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Transport Expert Insists 'Don't Dismiss Wacky Hyperloop'

DavidGilbert99 writes "Since Elon Musk announced the details of Hyperloop earlier this week, we've seen a number of experts debunking the technology involved, but at least one is more upbeat about the possibility of 600MPH train travel. Speaking to Alistair Charlton at IBTimes UK, professor Phil Blythe from the Institute of Engineering and Technology said: 'My gut feeling is, don't dismiss it out of hand just because it sounds a bit wacky,' adding 'You're always going to have long distance travel, and if there was something that could replace air travel between cities and hubs, and is low carbon [with] low energy requirements, it make sense to explore it, it really does.'"

11 of 385 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Indeed ... by leehwtsohg · · Score: 2, Informative

    The swissmetro is maglev. Also, I think that Elon Musk's main idea is to implement it in California along highway 5, solving the land problem.
    It isn't an abstract invention, but a specific solution.

  2. Re:Musk: All talk, No action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    What will he say next week to be in the news ?

    I know. For those of us that go around far exceeding the action of just designing and launching a successful electric car and credible challenge to the established auto-industry and develop and produce space vehicles, including the he first privately funded liquid-fuelled vehicle to put a satellite into Earth orbit, he is all talk.

  3. Re:Sure it's a loopy idea by beelsebob · · Score: 5, Informative

    A quick look at the freeways between LA and SF shows that they are mostly straight, with only very minor turns occasionally. A quick look shows that there's only two places where the route curves more tightly than the 14km radius turn required to keep under 1g acceleration at 800mph. Both of these locations are close to the end points, where the thing would still be under acceleration anyway, and if you really wanted to run at 800mph through them, there are 14km radius turns available in the area.

  4. 10% of the capacity of high-speed rail by jfruh · · Score: 4, Informative

    An actual transit engineer crunches the numbers here:

    http://greatergreaterwashington.org/post/19848/musks-hyperloop-math-doesnt-add-up/

    And finds that while the journey for individuals may be faster, the system as a whole would have one-tenth the capacity (i.e., the ability to move people in numbers) than the planned high-speed rail system. You could solve this problem by building 10 times as many tubes, of course, but that would eliminate the 90% cost savings Musk is touting.

    The radically reduced travel times vs. HSR are also deceiving. The maps Musk released show the system travelling from the fringes of the Bay Area to the fringes of the LA area, because it's hard/expensive/impossible to get land for the straightaways you'd need for the project within densely built up urban areas. To get from San Francisco to the hyperloop station, or from the hyperloop station to downtown LA, you'd have to switch to local transit or drive, which will double or triple travel time. Not coincidentally, must of the construction and expense that adds to HSR's very high price tag will come in SF and LA urban areas, since that system goes from downtown to downtown.

  5. Re:Sure it's a loopy idea by bruce_the_loon · · Score: 4, Informative

    Uh. nope. The passenger-only capsule is 15,000kg and the passenger+vehicle is 26,000kg. The only number close to 3,500lbs in the documents is the 3,500kg weight of the capsule external structure.

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  6. Re:Sure it's a loopy idea by mobby_6kl · · Score: 4, Informative

    Why not just look at Elon's PDF, which already has a map with all the radius circles drawn on it?

  7. Re:Sure it's a loopy idea by halltk1983 · · Score: 3, Informative

    I don't disagree about them protesting it, but it should be relatively silent, being that it's inside a tunnel. It's solar powered. The ground impact is about the same as telephone poles. You can't hit animals, because it's elevated and enclosed. It's basically a hippy's dream. Naturally, they will still try to kill it because science and advancement are evil, but they shouldn't.

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  8. Re:Sure it's a loopy idea by halltk1983 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Or if it can transport the car with you (it can), it leaves more often (it does), it travels faster (much, much faster), and will be an order of magnitude less expensive (got this one too). But other than being better in every way, there's nothing better. Read the document. All of it. It's awesome.

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  9. Realistic numbers throw cold water on hyperloop by stevenj · · Score: 3, Informative
    Alan Levy, who knows the literature on transportation infrastructure, makes a convincing case that Musk's hyperloop can't be taken seriously. It
    • Absurdly underestimates the cost of elevated viaducts (for which we have centuries of engineering experience and reliable cost estimates, which Musk ignored). This alone completely wipes out the supposed cost advantage over high-speed rail, even before you consider the extreme height required of the viaducts (because of the hyperloop's large turning radius) or the unexpected costs that usually arise in implementing brand-new technologies.
    • Assumes acceleration numbers that are known to be unrealistic for passenger comfort. The thing would be a vomit express.
    • Has a capacity that is a fraction of high-speed rail's.
    • ...and several other problems.

    Levy is not dismissing it "because it sounds a bit wacky." He's dismissing it because a realistic analysis shows that it is wacky.

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  10. Re:There's a big difference between by tibit · · Score: 4, Informative

    What do you crash into? There is a big difference between a head-on collision, and merely a slide along the tube without air cushioning. When you're in a tube, the only other thing you can crash into is another train that goes the same way (or has stopped). Since there's no on-board propulsion, there's no scenario in which a train can propulsively overtake and hit a train in the front. It can only happen if the train in the front brakes, and somehow this doesn't get the trains behind it to stop. Very, very unlikely. The braking systems would be entirely passive, so basically if you blow the fuses on all the on-board batteries, the thing mechanically brakes an in entirely passive fashion. Also, for the trains to stay unbraked, they must be in constant communications with the control center. Presumably if the communications are lost for more than a 100ms, the brakes come out.

    Oh, and they are not stupid, they did plan the route in detail, with bend radii and speed profiles all included.

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  11. Re:Sure it's a loopy idea by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 3, Informative

    Actually, after Tesla's second profitable quarter, Mr. Musk's net worth now encompasses the total estimated cost of the passenger-only Hyperloop. He'd have to liquidate everything to pay for it out of pocket, but his net worth number is currently high enough to do it.

    But of course, he has no need to do any such foolish thing. When you have $6 billion, you never have to spend any of your own money, because other people are always eager to loan you money for cheap. The only reason Mr. Musk spends his own money is to maintain total control of his companies. He knows that if he allows the various morons with money too much control over his companies, they will fail. There's a reason they want to loan him money, instead of founding new ground-breaking companies themselves. They don't know how to run a ground-breaking company anywhere except right into the ground.

    If this was purely an engineering project, it could be done, it would work, and it would make money. But it's not a purely engineering project. The proposed route is I-5. That means getting whole boatloads of state and federal politicians to sign off on the idea. So really, if he has any intention of actually building a Hyperloop 5 years hence, talking about it now might be only barely in time. Politicians are slow. They have to make sure all their best buddies get money out of every deal and they have to be sure their asses are covered at all times. That much ass covering and bribery takes a long time.