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Data Analysts Attempt To Predict World's Largest Music Vote, Again
littlekorea writes "Data analysts in the U.S. and Australia have come up with alternative means to predict the world's largest music vote, Triple J's Hottest 100. The Warmest 100 was close to spot on last year after analysts mined data from social posts auto-generated during the voting process. This year, with that avenue shut off, they relied on data extracted using the Instagram API, among others, and hope to achieve similar results."
Or, take the purple acid!
There were fewer than 200,000 votes cast last year - they've sampled close to 10% of the actual votes, so I'm sure they'll have a reasonable approximation of the final result...
"Go to CNN [for a] spell-checked, fact-checked summary" -- CmdrTaco
So wait... you're saying that when you look at what people are posting on the internet... you can tell what their opinions are on something? NO WAY!!!!! -_- How is this "predictive" by any definition? We've known for awhile that if you get a sample size of maybe 1-3% of a group... you can predict the distribution with a good degree of accuracy. There's nothing special about this slashvertisement.
#fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
This is one of the tools needed.
That seems like a somewhat pessimistic view, a glance through the historical results shows some pretty solid songs (and some quirky ones) http://www.abc.net.au/triplej/... If course, they aren't all Bohemian Rhapsody's, but there's only ever been one if them.
Boffoonery - downloadable Comedy Benefit for Bletchley Park
Of all the songs to pick, you choose the one that ushered in the era of the "music video"? :/
No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
well done dickhead, I think you'll find Bohemian Rhapsody was released 38 years too early for this poll.
Given the kind of music Triple-J plays (and the kind of people who are likely listen to it instead of the mainstream commercial stations) I highly doubt any of the Top 100 winners are going to be manufactured mass-marked over-hyped pop crap.
Given the kind of music Triple-J plays (and the kind of people who are likely listen to it instead of the mainstream commercial stations) I highly doubt any of the Top 100 winners are going to be manufactured mass-marked over-hyped pop crap.
'any of the Top 100 winners' seriously? from the 2012 list: 1 Thrift Shop - Macklemore and Ryan Lewis featuring Wanz After that I didn't even bother to further inspect the list. If that isn't manufactured mass-marked over-hyped pop crap, I don't exactly know what is.
Triple J went mainstream a few decades ago. It's still mass marketed over hyped pop crap, but just more oriented at the 30 somethings.
All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
The radio station in question mostly broadcasts material that does not have much advertising money or promotion from the industry behind it.
It seems nearly every music radio station gets stuck in the time period where it first became popular.
I'd fully refute that. Triple J is barely recognisable to me, these days, and I was 100% immersed in the music scene in the 2nd half of the 90's. It's all dance and rap now - a very different sound. It's not "wrong" or "worse" but to claim it's in anyway oriented at the 30 something's, like me, is way off; it's just aimed at people who are younger than I am. It's aimed firmly at the uni student age, and always has been. Even their news articles lead with stories like rises to student fees, etc.
Can something be "manufactured" in the sense of being created by record labels if the musician in question is not actually signed to or affiliated with any major label? I bet what's far more likely is that you don't like the song so you assume that it's obviously just some garbage thrown together by a big name producer with studio musicians and a catchy hook. Macklemore is more or less the opposite of every big name hip hop act on the charts right now, against drug use, against buying into pricey fashion, etc.
After that I didn't even bother to further inspect the list.
Wow very good man. You got through 1 out of 100. You didn't even look at the top 10. Yes Thrift Shop was somewhat generic over-hyped pop, but none the less it ticked all the boxes for a hit. Why not look at some of the other results.
2011 Hottest 100 which was won by Gotye for a song released by some no-name record company over a year before Universal decided to pick it up and promote it overseas.
2010 the number one song was by an Australian acoustic folk duo.
Naturally you miss one of the most critical points about this contest. It's an open contest for any song released in that year voted for by people. It has nothing to do with sales, promos, charts, etc. That means if you dislike song number 1, sorry but you're in the minority. Go back to your classical / techno rubbish and stop shitting on what other people happen to like.
If you think Triple J is "mainstream" you should really have a listen to what some of the other stations are playing. The typical distribution in Australian cities are a classical station, a country station, one or two family radio stations playing 90s pop hits, a rock station which seems to have guns and roses and cold chisel on repeat, and then 5 other stations who play nothing but modern pop/rock/techno.
Yes Triple J does play some of the stuff the other stations do, but the key difference is they will typically do it a year or so earlier and then move on once the music becomes "mainstream" and starts getting repeated to death on the 5 pop stations.
If you want less mainstream then why not tune into triple j unearthed on digital or online radio where they don't play anything commercial at all.
I do watch Rage from time to time, generally the Friday night edition since that's when the new musicians are given a chance. Unearthed would be about the only time I'd be interested in Triple J, but that's mostly because I find radio friendly pop / rock to be like nails down a chalkboard.
While Triple J is not as mainstream as Triple M / etc (so awful!) it is still a pretty mainstream radio station. You just have to see what songs get into the hottest 100 every year. I recall listening to it a bit before leaving for the UK in 1999, and when I got back I bought a car and tuned the radio to JJJ to see what they were playing. It was still Powderfinger, Regurgitator, and the like - new songs, to be sure, but a lot of the same old bands.
Sure, Triple J often gets the music a year ahead of the more commercial radio stations, and they do push lesser known artists - but it's still too commercial for my tastes (in general). I like watching Rage because I can just record 10 hours at a time, fast forward the crap - and save the good stuff for viewing later.
All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
While true you can't judge the Triple J by the hottest 100. Anyone can vote regardless of what station they listen to, hence more popish music ends up getting up to the top. My girlfriend is like that. Spends all day listening to Nova and voted a lot of pop crap into the Hottest 100, likely just to annoy me. But it does skew the results.