What Will It Take To Make Automated Vehicles Legal In the US?
ashshy writes Tesla, Google, and many other companies are working on self-driving cars. When these autopilot systems become perfected and ubiquitous, the roads should be safer by orders of magnitude. So why doesn't Tesla CEO Elon Musk expect to reach that milestone until 2013 or so? Because the legal framework that supports American road rules is incredibly complex, and actually handled on a state-by-state basis. The Motley Fool explains which authorities Musk and his allies will have to convince before autopilot cars can hit the mainstream, and why the process will take another decade.
Automated vehicles that work?
I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
Q: What Will It Take To Make Automated Vehicles Legal In the US?
A: A lot of bribes for people at various levels of government.
Wait, did I say "bribes"? Sorry, I meant "lobbying and campaign contributions". I have a hard time telling those things apart.
Call me when they can make an automated car that car drive in snowy conditions when no lane landmarks are visible. Or one that can turn into a lane of busy traffic that currently requires you to make eye contact with another driver to get them to slow down and let you in. Then we can worry about legalizing it. Legalization is trivial compared to the technical challenges. Personally, I suspect that there won't be a truly automated cars in my lifetime.
We will never have truly *autonomous* vehicles driving on the same lanes in the same traffic as regular diver vehicles.
The problem is *not* technical in nature ultimately (now, the tech is not near sufficient, but assuming it could improve), the problem is *liability* for when something goes wrong.
What will happen: Dedicated lanes on interstates
Like HOV lanes, basically.
The only way it will actually be implemented is in controlled zones where there are much fewer variables...
To think anything else is magical thinking and not connected to reality
Thank you Dave Raggett
This assumes that robots are safer drivers than humans (which is an obvious requirement before they legalize it).
The reasons are clear:
1) Car insurances don't want to pay you because someone else hit your car, but they can't prove it. Robot cars decrease this risk.
There is a LOT of money spent by the insurance companies trying to prove fault. It is big business. By reducing the actual risk from other drivers, insurance companies will save billions, even if they never insure a robot car.
Also, insurance companies make money when things become safer - because rate changes are always behind actual risk changes. So more safety always equals insurance profits and less safety always equals insurance losses.
I agree that speed traps and red light cameras will vanish, but I am not so sure about toll roads. In fact, they might grow in power, using the robots to connect tolls. They might simply have a tax charge to drive fast in the state. As in, your robot car will be limited to 50 mph unless you purchase the NJ Fast Lane upgrade from New Jersey Transit.
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