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Did Apple Make a Mistake By Releasing Two New iPhones?

Nerval's Lobster writes "As noted by CNET, Apple hasn't released data on the number of iPhone 5C units it presold in the device's first 24 hours of availability—a first for the iPhone since 2009. Why is that? Reporter Josh Lowensohn speculates that iPhone 5C sales 'may not be as impressive when stacked up against tallies from previous years,' with one outside analyst suggesting that Apple racked up 1 million iPhone 5C preorders last Friday, or roughly half the 2 million presales scored by the iPhone 5 on its first day of ordering availability last year. However well the iPhone 5C ends up performing on the open market, Apple's decision to launch two iPhones this year—rather than a single 'hero' device—could result in self-cannibalism, as users who would've bought the iPhone 5S instead gravitate toward the cheaper option. Cannibalism is a topic that Apple knows well, as it's been dealing with the iPhone cannibalizing the iPod for the past several years; but a new iPhone eating away at another new iPhone is fresh territory for the company. During earnings calls, Apple CEO Tim Cook likes to argue that cannibalization—whether iPhones feeding off the iPod, or the iPad taking the place of MacBooks—is a good thing, so long as it's Apple products eating other Apple products. But it's far more questionable whether he would welcome the iPhone 5C—almost certainly a low-margin device, despite its current-generation components and plastic body—taking a bite out of the more expensive, and presumably higher-margin iPhone 5S. Margin erosion remains a prime concern of investors and Apple watchers; anything that contributes to that erosion is bound to be viewed unfavorably."

12 of 348 comments (clear)

  1. Upselling is not canibalization by MrEricSir · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's the oldest sales trick in the book -- you lure people in with promises of a bargain, then try to upsell them to a more expensive product. Movie theater popcorn is the classic example of this (OMG it's 2x the popcorn for only $1 more!) but electronics companies have done this for decades.

    --
    There's no -1 for "I don't get it."
  2. Low margin device? by twistofsin · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The "cheap" 5C still retails for $549-$649. I'm sure Apple has a healthy amount of profit with that figure.

    I don't see the 5C as a low end device, instead I see the 5S as a premium model. No one pays over half a grand for a low end phone.

  3. Re:Apple makes money either way... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The problem is that the iPhone 5 wasn't particularly exciting or new either. After the iPhone 5 was basically a year behind the competition when it was released people expected Apple to do more this time around to catch up, but instead they just did an incremental update.

    The other issue this time around is that the 5C isn't cheap enough. It was supposed to open up China, but it's way too expensive to compete. I suppose Apple are hoping that their name will make it desirable.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  4. Re:Apple makes money either way... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    even if most people don't understand what 64-bit means or why it's advantageous.

    Heck, I know what it means and still don't understand why it's supposed to be advantageous.

  5. *sigh* Yet More Anti-Apple FUD... by danaris · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Apple has shown time and again that, as far as the public is concerned, they know what they're doing.

    But because they don't bring out something as amazing as the iPhone and the iPad were when they were first announced every single month, everything they do do gets panned as "not revolutionary enough," "more proof that without Jobs, Apple is DOOOOMED," etc.

    So, in the minds of most of the pundits today, yes, Apple made a mistake by releasing two new iPhones. They also would have made a mistake if they had released one new iPhone, or three, or a smartwatch, or a smart TV, or a bloody time machine. No matter what Apple does, the tech press have to find ways to make it fit the narrative of "Apple is Doomed." That's pretty much all there is to it.

    If you read the Macalope column over at MacWorld (and read it with a grain or two of salt, of course, because it's primarily intended to be humorous...but it still cuts deep a lot of the time), you can see him point out a lot of the glaring inconsistencies and habitual methods of trying to twist reality to make Apple's successes sound like failures. (Like the old favourite, "compare Apple's current products to hypothetical future products from its competitors.")

    Dan Aris

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    Fun. Free. Online. RPG. BattleMaster.
  6. Re:Apple makes money either way... by Arrogant+Monkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I know all the pundits believe that the 5C was supposed to open up China, but that doesn't mean it is what Apple intended. As pointed out elsewhere in this thread, this is just the same strategy of taking last year's hot phone and bumping it down to the peons -- but ensuring they maintain their margin. about 20% of the cost to build the 5 was in the machining and assembly, not to mention the press they got on how easily scratched anodized aluminum was. So instead of a Iphone 5 with an aluminum back that's $100 less than last year's price, you have the 5c which probably adds $20-30 back into the margin for Apple and avoids some of those pesky customer complaints.

    Apple (even if currently reviled) is not stupid. If they want to compete on the low end in China, it won't be with the 5c at twice the price of a HTC android. Maybe it'll be a 4c at a slight premium to HTC with a similarly high margin.

  7. Self-Cannibalism is A-OK, especially for Apple by tlhIngan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why the worry about self-cannibalism?

    I believe it was Jobs that said that if you aim to protect your bread and butter, someone else will just eat you up.

    So Apple has absolutely no issue with creating devices that will eat into existing product lines - take the iPod line. You had the original, then the mini, shuffle and nano. Each of which eats into each other's sales somewhat. But you still sell more this way than any other way.

    Or the iPhone. It certainly ate into the iPod (group) sales, and the iPod Touch certain ate into iPhone sales (an iPhone without the phone!)

    Or the iPad - it's certainly eating into Mac sales, especially lower end - people who would've bought an Air probably bought iPads instead - it does everything they needed it for anyhow.

    If you innovate by trying not to compete with yourself, you end up like Kodak, inventor of the digital camera. However, the digital camera concept was not Kodak's focus, which was selling chemicals, so Kodak sat on the technology until other companies started selling them and film and chemical sales bottomed out. They could've transformed from a chemical company to an imaging one - the bulk of their sales would be chemicals, but they'd have a growing business doing all sorts of imaging - from digital cameras to printers and even having photo printers that develop to regular print paper, selling more chemicals.

    If the 5C sales eat into the 5S sales - so be it. Each should compete on their own merits, and if the 5C should prove more popular, well, it means the 5S didn't deliver good value for money.

    And just like it was said, they both make money. And the end goal is to make money - if you convert a Samsung user to an Apple user, a plus - who cares if they buy a 5S or 5C? It could also be if you didn't have one or the other, the user may have stuck with Samsung. And yes, there will also be users who go from Apple to Samsung.

  8. Those who forget history... by swimboy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The last time people thought Apple was making a huge mistake and cannibalizing their own sales was with the iPod nano replacing the iPod mini, and we saw what a *disaster* that was.

    Steve Jobs even said that if Apple doesn't cannibalize their own sales, somebody else will. This is such a non-issue that it's laughable.

    --
    Ask me how the Heisenberg Principle may or may not have saved my life.
  9. Re:Apple makes money either way... by DCstewieG · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The point of the 5C was to break into markets where the 5S is too expensive to gain big market share.

    According to who? That's what pundits wanted and assumed but it should now be obvious that it's not what Apple wanted. For the time being, they're still happy with their premium device strategy. You only have to look as far back as the iPod and iPod mini to see what they're doing.

    It should be noted the iPhone 4 is still being sold in China.

  10. Re:Apple makes money either way... by immaterial · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The point of the 5C was to break into markets where the 5S is too expensive to gain big market share. For years Apple fans were saying Apple didn't care about these markets and there was no money in cheap(er) phone, but actually they wanted in and just couldn't come up with a suitable product. It needed to be current generation (i.e. have a 5 in the name) to remain desirable but also be affordable, and it seems that most analysts think that it's too expensive.

    No, that was the rumored point of the 5C - back before it was announced, when everyone assumed the C stood for "cheap," or "China." Now it is clear that wasn't it - it's the same price as the iPhone 5 would otherwise have been at this point, and internally it contains all the iPhone 5's hardware. As the poster you responded to clearly explained, the only significant change here was that it's cheaper to manufacture, allowing Apple to make a better profit off essentially the same year-old phone they would have been selling anyway.

  11. Re:Why a 64-bit phone is good: by Moofie · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Which is the phone manufacturer that has a better record of backwards OS compatibility than Apple?

    I'm curious.

    --
    Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
  12. Re:Apple makes money either way... by immaterial · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Revisionist history my ass. You didn't counter a single fact in my or the grandparent's post. Apple has always made the previous model available $100 less than the current model; that's exactly what they have done again here, except they gave it a "pretty" (and cheaper to manufacture) body. They never claimed it was supposed to be a dirt cheap phone for China; that was rumor and speculation (now, that may be a good idea or it may not, but that's an entirely separate argument). How can you simultaneously say "the rumors [that the phone was supposed to be cheap] were pretty much true" and then say they "missed this target by making it expensive"?