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Surgeries On Friday Are More Frequently Fatal

antdude writes "A British Medical Journal (BMJ) research report says that 'Surgeries on Friday Are More Frequently Fatal ... compared to those who opt for really bad Mondays, Britons who have a planned surgery on a Friday are 44 percent more likely to die. And the few patients who had a leisurely weekend surgery saw that number jump to 82 percent. The skeleton staff working on weekends might be to blame.'"

107 of 152 comments (clear)

  1. Car Analogy by amiga3D · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's like how cars made on Friday have more defects. People are tired after a long week and just want the day to end so they can get the weekend party started.

    1. Re:Car Analogy by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Odd, I thought “Blue” Mondays was the worst day, with all of the workers recovering from the weekend – in particular alcohol consumption.

      This was at least true during the 70s. Everybody agreed that Wednesday cars were the best.

    2. Re:Car Analogy by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      I had a uncle who worked at GM from the 50 to the 70s as a troubleshooter for production issues. (Got his engineering degree first, then later his MBA – back when such things mattered.). I also know some ex Ford line workers from the same era. So, yeah, it's anecdotal – but it is coming from two different sources. And no, it would be rare for a person to be able to pick the day the car was made.

    3. Re:Car Analogy by JWW · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Perhaps since its a Friday, surgeons actively avoid scheduling easy, routine surgeries. The surgeries that would take place would then be more risky emergency surgeries. The percentage number of fatalities would be higher as a result.

    4. Re:Car Analogy by ttucker · · Score: 1

      I had a uncle who worked at GM from the 50 to the 70s as a troubleshooter for production issues. (Got his engineering degree first, then later his MBA – back when such things mattered.). I also know some ex Ford line workers from the same era. So, yeah, it's anecdotal – but it is coming from two different sources. And no, it would be rare for a person to be able to pick the day the car was made.

      Why? The date of manufacture is on the federal identification sticker in the door.

    5. Re:Car Analogy by Mike+Frett · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Don't make any plans for Surgery, Tech Support etc on Monday's or Friday's. On Monday's, most people are recovering from hangovers and parties and on Friday's everybody is in a rush for the weekend. There is definitely some truth in all of this, even from my own personal experiences.

    6. Re:Car Analogy by dgatwood · · Score: 4, Informative

      This study is only about scheduled surgeries, i.e. non-emergency surgeries. That said, there is a continuum between the two, so it is plausible that they're more likely to be somewhat urgent, or else they would have put them off until a few weeks later so the doctor could go play golf. :-D

      That said, I think the fatigue theory has a lot of merit. It is common knowledge that surgeries performed later in the day have higher rates of complications, surgical errors, anesthesia mistakes, etc. There's no reason to believe that surgeries later in the week would not be similarly affected, for precisely the same reason.

      --

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    7. Re:Car Analogy by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      At face value it would imagine that's definitely responsible for at least the higher weekend fatality rate. Who would *schedule* a surgery long in advance for a Sunday? I imagine a Sunday surgery is the result of a doctor on-call performing an emergency operation without any warning or preparation. Probably a life saving procedure or it could wait until the week.

      However, if you read the linked study they were only looking at elective surgeries. Which would imply they were scheduled in advance and not life threatening more dangerous operations.

      There are at least two potential explanations for finding worse outcomes in patients in hospital at the weekend. The first is that these differences reflect poorer quality of care at the weekend, and the second is that patients admitted or operated on at the weekend are more severely ill than those admitted during the week.

      They then go on to attempt to eliminate the type of procedure from the study to eliminate emergency care.

    8. Re:Car Analogy by Zaelath · · Score: 1

      Month/Year, not day.

      Besides, a factory might produce 300 cars a day, but it's an assembly line, it takes something like 3 days to get from one end to the other.

    9. Re:Car Analogy by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      One person can't make a car in a day. An assembly line can.

    10. Re:Car Analogy by kermidge · · Score: 4, Interesting

      A friend worked for Oldsmobile in Lansing for over ten years, from line to supervisor to trouble-shooter. In those days ('70s) one could order a car and make a reservation to watch it being built. Friend said overall best build quality was on a Wednesday around 10:30 am.

      Monday - sobering up, where am I, where does this go
      Tuesday - relearn job, getting the hang of it by afternoon
      Wednesday - fired up and in the groove, but tiring after lunch
      Thursday - tired, bored, and sloppy
      Friday - you're kidding, right? It's freaking Friday, I'm out of here.

    11. Re:Car Analogy by kermidge · · Score: 1

      This is yet another "it depends."

      There's pre-assembly. The body parts are painted. Depending on make, there is partial assembly. Line design varies, so consider a pallet with main body, hood, trunk lid. Doors get fitted out, where and when depends on line.

      Day of final assembly, frame goes on one end of line, the process starts - engine, drive-train, sub-assemblies, wiring harness, body join, seats, hook ups, detailing (all the little parts, etc.), fluids. Drive off.

      Standard B-body GM, average I heard and read back in '70s was around 3 hours. (I tried checking this for most of the past hour and it's slim pickings for good info, and my search-fu is not so good, especially today.) Anyone here now working on line, please chime in, I'd like to know also what it's like these days.

    12. Re:Car Analogy by kermidge · · Score: 1

      Gee, thanks. It was bad enough reading the freaking article. I go under 0830 Friday for a op done by a Da Vinci. Yay.

    13. Re:Car Analogy by rich_hudds · · Score: 1

      The government response has been to say that many surgeons choose to perform more risky surgeries on a Friday because any subsequent complications that take up their time will not run into other scheduled operations.

      In other words they have Saturday and Sunday free. Bit like performing updates to an IT system on Friday night or Saturday I guess.

      Sounds plausible to me.

    14. Re:Car Analogy by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Fatigue is a major issue for anyone doing a high skill high stakes job. That's why the government wants to abolish the EU rules limiting maximum working time for Doctors to 48 hours a week.

      --
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    15. Re:Car Analogy by tripleevenfall · · Score: 1

      Surgeries which are routine and for which the underlying condition is less serious are more likely to be scheduled further in advance, which for many people means Mon-Thurs. Few people want to schedule surgeries on Fridays, independent of the myth in TFA. Cases which are emergent are more likely to be done on Fridays, evenings, weekends, the less desirable schedules - when a sooner opening is desired.

      I would bet, if they examined the times of the year, morbidity and mortality in the adult segment would be higher in the summer. Why? The volume is lower in the summer, so bias enters the sample. The volume of serious issues doesn't decrease, but the volume of elective does.

      Same for cases done between 7pm and 7am. If you're having surgery that time of the evening, you probably have something serious going on.

    16. Re:Car Analogy by jimbolauski · · Score: 1

      Typically surgeries that cause fatalities require recovery in hospitals, your Friday surgery recovery will take place with fewer staff to catch any problems before they become fatal. I was unable to tell if the increase in deaths occurred on the weekends, the only information I saw is that they included deaths up too 30 days after the surgery. As for weekend surgeries I suspect that more of them are emergency procedures where the patients life was all ready in peril.

      --
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      P= W/t
      t=Money
      Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
    17. Re:Car Analogy by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1

      Never do an important update on a Friday, ... or it might spoil your weekend!

    18. Re:Car Analogy by ttucker · · Score: 1

      Month/Year, not day.*

      * Except in cases where there is day/month/year.

    19. Re:Car Analogy by Shirley+Marquez · · Score: 1

      Is the volume lower in the summer? Some people might prefer to schedule surgery then because it's less disruptive to their work life. Teachers are the obvious example, but even for others it might be easier to fit surgery into a time when things at the office slow down.

    20. Re:Car Analogy by Macgrrl · · Score: 1

      An assembly line can on average complete more than 1 car per calendar day, but a given specific vehicle from start to finish, not so much.

      --
      Sara
      Designer, Gamer, Macgrrl in an XP World
    21. Re:Car Analogy by Zaelath · · Score: 1

      Month/Year, not day.*

      * Except in cases where there is day/month/year.

      What cases? I've seen a lot of these plates, US, Japan, Europe, Australia, and never seen one that has more than month/year.

    22. Re:Car Analogy by idunham · · Score: 1

      You don't need those grocers' apostrophes. It's Mondays and Fridays. They are not possessive.

      There, FTFY.

      Just to be pedantic, you were correct about him, but you did need one.

    23. Re:Car Analogy by kermidge · · Score: 1

      That's an interesting and, dare I say, insightful way of looking at it. With Shirley, below, I think it'd be good to look at figures to see where they fall. It could well be that different populations skew to winter or summer, or even the other two seasons (farmers, after harvest? - which would be spring, down under), for instance. We'd also need to check whether volume of serious stuff is indeed relatively constant over time. Unless it's covered by the guys who did the study it may even be time to ask 'em a few questions.

      [As an aside, my surgeon scheduled my op three weeks in advance; I spoke with him this morning, but didn't get around to asking him about it in the press of other things discussed.]

    24. Re:Car Analogy by kermidge · · Score: 1

      Thanks, all, for the up mods. However silly or minor it's a good feeling to contribute something in passing to someone else's moment in a day.

      Right after I clicked submit I realized that Wednesday would have been better as "after lunch it's hump day" and that Monday only needed "sobering up."

      I really wish I could remember how Greg told it. He'd just come in to the Bohemian Embassy in East Lansing, whether from work or out of town - Olds would send him to places to fix things - and the conversation had turned to cars or manufacturing or something as it did. The way he told it held not only the great ring of truth but was hilarious - all of us were laughing hard enough to hurt and TJ even spilled some of his beer. GBS had a way with words, he did. I just now realized I don't even know if he's still alive. Shit. Half the people I knew from then are dead already. Aaaah, dammit it all anyway.

      Good times, tho.

  2. Correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I would assume urgent surgeries have higher fatality rates, and they are the ones that may get crammed in on the weekends and Friday nights.

    That said, there might be some causal relation (but the study is just correctional), and it makes sense to look into it. However, currently there isn't enough evidence to make me try and avoid late week surgery.

    1. Re:Correlation by gazbo · · Score: 4, Informative

      The study only looked at elective surgery, not urgent surgery.

    2. Re:Correlation by Aguazul2 · · Score: 4, Funny

      However, currently there isn't enough evidence to make me try and avoid late week surgery.

      I'm so glad there are still a few people brave enough to be operated on on Fridays. We can call it "correlation is not causation" day, or "I won't believe it until Saint Peter himself confirms it".

    3. Re:Correlation by flayzernax · · Score: 1

      Hopefully a large amount of people continue to elect for Friday surgery keeping the rest of the days safer for us all. Or we would have to institute some kind of National selection committee for mandating Friday surgeries for the good of all the citizens.

    4. Re:Correlation by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Hopefully a large amount of people continue to elect for Friday surgery keeping the rest of the days safer for us all.

      A better solution might be to schedule minor, non-life-threatening surgeries on Friday. So the heart transplants would be done on Tuesdays, and Friday left open for the nose jobs.

    5. Re:Correlation by stoborrobots · · Score: 1

      I don't know whether to applaud you, or to cry because so few posters recognize the beautiful testament to the "Netcraft confirms it" posts...

    6. Re:Correlation by rwv · · Score: 1

      Might be doctor's intentionally botching Friday surgery to create the perception that Friday is a bad day to schedule surgery. It seems logical enough and would eventually lead to people not wanting to pick a Friday for their operation (and more doctor's getting Friday to do non-surgery activities -- like golf).

      And FWIW -- no, I'm not suggesting this as a serious response -- just piling in with the groups of people who are skeptical about raw data without knowing any caveats or filters or "cherry picking" that was involved first.

    7. Re:Correlation by Macgrrl · · Score: 1

      It's unlikely that nose jobs are going to be done by the same surgeons as those who perform heart transplants. It's even possible they wont use the same operating theatre or even hospital location.

      --
      Sara
      Designer, Gamer, Macgrrl in an XP World
  3. Statistics can be misleading by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    On Question Time Anna Soubry (Under-Secretary of State for Health) said that some doctors schedule more at-risk surgeries on a Friday because then they will be able to deal with the patient during the weekend when they don't have surgeries planned. You do need to be careful when you want to find explanations for statistics like these. Your immediate reaction can easily be wrong.

    1. Re:Statistics can be misleading by Kjella · · Score: 2

      Yes, and the same thing about weekend surgeries. If it can't wait until Monday it means it's critical and life-threatening, which of course is highly correlated with dying. If you want real stats you have to go procedure by procedure and compare similar cases, like acute [whatever] operated immediately on a weekday compared to the same condition, same operation on a weekend.

      --
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    2. Re:Statistics can be misleading by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      On Question Time Anna Soubry (Under-Secretary of State for Health) said that some doctors schedule more at-risk surgeries on a Friday because then they will be able to deal with the patient during the weekend when they don't have surgeries planned.

      They control for the type of procedure, so you can rule out the obvious confounding factor of scheduling procedures that are inherently more dangerous for later in the week. It doesn't tell you about the differences between the individual patients, of course ("this hip replacement's going to much trickier than that one, so I'll do it on Friday") but the numbers do not provide any evidence for the hypothesis that this kind of schedule-shuffling is going on. Comparing between types of procedures, the numbers for risk (Table 1, toward the bottom) look pretty flat, with the obvious (and unsurprising) exception that procedures performed on the weekend tend to be lower risk. Between Mondays and Fridays, there's essentially no difference at all.

      You do need to be careful when you want to find explanations for statistics like these.

      Stupid researchers! They never thought of that! [rolls eyes]

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    3. Re:Statistics can be misleading by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 5, Informative

      If you want real stats you have to go procedure by procedure and compare similar cases

      Which, amazingly, is exactly what the authors of the paper did. It's open-access; click the link and read it for yourself.

      Oh, wait, I forgot. On Slashdot, scientists are morons and people who read an article on a pop-sci site a month ago know everything, and any use of statistics can and must instantly be banished with the Words Of Power, Which I Will Not Utter Here.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    4. Re: Statistics can be misleading by kurthr · · Score: 1

      So can explanations of statistics... if the emergency staff available at the hospital is lacking, it won't matter that the surgeon is there. Also, it doesn't explain why those entering on Saturday are worse than those on Friday!
      Sounds bites from question time are, just that...

    5. Re:Statistics can be misleading by aflag · · Score: 1

      Moreover, they have found in other studies that emergency surgeries over the weekend are more likely to result in death than on other days of the week. So the hypothesis that it could be explained simply because of how doctors schedule surgeries can be ruled out. Besides, it seems that care over the weekend is actually poorer than care during the week days. So it seems like surgeon would not want to schedule trickier surgeries over friday. Also, the surgeon himself would like to rest over the weekend, so it is more likely that he would want the opposite. It seems that he would like to do surgeries that are less likely to result in complications on Friday.

    6. Re: Statistics can be misleading by kurthr · · Score: 3, Informative

      These are scheduled elective surgeries, not emergency admissions!

      Our analysis confirms our overall study hypothesis (with some heterogeneity) of a âoeweekday effectâ on mortality for patients undergoing elective surgeryâ"that is, a worse outcome in terms of 30 day mortality for patients who have procedures carried out closer to the end of the week and at the weekend itself. The reasons behind this remain unknown, but we know that serious complications are more likely to occur within the first 48 hours11 after an operation, and a failure to rescue the patient could be due to well known issues relating to reduced and/or locum staffing (expressed as number and level of experience) and poorer availability of services over a weekend.

    7. Re:Statistics can be misleading by lxs · · Score: 2

      Either that of she didn't want to admit that she is responsible for a service where surgeons are overworked to the point of failing patients.

    8. Re:Statistics can be misleading by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Funny

      No, you're missing the obvious inference here.

      The only major difference between weekdays and weekends is that the administrative staff is gone by Friday at 1400. Thus, quid pro quo and all that;

      Administrators are needed for safe surgery.

      Who the hell knew?

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    9. Re:Statistics can be misleading by ericloewe · · Score: 1

      Maybe bureaucracy has a healing aura...?

    10. Re:Statistics can be misleading by bunbuntheminilop · · Score: 1

      I haven't run into a specialist yet that does any meaningful work past Wednesday. It's mostly golf the rest of the week.

      Maybe the 'who ever is left' category of people who are left at the end of the week aren't so good at surgeries.

    11. Re:Statistics can be misleading by Trepidity · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The summary does make it sound like these are raw numbers being quoted (44% and 82% more likely to die), but you're right, the actual study, which the summary should've summarized better, gives something more specific:

      Compared with Monday, the adjusted odds of death for all elective surgical procedures was 44% and 82% higher if the procedures were carried out on Friday or at the weekend, respectively

      That is, they both 1) adjusted for (at least some) other factors that predict outcomes; and 2) limited their analysis to elective surgical procedures, i.e. they did not include emergency weekend surgeries.

    12. Re:Statistics can be misleading by gnasher719 · · Score: 1

      Oh, wait, I forgot. On Slashdot, scientists are morons and people who read an article on a pop-sci site a month ago know everything, and any use of statistics can and must instantly be banished with the Words Of Power, Which I Will Not Utter Here.

      Fact is that many people are very bad as statistics, including many people writing scientific papers. And yes, there are scientists who are morons.

      In this case, I cannot find what percentage of elective surgery was performed on Fridays, but 4.5% was performed on Saturdays and Sundays (that was mentioned to explain why these two days were combined in the statistics). Since with random selecction of days 28% of surgery would be performed on Saturday / Sunday but in reality there is only 4.5%, this strongly suggests that patients having selective surgery on weekends are not a random selection of all patients. I couldn't find numbers about the percentage of cases on Friday.

    13. Re:Statistics can be misleading by Seumas · · Score: 1

      Now they just need to find a way to offload the blame for lopping off the wrong body part, performing the wrong surgery, or leaving objects in patients. I'm sure they can find a convoluted way to blame the patient or something.

    14. Re:Statistics can be misleading by newcastlejon · · Score: 1

      Red tape makes wonderful sutures, apparently.

      --
      If God forks the Universe every time you roll a die, he'd better have a damned good memory.
    15. Re:Statistics can be misleading by hrvatska · · Score: 1

      I would say you are wrong. Nurses who work more weekends or off shifts tend to do so for three reasons.

      Family reasons, either child care or the need to care for some other family member.
      Money, some hospitals have attractive shift differentials.
      New grads just starting out. But in no way does new mean shitty.

      Night shifts in hospitals do tend to have more errors. When they look into it it's because the nurses are tired. People make more mistakes when they are tired. Most nurses who work night shift still have friends and family who socialize during normal hours. For a nurse who regularly works third shift it can be exhausting trying to attend social events planned around the day shift schedules and still get enough sleep to be rested for work.

    16. Re:Statistics can be misleading by ericloewe · · Score: 2

      Now we know why red tape is red.

    17. Re:Statistics can be misleading by Idbar · · Score: 1

      I couldn't agree more. Also, I'd assume that workcoholic people or people with higher work stress will delay their surgeries to reduce time-off the work. Those delays may cause a higher spike of higher risk people trying to get their surgery done on Friday.

    18. Re:Statistics can be misleading by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I am a surgeon.

      I agree with your first paragraph completely. I do not know your wife's situation, but I have seen similar scenarios and this one is realistic.

      Most surgeons try to schedule surgeries in the morning so that they have a set schedule. If they are running behind, all they can do is look at the mirror to blame someone. If you try to schedule an afternoon surgery, you are typically "following" another surgeon. This means you have no schedule because surgery timing is unpredictable. If you are scheduled for 1pm, you may not get to start until 6pm. Nobody wants to do this routinely. And ORs routinely run behind schedule.

      I completely disagree with your salary figures. Those numbers are certainly possible and not completely unheard of. But they are absolutely nowhere near average. There may be certain types of subspecialists who start at that range, particularly in a rural area. But absolutely not general surgeons as you imply or even the majority of subspecialists.

      Finally, in the US since healthcare is a for-profit business, we are actually pretty good at keeping MRI machines well utilized. Many are scheduled 24/7. Inpatient scheduled studies will be done during nighttime hours and outpatient studies during normal business hours.

      A major factor limiting OR utilization is related to staffing issues. You need to pay nurses overtime if you want them to work nights and weekends. There are many surgeons who would prefer to start first thing in the morning every Saturday instead of following another surgeon on random weekdays, but the staffing isn't there to support it.

    19. Re:Statistics can be misleading by reve_etrange · · Score: 1

      TFA gives all the sample sizes (broken down by procedure), so if you aren't content with eyeballing them you can pull out the trusty slide rule.

      --
      .: Semper Absurda :.
    20. Re:Statistics can be misleading by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      Coming from a family with a doctor and multiple nurses, I can say you are spot on. Another factor is that some doctors and nurses, particularly in emergency medicine, prefer the cases that come in at night and on the weekends.

      GP had an interesting theory, but given the way it's worded, it's merely a troll rather than an alternative hypothesis.

      (Oh, and three shifts for nurses is not as common an arrangement as it used to be. GF has almost exclusively worked 12 hour shifts for ~10 years.)

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    21. Re:Statistics can be misleading by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      Weird, maybe you need to find a better group of specialists. I can tell you from first hand experience, at least one of Dick Cheney's cardiologists does surgeries after Wednesday. Now, I'm not saying he's the best cardiologist in the world, but I'd be willing to bet that someone as wealthy and connected as the Evil Dick wasn't being treated by people who could barely sober up enough to get through Hollywood Upstairs Medical College.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    22. Re:Statistics can be misleading by kermidge · · Score: 1

      I don't know where you've been, but every op I've had in the last twenty years, from the time a nurse and orderly show up in staging, they check my wristband, ask me my name and birth-date, then check against paper package laying on or next to me. This happens every place I go, by every new person, all the way onto the operating table. The process continues from recovery and on to the ward and into my room.

      Every new doctor, nurse, or CNA checks the same stuff if they're going to do anything or give me anything. Even the people from the kitchen check name and DOB when bringing food. A nurse I might see four days a week for a month would say "Hi" if she brought water, but for pills, shots, or I.V. bags it would be name, DOB, wristband, orders packet, every time.

      As for stuff left inside, I'm hardly awake to monitor, there's a bit of trust going on. A possible solution would be a scan - ultrasound, whatever, before patient leaves the theatre while people make a final count of tools, sponges, etc.

    23. Re:Statistics can be misleading by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      And most importantly even if the chance of dying is 82% greater it is still less than 1 in 100. It reminds me of when Dutchess Kate had some condition that makes her 78% more likely to have twins, except that the base probability was less than 1% so IIRC her chances only increased to about 1 in 50 or something.

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    24. Re:Statistics can be misleading by gordo3000 · · Score: 1

      actually, two of your points mere validate the GP, not invalidate.

      Family reasons --> the implication being that this person does not have a schedule that allows them to sleep enough before their shift beings (I want a nurse htat just woke up from a good rest, not one who rested , then went about their entire, stressful day then came to work)

      New grads --> fundamentally far worse at their jobs than experienced individuals. there is not middle ground for this. It has been shown with doctors (and I'll assume it's similar for nurses, but accept it may not be if you have a good reason) that more experience leads to significantly lower error rates(and another study has shown that less training hours leads to higher overall error rates for doctors).

      In both cases, you are left with a less capable person caring for you. Now I'm not saying the difference is very significant from a likelihood of death case, but if you are one who worries about these things, then you should care to avoid shifts that either tired or less experienced people populate.

    25. Re:Statistics can be misleading by gordo3000 · · Score: 1

      there are pretty big differences as to expectations, work hours, pay, and career path for doctors in the US and the UK, along with the obvious of who is paying the doctor, and this study is about the UK. Oddly enough, this means I've never been turned down to see a doctor in the US on short notice while I have been in the UK.

      As an example to the doctor's pay difference:
      http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/02/health/colonoscopies-explain-why-us-leads-the-world-in-health-expenditures.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0

  4. Another shocking statistic by magic+maverick+ · · Score: 1

    Approximately 2/5 (two fifths!) of sick days are taken on Mondays and Fridays! Obviously the implication is that the slack workers aren't really sick, but are taking the day off to coincide with the weekend!

    ---

    I'm not going to book surgery on any day other than a Wednesday. Unless I want to die I guess.

    --
    HELP MY ACCOUNT HAS BEEN HACKED BY AN ILLIBERAL ART STUDENT SET TO DESTROY THE INTERWEBZ!
    1. Re: Another shocking statistic by ATMAvatar · · Score: 1

      Yes. It's an ingenious plan to drum up repeat business.

      --
      "They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety."
  5. The staff are dead as well?! by Smivs · · Score: 5, Funny

    The skeleton staff working on weekends might be to blame.

    1. Re:The staff are dead as well?! by LongearedBat · · Score: 1

      Better than zombie staff who are more likely chow in than skeleton staff.

  6. TGIF!!! by erroneus · · Score: 1

    No, you can thank him yourself... you'll be seeing him soon... if you've been good.

  7. Or at 5 p.m. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Several years ago, after a stupid table-saw accident and an ER visit, I went to my doctor to have the wound check for healing. The ER nurse had clumsily wrapped my thumb and fingers with gauze (I came up with a much more elegant method, which looked neater, stayed on better, and could be accomplished with one hand -- but I digress...) Anyhow, she had also not put non-stick pads on the wounds before gauzing. The blood and pus had seeped into the gauze and hardened, making it difficult and painful to remove. After nearly two hours of soaking in warm water, trimming away parts of crusty gauze and repeating, only about half the gauze had been removed. It was 5 p.m., and the doctor came in, told me to clench my teeth, and ripped the rest off. It wasn't medically a bad thing to do, and I was glad to be out of there too, but the only reason he resorted to that was because it was quittin' time.

  8. but tee are better! by kurthr · · Score: 2

    Most hospitals have restrictions on non- emergency surgeries over the weekend, because they have very limited staff.
    However, surgeons are very powerful (especially those who do elective surgeries that bring in big $) and they often prefer to schedule surgeries around their own convenience rather than that of their patients or other hospital staff.

    Stanford hip replacements are a known example.

  9. Slashdot behind the news cycle by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 2

    Lots of people have pointed out already that more complicated surgeries are scheduled for Fridays so doctors are fully available to deal with complications.

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
    1. Re:Slashdot behind the news cycle by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      Interesting, but (and this a genuine question, not a glib attempt to undermine your statement) what does that mean for the even greater risk at weekends?

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    2. Re:Slashdot behind the news cycle by Anubis+IV · · Score: 2

      It's a good thing that the authors of the paper compensated for that fact by comparing similar-to-similar, rather than just working with the raw statistics, which is what the summary seems to paint them as having done. What the paper is saying is that if you compare a person who has that "more complicated" surgery on Friday vs. a person who has that same procedure done on an earlier day of the week, the one who has it done on Friday will be more likely to die.

  10. Re:I always thought illness killed people by itsme1234 · · Score: 1

    Maybe they injure themselves worse on the weekend?

  11. One day must be the worst by Henriok · · Score: 2

    I admit that I didn't read the article but I must point out that there is just seven days and one day must be the worst and one day must be the best. I happens to be the friday in the UK, it might be some other day in another country but there must always be one certain day that is the worst. Since there's only seven possible outcomes but an uncountable ammount of factors going in, good luck to figuring out what exacly is goong on.

    --

    - Henrik

    - when the Shadows descend -
    1. Re: One day must be the worst by kurthr · · Score: 1

      You obviously haven't read the article which contains the graph showing that the risk of death due to elective surgery grows monotonically approaching the weekend. By the weekend, scheduled elective surgeries are almost twice as likely to kill you.
      Two days are the worst, they are on the weekend, and the closer your surgery recovery is to the weekend the worse the expected outcome- 40%worse on Friday.

      Read the fine documentation...

    2. Re:One day must be the worst by Anubis+IV · · Score: 1

      Sure, one day will likely be the worst, but tens of percentage points worse? That suggests that there's a causative agent of some sort, such as fatigue, a desire to hurry up and leave, or some other factor, and that the agent is endangering the lives of patients and should be addressed.

      It sounds as if you're trying to excuse it simply because "one day must be the worst", but by that logic, we should excuse all sorts of other things as well, regardless of the reason why they are the worst. For example, if there were a correlation between the times that the bars close and the times that most fatal car accidents occur, would we excuse drunk drivers who run into and kill people at that time, simply because the statistics say that the victim died at the most likely time to die and that "some time must be the worst", or would we instead look at why more fatal car accidents happen at that time and work on finding a solution to the problem of increased fatalities at that time?

      The answer is clear. Rather than just accepting that one must be the worst, we should look at why it's so much worse and seek to make it better.

  12. Simple reason by geoskd · · Score: 1

    I'll bet it has something to do with the fact that doctors like to take Fridays off. So by extension if they are doing surgery on a Friday (or god help you a weekend), whatever the issue is it must be life threatening, and most likely far more severe than a surgery that can wait until Monday: Hence more likely to get you killed, no matter the skill level of the surgeons or their team.

    --
    I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    1. Re:Simple reason by nedlohs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      By definition "elective surgery" is something that "can wait until Monday". So no.

  13. Sick days by BenJeremy · · Score: 1

    In a shocking statistic, 40% of sickdays are taken on Fridays or Mondays... clearly slackers trying to extend their weekends.

    We should try and stamp out this scourge on productivity everywhere!

    1. Re:Sick days by __aaqvdr516 · · Score: 1

      We should try and stamp out this scourge on productivity everywhere!

      The beatings will continue until morale improves!

  14. Re: but tee times are better! by kurthr · · Score: 1

    Autocorrect

  15. Good by Etherwalk · · Score: 1

    The study only looked at elective surgery, not urgent surgery.

    Good, since those are the ones we can best change the outcome of by rescheduling them.

    Complications can arise during recovery, especially after a complicated surgery or if the hospital isn't perfect. If complications arise on a weekend, the doctors and staff who could not get the time off are the ones working, and the staff are less willing to call the doctors. (These are generalizations, and of course vary from hospital to hospital.)

    This is the exact reason why you NEVER schedule elective surgery on major holidays or between Christmas and New Years.

    1. Re:Good by Culture20 · · Score: 2

      If you make a big line in the airport for bomb-checks, you've moved the killing location from the plane to the airport waiting line.
      Likewise, if you move the Friday surgeries to Thursday such that Thursday is the new day before the end of the work week, then Thursday might exhibit the same death rates.

    2. Re:Good by FireFury03 · · Score: 1

      If you make a big line in the airport for bomb-checks, you've moved the killing location from the plane to the airport waiting line.

      Likewise, if you move the Friday surgeries to Thursday such that Thursday is the new day before the end of the work week, then Thursday might exhibit the same death rates.

      Also, craming the same number of surgeries into fewer days is going to increase pressures, which tends to increase mistakes.

    3. Re:Good by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Moving surgery to Thursday does not immediately make Friday a day off for surgeons. Thinking that cutting people open with a knife is the only thing a surgeon does is like thinking that typing in code is all that a software developer does.

    4. Re:Good by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      But it's the most stressful thing they do. They might look forward to a stress-free Friday, making Thursday dangerous.

    5. Re:Good by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Given that the number is a percentage of total elective surgeries, no. It isn't because surgery is the most stressful thing they do.

  16. For fuck's sake, Slashdot... by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 4, Funny

    "A British Medical Journal (BMJ) research report says that 'Surgeries on Friday Are More Frequently Fatal ... compared to those who opt for really bad Mondays, Britons who have a planned surgery on a Friday are 44 percent more likely to die. And the few patients who had a leisurely weekend surgery saw that number jump to 82 percent. The skeleton staff working on weekends might be to blame.'"

    You really need to decide where the quotes are supposed to go in this summary. I very much doubt that a BMJ report would ever use such glib phrases as "really bad Mondays" and "leisurely weekend surgery."

    In fact I don't think anything in TFS has actually been quoted from the report, beyond individual words or numbers. So why is it in quotes? Or are they just random apostrophes?

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    1. Re:For fuck's sake, Slashdot... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Random apostrophe's is the new fad.

    2. Re:For fuck's sake, Slashdot... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The quote in TFS was actually lifted from a separate article here. Someone just decided to change the link to the original BMJ article instead.

    3. Re:For fuck's sake, Slashdot... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Those are journalistic double-apostrophes. They're often confused with quotes, but they actually are meant to imply some artistic license in the phrase.

  17. Re:I always thought illness killed people by realityimpaired · · Score: 1

    Need to look at the death rate by day of week for the general population. If people in general are more likely to die on these days, then a higher mortality rate in surgery on these days is not as surprising as you may think.

    My google-fu is lacking at the moment, but I seem to recall reading a study a few years ago which showed that among the general population there's a higher mortality rate on Fridays and Saturdays, too. Unfortunately, right now all I'm finding is a 1983 study done in Australia which showed that the perinatal and infant mortality rates follow this pattern.

  18. Especially true by lolococo · · Score: 1

    when on the 13th and the surgeon's name is Jason ...

  19. Re:I always thought illness killed people by lordDallan · · Score: 1

    I had a similar thought, but the linked study indicates that it focused only on elective surgery, so I don't believe surgeries related to accident or recent injury were counted.

    The paper seems to conclude that the weekend staff being smaller and less experienced may be the cause.

  20. 82% chance of dying?! I'll wait until monday by Cyko_01 · · Score: 1

    Doctor: Sir, I'm afraid I have some bad news. Your heart is going to explode. We'll need to perform emergency surgery right away.
    Patient: But....today is saturday! I don't wanna die - can it wait until monday?
    Doctor: If you don't have it now there is a a 75% chance you will not live until monday
    Patient: yea...I think I'll take my chances and wait until monday thank you very much

  21. Misconceptions by davesays · · Score: 1

    I am IT staff at a hospital and end up working on the in-suite PCs alot since coworkers don't like being in a room with a patient open. The surgery schedule gets busier throughout the week with the busiest day being Thursday; at my hospital that is really the "Friday" of the OR. For reasons mentioned above only cases of eminent need are scheduled for Fridays and nothing on the weekend. If you are having surgery on a Friday or the weekend you are in a fairly grave state already. Also: All doctors, surgeons and staff do rotations and coverage; so "shitty doctors and nurses and up working the weekends" is not a reality.

  22. Which kinds of surgery by overshoot · · Score: 2

    The skeleton staff working on weekends might be to blame

    Yeah, but what if it isn't an orthopaedic surgery?

    If we're talking about small rural or local hospitals, sure -- in part because these hospitals are at most feeders that stabilize patients before sending them to major hospitals. There's a world of difference between the rural hospital that's close to the mountain where I ski patrol and a Level 1 trauma (or cardiac, or stroke) center. The local hospital (which bills itself as a "regional medical center") doesn't even have an orthopaedic surgeon on duty on weekends. In contrast, less than 200 miles away are four cities with Level 1 trauma centers (altogether more than seven hospitals) including Barrows Neurological Hospital, Mayo Hospital, two university hospitals, and a top-notch limb reattachment hospital.

    Having been married to a nurse who worked at most of the big ones, I can tell y'all that the staffing doesn't thin out on weekends.

    --
    Lacking <sarcasm> tags, /. substitutes moderation as "Troll."
  23. Re:I always thought illness killed people by St.Creed · · Score: 1

    I'm not surprised about the infant mortality rates. Our son was delivered in hospital. My wife nearly didn't get anesthetics because the doctor had to leave for the weekend. Also, after 17:00 'o clock the number of available medical staff dropped drastically. There were, fortunately, no complications right then but if she had had them at 17:10, the doctor would have already left.

    Stuff like that (not enough people on call) was identified as a factor in the infant mortality in The Netherlands last year. I don't know how it translates to Australia but if they have a lot of people delivering in hospitals, this might be a factor there as well.

    --
    Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
  24. Robots. by Snufu · · Score: 1

    Another example of why robotic surgeons should be a long term goal.

    1. Re:Robots. by nabsltd · · Score: 1

      Another example of why robotic surgeons should be a long term goal.

      All that would accomplish is give Skynet yet another way to kill us.

  25. selection bias? by matushorvath · · Score: 1

    If you get a surgery on a weekend, likely there was a reason why it could not be postponed to Monday. No wonder that many of the surgeries that could not be postponed end badly.

    And maybe the same thing applies to Fridays to some degree. Less critical surgeries are probably pushed to Monday, to avoid post-op care during the weekend if possible.

    1. Re:selection bias? by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      Ok, by the time you posted this brain fart of a post, the story had been up for ~six hours with a myriad of comments. The original article, many comments, and the summary all point out that this study involved elective surgeries or 'planned surgery'. Did you read anything other than the headline? Did you not understand "planned surgery"?

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    2. Re:selection bias? by matushorvath · · Score: 1

      Ok, I could have made the time to read the article carefully. On the other hand, you also could have been less of an ass when telling me about my mistake.

    3. Re:selection bias? by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      Ok, I could have made the time to read the article carefully. On the other hand, you also could have been less of an ass when telling me about my mistake.

      Nope. I've spent years developing this persona. Changing it now would be artistically inconsistent.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
  26. Rubbish. by Pino+Grigio · · Score: 1

    Guess what, surgeons are more likely to schedule difficult cases on a Friday, so the patients get longer in intensive care with the surgeon on call, as he isn't in surgery at the weekend so can be on hand to help out. More dying is purely a result of their cases being more difficult. Also, we're talking about 0.6% here.

    There are lies, damned lies and statistics.

  27. Just a feature of Big Government healthcare. by JimtownKelly · · Score: 1

    Unsurprising. Privatize all healthcare and providers will have to compete for quality.

    --
    -- Jimtown Kelly
    1. Re:Just a feature of Big Government healthcare. by kermidge · · Score: 1

      compete for quality

      Like the ISPs and cable companies do?

  28. Skeleton crew... by idunham · · Score: 1

    I'm amazed: it seems everyone missed the key cause.

    How would you not see higher fatalities with a skeleton crew?

    1. Re:Skeleton crew... by ebno-10db · · Score: 1

      How would you not see higher fatalities with a skeleton crew?

      Does that mean surgery is limited to orthopedics?

  29. numbers lie by swell · · Score: 1

    at least to /. readers who seem to think that Friday surgery victims are 44 percent more likely to die than ... well who?

    I assume that this is compared to other people having surgery.

    So if those people have a .01% chance of dying, the Friday people have a .0144% chance of dying.

    Does that take some of the drama out of the story or do you still not understand it?

    --
    ...omphaloskepsis often...