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Surge In Litecoin Mining Leads To Graphics Card Shortage

New submitter Kenseilon writes "Extremetech reports that the recent price hike of Litecoins has triggered yet another arms race for the *coinminers out there, leading to a shortage of AMD graphics cards. While Bitcoin mining is quickly becoming unfeasible for GPU rigs with general purpose graphics cards, there are several alternative currencies with opportunities. The primary candidate is now Litecoin, which has the aim of 'being silver if Bitcoin is gold' Swedish Tech site Sweclockers also reports [in Swedish] that GPU manufacturer Club3D have told them that miners are becoming a new important group of potential customers. However, concerns are being raised that this is a temporary boom that may hurt AMD in the long run, since gamers, their core consumer group, may not be able to acquire the cards and instead opt for Nvidia."

34 of 213 comments (clear)

  1. Ummm Bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    All my usual retailers have stock, this is just an article to pump up litecoin activity and interest.
    It isn't silver to BTC gold, it offers no great advantages over BTC hat can't be integrated into the bitcoin protocol if deamed worthy and you cant buy anything with it except other crypto-currencies.

    This article is spam at best , a pump and dump endorsement at worst.

    1. Re:Ummm Bullshit by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 4, Informative
      Newegg has had a hard time keeping any 280x, 290, and 290x cards in stock. I haven't seen a 290 card in stock for a week now.

      Newegg has them priced $50-100 over retail, the demand is huge and when they restock, they tend to sell out within an hour or two.

    2. Re:Ummm Bullshit by martinux · · Score: 5, Informative

      What in fact has happened is the availability of a number of optimal* cards - particularly the Radeon 7950 - have massively decreased due to miners buying them. As you would expect market demand has resulted in a significant price hike. Radeon cards provide higher hash rates than nVidia cards and so they are more popular to miners in general. There are a number of benefits to litecoin, particularly the faster transaction time. If you're a litecoin miner decryption is optimised for GPUs rather than ASICs (which have a much, much higher uptake in bitcoin mining) and thus is not the realm of high-cost ASICs or FPGAs.

      Whilst I do appreciate that bitcoin and litecoin are 'hot topics' at the moment there are many interesting consequences that have emerged as a result of the uptake in both the currency and technology required to maintain the currency. Thus, I do think there is something to talk about here.

      * The cards are optimal in that they give the fastest hash-rate to power-consumption ratio.

    3. Re:Ummm Bullshit by Dekker3D · · Score: 2

      Apparently, Radeons have an instruction that's really important for Scrypt mining, which nVidia cards lack. That's why Radeons of the same price generally reach perhaps 10 times as many hashes per second.

    4. Re:Ummm Bullshit by blackraven14250 · · Score: 2

      Yes, it's the same situation there. I forgot which instruction, but NVidia cards require 3 instructions to perform an operation ATI cards can do in 1, and it's a key instruction in both SHA256 and Scrypt algorithms. Combine that with lower clocks due to the architecture of NVidia cards, and you have your performance difference.

    5. Re:Ummm Bullshit by blackraven14250 · · Score: 2

      It's the bitwise rotate left - they don't have a hardware instruction for it.

  2. An Honest Question by TheGoodNamesWereGone · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Please help me out here. I'm asking seriously. If all you need to do to succeed at bitcoin mining is throw computer resources at it, and they are $1000 apiece, then why aren't all the world's supercomputers on the job making a thousand bucks a minute? The answer is of course, they have more important things to do. But even if they don't, they have the capacity to. It doesn't make sense to me. The whole currency could be deflated to nothing in one swell foop. If it could be so easily destroyed, then is its foundation really a solid one. I await enlightenment.

    1. Re:An Honest Question by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Bitcoin is designed to be issued at a steady rate. If a dozen supercomputers suddenly starting mining, far fewer bitcoins would be issued. It would force the workload to the next harder level much sooner and thus reduce everyone's income.

      Ironically, if the NSA wanted to mess with bitcoin, just spending a few weeks mining would really mess up the income of a lot of miners.

    2. Re:An Honest Question by gweihir · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nonsense. Every bubble is built on suckers like you, always trying to convince themselves the scam is real. Bitcoin does not even have the value the current used to create it had, as that cannot be recovered.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    3. Re:An Honest Question by SuricouRaven · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I can easily envision three ways in which it could become worthless:
      1. A mathematical weakness in the protocol is found allowing for effective fraud. Not super-fast mining, but something like coin duplication or impersonation.
      2. A systematic crackdown by one or more major governments renders it impractical to openly accept bitcoins as payment. Right now, governments tolerate bitcoin because it's not really a force of any note. If it really took off? You can count on them to ban bitcoin in commercial operations. Later on, they will declare that posesssion of bitcoins is a sign of intent to purchase drugs or commit fraud, much in the same way that carrying around $10,000 in a briefcase might get you an interview with police today. Even if the crackdown was only half-effective, the fear would lead to a collapse in value - those $1000 coins would be selling for $5 each.
      3. Confidence crash. Bitcoin currently has value not so much because it can be spent (There isn't a great deal you can buy with it) as it does because of speculation. That's a dangerous situation - it's a perfect bubble. If the price should drop, even a little, then a lot of people are going to fear a decline and start selling off their coins - which will cause exactly the decline they fear. It's happened before many times. Ask anyone who's traded Noxcium in EVE.

    4. Re:An Honest Question by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2

      Indeed, the best way to get rich with cryptocurrency is to create your own version, mine an initial amount for yourself, get enough people to join, and then sell yours before the bubble bursts. ;-)

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    5. Re:An Honest Question by gweihir · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Simple: At the moment the electricity you need for Bitcoin mining costs more then the coins you get out of it, unless you have very specific hardware that is completely tuned to this task. Mining with graphics cards costs you money.

      That's why you mine other altcoins that are still minable on commodity hardware, like Litecoin. Their value goes up and down together with BTC, so the current sky-high BTC price also means that others are similarly high.

      Pure fantasy, designed to drive more people into the pyramid-scheme.

      The other thing is of course that Bitcoin is not a real currency and may crash at any time and without warning. All it takes is one large owner to cash in and the market panics. Even rumors of this happening could be enough.

      True, but if you pick the right coin, and you already have the hardware, you can completely recoup all present and future power costs for a month ahead in a couple of days right now. Cash those out (as in, money in your account in the bank), and from there on anything you mine is basically free money, with no risk whatsoever.

      You don't have to be a "Bitcoin fanatic" to be able to add up the numbers and conclude that, right now, this is a profitable game to play. Ideology has zero relevance here so long as there's real money to be had.

      No, it is not "profitable" at all. It is a pyramid scam, even if it is a complicated one. The fact of the matter is that in a pyramid scam, almost everybody involved looses big-time, while a few in early make tons of money. It also requires people like you driving more greedy, but stupid sheep in there, or otherwise the few early ones do not get their desired earnings.

      So, no, even if a few people manage to scam a lot of money with Bitcoin or Litecoin or any other Scamcoin, most that were not in it from very early on will just lose everything they invested.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    6. Re:An Honest Question by couchslug · · Score: 2

      Cash out before the bubble bursts and you do well.

      Gambling does have some winners.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    7. Re: An Honest Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I love how people compare bitcoin to gold, since there are limited bitcoins that can be created, yet as litecoin, peercoin, fastcoin etc have shown, there is no limit to the number of crypto coins, yet there is a limit to precious metals (on earth anyway). Haven'tseenanyone come out with a gold2 version of the metal

    8. Re:An Honest Question by dkf · · Score: 2

      Why is the ever increasing value a problem?

      In general? Because it discourages spending and encourages hoarding and speculation. Speculative bubbles can get people very badly burned, and currency speculation is a way to lose a lot of money.

      There are vicious sharks in these waters, and nobody's going to bail you out.

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
    9. Re:An Honest Question by tftp · · Score: 2

      Confidence crash. USD has value not so much because it can be spent as it does because of confidence in a group of inbred whackjobs most Americans consider little short of "enemies of the state".

      I don't know why you associate stability of the USD with the US Government and Congress. The USD is stable for one simple reason: you can buy stuff with it. You can buy it today, and in any volume. You can buy the entire oil output of Saudi Arabia with it. In fact, that's exactly what is happening. The USD is stabilized by an enormous mass of vendors that are willing to trade their goods for USD.

      The opposite is the problem of BTC. It is not used in economy, for many reasons. This means that the BTC value can go 50% up or down within an hour, and there is nothing to dampen the oscillation.

      * Just one specific peeve - You can buy just about anything with BTC today

      "about nothing" - FTFY. The only thing that you can reliably buy with BTC is other currencies.

      Besides, why would you want to spend BTC on a cup of coffee if that same BTC will double in price within a year? You would be better off paying in local currency, which is inflating, and keeping the BTC. Spending the coin is unwise; only true fanatics of BTC would do that, against their own interests.

  3. It hurt AMD today... by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I would love to buy a pair of 290x cards and Crossfire them, but the delay in aftermarket coolers has hurt and the overall beta state of their newest drivers hurts as well.

    NewEgg shipped my new pair of 780 TI cards today, equipped with Gigabyte Windforce aftermarket coolers, I'll finally get rid of most of the crappy FPS problem on my 3 Dell 30" monitors thanks to only having a single AMD 7970 card.

    Why not just buy a second 7970 card and Crossfire them? I considered it, but since they are impossible to find for a reasonable price, forget it (2 months ago they were under $300, today they are closer to $500). The microstutter problem also remains when Crossfiring two cards and also running Eyefinity.

    Given that the problem has been known for a year and still isn't fixed, I'm not giving AMD any more time.

    Off to NVidia for me! Oh well, shame on you AMD, loyal customer here, but you just didn't leave me any options.

    1. Re:It hurt AMD today... by LordLimecat · · Score: 2

      Im fairly certain the actual drivers are NOT .NET. The interface might be, but Id hazard that the actual drivers are C, C++, or assembly. like 99% of the drivers out there.

    2. Re:It hurt AMD today... by ganjadude · · Score: 2

      dude, half the people of the world suffer from hunger right now, and complain about someone posting in /.?? Fuck off! ;)

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
  4. Don't worry by gweihir · · Score: 2, Insightful

    When the bubble bursts, cheap cards will be available in large numbers. And the bubble will burst, even Bitcoin is subject to economic rules and historically demonstrated facts. Its very volatility shows that its value has no basis in reality.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  5. Re:Lol@fads. by neiras · · Score: 5, Informative

    I bought into Litecoin at under $5 with some hobby money some months ago and it's hanging out at $30. I cashed out my original investment (leaving several times that in Litecoin, yay profit), bought ten Radeon cards and some cheap motherboards with the money, threw together some Debian USB sticks in an evening and am now mining on P2Pool for shits and giggles.

    In a few weeks the equipment will have paid for itself, even accounting for the insane difficulty increases. Power is cheap here, so I will do pretty well for a while yet. Bonus: the rigs run hot so I'm basically making a little money heating my house.

    You can laugh all you want. I'm having a blast, I've made a tidy profit, I have a bunch of new toys to play with, and if Litecoin ever does go ballistic like Bitcoin did I won't be left on the sidelines like you will. Don't really care about the likelihood of *coins taking over the world, or whatever - there is money to be made and I'm happy to make it.

    It's a fun hobby. Honestly, it's play money to me and I've multiplied it several times. Not complaining. More fun than hitting the casino like some people I know, even if it's gambling all the same.

  6. Re:How about the latest batch of the Rx 200 cards? by martinux · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The general consensus is that the newer cards are faster but they are also drawing more power per 'unit of work' and thus are not as good a solution. Note that this has not stopped people using these cards (and indeed, older, less powerful cards) as one can still make a small profit on relatively modest hardware.

    Ultimately the aim of the coin miner is to find the hardware that provides a reasonable mining rate whilst costing as little to run as possible. At some point the value of a litecoin may increase to the point where electricity costs become less of a factor in the choice of mining hardware. You'll start to see people moving to the newer cards if this happens.

    Another thing to consider is ASICs. These devices are generally expensive in terms of R&D but their performance can be orders of magnitude higher than GPUs. The problem described in the article is that ASICs are not ideal at solving scrypt. However, I think it's inevitable that hardware specifically designed to mine litecoin is inevitable if the value continues to rise.

  7. Make mining useful by benob · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When will a *coin virtual currency make calculations useful for science? I can't help but feel this whole thing is total a waste of energy.

    1. Re:Make mining useful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      When will a *coin virtual currency make calculations useful for science? I can't help but feel this whole thing is total a waste of energy.

      There already is, Timekoin is the most efficient digital currency out there, any spare CPU time can be used for a whole range of science research from any number of old servers given new life.

  8. Re:How about the latest batch of the Rx 200 cards? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Not all of us who are mining LTC now bought new cards solely for that purpose.

    Personally, I just happened to derive some unexpected profits from the few BTC I had lying around for ages, and, having looked at LTC mining feasibility, decided that I'll use that cash to entertain myself with a new graphics card for my gaming rig - and will also use it to mine LTC while it's reasonably profitable, to recoup as much of the card's cost as possible. So I've got Radeon 280X, not because it had the best hashrate, but because it seemed like the best deal in terms of price to perf right now, within the lower performance limit that I've set.

  9. Re:To the not-so-rich ... by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Insightful

    After the gold rush was over, there was still plenty of money to be made selling picks, shovels and mules to the prospectors.

    --
    No sig today...
  10. Re:Lol@fads. by jhol13 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is exactly why I think Bitcoin will collapse. Or perhaps, "should". There are quite a few with high percentage of all the money, one with at least 20%.
    Sooner or later some of them are going to dump. Getting $1'000'000 for "nothing" is very tempting.
    Later, much later, the gullible are going to understand they were ripped of, several times. Then, again it might be so that they never understand as they see Bitcoin as "mathematically proven" money missing the problems entirely.

    I hope you have luck. I just cannot do the same for ethical & moral reasons. Damn, parents!

  11. Re:Lol@fads. by stinerman · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Now that's the right attitude to have. You know it's a bunch of people buying an investment (not a currency), hoping it will appreciate so that they can cash out once it hits a high enough price point.

    Bitcoin/Litecoin is an (irrational) investment, not a currency.

  12. Re:ReFlash by ganjadude · · Score: 4, Insightful

    why would someone intentionally cripple their product as to avoid sales? Any company in their right mind would be thrilled that their product is flying off the shelves

    --
    have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
  13. Re:Not for miners by gweihir · · Score: 2

    Oh, I do not dispute that the scam in here is cleverly disguised. The possibility to "mine" Bitcoins is a truly impressive misdirection and supports the legend that this "currency" is made by users. But as soon as you look at the increase in mining effort, the pyramid in this scheme becomes blatantly obvious again. The matter of the fact is that the Bitcoin mining difficulty was cleverly designed to make mining hard just when the currency takes off. In addition, the early miners (the very top of the pyramid) got their coins basically for free.

    That said, not all cryptocurrencies are a scam. Those that are ground in real value and are up-front and honest about the properties of the scheme are not.

    But all that are build on nothing and have strongly progressive mining effort (i.e. far, far stronger than hardware speed advances) are. The idea is a truly beautiful scam that facilitates elaborate misdirection. Take for example all the claims that Bitcoin was "anonymous". Not so, as current research shows. I am pretty sure the designers were aware of this, but hoped that it would stay hidden for long enough. It did. Or take security. They must have been aware that stealing Bitcoins would be ridiculously easy. All the users and exchanges that have been robbed make a pretty impressive statement as to its insecurity. So from a technical perspective, Bitcoin is a pretty bad, insecure and non-anonymous hack and that likely was clear to its designers. Yet they went ahead nonetheless. Why? Because they never cared about its users, except as people to be separated from their money.

    Now, I _am_ impressed by Bitcoin. Usually a scam has to be simple to be successful. The designers managed to use something complex and successfully lied about its properties and made it _appear_ to be simple (secure, anonymous, "you mine it yourself"), without any of that actually being the truth. And they have pulled it off, like quite a few other pupils of the great Ponzi.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  14. Not Ideal? by Flere+Imsaho · · Score: 2

    The problem described in the article is that ASICs are not ideal at solving scrypt.

    ASIC Bitcoin miners can't solve scrypt at all - you can't mine Litecoin with them. I guess you could call that "not ideal".

    --
    It gripped her hand gently. 'Regret is for humans,' it said.
  15. Re:Lol@posturing by neiras · · Score: 2

    My moral prohibits me from taking advantage of the buyer, no matter whether I "misrepresent" the goods or not.

    If I have the knowledge that something is not as valuable as the price is, due to reasons the buyer does not understand, I just skip it. I will not sell a lemon car even if the buyer does not have the mechanical knowledge to find out it is lemon.

    Hey, those values I share! The only difference between us is that I don't believe accepting market value for anything, from wool socks to XBoxes, is "taking advantage of the buyer." When I sell a coin, I get $30, my buyer gets 1 LTC, and both parties are happy. If that's taking advantage of someone, I hope you don't work anywhere that sells a product - that might comprimise your morals! So much cognitive dissonance.

    I don't have any knowledge that LTC or BTC are somehow flawed. I know how they work, but people set their value, and people are unpredictable.

    I will not sell lemon eletronic coins because I know they are lemon.

    I do not expect you to hold these values.

    You don't actually know that online coins are lemons despite all your posturing. It's a belief you hold, fine, but you haven't made a case for it. I invite you to back up your assertions by taking a short position on cryptocurrency. At least then you could make some money if you prove to be right.

    I'm no more immoral for participating in the cryptocoin economy than someone else is for participating in the Craigslist economy.

  16. Re:ReFlash by tech.kyle · · Score: 2

    ..and I'm thrilled that when Scrypt miners dump their GPUs on eBay en masse (like SHA-256 miners did with Bitcoin), the market will be flooded with a nice supply of Radeons.

    ..and yes, while I am concerned about the stress the cards are put under for 99% of their life, most miners seem to peg their card's fan speed at 80-100%.

    --
    If we colonize Mars, it won't be the World Wide Web anymore. UWW?