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On the Dangers and Potential Abuses of DNA Familial Searching

Advocatus Diaboli sends a story of how a high tech forensic procedure almost led investigators to the wrong person. In 1996, a young woman named Angie Dodge was assaulted and murdered in Idaho Falls, Idaho. There was a conviction in the case, but later reports claimed the wrong man was in prison, and police thought there were more than one attacker anyway. This eventually led to the re-opening of the investigation. Using DNA evidence that had been preserved from the crime scene, police used a controversial technique called familial searching to try to find a lead. This method is used when there is no direct DNA match within the available databases. Instead, it tries to identify family members of the suspect. Police found a partial match, which eventually led them to Michael Usry, a New Orleans filmmaker. They convinced a judge to provide a search warrant to extract Usry's DNA and test it against the sample. It wasn't until a month after the extraction that they told him he'd been cleared.

32 of 163 comments (clear)

  1. System worked, then? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Informative

    So, they got a warrant like they're supposed to.

    Then they executed the warrant, gathered a DNA sample, and tested it.

    Sample came back as not matching, so they removed the suspect from their list of suspects.

    So, what's the problem here? They checked out a lead (using legal methods, like a warrant), found it went nowhere, and continued the investigation into other possible leads....

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    1. Re:System worked, then? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you are referring to the DNA clearing the guy -- then yes the 'system worked'. However, you are overlooking the fact that this familial DNA technique caused an innocent man to be inconvenienced and harassed.
      Why are people so complacent about the abuses of police and judicial system. A warrant should have never been issued for such a lousy technique.

    2. Re:System worked, then? by Rick+Zeman · · Score: 2

      If you are referring to the DNA clearing the guy -- then yes the 'system worked'. However, you are overlooking the fact that this familial DNA technique caused an innocent man to be inconvenienced and harassed.
      Why are people so complacent about the abuses of police and judicial system. A warrant should have never been issued for such a lousy technique.

      This isn't an abuse. This is the system working (as well as it can, though getting him in to the office on a lie is kind of skeevy). And since even the cleared suspect is considering the branches of his family tree even he's buying into the validity of the technique.

    3. Re:System worked, then? by DarkOx · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think the problem here, if there is one (and I am with you on not being so sure there is) just how far removed from an event under investigation do you need to before you can't be subject to warrants related to it.

      Right now a Judge or Magistrate basically determines this. I am not sure what standards may exist beyond probably cause of finding evidence. So here we have a guy where there is nothing at all to tie him to the events except DNA match that is actually exculpatory in that its clear he isn't a match for the sample the Police believe is that of the perps; however it does indicate he may be a family member however distant. The police want to confirm this. Is it reasonable to "search" his blood to confirm the match, and is that than cause to search everyone one of his relations, and their offspring?

      Its kinda like the NSA's 3 degrees thing, does this simply open the door to the government being free to collect DNA samples form most citizens? We do need to look at some old assumptions in the face of new tech. In the past you had to manually do DNA compares between two samples, now you digitize results and search a database. Where you would not in the past have do a comparison with someone who could not have committed the crime now you effective compare with every sample taken from everywhere. Based on those past assumptions we figured limiting collection to convicts, voluntary submitters, and those we had probable cause for protected most folks privacy. An situation like this would be rare; if it did happen we probably would have permitted it; thinking the scope was highly limited, now it could easily pull most of us in.

       

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    4. Re:System worked, then? by Idarubicin · · Score: 4, Interesting

      So here we have a guy where there is nothing at all to tie him to the events except DNA match that is actually exculpatory in that its clear he isn't a match for the sample the Police believe is that of the perps; however it does indicate he may be a family member however distant. The police want to confirm this. Is it reasonable to "search" his blood to confirm the match, and is that than cause to search everyone one of his relations, and their offspring?

      Your summary may be a bit too brief for the nuances here. It appears that the police found a partial DNA match with the suspect's father (in, remarkably, a privately-maintained - not state-controlled - DNA database), which in turn suggested that a close relative would be match. The police then examined publicly-available genealogy information to identify candidate relatives. From the genealogy records the police narrowed their search to three candidate individuals. Using various other circumstantial information they finally sought a warrant to collect a DNA sample from just one individual.

      While I agree that there are legitimate "slippery-slope" concerns, based on the (admittedly brief) description in the linked article, it seems that in this particular instance reasonable steps were taken to minimize the scope and inconvenience (to potentially-innocent individuals) of the investigation. It wasn't a scattershot "We must test the DNA of all your male relatives!", but rather "We want to test the DNA of your one male relative whom we also suspect for reasons (a), (b), and (c)."

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      ~Idarubicin
    5. Re:System worked, then? by Half-pint+HAL · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This isn't an abuse. This is the system working (as well as it can, though getting him in to the office on a lie is kind of skeevy). And since even the cleared suspect is considering the branches of his family tree even he's buying into the validity of the technique.

      There was no concrete evidence, only circumstancial. I find it extremely worrying that he was brought in under false pretenses and that they granted a court order for the DNA sample before any request had been made to him for a voluntary submission.

      Even if someone is your only suspect, he shouldn't be treated as a "prime suspect" without evidence. Usry says in the article that he was worried that they were going to push for charges even when the sample came back negative, and it was the police and FBI's treatment of him that made him worried. It wouldn't have been the first time that an overzealous law enforcement officer had got so fixated on "getting a result" that they would have pushed on, ignoring the evidence.

      The biggest warning light in the article is actually an innocent-looking remark from the Sgt in the case: " “I wish it wasn’t a dead end, but it was.”" I know it's important to solve crimes, but no police officer should ever be disappointed to find out a suspect is innocent. Do you think that one-month wait was lab time? I doubt it. During all that time, some of the officers and agents involved may well have been pushing to continue, on the grounds that he probably passed through the town once, and they think it was a cousin of his, so they would be arguing that he "probably" drove his cousin up and was an accessory.

      There is always the danger with these speculative searches that you end up identifying a suspect then convincing yourself he's the guy, then confirmation bias leads the officers to build a case around lots of selective evidence. In a cold case, you'd be essentially building a "loser edit" for the poor sod you've picked.

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    6. Re:System worked, then? by Half-pint+HAL · · Score: 2
      He was identified on circumstancial evidence then treated as a prime suspect. Look:

      Detectives traveled to New Orleans in December and persuaded a magistrate judge to sign a search warrant ordering Usry to provide his DNA for comparison.

      The caller identified himself as a law enforcement official in New Orleans and said he was investigating a hit-and-run in City Park.

      They got a court order without ever asking the guy to help with their enquiries. They brought him in with an outright lie and forced him to give a DNA sample. That's treatment unwarranted by the evidence, whatever the judge thinks.

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    7. Re:System worked, then? by silas_moeckel · · Score: 2

      The system did not work, the warrant should have never been issued it was a fishing expedition wrapped up in "science". To start the used a commercial DNA database aka someplace that sucker innocents into submitting DNA samples (ancestry.com) for genealogical purposes with promises of anonymity and control. The first warrant broke that anonymity and led to the guys father even though they knew he was not a suspect. They then got a warrant to forcibly sample the son with the extra info of apparently he had friends on facebook near the crime and directed horror flicks.

      So the first person they invaded the privacy of, they knew had no connection to the crime and based on a commercial database that was created under false pretenses. They then forced a person to submit DNA (that will stay in the system forever). This was all fishing with no evidence.

      If this is left to stand sooner or later the police will be able to match everybodys DNA as sequencing is becoming the norm. Companies like Quest Diag etc will put some clause 13 pages into a form you have to sign to get a lab test done saying it's ok for them to sell your sequence anonymously. Then a partial match is grounds enough to get a warrant to break that anonymity without giving the persona a chance to fight it.

      Sure the genie is out of the bottle our DNA is becoming easier to sequence and we know more and more by looking at that sequence. This has important medical benefits. Would you be ok with the police being able to search everybody's medical records looking for a white male with a cleft palate since they had a suspect with that medical condition. We need to keep the bar far higher for the police to access medical records.

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      No sir I dont like it.
    8. Re:System worked, then? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Except now his police file says: "suspect in murder case, not proved"

    9. Re:System worked, then? by Half-pint+HAL · · Score: 2

      They shouldn't have been granted a warrant! There was no friggin evidence!

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    10. Re:System worked, then? by Orgasmatron · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But they didn't suspect him at all. They found their suspect first, then constructed a circumstantial case (a, b and c) against him.

      This is dangerous shit and the police should get slapped for it. And the public needs to step up and make it clear to judges that we won't tolerate them rubber stamping bullshit warrants. Just because there was a happy ending this time doesn't mean that we aren't playing with fire. This guy came one lab mistake away from from having his life ruined.

      There was a time when most of us understood the dangers of working from desired conclusion to supporting facts. But now we celebrate people that work backwards, from cop shows on TV to "scientists" paid to push a political agenda.

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    11. Re:System worked, then? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Why should he have been worried for a month?

      Have you not been paying attention the last few years? Government enforcers -- local and three-letter -- have established that they're willing to ignore the law and evidence in favour of roughing up and incarcerating somebody -- anybody -- regardless of whether or not they're actually guilty of anything.

    12. Re:System worked, then? by Immerman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      My understanding is that DNA matches are generally not accurate enough to be accepted by scientists as a conclusive match, though perhaps the techniques have improved since then. That's actually a big part of the problem with them - people believe them to be considerably more accurate than they actually are. Maybe they're even 99% accurate, but that would still mean that there's a 1 in 100 chance that you'll come up as a false positive: enough to worry about I'd say. And if the accuracy isn't even that good... well it makes DNA databases being used for identification a bit worrying. Not so much because they're not useful, but because the police, lawyers, judge, and jury all tend to believe that a match is far more conclusive than it really is. Especially the jury, whose familiarity with DNA evidence comes from daytime television, where it *always* fingers the guilty party.

      Basically nobody involved is likely to have the grasp of statistics necessary to properly parse the results - even doctors, who you would expect to deal with false positives/negatives all the time often get it wrong. Test is 90% accurate, that means if you come up positive there's a 90% chance you've got the disease, right? Wrong. You also need to factor in the independent chance of actually having the disease. Say there's a 2% chance that a person chosen at random is infected: that means out of 100 people you will (on average) have 10 false positives and two actual positives: testing positive only means there's a 2/12 (17%) chance you're infected.

      Now consider DNA evidence - let's be generous and say it's 99.999% accurate: there's 400 million people in the US, so you can expect there will be 400,000 false positives, only one of which actually be guilty. Me, I don't like those odds.

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    13. Re:System worked, then? by Duhavid · · Score: 2

      "Why should he have been worried for a month? He knew perfectly well he was innocent."

      The legal/judicial system we have is not perfect. We read occasionally about people that are released from prison after being falsely found guilty ( with limits for error there as well... ).

      So, knowing you are innocent and not worrying are not mutually exclusive.

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      emt 377 emt 4
    14. Re:System worked, then? by jbengt · · Score: 2

      Investigative techniques used in this case are not proven and may cause enough false positives to be detrimental to serving justice against the actual perpetrators.

  2. Re:wtf by DarkOx · · Score: 3, Interesting

    At least at common law assault is the "putting in of fear", and battery has "physical contact" so if you killed them without scaring or physically touching them it would be possible.

    For example if you crawled under their car at night and partially loosed the bleed screws on their breaks, and cut the line on the mechanical break; knowing they would porbably have enough fluid to get onto the interstate in heavy traffic for their morning commute before discovering anything was wrong. If they do get killed, I can see that leading to murder conviction without assault or battery.

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  3. Re:Non Story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    No mistake was made. The police checked a potential suspect and cleared him.

    Well, this should cause anyone using a DNA service or donating their DNA to science to think twice:

    The elder Usry, who lives outside Jackson, Mississippi, said his DNA entered the equation through a project, sponsored years ago by the Mormon church, in which members gave DNA samples to the Sorenson Molecular Genealogy Foundation, a nonprofit whose forensic assets have been acquired by Ancestry.com, the world’s largest for-profit genealogy company.

    What the actual fuck?

  4. Re:wtf by Thanshin · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It depends on the delivery method.

    If it's, for example, cyanide in your coffee, it wouldn't.

    On the other hand, if it's a large barrel of cyanide catapulted in your general direction, it's assault. (It you fail your dodge roll, it's also battery)

  5. Re:Non Story by xanthines-R-yummy · · Score: 2

    Came here to say the same thing. If I had mod points, I'd mod you up.

    I would also add, that now we know how powerful wide collection nets of metadata can be (eg, NSA surveillance), I wonder if other types of donation, such as bone marrow registries, are going to be subpoenaed and how that will affect donations.

  6. All DNA Evidenceis overrated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Just because someones DNA was found at a crime scene doesn't mean they were there at the time of the crime or even that they were ever there. There have been enough cases forensics Labs accidentally contaminating evidence never mind the fact that even today DNA finger prints aren't that unique. Basically it should only ever be used as corroborating evidence.

    1. Re:All DNA Evidenceis overrated by Half-pint+HAL · · Score: 3, Informative

      This is semen. On the body. You pretty much had to be there.

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  7. Re:Where is the abuse? by Nidi62 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They identified a suspect based on evidence and eliminated him using evidence.

    How is that abuse?

    Because they used one piece of "evidence" (very tenuous at best) and just cast out a wide net to suspect someone from half the country away. It's the same as if a witness of a crime in New York said the suspect was 6'2" and blond so the police start interviewing 6'2" blond people living in Utah. Partial DNA matches should not be enough to get a warrant for someone who lives 1700 miles from where the crime occurred, especially if there is no other corroborating evidence.

    --
    The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
  8. Re:Ancestry Database by Headw1nd · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nevermind, it seems like it is open and searchable. So yeah, maybe you don't want to give them your DNA.

  9. Re:or maybe... by ranton · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Ah yes, the classic "one crime deserves another" argument.

    No, it is the classic "one crime deserves citizens who provide reasonable assistance to pursue justice." If I find a murdered body while jogging, I am probably going to be one of the initial suspects. I will be questioned by officers, and possibly even called back to the precinct if they have further questions. This would absolutely inconvenience me, but I would be a real jackass if I put up a stink about it. Someone was just murdered, which would be a much bigger problem than me losing a couple afternoons.

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    -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
  10. Re:or maybe... by Thanshin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If I find a murdered body while jogging, I am probably going to be one of the initial suspects. I will be questioned by officers, and possibly even called back to the precinct if they have further questions. This would absolutely inconvenience me, but I would be a real jackass if I put up a stink about it. Someone was just murdered, which would be a much bigger problem than me losing a couple afternoons.

    And it is of the outmost importance that you keep the freedom to make that choice.

  11. Re:Non Story by operagost · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Also,

    â€oeI had lots of days sitting at the house with the dog,†he recalled in an interview, â€oewondering if these guys were going to use a battering ram to bust open the door and shoot my dog after he started barking at them.â€

    The public is increasingly fearful of the police. And it's THEIR FAULT.

    --

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  12. Re: or maybe... by Duhavid · · Score: 2

    Forth amendment?

    "The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects,[a] against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized".

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    emt 377 emt 4
  13. Re: or maybe... by coinreturn · · Score: 2

    If the governments had the courage to do it, every citizen or resident of the country should be compelled to give DNA samples. There is absolutely no reason whatsoever for any ordinary citizen to protest or oppose this. Indeed any opposition should be viewed as a reason for suspicion.

    Because of course there is absolutely no chance for abuse, such as DNA planting, or error, such as cross-contamination.

  14. Do we want 100% crimes solved? by mi · · Score: 3, Interesting

    against unreasonable searches and seizures

    The "(un)reasonable" standard is so vague, almost anything can be argued in and out of it.

    The anonymous grandparent is right in that DNA-samples (and fingerprints) could be collected from everyone, and it would help police immensely.

    The question then boils down to whether we want the police helped so much. More generally, do we want 100% of crimes to be reliably solvable, or would we rather some criminals remained able to escape today in exchange for it being possible (however remotely) for some future subversives to succeed against some hypothetically oppressive government, which would have already illegalized all ordinary methods of opposition?

    --
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  15. Re:or maybe... by hey! · · Score: 2

    Well, this is one of those questions that has a few big fat "depends" attached to the answer.

    If they were just going to throw away that information, I unqualifiedly agree with you. No reasonable person would refuse to give their DNA if it would be thrown away as soon as it had exonerated them.

    But what if they intend to *keep* that information and use it to match against future crimes? Then a reasonable person might well pause. One obvious uncertainty is what future versions of the government considers a "crime". Even if I have total trust in the "deep state" under President Obama, I should recognize others might reasonably feel differently, and nobody should feel such a level of trust for future administrations yet to be determined.

    Possibly a more serious issue is our assumptions about the perfection of matching DNA samples against vast archives of DNA data. The FBI likes to claim literally astronomical chances like "113 billion to 1" against a false positive DNA match, but they're not exactly disinterested. Furthermore such figures are based on long strings of untested assumptions about things being statistically independent of each other. While it's manifestly clear that false matches are unlikely, we cannot really know whether they are sufficiently likely to treat as positive proof when we're talking about matching against potentially millions of samples.

    So while it's quite reasonable not to be worried about what happens with your biometric data today, it's maybe not so reasonable to be so casual about having it retained and aggregated for decades to come. Keeping data without really testing it's future utility (or even disutility) is something bureaucracies do by habit and instinct, and people with the skepticism and mathematical knowledge to be entrusted with such a decision are few and far between.

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  16. Re:or maybe... by hey! · · Score: 2

    My point is this: how do we *know* the odds against a perfect false match are as high as we think they are?

    I know the way people do these calculations, which is they take p(x1) * p(x2) *... p(xn) as the probability. But note that the validity of this calculation is dependent upon the assumption that the events x1, x2 ... xn are all independent of each other, which if you think about what DNA is is bound not to be true. So I guess you choose x1 ... xn so that they are independent-ish -- that is to say they are correlated to only a negligible degree.

    But how do you know that? Well, you look through some existing databases that is representative enough of the population at large to choose which points of comparison to use.

    But how do you know that database is sufficiently representative?

    The problem is, you don't. It's just an unfounded assumption.

    I have no doubt that you'd have sufficient Bayesian basis for a high degree of belief in a match once you've narrowed your pool of suspects to a group of otherwise likely suspects. But I'm not nearly so confident in a so-called "perfect match" (which is really misleading terminology by the way) when the pool of suspects is *everybody*.

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  17. Re:or maybe... by skegg · · Score: 2

    I am obliged to comply with the judicial system

    Well, that's essentially wordplay: technically, you ARE legally obliged to comply with the judicial system.
    However, is the judicial system morally fair?

    If you ever travel to Saudi Arabia with your wife, do you consider it fair to physically beat her because she may disagree with you?
    Do you consider it morally right that a 12 year old girl can be married off?
    Do you think the Patriot Act is morally right?
    What about when US telco's broke the law and were granted retroactive immunity by the President, making it legal. Is that morally right?
    Do you think racial segregation was right? Women not allowed to vote? Slaves in ancient times?!

    Just because something is LAW doesn't make it RIGHT.