German Auto Firms Face Roadblock In Testing Driverless Car Software
An anonymous reader writes As nations compete to build the first operational autonomous car, German auto-manufacturers fear that current domestic laws limit their efforts to test the appropriate software for self-driving vehicles on public roads. German carmakers are concerned that these roadblocks are allowing U.S. competitors, such as Google, to race ahead in their development of software designed to react effectively when placed in real-life traffic scenarios. Car software developers are particularly struggling to deal with the ethical challenges often raised on the road. For example when faced with the decision to crash into a pedestrian or another vehicle carrying a family, it would be a challenge for a self-driving car to follow the same moral reasoning a human would in the situation. 'Technologically we can do fully automated self-driving, but the ethical framework is missing,' said Volkswagen CEO Martin Winterkorn.
Maybe the Germans should start focusing on pilotless planes.
Pretty sure autonomous vehicles will be banned in all 50 states.
Just weight the situation, if the car you're in is going 40 km/h and you know that you can slow to 20 km/h then hit the car in front of you because the pedestrian won't survive. Also you'll have access the license plate, so you can easily look up information on the family in the car and get the stats of everyone in the car. More then enough data will exist at the time at the accident to judge it properly, what is the issue? You'll have more information then any normal driver would. It really is just black and white.
So, disregarding how the self-driving car decided who it is best to kill in any given situation, for me the biggest problem with self-driving cars is legal liability.
If Google wants to sell autonomous cars, Google should be liable for anything the damned thing does.
And none of this cop out where if the computer doesn't know what to do it just hands back to the human -- because that's pretty much guaranteed to fail since the human won't be able to make the context switch in time (if at all).
As far as I'm concerned, the autonomous car has to be 100% hands off by the user at all times, and the company who makes the damned thing is 100% responsible for what it does.
Why the hell would someone have to pay for insurance for something they don't have control of what it does?
Lost at C:>. Found at C.
Humans are unable to make moral decisions in a few miliseconds. They would either freeze for a least one second and hit the next car or pedestrian depending on which comes first. If they have more time, they would try to avoid collision with the human and hit the car, because you cannot really see other people in there and you do not know how many persons are in there. Also people in the car are better protected. So the safest thing is hit the car. But beside that people know when approaching an truck trailer and they cannot stop, they should aim for the wheels and not the section in the middle. However, most people are unable to implement that so why should be cars be able to do these things?
Put Andreas Lubitz behind the wheel.
As opposed to all the laws and regulations making driverless cars difficult to test in the US? Google has to pay someone to sit in the front seat so they can take over from the computer (that can make better decisions faster than a human).
What regulations concern them so much (I didn't see any listed in the article) and how do they differ from the US regulations (like the US in some lawless state..)
APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
But the self-driving cars ARE capable of hitting the breaks quicker and more reliably (avoiding skidding) than a normal human would
Think about it if it were the other way around - what if humans were crappy about deciding to hit the pedestrian but computers had incredibly slow reflexes and took ten times as long to decide to hit the break. Given that example we would laugh and say no way would we let anyone with slow reflexes drive a car.
But we already do that - we let human reflexes drive a car - (Even if they have had one drink 30 minutes ago, slowing them down). The question is not and never has been will computers be perfect drivers. Instead the question is will they do
And that is something that we likely can do within the next couple of years, if we can't already do that.
So stop being obstructionists idiots bringing up the rare/never seen in the real world situations, and talk about what actually happens.
excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
.. they can still put a human behind the wheel take actions in dangerous situations.
Or they could run their tests in the U.S.
For example when faced with the decision to crash into a pedestrian or another vehicle carrying a family, it would be a challenge for a self-driving car to follow the same moral reasoning a human would in the situation. 'Technologically we can do fully automated self-driving, but the ethical framework is missing,' said Volkswagen CEO Martin Winterkorn.
We learn how to drive in driving school and not how to crash. In a situation like the above. Most people will hit the next thing in front of them, regardless of what or who it is.
The faster the car goes the less likely anyone is to avoid an obstacle.
If anything. A machine could improve things by being able to react in time.
Everyone who buys Wild Hunt will receive 16 specially prepared DLCs absolutely for free, regardless of platform.
Seems someone thinks we are rational actors while swerving to avoid death . Maybe best is to apply brakes at point of least collision while coordinating with other nearby cars and call it a day ?
While they are trying to change the laws back home they might as well do their development and testing in the United States. We currently have fewer restrictions here.
I agree with gstoddart about autonomous cars being able to be 100% hands off by the user at all times for normal driving regimes. If the companies that make them do it right then they should not be afraid of being 100% responsible when the vehicle is in autonomous mode. Some computer modeling of autonomous vehicles has shown a major drop in the number of accidents; hopefully this can be realized in real life. However, owners will have to have insurance to cover the vehicle as property and when they are operating it.
ahem
There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
I somewhat agree... but the problem is not "is a driverless car better than a human" it's: who do we sue when something goes wrong.
In the proposed hypothetical, whoever gets hit is going to be suing someone. Who do they sue? The owner of the car (even if they weren't in the car the time?) the "passenger" or the company that makes the vehicle.
I tend to think that it will be the owner - and the owner will need to have insurance to cover whatever the autonomous car could do. There is no way a company like Google is going to put out a product like this where it's liable.
As for "rare/never seen in the real world situations" you have to remember that with a high enough saturation of these on the roads... those "rare" situations will happen all day long, every day (they already do with regular cars). The statistics makes this quite tricky...
Note that I am NOT an obstructionist and I am all for autonomous vehicles... but the legal aspects of self-driving cars is something that needs to get solved soon...
'Technologically we can do fully automated self-driving, but the ethical framework is missing
Ethically we can allow fully automated self-driving, but the Technological framework is kinda missing
Should car hit mom crossing a street with twins in the stroller or three retired older people on the side walk?
Should it hit Einstein or a group of dozen people?
By the way, one of the options will be your life as a driver of a new smart car. Your car may calculate that your life is worth less than others.
So how do you decide? least amount of casualties? life expectancy of victims? number or surviving relatives? annual salary/wealth? importance to society?
Without lawyers defining ramifications of what ethical car should do we will end up with a company releasing a code liable for deaths of people.
Why this obsession with moral reasoning on the part of the car? If using self-driving cars are in 10x fewer accidents than human driven cars, why the requirement to act morally in the few accidents they do have. And it isn’t as if the morality is completely missing, it is implicit in not trying to to hit objects, be they human or otherwise. Sure try to detect which are objects are human and avoid them at great cost, but deciding which human to hit in highly unlikely situations seems unneeded and perhaps even unethical in a fashion. As it is now, who gets hit in these unlikely scenarios is random, akin to an Act of God. Once you start programming in morality you’re open to criticism on why you chose the priorities you did. Selfishly I would have my car hit the pedestrian instead of another car, if the latter were more likely to kill me. No need to ascertain the number of occupants in the other car. Instinctively this is what we humans do already -- try not to hit anything, but save ourselves as a first priority. In my few new misses (near hits) I’ve had, I never find myself counting the number of occupants in the other car as I make my driving decisions.
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This is totally true. No human ever was able to make a moral determination and act on it in an accident situation. Beside the fact. The pedestrian and the family in the car is quite simple. The family is protected by their car the pedestrian is not. It would be a different thing between one or a group of pedestrians. Most humans would freeze and hit who ever comes first. End of story. The car could try to reduce victims.
As soon as any autonomous car advocates start talking about 'what actually happens' the conversation can start in earnest.
But for now, all we have is Google's marketing BS and some DARPA challenges that paint a much less rosy picture.
John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
Obviously, when it come to hitting a pedestrian or another car, regardless of how many passengers the car has: hit the car. At least the passengers in the car have a chance to survive, but if a car hits a person the chance for survival is much less. Especially, if that car is a large vehicle, or even a semi-truck. Either way the car passengers might survive, but a pedestrian is going to be more injured or dead. Dead for sure if he/she is hit by a semi-truck.
Oh, sorry, I forgot to add "successful". These are very interesting research challenges, but nowt here about succeeding on an actual real-world road.
Self preservation should always triumph. Why? That is what people do anyway.
I art more snarky, and terse than thou. I art Slashdot!
Its not who the injured party will sue, its who will their insurer sue for them.
But you actually point out the biggest impediment to self-driving vehicless, the strawman of who will get sued in the event of accident. The software maker/car maker of course should be sued if they are at fault. If there is no fault with the software, it acted as it should have but the situation was the problem in the first place then someone else should be sued. In the example above the pedestrian IS the problem. This situation only comes about due to jaywalking in dangerous situations i.e. person steps out from between 2 vehicles that obscured them completely from the nearer driver from a distance. The pedestrian who created the dangerous situation in the first place should be sued, but good luck finding them to sue. That's the situation right now with manual driving already, the real at fault party is rarely around to get sued already (either form leaving the scene they caused or, you know, being dead). But we don't force cities to enclose all street sides to prevent jaywalkers by force based on the fact that the city might get sued if they don't!
To go with self-driving cars we need limits on their use. For example they could be made to only "take over" once the vehicle is on streets with greater than 25mph speed limit in place (this is a standard for my state's neighborhoods, your state/country may have different limits). Elevated or buried pedestrian crossings so they have paths to travel that do not cross traffic at all. Proper bike lanes with programming made to defer to them. and on and on.
The problem is not self-driving vehicless, the problem is everything else that MUST be upgraded to keep up with them and make the roads safer for everyone even without SDV's on the road.
The summary doesn't really explain why that dilemma is harder for German companies to solve than American companies.
For Americans, the answer is: always hit the pedestrian(s). What the hell was anyone doing outside of a car?
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
If your requirement for caring about emerging technology is that it has already achieved commercial success, you're going to have a very short list.
Why yes! Just the other day a baby stroller magically appeared 2 feet in front of me while I was doing 90mph on the local autobahn, forcing me to make a snap decision between creamed baby or ramming the President's car which was carrying a gaggle of pregnant neurosurgeons to a peace conference that just happened to be in the other 5 lanes of the freeway and the shoulders and the sidewalks and the ditches, all at the same time (except for the lane the baby stroller was in, of course).
Fortunately being the superior human being that I am, I was not constrained by mere binary thinking and through a little ingenuity and physics, managed to lean my manly, manly physique across the vehicle just in time to ski past the baby and land safely on the other side. Not only that, but as it gracefully settled back onto four wheels, the breeze from the air displaced by my HMMWV (only the real ones are worthy of my leisure time) blew out a forest fire that was threatening to ignite a fireworks factory right next to a nuclear waste storage shed.
Let's see one of those auto-no-muss cars do that!
If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
an EULA will not stand up in a criminal court and I don't think that a EULA will stop a 3rd party victim from suing as well. Much less one they can't even give a ok to.
For example when faced with the decision to crash into a pedestrian or another vehicle carrying a family, it would be a challenge for a self-driving car to follow the same moral reasoning a human would in the situation
Or maybe it would follow better moral reasoning. Ours is not perfect, it's just whatever evolution came up with that gave us the best species survival rates. That doesn't mean it's really the most ethical solution.
For example, in a post-feminist society, let's assume for arguments sake that gender discrimination has been overcome, wouldn't we also do away with "women and children first" - which is a suitable survival approach in a species fighting for survival in the african prairie, but hardly for the dominant species that already is overpopulated.
Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
Life is dangerous, deal with it and move on. It could be argued that removing the freedom to drive off of roads or to a destination of your own choosing is worse than the safety gained.
Do you have a point? Besides the one on your head?
John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
Let the NSA have a real-time feed from the cameras on every self-driving car and the laws will be changed in a year to fill the streets with self driving cars. Morality will have been removed from the equation.
That's an easy decision......smush the pedestrian, that will cause less damage to me and my car.
Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
"For example when faced with the decision to crash into a pedestrian or another vehicle carrying a family."
Ethical human traveling 60kph when pedestrian and family in car simultaneously appear as obstacles 30 meters ahead..."OMG, OMG, I'm gonna hit one or the other! The car is better protected, but there are more people in the car. What did Spock say about the needs of the one? OMG " BANG!
Robot driver in same situation... "Obstacles detected, apply maximum ABS braking". Car stops 8 meters short of collision.
For every "ethical" dilemma a human decides correctly, I would guess there are 1000 fatalities caused by humans just being lousy at driving.
Oh, and what is the right ethical decision to make when deciding whether to hit a single pedestrian or a family in a car?
1) Cars are not technologically at a point where they have omnipresent awareness of the constituents of every vehicle around them and the locations of every pedestrian (add in crowded street-facing cafés, structural members for buildings, and everything else you could possibly think of). Neither, for that matter, are people.
2) The most brilliant philosophers still disagree over the ethics of choosing who dies when someone's gotta go. See also the Trolley Problem, most other ethical dilemmas, and generally the eternal struggle between various consequentialist and deontological systems of ethics.
3) This precise scenario is highly contrived and seems (1st approximation) to be vanishingly rare.
Given the above, maybe the question shouldn't be if a robot can make a perfect (or any) ethical decision. Maybe for now it should just be if the robot can do better than a human at not killing anyone at all in these sorts of situations. Maybe "I did my best to protect my owner from death and just happen to average out safer for everyone" will have to be ok for now.
Nothing posted to
The whole ethics framework debate is a straw man (computer) argument. It's patently obvious people don't make those split second judgement calls. The real reason the Germans are on sound moral grounds is autonomous cars are nowhere near commercial prime time on sunny day clear traffic straight highways. Dirty sensors, unpolished code with bugs, proper reliable extraction of features, sensor failures, intelligent prediction of object locations, prediction and proper avoiding of road hazards, and many more things still need to be ironed out. Problems creep up where a driver may have only a second to take over after the AI bails - complete bullshit that a human can hyper concentrate over the controls and take over in one second properly three hours and twenty six minutes in.
How the fuck do you justify putting people's lives at risk with your crap box wanna be AI? I want self driving cars as much as anyone not employed in the commercial driving industry. But not when any jackass car with half capable systems risks everyone's life. Honestly it needs to be banned in the United States on public roads. Wanna play? Pony up for a closed course before risking people's lives. If you think moral decisions are the barrier to AI cars you haven't the foggiest idea what the actual challenges are.
Let's say they manage to program the car so that it can calculate which course of action will cause the least injuries/fatalities. Now you get into a situation where the only two options available are a.) evade some obstacle on the road, but thereby hit a group of five pedestrians, quite possibly severely injuring or killing them or b.) hit the obstacle, quite possibly killing the driver (you). You are alone in your car.
Now, would you drive such a car which sometimes can decide, with cold, pure Vulcan logic, to kill you?
I somewhat agree... but the problem is not "is a driverless car better than a human" it's: who do we sue when something goes wrong.
In the proposed hypothetical, whoever gets hit is going to be suing someone. Who do they sue? The owner of the car (even if they weren't in the car the time?) the "passenger" or the company that makes the vehicle.
Yes. When you file your lawsuit you name all the possible entities... then you let the court decide how to apportion the blame.
Those made up example with the family van and the walker are laughable. Firstly out of my experience you do not have time while being in an accident to think that far as to check & see the family van is full of children. You steer , brake, and do as much as you can to avoid the walker. And the van. Secondly you really think there is even a concurrence ? The walker will get the full hit of the kinetic energy in his body. The van will absorb part of it in its structure. What sort of SICK FUCK would hit the walker rather than the van because there are children in the van ? There is no photo finish : You steer to avoid all, and if you cannot, you try to hit the target which will get the less physical damage from your damn car *if you can think that fast*. Does not matter if the walker is an old 99 guys and the van full of the brim of puppies and babies. I expect any automated car to make the same damn calculation : between hitting a car and a walker, go for the car. Hit the one with the most protection.
C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
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The pro-driverless car crowd always love to ignore the fact that the autonomous car wont be driverless for decades. A human will still be required to oversee and in case of a failure, take control of the vehicle.
The big problem with this is that people will be taking manual control because the autonomous car will abide by the rules that human drivers like to ignore like keeping a safe distance, not driving in the passing lane, keeping to the speed limit and slowing down in potentially hazardous areas (I.E. roads frequently entered by pedestrians).
Human nature wont change overnight because a pro-tech crowd wills it.
Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
not hitting anything. Unless you're going really fast, I would expect the longest part in stopping a car from hitting something is the human reaction time. Take that out of the equation and driver less cars shouldn't be hitting anything.
"For example when faced with the decision to crash into a pedestrian or another vehicle carrying a family, it would be a challenge for a self-driving car to follow the same moral reasoning a human would in the situation."
No, a self driving car shouldn't get into that situation in the first place. The right thing to do here is to anticipate events and slow down. Self driving cars have a huge advantage here, in that they don't get tired or lose attention over time.
For example when faced with the decision to crash into a pedestrian or another vehicle carrying a family
Um there is no question for several reasons.
First if the situation is so immediate your only two options are hit a vehicle or hit a person its highly unlikely you have time to peer into the other vehicle and count its occupants.
Second most vehicles on the road today have lots of safety features; if they are being used, seat belts fastened airbags not disabled etc, most crashes are highly survivable; most pedestrian vehicle crashes far far less so for the pedestrian (excepting very low speed nudged someone in a parking lot cases).
Finally while your liability insurance should most likely be on the hook in any situation I can image you finding yourself faced with such a choice another driver is more likely to have supplemental coverage that will ensure they are taken if your insurer dicks out and tries to screw them.
I really can't image a situation, most things being held equal, ( I know you could contrive a situation where you will be nearly at a complete stop before you hit the pedestrian vs hitting the other vehicle at high speed ) where it would ever be appropriate to choose to hit the pedestrian.
Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
But it can be legislated away if driverless cars are safer than their meat-driven alternatives.
You are absolutely right about security. People just don't seem to have done the basic marketing on autonomous vehicles. - One of the biggest dangers for all autonomous vehicles - or autonomous machines in general is theft.
The only solutions are that machines are kept under constant human guard - and or - are set up to defend themselves against theft. One of the biggest problems is emergency stop buttons, or 'Steal Me' buttons. - The solution for Strong AI machines is that there is no absolute stop button but there is a priority override button. The machine will only stop if it recognizes an authorized user or owner.
Even there the maze gets complicated because the machine must also obey people like police or officials - but it must also recognise the difference between real and fake police. Maybe a solution is for people like police to carry special encoded radio badges, or to have the machines carry an on-board database of all authorised police & officials.
Below the speed of light Special Relativity is one of the most accurate theories in physics - above the speed of light..
Around here most emergency responder vehicles have transmitters that can tell the traffic lights to change as they approach. It would not be hard to design such a system for short-distance transmission to alert autonomous vehicles to make way.
Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
Oh, sorry, I forgot to add "successful". These are very interesting research challenges, but nowt here about succeeding on an actual real-world road.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eureka_Prometheus_Project
The next culmination point was achieved in 1995, when Dickmanns re-engineered autonomous S-Class Mercedes-Benz took a 1000 mile trip from Munich in Bavaria to Copenhagen in Denmark and back, using saccadic computer vision and transputers to react in real time. The robot achieved speeds exceeding 175 km/h on the German Autobahn, with a mean time between human interventions of 9 km. In traffic it executed manoeuvres to pass other cars. Despite being a research system without emphasis on long distance reliability, it drove up to 158 km without any human intervention.
Of course news about a fake are Fake News.