Flash Mobs of Trading Robots Coalescing To Rule Markets
An anonymous reader writes "Financial markets experienced a series of computer glitches recently that brought operations to a halt. According to a researcher at the University of Miami, mobs of ultrafast robots, which trade and operate at speeds beyond human capability, may be responsible for these "flash freezes". From the article: '"Even though each trading algorithm/robot is out to gain a profit at the expense of any other, and hence act as a predator, any algorithm which is trading has a market impact and hence can become noticeable to other algorithms," said Neil Johnson, a professor of physics at the College of Arts and Sciences at the University of Miami (UM) and lead author of the new study. "So although they are all predators, some can then become the prey of other algorithms depending on the conditions. Just like animal predators can also fall prey to each other." When there's a normal combination of prey and predators, he says, everything is in balance. But once predators are introduced that are too fast, they create extreme events.'"
So, we've gone from flesh-and-blood sharks on wall street, to robot ones. Or maybe they're still flesh-and-blood, but have lasers?
Every time I buy a stock or sell one, the IRS and other taxing authorities suck some money out of me. .001 cents per transaction. That would cut the amount of chatter and computer predation.
When these computers buy and sell shares several times a second, they do not get taxed. That is not fair.
There should be a tax maybe
Some of these systems see what slow dim you are going to buy, jump ahead of you in line, buy it and then sell it to you.
You do not get the best price, they get a profit. If they were taxed on both ends of that, they would not do it and you would get a better price.
This sort of financial activities is complete economic nonsense, as it brings nothing of value to people, companies or other concerns that actually produce something useful to society as a whole. Just reading the /. blurb should be enough to convince anyone that "robot trading" is a parasitic activity that should be taxed to oblivion - by ways of a tax based on the speed of trading for instance - and financial markets forced to become what they're supposed to be: places for investors to invest in real economic activities for the long haul.
"A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
All you'd have to do in order to fix this is delay all trades significantly. You don't have to care then if a human or a robot is trading. If the goal is to permit exchange of long-term investments, then there's no reason to permit rapid trading in any case.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
core wars 2013
never bring a twinkie to a food fight.
So they get to play computer games, where the victims are ordinary people's savings, pensions, etc. This really has to stop, as another poster suggested a .001 cents fee per transaction would be enough to do away with microsecond dealing.
Why should they bring value to the people? They aren't owned by the people.
They are tools made to make money for those who already have a huge lot and would like to have more. "The people" isn't in that club.
Chaos, when a small perturbation allows a gain for a small action that one player has that others don't see.
It is like playing poker with a card counter near the end of the deck, but you aren't counting. You lose.
Yes, but allowing it and taxing the hell out of it would bring some of that money back into the government's pocket - or see it another way, the financial sumbitches that are bleeding most countries' economies white without any remorse today would have to start paying back some.
If a tax is levied on the speed of trading, at some point an equilibrium would be reached at which traders would consider the level of taxation acceptable: they wouldn't stop speed-trading, just doing it at a speed/cost that they're willing to bear. Better to collect money that way than to ban the activity altogether and collect no money at all.
"A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
This sort of financial activities is complete economic nonsense, as it brings nothing of value to people, companies or other concerns that actually produce something useful to society as a whole.
There's the usual benefits of better market liquidity and faster market response. The arms race is also building some cool tech, meaning a boost for the high tech industry.
You probably don't bring much to society either. So what?
Just reading the /. blurb should be enough to convince anyone that "robot trading" is a parasitic activity that should be taxed to oblivion - by ways of a tax based on the speed of trading for instance - and financial markets forced to become what they're supposed to be: places for investors to invest in real economic activities for the long haul.
And why should we do that and how is it going to do a thing for long term economic investment?
If instead you actually want to do something useful for long term investment, then get rid of Too Big to Fail and other business welfare, and most, if not all, protectionism schemes.
Better to collect money that way than to ban the activity altogether and collect no money at all.
That raises the question, is it better to collect money than to ban the activity? Because I for one do not really see the need to hand the government more money when they will use it primarily for bombing brown people for economic gain.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
Ultrafast bots trading on minuscule changes by algorithm within a market sensitive to policy adjustments real or suspected by the Federal Reserve Bank, which admits it acts slowly, deliberately and without transparency or effective oversight, cannot end well.
The people are the ones that have their pensions put into the stock market to provide the majority of the capital the Wall St gamblers use to make their money. At no point can the people get their money out without taking massive hits in fees, costs, additional commissions, additional handling charges, and then take a big hit with the IRS. If we could all remove our money, the rich would be fucked with this line of wealth increase, because they'd be limited to taking money from each other, not the masses. This is the sole reason for the existence public stock. Try going back a few centuries to see where corporations came from and why, and how they were made illegal for over a century.
If the goal is to permit exchange of long-term investments, then there's no reason to permit rapid trading in any case.
Sure, there is. Higher liquidity and better market responsiveness to new knowledge.
There's all this talk about the best way to break the markets so really fast trading can't happen. But we're putting the cart before the horse. The case for banning fast trading doesn't exist. Most such reasons turn out either unrelated to fast trading (such as trading through a brokerage which fronts the trade by default because you made them the middle man in your transaction) or attributing mystical powers to fast trading (such as a poster earlier claiming that a computer program could "see what slow dim you are going to buy").
The vermin only teaze and pinch
Their foes superior by an inch.
So, naturalists observe, a flea
Has smaller fleas that on him prey;
And these have smaller still to bite 'em,
And so proceed ad infinitum.
Investment is a collaborative strategy, a symbiosis. Programming "investment bots" to be predatory is not a good thing. It introduces parasites into the mix.
Each trade executed comes with risk involved. HFT are risk takers. They also provide liquidity to the market and are huge sources of tax for the governament and revenue for the brokers/clearing houses. One could argue that they are doing more for the economy then you are...
Sure, there is. Higher liquidity and better market responsiveness to new knowledge.
Higher liquidity is primarily a benefit to corporations, which are a legal fiction which has no reason to exist if it does not benefit the public.
The case for banning fast trading doesn't exist.
I just made it.
Most such reasons turn out either unrelated to fast trading
Straw man. We are currently specifically having a conversation in the context of discussing a problem which is caused by fast trading.
or attributing mystical powers to fast trading
Straw man. You're talking about some nutter, which has nothing to do with me.
If the best you can do is engage in logical fallacy, you clearly have nothing of value to say. Please move along.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
If the stock market made sense, it wouldn't work.
rewriting history since 2109
See, you legalize gay marriage and now we have physics professors writing econ paper! CHAOS!
All this news is underlining is that the exchanges are having more of their crumbs stolen by independent parties... if you want reform, start with brining transparent to the stock marker exchanges and their skimming off the top practices. The cost to society is enormous.
It would be ironic is Skynet emerged not from a military defense system but from a trading bot in the financial system.
Higher liquidity is primarily a benefit to corporations, which are a legal fiction which has no reason to exist if it does not benefit the public.
But it does. It enables transactions of assets in a low risk way that would otherwise have to rigged via a complex loan. That employs people, gets things done, generates tax revenue, and generally improves the lot of society.
Straw man. We are currently specifically having a conversation in the context of discussing a problem which is caused by fast trading.
What problem? We're discussing phenomena of fast trading (such as the alleged "coalescing" of "flash mobs" of computer traders). We haven't actually gotten to any problems.
Straw man. You're talking about some nutter, which has nothing to do with me.
Whatever. I already am seeing the same sort of non sequiturs and unfounded claims. Why in the world, for example, did you bother to claim that "corporations, which are a legal fiction which has no reason to exist if it does not benefit the public" or that you had by making that uninteresting and irrelevant observation made a case for the banning of fast trade?
I see you ran out of answers. Good, maybe you'll think next time.
Higher liquidity is primarily a benefit to corporations, which are a legal fiction which has no reason to exist if it does not benefit the public.
But it does. It enables transactions of assets in a low risk way that would otherwise have to rigged via a complex loan.
That objection would make sense if I had suggested delaying trades for days or longer periods, but I have made no such suggestion. In fact, I suspect that a delay of hours would be sufficient, if it would even take more than one of those. But you made assumptions, which shockingly turned out to be incorrect.
Why in the world, for example, did you bother to claim that "corporations, which are a legal fiction which has no reason to exist if it does not benefit the public" or that you had by making that uninteresting and irrelevant observation made a case for the banning of fast trade?
It's not irrelevant just because you say it is, but it is irrelevant when you bring up shit I didn't even say and then attack it in front of me as if anyone should care. The nature of corporations and that they are the primary benefactors of a bad law is always relevant when you're talking about the law.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
It is like playing poker with a card counter near the end of the deck, but you aren't counting. You lose.
Card counting works in blackjack, not poker. Most forms of poker I have heard of use a new shuffle each game. Blackjack uses fewer cards per player per game and normally the deck (or "shoe") isn't reshuffled until it is used up. Note: this may be outdated information as I haven't played blackjack in a casino or cardroom for more than five years.
Yes, it is nit-picking.
But it does. It enables transactions of assets in a low risk way that would otherwise have to rigged via a complex loan.
That objection would make sense if I had suggested delaying trades for days or longer periods, but I have made no such suggestion. In fact, I suspect that a delay of hours would be sufficient, if it would even take more than one of those. But you made assumptions, which shockingly turned out to be incorrect.
That is interesting. I meant corporations not fast trading. That the response also works for fast trading is happy coincidence.
The nature of corporations and that they are the primary benefactors of a bad law is always relevant when you're talking about the law.
We weren't speaking of such bad law.
That they cause some serious horrible problems and make them revert to NO trading software allowed all trades must go through a person on the floor. Honestly trading is getting too fast and far to volatile the human bottleneck is needed to smooth things out.
Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
The analogy is a bit far-fetched.
It sounds like an analogy looking for something to apply to.
A predatory analogy, if you will.
Slashdot social media options: AIM, ICQ, Yahoo, Jabber and Mobile Text. Why no MySpace?
You could make the case that almost all modern life does no good for humanity at all. To my eyes it seems like we are instituting a huge holocaust machine designed to ruin human life permanently. Take a look at the mass of concrete and blacktop called NYC. To suggest that it is sustainable is absurd. To not confront the fact that they are poisoning the public and that the ring of destruction does not reach out into rural areas takes a very narrow intelligence. Yet we have millions of citizens who really want to turn every inch of the world into another concrete nightmare.
Guys, the problems is not a lack of taxes (it rarely is), and the problem is not companies making opportunity out of asymmetrical information in the market which can't be explained to an average judge or stopped, and the problem is not prosecutors that even when winning a record judgement or settlement are still not deterring behavior, and the problem is not bureaucrats who are setting the laws to keep these games going.
The problem is our markets (brokers, agents, order processing and the floor) are set up in a way so that real investors are thrown to the wolves. When someone invents a market set up that is less susceptible to gaming it will be gamed less.
If we get to the point where the NSA/Russians are tapping your computer to get trade orders and sending that information to GS for front running we will know that the system is designed properly.
-- I was raised on the command line, bitch
Robots? Really??
So Robots physically stormed into the NY Stock Exchange and took over trading?
Please, for the love of Terminator, please stopping calling programs "Robots"... "bots" are bad enough but can be overlooked but do not call them "Robots".
Consider the following quote from the paper
This statement implies that the authors believe a gaussian model "should" apply to the market dynamics. As Benoit Mandelbrot and many others before and after him point out, financial markets never have followed gaussian dynamics and they probably never will. It's especially silly because they go on to analyze the distribution of Ultrafast Extreme Event (UEE) sizes as a power law.
Today's market has both accumulation algorithms now used by mutual funds and other sophisticated "buy and hold" investors, and market-making algorithms used by HF firms, and I fully believe there is some interesting dynamics arising from all that. Whether it is any weirder than the slower, human-derived, dynamics of yesteryear is still in doubt. Humans are so much more complex than any of those algorithms that I suspect if you examined the market behavior in 1980, and sped it up, you would see plots wilder than anything Nanex produces.
The paper is somewhat interesting, but not very convincing.
not so bad when they're by themselves, but if you get too many of them in one place fear of cannibalism drives them out of control.
France introduced a weird exemption to their transaction tax THAT DOESN'T APPLY IF YOU BUY AND SELL ON THE SAME DAY.
Volatility: That little extra rule, means that the short term traders switched to day trading so more short term jitters. Higher spreads and lower liquidity are not a bad thing, it simply means people are more settled on the stock they buy. Which was the intent, it doesn't mean HFT's are more profitable. Only the day-trade exemption is the problem. Day trades should not be immune from the tax, it was to appease lobbyists.
France has worked quite well, I've got about 1/3rd of my investments in France now, when I sell I place GTC orders at my sell price and wait a few days for someone to be interested. No need to sell that instant, I'm not a HFT trader, I'm an investor aiming to make 30% minimum on a longer term investment.
One criticism have about the content of the article is that the while the authors argue that the UEE's (the fast price spikes) aren't correlated with news events and can't be explained by random behavior, they don't really address another obvious source of UEEs: hedgers or speculators in the market who are liquidating a position as part of their **long term** needs or trading behavior. Ie- how do they know these aren't market orders (eg- Sell 100 APPL) placed by some guy day trading his brokerage account? If the order book is populated at a few lots per price level, a larger market order will momentarily cut through those levels and then recover. I think they try to sweep that issue under the rug by claiming that the trading volume during these spikes is not appreciably different from trading volume during quiescent times. OK, but it doesn't address who placed the order and why, and what are those volumes anyway?
A second criticism I have is that they explicitly imply that there may be "degree of causality between propagating cascades of UEEs and subsequent global instability". I see correlation here, but no causality. Indeed, if there is global instability, a lot of people in the market will be unwinding positions, and you will see a lot of UEEs as they do so. In other words, there is a strong common sense case to be made for causality **in the other direction** than what they are claiming. I would need to see better evidence than just an overlaid plot (figure 1C).
Finally, and this is more of an observation, does anyone pay attention to how fast the price recovers after a UEE, for whatever reason it originally happens? The recovery happens so quickly because of the dreaded high frequency algorithms. What did UEEs look like ten years ago - when someone came along and sold 100 shares of X, did the market take minutes to recover? That it comes back within a second seems like progress to me.
You know, the same argument was made about railroads back in the 1850s. The railroads added nothing of value because they created nothing - only moved things around. Moved things around at 20% of the old cost, but still only moved things around.
Let us make a daring assumption that the Capital Markets actually create some value by allocating economic resources. If that is the case we can make the same case about algorithmic trading. They have done nothing except reduce the cost of trading by 80%.
The difference between algorithmic trading and HFT is the same difference between speculators and investors – purely subjective. Do HFT make big bucks? Sure – but much less than the fat days of yesteryears.
Just reading the /. blurb should be enough to convince anyone that "robot trading" is a parasitic activity that should be taxed to oblivion
Just from that, huh? So we should just take everything "a researcher at the University of Miami" says as gospel? If the researcher had said trading robots are cute, pink, fluffy creatures that play nicely with the unicorns, you'd be arguing we should be throwing money at them.
That's nonsense. You should always make an effort to hear the other side before coming to a conclusion. Why was this modded up?
This sort of financial activities is complete economic nonsense, as it brings nothing of value to people,
Indeed, economics is a zero-sum game. For every dollar somebody gains, somebody else loses a dollar.
companies or other concerns that actually produce something useful to society as a whole.
So companies are good, but buying and selling ownership rights of companies is very, very bad.
Just reading the /. blurb should be enough to convince anyone that "robot trading" is a parasitic activity that should be taxed to oblivion
Not to mention the slice of the software industry whose bread-and-butter is "robot trading" software.
- by ways of a tax based on the speed of trading for instance -
"Sir, I pulled you over for doing 85 transactions per second in a 65 TPS zone."
and financial markets forced to become what they're supposed to be:
Financial tools for accumulating wealth?
places for investors to invest in real economic activities for the long haul.
So buying and selling ownership rights of companies is actually a good thing. I should get on that.
In all seriousness... lots of people and businesses struggle to "earn" more than they spend in a given month. The stock markets, however, offer people one option in case they have somehow managed to earn more than they need each month. The businesses who run the stock market are therefore entrusted in these people's wealth that is being accumulated for their retirement. People are free to use or ignore the stock market retirement companies. Some people may even be able to outperform these organizations in the long term because of lower overhead costs. Everybody else, however, trusts their retirement in these companies with deep pockets and access to "advantages" such as "trading robots" that maximize their retirement accounts. To this end... somebody else pays to balance those gains which is where TFS talks about being a "prey" instead of being a "predator". At the end of the day, though, if you think of the stock market as "Supplemental Social Security" (at least in US where SS is an implementation of a government-operated retirement organization) then maybe you'll be able to rest easier.
Perhaps it is economic nonsense, but does it harm anyone who isn't a voluntary participant? We don't live in a society where everything is forbidden except that which is permitted, but the reverse. Let people buy and sell as they see fit; there's no reason to make anything illegal (or tax it out of existence) unless there is clear fraud. These HFT people aren't making any money except by other people voluntarily handing it to them.
I thought the problem was the rule that allowed them to _rescind_ a sell offer within a few milliseconds, but _after_ buy offers had been tendered, thereby garnering critical market information. There is an obvious potential here to abuse the system by inserting an entity into an otherwise simple transaction in a purely parasitic manner. We don't need a per transaction tax; either random delays applied to all HFT or a minuscule tax on rescinded offers would fix this.
Just introduce a random delay between 1 and 5 minutes for every trade that takes place. Problem solved. You're welcome. :-P
I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?
Nonsense. Corporations are owned by people. They don't exist in a vacuum. Almost everyone in America, through pension plans, personal savings, or state bond issues has an investment in financial markets.
People, like me, who invest in the stock market benefit tremendously through high levels of liquidity.
When I go online and place an order to sell stock, and see that order filled in a fraction of a second at exactly the quoted price (with bid-ask spreads on the order of one cent) I really do appreciate having this liquidity.
Personally I prefer the idea that you can only trade at fixed timepoints. For example, if trades are only commited once every 20 seconds or so it would probably be enough to allow the most ridiculous applications of robot trading to disappear while not being a problem for "real" trades.
From TFA:
No, predator-prey is never in balance. Biologists assumed this, but differential equation simulation immediately destabilizes. Predators grow and overfeed, dropping prey populations, and then predators collapse, and prey rebounds, going way up. The relationship is inherently unstable, like wind blowing over water.
This is all before evolution does anything, making further nodes of destabilization as predators and prey constantly try to evolve to outdo each other. Evolution is also not stable for a similar reason, even in a completely unchanging environment.
(-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
The nature of corporations and that they are the primary benefactors of a bad law is always relevant when you're talking about the law.
The kind of firms that engage in HFT could easily be (and often are) set up as partnerships. The firms that are hurt generally have to be set up as corporations. So a law restricting HFT would be a net help to corporations.
If you increase the "friction" (cost) of trading so it's no longer profitable to buy and sell on miniscule increases in prices, high-frequency trading will diminish.
"Friction" is usually undesirable but if it increases fairness it can be desirable in some circumstances.
Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
"Even though each trading algorithm/robot is out to gain a profit at the expense of any other, and hence act as a predator, any algorithm which is trading has a market impact and hence can become noticeable to other algorithms," said Neil Johnson, a professor of physics
So, the major market players are machines, and they're capable of bringing the system to its knees... The fastest machine gets you the most money for your investment. And then folks have the audacity to scoff at bitcoiners when the whole fucking world runs on a more broken version of the exact same shit.
All of you monkeys are morons.
Well, they will collect the money anyways. It's better to collect it from people that have so much they play games with it, than from people that are forced to use their money to feed their families. Oh wait, no it isn't, what am I talking, USA USA USA! BOOOYAH! Tax the poor!
When a liar speaks.
"Predators" are animals that seek out and kill one another. These bots sound like they're simply competing with one another. But if I were to use that word, I wouldn't be able to make these things sound as evil and horrible and nasty as the author of this article wanted to.
Liberty in your lifetime
I have a problem with my trades being cancelled when the algo's screw up.
If they sell me a $100 stock for $10, that should be their loss.
If they buy a $30 stock for $120, that should be their loss.
I have much more problems with the US government changing fundamental rules.
If I were going to do anything about algo's, I'd charge them 1 penny for each cancelled trade.
But Algos trading creates similar waves and cycles as humans.
When the government changes the rules, the market trades goofy for several weeks. It's without warning. And the changes can be extreme because they basically just changed the fundamental values everything cycles around with a penstroke.
She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
very simply way to get rid of the HFT parasites, force traders to pay sales tax at time of purchase. No deferrals, no write-offs, etc... Pay 6% on the purchase price when it was bought.
This sort of financial activities is complete economic nonsense, as it brings nothing of value to people, companies or other concerns that actually produce something useful to society as a whole. Just reading the /. blurb should be enough to convince anyone that "robot trading" is a parasitic activity that should be taxed to oblivion - by ways of a tax based on the speed of trading for instance - and financial markets forced to become what they're supposed to be: places for investors to invest in real economic activities for the long haul.
And behold, we have an explanation as to why the economy is where it is: people who don't know what they're talking about, but still feel compelled to prevent consenting adults from engaging in their own private business. The only "parasitic activity" is forcing us to invest in their system.
I agree that this is pretty loaded language, and I am somewhat concerned that the author's implied solution is to add more prey to bring the system back into "balance." So then, who are the prey, if all the HFT bots are predators?
I suspect I won't like the answer.
If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
This sort of financial activities is complete economic nonsense, as it brings nothing of value to people,
Indeed, economics is a zero-sum game. For every dollar somebody gains, somebody else loses a dollar.
So sad that many reading this will miss the dry humor and won't understand that the sentence above is joke. I have spent so many hours explaining to people that nobody *loses* anything when a stock price goes up and you sell it for more than the purchase price.
For anyone still not understanding this, the inverse is true as well - when you lose money, there is not _necessarily_ a corresponding gain in another portfolio somewhere. The best illustration is a stock you bought for $50 and sold at $40, you lost $10 a share. A guy covering a short position on the stock he opened at $30 is able to close out his position by buying the shares at $40 that you sold. He also has lost $10 a share. $20 of losses with no offset.
Comment removed based on user account deletion
I told hundreds of people so, years ago.
People didn't listen.
The liquidity that people like to trumpet as a benefit of HFT is false. As soon as there's a problem in the markets where extra liquidity would be helpful, it immediately dries up because the algos don't want to take a loss either.
Enforce even a 2 second requirement on any transaction and the playing field would be leveled again. That is, you put out an offer to sell, it has to stay out there for 2 seconds or until someone takes you up on it, whichever comes first. Of course, the big HFT shops will cry and whine, threatening to take their ball and go home, but the markets would be a much better place afterwards.
hah, captcha: investor
I have seen some very smart friends/people make some very stupid comments about economics.
Here we go..ya'll don't know jack schitt therefore your wrong and I'm right play.
It's sad that people then demonize the "price-gougers" that took the trouble of transporting gasoline from Texas to Louisiana. Price-gouging is good, and allows supplies to quickly reach disaster-stricken areas.
Only problem with this analogy is HFT does not buffer or regulate supply it simply extracts value. HFT is the middle man leeching off legitimate efforts of others.
Regarding high frequency trading in particular, read articles such as "How High Frequency Trading Benefits All Investors"
Better idea why don't you just tell us what is good about it cuz every link I see is either paywalled, does not provide a justification or sites studies which enumerate negative impacts of HFT.
And, these "evil" high frequency traders, by making money doing so, are benefiting society, though I know it's not so easy to see.
Theres an old saying "Put up or shut up". Make the specific case that HFT specifically helps anyone. Nobody is arguing "markets" are dead weight.
Any time you act on a free-market (that is, free, uncoerced action) opportunity to make money, (such as transport gasoline to an area of shortage), you are helping society.
This is utter nonsense HFT exerts downward pressure on speculation.
Every time a trade occurs, society gets wealthier as a whole. That's Economics 101. *More trade is good, not bad.*
No, not "every time". Blanket statements are easy to dismiss. For example nobody is served by trades based on false interpretations of reality or false signals. If the actual cost of a commodity is $5 and some computer is suckered into thinking the worlds supply of vespene gas is in jeporday the commodity now costs $15 and buyers everywhere are fucked for no reason.
I, for one, welcome our robot merchant overlords.
The problem is the "zero-sum bias". Up until recent history there was no significant economic growth over a lifetime - stone age humans barely scraped by, dying in a tribe no bigger or richer than the one in which they were born. Back then things really were zero sum so the bias was helpful and usually accurate.
There's a thief on the loose! We force everyone to give him their money, and then he absconds!
To solve this problem we're going to keep forcing everyone to give the thief their money, BUT restrict what he can do with it. Thus addressing the root cause of this problem once and for all, all without any threat of regulatory capture.
This reminds me a lot of the problems that differential equations model. We have a complex system with inputs and outputs, steady states and extremes. If we knew every bot in the system, perhaps we could model it and tell where the steady states and extremes are, maybe modify the rules to make it safer. But we can't unless we register every bot, review them, and regulate every deployment these firms do on their systems. It would be nearly impossible to get anything done.
If it were up to me, I'd outlaw electronic trading algorithms completely. Too dangerous to have unknown systems governing our markets. If a tall building didn't have this kind of modeling done to determine that it wouldn't blow over in a strong wind, we'd never let it be built. Our stock market with the savings of most of our country and many around the world, on the other hand....
If you had a circle (as opposed to a chain) of predator/prey relationships with strengths and weaknesses that balance, then there would be a chance at stability, but that seems like a very remote possibility, not a normal combination.
This sort of financial activities is complete economic nonsense . . .
If that's your opinion, then don't participate in it.
. . . as it brings nothing of value to people, companies . . .
If it didn't bring value, the transactions wouldn't happen to begin with. Obviously, both buyer and seller benefit, generally. I know it's confusing for many on the left, but that's how free markets work.
. . . or other concerns that actually produce something useful to society as a whole.
Not that I agree with your premise, but in a free society, individuals may or may not produce something that's useful to society as a whole, and that's okay. That's how freedom works.
. . . "robot trading" is a parasitic activity that should be taxed to oblivion . . .
What a tyrannical suggestion. Do you hate freedom or just freedom for others?
By the way, taxation should only be used to fund necessary government activities, not be perverted into a tool to influence behavior.
. . . financial markets forced to become what they're supposed to be: places for investors to invest in real economic activities for the long haul.
The increased speed of investment doesn't make such investments "un-real." They are very real and provide real benefit to the seller and buyer when both realize a return on investment. It's not for you to decide if someone invests for short-term or long-term gain. Since it's not your money, it's not your call.
Clarify for me (because I appear to have become stupid tonight)- if you were to delay every transaction by let's say 1 hour, how would that help? If every transaction were delayed by exactly the same 1 hour period, there would still be an advantage in being first to put an order in, which means there would be still be an advantage in having the fastest trading machine- see the market information quickly, get the order in fast before anyone else beats you to it. The only difference is that you have to wait an hour before you see the results.
It would add an element of suspense to the system seeing as you won't know if you've cocked up on a trade for an artificially long time, but I don't see how it fixes the problem.
The liquidity that people like to trumpet as a benefit of HFT is false. As soon as there's a problem in the markets where extra liquidity would be helpful, it immediately dries up because the algos don't want to take a loss either.
Liquidity should dry up when there's a large amount of uncertainty. I don't see the problem.
Enforce even a 2 second requirement on any transaction and the playing field would be leveled again.
Why should the playing field be level?
War implies a concerted effort of will.
It is more like a lack of empathy and total disregard for anything other then themselves.
It would be like Louis the 16th running over a bunch of peasants with his carriage. It may be that there was no intent to purposely run over poor peasants, but then again neither does he care other than perhaps the mess or damage to said carriage.
The 1% may look like they are working in concert, but I think it is more of matter of them all being pretty much the same. If many are using HFT to bleed free money out of the market which further imbalances the concentration of wealth, it is because they are able to. Make up some other method, or product (eg. derivatives), and what I can only call law/regulation as that is how corrupt government is these days, and that is what they will do. Ethics, morality, even legality really doesn't really come into play. If they think they can get away with it and a profit made, it will be done. It has been shown time and again that government is in bed with big business, politically that is how they get elected, with money (and yet fools still vote for them). It has been shown time and again that you can do blatantly illegal acts, and steal HUGE amounts of money, with little or no repercussions. There has only been a few instances where anyone has ever been punished. Bernie Madov for example did get jail time, however he stole more money from people than anyone else in the world EVER, also I suspect that because many of the people he may have stolen from were also rich and powerful may have had something to do with that. Heck there was a guy in Toronto, Canada that basically did the same scam, except he also stole from friends and family. These people simply do not care past their own desires. So long as we allow it, in that there are little repercussions, and the government is actively courting these individuals for favors for legislation nothing is about to change. This would require the total decoupling of Corporate and State, just like the Church and State years ago.
Anyway not sure how likely that is about to happen, the entanglement is pretty complete. When the people making the decision are the ones that need to be limited it usually doesn't work out so well. People would really have to take notice and actively do something, which given the apathy and the political machinations to keep people (base) stupid and compliant, and the mainstream media hasn't been all that helpful in this regard either.
"...It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time, August 29th. In a panic, they try to pull the plug..."
Our experiment in sound
...
Was nearly ready to begin
We only know in theory what we are doing
Music made for pleasure Music made to thrill
It was music we were making here until
They told us, all they wanted Was a sound that could kill someone From a distance, so we go ahead And the meters are over in the red
It's a mistake in the making
From the painful cries of mothers To the terrifying scream We recorded it and put it into our machine
Then they told us, all they wanted Was a sound that could kill someone From a distance, so we go ahead And the meters are over in the red
It's a mistake in the making
It could feel like falling in love It could feel so bad
But it could feel so good It could sing you to sleep
I'll bet my mum's gonna give me A little toy instrument
But that dream is your enemy
We won't be there to be blamed We won't be there to snitch I just pray that someone there Can hit the switch
But they told us, all they wanted Was a sound that could kill someone From a distance, so we go ahead And the meters are over in the red
It's a mistake we've made
And the public are warned to stay off
Comment removed based on user account deletion