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Elon Musk: I'll Put a Human On Mars By 2026

An anonymous reader writes Elon Musk says that he'll put the first human boots on Mars well before the 2020s are over. "I'm hopeful that the first people could be taken to Mars in 10 to 12 years, I think it's certainly possible for that to occur," he said. "But the thing that matters long term is to have a self-sustaining city on Mars, to make life multiplanetary." He acknowledged that the company's plans were too long-term to attract many hedge fund managers, which makes it hard for SpaceX to go public anytime soon. "We need to get where things a steady and predictable," Musk said. "Maybe we're close to developing the Mars vehicle, or ideally we've flown it a few times, then I think going public would make more sense."

11 of 275 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Water on mars for self-sustaining city by Beck_Neard · · Score: 4, Informative
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  2. Re:Bad idea by queazocotal · · Score: 4, Insightful

    My favourite tweet of all time is from Musk.
    'No near term plans to IPO @SpaceX. Only possible in very long term when Mars Colonial Transporter is flying regularly.'

  3. SpaceX, Tesla, Solar City by stiggle · · Score: 5, Interesting

    He's building his framework of companies to support a colony there.

    SpaceX to get there and then Tesla electric propulsion charged via better efficient solar panels from Solar City, needed due to the dimmer sun further out in the solar system.

    Just needs a building system using Martian resources next (concrete based on martian dust)

  4. Re:Bad idea by queazocotal · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Because unfortunately, an IPO for the general public means that unfortunate things happen.
    You lose signifcant control of your company - possibly totally.
    Musk developed Falcon Heavy - with essentially no market.
    The Raptor engine currently in development has no market.
    The requirement for reusability is reasonable from a long-term perspective.

    You can't - as I understand it - legally IPO to only those sharing your vision. You are going
    to get pension funds and hedge funds and ... purchasing slices of your company to diversify their
    portfolios.
    These may then not want you to go spending money on wild unprofitable in the next 10 years crap, but
    to make next years dividend larger.

  5. And Extroverts not welcome by OzPeter · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There was a story last week about how extroverts would be the worst possible people to have along on a multi-month trip to mars in a very small spaceship. That is something that introverts are better suited for doing.

    Extroverts Don't Belong on Mars

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  6. Re:Déjà vu by 91degrees · · Score: 5, Informative

    Most of Earth is underwater. Mars has only slightly smaller land area than Earth.

  7. Ok, next question. by will_die · · Score: 4, Interesting

    When does he plan to get the first person from Mars back to Earth?

    1. Re:Ok, next question. by SuricouRaven · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Aside from the problem of a life support and food production system that can operate for 30 years, with a lead time on spare parts measured in years, and fresh supply shipments very limited. Plus the severe lack of medical services. Eventually a reliable colony would be possible - but the first few waves will just have to hope nothing breaks down and that the political environment back on earth keeps the resupply rockets flowing.

  8. Toxic Mars by Silpher · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Too bad Maris is toxic as fuck : http://www.newscientist.com/ar...

  9. Re:Bad idea by The+Snowman · · Score: 4, Informative

    You can't - as I understand it - legally IPO to only those sharing your vision. You are going to get pension funds and hedge funds and ... purchasing slices of your company to diversify their portfolios.

    These may then not want you to go spending money on wild unprofitable in the next 10 years crap, but to make next years dividend larger.

    This is part of the reason why every IPO files a prospectus with the SEC. SpaceX is what I would call "high risk" from an investment perspective. It could multiply my stock investment a thousand-fold, I could lose everything. This is not the sort of stock that most mutual and other funds would invest in. I believe the risk of going public is the stock market can be very fickle at times, especially with high risk, unproven technology: which describes SpaceX.

    Staying private for now while the risk is higher means more stability for SpaceX. Elon Musk can still acquire capital and can still sell shares of the company, just not on a public market. Example: he could sell 25% of his company to a VC in return for a bucket of money, then pay it back in stock or cash after the IPO. But the company will not be subject to some of the market forces that govern publicly-traded corporations, which is a good thing in the short-term.

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  10. Re:NOT. GODDA. HAPPEN. by Drethon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maybe but I'd rather have someone say let's shoot for the moon (or Mars) rather than just making a ton of profit using patents on old technology.