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Warmer Pacific Ocean Could Release Millions of Tons of Methane

vinces99 writes: Off the U.S. West Coast, methane gas is trapped in frozen layers below the seafloor. New research from the University of Washington shows that water at intermediate depths is warming enough to cause these carbon deposits to melt, releasing methane into the sediments and surrounding water. Researchers found that water off the coast of Washington is gradually warming at a depth of 500 meters (about a third of a mile down), the same depth where methane transforms from a solid to a gas. The research suggests that ocean warming could be triggering the release of a powerful greenhouse gas (abstract).

Scientists believe global warming will release methane from gas hydrates worldwide, but most of the focus has been on the Arctic. The new paper estimates that, from 1970 to 2013, some 4 million metric tons of methane has been released from hydrate decomposition off Washington's coast. That's an amount each year equal to the methane from natural gas released in the 2010 Deepwater Horizon blowout off the coast of Louisiana, and 500 times the rate at which methane is naturally released from the seafloor.

6 of 329 comments (clear)

  1. Re:How about a straight answer? by tanveer1979 · · Score: 5, Informative

    The Cosmos season one Episode 13 explains it quite a bit. And earth is getting warmer since the industrial revolution in the absence of other factors. Most of the debate comes from industries who stand to loose from climate based taxes.

    Think of it as the lead debacle.

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  2. Re:How about a straight answer? by taiwanjohn · · Score: 5, Informative

    Methane release also played a key role in the Permian Mass Extinction Event.

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  3. Glad you asked by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 5, Informative

    questions is to what extent the impact of humans may be responsible.

    No, this is fairly easily measurable; we're dwarfing natural processes. Aside from natural seasonal variation the biggest natural contributor to atmospheric CO2 is volcanic activity, and the rate at which we're releasing carbon is completely unprecedented. You can figure it as equivalent to 1-2 Yellowstone supervolcano eruptions every year, or two Pinatubos per day. (the article quotes from a paper that I belive is available online but I can't find it at the moment).

    The models are well-defined on the lower limit due to the physics of radiation; 3.7 W/m^2 increase per doubling of CO2 is a straightforward result of the Stefan-Boltzmann Law. That is equivalent to about 1 degree C global temp, and no one is worried about that. The issue is that water vapor is a much stronger greenhouse gas and you may have noticed that there's quite a bit of it lying around. Furthermore, air can hold exponentially more water vapor as it heats up. There's a lot of variation possible in the feedback loops but negative feedback is really unlikely.

    Personally, I find the most useful way to approach the subject is to take a look at the history of climate science. Thousands of scientists did not wake up one day and accept the movement of the continents, neither did they accept that humans could have any affect on the climate without strong proofs. The Discovery of Global Warming goes over the history of global warming and has useful insights into what exactly a climate model is, and how even one-dimensional models can still tell us useful things even if their long-term predictions are not all that accurate

    For a more detailed look into the science, you might check out Science of Doom, but a textbook on atmospheric physics may be more useful. Unfortunately, beyond the basics it starts to get complicated in a real hurry; unless you really want to start diving through papers and textbooks you will probably be best served by the IPCC report.

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    1. Re:Glad you asked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Seriously, pick up the IPCC or follow the Climate Change course at coursera. But one tl;dr is:

      Carbon comes in various isotopes, mostly by action of the sun. So plants and us include an amount of C-14 because we interact with the atmosphere. Stuff like oil and gas contains no C-14 because it's been underground for millions of years.

      By measurements we know that all the additional CO2 in the atmosphere is only C-12, no C-14 at all. So whereever it's coming from it's been out of contact with the atmosphere for a very long time. It is also replacing the O2 levels in exactly the amount expected if you were burning stuff. And its the wrong proportion for volcanos. And it's not coming from the oceans either (they're absorbing, not releasing).

      Now, that narrows it down a lot. Draw your own conclusion.

      This page is actually a really good summary: http://www.skepticalscience.com/anthrocarbon-brief.html

  4. Re:"Expected" to release methane by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    in no way negates the point of his statement.

    There is no point to his/her statement; it's just a (pretty random) assertion. There is no reasoned point, no subtantiation, no reference, not even an anecdote that attempts to convince as to why 'one must note' this. So, when it comes to prognostication are environmental scientists hacks? Evil? Lazy? Incompetent? All of the above? Tell us! Don't leave us hanging!

  5. Re:"Expected" to release methane by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    I prefer a limerick.

    There once was a statement from popo
    It really sounded quite loco
    The thing had no point
    AC has him coined
    As a hater of the treaty of Kyoto