3

      i first read about this a decade ago and it has been happening for hundreds of years. scientists are studying ships' logs from the 1700's and earlier and this process started 300 years ago.

      Ships used compasses (likely GPS now), which use the magnetic north & south poles - we've known about them moving about the place for ages, and even flipping. This is about the geographic poles which are at different locations - the Earth spins around these..

    2. Re:WTF? has been happening for years by dargaud · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You are talking about the magnetic pole (which wanders a lot, and may or may not shift in the coming millenia, not decades as you state) while the article is about the geographic pole which is the axis of rotation of the mound of dirt and water we call Earth. And it's also different from the precession of the equinoxes which also cycles in about 26000 years (changing the polar star to something different than the current Polaris).

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  10. Re:The opposite might also be true by serviscope_minor · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It could very well be that the glaciers melt/freeze due to slight shifts in the poles' positions and variations in the Sun's output.

    Yeah it could be. I suppose since we have no way of measuring the sun's luminous output with any precision at all we're all just guessing here.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  11. Re:The opposite might also be true by SirGarlon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Let's face it people, there is nothing we can do, accept it and deal with it.

    There are plenty of things we can do. There's very little we *want* to do.

    --
    [Sir Garlon] is the marvellest knight that is now living, for he destroyeth many good knights, for he goeth invisible.
  12. Re:Surface Drift Question by EmagGeek · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The crust does drift, and because the crust does not have uniform thickness, crustal drift changes the center of gravity and angular momentum of the Earth, and also shifts the poles.

    Also, if there is a major earthquake that sinks a large portion of crust any appreciable amount, the rate of rotation AND center of gravity change, and poles shift some more.

    There are many many vectors of change for the position of the poles. To assume that all of the observed drift is due to the change in mass of a single ice sheet is ludicrous. But, we're talking about the chicken little global warming narrative here, so anything goes.

  13. Re:The opposite might also be true by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 4, Informative

    I was going to call stupidity on this, but then I realized they meant the axial poles. The magnetic poles have been shifting (they travel a lot, and sometimes reverse; there's been dramatic movement in the recent decade), and this can alter magma flows and screw with global weather patterns. Axial poles shift due to mass movement, which may occur from magnetic poles moving hot metal around, but also other reasons as cited.

  14. Re:The opposite might also be true by SirGarlon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The fact that bad ideas dominate the set of proposed solutions does not make the problem invalid.

    --
    [Sir Garlon] is the marvellest knight that is now living, for he destroyeth many good knights, for he goeth invisible.
  15. Re:The opposite might also be true by JasterBobaMereel · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Changes like this have happened time and time again ... and the world will continue and life will continue

    The problem is it might not be habitable by 7billion humans ... this *will* affect you

    --
    Puteulanus fenestra mortis
  16. Re:The opposite might also be true by roman_mir · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No, you'll get the real 'oops' when you will realise that you didn't check that 'Post Anonymously' box.... twice.

  17. Re:The opposite might also be true by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Funny

    Global warming may or may not be caused by humans.

    And if it is, too goddamn bad, because I'm not giving up my Buick for some sissy electric car that doesn't even have exhaust pipes.

    Plus, Jesus is gonna come back way before we have to worry about global warming. And when he gets back, he's not going to want to see a bunch of Priuses. He's going to want to see 400hp American Iron.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  18. Re:Only if you make money out of polluting. by CayceeDee · · Score: 3, Informative

    Actually companies make money by passing such issues to the general public. Externalities is what they call it.

  19. Re:Simple question by shikaisi · · Score: 3, Funny

    Well if the earth Poles have moved, the government of Poland is going to be out of a job soon.

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  20. Re:The opposite might also be true by Sockatume · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's a bit of a stretch to suppose that there's some other force changing the Earth's angular momentum in just such a way as to be the same as that expected from the mass transfer from the Greenland ice sheet to the oceans.

    --
    No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
  21. Re:Simple question by Oxdeadface · · Score: 3, Funny

    Santa has to move :(

  22. Re:In Other News! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    I know you're being ironic, but I'd like to point out he's also completely wrong.

    The effect of continental drift, ice melting, ocean temps, etc is a quite long studied subject (see ref below which mentions George Darwin already looked at polar wobbling). I admit not everything about the wobbling is fully understood, but at least since 2002 [1] we are quite confident that the Greenland ice melting is significant enough to cause an effect on polar motion.

    The fact that random people here often think they did a better job at the science in a 20 sec post (especially if that science is related to a politically sensitive topic) is something interesting I have been observing on /. for the last 2-3 years, and is quite a disappointing trend imho.

    [1] http://www.pnas.org/content/99/10/6550.full

  23. Re:Simple question by Sockatume · · Score: 3, Informative

    You're confusing the drift and inversion in the planet's magnetic pole with the drift in the planet's rotational pole. This article is about the latter.

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    No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
  24. Re:Global Warming my Arse... by Dixie_Flatline · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Congratulations, you just demonstrated how little you know about climate science and global climate change. Colder winters and longer winters are both explainable and predictable depending on where you are. For instance, changes in the currents in the ocean may direct colder water towards the UK and northern Europe, thereby actually making for colder winters and more snow. In North America this year, the melting Arctic icecap (which melted much more than usual last summer) added extra heat to the northern oceans, which affected the jetstream, pushing it south. That dragged cold air from the Arctic down much further south.

    Climate is wild and woolly, and it's hard to know exactly what's going to happen, but we know enough of what's going to happen and what's happening that most of the complaints you're going to come up with can be explained by Science. And not just some random scientist, but peer-reviewed and published science.

    http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2013/03/25/scientists-long-winter-in-u-s-the-result-of-melting-arctic-ice-cap/

    We know the poles shift. In fact, that's IN THE SUMMARY. You didn't even have to read the article to see that shifting geographic poles are well known. But they're shifting faster, and NASA's GRACE experiment is also helping measure the subtle shifts in gravity associated with shifting mass. It all seems to be correlating well. Someone else here has even already pointed out this comment in the article:

    "The results suggest that tracking polar shifts can serve as a check on current estimates of ice loss."

    Are you interested in science or not? Then sit and read and understand the science. Don't go off on a rant before you know a single damn thing of what you're talking about.

  25. Re:The opposite might also be true by tompaulco · · Score: 3, Funny

    "Do unto others as you would have them do nought to sixty."

    Actually by that metric the electric vehicles are still ahead.

    Yeah, but in America we don't USE metric.

    --
    If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
  26. Re:All Just a SWAG by Sockatume · · Score: 3, Informative

    Not at all. It's a method that's proven itself repeatedly in studies on other subjects, such as the inner structure of the Earth and the measurement of earthquakes. If you'd rather believe that geophysicists studying the earth's mantle who've never written a climate science paper in their lives are also part of The Conspiracy you're welcome to, but you're rapidly going to find yourself as the only one who isn't In On It.

    --
    No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
  27. Global warming causes everything! by BitZtream · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Is there anything that isn't caused by global warming? It's getting silly at this point.

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