Autonomous Trucking

An anonymous reader writes We've heard about all the effort going into self-driving cars, but what about the massive fleet of trucks we use to deliver goods around the country? Well, Mercedes is trying to tackle that problem. They have just demonstrated an autonomous 18-wheeler on the German Autobahn. It's clearly a long-term project; they named it "Future Truck 2025," as an unsubtle reminder that this tech needs a lot of development before it's ready for common use. "Special cameras and multiple radar systems watch the road, the sides of the road, and cars and trucks behind the vehicle. Future Truck is also envisioned to communicate with other vehicles and connect to growing sources of online information as Big Data balloons on the road. ... Many of the component parts to put a vehicle like this into production are already available in trucks on the market: Systems that help drivers keep their distance from other drivers, active braking assistance, guidance and mapping systems, and fine-tuned cruise control and tons of other hi-tech tchotchke."

Comments

1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[Anonymous Coward]

But I cant wait to see the rules list to replace years of pull 80,000 LBS over Mountains in the snow.
And I cant wait to see the computer chain up.

Re:1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[hawguy]

But I cant wait to see the rules list to replace years of pull 80,000 LBS over Mountains in the snow.
And I cant wait to see the computer chain up.

The automatic trucks can be stopped miles away from the snow, patiently waiting for many hours without getting tired or running into problems with rules about allowed hours behind the wheel. Then when conditions are better, the automated trucks can form a train behind the automated snowplow/salt truck and trudge through the roads at 10mph for hours while remaining 100% vigilant at monitoring road conditions and the truck's reaction to the road -- to the point where any slippage of any wheel on the truck or trailer can be detected and compensated for. A professional driver might be able to do better in some conditions after a good night's sleep, but not when he's already exhausted from spending hours sitting in the truck waiting for the roads to be open, then hours more trudging along slowly in the snow.

For chains, many roads that have chain restrictions (at least in California) already have chain installers waiting on snowy days to help motorists that don't know want (or don't know how) to chain up their own car -- these same crews could be used to chain up trucks.

Or automatic chains can be used.

Re:1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[Anonymous Coward]

Automatically chaining up is trivial. My friend's F-350 has OnSpot chains that chain and de-chain the tires with a flick of a switch. A computer doing this isn't hard.

Of course, computers will be more useful in the snow than a person. They can communicate with nearby vehicles to check status, and if there is a white-out, can shut down, resuming the trip when conditions are passable. People doing that results in parties... Donner parties.

Re:1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[drinkypoo]

Or automatic chains can be used.

Holy crap, that's about the simplest thing that does something slick like that I've ever seen. And if you get on eBay you get many fat pictures that show you precisely how they're put together.

Re:1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[rubycodez]

Nonsense, not a barrier to automated trucking at all.

Automated rucks can be used in the 99% of cases where this issue doesn't apply. And consider the possibilty of automated 24x7 plowing, salting and snow removal trucks, no need for human crew that gets tired.

this is definitely the future of cargo transport, including automated freight trains

Re:1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[icebike]

Then when conditions are better, the automated trucks can form a train behind the automated snowplow

Here's a better Idea: Drive those trucks to a REAL TRAIN depot and get them off our roads.

The amount of long haul that is done by trucks in this country is ridiculous, dangerous, and unsustainable. Our roads are being beaten to dust by an industry that doesn't pay taxes at a rate anywhere near sufficient to cover the damage it causes.

We should be mandating rapid train routes for any transport distance greater than 500 miles, with computerized and mostly automated loading and unloading facilities instead of trying to smarten up every truck on the road.

Re:1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[Smauler]

As a truck driver, I think your 99% is a little high. Train drivers, for example, do not have to deal with almost all the situational problems that truck drivers do, and their profession is only just starting to become autonomous, and only in a few limited cases.

I agree it is probably the future of cargo transport... but if we're using automated cargo transport, I think we could come up with a better solution than just big automaton trucks on the road.

Re:1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[Joe_Dragon]

Min wage when the truck can be haling stuff that is over 2-3 times there yearly pay will lead to stuff disappearing / the lowest trained people taking over when the computer fails over.

Re:1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[Overzeetop]

That's great, right up to the point where you don't have the train routes and capacity to handle the loads we currently carry. I can promise you that if it was cheaper to send cargo by train, we would already do it. There is already too much train traffic on the rails, especially on oil/coal routes and along the high-traffic metro corridors.

Given the cost of time and the cost of last mile (or in many cases, the cost of the last 200-500 miles), and the cost to install new track, trucking will be with us for much longer than it will take to make fully automated vehicles.

Re:1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[icebike]

We do have the train routes, railroads have been rail-banking surpluss rail lines for years because truck traffic
took all the loads. But in most cases the rail is still in place, and bringing it up to standards is cheaper
than rebuilding all of our freeways every 5 years just to keep truck drivers employed.

Re:1.8 million drivers will lose their job.

[Plumpaquatsch]

Well, too bad you didn't RTFA - and that the summary forgot to mention that the truck still has a driver, just that he doesn't do much for most of the drive.

Old news

[Knacklappen]

Anyone with knowledge of the automotive industry knows that basically every large OEM is onto the same thing:
http://www.independent.co.uk/l...
http://www.greenfleeteurope.co...
(etc.)

Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[OnTheEdge]

It seems to me that if you were to forgo the complexity of automated driving on the byways, highway-only algorithms and equipment would be much easier to deploy. If I owned a shipping company, either locating my endpoints near a major highway or having a human driver take over at waypoints located near a major highway would still make this option extremely advantageous. I've said for a long time that I would much rather be driving next to an automated vehicle that only experiences an "incidents" once every 100,000 miles or so, verses next to my fellow humans who -- these days -- seem to experience "incidents" every few miles.

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[OzPeter]

A trucker who experienced an incidence every 100,000 miles or so would be out of trucking in less than 6 months... or about 300,000 miles.

Most truckers have driven -millions- of miles incident free.

Lets see .. what did I experience in less than 1 hour of driving down an interstate last week?

1. Multiple trucks rapidly changing lanes, in traffic, without indicating because the truck ahead of them was doing maybe 5 mph slower than they wanted to be, and they was "just" enough room between cars in the next lane over. (And I have experienced this in heavy rain just as I was about to pass truck)

2. Multiple trucks attempting to pass other trucks, but totally underestimating the power they have and causing rolling roadblocks along the interstate at speeds well under the speed limit.

3. Multiple trucks weaving almost off the road at alarming rates for no obvious reason (I can only assume the driver was reaching for something in his/her cab - alternatively they were not 100% awake)

4. Multiple trucks tailgating cars.

Yeah .. none of these were actual "incidents", but they are indicative of truck drivers not having an understanding/respect for the rigs that they are driving, and foretell possible future incidents. Things would be a lot nicer on the interstates if all of the above were eliminated.

Hmm maybe we could sync multiple trucks together, and put them on a special road all of their own. That would eliminate all of the above issues. We could give them some snazzy name .. maybe "Trains" of trucks!

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[TheRaven64]

Lidar is typically used in situations where you have this kind of interference, but the solution is conceptually pretty simple. You tune the detectors to a specific wavelength and you vary that wavelength between devices. You can typically vary the wavelength in software, so if you detect a lot of interference then you just hop to another frequency. If someone is intentionally blanketing your entire band, then it's not really any different from someone shining a floodlight in the eyes of human drivers - you just point them out to the police.

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[overshoot]

First off, the ping rate for auto traffic is an enormous number of pulse durations or return times -- the radar will ignore returns coming back more than a couple of microseconds after it sends its last ping, and only needs to ping every few tens of milliseconds. That's a window of less than 0.1%.

If a car detects a return in a "forbidden" time slot, it can just switch to not using that frequency. Or use the kind of random backoff that Ethernet has been using now for forty years.

And that's just two solutions.

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[ShanghaiBill]

A trucker who experienced an incidence every 100,000 miles or so would be out of trucking in less than 6 months... or about 300,000 miles.

A trucker driving 60 mph 24/7 would not drive 300k miles in six months.

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[drinkypoo]

Yeah .. none of these were actual "incidents",

They're all moving violations with associated penalties if prosecuted. They could all reasonably be considered "incidents". The only thing that prevented them from becoming collisions was probably defensive driving on the part of others.

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[Computershack]

I've said for a long time that I would much rather be driving next to an automated vehicle that only experiences an "incidents" once every 100,000 miles or so

I'm a trucker. I've driven over 2 million miles accident free. Many truckers have. An incident every 100,000 miles would be one a year for me and at that rate I'd hand in my license.

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[Smauler]

You didn't reply to the AC's post. They were not incidents, they were potential incidents. If a trucker had an incident every 100,000 miles, they would not be a trucker for long.

I'm not excusing bad driving, there's loads of that about. However, your estimation that truckers generally have more than one incident every 100,000 miles on average is wrong.

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[Smauler]

Fucking hell drinkpoo, get a grip. People who drive for a living generally are better at it, and driving a truck is harder than driving a car.

The only problems truck drivers have on the road are vehicles other than trucks (99.9% of the time). Making it an "us vs them" issue is simplistic and childish.

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[drinkypoo]

Fucking hell drinkpoo, get a grip. People who drive for a living generally are better at it,

That might have been true, once. But record numbers of truckers have very little experience. Even if they want to be better at it, they don't yet know how. And frankly, I have seen too much bullshit driving from clearly inattentive truckers to believe your unsupported nonsense.

and driving a truck is harder than driving a car.

So what? Lots of things are harder than other things, that's not an excuse for doing them wrong — especially when the lives of others depend on you doing them right.

The only problems truck drivers have on the road are vehicles other than trucks (99.9% of the time).

Snicker snort. The biggest problem truck drivers have on the road, besides the ones that are just a danger to themselves and others all the time, is lack of sleep. This problem will be entirely eliminated by eliminating the truckers. Truckers get into single-vehicle accidents due to lack of sleep all the damned time.

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[Smauler]

But record numbers of truckers have very little experience.

What? Are you just saying that there are more truck drivers than there used to be?

So what? Lots of things are harder than other things, that's not an excuse for doing them wrong

Someone has to drive trucks, and driving trucks well is difficult. If you make only expert truck drivers allowed to drive, then you'll have a whole host of goods undelivered. Sometimes you've got to use what you've got.

The biggest problem truck drivers have on the road, besides the ones that are just a danger to themselves and others all the time, is lack of sleep.

Well, I'm from the EU, which has mandatory time limits on HGV driving and working. You can't work more than 48 hours a week as a driver, on average (the actual legislation is that you can't work more than 56 hours in a week, and no more than 96 hours in a fortnight, IIRC). If you're tired with that week, it's your fault.

Re:Highway Only to Speed Deployment

[drinkypoo]

Here, try this article and its comments.

truck hijacking

[Anonymous Coward]

id expect that trucks, especially out west would be susceptable to hijacks. thieves might be more inclined to try if there is no witness at the location and police response times would be long.

Re:truck hijacking

[king neckbeard]

If they don't have humans involved, they will still probably have quite a bit of sensory output, and most likely, some form of communications with their headquarters. The amount of money involved would easily justify the expenditures for a nice monitoring system, and the cargo might not even be readily accessible to unauthorized humans.

Re:what's in a name

[fisted]

"In 2025, they'll be promoted to "transport managers."

Where will this truckers work?

[Bruha]

That would replace millions of drivers where are they going to find employment?

Re:Where will this truckers work?

[CRCulver]

It's not just that out-of-work truckers must look for skilled positions, but rather that skilled people have had to get work as truckers.

I'm an avid hitchhiker, travelling some 20 thousand kilometres a year mostly around Europe, and so I regularly meet truckers who are bored on their routine journeys and want someone to chat with. Early on I had to overcome my stereotype, fostered by films and television shows set mainly in the US, that truckers are blue-collar slobs. A lot of truck drivers in Eastern Europe are educated people (e.g. geologists, electronics engineers, ) who only turned to truck driving because it was one of the only reliable jobs in the economic downturn of the 1990s. One of my most recent drivers had a degree in chemistry but decided that life in a lab wasn't for him, and in his poor country driving for a foreign-owned logistics company was better pay anyway.

More logical application

[Anonymous Coward]

Trucks represent a more logical application of autonomous driving. Three reasons that come to mind right off the bat - 1- Big trucks represent a significant capital investment, therefore incorporating self driving tech represents a lower percentage cost increase. 2- Big potential to actually save money for the trucking fleet. Payback time frame may be fairly short. 3 - Potential to reduce or eliminate driver fatigue issues. About a half dozen other good reasons are popping into my head.

If we're talking long haul freight ...

[Anonymous Coward]

Why not just start with self driving trains. It would be a whole lot simpler for much the same result.

Re:If we're talking long haul freight ...

[TheRaven64]

Because, in the USA especially, lots of Federal government money has been spent connecting the major population centres with roads. Very little has been spent on the rail infrastructure. If you can make it work on roads, then you can take advantage of all of the existing infrastructure cheaply.

Re:If we're talking long haul freight ...

[Plumpaquatsch]

Look at what happened on one existing self-driving train system:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/June_2009_Washington_Metro_train_collision

Even in the simplest possible scenario (closed and tightly controlled metro system), the biggest self-driving train system in North America (not sure about the rest of the world) STILL wasn't able to avoid a fatal accident. This accident makes me wonder if it's simply beyond the capability of humanity to engineer a complex, self-driving train system that won't malfunction and cause fatal accidents.

So how many fatal accidents in manned trains? Let's cut this line of argument short and go straight to the obvious solution: abandon all technology. You go first.

alternative already exists

[Anonymous Coward]

It is called 'The Train'. Why send a driver on 1000+mile trips when you can put the load on a train and collect it at the other end and have a short journey fro mthe railhead to the final destination.
The distance to railheads in some parts of the US might be a problem but in Europe this might not be.

There was a cartoon in a paper many years ago where a collection of self driving cars were assembled into a 'train'. The Doh moment made me laugh.

Re:alternative already exists

[TheRaven64]

There was a cartoon in a paper many years ago where a collection of self driving cars were assembled into a 'train'. The Doh moment made me laugh.

The advantage of the cars in this model is that they speed up unloading. Go and watch a freight train being unloaded some time, it's a massive endeavour. Now imagine if each of the trucks could just drive off along the roads on its own as soon as the train arrived at its destination.

Re:alternative already exists

[niftymitch]

.....

The advantage of the cars in this model is that they speed up unloading. Go and watch a freight train being unloaded some time, it's a massive endeavour. Now imagine if each of the trucks could just drive off along the roads on its own as soon as the train arrived at its destination.

Consider extensive automation of the loading and contrast with the extensive automation and risks of
automated trucking.

Scheduling driver pickup and routing is the nut none have cracked yet.

Re:alternative already exists

[Smauler]

I used to drive a route, Bury St Edmunds, Kettering, Winchester, then back to Bury St Edmunds every day (along with London on thursdays). It was in a big artic. At the first stop, I was unloaded and reloaded (with tyres), at the second I changed trailers. 340 miles every day, and I was always within tacho law. (for Americans, drivers in the EU are strictly regulated on the hours they can work(

I don't know what you're suggesting as a replacement for this kind of system.

The warehouse in Bury st Edmunds is just a big room with about 10 people (total, including night shift) loading and unloading trucks all day long. I am talking about the largest wholesaler of tyres in the UK here.

Might as well go back to rail

[rossdee]

If they make the truckers redundant then we might as well go back to rail for most of our overland transport. Its much more effificient and can ber electified, so a lot less CO2 produced.

The main reason that trucks replaced rail was because of the teamsters.

Re:Might as well go back to rail

[RichMan]

Rail does not go to the final point of delivery. Even with rail you have to move it to truck for final delivery. The cost of moving from rail to truck needs to come down a lot. Some of this is done with container shipping. Still in most cases it is easier to centrally load a truck have it driver over a couple of states then do local deliveries to many places. You do this with many trucks from a central warehouse. The cost these days is in loading, unloading and managing what is in the shipment.

Re:Might as well go back to rail

[overshoot]

The main reason that trucks replaced rail was because of the

.. enormous subsidy that the USA put into highways starting in the 1950s. It was ostensibly to create a transportation system that would not fold up following a nuclear attack, but like all such things it took on a life of its own.

If you haven't seen this ...

[Rambo Tribble]

... it's in a related vein: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g-27BcV6NUE&feature=kp

better idea

[fustakrakich]

Use railroads instead. It's much easier to automate. Mixing human operators and autonomous machines on the highways doesn't sound too palatable.

Re:better idea

[rubycodez]

we're already doing that, I live near the rail hub of the USA and see huge trains full of truck trailers daily.

Someone's going to have a lot of fun

[overshoot]

injecting bogus congestion information into the network.

Inherent problems

[Justpin]

In that are they going to make the trucks self loading as well?, I don't know about the US but you see quite a few trucks which have cranes and fork lift trucks attached to the back or a powered tail lift. They get the driver to operate these things as not all places have truck height unloading bays or fork lift trucks either. Heh I remember unloading a refrigerated truck with another bloke with a fork lift dolly and a powered tail gate, it took forever to unload.

Re:Inherent problems

[drinkypoo]

are they going to make the trucks self loading as well?,

Well, we do have the technology. We could have pallets with big fat QR codes slapped on the side (and by "big fat" I mean three inches or so) and robotic pallet jacks unloading the trucks, or trailers with floors that would shove pallets out the back of the truck automatically, and trucks loaded in proper order for that to make sense. For stuff that's delivered by the truckload, a whole trailer or shipping container could be unloaded and just dropped off to be dealt with by someone other than the trucker entirely.

I remember unloading a refrigerated truck with another bloke with a fork lift dolly and a powered tail gate, it took forever to unload.

If the dolly is robotic and it controls the lift gate, then it not only will go quicker than if you're involved (don't need any room for you in the system) but it can use an optimizer to determine what order in which to shift pallets if they aren't in proper order. So can a relatively intelligent human, of course, but what percentage of people shifting pallets are that? Obviously some...

Re:Inherent problems

[Computershack]

Well, we do have the technology. We could have pallets with big fat QR codes slapped on the side (and by "big fat" I mean three inches or so) and robotic pallet jacks unloading the trucks, or trailers with floors that would shove pallets out the back of the truck automatically, and trucks loaded in proper order for that to make sense. For stuff that's delivered by the truckload, a whole trailer or shipping container could be unloaded and just dropped off to be dealt with by someone other than the trucker entirely.

Lots of loads can't be palletised. There would also have to be massive investment by the delivery locations as well.

Re:Inherent problems

[drinkypoo]

Lots of loads can't be palletised.

Sure, big stuff. Either a trailer gets dropped off for a time, a massive pallet is invented, or a standard for crane attachment is developed.

Re:Inherent problems

[mister_playboy]

Just increasing the fuel capacity seems to be a lot easier.

Re:Inherent problems

[Justpin]

Er trucks have pretty big tanks, in France the legal limit is 1500 litres, they split this into 999litres and 501litre tanks to dodge various rules of hazardous materials. A lot of EU countries have lorries with 2400 litre tanks, they just don't drive through France to get here as the Gendarmes check them. It is a source of annoyance for the UK truck industry as many European trucks (where diesel is cheaper) would come with tanks brimmed and would be able to make a delivery using UK roads without buying any fuel or contributing to using the roads. They now get charged £10 ($16) at ports.

Re:Inherent problems

[Justpin]

Nah £10 of diesel fuel would yield £6.40 of tax for the government. A lot of Eu countries have similar on the border charges. Vignette in Switzerland gets everybody for instance,

Re:Inherent problems

[stoploss]

£10 surcharge is equivalent to the tax on £15.63 of fuel... somehow, I am guessing that 2400 L costs more than that.

Unless there is some sort of tax recapture reciprocity/equalization between the UK and the rest of Europe, that fee doesn't do much of anything to level your playing field.

Re:Inherent problems

[Justpin]

Equalise? It's even more stupid than that, as UK lorries also have to pay the £10 charge... it is also a daily charge of £10 with an upper limit of £1000 The government were supposed to compensate HGV companies by reducing the amount of road tax they paid, in reality the government did no such thing.

Prepare Now

[JimSadler]

Yes, autonomous drivers are a wonderful invention but no one is focusing on the social changes that must take place. We are eliminating employment at an ever increasing pace. If we fail to make provisions for keeping people above water without regard to whether they work or not we are going to bring down our society into the worst collapse of all times. If we generate poverty we will generate rebellion and chaos. Meanwhile we have people chained to dogmas who are in denial about what is occurring. And here we have China 3D printing ten homes in a day with one fairly small machine. The trades are about to take a really hard hit.

Re:Prepare Now

[1369IC]

I keep bringing this up to my "you can get a job if you want one" friends and their eyes glaze over. It's inevitable, and at the same time unthinkable. Even my more liberal friends respond with the more of the same of what they think we should be doing now. The only person who seems to understand is a brother of mine who believes the "elites are going to depopulate the world" theory. I think guaranteed income is a start, and cutting the hours in a work week is a good step. But in this climate (in the U.S.) that's a laughable pipe dream. I think we should go to a freemium concept. You get a 3D printed house and a certain amount of food grown by agricultural robots on federal land. And maybe basic TV and ubiquitous wifi. Anything above that and you have to get a job and pay for it. There are a certain number of people who will just spend their time lying about doing nothing, but I think the majority of people will want something enough to get a job. Also, people who don't have to slave away at something crappy will have the freedom to try something creative. I think a world full of boutique shops -- like etsy but on carts or store fronts -- would spring up.

Re:Prepare Now

[iroll]

Yes, clearly we must protect obsolete industries at any cost.

Re:Prepare Now

[Anonymous Coward]

It's not about protecting the obsolete industries, because the transition will be inevitable. But we really must begin preparing the public safety net, because the "everyone that wants a job can find one" idea is going to go away, the more we can automate the low-skill work. We can college educate more and more people, we can teach them to be designers and engineers and scientists, but there are still going to be more and more people that just can't find a place. And we are going to have to be prepared, as a society, to have a place for these people.

Over 3.5 million truckers in the US

[rabbin]

There are apparently over 3.5 million professional truck drivers in the US--that's over 1 out of every 100 Americans (see here http://www.truckinfo.net/truck... ) . And while I assume this technology will initially support the driver rather than substitute them, eventually they *will* be substituted.

Now, I am not saying that I am against this technology or the vast multitude of other technologies that are replacing formerly human work--I think technology is a great thing which, used properly, can make life dramatically more enjoyable. However, I don't believe man at the individual level is infinitely adaptable to system that requires he/she hold an economic worth in order to survive (and live a good life) when technology is increasingly rendering nature's several billion year old creations uncompetitive. Our economic system as it currently is will leave these people unable to support themselves, and then you have poverty, crime, and death (and since I have empathy and I am not a sociopath, I think this needs to be avoided...)

Some US conservatives I know claim that this will not happen and man is infinitely adaptable as an individual (and a very small handful of others say the poverty, crime, and death is a good solution). Some US liberals I know claim that we should just drop technology altogether and return to a "simpler time." All three of these "solutions" are incredibly stupid, so fortunately most respond with "I don't know." I personally look forward to a future where both technology and an "innate human worth" (rather than a solely "economic worth") can be embraced, but that inevitably means many people won't be working or will be working very little.

But if the many "trust fund baby"/never-had-to-work-a-day-in-their-lives people that are peppered about my area are any indication of what this future will be like, then it doesn't sound so bad: writing poetry or doing other forms of artwork all day, running very small (and unprofitable) "hobby farms," socializing all day, etc etc (no, they didn't turn to drugs or other antisocial activities because there was "nothing to do"...that stuff stems from poverty, not unemployment)

Re:Over 3.5 million truckers in the US

[drinkypoo]

There are apparently over 3.5 million professional truck drivers in the US--that's over 1 out of every 100 Americans

holy shit. 1% of us wasting our lives doing a job that a train could do at least 50% of the time. land of the free, indeed.

Re:Over 3.5 million truckers in the US

[Nephandus]

Welfare litters aren't based on sanity but greed without accountability, which ironically is moralized for that socioeconomic bracket. Only those sanely seeking profit particularly care to police their own breeding. Besides, your totalitarian hell wouldn't survive a generation of people having minds of their own. Who cares to live on the basis of mere survival? Not most potential technocrats, which you'd require, unless you want to subsist as only a slightly updated stone age culture. Rather against the point of being people instead of surrendering the biomass to amoeba, but that might explain why you think it'd survive. It'd require mind-control: goodthink, crimethink, minitrue, miniluv etc. You'd have to depersonalize each person. Their psyches would be mere tools to make the meaningless pattern that'd pass for human culture. Rather prefer microbial cultures. A more honest and efficient means of sustaining mere biomass for its own sake.

Re:Over 3.5 million truckers in the US

[rubycodez]

only immigrants (especially illegals) make the USA population grow, without them it would shrink

The reality is world population will peak about 2070 and then shrink, your claims of how many people can be sustained are without foundation. that is a pure engineering problem with known solutions. Resources aren't disappearing, there is fuel for millenia and any minerals don't disappear. Even the hype about helium is nonsense, most helium just vented from wells at the present. We only have engineering problems, not the guaranteed doom you chicken littles spout, aping without understanding

Re:Over 3.5 million truckers in the US

[rubycodez]

deadliest job in USA, over 12% of all work related deaths are of truckers and that usually involving cars. good riddance to people killer

all those lamp lighters had to find another job too, such is progress.

Re:Over 3.5 million truckers in the US

[rubycodez]

Not bullshit at all, you mention distribution problem which is just another engineering problem. Then you mention small percentage of people who are in prison for stealing, not relevant at all since most somehow get by without doing that. though if we want to make more opportunity for people then we're back to engineering problems again.

really, it's so simple, while between your ears you make things needlessly complex

Rail?

[bradley13]

What I do not understand about Germany - indeed this whole region of Europe (I'm in Switzerland) is this: We have excellent rail systems, why not put long-distance cargo on the trains? There are various initiatives to do exactly this, but they meet with a wide range of passive and active resistance. Fact is, given the existing rail system, using trucks for long-distance freight makes no sense at all.

One of the sources of resistance are the truck drivers, but their profession is doomed anyway for long distance transport. The automated trucks are a logical extension of automated vehicles - heck, they may happen before cars. But putting an individual engine on every container is anything but efficient - maybe this will actually be the impetus for getting the stuff on the rails...

Re:Rail?

[CRCulver]

There are still places in Europe where trucks are an important form of transporting goods. For example, the route from Poland up the Baltic countries is badly served by rail, so every day there are many hundreds of trucks on the Via Baltica. A lot of trade between Turkey and the Balkans also proceeds along routes that are better served by trucks than rail.

Re:Rail?

[umafuckit]

You would probably need additional infrastructure to move goods on a large scale by rail. Right now trucks go directly from pick up location to drop-off location. With rail that likely wouldn't be possible. So you would either need trucks to get goods on and off the train, doubling the number of times items must be loaded/unloaded, or you need to move goods processing depots next to the tracks or send track to depots. Furthermore, if rail is adopted on a large scale as a distribution network then you will likely need more track and more switches. Thus, I can see various reasons why the initiatives have failed. It may not be just vested interests that are holding things back. Quite possible it's also more complicated than just "using the existing rail system."

Re:Rail?

[Anonymous Coward]

That second part is not true. Bulgaria (which is where the Turkish drivers have to go through) have an excellent rail system, even for freight. Thing is.. Turkish drivers and their unions do not want to pay. Instead they cause incidents daily, run cars off the road, and kill people, violate required rest periods etc...

Re:Rail?

[CRCulver]

When I said "the Balkans", I was thinking about countries after Bulgaria. Turkey does a lot of trade with Albania, Kosovo, Macedonia and Bosnia, but rail in that area is usually less efficient than truck.

Turkish drivers and their unions do not want to pay. Instead they cause incidents daily, run cars off the road, and kill people, violate required rest periods etc...

Stereotyping everyone on the basis of a minority of bad apples isn't fair. I live in Romania, and I hitchhike across Bulgaria to Turkey (or go to Serbia first and then cross Bulgaria to Turkey) a couple of times every year, and I can't say that my Turkish drivers have been worse than anyone else. They've all obeyed the tachograph and stop when they are required to (which can be frustrating for a hitchhiker who wants to keep moving), and in the summer when all trucks must stop during the day so as to not damage the hot, soft asphalt, they pull into one of their innumerable little roadside Turkish cafés that remind me of merchant colonies of old.

Re:Rail?

[Plumpaquatsch]

What I do not understand about Germany - indeed this whole region of Europe (I'm in Switzerland) is this: We have excellent rail systems, why not put long-distance cargo on the trains? There are various initiatives to do exactly this, but they meet with a wide range of passive and active resistance. Fact is, given the existing rail system, using trucks for long-distance freight makes no sense at all.

Most major rail lines in Western Europe are running at full capacity.

"Autonomous" mining and logging trucks...

[beaverdownunder]

...have been around for years. I know they don't generally share the road (except with hapless interlopers who have to get out of the way) but there's still been much knowledge gleaned there. So the 'science' is already eay more advanced than with autonomous cars, for example.

Video of Army autonomous vehicle test

[1369IC]

The Army has conducted several successful tests of this. Video of one is here.

Re:Video of Army autonomous vehicle test

[rHBa]

Don't forget the Terramax.

dur, edit

[drinkypoo]

s/eBay/Youtube/

You know, $BIGSITE

Maximum Overdrive.

[Vellmont]

Finally an excuse to re-make the terrible movie Maximum Overdrive. If you're one of the 99% of the population that's never heard of it, it's a movie where the trucks go crazy, drive themselves, and try to kill all of humanity. An interesting concept, but horribly executed. Based on a book by Stephen King, some nut let him direct it.

No subject needed

[Charcharodon]

They don't need better tech in the trucks, all they need to do is have truck only roads. Really in some areas it would be about time. There are plenty of old rail lines that would be perfect for truck only routes that could have stupid sized land train trucks running on them.

Re:what's in a name

[Noughmad]

"In 2025, they'll be promoted to "transport managers."

And then, around 2030, to "route supervisors".

Rail?

[Jmstuckman]

As the previous AC post alluded, the particular requirements of freight and passenger transport don't mix well. The United States moves a massive amount of freight by rail, with very few long-distance rail lines being totally dedicated to passenger transport. Unfortunately, the unique requirements for passenger and freight traffic don't mix well.

Freight trains travel at lower speeds than the ideal passenger train, and acceleration and deceleration is extremely slow and inefficient. In the USA, the rail lines that share track with freight suffer from very slow average speeds and long delays, as they get stuck behind freight trains and are sometimes forced to stop and wait for conflicting traffic to pass. This results in long delays (both on long-distance lines and on local commuter lines which share freight tracks into the city) and the inability to add extra trains to improve service. Furthermore, for a passenger train to survive a crash with a freight train, an extraordinary amount of extra mass must be built into the passenger train, raising costs considerably. (Look up the Wikipedia page for the USA's Acela Express rolling stock.)

Re:what's in a name

[nospam007]

"In 2025, they'll be promoted to "transport managers."

They'll be demoted to 'unpaid auxiliary worker' or ' on a loooong unpaid break' during the time the autopilot is active.

just another case of technology run amok!

[meeotch]

Has nobody at Mercedes considered the collateral damage their "innovation" will cause? Do they not realize what this will do to the truck stop blowjob market?

Will somebody *please* think of the Lizards?

p.s.: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eP7sSk3rwm0

We in the USA better get EU like healthcare by the

[Joe_Dragon]

We in the USA better get EU like healthcare by then or the this automation will lead to lot's of people being out of work and in some places having to goto jail / prison just to have a doctor.

Re:what's in a name

[kheldan]

If this becomes a reality in the U.S. during my lifetime, I sure as fuck hope they're sitting there in the cab, supervising the onboard systems, ready to take over when (not if, but when) it fucks up. Autonomous cars are a scary enough idea to me, but 40 tons of truck travelling at highway speeds, with no one in the cab? Oh, hell no..

The US needs medical care for all

[Joe_Dragon]

The job based system needs to go.

Re:what's in a name

[fisted]

It's out of question that it will sometimes fuck up. It's desirable as long as it does not fuck up as much as humans do.

I for one welcome our Truckatron overlords...

[Applehu Akbar]

...because of the lack of concern an automaton has with penis size. In those long upgrades where trucks are grinding slowly up the hill, we will no longer have to sit behind that 20 mph truck ignoring the 'Trucks use right lane' signage in vainly attempting to get past the 19.5 mph truck operating in the designated lane.

Re:As a truck driver in the US

[jeffb (2.718)]

I feel a little bit of awe every time I watch a truck driver backing a trailer up to a dock. It's an impressive skill. However, I'm quite certain that this is one area where humans don't stand a chance against an automated system with access to radar/ultrasound/camera data from multiple angles. Same thing, I'm sure, for dropping and hooking. No matter how good you are at what you do, you have only two eyes, constrained to look in a single direction at a time, and you can't pay close attention to more than a couple of data streams at a time.

As for loading and unloading -- do you really want your most valuable skill to be lugging and stacking boxes? Sure, humans will probably be more flexible in that regard for many years to come, but we're also terribly vulnerable to workplace injuries while we're doing it.

Better yet

[terrywirth5]

Mercedes should be investing in rail freight infrastructure and technology that would keep heavy vehicles off our roads. Fat chance though as the don't sell railway cars. If we revived rail freight at the expense of heavy trucks, the jobs gained would offset those lost. Plus, air pollution, and roadway maintenance and congestion would drastically reduce.