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Black Swan Author: Genetically Modified Organisms Risk Global Ruin

KentuckyFC writes It's 20 years since the FDA approved the Flavr Savr tomato for human consumption, the first genetically engineered food to gain this status. Today, roughly 85 per cent of corn and 90 per cent of soybeans produced in the US are genetically modified. So it's easy to imagine that the scientific debate over the safety of genetically modified organisms has been largely settled. Not for Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan and several academic colleagues who say that the risks have been vastly underestimated. They say that genetically modified organisms threaten harm on a global scale, both to ecosystems and to human health. That's different from many conventional risks that threaten harm on a local scale, like nuclear energy for example. They argue that this global threat means that the precautionary principle ought to be applied to severely limit the way genetically modified organisms can be used.

432 comments

  1. Frist! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am former senator Bill Frist and I approve this message.

    1. Re: Frist! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you a frequent contributor?

    2. Re: Frist! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Of course! Every article has a Frist post!

  2. It's killing microorganism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's killing microorganisms that aid in the production of oxygen, so any moron can guess what that'll mean...

    1. Re:It's killing microorganism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      ... it means that vaccinations cause downs syndrom?

    2. Re:It's killing microorganism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      not the same thing retard...

    3. Re:It's killing microorganism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      GMO won't cause humans much trouble, but killing microorganism and all insects guess what that'll do..
      and it's not a conspiracy theory, it's just an outright fact.

      unlike vaccination scares... (funny you bring that up trying to discredit facts, love your Monsanto paycheck?)

    4. Re:It's killing microorganism by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

      Where are we getting killing all insects from, and why was that concern not brought up when we just use pesticides? I think we are actually a great deal closer to having resistant pests than no insects.

      --
      This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    5. Re:It's killing microorganism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because pesticide use is localized to a specific field, but there's nothing stopping GMO pollen from spreading willy-nilly, eventually across the entire globe. To think that we can prevent nature from doing what it does best is the ultimate in folly.

    6. Re:It's killing microorganism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      exactly my point ;)

    7. Re:It's killing microorganism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      nature from doing what it does best

      What nature does best: Adapt.

    8. Re:It's killing microorganism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are deadly poisonous plants that have already spread all over the world already yet...
      IIIII iiiii IIIIII IIIIII I'm still alive. Hey, hey, hey /eddie vedder voice

    9. Re:It's killing microorganism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      love your Monsanto paycheck?

      How much do you make marketing The Black Swan?

    10. Re:It's killing microorganism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      unlike vaccination scares... (funny you bring that up trying to discredit facts, love your Monsanto paycheck?)

      Is it comforting to imagine that everyone who expresses disagreement with you is on the payroll of a shadowy conspiracy?

    11. Re:It's killing microorganism by tibit · · Score: 1

      So, you truly believe that the pests won't quickly evolve resistance to whatever mechanism is spread by those modified genes? Thanks, that's all I need to know. NEXT please.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
  3. Taleb's Racist! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

    That book should be named African-American Swan!

    1. Re:Taleb's Racist! by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      ...or better yet: "The Africanized Swan".

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    2. Re:Taleb's Racist! by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      All swans are black here in Oz, they also like to surf.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  4. That's fine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    as long as we cut population growth too.

  5. Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    We've been modifying organisms for thousands of years, through splicing and selective breeding, and others.

    OH NO, LOOK AT THIS HORROR WE LIVE IN TODAY.

  6. More conservative fear-mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Our knowledge of science and the logical certainty it brings has made fear obsolete.

    1. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      If only that were true.

    2. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      It's interesting to discuss certainty in the context of the author of The Black Swan. His book is about how people do a piss-poor job of preparing for never-before-seen scenarios.

      Like how they design skyscrapers to resist ground-level bombing and natural disasters, but until 9/11 there wasn't any engineering attention to jet-fuel temperature fires damaging the superstructure(there is in new buildings now).

      I disagree with his hypothesis. The abstract doesn't articulate some particular case, but just some "you never know, so don't predicate the whole world on it" logic. That's in keeping with his previous books' premise, but fundamentally the argument is implausible: unspecified disaster due to widespread adoption.

    3. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by babymac · · Score: 1

      I'm as liberal any one on Slashdot. While I don't know the author's political leanings, I will say that this GMO flavor of fear-mongering has usually been generated by the left.

      --
      "War makes me sad." - Me
    4. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      You forgot your mandatory optional fearless medication, citizen. Please step into the nearest confession booth so that you can be happy. Only commie mutant traitors are afraid.

      The computer is your friend.

    5. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by i+kan+reed · · Score: 2

      Yep, there's a sharp divide among us peoples on the left involved in environmentalism between those who see our environmental stability as crucial to human happiness and preserving natural beauty for future generations versus those who think "natural=good" "unnatural=bad". We put up with the latter group because a lot of times the goal is the same(save our national parks, keep our drinking water free of contaminants, limit global warming) and allies are necessary to win elections.

      But we also have to repeatedly distance ourselves from the "no nuclear ever", "GMOs are evil", "herbal remedies are better" beliefs that can actually hurt the environment. And some of the biggest environmental concerns pragmatists(natural runoff pollution affecting river DO levels, water rights concerns, the occasional animal population control measure) have don't excite those groups, which sucks too.

    6. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by Echo_Hotel · · Score: 1

      Coming from an agricultural state I can say without a doubt Fear Mongering is produced by those trying to make a buck and sold to the stupid, Politics of left right center have no bearing on things it's just a product to sell. Democrat Republican hippy or business tycoon it's all just playing to the crowd for attention.

    7. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You don't need a hypothesis. For risk, we look at probability and impact. The impact here is off the scale. The probability is unknown. There's a lot of people here pretending they know the probability, but I haven't seen any evidence to say we do know it. That's all you need to know to understand that we should approach GM crops cautiously. I assume all the 'Go GMO crowd' are children, with no experience in the world. Children, and idiots, think everything they don't understand is easy.

    8. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, people on the far-left can be just as stupid as the far-right. The important difference is that the far-left wackos don't control a mainstream political party, and the far-right crazies do.

    9. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by i+kan+reed · · Score: 2

      No, sorry, you have to have a justifiable concern, even if questionable, to object to something. "It could be bad, maybe, we just don't know" isn't enough.

    10. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by neural.disruption · · Score: 1

      As opposed to idiots that think that everything they don't understand is hard and wrong.

    11. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      There are no conservatives in America.

    12. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      We're engaging in rapid development on a production server with no backup what-so-ever.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    13. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Coming from an agricultural state I can say without a doubt Fear Mongering is produced by those trying to make a buck and sold to the stupid

      I agree, the pro-GMO astroturfers are the worst fear-mongering shills I've ever seen.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    14. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I will say that this GMO flavor of fear-mongering has usually been generated by the left.

      Monsantophobia

      Anything related to monsanto is some kind of conspiracy of evil.

    15. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not unusual, the CEO at work has them do that all the time.

      It doesn't matter that it might break, the IT staff aren't the ones who'll get paid to fix it. The staff who work on it will have to work for free to try and make it right.

      They also take the blame for it, too.

    16. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by muecksteiner · · Score: 1

      The whole point that Taleb is trying to make is that you (resp. our species) might be wrong on this in some cases: he claims that if it can be reasonably argued that the consequences of a fuck-up in a given area would global and catastrophic enough, there is a case to be made for not taking chances in the first place. Even if said chances look just fine from the viewpoint of our current knowledge on the matter.

    17. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So his answer to the question "Should we turn on the Large Hadron Collider?" is "no," given that there is a conceptual risk that it would create a black hole that could destroy the Earth. The fact that our current understanding of physics dismisses the possibility of such an event would seem to be irrelevant to him, according to your understanding of his argument.

      Once you extrapolate that out, it becomes clear that that argument leads to permanent paralysis: we can undertake no new activities (and, in fact, cannot continue activities we have previously conducted safely) on the off chance that our current knowledge fails to account for a potential catastrophic risk. "Sure, we've flown jet airplanes for decades, but maybe the next LAX->LGA flight is the one that will hit the tipping point and set our atmosphere on fire for reasons we don't yet understand."

    18. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Yes. While it may be a 'safer' way to view factoring risk, lumping what you don't know into an unacceptable risk category just isn't going to work. We would pretty much stop in our tracks. Of course, you can argue that this is exactly what we should do - take a technological 'time out' and let society get it's hands and heads around what we've created in the last 300 years, but I think that is a fool's errand. Not going to happen.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    19. Re: More conservative fear-mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is a spectacularly shitty analogy. If you'd rtfa you would have seen the phrase "scientific near-certainty" used. Which is precisely the nature of the black hole risk you mention. Sheesh

    20. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      We can always be wrong. This means that any particular action can be assumed to have a non-zero chance of ending the world, given some completely unforeseen combination of circumstances. This also means that failure to perform any particular action can be assumed to have a non-zero chance of ending the world. The only reasonable thing to do is to protect against known threats and try to build a margin to handle potential effects of unknown threats, and we're going to screw that up now and then.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    21. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by dywolf · · Score: 1

      i know quite a few conservatives who are all ove the antigmo antivax bandwagons as well (and those two beliefs seem to go together a lot we well in my experience).
      as far ive seen it doesnt really have a right/left divide but is fairly equally represented on both sides.

      which really says more about our education system, particularly of science, than anything.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    22. Re:More conservative fear-mongering by dywolf · · Score: 1

      you are the biggest troll and spreading the most fear and ignorance of anyone in this entire comments section.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  7. You mean the same precautionary principle that led by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You mean the same precautionary principle that led the US government to indoctrinate a generation of kids in the food pyramid, leading to generational highs of sugar intake and obesity, and probably millions of early death, because scientists thought that fat might be responsible for heart disease?

    Be careful with anything that starts with "ignore evidence to begin with"

  8. Great another trope by gander666 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    that will get endlessly trotted out to emphasize how bad GMO's are, and how wonderful organic(tm) produce is.

    --
    Suppose you were an idiot and suppose you were a member of Congress ... but I repeat myself. - Mark T
  9. Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And we've been comparing apples to oranges for just as long.

  10. oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by jeffmeden · · Score: 5, Informative

    What they don't bother to put in TFS is that the 85% of corn and 90% of soybeans currently running modified genes are only modified to make them immune to glyphosate (aka "Roundup-ready"). There only real risk is that maybe by some huge stroke of bad luck, some other plant (a weed, say) picks up glyphosate resistance from these genes. The thing about that fear tactic is that it's not too unlikely that pest plants will eventually pick up glyphosate resistance anyway, and it's not really a scary prospect since glyphosate is only relied on for farming, and if it stops working they can move on to a different herbicide for us to debate over.

    Making glyphosate resistant corn? Probably going to have 0 repercussions, and the worst-case scenario is not unlike the chemical resistance issues we face in almost every other area of biology (i.e. penicillin resistant bacteria). Making a corn-tomato-hemp hybrid that grows a foot a day and re-roots itself whenever it's cut down? OK maybe we should talk that one through a little more. Scare mongering with the "GMO will make our planet a Mad-Max wasteland of anarchy" is really unproductive.

    1. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Interesting

      it's not too unlikely that pest plants will eventually pick up glyphosate resistance anyway

      Plenty of weeds have already done that. So far, all of these weeds resist glyphosate via a completely different mechanism from the way GMO plants do it.

    2. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's so ironic that it's the big bad corporations that are actually doing something about feeding the world's hungry. Elitist environmentalists want third world children to die and make more room for hippie drum circles.

    3. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by nine-times · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I didn't read the thing, so I'm just guessing, but I suspect that the problem isn't with any given genetic modification, but with the unknown factor of how those modifications will impact the environment in the context of being spread throughout the world and replacing other varieties of the same crop. Nassim Nicholas Taleb is very interested in the concept of risk, particularly regarding unforeseen outcomes and consequences.

      So the idea probably isn't simply, "this specific genetic modification is bad" or "all genetic modifications are bad", but something like, "If we aren't careful with genetic modification and how it's applied on a global scale, what are the chances that someone, at some point, will screw something up really badly and cause a catastrophe?"

      Now, it may even be that some of the possible causes of danger are indirect. Do these practices encourage a mono-culture in agriculture, where farmers are all using the same genetic strain of seeds and the same farming methods? Mono-cultures generally tend to make any kind of failure or unforeseen consequence more serious. If there's a disease that attacks the crops, you're less likely to find a resistant strain if everyone is using the same strain. If it turns out that a certain farming method is causing a certain kind of environmental damage, the effect will be amplified if everyone is using that same method.

      It may be that the argument, then, is not about whether the plants are genetically modified, but more about global farming mono-culture. However, I'd expect that part of his argument would be that more "natural" methods of farming have been tested more thoroughly, and their global consequences are therefore more well known. Effecting a change in farming methods to any method which is novel, and therefore much less well-tested, is much more likely to have unforeseen consequences. Effecting such a change on a global level could be disastrous. Even if we can't see any way in which such a disaster would happen, unforeseen consequences are inherently unforeseen. The global biosphere is enormously complex, and unforeseen consequences are likely.

      Of course, that's what I would guess this is about, but I don't want to actually read the paper.

    4. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There only real risk is that maybe by some huge stroke of bad luck, some other plant (a weed, say) picks up glyphosate resistance from these genes.

      No, no luck needed. Let me try and put it in a meme you might understand:
      1. Plant glyphosate-resistant crop
      2. Spray with glyphosate ad-lib and indiscriminately
      3. Develop glyphosate resistant weeds due to simple mechanism of selective breeding - only weeds that survive glyphosate spraying reproduce. No gene transfer needed.
      ....
      4. Profit!!! (guess for whom...)

      I guess things always look simple when one thinks that one knows all the answers.

    5. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by mean+revision · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but that's natural and hence totally risk-free. It's only the plants that get their genes from evil technology which threaten to end human civilization.

    6. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I wish I could find a stupid link, but about 15 years ago I read an amazing piece in the New York Times penned by an agricultural scientist. He spent most of the 1950s-1970s training farmers in Africa. By the time he retired, Africa had some of the most productive farmland and farmers in the world. He wasn't a hippie by any stretch of the imagination, but he focused on local, sustainable agriculture. Not for philosophical reasons, but for economic reasons: farming was the backbone of those economies, and they weren't ready for the disruption caused by large-scale industrial farming.

      But then American and European agribusiness decided to grow their markets in Africa. They sold seeds and equipment that necessitated more modern, industrial-scale techniques. As part of their "assistance", they also required that African countries permit more agricultural imports, even while American and European markets were closed to imports. Eventually African farming collapsed, and this collapse directly contributed to the subsequent famines (along with other, varied exacerbating circumstances). And today all the free grains that we ship over to the continent destroy the markets for those products. And grains are really the backbone of a viable, sustainable agricultural sector, especially in Northern African, such as Ethiopia, etc.

      I personally have no problem with GMO foods. However, we don't need GMO foods to sustain the population. What impoverished countries need are economically sustainable domestic agricultural markets. That is what will help their economies to mature, and in particular help to address income inequality.

      Today, feeding the world requires economic technology, not genetic technology. We may get to the point where we'll _need_ GMO foods. But we don't _need_ it today, in the sense that supply would fall below the inelastic portion of the demand curve. GMOs undoubtedly would help to minimize prices, but you don't want prices to be too low because you want small-scale, moderately labor-intensive farming to be economically viable, _particularly_ in developing countries. When prices are too low, you create instability, because seemingly small fluctuations in prices cause tremendous disruption to both consumers and suppliers. Developed countries, with their social safety nets and sophisticated financing infrastructure, can handle this much better than underdeveloped countries.

      Today, the benefits of GMOs are a red herring. And while lots of idiots, here and everywhere else, reject GMOs out of fear, there are politicians in various countries who are savvy enough to understand what GMO agriculture, and the legal and economic chains that come with it, mean for their economies. And, yes, they often use GMO fears for political gain, but it's arguably justified.

    7. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's been a while since I've visited Pilar Point near the famous Mavericks surf break. They sprayed pampas grass (a non-native plant) with glyphosphate. My very thought was, "great, roundup-ready pampas grass". A few years after they did that, sure enough, a few shoots re-appeared. Were they resistant, or was the first application just incorrect? I don't know what the status is because like I said, it's been a while since I visited.

      There was a homeless guy who used the grass to make a giant peace sign on the bluff. He just pulled it up and arranged it. The light-colored seed heads contrasted with the bluff and so it was quite visible. They could have paid that guy to dig up *all* the pampas grass and replace the divots with something native. Instead, they sprayed glyphosphate, during the great recession. Dumbasses...

    8. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Scare mongering with the "GMO will make our planet a Mad-Max wasteland of anarchy" is really unproductive.

      Also, is that really what he's doing? From the summary, it seems like he's just advising greater caution because he believes that the risk has been underestimated.

    9. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How cute. You think Monsanto is interested in feeding the world's hungry. I guess that's true if by "the world's hungry" you mean the Monsanto execs, and by "feeding" you mean buying Ferraris.

    10. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

      It's only the plants that get their genes from evil technology which threaten to end human civilization.

      No, it's only the plants who are protected by intellectual property laws and belong to evil corporations which threaten to end human civilization.

      And shame on you for wanting to known if the food you eat has been licensed from the company that invented Agent Orange and dioxin, right? I mean, stupid people...

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    11. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

      but something like, "If we aren't careful with genetic modification and how it's applied on a global scale, what are the chances that someone, at some point, will screw something up really badly and cause a catastrophe?"

      Exactly. And that doesn't even cover the potentially disastrous effect of having a handful of companies own the intellectual property to major foodstuffs.

      I guarantee, that no matter how reasonable or conservative your thoughts, if you even suggest the possibility that there might be a reason to so much as label GMO foods as GMO foods, the astroturfers from hell will descend upon you. If you suggest caution you will be labeled as a fear-mongering hysteric.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    12. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Corn and soybeans are growing in places where their wild counterparts are not present. But if you have a Glyphosate resist plant in the mustard family or any of the other crops we grow that have a weed counterpart there is going to be crossing via pollination. Then besides the natural resistance that would build up a quick leap would occur. The simple fact that all pesticides are herbicides are going to fail due to natural selection is not a reason to speed up the process. All the resistant GMO's are doing is speeding up the process that we have seen on farms since the application of Paris Green.

    13. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      What they don't bother to put in TFS is that the 85% of corn and 90% of soybeans currently running modified genes are only modified to make them immune to glyphosate (aka "Roundup-ready"). The only real risk is that maybe by some huge stroke of bad luck, some other plant (a weed, say) picks up glyphosate resistance from these genes.

      And you have a 30 year longitudinal study to back up that bald assertion?

    14. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I once had a little disagreement with a Microsoft VP at a Microsoft sponsored event, about having a datacenter that was 100% MS.

      He finally changed the topic after I told him a 100% MS datacenter was 100% vulnerable to a zero day exploit.

      The problem with GMOs, IMHO, is we risk everything breaking all at once.

      Monoculture is bad, remember?

    15. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by nine-times · · Score: 3, Interesting

      And that doesn't even cover the potentially disastrous effect of having a handful of companies own the intellectual property to major foodstuffs.

      Also, frankly, that those handful of companies stand to make so much money from these crops. Not to get all conspiracy-theory, but if you have a couple of companies controlling global agriculture, and they're making billions of dollars from these GMO crops, and then they discover there might possibly be a problem, their motivations are all pointed at burying that problem rather than bringing it to light.

      And this is part of what's become very scary about "how the world works" now. We've gotten very good at manipulation and propaganda. If someone comes out saying that GMOs are bad, there are a bunch of very good propaganda spin doctors for hire who can make those people look like crackpots. They can't convince everyone, but they can convince enough people to gridlock the debate. Meanwhile, these companies can send lobbyists and campaign contributions to all the politicians they want, and make sure the laws are rewritten to help them out.

      Now I'm not saying that GMOs are bad and dangerous. However, I do think that it should be pointed out that, if they were dangerous, some very wealthy companies would devote a lot of resources to hiding/obscuring that fact, and they would be largely successful. This is, in itself, grounds for concern. And not just regarding genetically modified food.

    16. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      Monoculture is bad, remember?

      GMO does not imply monoculture. GMO soybeans all have the gene for glyphosate resistance, but otherwise have a large amount of genetic variation.

    17. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      No, it's only the plants who are protected by intellectual property laws and belong to evil corporations which threaten to end human civilization.

      The patent for glyphosate (Roundup) has already expired. The patent on the gene for "Roundup-Ready" herbicide resistance expires in a few months.

    18. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by dissy · · Score: 1

      My favorite ones are the Creationists against GMO foods due to the risk of an unknown modification being introduced to the environment running amok and killing all the plants, us, or both. All while arguing evolution doesn't exist and doesn't happen!

      The fact such people exists always makes me laugh.
      The fact some of those people are in positions of power however makes me cry for humanity.

    19. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It may be that the argument, then, is not about whether the plants are genetically modified, but more about global farming mono-culture.

      And indeed, the dangers of mono-culture are well known for centuries. That's why the boll weevil has its own statue, partially as a reminder to not have a monoculture.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    20. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      My favorite ones are the Creationists against GMO foods due to

      Oh yeah, I forgot to mention, the pro-GMO campaigners just love the ad hominem.

      "Just like the Creationists..."
      "Just like the Racists..." (I can give chapter and verse on this one)
      "Just like the Nazis..."

      This for wanting to know the provenance of our food.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    21. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Monsanto wants to control intellectual property which people need to survive. For now they're just feeding people.

      What they want is a monopoly on cheap food, which is pretty darn sinister.

    22. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      The patent on the gene for "Roundup-Ready" herbicide resistance expires in a few months.

      So yes, it will be an interesting time to watch what happens.

      Here's what Monsanto has to say about it (from the Monsanto website page regarding the expiring patent):

      In addition to the trait patent, most Roundup Ready soybeans are protected by other forms of intellectual property, such as varietal patents. These variety patents will continue to be valid after (and usually long after) the Roundup Ready trait patent expires.

      http://www.monsanto.com/newsvi...

      Basically, what they're saying is that the expiring patent means jack-shit. If you want to save your Roundup Ready corn seeds after the patent expires, they're still gonna take your ass to court.

      What makes you think the company that created Agent Orange and dioxin is going to abide by any sort of rules? Hell, man, the government is Monsanto's lawyer.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    23. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Altrag · · Score: 2

      And shame on you for wanting to known if the food you eat has been licensed from the company that invented Agent Orange and dioxin, right? I mean, stupid people...

      Actually, that is pretty stupid. AO was 70 years ago, almost certainly made under the reign of a completely different set of directors and C?Os, and made under contract (as in, has fuck all to do with their regular commercial operations in the first place.)

      One mistake (especially one that only turns out to be a mistake in retrospect) does not define a company with the size and history of a Monsanto. Pretending that something they did three quarters of a century ago has any bearing on their modern operations is just silly.

      Which isn't to say you shouldn't hate their modern operations if you take a dislike to them.. but we're around 5-6 decades past where its meaningful to bring up AO anymore, if it ever was.

    24. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Basically, what they're saying is that the expiring patent means jack-shit.

      No. Average-Joe farmer may not be able to save Monsanto seed, but other agribusinesses can splice out the RR gene, and insert it into other soybeans. So the market will become far more competitive. Gene splicing is not particularly difficult, and it is likely that some activist biology grad student will create some GMO beans and release them into the public domain.

    25. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by owski · · Score: 1

      4. Profit!!! (guess for whom...)

      It's not the producers of glyphosate, that's for sure, so I'm going to guess someone with a product that competes with glyphosate?

    26. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      but we're around 5-6 decades past where its meaningful to bring up AO anymore

      Tell that to the more than 50,000 veterans who are still suffering from Agent Orange exposure.

      I wonder how many of those 400,000 children who were born with birth defects after their mothers were exposed to Agent Orange are still alive? I hope there are still a few.

      AO was 70 years ago

      Why are all these "pro-Science" people so horrible at basic arithmetic? Agent Orange was used (and manufactured) until at least1971. Is that really "70 years ago" according to your Science?

      and made under contract (as in, has fuck all to do with their regular commercial operations in the first place.)

      Everything a company does is "under contract". What do you think that even means? Remember this: When the US Government wanted the nastiest, most deadly chemical possible, who did they call? Monsanto exceeded the wildest hopes for deadliness, manufacturing 20,000,000 gallons of the stuff. And do you really think that was the last deadly poison Monsanto made?

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    27. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Plenty of universities, foreign govs, etc, have GMO patents and do GMO research.

      Most of the propaganda on the internet seems to be anti-GMO.

      As for something like say, Monsanto--the roundup ready stuff goes off patent soon. Monsanto also doesn't even sell seeds to farmers, they just license stuff to other people. If monsanto got too bad to deal with, the people who sell the seeds would just stop using Monsanto's stuff, or would use stuff that was off patent.

      If patents started lasting life + 99 years or something, then yeah... we'd have a big problem.

    28. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Gene splicing is not particularly difficult..

      Yes it is. Unless it is sticking into a bacterial vector, it is hard. Hell in in vectors getting everything right so that *anything* works at all is hard. For more complex organisms, its just either does nothing (silenced DNA) or kills the plant. Getting promoters and everything right is far from simple or straight forward.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    29. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There only real risk is that ..."

      WAY to miss the point. Taleb's point is that you don't KNOW that's the only real risk, and that enumerating only the risks you know about severely underestimates the actual risk when there are enough unknowns, as there are here (the possibility of the risk you mention wasn't even identified until 10-20 years ago, so it's not a stretch to say there are other risks we don't know about today). It's not a fear tactic, it's mathematics. If you don't understand black swans read the guy's book, it's fantastic, and will demonstrate quite clearly that GMOs are safe in the same way that banking circa 2007 was safe.

      "it's not really a scary prospect since glyphosate is only relied on for farming" ... and farming is only relied on for feeding everyone, so sure, no possible issues here.

      Glyphosphate isn't even that useful in farming. It kills everything. You need selective weedkillers for farming, because you kind of want your cash crop to live. This is why the company that invented glyphosphate (Monsato) has spent all this extra effort modifying nature so that their product can be used in farming. Otherwise it's only useful for gardening and defoliation, and there's not much profit in that.

    30. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So the idea probably isn't simply, "this specific genetic modification is bad" or "all genetic modifications are bad", but something like, "If we aren't careful with genetic modification and how it's applied on a global scale, what are the chances that someone, at some point, will screw something up really badly and cause a catastrophe?"

      That will never fly with the general public. They want to be told whether a specific food item should be avoided at all costs because it's essentially poison, or if it's some sort of magical treat which can be consumed in endless quantities without any repurcussions. When you tell them that most things are actually not "healthy" or "unhealthy" but that it depends on the person, your activities, level of consumption, eating patterns, etc. they scream "TL;DR" and go gorge on whatever is tasty.

    31. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      um, aren't you making one HUGE assumption: that glyphosphate is 'harmless' ? ? ?
      it is not, and urine idjit...

    32. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

      I find the choice of what the GMO companies do to the plants more worrisome than how they do it.

      --

      -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
    33. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

      It would be illegal for another company to get a hold of the seeds if they don't intend to use them as the contract states. You are not allowed to study the plants in any way. You are not allowed to study the animals that eat the plants either. You can only plant them and sell the resulting crops. Anything else is against their contracts and will get you sued.

      --

      -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
    34. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      I didn't read the thing, so I'm just guessing, but I suspect that the problem isn't with any given genetic modification, but with the unknown factor of how those modifications will impact the environment in the context of being spread throughout the world and replacing other varieties of the same crop. Nassim Nicholas Taleb is very interested in the concept of risk, particularly regarding unforeseen outcomes and consequences.

      The unknown factor with plants genetically modified in a lab is LOWER than the unknown factor with plants genetically modified by trial and error selective breeding. For thousands of years we have been taking on risks by selecting for genetic modifications that have arisen entirely by RANDOM CHANCE and with no knowledge of what kind of genes were changed to get the effect we selected for. Civilization has not only failed to collapse, but has flourished in that time. Now that we can be MORE selective and careful with our selection of which mutations to select for it's suddenly a problem? Sorry, the only new problem is technologies that people don't understand and therefore are frightened of,

    35. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by nine-times · · Score: 1

      For thousands of years we have been taking on risks by selecting for genetic modifications that have arisen entirely by RANDOM CHANCE and with no knowledge of what kind of genes were changed to get the effect we selected for.

      Right, and what those thousands of years have shown us is that it's relatively safe to select for genetic modifications that have arise entirely by random chance. We do not have thousands of years of experience in what happens when humans select for mutations that they themselves have created.

    36. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      For thousands of years we have been taking on risks by selecting for genetic modifications that have arisen entirely by RANDOM CHANCE and with no knowledge of what kind of genes were changed to get the effect we selected for.

      Right, and what those thousands of years have shown us is that it's relatively safe to select for genetic modifications that have arise entirely by random chance. We do not have thousands of years of experience in what happens when humans select for mutations that they themselves have created.

      All I can read in your response is that you don't understand what it actually means and that scares you.

      Here's the difference between the old and new. In both cases, a seed supplier wants to find a seed with round-up resistance.

      The thousands of years old method: Supplier plants thousands of acres of the original seed and sprays each crop with roundup. They take the few surviving plants as seeds for the next round. After several years of this spraying and selecting process hopefully they get a seed that largely survives the round-up through some random unknown mutation.

      The new method: Supplier identifies the working mechanism of round-up on a plant, and modifies ONLY the genes that are needed to survive being sprayed with round-up.

      The new method will yield a plant with DNA that, line for line, has MORE in common with the original non-resistant seed than the thousands year old approach. But sure, with no evidence to back you up, we should believe that the new method is radically and dangerously different and worse than what has been safely improving our lives for thousands of years.

    37. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure about that. If a company acquired seeds without signing a contract, I believe they'd be legally able to analyze them. Also, such restrictions might be struck down by the courts. That description sounds like a take-it-or-leave-it contract (I believe the technical term is "contract of adhesion"), and the courts sometimes view their provisions dimly.

      As long as the gene was patented, Monsanto had standing to enforce its policies on anybody who did anything with the seed. Without patent protection, they can only restrict it by contract.

      Besides, patents are supposed to contain descriptions such that anybody ordinarily skilled in the art can replicate them. Perhaps some truly extraordinary people can get enough clues from the patent(s) to do some experimentation.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    38. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah but... the same argument can be made about farming. If the entire planet is given over to farming and there's very little natural ecosystem left, then there will be nowhere to hunt/gather if the whole thing crashes.

    39. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by nine-times · · Score: 1

      All I can read in your response is that you don't understand what it actually means and that scares you.

      No, I understand perfectly. You misunderstand the point here. It's not about whether those genes are harmless, but whether the technique involved carries with it some unexpected, unintended, unforeseen consequences. The point is a risk assessment of risks that are completely unknown and therefore not easily quantifiable.

      In that context, all else being equal, any method in use for thousands of years without serious incident must be considered far safer than techniques that are novel.

      And you can say that there's no reason why it would possibly be more dangerous, and I can agree with you, and then Taleb can point out various historical examples of people saying, "There's no reason why [some new thing] would be more dangerous than [the old thing it replaced]," only to find out that we misunderstood how things worked, and the new thing was actually more dangerous.

    40. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      All I can read in your response is that you don't understand what it actually means and that scares you.

      No, I understand perfectly. You misunderstand the point here. It's not about whether those genes are harmless, but whether the technique involved carries with it some unexpected, unintended, unforeseen consequences. The point is a risk assessment of risks that are completely unknown and therefore not easily quantifiable.

      In that context, all else being equal, any method in use for thousands of years without serious incident must be considered far safer than techniques that are novel.

      And you can say that there's no reason why it would possibly be more dangerous, and I can agree with you, and then Taleb can point out various historical examples of people saying, "There's no reason why [some new thing] would be more dangerous than [the old thing it replaced]," only to find out that we misunderstood how things worked, and the new thing was actually more dangerous.

      Which is an argument from pure and total ignorance. We are able to look at and manipulate the DNA of our crops and farm animals. We are able to see the random mutations we've selected for in the past, we can see the specific mutations we select for currently. From EVERYTHING we know and everything we can see the sole difference is whether we select mutations based on randomness or not, and the end results are exactly the same.

      Despite having no known reason for there to be a difference, despite all current accumulated knowledge showing the working mechanisms to be absolutely identical, you want to insist that there is still much greater risk.

      This is madness akin to refusing a different path to work than normal for fear of possible world shaking consequence. This is akin to fear of putting the left sock on first instead of the right. This is akin to knowing my magical rock that keeps away tigers should never be given up because so far it's always worked and we wouldn't want to risk getting eaten by a tiger.

      More succinctly, your insistence is far more akin to superstition than science.

    41. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by nine-times · · Score: 2

      Which is an argument from pure and total ignorance.

      No, it's an argument about the nature of ignorance. Again, we're talking about risk assessment, not genetics, and Taleb has made compelling arguments to the effect that we misunderstand how risk should be calculated. For example, you say, "the end results are exactly the same," and we can grant you for the sake of argument that there is absolutely no difference in the results, as far as we can tell, for any test that we can think to use to look for differences. But now we have to assess the risk of "what if there's a possible difference that we don't know how to test for?"

      This is madness akin to refusing a different path to work than normal for fear of possible world shaking consequence.

      With a big difference: I have a lot of experience with taking different paths, and so do you. So do many animals over millions of years. The results of taking different paths, in general, is well known. The same can't be said of this kind of genetic manipulation.

      If no one had every taken a different path before in the whole of human history, and we just recently discovered how to take different paths when traveling, then it might make sense to exercise some caution while we figured the whole "different path" thing out. And while the risk of taking a different path might not be very high, we might not want to wager the entire food chain of our planet on taking a different path until we've had some time to see how it all works out.

    42. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by Altrag · · Score: 1

      Tell that to the more than 50,000 veterans who are still suffering from Agent Orange exposure.

      Yeah I realized I should have explicitly stated "in this context" after I hit the Submit button. Pretty much a guarantee that somebody on Slashdot will fill in between the lines when there's nothing there to be read. Obviously it matters to those directly affected by it.

      My point was that in the greater context, the world has decided that its nasty shit that shouldn't be sprayed anymore and put the issue to rest. Which isn't to say we shouldn't be vigilant for the next horrific action that somebody pulls off, but using events that old for anything other than teaching us to try not to repeat them is just grudge-holding.

      Why are all these "pro-Science" people so horrible at basic arithmetic? Agent Orange was used (and manufactured) until at least1971. Is that really "70 years ago" according to your Science?

      I'm not sure why you're bothering to equate math and science (though given your capital S I can take a guess..)

      But aside from your hyperbole, I admit I was less clear on this one. The 70 years was an (approximate) reference to when AO was created rather than when it was last used. But since I was arguing that Monsanto's people in charge (and probably all of their other employees) have almost assuredly changed since that contract was signed, it seems like the more relevant date.

      Everything a company does is "under contract". What do you think that even means?

      It means that there's a difference between "here's a giant bunker full of money if you do something evil" and "I'm going do something evil because I feel like it."

      And no, not everything a company does is under contract. Most successful companies perform their own R&D to create or improve products and services without waiting around hoping for someone to tell them what they should make next.

      Remember this: When the US Government wanted the nastiest, most deadly chemical possible, who did they call? Monsanto exceeded the wildest hopes for deadliness, manufacturing 20,000,000 gallons of the stuff.

      I'm sure they called every other company they thought would have the capability of delivering as well. The fact that Monsanto got the contract is a matter of history, not fate. If Monsanto had failed to deliver for whatever reason, we'd just be bitching about the next company on their Rolodex. Unless you can find some evidence that every other company pulled out for ethical reasons or something similar, there's simply no reason to single out Monsanto as anything but the "lucky" winner of the bid.

      And do you really think that was the last deadly poison Monsanto made?

      No. I'm sure they make thousands of deadly poisons. Most of them are useful for various industrial processes.

      I can't begin to guess whether Monsanto knew at the time that their chemical was going to be used for warfare (probably could have at least guessed given the buyer and quantity if they weren't outright told..) I don't know whether Monsanto or anyone in the government expected the human toll of the chemical (it was designed to kill plants after all..) I'm guessing they probably had a pretty good idea of that by 1971 of course, but when they first developed it? Hard to say. Obviously at the very least there was some serious negligence in the safety testing if it wasn't explicitly meant to be toxic to humans, but negligence isn't necessarily evil in itself.

      Overall though, my point is that focusing unnecessary rage on one specific company really isn't beneficial to yourself or the world as a whole. There's lots of shitty companies out there, and it was so long ago that Monsanto is effectively a different company today than it was 70 (or even 40) years ago. Should we just trust Monsanto then? Hell no! But neither should we distrust them any more than we distrust any other company of their size. All companies have to potential to be evil when there's enough money involved.

    43. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      To play devil's advocate, aren't those cases more about improper and overuse of glyphosate than anything inherently harmful about the modified crops?

      It really doesn't matter what herbicide you use, if you dump it in large quantities over a field year after year, selection pressure is going to result in resistance. Of course I understand that the GMO being resistant made overuse of round-up attractive, but it was a lazy practice that can hopefully dissipate over time as round-up becomes less effective.

      I'm more concerned about GMO's leading to decreasing crop variability. One bad disease and X crop could be destroyed worldwide or near worldwide. Like http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gros_Michel_banana

    44. Re:oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1
      Three words that should end the discussion and blame about Monsanto and Agent Orange but never do: Defense Production Act.

      It's hard to be blamed for something when the government says "do this or else".

      --

      kurzweil_freak

      5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

      Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  11. I'm all in favor... by RingDev · · Score: 2, Insightful

    of extensive testing, trials, heck, even labeling. But after 20 years of GMO products, and absolutely no significantly measurable negative ecological/human impacts, I'm thinking maybe we should turn down the rhetoric a bit and continue on.

    Sure, there are risks with mono-culture corps (see: Bananas). And yeah, farmers who use excessive herbicides are dumb.

    But if there were truly a significant health risk in GMOs in general, we should have seen it develop by now. Odds are though that there will be some GMO products that aren't safe and that there will be some GMO products that enable dumb farming practices. But the exact same statement is true if you remove the letters "GMO".

    -Rick

    --
    "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    1. Re:I'm all in favor... by JWW · · Score: 2

      And yeah, farmers who use excessive herbicides are dumb.

      What I love is that the anti-GMO crowd is all about how bad herbicides are. Then they go on and freak out about plants that have been modified so that fewer herbicides are necessary.

    2. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Causation hasn't been proven (or else we wouldn't be having this conversation), but there is absolutely a correlation with the rising obesity epidemic, and associated disease states.

    3. Re:I'm all in favor... by rycamor · · Score: 3, Insightful

      and absolutely no significantly measurable negative ecological/human impacts

      You should try reading the actual paper. Taleb's precautionary principle comes from the acknowledgement that tiny, insignificant changes can become huge changes quite quickly, and quite suddenly, and that risk is a much more complex thing than most modern scientists acknowledge. That's the whole point of his warnings regarding Black Swan events. If you only look at the here-and-now small dangers and never prepare for the extended big ones, it's the big ones that get you in the end.

      Even better, read Taleb's later book "Antifragile". He lays out the wisdom of some more ancient thought patterns that the West has eschewed to its detriment.

      I'm starting to think that Western culture (especially the modern evolution of it) is a giant case of Aspberger's syndrome. Technically proficient and able to endlessly sort details but lacking in wisdom or deeper understanding.

    4. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " and absolutely no significantly measurable negative ecological/human impacts,"

      It has a very significant impact on your microbiome, many of those critters are not animal cells.

    5. Re:I'm all in favor... by sjames · · Score: 1

      Wrong question. We do know that if an unapproved or undesired strain does get out, we won't be able to get it back. It has happened several times so far including one crop that is claimed to have only ever been grown under controlled conditions on a small plot. The roundup ready gene has spread to a number of weeds now that grow wild at the roadside.

      So we now have real evidence that if a poorly chosen modification is made, it will spread and we will not be able to rein it in at all. THAT is a black swan event.

    6. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But we aren't modifying them to use less herbicides... we are making them resistant to Roundup so that we can spray more herbicides on them.

    7. Re:I'm all in favor... by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      You know, statistics is really cool, as long as they remain in your favor. But if you're one of those 0.000000001% that get fucked up, the numbers don't matter so much. There is only one. We don't need GMOs. They serve no purpose aside from the benefit to financial institutions. That makes any risk at all unnecessary and unacceptable.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    8. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean, see how they like a completely fabricated doomsday scenario? I can hear the laughing already.

    9. Re:I'm all in favor... by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 3, Interesting

      And the other key part is that the danger of potential consequences should be weighed against the expected benefit. Eg. if we are about to starve because a disease is wiping out corn, it's better to risk with GMO corn that to have no corn. And likewise we shouldn't introduce potentially huge unknown risks that could take decades to show -- like trans fat, if we can even trace those back -- for small benefits like 10% lower price or slightly longer shelf life.

      But you're right, we in the modern society are unable to see things deeper, even using our own logic. I was somewhat open before reading Antifragility and still felt shock and hostility to Taleb's ideas, took me quite some time to start digesting them. In some ways those aren't necessarily his ideas even, it is a wisdom of humanity that has been lost temporarily. But he gets the credit for reminding us of those despite the hate he gets.

    10. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are many correlations; the rise in popularity of computers/video games/smart phones, more jobs that require little exercise, and sedentary lifestyles in general.

    11. Re:I'm all in favor... by AaronW · · Score: 2

      On top of that, glyphosphate is one of the least toxic herbacides out there that generally breaks down relatively quickly in the environment.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    12. Re:I'm all in favor... by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 2

      I'm starting to think that Western culture (especially the modern evolution of it) is a giant case of Aspberger's syndrome. Technically proficient and able to endlessly sort details but lacking in wisdom or deeper understanding.

      Someone posted a partial quote and this link in another thread. You might find it interesting and relevant with-regard-to the above sentiment: The Death of Expertise

      I think it applies to a great many of the posts here on /. ...

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    13. Re:I'm all in favor... by RingDev · · Score: 2

      That isn't how evolution works.

      Roundup ready corn isn't breeding with crab grass to make roundup ready crab grass.

      Genetic mutations are largely a constant. Every generation will continue to exhibit mutations, the vast majority of which have no impact on procreation and are either carried on, or not.

      At some point in time, over a large enough scale, some weeds have mutated to be resistant to round up. Since some weeds were resistant, and others were not, when sprayed with roundup, those that aren't die. since they are dead, they stop competing with the mutants that are resistant, so the mutant plant grows and procreates much more quickly than it would otherwise.

      And tada: you now have a roundup resistant weed. This is why we've always been critical of people who overuse/overspray as it increases the odds of developing resistant plants.

      It has nothing to do with a black swan event. This is a completely predictable occurrence that was know to agronomists. Just as doctors have been cautioning against excessive antibiotic prescription for decades (as we do in farm animals as well).

      To say that GMOs, as a whole, represent a Black Swan is akin to claiming that the theory of gravity is a Black Swan because some day it may invert and we will all be shot off of the face of the Earth.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    14. Re:I'm all in favor... by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      "Ancient thought patterns" have done nothing to move people beyond simple huts. It is reality itself sorely in need of modern asskicking as it is reality that gives disease and starvation.

      Advancing tech is what saves us, and freedom. They are interrelated to advance at the fastest rate., and solve issues faster than they become serious leading to an ever-increasing quality and length of life. Hell, western obesity is a result of kicking the starvation issue too hard, with food so cheap it's almost free, and the poorest are he fattest in the US.

      Nature? Fuck nature. I am for the complete Trantorization of Earth. Why? Because I fucking love humanity and its masses yearning to breathe free and live llong with healthy lives and lots of stuff.

      Exactly what everyone claims...then they launch into their pet political philosophies AKA quasi-religions. The only real politics is what advances technology fastest to execute murderous nature. What has it done for us lately?

      Seriously.

      No, seriously. Besides being a meme-justofication for certain quasi-religions and their power dominance.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    15. Re:I'm all in favor... by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      > of extensive testing, trials, heck, even labeling. But after 20 years of GMO products, and absolutely no significantly measurable negative ecological/human impacts,

      Actually, we are currently in the middle of a population crisis with our bees. So just blissfully assuming that there have been no consequences is probably just wishful thinking on your part.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    16. Re:I'm all in favor... by RingDev · · Score: 1

      You do realize of course that effectively /every/ piece of produce, foul, pork, and beef you eat is the product of GMO, right? Hell, your cat and dog are GMOs.

      Not all of which was created in a petre dish, but all have been selectively bread to favor specific qualities that allow us to get more from them.

      For example, Corn was modified to have 2-3 tassels per stalk long before Monsanto got involved.

      Tomatos, like the Wisconsin-80 took years of grafting and breeding to get a plant that was able to excel in Wisconsin's climate and begin fruiting consistently at 80 days.

      The wild red fox has been selectively bread over the last 50 years focusing on domestic behavior to the point now where you can buy a designer fox to have as a pet.

      Cows, even before BGH were bread for more meat, more milk, and more offspring. Heck, I've got a pair of ewes in the pasture right now that are the result of generations of selective breading to consistently get them to produce twins or triplets.

      Everything is a GMO, some of which was done in a petre dish, some of which was done in a lab at the university (my wife spent a couple of summers in college making carrots and garlic mate), and some of it in the farmers' fields.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    17. Re:I'm all in favor... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

      But after 20 years of GMO products, and absolutely no significantly measurable negative ecological/human impacts,

      Whoa nellie! That's not exactly true.

      In areas where Roundup-ready corn has established hegemony, such massive quantities of pesticides have to be used that half a dozen studies have shown sick people with high concentrations of those pesticides in their internal organs.

      http://www.reuters.com/article...

      There is actually a growing body of scientific literature that raises questions about the direct safety of GMOs. Any scientist who publishes such research will have his funding pulled, have donors start contacting his department to try to get him fired, right on up to death threats (and there's even some evidence that those threats have been acted upon in a few cases). Anyone who posts links to such research will be drowned in a sea of astroturf butthurt like you've never seen before, by people whose only comments on the internet ever have been in support of GMOs.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    18. Re:I'm all in favor... by rycamor · · Score: 1

      Re:I'm all in favor... (Score:1)
      by Impy the Impiuos Imp (442658) Alter Relationship on Monday October 27, 2014 @04:41PM (#48245065) Journal

      "Ancient thought patterns" have done nothing to move people beyond simple huts. It is reality itself sorely in need of modern asskicking as it is reality that gives disease and starvation.

      Huts? You see... this is the sort of idiocy I'm talking about. Maleducated nitwits who think everything important was conceived of after 1914 or something.

      A question, Mr Impy: Where does algebra come from? Whence the roots of logic? These things did not originate in the civilized West. Like I said, we have amazing technical and technological proficiency, civilizations has existed before all that. To this day our best philosophers would still struggle to cross swords with the best thinkers of ancient Greece, Rome or China. Come back when you've learned a little history.

    19. Re:I'm all in favor... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Except, those GMO plants often require higher levels of herbicides and pesticides

      http://www.reuters.com/article...

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    20. Re:I'm all in favor... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      On top of that, glyphosphate is one of the least toxic herbacides out there that generally breaks down relatively quickly in the environment.

      Sorry, that's just not true. Higher levels of it have been found in the internal organs of chronically ill people.

      http://omicsonline.org/open-ac...

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    21. Re:I'm all in favor... by drewm19801927 · · Score: 1

      Well, nature is really great for walking around and looking at and smelling while you are on vacation... and there are all the neat tricks in materials science and chemical engineering that we are "stealing" from other organisms. Even if you don't think biodiversity has intrinsic value, species are going extinct far faster than we can study and learn their tricks. As for "ancient thought patterns", I doubt many of value are going extinct, though perhaps linguists would disagree; they're having trouble keeping up with the extinction rate of human languages!

    22. Re:I'm all in favor... by RingDev · · Score: 2

      You know what the alternative to roundup is? Depending on your climate/crop/competing plants it's a cocktail of 2-5 different herbicides that are significantly more risky to humans and the environment and must be sprayed more often.

      So yeah, roundup ready crops lead to lower levels of herbicide usage by anyone with half a brain on a traditional farm.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    23. Re:I'm all in favor... by rycamor · · Score: 1

      Someone posted a partial quote and this link in another thread. You might find it interesting and relevant with-regard-to the above sentiment: The Death of Expertise

      I think it applies to a great many of the posts here on /. ...

      Yes. Thanks for the link--interesting. I'll have to digest that a bit. He talks of the death OF expertise, while "Death by expert" is a phrase that keeps crossing my mind when I think about our civilization's trajectory. All those experts out there clamoring for buy-in, and sneering at the clueless masses... but if anything, the 20th and 21st century have shown us that experts are remarkably bad decision-makers. Obsessive knowledge of a specialty leads to myopic thinking. In the courtroom of life experts should be thought of as the clerks to the evidence room. Either that, or experts should be made to risk their own skins on their predictions and recommendations... something they are increasingly loath to do.

    24. Re:I'm all in favor... by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Genetic mutations are largely a constant. Every generation will continue to exhibit mutations, the vast majority of which have no impact on procreation and are either carried on, or not.

      But any effort to create a protein or change regulation changes the metabolism, which can be a selection pressure when competing for resources with native strains that don't spend the energy to make those proteins. For example, genetic alterations in bacteria for DNA computing elements) can disappear rapidly in a culture, sometimes this happens on the order of hours.

    25. Re:I'm all in favor... by rycamor · · Score: 1

      Ah yes... all possible occurrences are "completely predictable". Keep telling yourself that.

      You don't get the concept of Black Swan. To put it in simple terms, certain types of low probability occurrences aren't a problem... until they are. And if you haven't prepared for that, it might be too late.

    26. Re:I'm all in favor... by rycamor · · Score: 1

      Bingo. That's Taleb's "Antifragile" concept. Why take uncertain risks for a very limited upside? The upside is known and represents a few percentage points in gain for crop production (mostly to benefit large corporations). But the downside is really NOT KNOWN. To say we know when we've never been there before is the height of hubris.

    27. Re:I'm all in favor... by rycamor · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile, there are types of risks that represent a known downside, but potentially wildly good upside. These are the kinds of risks we should be identifying and preparing to tackle.

    28. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with you, but forcing labeling of GMOs makes me uncomfortable. It seems innocuous, sure. But, to your average grocery shopper, after all the fearmongering and scare tactics thrown at GMOs, it will become a Scarlet Letter, of sorts. It implies the product is dangerous or should be of some concern to you. In a perfect world, where people didn't fear GMOs, I would say 'whatever.' But in the real world, it could serve to increase people's phobia of GMOs.

      I just really, really don't want this technology to go the way of nuclear energy, fearmongered to death. Genetic modification is our modern-day Haber Process, it will push back the Malthusian limit farther than ever before, preventing immeasureable suffering.

    29. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is there evidence that this is true? I've seen plenty of articles that show the exact opposite - more roundup is used because the crop is able to survive it, then as the weeds grow resistant you use even more in an attempt to overwhelm the resistance, in an ever-escalating race until the roundup becomes useless and you have to combine it with massive doses of other herbicides.

    30. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the West has eschewed to its detriment

      What detriment, specifically?

      Technically proficient and able to endlessly sort details but failing to adhere exclusively to my worldview.

      FTFY.

    31. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The real benefits of glyphosphate is exterminating 90% of amphibians and threating existence of bees.
      For the Owners of course.

      Captcha: endanger

    32. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Indians already pointed this out two hundred years ago. Oh wait, they're extinct now, or running casinos.

    33. Re:I'm all in favor... by sjames · · Score: 1

      But roundup ready rapeseed (canola) IS cross-breeding with related weeds. Being recently cultivated, canola still has a lot of close relatives around.

      To say that GMOs, as a whole, represent a Black Swan is akin to claiming that the theory of gravity is a Black Swan because some day it may invert and we will all be shot off of the face of the Earth.

      You should look into what a black swan event is. That was non-sequitur.

    34. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I'm starting to think that Western culture (especially the modern evolution of it) is a giant case of Aspberger's syndrome. Technically proficient and able to endlessly sort details but lacking in wisdom or deeper understanding."

      Uhmm I have aspergers, and I don't act anything like modern western society.

    35. Re:I'm all in favor... by khallow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Taleb's precautionary principle comes from the acknowledgement that tiny, insignificant changes can become huge changes quite quickly, and quite suddenly, and that risk is a much more complex thing than most modern scientists acknowledge.

      Most modern scientists fail to acknowledge this threat because this idea is bullshit. I think the great irony of the Precautionary Principle is that the advocates don't eat their own dog food. For if they did, then they would have to rule out use of the Precautionary Principle on the grounds that the harm caused by the rule inherently can't be quantified or understood

    36. Re:I'm all in favor... by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      In areas where Roundup-ready corn has established hegemony, such massive quantities of pesticides have to be used that half a dozen studies have shown sick people with high concentrations of those pesticides in their internal organs.

      You do realize you're supposedly refuting "A DOES NOT HAPPEN" by saying "B HAPPENS".

      Just because they're using *other* pesticides (unnecessarily?) does not mean THE GMOs THEMSELVES caused any problems.

    37. Re:I'm all in favor... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Just because they're using *other* pesticides (unnecessarily?) does not mean THE GMOs THEMSELVES caused any problems.

      You didn't read the link. Roundup ready corn requires higher levels of pesticides.

      Remember his argument was, "But after 20 years of GMO products, and absolutely no significantly measurable negative ecological/human impacts," And I gave an example of an ecological/human impact from the use of GMO products.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    38. Re:I'm all in favor... by rycamor · · Score: 0

      I see. A harm. Caused by a choice not to do something.

      Because, something must be done.

      Which is a way to rationalize, I want to do something.

      This is exactly the kind of attitude that led scientists to create the atomic bomb, even though there was a niggling doubt somewhere in there. Something about the possibility of a chain reaction that could destroy the whole world. But I mean, it was a very very... very VERY small possibility. They took comfort in that. Risking all mankind is worth it to make your dream project a reality.

    39. Re:I'm all in favor... by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      On top of that, glyphosphate is one of the least toxic herbacides out there that generally breaks down relatively quickly in the environment.

      Sorry, that's just not true. Higher levels of it have been found in the internal organs of chronically ill people.

      1. Which is irrelevant to the point that it breaks down faster than most other herbicides.
      2. It's also irrelevant to the fact that it really is less toxic as well.
      2. Chronically ill people have higher concentrations of lots of things, because they excrete it more slowly. So again, irrelevant.

    40. Re:I'm all in favor... by tibit · · Score: 1

      The thing is that GMO is like coding: you can "write" all sorts of things. My only concern, and a concern that I think everyone somewhate educated should share, is that miRNA goes straight from the food we eat into our cells and can serve regulatory actions there. So if, due to insufficient testing, you release a GMO that produces miRNA that is deleterious to some animals (including us, humans), you might turn a whole lot of plants into toxic plants, and have a really hard job of eradicating them (they are fucking purposefully planted, after all). The biggest issue is that such deleterious miRNA might be a slow killer. Sure, there are a lot of "what ifs", but the truth is that as of now, there's zero animal testing of GMO, and zero testing of GMO for possible negative effects on humans etc. That must change, since it can't be but expected that over time, the extent of genetic modifications in GMOs will grow. So far we've been seemingly lucky. Who knows how long the luck will last.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    41. Re:I'm all in favor... by khallow · · Score: 1

      But I mean, it was a very very... very VERY small possibility.

      Zero is a very small probability. And notice that one can test the idea of ignition of the atmosphere without actually burning the entire atmosphere.

      I see. A harm. Caused by a choice not to do something.

      Sometimes this harm is quite blatant such as people suffering under the various communist and fascist ideologies of the 20th century. Nuclear weapons played an instrumental role in undoing one of the great evils of humanity (by curbing the aggression of the various countries in question) even though that wasn't their original use.

      So you have to weigh the unknown, but zero probability chance of ignition of the atmosphere against the suffering of tens of millions of people and later, during the Cold War, a full billion people. This is why the precautionary principle is so deeply flawed. You can always invent an unknown risk of large enough magnitude to nix a benefit, no matter how huge the benefit is.

      And even when a harm can't be realized, a imaginary harm can be manufactured, for example, a common claim is that longer life expectancy will result in people losing their humanity. Similarly, same sex marriage will result in God's wrath.

      The Precautionary Principle is the ultimate conservative argument. In a nutshell, don't do change because you can never fully know the consequences of change and hence, it is always possible for a harm to be imagined in that zone of ignorance which outweighs any benefit.

    42. Re:I'm all in favor... by khallow · · Score: 1

      The obvious rebuttal to "The Death of Expertise" is conflict of interest combined with the opportunity to exploit that conflict of interest. It has never been so easy to buy and monetize expertise in the furtherance of propaganda as it is now.

    43. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or maybe the alternative to roundup is accepting smaller yields and understanding the importance of maintaining a balanced and complex ecosystem.

    44. Re:I'm all in favor... by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      The obvious rebuttal to "The Death of Expertise" is conflict of interest combined with the opportunity to exploit that conflict of interest. It has never been so easy to buy and monetize expertise in the furtherance of propaganda as it is now.

      While you have a point about "everyone has their price", I think you missed the entire point of that article, which is that there are, actually, people who know more about some stuff than other people and that many of the latter get bent out of shape about that. Yes, everyone is entitled to an opinion, but that does not make everyone's opinion equal to every other. Some may be learned opinions and others may simply be pulled out of an ass.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    45. Re:I'm all in favor... by khallow · · Score: 2

      And then there's this straw man argument about the conflict being between knowledgeable experts and the completely ignorant. It's not. It's between experts in some fields and knowledgeable outsiders. The outright ignorant play no serious role aside from adding noise and never has. And I can't overemphasize the importance of conflict of interest.

      For example, I once sat on a murder trial as a juror. During that time, various experts were brought in to testify on various aspects of the case, particularly the physics of the slaying in question (a son struck down his father with a baseball bat, a fact which wasn't disputed, the key consideration being instead whether the killing was justified and if not, what level of punishment to apply if it were not).

      At one point, blood spatter experts were brought in by both sides (there were numerous blood spatter evidence throughout the father's house where the slaying occurred). Each one had testified numerous times, I got the impression dozens or even hundreds of times each. I believe the prosecutor's witness was a technician working with a large city coroner's office while the defendant's expert admitted on the stand to testifying for numerous court defenses.

      Not only did their respective testimonies slant in favor of the respective arguments of the prosecution and defense which had employed them, but they had made careers of providing expert testimony exclusively to prosecution or defense in many court cases outside of the case I attended.

      That's why I don't buy the claims of "The Death of Expertise". A heavily biased expert is not necessarily going to be more correct than a knowledgeable, relatively objective layperson though it could happen.

    46. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Maybe you should try reading one of his books so you actually understand what he's talking about. He actually believes so strongly in eating your own dog food ("having skin in the game") that he nearly advocates a system where engineers have to spend time in buildings they design, politicians who vote on war should have relatives in the military, and so on.

      He also harbors intense loathing for statisticians, preferring actual science, and is one of the few people to predict and profit from the banking collapse. He's not an alarmist by any means, and in fact has written volumes on concrete ways to actually handle risk, rather than being one of those authors who just runs around saying "the sky is falling".

    47. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Asperger's syndrome: Technically proficient and able to endlessly sort details but lacking in wisdom or deeper understanding.

      rycamor: can you extrapolate on that or give me reference to look deeper into the above statement?

    48. Re:I'm all in favor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      For if they did, then they would have to rule out use of the Precautionary Principle on the grounds that the harm caused by the rule inherently can't be quantified or understood

      Read the paper; this is its contribution. Taleb shows when to apply PP and when not to apply PP. This is exactly "quantifying and understanding the harm caused by" PP.

      Also, go back and analyze the banking crisis with your bullshit logic and see how far you get before your brain explodes.

    49. Re:I'm all in favor... by sabbede · · Score: 1
      The Precautionary Principle is so deeply flawed because it rests on proving a negative.

      I find it's continued existence to be deeply troubling.

    50. Re:I'm all in favor... by khallow · · Score: 2
      Again, if you use the PP on itself, then "never" is how often you should apply it. Opportunity cost is the most subtle of harms since it is the one never seen. And as was noted elsewhere, proving a negative (absence of sufficient harm) is typically impossible work except for a few contrived situations.

      Also, go back and analyze the banking crisis with your bullshit logic and see how far you get before your brain explodes.

      The banking crisis is easily explained by conflict of interest. It wasn't in the interest of the many involved parties to avoid a banking crisis, because they profited from it, it was their job to ignore it, and it wasn't their money at stake. So will that be the case for the many economic and market crises that follow in the future.

      And PP has nothing to say about banking crises. Are we supposed to not have a society and starve in caves in order to avoid the threats of banking crises? Are we supposed to only have economic growth and not have economic declines no matter how irrationally the growth overbuilt certain areas?

      And such an observation ignores that the greatest harms are rather "in your face". Collapse of industries and markets is a common factor in large declines and contrary to a couple of the assertions here not that hard to anticipate. Similarly, the consequences of bailouts of said industries and markets is pretty well known.

    51. Re:I'm all in favor... by khallow · · Score: 1

      and is one of the few people to predict and profit from the banking collapse

      Says all I need to know about your judgment. Anyone who was paying attention would have been able to anticipate the banking collapse. The real estate crisis was roundly ignored by most of the involved parties because it was in their interest to ignore it. And a lot of them profited by that ignorance.

      For example, bonuses paid to mortgage industry employees and executives for risky loans with inadequate documentation (sometimes to the point of being unable to determine that anyone actually owns the loan!) don't get reversed just because the industry collapses.

      It's a glaring example of the greater risks taken when the people making the decisions have access to vast quantities of other peoples' money and incentive to take advantage of that.

      And I'm sure the next crisis will happen and there will be another idiot telling me that some blowhard was"one of the few" who could predict and profit from that crisis.

      He actually believes so strongly in eating your own dog food ("having skin in the game") that he nearly advocates a system where engineers have to spend time in buildings they design, politicians who vote on war should have relatives in the military, and so on.

      Engineers already have a more effective system than that, their professional licenses, liability, and regulation. For example, the chief designer of the RMS Titanic went down with the ship when it hit an iceberg. That didn't stop him from making a poor design decision. And if the ship hadn't been unlucky, it wouldn't have sunk that trip and the design decision might have propagated to many other ships before its drawbacks were understood.

      He also harbors intense loathing for statisticians, preferring actual science

      Uh huh. Statistics is just a tool like any other scientific tool. And it can be misused like any other scientific tool.

    52. Re:I'm all in favor... by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      That's why I don't buy the claims of "The Death of Expertise". A heavily biased expert is not necessarily going to be more correct than a knowledgeable, relatively objective layperson though it could happen.

      Assuming those go hand-in-hand, a heavily biased expert vs. a knowledgeable, relatively objective layperson. It's quite possible for either or both to be biased, or objective. The point of the article was that (motives aside) even a knowledgeable person (usually) knows less than an expert, but too many people do a couple of Google searches and think they know everything.

      Many /. posts strike me like this. True I don't know the backgrounds of the posters, but imagine most have less knowledge about any discussed subject that the article author / researcher / whatever, yet we all see posts that start with "I disagree" or something similar.

      For a personal example, my wife was a gifted education teacher (before she died in 2006) and once had a ninth-grade student who wanted interview Steven Hawking so she could "prove him wrong" (literally), based on what she learned in Sunday school.

      A little knowledge can be a dangerous thing - or so I've heard.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    53. Re:I'm all in favor... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Many /. posts strike me like this. True I don't know the backgrounds of the posters, but imagine most have less knowledge about any discussed subject that the article author / researcher / whatever, yet we all see posts that start with "I disagree" or something similar.

      There's a simple explanation: observation bias. One generally doesn't post if one doesn't have strong opinions on the matter. And disagreement is more likely to result in a post than agreement. Hence, most posts are disagreements.

      For a personal example, my wife was a gifted education teacher (before she died in 2006) and once had a ninth-grade student who wanted interview Steven Hawking so she could "prove him wrong" (literally), based on what she learned in Sunday school.

      So what? "The Death of Expertise" implies something relatively new. Not a typical religious behavior that's been kicking around for a few millennia.

    54. Re:I'm all in favor... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      In order to establish a causal effect, the Roundup-resistant weeds would have to have acquired their resistance from the GMO crops. Otherwise, what we have is weeds getting resistant to a certain herbicide, which is an entirely natural phenomenon, and requiring more herbicide to kill.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    55. Re:I'm all in favor... by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1

      They would probably totally buy into it, since that seems to be the premise of the original article that we're all commenting on. You hear that dripping sound? That's the irony.

      --

      kurzweil_freak

      5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

      Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

    56. Re:I'm all in favor... by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1
      --

      kurzweil_freak

      5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

      Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

    57. Re:I'm all in favor... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      So basically what you're saying is, "A peer-reviewed paper shows GMO product faulty, but non-peer reviewed paper from industry says, "no way!""

      Are you joking?

      And the story comes from an industry-funded blog that exists to "dispel myths" about GMOs? You know, there's a way this science stuff is supposed to go down, right? And that is not the way.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    58. Re:I'm all in favor... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Oh, I forgot to mention that Benbrook's work has now been replicated in other studies from 2013 and 2014.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    59. Re:I'm all in favor... by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1
      So basically you don't have any actual rebuttals to the paper's content and specific rebuttals on Benbrook's methodology and statistical analyses except the genetic fallacy of "They're in the industry!"? Seems legit! You probably still cite Seralini's crap as respectable too.

      Not sure how you consider David Tribe, a PhD professor of biochemistry and applied molecular genetics of the University of Melbourne to be "industry-funded", but that seems to be about the same level of accuracy of most of your arguments here.

      --

      kurzweil_freak

      5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

      Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

    60. Re:I'm all in favor... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      So basically you don't have any actual rebuttals to the paper's content and specific rebuttals on Benbrook's methodology

      Yes. My rebuttal is, "if it's real research, go get it peer-reviewed and published". If you're funded by the industry and exist to snipe and real peer-reviewed studies that reflect poorly on your product, you have earned your way onto the pay-no-mind list.

      Let's look at your expert, David Tribe. Yes, he's from the University of Melbourne, and yes his research is industry funded. Here's his current research:

      http://www.findanexpert.unimel...

      Two companies have awarded the grants for this research. First, DAIRY INNOVATION AUSTRALIA LTD is the largest supplier of genetically modified organisms for the dairy industry. Second, the GRAINS RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION is a government-subsidized pro-GMO foundation, specifically tasked with implementing pro-GMO programs in Australia. From their Wikipedia entry:

      Grains Research and Development Corporation is an Australian research statutory corporation founded in 1990 under the Primary Industries and Energy Research and Development Act, 1989 (PIERD Act). It is funded by the Australian government and a levy on graingrowers, which is determined by the industry's peak body Grains Council of Australia (GCA).

      No matter what peer-reviewed research I would cite, you would say, "Oh, that's junk science" or "Oh, that was funded by billionaire organic farmers". There is every reason to question David Tribe. He exists to shill for the GMO industry.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    61. Re:I'm all in favor... by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1
      You mean the food industry hires people with expertise and experience in relevant fields of knowledge? Shocking, I tell you! Do you think they should be hiring people from the liberal arts department instead?

      You don't need a peer-reviewed paper on criticism of a study to show that a study is bogus. I suppose you also think that Seralini's study must be valid since none of the rebuttals to it have been peer-reviewed either. How exactly would you even go about peer-reviewing a criticism article? I honestly ask this, as I don't know if that's a thing.

      There's a big difference between simple dismissing something because of its funding source and dismissing it because of specific, quantifiable criticisms of methodology, errors in logic or analysis: the difference between simply saying "Oh, that's junk science!" and saying "Oh, that's junk science, because..." and showing why as it relates to the science. All you've done is the former scattered in with unbacked accusations of conspiracy.

      Here's a few more references regarding the Benbrook study. Are you going to point out the flaws in their critiques or simply dismiss them because it's convenient for you?

      --

      kurzweil_freak

      5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

      Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  12. Re:Nonsense. Again. by ClioCJS · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yet, let's equivocate all forms of modification to mean the exact same thing, rather than accept complexity and think about the specific details.

    --
    -Clio
    Karma: Bad (mostly from not giving a fuck)
    Blog: http://clintjcl.wordpress.com
  13. Why would I assume it has been settled? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    In a world where shit like aspartame is railroaded through approval because of political connections, why in the fuck would I assume anything is "settled", just because it is commonly sold and used?

    1. Re:Why would I assume it has been settled? by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up !

      The other problem with GMO is that we don't have long term studies, i.e. 100 years, to _really_ know ALL of the effects.

    2. Re:Why would I assume it has been settled? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know what planet you're on, but it sure isn't earth. Railroaded. LOL.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aspartame#Safety_and_health_effects

      "The safety of aspartame has been studied extensively since its discovery with research that includes animal studies, clinical and epidemiological research, and postmarketing surveillance, with aspartame being one of the most rigorously tested food ingredients to date."

      Causes Headaches: No.
      Weight Gain: No
      Cancer? No.
      Not recommended during pregnancy? Possibly. It is expressed in mother's milk and is not intended for infants.
      Unsafe for those with phenylketonuria (an rare disease--yes, disease)? Yes.
      Methanol poisoning? No more possible than by drinking regular boring OJ.
      Neurotoxic effects? None found.
      Possible to "overdose" (ie: Reach the LD50)? Only though force feeding of extremely concentrated Aspartame. You will die of water poisoning WELL before reaching the LD50 of aspartame when it is used to sweeten water.

      Cites for all available within the article from honest medical journals--not from craptastic newspaper reporting (lest you believe Halley's comet exists to poison you).

      If aspartame is the bullshit you're insinuating it is, you've got a lot of diabetics who wonder why they aren't drying from it yet.

    3. Re:Why would I assume it has been settled? by itzly · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Just like with old fashioned breeding.

    4. Re:Why would I assume it has been settled? by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      Even the "no calory sweetener" generic hypothesis, that the taste preps the body for a rush of incoming sugar that never appears, causing disease, is a load of BS. Along with the diet pop come tons of bread, buns, fries, chips, Doritos, macaroni and cheese, whatever.

      But almost every meal is choked with carbs which jam up the blood sugar as surely as the jelly or frosting on a cake would...and then some several times over.

      So any "prep" for incoming sweets is more than satisfied with carb overload turning to glucose.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    5. Re:Why would I assume it has been settled? by Moof123 · · Score: 1

      Old fashioned breading took darn near a 100 years to make a substantial change, while putting frog genes into your bananas takes just a few years, and just a few years to ram it through the captured regulators.

      Old fashioned breading would also be more likely to increase the concentration of several genes that were already in the mix that yield the desired benefit (more yield, better drought resistance, or whatever), while GM gives you just one very specific modification that has never been seen before.

      I am not expecting too many overnight boogey man effects, but I am worried that we will have some low level carcinogen accidentally get incorporated in our GMO wheat supply, and voila we have half the world's population getting stomach cancer decades later. Heck, it is hard to tell exactly why we have such an obesity epedemic, and it may be related to crop choices (not even necessarily GMO related mods) that have snuck through regulators who have an attention span shorter than the time span for the potential health effects. The more our food supply gets controlled by just a few companies, the more I worry we will have a fragile and/or dangerous food system in future decades.

    6. Re:Why would I assume it has been settled? by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      I am worried that we will have some low level carcinogen accidentally get incorporated in our GMO wheat supply, and voila we have half the world's population getting stomach cancer decades later.

      Why aren't you worried about the same thing happening with "conventionally bred" varieties? Running seed through an X-ray machine will cause huge numbers of all sorts of random mutations (as opposed to a single, controlled insertion), and they don't get tested nearly as thoroughly.

    7. Re:Why would I assume it has been settled? by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

      Running seed through an X-ray machine will cause huge numbers of all sorts of random mutations (as opposed to a single, controlled insertion), and they don't get tested nearly as thoroughly.

      And then the one harmful change of these huge number of all sorts of random mutations becomes predominant in 90% of the wheat out there? Yeah, I don't see that happening as easily as when the GMO company selects the gene they want and put it into 100% of the seeds.

      --

      -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
    8. Re:Why would I assume it has been settled? by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      And then the one harmful change of these huge number of all sorts of random mutations becomes predominant in 90% of the wheat out there? Yeah, I don't see that happening as easily as when the GMO company selects the gene they want and put it into 100% of the seeds.

      One of the major goals of modern breeding is to get extremely homogeneous (i.e. inbred) populations. So if a dangerous trait was caused by a gene that was being selected for, or was near a gene that was being selected for, then becoming 'fixed' in the new variety would be expected, because that' s the goal. The major difference from a GMO variety being that (at least for the time being) nobody's doing a complete sequencing to find those genes, and then researching them each for potential problems. For example, Golden Delicious apple trees all descend from one plant, often grafted clones of the original - and if the yellow color happened to be toxic...

      And the only reason that 90% of US corn and soy ended up having the same glyphosate resistant gene was because of a lack of competition and the fact that it was very, very useful. Now that other companies are using GMO techniques, Roundup resistance has become an issue, and future developments are likely to have smaller benefits or more targeted uses, it's less likely for something similar to happen.

    9. Re:Why would I assume it has been settled? by dywolf · · Score: 1

      monocrops and corproate controls are a reasonable worry.

      the rest though, not so much.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    10. Re:Why would I assume it has been settled? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The paper makes the point that selective breeding is not the same as mixing genes from two organisms that aren't even in the same kingdom, such as pig genes in a plant. You would never be able to selectively breed such an organism.

  14. QUestion on dietary restrictions by plopez · · Score: 2

    For example, if something, say corn, is genetically modified to have DNA from a non-kosher animal in it does that food item also become non-kosher? The same could be asked of if the restriction was vegetarian or vegan. How exactly would that work out?

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    1. Re:QUestion on dietary restrictions by Overunderrated · · Score: 1

      If you believe that inserting a chunk of genes from a pig into corn makes that corn a pig, so it's now unacceptable for someone kosher or vegetarian, there's no scientist that can dissuade your religious ideas.

    2. Re:QUestion on dietary restrictions by jeffmeden · · Score: 3, Insightful

      For example, if something, say corn, is genetically modified to have DNA from a non-kosher animal in it does that food item also become non-kosher? The same could be asked of if the restriction was vegetarian or vegan. How exactly would that work out?

      If you manage to engineer bacon-corn, you will face far more risk from the hordes beating their way to your door demanding the seeds than you will from the Kosher observers who protest.

    3. Re:QUestion on dietary restrictions by operagost · · Score: 1

      Adding bacon flavor genes to my tomacco will make it even more addictive!

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    4. Re:QUestion on dietary restrictions by plopez · · Score: 1

      My point exactly. Religion is about faith. But if the faith says pig-corn is unclean would you not want to label foods so that those who prefer a strict religious diet can avoid it?

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    5. Re:QUestion on dietary restrictions by truavatar · · Score: 1

      The point is that those people who are religious have a right to make this decision for themselves.

    6. Re:QUestion on dietary restrictions by martas · · Score: 1

      Who cares? Let the morons starve.

    7. Re:QUestion on dietary restrictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My point exactly. Religion is about faith. But if the faith says pig-corn is unclean would you not want to label foods so that those who prefer a strict religious diet can avoid it?

      If you created baco-corn, that would be a strong selling point (mmmm bacon flavoured corn!) and those who required a Kosher or Halal diet would be able to avoid it without taking extraordinary steps to find out if it was acceptable to eat.

  15. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by tnk1 · · Score: 2

    As a child who was indoctrinated under the food pyramid, I can categorically tell you that I completely ignored it.

    Of course, I'm also not obese, so perhaps you are on to something.

    Seriously, though, how much impact did that program really have? I think the real issue with sugar intake is that sugar (or HFCS) is cheap, is tasty, and is in everything. Also, unlike say arsenic, any bad effects are usually deferred. That seems like the actual issue, and is probably why there are still obesity today.

  16. Re:Nonsense. Again. by JWW · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hey. I like this approach.

    For everyone that believes GMO's are EVIIIIIILLLL, if they ever want a dog or cat for a pet they should only be allowed the choice to take a wolf or a tiger home....

  17. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes because adding genes that'll kill insects so is the same thing (no it's fucking not)
    time to go back to school.

  18. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Tablizer · · Score: 2

    Oh sh8t, we are....Creationists!? See, there is a Creator, and we are him (or her).

  19. Bad argument by gurps_npc · · Score: 0
    The basic of this theory are rather flawed.

    Living things have had millions of years to engage in a evolutionary massive arms race. Defense has kept up with offense. Evolution is all about using random processes. Evolution has already given us the full set of defenses we need to change from 'random' or 'unintentional' attacks based on genetics. That's why we have immune systems with white blood cells, variant blood types, skin, mucus, fevers, blood-brain barriers, etc. etc. etc. etc.

    The basic belief that human caused mutations will randomly create something dangerous demonstrates tremendous ignorance of evolution. It's like they believe in creationism.

    I am not saying we can't get around these defenses. We can. But not by accident. The only truly harmful species will have to be intentionally designed by humans that go out of their way to make a dangerous life form, i.e. a plague genetically engineered to kill people.

    But for every single 1 intentionally designed genetic species, there are (and will always be) millions of random mutations from cosmic rays, sunlight, etc. As the humans are not trying to make the gene engineered species dangerous, the chance of it happening are FAR more likely in the natural mutations than in the genetically created mutations.

    Throw in the extensive testing that humans do to their genetically engineered species (that does not occur in the wild mutations), and you get a guarantee that for every single human engineered life that gets a dangerous trait by random chance, there will be 10 (or more) randomly evolved life forms with mutations we call dangerous.

    Now, we might get things that inconvenience us - food that tastes bad or turns a funky color, etc. etc. Even something like a slightly greater cancer risk is just an inconvenience, not a real problem. We already risk that with non-gene engineered stuff. Basically, I am saying that a genetically engineered sugar substitute will be no more risky than Saccharine - which is still legal.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:Bad argument by sjames · · Score: 2

      Because we have never made something we thought was absolutely safe and then had decades of remediation and lawsuits when it turned out to be a very bad idea.

      The people who pit asbestos in everything thought it was 'just a mineral' and a non-toxic one at that, so what could go wrong with that durable, effective, and fireproof insulation?

    2. Re:Bad argument by gurps_npc · · Score: 1
      You prove my point well. Asbestos was not something we made, it was something we found. As such, it's dangerousness provides a low bar for GMO to beat.

      I am not saying that GMO stuff will be totally harmless. But it isn't any worse than non-GMO stuff, like asbestos.

      As such, it does not need to be outlawed, just reasonably regulated (and that does not mean labels that will encourage fear).

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    3. Re:Bad argument by Qzukk · · Score: 1

      will randomly create something dangerous

      How about intentionally create sometime dangerous in an unforeseen way? There are plenty of examples of that, for instance did you know that peanut allergies spiked after companies started roasting peanuts at a higher temperature in order to get them roasted faster? Turns out the increased temperature causes a protein to denature to a form that has a higher allergenicity than before. Not that that stopped anyone from doing it. More profits to be made selling cheaper peanuts to fewer people.

      I agree that there's not going to be any random surprises where someone tries to make a bigger corn cob but ends up with a mobile man-eating plant, but adding toxins to a plant we're supposed to be eating is going to need more testing to ensure that it's not poisonous to us, ideally by someone who doesn't have a vested interest in just declaring it safe and then retiring with a golden parachute before it begins to accumulate sufficiently in brain tissue to cause Alzheimer's.

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    4. Re:Bad argument by rasmusbr · · Score: 2

      I skimmed the paper and the paper is a bit air-headed and unfocused when it comes to the biology.

      They are a bit implicit, but it appears that their main failure scenario depends on the idea that with GMO you get huge monocultures where agriculture is dominated by relatively untested species, which could be susceptible to plant diseases. This is true, as far as I know. And I suppose that the risk of global catastrophic outcomes could very well be real.

      They also seem to assume that with non-GMO breeding techniques you do not get huge monocultures where agriculture is dominated by relatively untested species, which could be susceptible to plant diseases. This is not true AFAIK.

      So yeah, there is risk. But I don't understand where the GMO factor comes into the equation.

    5. Re:Bad argument by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Peanut allergies are also higher in people whos mothers did not eat peanuts for fear of it affecting their babies.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    6. Re:Bad argument by sjames · · Score: 1

      Actually no. That comparison would be against poison berries. Which can in a single generation be combined with corn and ruin a staple crop for humanity.

    7. Re:Bad argument by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Actually, less went wrong with asbestos than is generally perceived. The asbestos normally used in homes is much safer than some other forms, although it shouldn't be handled casually or by the typical handyman. There were a lot of ill effects for miners, and some of the industrial use was quite dangerous.

      There's also the question of what we would have used instead of asbestos, and what consequences that would have had. Would something more dangerous have been used? Would there have been inferior construction? More expensive construction? All of these have their own hazards.

      The lawsuits were severe partly because there had been suspicions of problems from asbestos for quite some time, and the asbestos companies were suspected (probably correctly) of being dishonest about the risks.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  20. Anonymous Coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    my understanding is, all is done in the US for animals, to grow fast and big. And this is also relflected amoung US people going fat, for a big part of the US population. We all look like the animals our farmers breed. Maybe a chance in Europe we will still have less fat people, at least in france, as meat coming from the US is ban. and the sort of chemistry to make animals grow fast, ban. At least this is the case today. But i do tend to think, it could be a relation between those, the way US farmer breed their animals, and the reason why more people get fat. Something likely difficult to prove, because there is big money behind. But worth investigating, i think.
    my 2cents, comments, if that can help.

  21. A mathematician commenting on biology by Overunderrated · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The first half of the paper (dealing with statistics) is all well and logical.

    The second half (dealing with GMO) makes several unfounded claims with no citation. Why does the author assume that GMOs have a non-zero risk of causing global catastrophe? Without any justification for that statement, you can just as easily claim that *not* using GMOs have a non-zero risk of causing global catastrophe.

    1. Re:A mathematician commenting on biology by qwak23 · · Score: 1

      We could argue that everything has a non-zero risk of causing global catastrophe. Which I suppose just backs up your point ;)

    2. Re:A mathematician commenting on biology by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 2

      The risk is (meaningfully, not formally) non-zero because GMOs ride the most potent distribution mechanism in existence for free -- natural replication and multiplication. An error in a nuclear reactor doesn't affect other nuclear reactors, but a "faulty" GM organism with potentially bad consequences (for us) can be everywhere just a few generations down. And unlike a computer virus for example, we may not be equipped to deal with the spread in the material worlds.

      A fair question would be why that is different from "natural" mutations of living things. (Which could also wipe us out some day.) The answer, as I understand it, is that natural mutations introduce a small delta of change at once, so there is more opportunity for the entire biosystem to adapt to them or neutralize them if harmful for the system. With GMOs, the delta of change is large and very structured, and that delta propagates at the same speed as the small "natural" deltas.

      "Natural" is btw only a statistical description. The processes we call natural have in the past occurred many orders of magnitude more times than those we call "artificial" and so their consequence is far more known.

    3. Re:A mathematician commenting on biology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Altering on a wide-scale a system that has worked fine for thousands (or tens of thousands to millions of years depending on how you look at it) is a risk.

      The best possible positive outcome is slightly increased crop production, and the worst possible negative outcome is global devastation. Even if the risk is tiny, it's still there, and so given enough time is almost guaranteed to happen.

      Try reading one of his books, like Antifragile and I'm sure you'll understand better.

    4. Re:A mathematician commenting on biology by RonElliott5693 · · Score: 1

      I thought exactly the same about the same about the paper. Then Taleb banned me from further comment on his facebook post about the paper after I pointed this out to him.

    5. Re:A mathematician commenting on biology by doom · · Score: 1

      Yup. Famous blowhard makes noise about something else for for awhile. Time to worry, but maybe not about GMOs.

    6. Re:A mathematician commenting on biology by ggrocca · · Score: 1

      This is NOT the argument in the paper. The argument in the paper is that GMO have a risk of sistemic danger because they ride the most potent distribution mechanism in existence -- hordes of big brained monkeys doing the same thing at the same moment all over the world, e.g. humans planting the same seeds everywhere. The problem in that is that the GMO plant is a technical novelty, which has not been previously tested through trial and error before going global, and this could introduce proteins that are not toxic per se, but they are once introduced in food because of sistemic interactions, and we would all eat them at the same time.

      So, two problems with a lot of GMOs:
      - not thoroughly tested technological novelties
      - deployed on a global scale

      The problem is not Vegetable Frankestein Escaping in the Wild and Coming Back to Eat Us.

      I myself am against monocultures and against intellectual property over genetic knowledge, and pro research on genetically modified organisms. That said Taleb's argument is intelligent and worth considering I think, in stark constrast against most FrankenFood arguments we heard way too many times.

    7. Re:A mathematician commenting on biology by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 1

      True, humans add multiplication to that exponential growth.

      I am also pro GM research however, I do believe that GM knowledge can come in handy some day in different situations, and to be the devil's advocate, I wonder if we can reach that knowledge if we are rational enough about GM and use it only when justified. Kind of like, you need to play with fire and get burned a little in the process before you understand how to use it properly.

  22. Outside your expertise by mean+revision · · Score: 0

    No disrespect to Taleb's economic expertise but clearly he doesn't know jack about biology.

    Whatever risks exist with GMOs are present in all other crops, but other crops don't undergo the same level of testing and we don't know the details of the mutations that are present. Occasionally this has led to issues (eg: toxic potatoes and celery) but the fact that we've taken something that looks like scrub grass and turned it into the towering, productive monster that is modern corn without having a global apocalypse should tell us that there's resiliency and harmful mutations get identified and eliminated before they cause significant harm.

    Taleb should have consulted experts in the relevant fields instead of thinking that he could just step across and master a new domain. It's the superfreakonomics curse.

    1. Re:Outside your expertise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What mechanism provides that "harmful mutations get identified and eliminated" when the harm is not to the organism itself, but to it's surroundings? If that mechanism is the resulting destruction of it's surroundings, that's the global ruin we're talking about.

  23. So Long As We Preserve Original Records... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have no issue with GMO foodstuffs. Don't go throwing away the information on the baseline organism because 'Hell, we'll never need THIS again!' It costs you nothing to preserve it and could cost you everything if you don't.

  24. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

    I think the biggest problem is that we want bad foods and good foods, when biology doesn't work that way (with a few exceptions for outright toxic food). What is best for you is dependent upon the rest of your diet. So, if you eat ten pounds of rice to satisfy the hunger you get from not having three strips of bacon for breakfast, you end up worse than you would if you had just ate the bacon in the first place. We are seeing a bit of a flip side to this now with the anti-carbs fad diets, and people just load themselves up with fatty foods.

    --
    This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
  25. Re:Nonsense. Again. by TWX · · Score: 1

    Hey, it worked for Sigfried and Roy!

    Or should that be, "Hay! it worked for Sigfried and Roy!"?

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  26. Re:Nonsense. Again. by jeffmeden · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And we've been comparing apples to oranges for just as long.

    Actually, before there were apples and oranges, there were some people cultivating a variety of bushes with barely edible fruit and wondering if there was any way to get them to ripen larger, taste better, and spoil slower. 500+ years later, here we are, comparing apples to oranges (neither of which existed in its current form back then).

    Or, were you trying to make a joke?

  27. Don't forget insulin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When considering GMO's, don't forget that probably 99% of the insulin used in the U.S. is from genetically modified organisms. Humulin has been being injected into humans since 1978.

  28. Re:Nonsense. Again. by sjames · · Score: 1

    Because changing things slowly over decades is exactly the same thing as changing it in a single generation, only you don't get any warning that you're about to screw up big time coupled with the ability to make changes that would otherwise be astronomically unlikely.

  29. Plausibility by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Having read only the popular article and not the arxiv paper, I have a question - what are the possible global effects of a genetically-modified organism? Global starvation? Global spread of some antibiotic-resistant bacteria or some deadly virus? And why are GM organisms viewed as having global (and not local) consequences?

  30. Re:Nonsense. Again. by jamiesan · · Score: 5, Funny

    Well, it worked for Siegfried.

  31. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And we've been comparing apples to oranges for just as long.

    I guess it is perfectly acceptable to compare gene-spliced apples to selectively-bred oranges....

  32. No such thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Agreed. There is no such thing as an non-genetically modified agricultural crop. We should be thankful of the natural selection that our ancestors have pursued for 1000's of years. Its just that now Monsanto selects a little, umm, faster.

  33. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by sjames · · Score: 1

    It is connected. There's a lot of sugar in processed foods today because they took the fats out and had to do something to make it not taste like salted cardboard.

    Then there's all of those people who consumed great quantities of artery clogging transfats because they were told it was the 'healthy choice' and butter would kill them.

    But note the people who made those claims aren't paying for the stents and bypasses.

  34. Hey you by fredrated · · Score: 0

    Get out of the way! There is profit to be made!

  35. Risks mean bad things but also opportunies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    With risks not only do potential unwanted outcomes occur, but there is potential for positive outcomes.

    We are probably better off with being able to secure our food supply via GMO than others.

  36. Re:Nonsense. Again. by mspohr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What is the difference between selective breeding and genetic modification?... nothing.
    GM is more efficient at selecting genes but no qualitative difference.
    BTW, mother nature has been doing GM for millions of years and randomly inserting genes across all types of organisms and so far, that seems to be working out just fine.
    So please, Keep Calm and Don't Panic.

    --
    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
  37. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by itzly · · Score: 1

    What's really driving obesity is the engineers in the processed food factories trying to optimize the perfect mix of ingredients that people find irresistible. Because irresistible = profit. And unlucky for the rest of population, irresistible usually involves a high calorie mix of fat and sugar.

  38. Re:Nonsense. Again. by ClioCJS · · Score: 2
    Declaring "nothing" doesn't make it so. Somehow, they decided that a new word with a new definition must be used. Breeding and genetic modification are not the same thing, as much as you want them to be in order to avoid your own silly cognitive dissonance.

    TL;DR: You waived your hands like OP, but it's still not a magic trick.

    --
    -Clio
    Karma: Bad (mostly from not giving a fuck)
    Blog: http://clintjcl.wordpress.com
  39. All food is genetically modified by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Whether we do it or nature does it. Genetic modifications happen in the wild all the time and have since the beginning of time.

  40. And the Proof? Or ANYTHING??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The sky is falling! The sky is falling? How do you know that the sky is falling? Because I said so and I can make $$$ from saying so.

  41. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 2

    I think the real issue with sugar intake is that sugar (or HFCS) is cheap, is tasty, and is in everything. Also, unlike say arsenic, any bad effects are usually deferred. That seems like the actual issue, and is probably why there are still obesity today.

    You might find this interesting: Sugar: The Bitter Truth by Robert H. Lustig, MD, UCSF Professor of Pediatrics in the Division of Endocrinology. It's about 90 minutes, but worth the watch. He describes how Fructose (from wherever, sugar, HFCS, etc...) is metabolized by the liver in a similar fashion as alcohol, but w/o the physical limitations of consuming too much alcohol, and raises triglycerides and cholesterol, etc...

    --
    It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
  42. Re:Nonsense. Again. by itzly · · Score: 0

    You are right. Breeding is riskier, because you're just mixing things and hoping you'll get something better. At least with genetic modification, there's a process to understand the purpose of the genes, and only target specific areas where you want a change.

  43. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    BTW, mother nature has been doing GM for millions of years and randomly inserting genes across all types of organisms and so far, that seems to be working out just fine.
    So please, Keep Calm and Don't Panic.

    BTW, at some point Mother Nature and her infinite wisdom decided to make several varieties of mushrooms extremely deadly to humans.

    Ironically, the first person who tried to Keep Calm and not Panic died. And yeah, I'd assume their next of kin wasn't doing "fine".

    Fun Fact: Mother Nature is a bitch.

    Try and remember that as you're spewing your words of Calming wisdom here.

  44. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Here is an interesting story, courtesy of Bruce Ames, of the Ames test
    Turns out, companies that sell seeds to home gardeners have special varietys for organic home gardeners, including celery seed that is "naturally" insect resistant
    So, the company selling the seeds gets all sorts of complaints: people are getting severe rash in sunlight
    long story short, the reason the seed is naturally resistant is that it is high in psoralen - compounds that crosslink (functional destruction [1]) DNA in the presence of UV; the psoralen killed the insects that ate the platns, and also caused skin rash in humans

    in other words, the NYU authors are as full of brown stuff as the club for growth , Rome (old timers, remember them ???)

    1) in the presence of UV, psoralen compounds will form cross link the two strands of a normal double stranded DNA molecule. If the cross links can't be repaired by the one of the cells many repair mechanisms, then the cross link is highly deleteriorous to cell growth - probabl initiating a p53/caspase/apoptotic cell death program
    (all that fancy crap is to show you that altho i can't spell, I acually know a little bit about this)

  45. Competent? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But is he competent to write about GMO?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nassim_Nicholas_Taleb#Family_background_and_education

  46. Re:Nonsense. Again. by dcollins117 · · Score: 1

    What is the difference between selective breeding and genetic modification?

    For starters, you can't breed a jellyfish with a zebrafish, no matter how kinky they are. But you can take the flourescent genes from a jellyfish, put them in a zebrafish, and make Glofish.

  47. Re:Nonsense. Again. by gral · · Score: 1

    Modifying organisms by having one breed with another is vastly different than turning off and on specific genes of dna.

    It is like working with several programs through an interface as opposed to changing the code directly. Hope you put in a try catch. ;-)

    --
    Scott Carr
  48. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Breeding is riskier

    Here they come. There is an absolute army of pro-GMO astroturfers who set their RSS feeds to trigger a fire alarm whenever GMOs are mentioned. They admit this.

    You are not allowed to suggest there are dangers to GMOs. You are not allowed to point out any studies that suggest there are dangers to GMOs, because they will answer, "It's just one study" or, "It was a flawed study" or, "The researcher is being paid by the global anti-GMO elite!". You are not allowed to know whether the food you buy is licensed by Monsanto. You are not allowed to object to intellectual property laws being applied to basic foodstuffs. You are not allowed to know whether what you feed your family is made from GMO products for any reason whatsoever. If you say, "As a consumer, I want to know the provenance of the food I eat," they will say, "You are stupid and bad and anti-science". They will compare you to anti-vaxxers, Nazis, Michael Vick, Nickelback and Stalin if you suggest that GMO foods should be labeled as such. They will tell you that companies should not be allowed to label their food as "Contains no GMOs" if it does not in fact contain no GMOs because that would be unfair to the chemical industry.

    They use approximately the same sealion techniques as GamerGate. They will politely ask the same questions, over and over, saying "Where is your proof!" and when you show them the proof, they will say, "Those scientists are all being paid by Al Gore/Whole Foods/PETA;/George Soros/or the worldwide cabal of billionaire organic farmers.

    They will come by the dozens. You cannot win. I'm telling you, leave this one alone.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  49. They might help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What if GMO's reduce global warming in some unspecified but plausible (by warmist standards) way? It's a win-win!

  50. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    if they ever want a dog or cat for a pet they should only be allowed the choice to take a wolf or a tiger home....

    Yes, because your dog Sniffles is actually the product of genesplicing of a dog and fish genes and requires massive amounts of pesticides to live.

    So, SHUT UP YOU ANTI-GMO PEOPLE. You are stupid, and wrong and want people to starve because you would like to know the provenance of the food you give your families.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  51. I think you nailed it there by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think the proposition that NOT using GMOs risks global catastrophe might have more odds in its favor than using GMOs.

    Consider:
    Bananas, citrus, chocolate, coffee are all threatened by pathogens or climate change. There are some credible pathogen threats to wheat as well.

    In the case of citrus, the ONLY (**ONLY**) resistant variety to citrus greening disease, out of ALL the citrus varieties on the plant, is a GMO variety that has genes from spinach spliced in.

    So we have a case of, worldwide collapse of citrus production, OR GMO citrus.

    I think I'll take the GMO citrus, thank you very much. If I were a Florida planter, and I weren't worried about anti-GMO hysteria, I'd be replacing my citrus orchards (as they die) with GMO plants.

    As I referred to above, similar threats are either now or are poised to decimate bananas, coffee, chocolate, and wheat, though I'm not so sure that the naturally resistant variety situation is so dire in those cases.

    Best,

    -PeterM

    1. Re:I think you nailed it there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bananas (aka the Cavendish) will always be at risk of being decimated as all cavendish trees are cuttings/clones from one plant. If all the cavendish disappeared, there'd be plenty of plantains around still.

    2. Re:I think you nailed it there by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      Well, on the flip side, if large multinationals standardize huge portions of the worlds food crops on single variety "best of breed crop x", lowering diversity of crop varieties, a single disease could wipe out entire crops. Like http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panama_disease (Of course, with or without GMO, farmer's tend to gravitate towards "the best variety of x", but at least natural variations in weather, climate, soil, etc.. might dictate some seed diversity. A GMO 'super breed' might be great in all climates, in all soils, etc..)

      TL:DR; GMO's might protect us from what pests (disease, bugs, etc..) we know about now , but might make us much more susceptible to new ones in the future.

  52. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    Except low-carb diets actually work, and extreme no-carb diets seem to work but have side effects. This suggests that the general wisdom of "load yourself up on grains, eat little meat" is not actually healthy.

    Sugars and starches absorb immediately as energy. Proteins and fats are useful for structure, but also derivable as energy. Processing protein and fat requires a great deal more effort than processing sugar, which simply hits the blood and triggers insulin, binding it into glycogen.

    It's often common wisdom that you can fill whatever hunger you have by eating piles of fruits and vegetables as snacks. Nobody ever says this outright, but they recommend directly to eat fruits and vegetables if hungry between meals. Imagine just sitting at your desk all day, munching Doritos and pretzels; now imagine being healthy by eating an apple, two kiwi fruit, and munching on a two pound bag of cherries. As you observe, people wish to believe fruit is good for you and actively makes you healthier, and so eating a ton of it makes you a ton healthier.

    I generally consume mushrooms, bacon, sausage, eggs, and steak as my breakfast foods. This is taken with almond milk with Ovaltine in it, or with fresh squeezed orange juice. My lunch often consists of a sandwich, so there is some grain in my diet. Dinner may have some bread, or a sweet potato, or some such thing. Notably, starch causes food fatigue, while high protein intake helps you function when sleep deprived; mushrooms are rather neutral in either regard. My breakfast is very protein-biased for logical reasons, and I am only shy of pizza because I don't know how to eat pizza (just keep eating until painful...).

  53. equal and opposite by bbands · · Score: 1

    While it may be true that the risks of genetic engineering are underestimated; it is also true that Mr. Taleb overestimates the risks of everything. Into the hidey hole!

  54. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Joreallean · · Score: 1

    That's not how genetics work. Things change because of mutations and the resulting plant is either able to reproduce or not. That mutation could be something significant like making the plant blue instead of red or it could be totally benign. How well it reproduces offsping and how well they survive determines what traits move on. In the case of Tifton-85 a hybrid bred bermudagrass it produced cyanide gas killing the cows that ate it. That could never happen in nature right?!? The thing people seem to forget is we are not inserting "artificial" or "animal genes" we are inserting gene sequences. This is not like computer programming where you have Java and C and C++ and HTML. You have DNA and you have RNA. You take a sequence from one organism that you've identified as the source of the trait and you put it into another organism and it can copy that DNA just like any other DNA. Every type of life that we know uses the same type of building blocks...there is no difference between the DNA in you and the DNA in a Redwood tree or a soybean.

  55. Capitalism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm unsure about the science either way, our genetic modification techniques differ from selective breeding and from one another. Isn't it possible that some genetic modification techniques are perfectly safe and some others cary some risks? Cancer is weird man.

    Ignoring actual new physical risks from genetic modification itself. What about the inherent risks from capitalism? I suggest that, instead of "fancy new genetic modification dangers", we restrict ourselves to talking about existing agricultural problems, which genetic modification allows the capitalists to "perfect"

    We've produced many nasty famines, diseases, economic stresses, etc. through monoculture crops. We've also produced many less tasty foods by breeding them for transport. Allowing patents on genetic organisms has exacerbated these problems dramatically.

    We should not imho forbid genetic modification outright. Instead we should outlaw patents on genetically modified organisms. Ideally, we should find a way to pass an ex-post facto law that refunds everyone sued over a genetic patent.

  56. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    People who are thinner tend to prefer a sweerer whipped concoction than fat people, who prefer a fatter, not sweet whipped concoction. That knowledge is 30 years old.

    Fat people are fat because of savory desires rather than sweets (to borrow a culinary term for non-sweets cooking AKA most cooking).

    But i's thr breads and cereals aspect -- grains, in bread and pasta, that generates excess calories and sugar in the blood. Too much sugar...in the form of those buns and fries with that paltry 300 calories of burger-and-cheese in a Big Mac.

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  57. Betcha he has a new scary book on the way by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    " Today, roughly 85 per cent of corn and 90 per cent of soybeans produced in the US are genetically modified. "

    Yet we still exist. Why don't I have tentacles and nine eyes yet?

    And furthermore, I recently had another vaccination, for shingles.

  58. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We've been modifying organisms for thousands of years, through splicing and selective breeding, and others.

    ... with dire consequences for a lot of the life on the planet. They're not wrong to think that genetical engineering is bad for life, but the economy and politics are only interested in if it is bad for us humans in the short term. It probably isn't, just like it wasn't in the recent past.

  59. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

    Actually yes, because we now know that transgenic processes occur in nature too.

  60. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Actually, before there were apples and oranges, there were some people cultivating a variety of bushes with barely edible fruit and wondering if there was any way to get them to ripen larger, taste better, and spoil slower. 500+ years later, here we are, comparing apples to oranges (neither of which existed in its current form back then).

    This is not even remotely the same thing as modern gene-splicing. People have NOT, for thousands of years, implated jellyfish genes into food crops, and set them loose in the wild. Talk about comparing apples to oranges! You're comparing kittens to fireflies.

    Wait! Never mind. They've crossed those, too. (Actually it wasn't fireflies, but some kind of bioluminescent bacteria, if I remember correctly.)

    Apples and oranges indeed. Comparing this to gene splicing between unrelated organisms really is more like comparing bacteria to kittens.

  61. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Changes over decades do not make food any more healthier for humans to eat. Try some of the poison berries that grow in the woods for proof.

  62. And the biologist on the author list is....? by zerobeat · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No one. Taleb et. al. claim that GMOs are under the precautionary principle (PP) - something they just invented.. I mean formalized. A nuclear accident is not because its effects are local. GMOs are, I assume because they can spread. They are 'pro-ruin'. I wonder on what time scale they expect this ruin to happen since we have been fucking with plants an animals for thousands of years. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D... . There is no accurate estimation of the chances that GMOs will ruin us because they don't understand the risks or lack of risks because they don't understand the technology and biology they are talking about. They don't understand the 'risk' of what might happen when one strain crosses with another and just how much gene mixing is going on without humans doing a single thing to guide it. But let me explain it fatuously... what happens if a naturally occurring drought resistant plant crosses with a nearby fungal resistant plant? MAYBE DEATH GENES!!!! It might spread! And humans don't need to be involved!!! Did I say DEATH??? Why aren't we all dead by now? Is it perhaps because Taleb et al really don't understand what happens when genes mix and spread? Do they not know that genes aren't magic monoliths that have been around for years, unchanging? More "weird" crossing happens every single day in Spring than mankind is likely to do in the next 50 years of cross breading (and in the next 100 years inside a lab). If they are concerned about the random events that might happen when one plant crosses with another we should immediately slash and burn all sexually reproducing crops whether GMOed or not. I see less fear mongering about Ebola on FOX News. This is appalling.

    --
    What other people think of me is none of my business
    1. Re:And the biologist on the author list is....? by russotto · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They didn't invent the precautionary principle. It's been around for a while. The idea is that you have to prove something is safe before you do it. Sounds reasonable to the layperson, but of course it's an impossible burden to meet (see "proving a negative")

    2. Re:And the biologist on the author list is....? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rubbish, it's been around for thousands of years, probably the entire history of civilisation, ever since Ug decided not to get the honey from the thin branch,.

    3. Re:And the biologist on the author list is....? by ggrocca · · Score: 1

      You know, it would help to read the actual paper (I know, I know..), especially if you're a biologist. They devote a whole section to the argument "you're not biologists!!!1!" and make a lot of very reasonable considerations there, especially about the bad use of statistics that is seen in most biology and medical papers.

      Their argument by the way is NOT the one you attacked in your post. I myself am mildly pro GMO and against science witch huntings. The paper repeats none of the the usual FrankenFood arguments and instead tries to apply perspective and critical thinking to a rather complex problem. I won't give a summary here because there are already very good posts moderated 5 around the thread doing it already.

      I think the bigger takeaway from the paper is not "oh let's stop playing god and never modify organisms again" but that we should apply different techniques and ideas in testing them and deploying them, first of all avoiding global scale diffusion of new engineered crops in short periods of time, which is arguably not very smart.

    4. Re:And the biologist on the author list is....? by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      I am pro GMO in most cases.

      But you've got to admit that splicing in genes is different than cross breeding plants. Splicing allows you to put genes in plants that would never have ended up in those plants naturally.

      see http://agbiosafety.unl.edu/basic_genetics.shtml or the below

      Genetic engineering works primarily through insertion of
      genetic material, although gene insertion must also be followed up by
      selection. This insertion process does not occur in nature. A gene
      "gun", a bacterial "truck" or a chemical or electrical treatment inserts the
      genetic material into the host plant cell and then, with the help of genetic
      elements in the construct, this genetic material inserts itself into the
      chromosomes of the host plant. Engineers must also insert a "promoter" gene
      from a virus as part of the package, to make the inserted gene express
      itself. This process alone, involving a gene gun or a comparable
      technique, and a promoter, is profoundly different from conventional
      breeding, even if the primary goal is only to insert genetic material from
      the same species.

      But beyond that, the technique permits genetic material to
      be inserted from unprecedented sources. It is now possible to insert
      genetic material from species, families and even kingdoms which could not
      previously be sources of genetic material for a particular species, and even
      to insert custom-designed genes that do not exist in nature. As a result we
      can create what can be regarded as synthetic life forms, something which
      could not be done by conventional breeding.

      http://www.organicconsumers.org/ge/hansenGEexpl.cfm

  63. 11 billion people soon we have no choice by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

    11 billion people is the current population projection for humanity, and that's a projection you can have some real confidence in. So the question is do you take the best means the incoming billions off the table or do we get cracking and throw everything we have at the problem. Pretty sure if we don't solve the problem nature in her usual fashion will do so for us.

  64. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

    s/implated/implanted

  65. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

    The greatest danger from GMO technology is that it enables malice. If ISIS taps the House of Saud bank account deeply enough, it could come up with an Ebola-rabies-common cold doomsday virus much faster and more certainly than by hybridization.

    Fortunately, the same technology allows us to develop treatments to diseases, malicious or natural, correspondingly faster than before:
    http://www.iflscience.com/heal...
    We can't put the toothpaste back into the tube. Our 'recusing' from GMO technology would do nothing to prevent misuse of the tech by anyone still using it. It would only prevent us from developing a response.

  66. Re:Nonsense. Again. by harlows_monkeys · · Score: 1

    What is the difference between selective breeding and genetic modification?... nothing.

    Wrong. Genetic modification allows for a greater range of modification in a shorter time than can be achieved with selective breeding.

    As Ben Parker wisely noted many years ago, "With great power comes great responsibility". Does our current food industry collectively have the great responsibility to wisely handle the great power of GMO? They have pretty clearly demonstrated that they do not.

  67. Except not really by gelfling · · Score: 1

    so other than being completely wrong, he's on to something.

  68. Re:Nonsense. Again. by mspohr · · Score: 3, Informative

    Billions of times a day, natural processes substitute random genes from all different kinds of organisms.
    Natural selection takes care of it.
    We are not in a Frankenstein movie... more like Rube Goldberg.

    --
    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
  69. Re:Nonsense. Again. by mspohr · · Score: 1

    I guess you've never heard of bacteriophages (and similar organisms) which do take genes from one organism and put them in another... billions of times every day.

    --
    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
  70. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Breeding is riskier

    Here they come. There is an absolute army of pro-GMO astroturfers who set their RSS feeds to trigger a fire alarm whenever GMOs are mentioned. They admit this.

    They will politely ask the same questions, over and over, saying "Where is your proof!" and when you show them the proof, they will say, "Those scientists are all being paid by Al Gore/Whole Foods/PETA;/George Soros/or the worldwide cabal of billionaire organic farmers.

    Today I learned that suggesting that everyone on the other side of a debate is on the take from some shadowy cabal of corporate interests is only ridiculous and dishonest when "they" do it.

  71. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    But pigs don't fuck glow worms. Ever. Heck, they don't even get to first base.

    And yet ... http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-3kKz...

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  72. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by operagost · · Score: 1

    I guess that's why I'm getting all those spams telling me bananas will kill me... fructose!

    --

    Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
  73. Re:Nonsense. Again. by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 1

    Do the diff of the genetic material before and after, in the case of 1) "natural" mutations, 2) selective breeding, and 3) GM. And don't look for just the number of "lines" of code, but look at the structure and correlation among the changes. Then, apply exponential growth to the diffs -- and the fact that we cannot possibly predict the effect of either 10, 20 or 100 years downstream, and you'll see what's different.

  74. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There's nothing in the food pyramid that is grossly wrong. The problem with the food pyramid is people looked at it, saw the part with grains at the bottom, and assumed that heavily processed and refined grains (i.e. essentially sugars) were what that was.

    Last time I looked, the bulk of the world's population diet is based on grain (in particular, rice) and doesn't have an obesity problem. The thing is, it's whole grain rice not processed and refined crap.

  75. Oh man. by Rinikusu · · Score: 1

    I thought it was gonna be something new from Bruce Sterling, also author of a "Black Swan" story.

    --
    If you were me, you'd be good lookin'. - six string samurai
  76. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by Livius · · Score: 1

    As a child who was indoctrinated under the food pyramid, I can categorically tell you that I completely ignored it.

    Then you weren't actually indoctrinated.

  77. reality bomb by slashmydots · · Score: 1

    Time to drop a reality bomb on the debate. Here's a few fun facts nobody ever mentions:
    Asian carp are taking over and causing immense damage in the Great Lakes. They are not genetically modified.
    Any GMO at any time can be poisonous or deadly or cause cancer and we wouldn't know it for years and years. The threat hasn't gone away, it just hasn't happened yet.
    Unfortunately for the hippies, not every single GMO is bad. In fact, changing one protein in the skin of a fruit or the plant's roots rarely affects the edible part of the plant.
    GMO is just accelerated adaptation. Any plant can become hazardous to humans or nature. Did you know humans are almost the only animal that can eat Avocados without becoming violently ill or dying and humans are one of the only animals that can't eat crabapple berries. That's just nature being nature.

    1. Re:reality bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Time to drop a reality bomb

      Nobody who says things like this is capable of doing it.

  78. Re:Nonsense. Again. by ray-auch · · Score: 3, Funny

    Have you compared the size of a pig and a glow worm ?

    I think a glow worm would be pretty well fucked if a pig stood on it...

  79. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Nickelback

    You sir have gone entirely too far, choose your second, pistols at noon by the old mill. Be there if you aren't a coward.

  80. Re:Nonsense. Again. by skydyr · · Score: 1

    What is the difference between selective breeding and genetic modification?... nothing.
    GM is more efficient at selecting genes but no qualitative difference.
    BTW, mother nature has been doing GM for millions of years and randomly inserting genes across all types of organisms and so far, that seems to be working out just fine.
    So please, Keep Calm and Don't Panic.

    Once upon a time, certain single-celled organisms happened upon a new process to make food, and its only novel byproduct was free oxygen. For a time, things continued swimmingly as the iron on earth rusted, until it was all rusted and no longer consumed the oxygen. Then most organisms couldn't cope with this highly toxic element and died. Certainly today, this is seen as a valuable transition on the way to life as we know it, but I'd hardly like to be on the other side of it.

  81. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by HiThere · · Score: 1

    The real problem is that people like to eat, and they prefer to eat foods that are high in calories. Also, once they leave childhood they prefer to minimize exercise. This is a bad combination, but it isn't unique to humans. What's unique to humans is that they can usually find a lot of reasonably tasty food with minimal effort.

    Go watch lions in a zoo, and see how much they sleep. This is normal. If you want an animal to be active, you limit its food supply, and arrange things so that activity is require to get anything that isn't dead boring to eat.
    N.B.: This effect is less marked in smaller animals because:
    1) It takes less effort to move, and
    2) Smaller animals need to eat more often.
    But humans count as larger animals.

    This is oversimplified, of course, but there is no magic dietary food that you can eat or avoid to solve the problem. He's right that we have no real need for sugar, but we also only need a small amount of fat. But if we eliminate both we tend to OD on protein, which has its own problems.

    I think the best fad diet of recent times was the oat bran diet. It still didn't solve the problem, of course, but it was minimally harmful.

    FWIW, I tend to avoid sugar, and minimize fats (with some exceptions for olive oil...but even that only in moderation). But I like to eat, and I'm not active enough....and I weigh about twice what I should.

    The only group of people I'm aware of that aren't *vigorous* exercisers and aren't overweight are strict vegetarians...or orientals who eat a traditional diet, which is nearly the same thing. (Or very young...though even there the percentage of overweight is increasing rapidly. Probably because their ability to run around has been sharply curtailed over the last several decades.)

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  82. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    it's still just DNA. who cares where it came from, what's important it what it does!

    the bioluminescent gene for example just encodes for the creation of a pigment and a catalyst enzyme. you could eat that and nothing would happen, your digestive system would just break them down.

    besides, a freak mutation COULD have recreated exactly what they did in a lab and we would have selected for it.

    the only thing we've done now is remove the need to wait for the right mutations to pop up.

  83. Everybody hates my opinion on this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You don't seem to be the typical anti- or pro- GMO close-minded fanatic, which is a rare thing in these parts.

    You said "But after 20 years of GMO products, and absolutely no significantly measurable negative ecological/human impacts, I'm thinking maybe we should turn down the rhetoric a bit and continue on."

    That's the problem, though. Measurement. We have many, many negative ecological/human impacts that have no known cause, that correspond roughly to the time that various kinds of GMO techniques and species came into use.

    Examples are bad things like increasing autism, good things like decreasing crime, and arguable things like increasing sterility. There are lots more - dozens of mysterious events and trends that could possibly have come about during the time that GMOs have penetrated the market, things that we may have *theories* to explain, but no sure answers, as yet.

    It would be nice to be able to do *science* on the data, and correlate figures, so that your statement about "no significant effects" could be proven either true or false. But the GMO companies have nicely prevented that, by making it impossible to determine precisely when and where different populations were exposed to different GMO species or techniques.

    You also said "But if there were truly a significant health risk in GMOs in general, we should have seen it develop by now."

    That's exactly what has been prevented, by the lack of labeling. Nobody can possibly correlate the database when all the index keys have been purposely obscured.

    If the GMO companies believed their products were safe, they would have proudly labeled them. And frankly, the odds are that the vast majority of GMO products are safe. We can't be sure about any of them (because the GMO companies did not believe in their own products, and so persuaded the Reagan administration to exempt them from fair labeling laws) but they can't possibly all be toxic, despite the ranting of anti-GMO fanatics. It's even possible that our declining crime rate is not due to elimination of leaded gas, but instead due to roundup-ready crops.

    Odds are though that there will be some GMO products that aren't safe and that there will be some GMO products that enable dumb farming practices. But the exact same statement is true if you remove the letters "GMO".

    Totally agree. I just wish our government hadn't put the interests of mega-rich corporations ahead of the interests of good science. If all GMOs had always been labeled, we would be able to say something definitive about specific products by now.

    1. Re:Everybody hates my opinion on this. by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      We have many, many negative ecological/human impacts that have no known cause, that correspond roughly to the time that various kinds of GMO techniques and species came into use.

      By that logic, GMOs cause people to be more accepting of gay marriage. We should do research to find the causes of these things, of course, but there's no reason to pick on whatever random tech/group/idea has an image problem at the moment.

      the GMO companies have nicely prevented that, by making it impossible to determine precisely when and where different populations were exposed to different GMO species or techniques.

      First, we have the US and Europe.
      Second, it isn't any different than any other industry - what was the sulfur content of the oil used to make your keyboard?

      If the GMO companies believed their products were safe, they would have proudly labeled them.

      First, Monsanto et al do 'proudly' label their products, advertise them, even explain in great detail what all their varieties do - but you aren't buying large quantities of seed, so you don't see it.
      Second, as long as people are freaking out about GMOs keeping quiet makes more sense than making yourself a target for anti-GMO activists. You really think it makes financial sense to be the only company with a 'Frankenfood' sticker on their products?

      But if I could put a question to you - why this tech? Out of the thousand of fairly new techs that go into billions of products, why this one and not, say, cell phone radiation, hormone analogues in plastic, ...?

  84. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

    I guess that's why I'm getting all those spams telling me bananas will kill me... fructose!

    Watch the video, it's from an academic series on campus. The guy seems to know what he's talking about, unless you don't like actual experts. Fructose from a fibrous source (apple, banana) is better as the fiber slows the processing of the sugar, unlike, say, in a soda.

    --
    It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
  85. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yes, the modern gene-splicing is much safer. Do you know that wheat lost most of its protein content due to selective breeding? Maize lost most of its fat content due to a genetic error (so its wild predecessors are much healthier).

    If the same happened to a GM food then it'd be banned quicker than you can say "paracetomoxyfrusebendroneomycin".

  86. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    But you can breed together a tree and a beetle.

    Or a beetle and a bacteria - http://blogs.discovermagazine....

  87. GMO is a threat, here's why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Look no further than MRSA

    The crops are being modified to fight off today's pests, but the pests will eventually mutate into different pests. It's an arms race we may be able to stave off for some time, but will ultimately lose.

  88. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by jader3rd · · Score: 1

    You mean the same precautionary principle that led the US government to indoctrinate a generation of kids in the food pyramid, leading to generational highs of sugar intake and obesity,

    You think the food pyramid did that? The real reason is that Nixon saw a food shortage coming and didn't want to deal the political fallout of that. So he started subsidize corn, which resulted in a massive explosion of High Fructose Corn Syrup being added to everything that Americans eat. That's what's causing high sugar intakes and in increase in obesity.

  89. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 0

    The greatest danger from GMO technology is that it enables malice. If ISIS taps the House of Saud bank account deeply enough, it could come up with an Ebola-rabies-common cold doomsday virus much faster and more certainly than by hybridization.

    Monsanto is a much greater threat than ISIS. The people in the Islamic State only dream about killing as many people as Monsanto has.

    Yes it enables malice.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  90. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you RTFA you will see that this is fallacy discussed in the paper.

  91. This book is BS by Cyberax · · Score: 2

    If we follow the logic in this book, then we should ban everything up to and including stone tools and fire. For example:
    - Computers: might give rise to an artificial intelligence that will destroy everything. Ban them.
    - Agriculture: might cause people to lose their natural aggressiveness so they'll be easily conquered by the alien invaders. Ban agriculture.
    - Fire: might cause the global firestorm that will destroy all the life. Ban it.
    - Stone tools: they might spark the fire that will destroy all the life. Ban it.
    - Medicine: might cause humanity to lose natural immunity to diseases. Ban it.

    And so on.

  92. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    But I don't believe that the pro-GMO goonswarm that shows up at every one of these discussions is part of any shadowy cabal. Most of them are your basic pop skeptic who simply believe whoever's marketing department spends the most money. Nothing will get a pop skeptic's juices flowing like accusations of "anti-science", as long as the accusation is loud enough.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  93. Re:Nonsense. Again. by mspohr · · Score: 1

    Since this process took many millions of years, it's unlikely that you'd be on the wrong side of it in your short life.
    The climate is changing rapidly now and that is much more likely to be a threat to you in your lifetime.

    --
    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
  94. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    > People have NOT, for thousands of years, implated jellyfish genes into food crops

    If "food crop" means "something people actually ate", then we still haven't. Did you bother to actually google the story you're "quoting" with such feigned authority?

    > Comparing this to gene splicing between unrelated organisms

    Nature has been gene splicing between unrelated organisms long before we came around. Eight percent of your DNA is from viruses, for instance.

  95. Re:Nonsense. Again. by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

    Huh? Wut?

    Monsanto wants to make money. Lots of money. So you need lots of happy little people making other happy little people. They certainly can cause inadvertent harm - I think this is somewhat downplayed although I disagree with Talub, et all that this is a planet wide potential catastrophe. But to compare Monsanto with ISIS is silly. Religious nutjobs are just that. Telling them that Allah didn't say that all women are property or that they're not really going to heaven on the back of a vest full of TNT isn't going to get you very far.

    If there was clear and convincing evidence that GMO was bad, then Monsanto would be shut down. That's the big difference. Right now, there are some concerns, but no clear and convincing evidence of that.

    The failure of the argument presented by Talub et al is that even a total, world wide vector that killed off one GMO line (say, potatoes) would not result in world wide damage (as would a 10 km asteroid). The human race would work around a potatoeless planet, eat more maize or tomatoes or McDonald's or Tofu or whatever. It would be a problem, but a manageable one - largely on the level of a major tsunami / hurricane / earthquake. Bad, but not that bad.

    Not game over by any means.

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  96. He's not wrong by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    ...I just walked outside, and seriously, I saw "genetically modified organisms" EVERYWHERE.

    Flowers, pumpkins, dogs, hell, I even saw genetically modified people sipping coffee like ...like it was normal!

    It's a bloody catastrophe, why isn't anyone else afraid?!?!?!?

    --
    -Styopa
  97. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What is the difference between selective breeding and genetic modification?

    Can you selectively breed a tomato with a jellyfish?

  98. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Kaenneth · · Score: 2

    You might want to loosen the tin foil on your head a bit.

  99. Africanized swans: by Hartree · · Score: 3, Funny

    Nasty. Swans are already mean as all get out and now you want to genetically engineer them with African bee dna, so they behave like killer bees.

    Black swan: Cygnus atratus
    Africanized honey bee: Apis mellifera adansonii

    Africanized Black Swan: Cygnus atratus adansonii (variety: Winged Death).

    Attacks in flocks of thousands and chases you for miles. Almost as bad as sharks with lasers, but can fly and travel on land. Doctor Evil would be proud.

    1. Re:Africanized swans: by gandhi_2 · · Score: 1

      Oh jeeze.. you're right. And worse: swans aren't deterred by water!

    2. Re:Africanized swans: by _merlin · · Score: 1

      The black swans native to Australia have a much more pleasant temperament than white swans. But yeah, I know you're trying to make a joke.

  100. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You are not allowed to point out any studies that suggest there are dangers to GMOs, because they will answer, "It's just one study" or, "It was a flawed study" or, "The researcher is being paid by the global anti-GMO elite!".

    Those sound like perfectly reasonable responses to me (if true). If they can explain WHY the study was flawed, and do it accurately, then why would you continue to have faith in this study?

  101. Whose knowledge is incomplete? by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

    PP is intended to deal with uncertainty and risk in cases where the absence of evidence and the incompleteness of scientific knowledge carries profound implications and in the presence of risks of "black swans", unforeseen and unforeseable events of extreme consequence.

    That description is very subjective and undoubtedly leads the model to say whatever one wants it to say, in this case, GMO bad!

  102. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    But to compare Monsanto with ISIS is silly.

    I compared the death counts. See: Agent Orange, dioxin and others.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  103. Re:Nonsense. Again. by sjames · · Score: 1

    And conversely, they don't tend to make healthy food poisonous. But insert the wrong gene and you can achieve crazy health problems in a single season.

  104. The Future of War by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We have guns, tanks, planes and drones now which exploit a given weakness in an enemies defence. We have hacking, which exploits another orthogonal weakness. In the future we will have bio-hacking which will attack our food security and water security.

    It's not a difficult case to make that a lack of biodiversity is bad, and it's an even easier case to make that monoculture is worse. Right now the US is engaging in rampant monoculture, in particular the crops of corn, wheat, etc.

    I can foresee a future where 'bad actors' will bio-engineer insects and other organisms to be resistant to Monsanto's current line of poisons. All they need do then is spend a few years getting some enough breeding stock ready and release them into the wild.

    Corn is key to US food security, you over-produce it by the ton and use it in most of your food as well as for feeding livestock.

    Now, while IS doesn't have the technology to make this new form of war happen, places like Korea, Pakistan, or several middle eastern countries can or could. Groups like IS could do ground work and grunt work moving lavae or eggs and helping to breed them in quiet locations dotted throughout the grain producing regions.

    Just one lightly adapted mold, fungus, insect, whatever targeted towards Monsanto's genetic breeds could devastate the US in a few short years.

  105. If by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    If you think GMO's are a threat to humanity, just imagine most of us starving to death.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  106. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Altrag · · Score: 1

    They have a great responsibility to pump up their bottom line. Does that count?

  107. Re:Nonsense. Again. by LessThanObvious · · Score: 1

    It's only evil when Monsanto does it.

  108. Re:Nonsense. Again. by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yes, the modern gene-splicing is much safer.

    Tee hee

    Do you know that wheat lost most of its protein content due to selective breeding?

    Do you realize that this was the desired outcome? Other varieties of wheat still exist. We don't use them for most things on purpose.

    Maize lost most of its fat content due to a genetic error (so its wild predecessors are much healthier).

    But we cultivated the less-healthy kind on purpose. And if you made it healthier, it wouldn't taste as sweet.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  109. Re:Nonsense. Again. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Billions of times a day, natural processes substitute random genes from all different kinds of organisms.
    Natural selection takes care of it.

    Right. Because nature doesn't plant whole fields full of monocultures.

    We are not in a Frankenstein movie... more like Rube Goldberg.

    Nature is more like the latter, most of our attempts to control it are decidedly like the former.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  110. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    You mean the same precautionary principle that led the US government to indoctrinate a generation of kids in the food pyramid, leading to generational highs of sugar intake and obesity,

    Nonsense, and also bullshit. The NIH tried and tried to prove that fat was bad for you. The closest they got was showing that taking drugs to reduce your cholesterol count reduced your risk of heart disease. Then they claimed that fat and cholesterol were bad for you, and then the food pyramid was based on that. And that was known bullshit. Guess what came next? The meteoric rise of the processed foods industry.

    because scientists thought that fat might be responsible for heart disease?

    No. A deliberate attempt was made to prove that, and then having failed to do so, a deliberate attempt was made to sell the idea anyway. Gary Taubes covered this material some years ago, and we have already had debates about it. Your side lost.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  111. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, the modern gene-splicing is much safer.

    No, it's not. Modern gene splicing includes a lot more than just making foods produce more. Modern gene splicing is mostly about ensuring farmers must buy seeds annually because they can't simply take the seeds from their crops and replant them - they are mostly designed to produce only sterile seeds or worse to produce sterile offspring 2-3 generations down the line. If those types of genes get mixed with wild populations of plantlife (which yes, that is a thing both through cross pollination and viral infections - and yes they are designed to exploit those mechanisms to make competing heirloom strains of crops sterile and gain market share) then there is a serious problem.

  112. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    The real problem is that people like to eat, and they prefer to eat foods that are high in calories.

    You can do this by eating a lot of fat, and it's harmless without eating carbs with it. And fat is tasty, it's even sweet in its own way.

    The only group of people I'm aware of that aren't *vigorous* exercisers and aren't overweight are strict vegetarians...

    Most of the strict vegetarians I know are fat. (Not vegans, mind you, vegetarians.)

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  113. Re:Nonsense. Again. by mattack2 · · Score: 1

    killing as many people as Monsanto has.

    [Citation needed]

  114. Precautionary principle at work. by goodmanj · · Score: 2

    Let me demonstrate the authors' "precautionary principle", which says that if an action has even a slight or unknowable risk of causing absolutely devastating harm, you shouldn't do it.

    If I leave the house tomorrow morning, there is a chance I might get run over by a truck and killed -- as far as I'm concerned, that's the ultimate in devastating harm. In contrast, the benefits of me leaving the house on a given day (earning some money, keeping my job, seeing the sun) are modest. Therefore I should just stay in bed.

    It's ridiculous, but that is *exactly* the argument they're using against GMOs.

    1. Re:Precautionary principle at work. by ggrocca · · Score: 1

      I would say that the benefits of leaving the house, once considering an arbitrary sequence of days, would far outweight any possible harm; simply because you would day of starvation in your nice little home, with 100% certainty (no risk involved here!). Unless there's people bringing you food - themselves risking devastating harm by doing so. And who says that you don't risk devastating harm in your home? Floods, fires, tornadoes, whatever. You might be saved by going OUT!

      You argument and my response are very interesting, but keep in mind that they bear no link of any kind to the argument given in the paper. In the paper they're talking about risks at global level. For example they consider nuclear meltdowns (not nice stuff) as local risks. Bottom line: nobody cares about you or your house, or me or my house for that matter. Your comparison doesn't hold.

      I do not consider the work proposed without flaws, but let's try to criticize it at the right level.

  115. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by mattack2 · · Score: 1

    It's often common wisdom that you can fill whatever hunger you have by eating piles of fruits and vegetables as snacks. Nobody ever says this outright, but they recommend directly to eat fruits and vegetables if hungry between meals. Imagine just sitting at your desk all day, munching Doritos and pretzels; now imagine being healthy by eating an apple, two kiwi fruit, and munching on a two pound bag of cherries. As you observe, people wish to believe fruit is good for you and actively makes you healthier, and so eating a ton of it makes you a ton healthier.

    I think you're making a bad leap there. Much of the reason that eating fruit is better for you (at least compared to Doritos), is because comparatively, it is much bigger than the junk food for the same amount of calories.. so it fills you up. Plus, at least some fruit does have some nutrients you need.

    I say this as someone who definitely prefers the Doritos, but do know that "filling myself up on fruit" sometimes works.

  116. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    oops, i noticed you used the term "transgenic". fear mongers who dont know what theyre talking about may be confused with the scientific term.
    please stick to "GMO", it is much scarier and easier for the wilfully-ignorant to understand.

  117. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 2

    Do you realize that this was the desired outcome? Other varieties of wheat still exist. We don't use them for most things on purpose.

    Modern wheat has much lower protein content than it would be possible with a healthy genome. Also, modern wheat plants are little Frankenstein monsters with highly polyploid genomes riddled with mobile elements. Turns out that higher protein content can be achieved by fixing some of the problems caused by inbreeding during selection: http://www.researchgate.net/pu...

    But no, that's eviiiiiil GMO and natural breeding can't be wrong.

    But we cultivated the less-healthy kind on purpose. And if you made it healthier, it wouldn't taste as sweet.

    Not modern "we". Maize was cultured by Native Americans and its loss of fat was a genetic accident. Corn with higher fat content would have been even more nutritional (fat is more energy-rich), healthier (less sugars!) and probably just as tasty. See: http://www.plantphysiol.org/co...

    Then there are soybeans. Do you know that soy can't be eaten without processing because it's enriched in anti-nutritional compounds? We can now eliminate them through GM by knocking out relevant genes. Is it also TEH EVILZ?

  118. Re:Nonsense. Again. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Then there are soybeans. Do you know that soy can't be eaten without processing because it's enriched in anti-nutritional compounds? We can now eliminate them through GM by knocking out relevant genes. Is it also TEH EVILZ?

    I can't eat it with or without processing. I can't digest it. Gives me horrible indigestion and gas every time. If it's hidden in a recipe, I can tell after the fact. Soy is just TEH EVILZ anyway, except maybe the sauce.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  119. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    You can't eat it exactly because of these compounds. You probably can eat carefully prepared fermented soy (tofu).

  120. Like from a release of GMO Klebsiella planticola? by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    From: http://www.gmwatch.org/latest-...
    ----
    "The EPA had done a variety of tests on this organism, all of which indicated that it would not be toxic to humans or animals. They were only a few weeks away from releasing these bacteria into the wild, when Michael Holmes, a graduate student at the University of Oregon, came looking for an interesting thing to study for his doctoral thesis."

    Under the direction of his academic advisor, Elaine Ingham, Holmes elected to do his thesis on the effects of this genetically engineered KP on plants, something which had not occurred to the EPA, as it was not required for the release of new genetically modified organisms, Lawton notes in his Acres USA expose.

    Holmes study revealed, after testing samples of plants growing in sterile soil, soil with regular KP and soil with genetically engineered KP, that no plants in the latter soil were growing as the alcohol produced by the bacteria had killed them all.

    At the time, Lawton notes, the EPA was envisioning that farmers would use these bacteria in a kind of fermenting process to convert plant material into a mixture of 17% alcohol and 83% mineral sludge, which could be poured off into the soil and reused.

    "If that had occurred, the genetically engineered KP could have colonized the entire planet over the course of several years, turning all of the soil where it grew into barren dirt."

    Ingham said that problem was and still is that the EPA only looks at the immediate impact of new genetically modified organisms on animals, and does not take into account the larger impact on the ecosystem as a whole. That approach can work to a limited extent when working with chemicals, which can break down and dissipate over time. But living organisms have the ability to procreate and overwhelm the natural ecosystem.

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  121. Re:Nonsense. Again. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    You can't eat it exactly because of these compounds. You probably can eat carefully prepared fermented soy (tofu).

    No, no I cannot. That's what I just got done telling you, which you would know if you could read. Try re-reading the sentence "I can't eat it with or without processing." until you are enlightened.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  122. Re:Nonsense. Again. by jandrese · · Score: 1

    You mean a world where Orange and Banana trees are dying in droves because they are giant monocultures that are getting wiped out by a single disease?

    --

    I read the internet for the articles.
  123. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Exponential growth of the differences between genomes? I really hope you're just using figuratively, because if you mean that literally you'd be talking nonsense.

  124. Re:Nonsense. Again. by sjames · · Score: 1

    Sure there's a difference. I don't have genes to produce lignin.

    As for the tifton85, you apparently don't know that it is still being used as forage and that it only rarely produces cyanide under stressed conditions, like sorghum and other grasses.

    Tifton-85 is also sterile, so unlike some of the GM crops, it isn't likely to spread far (other than via rhizomes).

    However, I never said breeding CAN'T go wrong, just that it tends not to go as wrong as quickly. The issues you noted are exactly that warning that you don't get with GM.

  125. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    [Citation needed]

    I'll give you a citation, but it's not going to change your mind. You've made your decision and will not budge.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    http://www.agentorangerecord.c...

    http://vietnamawbb.weebly.com/...

    We're talking a minimum direct death toll of over a million to estimates that reach as high as somewhere between 3 and 4.5 million deaths. Plus, an additional 400,000 children were born with birth defects attributed directly to exposure to 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzodioxin (TCDD). "TCDD has been described as "perhaps the most toxic molecule ever synthesized by man".(Galston 1979,[13] cited in [14])"

    And, "The National Toxicology Program has classified TCDD as "known to be a human carcinogen", frequently associated with soft-tissue sarcoma, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, Hodgkin's lymphoma and chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL).[17][18]"

    So, the people who concocted "the most toxic molecule ever synthesized by man" are exactly the people I want controlling the food supply. What could possibly go wrong?

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  126. Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is FUD by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 0

    Oh, come now, you left out the best story: Monsanto secretly poisons Alabama town.

    However, I do think you're completely trolling with this anti-GMO riff. Monsanto being a bunch of evil bastards does not mean that GMO is automatically harmful, and there is a distinct lack of factual evidence in your post to support that idea.

    I am not interested in rhetoric. If you cannot show harm, then you are in exactly the same position as anti-vaxxers. If you want to argue that there should be rigorous testing of GMO organisms, sure -- vaccine manufacturers eliminated whatever minute quantities of mercury were used in the manufacturing process based on hypothetical dangers, and there's no reason not to be extra-careful when dealing with possible biological threats. If that's what you're after, maybe you should try mixing in some alternative content with your FUD.

    --
    Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
  127. Re:Nonsense. Again. by mattack2 · · Score: 1

    The same company that made thalidomide also made penicillin. You're saying that Monsanto can never have any good product again?

    Also, I had wrongly thought your "killed more people" actually related to *food related* products. It doesn't, so it's even more tangential to the discussion of GMOs.

  128. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    The same company that made thalidomide also made penicillin.

    Yes, and Stalin had a great sense of humor, I hear.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  129. Re:Nonsense. Again. by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

    Modern gene splicing is mostly about ensuring farmers must buy seeds annually because they can't simply take the seeds from their crops and replant them

    No. For existing varieties it's about lowering costs to the farmer.

    they are mostly designed to produce only sterile seeds or worse to produce sterile offspring 2-3 generations down the line

    That's from being hybridized, not from being genetically modified.

    they are designed to exploit those mechanisms to make competing heirloom strains of crops sterile and gain market share

    Citation needed.

  130. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You already didn't know the provenance of the food you give to your family. Adding one more gene that you don't understand to the massive list of things you didn't know about is probably not the epic insult that you perceive. Still, having the food labeled should be an option for those who care to have it. But not a requirement for those who don't give a crap.

    That's the problem with most arguments like this. Folks who like to pay extra for their certified organic produce and shop at Whole Foods for all of the extra goodness that they perceive in the high prices and pontificate about frankenfood are mostly worried about the fact that others are making different choices from them. Or worse yet, that others have decided that they don't care at all about those issues and decline to make a choice at all. So they want to force everyone else to have to pay for and deal with their pet issue in the hopes that the added hassle will enforce conformity.

    It is very strange that in the land of the free we have so many political movements toward controlling the lives of others - even to the extent of forcing others to eat what you would have them eat. Not just on the GMO front, but on silly issues like the amount of salt in your food at a restaurant or the size of your soft drink. Equally strange is the fact that most of this extreme nanny-state abuse comes from the hard-core liberals who have spent their lives opposing "the man" and embracing "diversity".

  131. Re:Like from a release of GMO Klebsiella planticol by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    From: http://www.gmwatch.org/latest-...

    ---- Did you read that entire article? I'm trying to figure out if you are agreeing or disagreeing with me. Ingham has been discredited, Lawton is acknowledged to have been a victim of a hoax, and the link serves only to disprove this assertion that GMO's are-a gonna kill us all.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  132. Re:Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is F by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If you cannot show harm

    Oh, for chrissake:

    http://omicsonline.org/open-ac...

    http://www.theatlantic.com/hea... (this one is notable because the author received death threats immediately after publication)

    http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05...

    then you are in exactly the same position as anti-vaxxers.

    Did I call it or what? My first post in this comments section predicted that I would be compared to anti-vaxxers. If I were to continue, I guarantee I would soon be compared to racists, Nazis and worse.

    Look, I don't care if there are GMO plants. I just want it to be spelled out, right in the "nutritional data" that is already on the label, that this food is the product of a patented organism.

    I find it interesting that all these "pro-Science" people are so vehemently opposed to this one bit of truthful information being given to consumers. For some reason, the believe there is a fact that consumers don't have the right to know. Further, there have been industry lawsuits attempting to stop companies who do NOT use GMOs from labeling their products as NOT containing GMOs. Go figure. I guess "Science" is fungible when it comes to people's right to know what they're eating. Since when has "Science" been in favor of people not knowing something.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  133. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You poor guy. Apparently, your parents failed their primary duty and bestowed flawed genetics upon you. It is obvious that you must abstain from procreating to avoid further compounding the problem.

  134. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That could take years... me, not the banning

  135. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    are mostly worried about the fact that others are making different choices from them.

    I don't worry about them one bit. If they want to make those choices, I have no problem. I see them all the time, buying package after packaged of processed foods (where most GMOs end up).

    Sometimes, I even help them because they can't reach the top shelves, since they're so fat they have to ride a scooter to shop for groceries. Yes, GMOs are clearly good for you, judging by the people I see who consume them almost exclusively.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  136. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The bacteria living in and on the kitten vastly outnumber the kitten's own cells.
    Proteins are all made of the same amino acids and as long as they aren't immediately toxic, then they shouldn't be a problem for our digestive systems. If anything, I would be much more worried about proteins from mammalian species since they may cause problems by being too similar to our own (i.e. the ones that induce the formation of prions).

  137. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    this extreme nanny-state abuse

    I was hoping you'd go for another paragraph and start talking about SJWs and ethics in journalism.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  138. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    [Citation Needed] , because I can't seem to locate the scientific article clearly stating these claims.

  139. Re:Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is F by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

    Yeah, I used the term because you did, it seemed apt. I will more politely request that next time you might lead with data and not diatribe.

    Labeling is not an issue I take a position on, actually, except to say that the subject is not itself scientific. We're not talking about data being made available to researchers. Whether the public has a right to know is an important issue, but more of a marketing and commercial interest than a scientific one.

    If those studies are all we have to worry about, I will not worry too much. Thank you for providing the links. One question though: on the off chance that GMOs are the significant danger that Taleb thinks is possible, what will labeling help?

    --
    Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
  140. Re:Nonsense. Again. by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

    So you're admitting that you have no actual response. Fine by me.

  141. Re:Nonsense. Again. by tibit · · Score: 1

    Look, we're just using desktop machines to do gene splicing, not the plants themselves. It's way more efficient that way. A lot of this "bioreactor" gene splicing consisted of waiting for the desired mutation to appear. Let's repeat: the humans often waited for the right mutation to appear, and then tried hard to preserve and spread those mutations in face of negative selection pressures. This is really no different than getting some jellyfish gene into a food crop, just that the road to the desired effect is much shorter.

    --
    A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
  142. Re:Nonsense. Again. by tibit · · Score: 1

    I'm not anyone's astroturfer, I merely recognize the fact that doing the desired genomic modifications directly, in a focused manner, is much more efficient than the inbreeding needed for standard breeding. Standard breeding is simply what the old technology allowed: we had no other means of tweaking the genome. Now we do. Sure we can create organisms that can be dangerous to some ecosystems, but in reality there's so much competition between the organisms that it isn't like we will immediately wipe out all edible plants worldwide. There can be bad things happenening here and there, that's a given, but that is a given no matter what genetic modification methods you use. That's also a given if you do nothing specific at all. Of course with GMO techniques, we're way more efficient at potentitally screwing up, so screwups are to be expected more often, even screwups that can have temporarily bad economic effects (say raising price of crop x by a small integer factor). In most cases, though, we know enough to weather such fuckups in the developed world. I certainly agree that fallout from GMO "oopses" can royally fuck up agriculture in less developed countries, or in areas with less diversity in food crops.

    --
    A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
  143. Re:Nonsense. Again. by williamhb · · Score: 1

    Yes, the modern gene-splicing is much safer. Do you know that wheat lost most of its protein content due to selective breeding? Maize lost most of its fat content due to a genetic error (so its wild predecessors are much healthier).

    If the same happened to a GM food then it'd be banned quicker than you can say "paracetomoxyfrusebendroneomycin".

    "Excuse me sir, we've just discovered that ingestion of this particular GMO-introduced gene over a twenty year period causes a serious medical condition."

    "Well, Jenkins, hop to it, ban foods containing that gene faster than you can say 'paracetomoxyfrusebendroneomycin'!"

    "Right-o, sir. It's a popular and useful GMO gene, so we'll be banning the now-dominant varieties of wheat, corn, barley, maize, oats, rice, soy, lentils, tomato, cauliflower, cabbage, broccoli, alfalfa, spinach, kale, potatoes, sweet potatoes, pumpkin, parsnip, turnip, most varieties of squash, citrus, apples, and pears, most stonefruit, and about half the varieties of berries. I'll send out the notice right-away."

    "Actually, I feel like some lunch first. Care to join me? Where would you like to head."

    "Hmm, thinking about that list. There's a good field opposite. You do like grass, don't you sir?"

  144. Re:Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is F by tibit · · Score: 3, Informative

    The first reference doesn't talk about evils of GMO, but about the evils of a particular herbicide. The second one talks about miRNA and how genetic material transfers directly from the food we eat into our bodies. This is not by itself pro- or anti-GMO, it's merely a strong point that supports proper testing of GMO foods - something that, admittedly, Monsanto has long argued unnecessary. Again, this doesn't make any particular GMO dangerous, it merely prompts at what should we look at when testing such organisms for consumption by humans and livestock. The third reference shows some fallout from RoundUp-resistance genes jumping from crops to weeds. Again, this doesn't show any danger ingerent in GMOs themselves, but in a particular modification. Just as software development techniques can be used for good and bad, the genetic modifications can be used for good and bad. We need to learn how to use them for good. DUH :)

    Has Monstanto been demonstrably lying through its teeth to the public, repeatedly? Sure. There's no news here.

    --
    A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
  145. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You miss an important point that fruit also contains fibre. It's pretty clear that a higher-fibre diet alters the nature of beasties in your gut in a good way to help lower cholesterol and reduce such things as bowel cancer. Nuts (mixed) are also good. It is true that excess sugar, however consumed, is bad for you, as is excess salt. So it turns out a balanced diet, plus exercise, is good for you - who would've thought?

  146. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's not why Australians are getting fat too, but they are.

  147. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by tibit · · Score: 1

    The weirdest thing is when you grow up in a European country that has a more reality-based food pyramid instead of a politics-based one. Then you go to the U.S., look at a cereal carton, and go WTF?!

    --
    A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
  148. Re:Nonsense. Again. by jenningsthecat · · Score: 2

    it's still just DNA. who cares where it came from, what's important it what it does!...

    What's important is "what it does" in combination with other DNA and mutates in ways that almost certainly would not have occurred without invasive genetic modification. Not to mention "what it does" in combination with other organisms and with its environment.

    The point here is that the interactions of the systems we're dicking with are so complex that we have no possible way of even predicting the outcomes, never mind controlling them. If you're not into reading what Taleb has to say, you might want to at least have a(nother?) look at the concept of Requisite Variety.

    --
    'The Economy' is a giant Ponzi scheme whose most pitiable suckers are the youngest among us and the yet-unborn.
  149. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    So turn off this gene. Duh. Problem solved.

    Oh, by the way, it turns out that the predominant strain of wheat and maize contains a genetic poison from a nasty bacteria (horizontal gene transfer for TEH WIN!). Entirely natural.

    Now let's ban all maize and wheat production on an off chance that some poor bacteria can infect their genomes some time in the future.

  150. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or you could, as a fat fuck, stop stuffing your mouth with Twinkies. Instead of blaming the food pyramid, you can put the cake down and be a responsible adult. But it is really easier to be a fat pile of sugary shit, isn't it, you fat fucking shit.

  151. Re:Nonsense. Again. by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 1

    This is not even remotely the same thing as modern gene-splicing. People have NOT, for thousands of years, implated jellyfish genes into food crops, and set them loose in the wild. Talk about comparing apples to oranges! You're comparing kittens to fireflies.

    At first I downmodded you because this is very much an overrated and purely sensational statement, but I have a better idea; I'll just correct it.

    You made two completely false points, but first I'm going to address the second one: None of these man caused gene splices have ever been "set loose into the wild." In fact not a one of them has ever been outside of a lab environment. This is all done just to understand how genes work in general, and isn't used for producing GMO food.

    Now your first point has maybe about 25% truth to it, the rest of it is...well...bullshit. This been going on for a lot longer than thousands of years, perhaps billions actually. In fact you yourself are the result exactly the kind of splicing that you describe, and so am I, and everybody else. In fact the entire portion of our genome that gives women a placenta was embedded into our genome from some other animal. This happens in nature all the time, viruses are the main cause. The human genome contains some 100,000 gene sequences from viruses, making up some 8% of our total DNA.

    http://phenomena.nationalgeogr...

    Yet somehow in spite of that fact, the world hasn't ended.

    As for GMO food...well...actual truth of the matter is that the genes "implanted" into plant DNA to make GMO food are synthetic. They usually consist of around 15 different nucleotides. They were developed under the study of proteomics, which is an entire field that is dedicated to understanding how proteins work, which includes knowing how to build them. The typical change is to prevent the plant cells from being able to absorb glyphosate, effectively making them immune to it.

    Consider this: Given that there are around 15 (give or take) known and very specific nucleotides configured in GMO foods, when during natural reproduction, some hundreds of thousands of nucleotides are changed in unknown ways, why is it that you consider the GMO food to be more dangerous?

    I mean that's an insanely stupid conclusion to draw. The only thing I can conclude is that the very wealthy, very high profit margin organic lobby is paying you an insane amount of money to go around telling people bullshit stories about frankenfood.

    (Isn't drawing silly conclusions fun?)

  152. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and he's wrong about cats anyway

  153. Only "done deal" where Monsanto bought gov't by msobkow · · Score: 1

    GMO's are only a "done deal" in countries where Monsanto has managed to buy off the government. China, Europe, and many nations have taken emphatic "no" approach, and outright banned GMOs in many cases.

    --
    I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
  154. Define GMO. All food is GMO since dawn of history. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Define GMO. All food is GMO since dawn of history.

    Any definition will by necessity be some kind of legal document. We have seen the farce that current labeling is. (Natural, Whole Grain, Fat-Free, etc.)

    Patented? Maybe clearer. Not sure what the benefit will be unless you are looking to boycott patent-holders. That is a political and not a scientific or nutritional goal.

  155. Re:Nonsense. Again. by paul.hatchman · · Score: 1

    Yet we've been eating both crop DNA and jelly fish DNA for thousands of years with no ill effects. Please be specific about what risks are introduced by mixing the two. And please provide evidence that we've actually been doing this for food crops.

  156. Re: Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Horizontal gene transfer has been happening in nature ever since the second gene appeared by the will of the Creator. That's a lot longer than we needed to be destroyed by Mila Cunnis.

  157. Re: Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But they may still exchange genes by other means than 'fucking'.

  158. Settled my ass by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As has been pointed out by others, "settled" might be an US-centric view of things.

    No worries, your ultra-rich lobby groups are hard at work to "settle" this through policy laundering at a world-wide scale.

    (No, don't take this as anti-US slur. There are many of you I admire and respect, but very few in your ruling class, sorry).

  159. oooh GMO is to oscary u guys! by AmirS · · Score: 1

    > There only real risk is that maybe by some huge stroke of bad luck, some other plant (a weed, say) picks up glyphosate resistance from these genes

    Well, I'm glad we have you to think through every single possible chemical, biological interaction between a genetically modified plant and the rest of the environment, which we humans understand and can model perfectly. Complex coupled system dynamics ... easy for jeffmeden! Of course we can predict all the consequences of our actions, especially when applied on an industrial / global scale in a short few years. Why worry that there may be something that we haven't thought of which will manifest itself in a generation or two. After all, it's only the world's food supply and our life support system (the environment) that we're talking about here. If by some astronomically unlikely chance we've made a mistake we can just hit the reset button and try again. There is a reset button on the Earth, right?

  160. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No actually the glow worm would not be fucked by the pig at all, that is what we need genetic engineering for.

  161. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is connected. There's a lot of sugar in processed foods today because they took the fats out and had to do something to make it not taste like salted cardboard.

    I seem to be missing something, is sugared cardboard tastier then salted cardboard?

  162. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by sjames · · Score: 1

    Apparently, it is. At least to the severely damaged palates that have been eating processed crap rather than real food.

  163. Re: Nonsense. Again. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Yes. Genetic engineering, which is what the article is about.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  164. Re:Nonsense. Again. by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

    The point here is that the interactions of the systems we're dicking with are so complex that we have no possible way of even predicting the outcomes, never mind controlling them

    If that were true. We wouldn't be able to put these genes in there in the first place. Just because it is too complex for you, or you are ignorant of what we can and do model. Doesn't mean other can't.

    --
    The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  165. It's quite obvious actually. by Qbertino · · Score: 1

    We found out that aspestos causes a variation of diseases that are quite mean. We removed asbestos from the buildings, decommissioned the ships built with and had a generation of sailors and construction workers where bad lung diseases and some other sicknesses caused quite a few to live and die in agony.

    If we find out that cellphones cause some form of super-agressive brain cancer that pops up quickly after 15-20 years of exposure to GSM microwaves, then tomorrow all cell-towser will be on the ground and our generation will the the one with brain cancer. No big deal. Some first world kids die off, humanity can live with that easyly.

    Same with Nucler Power. Even such disasters as chernobyl or fukushima are compareatively contained. ... Ok, I'm sounding cynical here, fukushima isn't contained, it's a hideous mess, but one can still see this possibly retreating in the next few thousand years .... errrm, well ... anyway ...

    All, or most of it, quite simple, lesson learned and humanity moves on. Aspestos is regulated, Germany drops nuclear, 3 more fukushimas and the rest will follow, all more or less fine and dandy.

    However - big however - add in biotech and things look vastly different.
    Only one haywire designed bacterium has to get into the wild and we're all dead 5 months later. All humans on the entire planet. Think "Planet of the Apes Prevolution" style, only without remaining protagonists.

    Nuclear is kinda so-so (except for some idiot at the nuke warfare trigger of course), but biotech - no way. One wrong move and fukushima looks like a walk in the park. Imagine Ebola, but with the brakes removed.

    Bottom line:
    Basically he's right. You don't fuck with biotech. And we need serious regulations in place for that. I second.

    --
    We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
  166. Re:Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is F by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    One question though: on the off chance that GMOs are the significant danger that Taleb thinks is possible, what will labeling help?

    Ah, good question. Here's how:

    In every study done, upwards of 90% of the population of countries in which GMOs are sold support labeling, and indicate that they would avoid products with GMOs. Why isn't it possible that consumer rejection at that level won't stop this effort by transnational corporations to take over the world's food supply through the use of intellectual property laws?

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  167. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    I'm not anyone's astroturfer

    Oh, I know that. But the tropes in this argument for online discussions are so well-ingrained that it's the same every time.

    If you want labeling in GMO foods, you are called,

    1) Just like the anti-vaxxers
    2) An anti-science conspiracy theorist
    3) A racist
    4) A Nazi

    Sure we can create organisms that can be dangerous to some ecosystems

    My main concern is in the economic and political ecosystems. And I believe GMOs are dangerous for both. I agree with all the rest of your points.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  168. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    You can argue from an empirical, scientific standpoint all you want; but common consideration doesn't work that way. People do, in fact, assume that anything and everything that's good for you is beneficial, which is why we had to tell people to stop drinking 2 gallons of fruit juice every day if they didn't want diabeetus.

  169. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    it's still just DNA. who cares where it came from, what's important it what it does!

    This is a very important point about the genetic modifications that seems to be ignored most of the time. The companies that make the GE food crops are not food companies, they are chemical companies. They don't make food that grows better or has more nutrients or uses less water. They make crops that allow the use of more pesticides, insecticides, and weed killers. So the food crops that are genetically modified are more poisonous from all the stuff sprayed all over them. That's not even counting the crops that make their own poisons. If a crop was bred through natural means to be poisonous, it would be just as bad. But somehow we find having poison in our food supply to be a good thing!

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  170. Re:Nonsense. Again. by tibit · · Score: 1

    I think that it all boils down to necessary and necessarily deadly experimental aspect of the sciences and engineering. Just as we had to learn fracture mechanics by killing a bunch of people in BOAC Comets, we'll have to learn crop genetic engineering by fucking things up here and there. It's the necessary price of progress, I think.

    --
    A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
  171. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    But no GMO companies are interested in making something more nutritious. They want farmers to buy more chemicals. They are chemical companies after all. Chemical is even in Dow Chemicals name and I'm pretty sure Monsanto cares more about selling the weed killers than they would ever care about selling crops that might be more nutritious.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  172. Re:Nonsense. Again. by blueg3 · · Score: 1

    requires massive amounts of pesticides to live

    Since when is this true of any organism?

    because your dog Sniffles is actually the product of genesplicing of a dog and fish genes

    At the breeding level, no, your dog is the product of many generations of selective inbreeding, to the point that most purebred dogs have serious genetic defects and health problems. But your dog does undoubtedly have quite a bit of DNA from other species. Retroviruses are helpful like that.

  173. Re: Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So glyphosate, harmless to humans, may show up in the body and that magically becomes harmful?

    The miRNA thing has also shown zero, Let me restate that, Zero harm and is apparently a widely used process. Whether they survive and cause any changes has been a subject of study, and the answer so far is no. miRNAs need to be continually expressed to cause the changes that your body uses them for already.

    So we are back to no harm.

    Then you mention labelling patents rather than GMO. There are some nonGMO plants that will get you. See plant variety protection act.

    So let me sum up what you've said. "Words I don't understand scare me and patents are the evilz!!!"

  174. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    The same company that made thalidomide also made penicillin. You're saying that Monsanto can never have any good product again?

    Also, I had wrongly thought your "killed more people" actually related to *food related* products. It doesn't, so it's even more tangential to the discussion of GMOs.

    The only reason they sell the *food related* products is to get the farmers to buy more of the poisonous killing products. They sell weed killer and insecticides. The seeds are only there to get you to buy more chemicals.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  175. The Precautionary Principle's inherent fallacy by sabbede · · Score: 1

    It is not possible to demonstrate the non-existence of possible effects. The Precautionary Principle requires proving the absence of danger. Therefore, it's a load of crap.

  176. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 0

    There's nothing wrong with thalidomide as long as it's properly used/avoided. The directions and counterindications are clearly listed. Now, GMO food... is a horse of a different colour.

    --
    Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
  177. Re:Nonsense. Again. by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

    I'm amazed how much objection genetically modified foods are receiving from the public. It smacks of a fear factor that exists in any new science where people don't fully understand it and there for reject it. What most people don't know, and probably should is that practically every food you buy in a store for consumption is genetically modified food. There are no wild seedless watermelon. There are no wild cows. There are no long stem roses in the wild. List all the fruits and vegetables and ask yourself is there a wild counterpart to this? If there is, it's not as large, it's not as sweet, it's not as juicy, it has way more seeds in it. We have systematically genetically modified all the meats and all the foods we eat since we cultivated them. It's called artificial selection. Now that we can do it in a lab, all of a sudden you wanna complain? You like red delicious apples? We manufactured those, it's a genetic modification. The silkworm as we cultivate it has no wild counterpart because it would die in the wild. So no silk even anymore. We are creating and modifying the biology of the world to serve our needs, and I don't have a problem with that because we've been doing it for tens of thousands of years. So chill out,

    Oh, before I offend you too much, that wasn't my own statement, but Neil deGrasse Tyson. A fairly widely well thought of spokesman for science within the scientific community.

  178. Neil deGrasse Tyson weighed in on this already by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

    I'm amazed how much objection genetically modified foods are receiving from the public. It smacks of a fear factor that exists in any new science where people don't fully understand it and there for reject it. What most people don't know, and probably should is that practically every food you buy in a store for consumption is genetically modified food. There are no wild seedless watermelon. There are no wild cows. There are no long stem roses in the wild. List all the fruits and vegetables and ask yourself is there a wild counterpart to this? If there is, it's not as large, it's not as sweet, it's not as juicy, it has way more seeds in it. We have systematically genetically modified all the meats and all the foods we eat since we cultivated them. It's called artificial selection. Now that we can do it in a lab, all of a sudden you wanna complain? You like red delicious apples? We manufactured those, it's a genetic modification. The silkworm as we cultivate it has no wild counterpart because it would die in the wild. So no silk even anymore. We are creating and modifying the biology of the world to serve our needs, and I don't have a problem with that because we've been doing it for tens of thousands of years. So chill out,

    Oh, before I offend you too much, that wasn't my own statement, but Neil deGrasse Tyson. A fairly widely well thought of spokesman for science within the scientific community.

  179. Re:Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is F by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

    Oh no, glyphosates(round-up) and some GMO crops in some study show a possible statistical correlation with negative health factors! We should quickly abandon all of modern agriculture to make sure we don't destroy the health of western civilization! Talk about not seeing the forest for the trees.

    GMO foods are have been ubiquitous in the western diet for multiple generations already. How to health factors and benchmarks for those generations compare to the ones prior to them? They are radically better. GMO fruits and vegetables that have longer shelf lives alone have vastly improved the health of people across the region. That longer shelf life doesn't just mean a corporate mega supermarket chain can buy more yachts because they reduced losses to waste and increased sales. Those increased sales also mean that lowered prices and greater geographic availability of fresh fruit and vegetables improved the diets of consumers. Even as a kid in central Canada fresh fruits and berries were very limited, but today it's taken as a matter of course you can go out and buy fresh anything in the dead of winter if you're willing to brave the 10foot snow banks between you and the store.

    Sorry, all the fears and studies about potential small scale impacts of GMO crops is dwarfed by the current good of the dietary improvements that GMO has brought.

  180. Because obviously by bitterblackale · · Score: 1

    So writing a mystery novel qualifies one as an expert on biology and genetics?

  181. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by gzuckier · · Score: 1

    What's really driving obesity is the engineers in the processed food factories trying to optimize the perfect mix of ingredients that people find irresistible. Because irresistible = profit. And unlucky for the rest of population, irresistible usually involves a high calorie mix of fat and sugar.

    And just as importantly, that the food never cause us to be satiated and stop eating. http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02... http://www.nytimes.com/interac... When they call us consumers, they mean literally, physically.

    --
    Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  182. Re: Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But it's strange and I can't pronounce it so it must be bad.

  183. But the world is already changing. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I used to laugh at all the Gluten Free products like bacon and shampoo. I also have a "friend" who is an avid anti-vaxxer who only feeds his kid gluten free foods, unless if happens to be more convenient not to. I lumped it all into a big pop culture pseudo-science hysteria bucket and went on with my life.

    I also have kids. Several of my kids' friends have very real, diagnosed food allergies. One of them cannot eat peanuts. Another cannot eat any dairy or eggs.

    Then it happened, my own daughter was diagnosed with Celiac disease. She cannot eat anything that's been in contact with wheat, barley, rye or a host of other lesser known grains. Imagine my horror to find out that no matter how much I fed her, nor how "healthy" that food was, she was always malnourished because of this. Going gluten free has made an incredible difference in her life. I see it every day.

    Now try to imagine how hard it is to cook a meal when all these kids and their friends are together. What's for breakfast? What's for dessert? We can't eat out, most pre-packaged foods are off limits except for a few which are blatantly overpriced and just not very good. I've had to become a food scientist just to feed my family.

    The worst part is all the products and restaurants who use "gluten free" as a marketing gimmick. I'm looking at you Domino's. How can you offer a "gluten free" pizza in a kitchen that's got more gluten in the air than it takes to set off a Celiac reaction? Cross contamination is a real bitch.

    Why is this relevant to GMOs? Maybe it's not the GMOs. Maybe is the BPAs or the lead in the air from fuel exhaust in the 60's or who knows what. The Anti Vaxxers are wrong about specifics, but they have a valid point. The world is changing. There is more autism, more food allergy, more weirdness in our biochemistry than in years past. According to my daughter's doctor, in the 1960s it is estimated that fewer than 1 in 10,000 had a celiac condition. Ten years ago it was one in 120. Today it's one in 70. Why? What's causing this?

    The food of today is not the same as the food of the 1960s or earlier. Don't take my word for it, look at how meats are grown and processed. Look at how "not from concentrate" orange juice is available year round, not just in growing season. Etc. etc. etc. The effects are out there. It's obvious to anyone who takes it seriously. What we don't know is where the connections are, what are the causes, and how serious is it?

    We can snipe at each other all day long about who's got the weaker argument. In the mean time, I've got kids to feed. Who's going to do the research and collect the data? We need action, not bickering. If you've got an interest and a talent for logic, learn some humility and get involved. The world is changing. We need help or else we're barreling down a dark road at full speed with our lights off. Be the light of reason, truth and honesty.

    I no longer doubt the need for Gluten Free shampoo when I see my daughter absent-mindedly put her hair in her mouth. I no longer doubt the need for Gluten Free bacon when I learned how often meat is treated with fillers and seasonings that contain gluten (soy sauce and anything "malted", anything processed in a facility that also processes wheat products, any kind of beer, etc.).

    These problems are real, and so is the ignorance and arrogance surrounding them. I was guilty too, until it affected someone I love.

    Lets fix this.

  184. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    Wrong. The first commercially-available GM plant (tomatoes) was marketed as a healthier and tastier alternative to non-GM plants. And it actually was much tastier, because it allowed tomatoes to ripe while still on the vine, not on the way to the market.

  185. What, Me Worry? by tmjva · · Score: 1

    Don't be afraid folks, the order of events is supposed to be war, THEN, famine and pestilence after that.

    Wait a minute, we've been at war for 13 years ...

    --
    Tracy Johnson
    Old fashioned text games hosted below:
    http://empire.openmpe.com/
    BT
  186. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    Most people who have been around would say tomatoes tasted much better before. Now they have very little flavor, but they have that nice red color that everyone wants no badly.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  187. Slashdot, I'm ashamed of you! by Chelloveck · · Score: 1

    I'm ashamed of you guys. Over 300 posts for an article mentioning "Black Swan" and not one of you has cracked wise about Natalie Portman, hot grits, and petrification? Geez, it's even almost on topic! This just isn't the Slashdot I used to know and love.

    --
    Chelloveck
    I give up on debugging. From now on, SIGSEGV is a feature.
  188. Re:Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is F by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    We should quickly abandon all of modern agriculture

    You make a mistake if you believe "modern agriculture" only means what goes on in a laboratory.

    How to health factors and benchmarks for those generations compare to the ones prior to them?

    What year do you place the beginning of widespread use of GMOs? I think if you look at those "health factors and benchmarks" for the years after that among the populations eating GMOs you will find that there is no evidence of improvement and some evidence for the opposite.

    Sorry, all the fears and studies about potential small scale impacts of GMO crops is dwarfed by the current good of the dietary improvements that GMO has brought.

    non-industry citation needed for dietary improvements from GMO crops.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  189. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    Yes, that's because better-tasting tomatoes are too difficult to handle. They are too easily damaged so it's not cost-effective to sell them in supermarkets. The GM tomatoes in question actually turned off the biochemical pathway that made ripe tomatoes so easy to break (please not, they haven't even inserted new genes or anything!).

  190. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    There are no long stem roses in the wild.

    Why are you eating long-stem roses?

    Oh, before I offend you too much, that wasn't my own statement, but Neil deGrasse Tyson. [youtube.com] A fairly widely well thought of spokesman for science within the scientific community.

    Again, if your main source for information about nutrition is a TV astrophysicist, there's a problem.

    And the problem with Tyson is that his status as a popular TV star on the Fox Network has led him to believe that he is an expert in all fields, and has led TV viewers to believe that he speaks for all of science.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  191. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    Retroviruses are helpful like that.

    And think of the number of those genetic "experiments" that failed because the result just wasn't successful.

    Do you really trust a transnational corporation whose only goal is profits to take the place of the trial and error of natural selection? Good luck with that.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  192. Re: Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    So glyphosate, harmless to humans,

    "Harmless to humans"? Wow, where did you get that?

    http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pu...

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  193. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    Speaking personally, I have little problem with this type of GM food. I would still think we should be allowed to know what we are eating, but this does not bother me. It is the GM creations where more poisons can be used or the plant creates it's own poison that bother me. And mostly it comes down to not trusting the company to tell me it is safe to eat. The tobacco companies tried that for many years but we eventually learned the truth. I see some studies that show animals are not doing so great on this new corn, so I have some concerns. I still eat Doritos, so I know I am getting it, but it still worries me. And the weeds are just getting resistant anyway, so it will just lead to a post-herbicide end game much like the medical community is worried about our upcoming post-antibiotic time that seems to be coming.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  194. Re:Nonsense. Again. by coolmoose25 · · Score: 1

    I lost track, were you talking about GMO foods or anthropogenic global climate change? Ironic isn't it? To hear the anti-GMO crowd cry about how they aren't allowed to dissent, while I suspect there is a strong correlation between those folks and those who believe in anthropogenic global climate changes crying out "settled science!"

    --
    Brawndo: It's what plants crave!
  195. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by HiThere · · Score: 1

    Fat is not harmless. It's just differently harmful than are carbohydrates or protein.

    I'm told that vegetarians that allow themselves dairy products may be fat. Perhaps I haven't met many of them.

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  196. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    I see some studies that show animals are not doing so great on this new corn, so I have some concerns.

    That's actually not true. All the independent studies point out that GM foods are safe. All the studies showing harm from GM foods are poorly controlled and/or outright fakes.

  197. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    That is exactly what the cigarette / GMO companies would say. You just outted yourself as a shill. And I'm not talking about a study, I'm talking about the farmers raising the animals.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  198. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    Can the "not doing well" be quantified? What does it fucking even mean?

    And yes, I've actually worked in molecular biology (not on GM foods) and I know a little bit about it.

  199. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    Not doing well would be things like higher rates of miscarriage and more premature death of the animals. Monsanto says the Gly-(however the herbacide is spelled) will not make it through the digestion, but it is found in the animals and humans blood. We depend on a myriad of little critters living in our gut. How can eating a bunch of poison not affect them and us.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  200. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    Glyphosate has been used for ages, even before the glyphosate-reistant GM plants. Before the glyphosate even much worse pesticides were used. So I think your 'farmers' are talking shit or pining for the good old days when the grass was greener.

  201. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    Sure, and they don't use way more than has ever been used before. That is the whole point of the genetically modified corn afterall. And with the weeds becoming resistant they keepeusing more.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  202. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    Actually, no. Farmers used more glyphosate prior to GM food. That's because GM corn (or rape) can outcompete weeds if give some headstart (a small amount of glyphosate to suppress the early growth of weeds). Resistant weeds are also a non-issue, there always were resistant strains.

    Please, stop spreading FUD with unsubstantiated allegations from some 'farmers'.

  203. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    You are trying to say I am spreading FUD, but it is quite apparant you are straight up lying. It is a well known fact that the amount of glyphosate being used has gone up very dramatically. It is also a quite well known fact that weeds are becomming resistant. Even Monsanto knows this, but they have the next thing in the line up, so they aren't too worried. And you are somehow implying that the creation of the GM corn was completely unnessary as the corn can beat out the weeds anyway. You are obviouly a paid shill. It is apparant that you are very bad at your job though and should be fired from it. I guess I would rather have bad shills out there spreading obvious lies than to have someone more effective at it, so keep it up. This will be my last reply, I am finding this to be a waste of time.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  204. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    Sure, the total _amount_ of glyphosate used has gone up because people use more GM corn. However, the amount of pesticides used per square mile has gone _down_. See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P...

    So it's apparent that you are a paid shill of so called 'organic' food and your main task is to spew unverifiable FUD, about some 'farmers' suddenly growing horns and hooves after using glyphosate or some other similar nonsense. Of course, with zero links to reputable studies.

  205. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    I lost track, were you talking about GMO foods or anthropogenic global climate change? Ironic isn't it? To hear the anti-GMO crowd cry about how they aren't allowed to dissent, while I suspect there is a strong correlation between those folks and those who believe in anthropogenic global climate changes crying out "settled science!"

    Well, there's been gene-splicing in the lab for a few decades. Climate has been around a lot longer.

    Hard to get "settled science" in such a short period, don't you think? How do you test for long-term effect if something has only existed for 20 years? Give it a little thought.

    And the fact that GMOs are patented has made it a lot harder for studies to be done. Researchers have been sued for studying GMOs. For the industry, this is a feature, not a bug. It's like people who say "fracking is safe...SETTLED SCIENCE", when we aren't even allowed to know what's in hydrofracking fluid because it's protected as a "trade secret".

    I'll tell you what IS settled science: Transnational corporations would throw a baby off a bridge for a $1 jump in stock price. These are not people you want controlling the food supply. I'm sure you agree.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  206. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    Oh, I forgot. You're about to ask for a citation, so...

    http://articles.latimes.com/20...

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  207. Re: Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the next town over from ours is the home of Washington Boro tomato.
    You haven't tasted a tomato until you bite into one of those.

  208. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Domestic cats are far more closely related to african wild cats (Felis silvestris lybica) than tigers. In fact unless you look hard they are hardly distinguishable.
    They are also easily tamed if that is started while they are young.

  209. In other breaking news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In other breaking news, Masturbation will you send you Blind. Pictures at 10!

  210. Re:Nonsense. Again. by jenningsthecat · · Score: 1

    If that were true. We wouldn't be able to put these genes in there in the first place. Just because it is too complex for you, or you are ignorant of what we can and do model. Doesn't mean other can't.

    You are looking at FAR too narrow a scope. Can geneticists predict the immediate and close-in effects of what they do? Yes, most of the time they can. Can they accurately predict what will happen many generations down the line, in combination with cross-breeding, spontaneous mutations, and the environment? No, they cannot. And then there is always the "we don't know what we don't know" factor - and that's why people like Taleb urge caution. Hell, Monsanto put the whole Roundup-Ready juggernaut in motion while seeming to not even consider that weeds might develop resistance to glyphosate. Guess what? We now have glyphosate-resistant weeds. Monsanto dropped the ball on that relatively simple matter - do you really think their predictive capabilities are any better when they're doing something really hard like genetic modification?

    You seem to have a pretty simplistic view of the vastly complex world we live in.

    --
    'The Economy' is a giant Ponzi scheme whose most pitiable suckers are the youngest among us and the yet-unborn.
  211. Re: Nonsense. Again. by jenningsthecat · · Score: 1

    But it's strange and I can't pronounce it so it must be bad.

    But it's done by scientists who are real smart and they say it's OK so it must be good and safe.

    See what happens when you argue from authority?

    --
    'The Economy' is a giant Ponzi scheme whose most pitiable suckers are the youngest among us and the yet-unborn.
  212. Re: Nonsense. Again. by dywolf · · Score: 1

    why have experts if their opinion has no special weight?

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  213. Re:Nonsense. Again. by dywolf · · Score: 1

    what it "does" will likely be to, if anything, cause the plant to fail and die and probably not even germinate.

    this fearmongering rooted in ignorance is silly.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  214. Re:Nonsense. Again. by dywolf · · Score: 1

    Except not even that will happen.

    A gene is a protein. As a protein it will be broken down and digested or passed out the other end, and thus poses zero threat.
    No genes enter your body when you eat something, GMO or not.

    The most an introduced gene could do is cause the plant to concentrate or synthesize harmful chemicals/toxins, such as alkaloids (already common in the plant world).

    Take corn: Corn doesn't naturally produce those things. Unless you use something like hemlock as the source of your drought tolerance gene and include the sequences controlling toxin production/storage, introducing drought tolerance from a drought tolerant plant is unlikely to magically confer on the corn any harmful attributes.

    The most harm I worry about coming frm GMO is the so called Roundup Ready GMOs and their brethren. Not because the plants themselves are harmful, but because they encourage even more liberal usage of pesticides and herbicides, which is neither good for hte local envirnment, or longterm consumer health.

    But GMOs created for drought tolerance, or reduced resource use, or improved nutrional value are largely not a concern and will be vital in the coming years.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  215. Re:Nonsense. Again. by dywolf · · Score: 1

    you're are certifiably insane and doing nothing but fearmongering based on your own ignorance and distrust.

    gene splicing is more likely to create a dud (a dead lump of cells that dont function) or even have no effect, than to achieve the desired changes.

    i suggest you learn a bit about genetics before commenting. it takes considerably more effort than just cutting and paste a sequence of proteins from one creature to another to get a result.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  216. Re:You mean the same precautionary principle that by dywolf · · Score: 1

    Like all things, moderation is key.
    But we put sugar is bloody everything.
    Jon Oliver did a good bit on it just last Sunday.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  217. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Some_Llama · · Score: 1

    Modern wheat has much lower protein content than it would be possible with a healthy genome. Also, modern wheat plants are little Frankenstein monsters with highly polyploid genomes riddled with mobile elements. Turns out that higher protein content can be achieved by fixing some of the problems caused by inbreeding during selection: http://www.researchgate.net/pu... [researchgate.net] "

    i'm not sure what your point is, but from a cooking standpoint there are reasons for using flour with lower protein amounts, e.g. cakes and sweat breads, a higher protein level makes for a denser more elastic bread/dough... it sounds like you think when it comes to flour the higher the protein the better...?

  218. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Some_Llama · · Score: 1

    let's just agree to ignore both of you and find the facts out for ourselves... the only real way to ever deal with this type of discussion that brings out the shills on both sides.

  219. Re:Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is F by Some_Llama · · Score: 1

    "Labeling is not an issue I take a position on, actually, except to say that the subject is not itself scientific. "

    so you do take a position, which is clear since every statement in this post exerts a position against labeling. (if not outright against it, then maligning it in someway).

  220. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Some_Llama · · Score: 1

    "The same company that made thalidomide also made penicillin. "

    You mean produced, sold and profited from penicillin?

    they didn't discover or figure out how to mass produce penicillin mind you, just knew it would be profitable to do so and thus did so to turn a profit.

    what's your point exactly?

    on to
    "Also, I had wrongly thought your "killed more people" actually related to *food related* products. It doesn't, so it's even more tangential to the discussion of GMOs."

    if a company produces a product that knowingly kills people because it is profitable, then maybe they shouldn't be allowed to develop food products or run healthcare. so no not very tangential and more the fucking point.

  221. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    Yes, higher protein content would have been better. The wheat genome was damaged far back in the history, long before sweat breads were invented. Had it been a recent development ("Look! New GM flour for easier baking!") you'd be decrying it as Satan's intervention designed to starve poor people.

  222. Re:Nonsense. Again. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    gene splicing is more likely to create a dud (a dead lump of cells that dont function) or even have no effect, than to achieve the desired changes.

    That's right. When genes are combined in nature and it's something failed, the worst that can happen is a dead lump of cells. For industry, it just means they have to increase the marketing budget.

    Do you happen to know the difference between Roundup Ready Corn #1 (which patent is about to expire, except it really isn't) and Roundup Ready Corn #2? Monsanto just moved the part of the gene for the specific trait where not even mold wants to grow on it to a different part of the genome. So, by moving that bit of code from over here to over there They get another 26 years of patent protection.

    This kind of patent protection, by the way, is the biggest form of corporate welfare there is. Can you imagine, in 2014, with the speed of innovation, to think the government guarantees monopolies to corporations for twenty six years? I don't like corporate welfare and I don't like patented organisms and I don't like patented basic foodstuffs. It put too much power in the hands of corporations that would gladly poison entire ecosystems if it means a .$0.50 bump in stock price.

    You talk about my "ignorance", but I'm arguing with people who believe "science" has proven GMOs absolutely healthy for people to eat. Now I ask you, is that the kind of thing you would ever read in a scientific paper of any kind? "So our findings clearly prove that GMOs are absolutely healthy to eat". If you think so, then you are the ignorant one.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  223. Re:Monsanto is evil, but your anti-GMO screed is F by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

    No, I mean what I said. Whether or not doorknobs should be painted purple is also not a scientific issue, and I take no position on it. I have an opinion about the rhetoric being used in this debate, or should I say the style of demagoguery.

    On the one hand, I have no problems describing Monsanto as an evil, duplicitous corporation. If you read the link I provided, their only issue with PCB toxicity was getting all the money they could out of it before the public caught on. On the other hand, there has been and continues to be considerable scientific scrutiny of the dangers of GMO products, which was not the case with PCBs for at least several decades.

    With regards to labeling, if it's not an immediate health hazard, I don't really care: it's not going to affect my purchasing habits whether or not it's there. I would support the idea of data being made available to the public on the Internet, and wouldn't you know, there are already several sites where said information can be obtained. Similarly, no one has been able to demonstrate any harm (to humans) from rBST milk; it's not something I am going to loose sleep over. It's not a health issue, it's not a scientific issue, it's just a marketing ploy. I'm not very amenable to marketing, still less so to frenzied, largely factless ranting about hypothetical dangers.

    If you want to make this a personal crusade, then I am happy for you. I have enough real problems in my life that I don't have to go looking for more. If you have room in your life to be worried about the genetics of the food on your plate, that puts you ahead of about 90% of humanity. Some day I will have to return to the first world so that I can have those kind of problems too.

    As an aside, I don't think "exerts" was the word you were looking for. You maybe meant to use "exhibits"? I could perhaps "push" or "peddle" an opinion, "exhibits" is a little passive.

    --
    Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
  224. Re:Nonsense. Again. by williamhb · · Score: 1

    Except not even that will happen.

    A gene is a protein. As a protein it will be broken down and digested or passed out the other end, and thus poses zero threat.
    No genes enter your body when you eat something, GMO or not.

    A gene encodes a protein, but there's plenty of occasions where ingestion of particular proteins has very serious consequences (and even in cases we already know about with longer periods before diagnosis is possible than GMOs are tested over before release). For example., http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pm...
    Secondary effects from things those proteins in turn produce are also problematic. The issue is that whereas with selective breeding we have the capacity to wreck one crop (and then, as noted in the original article with various factors making that less likely over time than GMO even in a single species), with GMO we are in a position to pollute all our food crops at once with something we later discover was harmful after all.

  225. Re:Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1

    Hell, Monsanto put the whole Roundup-Ready juggernaut in motion while seeming to not even consider that weeds might develop resistance to glyphosate. Guess what? We now have glyphosate-resistant weeds. Monsanto dropped the ball on that relatively simple matter - do you really think their predictive capabilities are any better when they're doing something really hard like genetic modification?

    Do you really think that an entire corporation, nay, an entire industry filled with geneticists and other people who do this stuff for a living just conveniently forgot about this little possibility? Glyphosate was widely in use before GMO crops were available, which is why it was chosen as the resistance event target.Bad farming practices by farmers who don't care about the long term viability of their crops who don't practice proper crop rotation, buffer zones, and other anti-resistance techniques should be the ones you're blaming. There are even pests that have evolved resistance to anti-resistance techniques. It's a lot easier to jump on the bandwagon and blame a company who is most known by the FUD passed around by anti-technology activists, though.

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  226. Re:Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1
    More than half of Monsanto's product lines are crops, the rest being mostly different concentrations of a single chemical (glyphosate).

    They don't make food that grows better or has more nutrients or uses less water.

    They make food that survives to harvest in much greater numbers. Food that uses less water or is more nutritious doesn't mean jack if the majority of it is eaten by pests or can grow from being choked out by weeds.

    So the food crops that are genetically modified are more poisonous from all the stuff sprayed all over them.

    I think you probably have no idea what amounts of chemicals are sprayed onto foods and would probably be dumbfounded at what little concentrations are needed to be effective. Hint: we're talking about ranges like ounces per acre of active ingredient, diluted into gallons of water, of a chemical that is less toxic to humans than the table salt that is thrown into most foods or the caffeine found in most soft drinks, coffee, or tea.

    That's not even counting the crops that make their own poisons.

    Every plant produces its own pesticides or they'd go extinct. Whether or not that toxin affects you has to do with not only dosage but also whether or not you are one of those pests that can even be affected by it. You make it sound like scientists are just randomly throwing genes into plants to make them produce cyanide when this couldn't be farther from the truth. Lots of FUD here, as usual.

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  227. Re:Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1

    Hey now, at least be fair. "Some farmer told me" coming from a guy who can't even spell the name of the herbicide he's arguing against yet knows all about it is certainly at least just as reputable as a well-controlled study with data you can look at. Right? Right?!

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  228. Re:Nonsense. Again. by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    You make it sound like scientists are just randomly throwing genes into plants to make them produce cyanide when this couldn't be farther from the truth. Lots of FUD here, as usual.

    No, they test it. But the people who test it are the same ones that sell it. I'm sure we should have listened to what the tobacco companies said all those years about it being completely safe, huh? They already said there would be no detectable levels of roundup to make it through the digestive tract into the bloodstream. Well it has been detected in the bloodstream of pretty much every person alive. So if they are lying about that, what else are they lying about.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  229. Re:Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1

    Classic case of SAS (shill accusation syndrome). It's what happens when their arguments are shown to be bullshit and they have nothing left to use. It's a shame it's so common when this topic comes up. Almost like they're all reading the same bullshit on Mercola or NaturalNews, right?

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  230. Re:Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1

    Well, since glyphosate itself isn't a GMO nor is it produced by GMO plants, I'm not sure what your point is in regards to GMO food since glyphosate has been in use much longer than transgenic technology has been around. BT toxin on the other hand, is a GMO byproduct/pesticide that is perfectly safe for humans in all tested quantities, and demonstrably so. You're going to have to produce citations for every one of those claims also: that anyone ever said glyphosate is completely safe (nothing is, dose = poison), that "they" said it wouldn't be detectable, that it's been detected in "pretty much every person alive", etc. It's detectable in blood and urine of farmers because they're exposed to it at much higher levels than the general population are, through both inhalation and skin absorption, not through digestion. When you consider how little is actually sprayed onto a field, compounded with harvesting, storing, transporting, processing, and finally cooking food, that there would be any detectable residue of glyphosate going into your mouth, bypassing being digested by your digestive system and entering your bloodstream, that's a highly, highly dubious claim that you're going to have to show some serious evidence for. Where are you getting these claims?

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  231. Re:Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1
    This is ass backwards. Glyphosate was widely in use before GMO crops were ever developed. Glyphosate resistant crops were created to reduce loss of yield due to more effective spraying methods. The seeds are there to increase yield while using chemicals that you're already using. Glyphosate isn't even under patent any more, you can by formulations from lots of different companies that don't even make GMO crops, nor do you have to buy Monsanto's RoundUp brand.

    Name chemical an insecticide that Monsanto sells. Good luck finding one. You have it exactly backwards.

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  232. Re:Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1

    You conveniently leave out the important bits about the Defense Production Act. Monsanto (and 8 other companies) didn't just produce Agent Orange for the fun of it, it was made specifically for the government, at their demand, for their use to their spec. And even after being informed about the dioxin contamination, the government said "fuck it" and used it anyway. To attribute all those deaths to Monsanto is misinformed at best, outright lying at worst, IMHO.

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  233. Re:Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1
    Most anti-GMO peoples' main sources of information for "nutrition" and GMO-related debate are:
    • Don Huber
    • Gilles-Eric Seralini
    • Jeffrey Smith
    • Mike Adams
    • Stephanie Seneff
    • Vandana Shiva
    • Vani Hari ("Food Babe")

    Compare this list of "experts" to actual people in the biotechnology fields and you find that the opinions come weighted as expected: Comparison of GMO "Experts". Inb4shillcall!

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  234. Re:Nonsense. Again. by jwhitener · · Score: 1

    Billions of times a day, natural processes substitute random genes from all different kinds of organisms.

    Sure, but they are usually similar related organisms. For instance, natural processes usually don't result in Jellyfish sharing genes with Rabbits:) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dqQ-DSKObTI

  235. Re:Nonsense. Again. by mspohr · · Score: 1

    No, actually these natural processes take genes from all different types of organisms from both the plant and animal kingdom and inject them into vastly different species. Most of the time it doesn't work out but sometimes you get a useful mutation that benefits the organism.

    --
    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
  236. Valid point by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 1

    Which is why i think GMO's ought to be done by universities and governments for the public benefit, not by corporations for profit, and one of the goals should be genetic diversity for exactly the reason you state.

    Also, I'm uncomfortable with a corporation having so much influence over the world's food supply.

    Last, the profit motive would compel a company to attempt to sweep problems under the rug more than publicly funded development would.

    So, I'm pro-GMO, but I think it should be done by the public for the public.

    --PM

  237. Re:Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1

    Lots of creatures share lots of genes with lots of other creatures. The whole concept of genes "belonging" to particular organism rather than being discrete units of function independent of the organism they find themselves in seems, to me, to be where these discussions fall short. It smacks of essentialism with a hint of naturalistic fallacy thrown in for taste.

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  238. Re:Nonsense. Again. by jwhitener · · Score: 1

    Share, as in we all, right now, have genes in common with lots of animals and plants because of common ancestors. I understand that. But how exactly would a Jelly Fish share genes with a Rabbit?

  239. Re:Nonsense. Again. by jwhitener · · Score: 1

    Share, as in we all, right now, have genes in common with lots of animals and plants because of common ancestors. I understand that. But how exactly would a Jelly Fish share genes with a Rabbit?

    Are you talking about some multi step path that could conceivably transfer a Jelly Fish 'glow' gene into a rabbit like:

    Jelly Fish gets eaten by fish, fish eaten by bear, bear poo fertilizes a plant, rabbit eats the plant?

  240. Re: Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1

    You just answered your own question. I'm not sure how I could make that any clearer. Genes are genes, they just do what they do, and lots of creatures share the same genes.

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  241. Re: Nonsense. Again. by jwhitener · · Score: 1

    I'm talking about the ones we don't share. That is the concern. Taking wildly foreign genes from species that would never co-mingle, and have zero common ancestors.

    I'm not saying GMO's are bad, just that we can't kid ourselves that genetic engineering is equivalent to cross breeding/selective trait breeding.

  242. Re: Nonsense. Again. by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1

    You're missing the point. Animals share some genes because those genes do the same thing in one organism as they do in the other because the genes don't care which organism they're in, they just do what they do. We all share the same molecular machinery for reading DNA. You're creating a distinction without a difference when the gene doesn't really give a shit. It's an argument of essentialism and ignorance of the workings of genetics, no offense.

    --

    kurzweil_freak

    5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

    Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.