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Out of the Warehouse: Climate Researchers Rescue Long-Lost Satellite Images

sciencehabit (1205606) writes "Once stashed in warehouses in Maryland and North Carolina, images and video captured from orbit by some of NASA's first environmental satellites in the mid-1960s are now yielding a trove of scientific data. The Nimbus satellites, originally intended to monitor Earth's clouds in visible and infrared wavelengths, also would have captured images of sea ice, researchers at the University of Colorado's National Snow and Ice Data Center realized when they heard about the long-lost film canisters in 2009. After acquiring the film—and then tracking down the proper equipment to read and digitize its 16-shades-of-gray images, which had been taken once every 90 seconds or so—the team set about scanning and then stitching the images together using sophisticated software. So far, more than 250,000 images have been made public, including the first image taken by Nimbus-1 on 31 August 1964, of an area near the tip of the Antarctic Peninsula. Besides yielding a wealth of sea ice data, the data recovery project, which will end early next year, could also be used to extend satellite records of deforestation and sea surface temperatures."

16 of 136 comments (clear)

  1. warehouse by rossdee · · Score: 5, Funny

    is this from Warehouse 13?

    1. Re:warehouse by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah. They used a look-into-the-future technology to determine that data collected and stored in the 60s might contradict your political paranoia 50 years later. It's the same tech they used to print Obama's birth announcement in Hawaiian newspapers because (again) they knew that one day a Kenyan would try to get elected to the White House.

  2. It could be illegal. by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 4, Funny

    These film were stored in North Carolina. It is actually illegal there to predict sea level rise. There is some question about whether the law makers there banned the prediction of sea level rise or the banned sea level rise itself. But anyway these NASA scientists need to tread carefully in North Carolina.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:It could be illegal. by clovis · · Score: 5, Informative

      These film were stored in North Carolina. It is actually illegal there to predict sea level rise. There is some question about whether the law makers there banned the prediction of sea level rise or the banned sea level rise itself. But anyway these NASA scientists need to tread carefully in North Carolina.

      Total bullshit on the part of the media.
      You've got to learn to not believe what reporters say. Read the actual bill.
      http://www.ncleg.net/Sessions/...

      "The Commission shall direct the Science Panel to include in its five-year updated assessment a
      comprehensive review and summary of peer-reviewed scientific literature that address the full
      range of global, regional, and North Carolina-specific sea-level change data and hypotheses,
      including sea-level fall, no movement in sea level, deceleration of sea-level rise, and
      acceleration of sea-level rise. When summarizing research dealing with sea level, the
      Commission and the Science Panel shall define the assumptions and limitations of predictive
      modeling used to predict future sea-level scenarios. "

      The first version of the bill was the one that the news picked up and, well, just plain made up bald-faced lies about.
      Here it is:
      "Historic rates of sea-level rise may be extrapolated to estimate future rates of rise but shall not include scenarios
      of accelerated rates of sea-level rise unless such rates are from statistically significant,
      peer-reviewed data and are consistent with historic trends. Rates of sea-level rise shall not be
      one rate for the entire coast, but rather the Commission shall consider separately oceanfront and
      estuarine shorelines."

      See the part about not including 'acccelerated rates of sea-level rise"? That's the controversial part of the bill. By taking the most extreme sea-level rise predictions, some sea-side community was announcing a need for huge sums of money to prepare for the "predicted rise". The bill was simply saying that you had to use peer-reviewed data and historical trends.

      I don't have a problem with the legislature requiring both historical and peer-reviewed data for predictions of sea-level rise, and I cannot imagine any scientist having a problem with that.

    2. Re:It could be illegal. by dywolf · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's modded funny, yet it's all too sadly true.
      City and State planning commission folks wanted to be prepared, and incorporate future sea level rise into any future construction on the coast, such as docks, ports, etc. Anything that could be affected by rising seas.

      So naturally the state legislature reacts by banning any such considerations or planning for the future and force all construction to stay in harms way. Which is absolutely idiotic. And frankly, it's a fundamental ethics violation for any civil or construction engineers to follow this law. knowing that it will directly put such projects at risk for future damage, the same as leaving out structural fireproofing or any other common safety practice.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    3. Re:It could be illegal. by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 5, Interesting
      This was the original bill they were circulating. See the section 2e that mandates the use of linear interpolation? Limits the data set to post 1900? They were dropped only after getting nationwide attention.

      These legislators have been slipping such clauses into the law all the time, and this time they got caught. Otherwise they would have happily forced the value of pi to be 3.0 exact.

      Do you have problems with the legislators decreeing what interpolation technique the scientists must use? Limiting the data sets they might use? Or do you modify the bill after getting caught with hands in the cookie jar and then whip up prodigal quantities of false outrage?

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      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    4. Re:It could be illegal. by ljw1004 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Total bullshit on the part of the media... The first version of the bill was the one that the news picked up and, well, just plain made up bald-faced lies about.
      Here it is:


      "Historic rates of sea-level rise may be extrapolated to estimate future rates of rise but shall not include scenarios
      of accelerated rates of sea-level rise unless such rates are from statistically significant,
      peer-reviewed data and are consistent with historic trends."

      Clovis, how do you reconcile the "first version" text you quoted with this one? http://www.nccoast.org/uploads...

      These rates shall only be determined using historical data, and these data shall be limited to the time
      period following the year 1900. Rates of sea-level rise may be extrapolated linearly to estimate
      future rates of rise but shall not include scenarios of accelerated rates of sea-level rise.

      This version of the text totally reverses your conclusions. Was this "linear-only" text earlier than the one you quoted? Or did it come afterwards, indicating that the legislative draft actually got worse over time?

  3. only 16 shades of grey? by ilsaloving · · Score: 4, Funny

    They could have had a much more interesting picture if they had used 50.

  4. Re:Straight to the pointless debate by geekoid · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Not likely since AGW is based on science, and scientific method. Where as deniers are just a bunch of dolts with no science behind them. Ask yourself this: How come AGW deniers never talk about the actual science?
    They make post like you do: No evidence, no data, every scientist, every agency, every competing country are all in some conspiracy and only the enlightened few* can see 'The Truth!'

    *get over yourself already

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  5. Re:Straight to the pointless debate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    This isn't just flamebait. http://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/

  6. Re:Straight to the pointless debate by radtea · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I dont know about the satellite data, but in the case of the surface record, there can be no scientific reason to adjust temperature measurements. Such measurements are the core of the science .. things are measured and the values are what they are. It is never scientific to process past measurements and then call them "corrected" (which is what the climate folks are doing with the surface record.)

    That statement is false.

    Science is the discipline of publicly testing ideas by systematic observation, controlled experiment, and Bayesian inference.

    There are many reasons why one might get the idea that past temperature records have systematic inaccuracies that may require correction. The urban heat island effect is one large one, which tends to produce higher uncorrected temperatures over time. The phenomenon is simple in principle: cities generate heat, have more dark surfaces, and trap heat in buildings etc which gets re-radiated at night. Weather stations sited near cities have typically become increasingly surrounded by them over the past century, because cities have grown.

    Ergo, the instrumental temperature record from many stations needs to be corrected downward to account for this effect, if we want to pull out the environmental temperature (what we are generally interested in.)

    This is what we do all the time in science. We start with a raw instrumental measurement and then apply various theory-dependent corrections to infer the underlying quantity we are actually interested in. For example, at the LHC, physicists measure the raw detection rates of various particles in multiple detectors, and then correct them for known background rates etc (frequently using ancillary measurements in the same detectors to determine those rates) to infer the presence (or absence) of the Higgs boson.

    What you are saying is "never scientific" is in fact the core of the scientific process, and it makes no difference if the original data were taken today or fifty years ago: they are open to justifiable correction by anyone who sees fit. If you have the idea that the corrections applied are unjustified, feel free to challenge them, but please don't go promoting your fallacious vision of what science is and how it works.

    And by the way, if you are interested in what an analysis of the uncorrected instrumental temperature record looks like at one particular station, here is an example: http://www.tjradcliffe.com/?p=...

    --
    Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  7. Re: Too late for that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    Here's a paper from the group discussing sea ice extent in 1964, using the Nimbus data:
    http://www.the-cryosphere.net/7/699/2013/tc-7-699-2013.pdf

  8. Re:Straight to the pointless debate by Garfong · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Or another way of thinking of it is you're using the measured data to estimate a hidden variable which is what you're really interested in. E.g. in this case you have a number of measurements near cities, and you're trying to estimate the global/wide-area average temperature. So you apply a correction to get from city temperature to an estimate of the wide-area average temperature.

    (This is mostly in response to GP).

  9. Re:Straight to the pointless debate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    You mean where they say "Observed changes in global mean surface air temperature since 1950 (from three major databases, as anomalies relative to 1961–1990) are shown in Figure 1.4. As in the prior assessments, global climate models generally simulate global temperatures that compare well with
    observations over climate timescales (Section 9.4). Even though the projections from the models were never intended to be predictions over such a short timescale, the observations through 2012 generally fall within the projections made in all past assessments. The 1990–2012 data have been shown to be consistent with the FAR projections (IPCC, 1990), and not consistent with zero trend from 1990, even inthe presence of substantial natural variability (Frame and Stone, 2013)."

    Is that where they dismiss the models outright? Perhaps *you* should read it.

    Your claim does not stand up to scrutiny.

  10. Re:Straight to the pointless debate by geekoid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    they are deniers, not skeptics. Skeptics apply critical thinking and make an effort to understand the science.
    Deniers don't do either.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  11. Re:Straight to the pointless debate by nadaou · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I happen to live near one of the main weather stations which was caught up in that FOX News brouhaha and happen to know about the local history. tl;dr as usual, the whole story was all a load of vaporous bullshit. And apparently it worked since you took the bait.

    One hundred years ago the local weather station was established outside the harbor master's office down by the docks (and the water). The city grew up and forty years ago or so the weather station was moved 500 feet up a hill to outside the local observatory, which is surrounded by forest.

    Moving a temperature sensor away from a large body of water, out of a "heat island" of now-paved urban roads, out of a canyon of concrete and glass buildings, and to a higher elevation will all change the readings of the sensor. If you want to keep a continuous record before and after moving, before and after various construction projects and re-roofing nearby, and before and after population changes, you're going to have to figure out and apply a correction factor for each of these things.

    There is nothing particularly unusual about our local weather station's story which hasn't been repeated in most cities around the world. So it is not surprising that noisy long term time series need to be cleaned up before being fed into sensitive predictive models. It would be dishonest not to if you know there was a change in the sampling history which required it.

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    ~.~
    I'm a peripheral visionary.