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Electric Vehicles Might Not Benefit the Environment After All

New submitter countach44 writes "From an article in IEEE's Spectrum magazine: 'Upon closer consideration, moving from petroleum-fueled vehicles to electric cars begins to look more and more like shifting from one brand of cigarettes to another. We wouldn't expect doctors to endorse such a thing. Should environmentally minded people really revere electric cars?' The author discusses the controversy and social issues behind electric car research and demonstrates what many of us have been thinking: are electric cars really more environmentally friendly than those based on internal combustion engines?" Reader Jah-Wren Ryel takes issue with one of the sources, and offers a criticism from Fast Company.

35 of 775 comments (clear)

  1. Depends on the energy source duh! by beernutmark · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Of course it depends on the energy source. I purchase wind powered offsets to power my focus electric. This changes the equation greatly.

    1. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by SYSS+Mouse · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What about building the cars itself? Battery production pollutes quite a bit.

    2. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by beernutmark · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yes that's true. But it seems to be also true that the battery is quite recyclable. Thus, as we end up with more electric vehicles ending their life cycle the environmental costs of newer vehicles will be mitigated through the recycling of older electric cars.

    3. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by haruchai · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So does lead-acid production yet we've gotten a handle on that. And nobody seems to care about battery pollution when it's for PCs, smartphones and flashlights.
      It'll be a while until EVs start increasing that by a significant fraction.

      I'm not saying there aren't problems but they are manageable - if the environmental standards are strong and enforced.
      In some places, that's a big if, at the moment.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    4. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by Darinbob · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think hybrids are a good option. It's essentially a highly efficient fuel vehicle even before they add the batteries, and the batteries smooth out the variations in engine work rather than acting as pure electric motors, plus regenerative braking, plus the feedback to the driver to encourage better driving. So you're still getting all the power from gasoline instead of the power grid, but it uses it more efficiently.

    5. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by rthille · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It seems like hybrids would benefit from a gps and software, so it can know my routine, and whether or not a low battery should be charged by running the engine (I'm at the start of a long trip), or not (I'm about to pull into my driveway and plug in).

      so far, I haven't seen any coverage of anything like this.

      --
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    6. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by I+kan+Spl · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Please show me any battery chemistry that operates at 100% efficiency, either on charging or discharging.

      --
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    7. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by epyT-R · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Electricity is mostly used as an energy transfer medium because it sucks as a method of storage. It does have loss, too, from resistance, inductance, and capacitance of the conductors. Shifting the energy to/from electric/magnetic fields, a typical process for any electric device, also incurs loss. The fact is, per mile driven, it's more efficient to store the carbon on site and burn as needed, than it is to burn it in a plant and transmit the resultant energy down electric power lines.

      Energy generation is the real issue. The only zero greenhouse gas emission technology that can generate the scale of power needed is nuclear, and the earth firsters won't go for that. Things like wind and solar are ok as supplements but they cannot possibly meet the current growing energy needs, never mind such needs plus electric cars. The more exotic systems like ocean wave energy are experimental at best. We need a stepping stone if we want to move to all-electric. At the moment, that stepping stone is nuclear. Without it, electric cars are actually worse for the environment than the current situation.

    8. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by lordholm · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Perhaps, but this misses the point of EV or fuel cell vehicles. At present, it stands so that these will push power generation to coal or oil fired power plants in many areas.

      BUT:

      1. Power plants will be transitioned as well, and it is substantially easier to place efficient and centralised greenhouse reducing technologies in a couple of power plants than in 2 billion cars.
      2. Fuel will run out, and a transition must be starting now in any case.
      3. In some places, most electricity already comes from nuclear / hydro / wind / solar (e.g. France and Sweden).

      The transition away from petrol and diesel to battery or fuel cells, is not so much as cutting green house gasses now, it is about enabling a new infrastructure that is easier to control and manage. The being clean argument does however help to sell the electric vehicles now.

      --
      "Civis Europaeus sum!"
    9. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by GrahamCox · · Score: 5, Informative

      The fact is, per mile driven, it's more efficient to store the carbon on site and burn as needed, than it is to burn it in a plant and transmit the resultant energy down electric power lines.

      That's just not true, as long as you're considering fixed power plants that are efficient, e.g. nuclear. Other renewable sources can also be considered efficient even if they're not (e.g. solar) because the energy is effectively 'free' so it doesn't matter how much goes to waste.

      The inefficiency is always at the chemical energy to (whatever) conversion stage, once it's in electrical form, it can be transmitted relatively efficiently and certainly traction motors are very very efficient compared to IC engines.

    10. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by gnoshi · · Score: 4, Informative

      You do realize that solar power is another example of 'causes more pollution during production than it will ever save during its lifetime' right?

      Funny, that's not what some think

    11. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It does have loss, too, from resistance, inductance, and capacitance of the conductors. Shifting the energy to/from electric/magnetic fields, a typical process for any electric device, also incurs loss.

      Loss from inductance and capacitance is imaginary loss. Any energy you lose to charging up the capacitor or building the magnetic field in the inductor, you gain back when the capacitor is discharged or the field in the inductor is released. The only real loss is resistance. Electrical lines can leak to ground though. It is a bit of a stretch, but I hope that is what you meant.

      The fact is, per mile driven, it's more efficient to store the carbon on site and burn as needed, than it is to burn it in a plant and transmit the resultant energy down electric power lines.

      That assumes the power plant and the car are of similar efficiency. They aren't. Power plants can use much more efficient external combustion engines and run at the optimal rpms. Under optimal conditions (for the car) the power plant is roughly twice as efficient as a car. Typical conditions favor the power plant even more (because it always runs at optimal). Given all of the losses in getting the power from the plant through the car and to the road, it is a wash for same fuel power. However, large scale power plants don't run on gasoline. If powered from petroleum, they run on natural gas which is a lot easier, cheaper and more efficient to produce.

      Energy generation is the real issue. The only zero greenhouse gas emission technology that can generate the scale of power needed is nuclear, and the earth firsters won't go for that. Things like wind and solar are ok as supplements but they cannot possibly meet the current growing energy needs, never mind such needs plus electric cars. The more exotic systems like ocean wave energy are experimental at best. We need a stepping stone if we want to move to all-electric. At the moment, that stepping stone is nuclear. Without it, electric cars are actually worse for the environment than the current situation.

      Nobody is suggesting that we switch to a single source energy. The great thing about the energy grid is that you can just keep tacking on more generators as they come online. As more green plants come online, every device powered from the grid is that much greener.

    12. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by lordholm · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, it uses the word will, but it takes time to prepare for the future. It is arguably so that, currently, EV does not really improve that much considering the average electricity plant in the world. But, we cannot ignore the future just because we live today. The fact is that we have to face the realities of today and the inevitabilities of the future.

      Granted, an individual cannot really plan for the future in the same way as a society can, which is why a person not switch his brand of cigarets because of long term benefits. However, assuming either your private or public health care system offered you discounts if you switched your cigaret brand (or extra taxes on the old brand), because society see that on the whole, they will save money this way, would the average smoker still not switch, even if he/she saved money here and now?

      As I mentioned, a society or a larger organisation have the ability to plan in long term in a way that you as an individual cannot do. Though the society can influence you to make the "right decision" in various ways. Meaning that, even something that may not make sense for an individual today from a utilitarian perspective, will make more sense from a financial perspective. In other words, society can plan for the "will happen" part and ensure that the current realities, at least in financial terms align with the future and the "will happen" part.

      In addition to this, the fact is that infrastructure take a lot of time to build. Therefore, in order to build the infrastructure for the future, we need to invest in it today, because rest assured, at current consumption, oil (and natural gas) WILL run out (in reality it will just become ridiculously expensive, but that only gives us some additional time for the transition). When that happens, there better be a working infrastructure for EV (including fuel cells) in place, because neither coal nor nuclear is viable for direct installing in cars.

      --
      "Civis Europaeus sum!"
    13. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      The only zero greenhouse gas emission technology that can generate the scale of power needed is nuclear, and the earth firsters won't go for that. Things like wind and solar are ok as supplements but they cannot possibly meet the current growing energy needs, never mind such needs plus electric cars.

      That is straight up bullshit. If you covered 2% of the Sahara Desert in solar panels, it would generate enough electricity to replace every power plant and combustion engine in the world.

      Transmitting the power from the sahara to the rest of the world is obviously a stupid idea, but it demonstrates that solar power really is capable of generating large amounts of power. A few hundred installations spread around the world easily cover our needs. Energy storage is also relatively straightforward, for example you can collect solar energy as heat and store it with a high temperature liquid for long periods of time (molten glass for example, is stable at around 5,000 degrees celsius and easily stored in big ceramic tanks - expose water to that and generate power from the steam, just as you would do in a nuclear power plant). Another option, which is being used in the USA today, is to pump water into a dam with solar panels, and release water from the dam through a hydro power plant.

    14. Re: Depends on the energy source duh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Wrong.

      Sweden is about 50/50 hydro/nuclear and some wind at the margin. The nuclear plants have been upgraded recently and added capacity comparable to a new power plant.

      With wind being expanded Sweden mostly exports electricity.

    15. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Other problem with nuclear is the enourmous power generating capacity of a reactor: it requires equally enormous backup for the inevidable times the reactor is offline! That is a miss conception.
      Your miss conception indicates that if you have 10 nuclear power plants you need a back up for each of them. That miss conception is then transformed by the anti solar and anti wind crowed into the idea that every solar/wind plant needs a coal/nuclear plant as back up.

      Fact is: your coal plants need a backup, too!

      Those "back ups" are called reserve power plants or even "cold reserves".

      You need them _regardless_ how you generate your power. The amount of reserves you need is determined by
      a) your total energy production, typically roughly 7% - 10%
      b) the amount of energy you like to sell dynamically at the market

      For b) you decide if it is worth to activate a reserve or even a cold reserve plant (because both types have a cost overhead, that is the main reason they are used for reserve and not for continuous power generation) or if you rather sacrifice a bit of your profit *or* if you simply increase production on the base load plants (see below).

      Keep in mind that coal and nuclear plants are usually run at roughly 90% of their peak power.

      That means if one of your 45 power plants "unexpectedly" has to power down only 20 of those 45 plants have to increase their production by 5% each!

      In other words: for 10 of your power plants you need one reserve plant. As the total number of your plants increases (or blocks, most plants consist of a couple of independent blocks) the percentage of reserve plants you need goes down.

      All this is completely independent from the way your plants generate power.

      On top of that: all european grids are interconnected from the Icelands to Mongolia and Siberia. It is likely even more easy (cheaper) to import power than to activate a "cold reserve" plant.

      --
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    16. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by olden · · Score: 4, Insightful
    17. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by Daetrin · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The numbers in the two articles are wrong anyway ... (claiming only 36% of the energy produced in a plant is converted by the car into movement is just nonsense)

      I could easily believe that. Thermodynamics is a lossy game, and if you wanted to get really anal about it there are a lot of steps in the process where you could compound that loss. What i _don't_ believe is that doing the same math in the same detail on the entire chain for combustion engines, from when the oil comes out of the ground to when you put the pedal to the metal, would come out anywhere near as good as 36%.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    18. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by Sentrion · · Score: 5, Insightful

      But it's a factor consumers and policy makers need to be aware off. Where I live in Texas most electricity is produced by coal burning plants. If I'm trying to reduce my carbon footprint by carpooling, limiting my travel, and operating a fuel efficient ethanol burning vehicle, and then switch to an all-electric vehicle I might fool myself into thinking that all the energy consumed is clean and green. I might drive more often, longer distances, leave the vehicle running in idle to keep the A/C on, use the vehicle as a portable power source, etc. The impact of such behavior may lead to more total air pollution from the power demanded from the coal burning plants.

      Alternatively, if I built my own off-grid power system of wind turbines, solar panels, micro-hydro, and a digester with bio-gas turbine generator, I may end up with an energy surplus if I oversize the system or if I expect a need for all the power sometime in the future. The same frivolous consumption of electricity would not necessarily be as hard on the environment than when tied to a coal burning plant.

      When it comes to sustainability there is no one single fix or cure. Energy and resource conservation will alway be an important element. The equipment you own and operate needs to be manufactured with as little embedded energy as possible. Recycling will be important to keep landfills manageable. Reduced use, proper handling, and safe disposal/recycling of hazardous materials will be essential (ideally, moving away from such materials altogether).

    19. Re:Depends on the energy source duh! by drerwk · · Score: 5, Insightful

      http://www.theworld.org/2012/11/the-energy-costs-of-oil-production/ “Back in the 1920’s, oil was paying off at 100-to-1,” said Zencey. “It took one barrel of oil to extract, process, refine, ship and deliver 100 barrels of oil. That’s a phenomenal rate of return. If you work out the percentage, that’s a 10,000 percent rate of return.” But that’s not the rate of return today. Now, conventional oil production worldwide pays off at about a 20-to-1 ratio. And in Canada, where the oil comes from tar sands, it’s closer to 5-to-1. “Renewable energy sources are paying off at higher rates, 12-to-1, 15-to-1, 17-to-1. That tells you right there, hmmmm, the age of oil should be over.”

  2. We've been saying this for over a decade! by Lord+Kano · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unless we switch to solar, wind and/or nuclear for the bulk of our electricity generation, all electric cars do is concentrate where we burn the hydrocarbons to power them.

    LK

    --
    "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    1. Re:We've been saying this for over a decade! by haruchai · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Even if we don't make the switch to cleaner sources, it's still a win. Collecting or cleaning up the emissions at a few thousand power plants should be easier, more efficient and cost-effective than doing it at tens of millions of tailpipes.
      Plus, it means that you don't get the smog-forming exhaust and ground-level ozone in your population centers. You also get some noise reduction since EVs are quieter and there's no engine idling.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    2. Re:We've been saying this for over a decade! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That's a pessimistic point of view.

      All other things are equal, one could argue that concentrating the hydrocarbon production might be a good thing, because it at least gives us the opportunity to efficiently process those emissions in one place instead of spewing it from millions of cars (or installing millions of scrubbers). I'm not saying that they WILL do better -- just that they could, and that it would likely be more efficient than anything you could slap onto a few million cars.

      Similarly, we would have the ability to start switching everyone to green power if everyone has an electric vehicle. Seen that way, keeping everyone on fossil fuels has a very high opportunity cost, because you can't switch a gasoline motor to solar/wind/nuclear.

    3. Re:We've been saying this for over a decade! by amoeba1911 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Unless we switch to solar, wind and/or nuclear for the bulk of our electricity generation, all electric cars do is concentrate where we burn the hydrocarbons to power them.

      and that's a good thing because the concentrated hydrocarbon cremation facilities can generate energy with >80% efficiency, while a car burning the same hydrocarbons generates energy with only 20% efficiency. This means you need to burn about three times as much hydrocarbons if you burn it in the car instead of at a power plant.

      The portable power plant you find in a car (internal combustion engine) does not even come close to the efficiency you find in a stationary power plant. The car simply wastes most of the fuel's energy as heat, and then wastes even more energy to get rid of all that heat it by swirling liquid around in a "radiator": a device whose sole purpose is to waste as much energy as possible to prevent the engine from melting itself. What's more, is when you step on the brakes all of the car's kinetic energy is wasted as even more heat. The whole thing is hugely wasteful and inefficient.

  3. Geopolitics vs Environment by ScottCooperDotNet · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Perhaps it isn't any cleaner, but I'd rather have my car using power from natural gas or nuclear than other sources that are more likely to come from outside my country. The geopolitics of sending our dollars to Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, or elsewhere unfriendly isn't a good idea, so even if the pollution level is the same, electric is superior to gasoline/petrol.

  4. No. by sqrt(2) · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Even if ALL of the electricity to power EVs was generated from the dirtiest coal plants, it would STILL be cleaner than every single car carrying around its own heavy, petrol burning, ICE. Also you have the benefits of localizing pollution somewhere less populated. This smells like a big oil hit piece.

    Now, there is a separate conversation about other forms of transportation being even better than personal automobiles. Trains and even airplanes might be better in some scenarios than everyone racing around pell-mell with their own car, but that's a different issue. If we, as a society, have decided that everyone will be driving their own vehicle, the question is how to make that scenario least damaging; and the answer is electric vehicles.

    --
    If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
  5. paul revere on a bicycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Should environmentally minded people really revere electric cars?"

    I'm environmentally minded. Guess what I revere. Yep, you got it, since it's a no-brainer: bicycles. Best machine humans have ever created. Good for the body and good for the earth. I've never owned a car, and I don't want to. I use car sharing programs when I need to drive and bicycle or use public transportation (or both) otherwise.

    And before anyone says "Well, but bicycles don't work for everyone: kids, job, blah blah," let me just squash that fallacious argument. Bicycle advocates *never* are saying we *all* have to ride bicycles. Just more of us. Everyone who wants to should feel they can. I bet you want to. Wind in the face, endorphin high, the feeling of doing things with your body, the joy of not destroying the earth to do the daily drudge: who doesn't want that?

  6. Which has multiple benefits by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The central power station is not making its emissions a few feet from the sidewalk. Its pollution controls aren't restricted by weight or the need for portability.

    It's also way more efficient.

    Electrifying the vehicle fleet is like modularizing your code. Instead of being tied to petroleum, with an electric fleet you can snap in nuclear, tidal, wind, geothermal, hydroelectric, or whatever else turns out to be a good idea.

    1. Re:Which has multiple benefits by bidule · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yes, yes! And every time we use the Moon to slingshot spacecrafts, we cause an orbit decay that will ultimately result in a collision with the Earth!

      --
      ID: the nose did not occur naturally, how would we wear glasses otherwise? (apologies to Voltaire)
  7. What is the value of flexibility? by OrangeTide · · Score: 5, Insightful

    While charging your electric car with coal power sounds like a bad deal in the short term. The electric doesn't care where that power comes from, so in the long term that gives us the flexibility to operate an energy economy that is based on a wide range of sources. Also, diversity in the market also means stability and theoretically fair prices. (but we'll probably cock that up)

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  8. Comparing analyses... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The linked article takes you to a 1-page analysis. They must have put a lot of time into that! Corporate mission-statements frequently use more ink.

    By comparison, the union of concerned scientists made a more robust, and likely more earnest attempt at understanding total fuel consumption using the "well-to-wheels" benchmark. You can read about it here: http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/clean_vehicles/electric-car-global-warming-emissions-report.pdf

    Page 11 (of 48) gives at least an approximation of CO2 consumption as measured in equivalent MPG for EVs, depending on what what's being used to push the electrons to the car in the first place. Coming in first place is geothermal, with an eMPG or 7600, and coal comes in last at 30 eMPG.

    Whether somebody involved in this study or that study has erred or has been disingenuous is hard to say, but my guess is that the union of concerned scientists probably followed an actual scientific process where their work is available for full scrutiny by the rest of the scientific community.

  9. Fundamental problem by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Basically we keep looking for "green" alternatives that don't require us to be even slightly inconvenienced or to change our lifestyles at all - and it's probably not possible.

    --
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  10. Re:you want to look at all details and aspects? by garyebickford · · Score: 5, Informative

    Stipulating that at present *every* method does not include all the externalities, the actual cost of any product, method or system reflects the environmental cost to the extent that the cost has been de-externalized. One way that happens is that, increasingly, cleanup costs are charged to and paid for by the producer/shipper and their insurance companies. And reporting is at least one, maybe two orders of magnitude better than it was 30 years ago. That _should_ be true for oil, for wind, for solar, etc. And it is increasingly true. At this point it's probably more true for oil than for any of the others (I suspect coal is still getting a break but I dunno.)

    One example of externalities not presently charged to the electric vehicle industry is the lack of cleanup and mitigation in Canada and Russia around the big nickel mining areas, where according to legend 100s of square miles of territory are devoid of living vegetation. (/.ers: is this true? I keep hearing it...)

    As it turns out, shipping the oil is not one of the bigger costs of oil. IIRC from two-three years ago, the cost of shipping is only about 18c per gallon (US cost). I think the actual bulk-carrier-tanker-ship part of that is only two or three cents - my memory may have failed me on that but Wikipedia agrees. That includes the cost of insurance and the overall amortized risk to the companies involved (if it were not, the companies would have been out of business long ago). Which means that it includes the costs to the companies including fines and mitigation costs, of all the oil spills and other pollution. It also includes the costs of the newer double-hull ships with additional spill prevention and mitigation equipment that is now required. One cost that isn't being included yet is the smokestack pollution from the tankers, and all other shipping.

    To the extent that externalities of all the methods are included, that cost demonstrates that pollution is actually not a very large problem for oil _compared to total production_, so electric vehicles and their power sources (wind, whatever) will have to work hard to match the true cost/benefit of oil.

    Discussion: people don't realize the sheer volume of oil that goes through the system every day - counting fuel and products, around 150 million barrels (6+ billion gallons, 24+ billion liters) per day. As of 2000, the total amount spilled in 20 years in the US from causes was about 300 million gallons (about 1/576000 over 20 years), and had decreased by 50% in that 20 years. The rate has continued to decrease since then. This is equivalent to about 2/100 of one cc out of a barrel - or an invisible speck that pops out of a bubble when you open a carbonated beverage and little bubbles pop.

    note: some of this data was loosely adapted from this analysis. Also, a USA Today article followed that trend - from 2005 to 2009, there were an average of 22 spills per year of more than 50 barrels (down from some 8000 in 1980. This is not to excuse, but to provide perspective. Interestingly, the New England states had the highest number of spills per square mile 1980-2002.

    --
    It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  11. Re:Agreed. Gas vehicles have hit physics limit by whoever57 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Fundamentally the ICE engine is limited by physics. It will never get more than 25-30% efficient. Whereas the electric car can achieve 70-80% easily, and is only limited right now by technology.

    Perhaps you should RTFA, which points out that, in the UK, power stations are only about 36% efficient at delivering energy to end users. Add in the 80% efficiency of an electric car and now you have something similar to that of a gas (petrol)-powered car.

    --
    The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
  12. Regenerative braking and lack of idling engine by Cyfun · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Two of the biggest benefits to an electric car are:

    (1) When you're stopped, your motor doesn't keep running. Think of all the fuel you've wasted either letting your car warm up, or sitting at a light, or stuck in traffic.

    (2) Regenerative braking technology converts your momentum back into usable power instead of just wasting it as heat.

    These, combined with the fact that your car doesn't care where it gets electricity from, and that a coal plant is still more efficient overall than thousands of independent engines, is precisely why this article is probably OPEC propaganda. :D

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