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Northern Hemisphere Pollution a Cause of '80s Africa Drought

vinces99 writes "Decades of drought in central Africa reached their worst point in the 1980s, causing Lake Chad, a shallow lake used to water crops in neighboring countries, to almost dry out completely. The shrinking lake and prolonged drought were initially blamed on overgrazing and bad agricultural practices. More recently, Lake Chad became an example of global warming. But new University of Washington research shows the drought was caused at least in part by Northern Hemisphere air pollution. Particles from coal-burning factories in the United States and Europe during the 1960s, '70s and '80s cooled the entire Northern Hemisphere, shifting tropical rain bands south. That meant that rains no longer reached the Sahel region, a band that spans the African continent just below the Sahara desert."

34 of 158 comments (clear)

  1. Who's to blame? by twistedcubic · · Score: 4, Funny

    Ha! And you thought they were crazy when they bllamed the "White Man" for droughts in Africa.

    1. Re:Who's to blame? by SplashMyBandit · · Score: 3, Interesting

      ... and you'd be speaking either Russian, German, Japanese at the moment. Now that America actually *is* withdrawing from the World stage you are about to find out just how much they did do for World stability. Shit is getting real. Syria is an example if the mess that is coming - and once Iran has nukes because of American inaction you'll be pissing your pants hoping the Yanks haul you out of another fine pickle. No, America is not perfect, but at least they believed ins Enlightenment values for everyone (even if the path they walked did not always lead directly to that goal). Now you'll be getting the world you want, where tinpot dictators can brutalize with utter impunity and the crushing weight of giants like China and Russia smack down small countries in far worse ways than the US did. No doubt you'll still blame the US even decades from now, just like the Cultural Marxist 'liberal' indoctrination taught you. Never let reality get in the way, Comrade.

    2. Re:Who's to blame? by crutchy · · Score: 2

      I needed a new heel for my shoe. So I decided to go to Morganville, which is what they called Shelbyville in those days. So I tied an onion to my belt. Which was the style at the time. Now, to take the ferry cost a nickel, and in those days, nickels had pictures of bumblebees on 'em. Gimme five bees for a quarter, you'd say. Now where was I... oh yeah. The important thing was that I had an onion tied to my belt, which was the style at the time.

    3. Re:Who's to blame? by crutchy · · Score: 2

      you're right... northern hemisphere is only half of america

      americans think they own the whole world, which also includes the southern hemisphere

    4. Re:Who's to blame? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      While I do agree that the US have been very helpful towards us during WWII and provided some much needed balance during the cold war, there are a lot of things it did wrong and still does. The fact that China and Russia do the same does not make those things okay. There is a world of difference between saving an allied nation from threat or invasion by a neighbor (good) and actively meddling in the domestic affairs of said nations. (bad)

      Take the second Iraq war for example. Yes, the people were ruled by a dictator they would probably be better off without. Did the American intervention actually improve matters? Debatable. It is possible they would have had their own Arab Spring, maybe sparking a civil war for a time (like what is happening in syria) and the new boss might be as bad as the old boss (egypt) but the people would have at least a chance of eventually forming a decent government. Instead, a dictator has been replaced by an occupation force and puppet government. Regardless of actual intentions, this is how it looks like to at least some members of the populace, which is why there are still bombings and terrorist acts to this day. The whole mess has also antagonized much of the arab region against the west and encouraged Iran to develop nuclear weaponry.

    5. Re:Who's to blame? by Stephan+Schulz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      .Now you'll be getting the world you want, where tinpot dictators can brutalize with utter impunity [...]

      Not that the US is to blame for all evils, but as a short historical reminder...

      During the height of the cold war a vague claim of anti-communism apparently was enough to excuse all kinds of torture and murder.

      --

      Stephan

  2. Re:Coal burning still a problem today by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    more coal is burned in China than in the US.

  3. It's PAYBACK by russotto · · Score: 4, Funny

    Payback, that is, for all the hurricanes they send us every year. Suck on it, Africa.

  4. The real question.. by intellitech · · Score: 5, Interesting

    If that was caused my industrial pollution in the U.S. 30-odd years ago, what can we expect from the pollution China is dishing out?

    --
    vos nescitis quicquam, nec cogitatis quia expedit nobis ut unus moriatur homo pro populo et non tota gens pereat.
    1. Re:The real question.. by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 5, Funny

      Not much, I'd say. They blamed it on:
      1) overgrazing
      2) bad agriculture
      3) global warming
      4) pollution of US and Euro factories

      How about we simply wait for 5) and blame those guys ?

    2. Re:The real question.. by crutchy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      what can we expect from the pollution China is dishing out?

      lots of black pots and kettles

    3. Re:The real question.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      First off, it was not caused by the US. It was caused by the US AND Europe. Europe as a whole put out a lot more pollution than did the USA.

      Secondly, you are already seeing what is expected. We have droughts and floods going on all over. Make no mistake. Much of that is caused by China and increasingly, the rest of BRIC.

      This will continue until we quit giving a pass to China/BRI. It is insane that so many claim that china has a RIGHT to increase co2 and all the pollution. Normalizing on per capitia is insane. Pollution is tied to GDP, not people. And the only way to change things is to create a tax on ALL goods (local and imported) based on where the goods parts comes from. And it needs to be normalized to GDP. Until then, things will continue to get worse.

  5. Obvious solution by fustakrakich · · Score: 5, Funny

    Burn more coal in the southern hemisphere, and push the rain back north...

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    1. Re:Obvious solution by aevan · · Score: 4, Funny

      Flash forward 60 years of push-o-war: global drought in the northern and southern hemispheres...with a towering curtain of water banding the equator...

    2. Re:Obvious solution by amiga3D · · Score: 2, Funny

      What could possibly go wrong?

  6. I don't think this is the whole story by Tastecicles · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This goes much further into explaining some of the variance, both seasonal and longish-term (only goes back to the Fifties), of water table levels in the entire Chad basin - a system that covers a tenth of the entire African continent, not just a relatively small body of surface water. The human impact, according to that paper, accounts for about one twentieth of the total variance in the system but as much as 40% of the surface area of the lake itself (and up to half the volume), with most of that variance originating upstream in tributary river systems. AGW is barely even considered (or even mentioned, going by a quick scan down the paper), since the effects of AGW, if it even exists, have not been or cannot currently be measured because until it is properly defined, nobody even knows what to look for. It does deal with precipitation, which has had a bit of a lull over recent decades (1985-1994 being particularly dry years), but again this deals with the entire system not just the lake.

    --
    Operation Guillotine is in effect.
  7. It's about consequences ... by MacTO · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Personally, I don't buy into the global warming camp or anti-climate change camp. I recognize that the system in question is far too complex for us to understand with certainty. I also recognize that the system is "easy" to understand within statistical certainties, which are not reported often enough. I am also sane enough to recognize that my education in astrophysics only gives me some understanding into the issues of anthropomorphic climate change, rather than a complete understanding of it. I also recognize that my education gives me less understanding in it than climatologists, yet more understanding in it than scientists who never deal with problems at a planetary scale.

    Yet one thing I am certain of: actions imply consequences. The consequences may be positive, negative, or neutral. Whatever the outcome, we must make an attempt to understand it. Our best means of understanding it are scientific. Political attempts to understand it only tell us if the consequences are desirable, thus they must come after scientific attempt to understand it. Other means of understanding climate change are likely based upon invalid systems of knowledge, and ought to be rejected altogether.

    To make a long story short: I'd have to read the paper itself to judge the degree to which it's valid. Given that it is based upon scientific principles, I'm going to have to plead: I'm human, I have limited resources to deal with the problem presented before me, it is based upon a system of knowledge that I find acceptable (i.e. science), so I accept it.

    As long as the authors are being intellectually honest, I believe that it is a valid way to accept their conclusions. (If they aren't intellectually honest, I'll hate them but still stand by the principle: actions imply consequences, now figure out what the consequences are.)

    1. Re:It's about consequences ... by Nerdfest · · Score: 3, Insightful

      When the changes affect global weather (and other) systems, the can be positive and negative, depending on your location and what period of time your looking at. It's part of why it's so difficult to measure and forecast.

    2. Re:It's about consequences ... by Fjandr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's too bad that people like you are a tiny minority among the screaming hordes of the scientifically illiterate and those who take everything "scientific" they read at face value.

    3. Re:It's about consequences ... by wytcld · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Personally, I don't buy into the global warming camp or anti-climate change camp. ... Given that it is based upon scientific principles, I'm going to have to plead: I'm human, I have limited resources to deal with the problem presented before me, it is based upon a system of knowledge that I find acceptable (i.e. science), so I accept it.

      So if, say, 50% of scientific papers are "intellectually honest," and 97% of scientific papers addressing climate change conclude that anthropogenic factors are the main drivers of variance over the last century or more, then how can you not "buy into the global warming camp"?

      Isn't the whole "anti-climate change camp" devoted to the notion that there is such a thing as major, wide-spread actions without consequences, contrary to your major assertion? Because on the level of global climate, somehow man's actions are perpetually too small to effect it, or a deity will counter any potential harm we do, or the planet will magically turn every potential disadvantage to advantage, or the like?

      --
      "with their freedom lost all virtue lose" - Milton
    4. Re:It's about consequences ... by dbIII · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Isn't the whole "anti-climate change camp" devoted to the notion that there is such a thing as major, wide-spread actions without consequences, contrary to your major assertion?

      You've nailed it. It's driven by the creationist idiots that think God created a perfect unchanging world so any suggestion of change is a spit in God's eye. It's a pity they think their God is so limited.

    5. Re:It's about consequences ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't buy into the global warming camp or anti-climate change camp. I recognize that the system in question is far too complex for us to understand with certainty.

      However, the latter is all the anti-AGW camp wants from you. Just wait. Do nothing. Delay. That's why they exist.

      I accept AGW science because it is the most hammered and hated field of science since evolution and yet, like evolutionary biology, it keeps on producing results. A good dumb-guy's-test of this is to look at level the two sides are working at: As in, say, cosmology, where the "big bang camp" are looking at subtle patterns in the CMB data to work out fine details of early inflation, or stretch into fringes like multiverse theory, meanwhile the "steady state camp" are still stuck arguing "is not!". Here we have AGW theorists talking about single region cooling events, caused by secondary climate effects, while the anti-AGW camp is still trying to argue whether CO2 is a greenhouse gas.

      anthropomorphic climate change

      Anthropogenic. "Caused by", not "Resembles".

      Anthropomorphic climate change is when people see animus in weather events. "Mother Earth is finally waking up and scratching off the parasite of humanity", or "God sent this to punish us for gays in the military".

    6. Re:It's about consequences ... by Obfuscant · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's driven by the creationist idiots that think God created a perfect unchanging world so any suggestion of change is a spit in God's eye.

      I know it's wrong to try to respond to flamebait, but you have it backwards. It's the people who think that the way the world is right this very minute is the way it is always supposed to be and we must do everything we can to keep it static that are the problem, and they aren't the religious nuts, they're the eco-nuts. They admit that they know about ice ages and the lush, tropical periods that the dinosaurs flourished in, but somehow today is perfect and no change, man-made OR natural, can be allowed to happen. Yes, it was different before, but it can no longer be different because we like it the way it is.

      They're the ones bemoaning the extinction of species that no longer fit the climate or environment, and trying to build seawalls to stop the ocean from eroding that spit that developed a mere fifty years ago, but they've built their home on it and it must be preserved because it's "natural" and that's how it has "always been". The very people who hurl insults at "those religious nuts" for not accepting Evolution as the origin of life are the ones who try to stop true evolution and survival of the fittest from happening.

      It's a pity they think their God is so limited.

      Backwards again. Religious people know God isn't limited. It's the atheists who cannot fathom a God with powers they cannot personally understand or account for.

      You don't see the religious right out protesting for carbon cap and trade or against energy users or producers. They know better. Change happens. It is Hope and Change doesn't.

    7. Re:It's about consequences ... by dbIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You've missed it. It's not about religious people being stupid but instead about stupid people trying to make stupidity a virtue in a cut down version of a religion. Recall this is the same bunch that rejects the idea of an educated clergy and saw Jesuits (and well educated Protestant clergy) as their mortal enemy before they started going after scientists.

      Pointing out a flaw in a Christianity Lite franchise that's really all about money and control is not the same as going after everyone with a belief.

      You've read far too much into a simple statement above and managed to argue about something different and attack the team you think I'm cheering for

  8. Re:Coal burning still a problem today by amiga3D · · Score: 4, Informative

    You know, I live in the deep South and I've never once in my 53 years heard that term used that way until just now.

  9. Re:From the Ministry of Truth by amiga3D · · Score: 2

    Newspeak?

  10. Re:Not cooling, global waming! by hairyfeet · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Sorry but power won't generate itself and NIMBYs have made damned sure we ain't building any nuclear power plants so what else can you do?

    Even the most generous estimates show that even if we throw trillions we don't have at it with current tech renewables will only provide at most around 30% of the US power needs, and that is IF we don't use any more than we are using now but if you want us to switch to hybrids? Well all that power ain't coming from the electric fairy.

    This is why the USA ain't gonna do shit, its because we CAN'T do shit thanks to the NIMBYs every damned where. the Greenies say "ZOMG coal is soooo bad, stop burning that!" and you say fine, we'll replace them with nuke, then the NIMBYs go "ZOMG 3 mile island you can't build that!" so you go fine, we'll build some dams "ZOMG you'll kill the fishies!" well wind it is "ZOMG you'll kill the birds and ruin the land with noise pollution!" and on and on AND ON, meanwhile in the time it takes to get a single reactor through all the NIMBY shit China will have 25 reactors online so they ain't gonna have to worry when the oil gets scarce, they'll have high speed rail and electric vehicles and they aren't gonna have to be burning coal either.

    Lets face it folks, much as i love this country the Asians are out there getting shit done and all we seem to be producing is lawsuits and whiners! You're not gonna get shit done about global warming here and it won't take a conspiracy, the NIMBYs will make damned sure you ain't building shit here so we have no choice but keep the shit we have going no matter what.

    --
    ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  11. Re:From the Ministry of Truth by SplashMyBandit · · Score: 2

    "Islam is the religion peace" is another doublespeak from the deluded islamophiles - yet jihad against infidels is commanded for every able bodied male if they can manage it (fortunately the West is too strong at the moment - so there is dispensation for deferring this commandment until a better opportunity).

  12. Re:Oh no... by TapeCutter · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This sort of confusion is what psuedo-skeptics are are taking advantage of when they claim an ice age was predicted in the 70's. Coal gives off (among other things), SO2, CO2 and soot. Sulfur causes cooling, acid rain, and deadly "pea soup fog", Soot causes warming, lowers albedo, and accelerates ice melt. CO2 causes warming and ocean acidification. Some of the soot and sulfur was cleaned up by various clean air acts in the 60's & 70's after the death toll from "pea soupers" in London and other European cities started getting difficult to ignore. Sulfur emissions (and acid rain) were dramatically 20 odd years ago when Regan instituted a cap and trade treaty on sulfur emissions, similar to those being proposed for CO2 (ironic, huh?).

    Having said all that, climate scientists don't really talk about cooling or warming, they talk about +ve and -ve forcing and feedback, two forcings with different signs can indeed cancel each other out. To confuse matters further CO2 can be both a forcing (humans, volcanoes) and a feedback (melting permafrost, increased bushfires). Feedbacks have far more uncertainty associated with them than forcings. When everything is taken into account you can work out a figure called "climate sensitivity" (CS). The CS in models compares very well with the CS derived from geology and really hasn't changed that much since the 70's.

    All this is just a sample of the complexity that adds up to ripe pickings for people who have no problem deliberately misinforming the public for personal gain.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  13. Re:Coal burning still a problem today by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    please! Communist dictatorships have universal healthcare. We're clearly facist state.

  14. Re:Coal burning still a problem today by Half-pint+HAL · · Score: 3, Funny

    You're not in a fascist state, and the boys'll be knocking on your door shortly to convince you of that.

    --
    Got them moderator blues I blieve I walk out the do', With these mod-points I been gettin', I 'most never post no mo'
  15. Re:Coal burning still a problem today by mikael · · Score: 2

    carbon dioxide dissolved in water forms carbonic acid. Useful for respiration, but bad for the oceans (ocean acidification).

    --
    Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  16. Re:Not cooling, global waming! by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    Sorry but power won't generate itself and NIMBYs have made damned sure we ain't building any nuclear power plants so what else can you do?

    I can't speak for anyone else, but I do not support current nuclear power systems anywhere on the planet, but I will support nuclear power anywhere on the planet if we start reprocessing waste. As long as the waste is a problem we're just deferring to our descendants, it is unacceptable. So what can we do? Start reprocessing waste. It's the only rational way to handle our nuclear waste, and it's the only kind of reactor that will see any green support. How "odd" that it's the one kind of reactor we won't build.

    This is why the USA ain't gonna do shit, its because we CAN'T do shit thanks to the NIMBYs every damned where. the Greenies

    Your pathetic name-calling achieves nothing. Grow the fuck up, kid.

    The simple truth is that this is a created situation. Who is profiting from it?

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  17. Re:Not cooling, global waming! by hairyfeet · · Score: 2

    Uhhh... WTF am I SUPPOSED to call them, the Greenies GAVE THEMSELVES THAT NAME unless they belong to one of the sub groups which fuck, I'd be here all damned day naming all of those off, and its not like I made up the name NIMBY, as I'm sure you know it means "Not in my back yard" which is their fucking position on EVERYTHING. Well I hate to break the news to ya Sparky, but there isn't a place in this entire country that isn't SOMEBODY'S BACK YARD and with power every single foot you add equals more power pissed down the drain from transmission loss.

    Its the beating around the bush mamby pamby bullshit that has gotten this country all pussified to fuck and if the boat is fucking sinking you do NOT waste your damned time arguing over whether the women prefer to be called Ms or Mrs, okay? Its all this "Oh respect this or that group's feeling" touchy feely horseshit that has made every god damned discussion in this country into a politically correct focus group of shit, its time to call a spade a spade, pay attention to the fucking tasks at hand and NOT to which group "may be offended by your tone" and basically man the fuck up.

    And if that offends your delicate sensibilities? Well go lay on your fainting couch with some smelling salts Petunia, as i have exactly zero fucks to give when it comes to politically correct horseshit.

    --
    ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.