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The Demographic Future of America's Political Parties
HughPickens.com writes: Daniel McGraw writes that based on their demographic characteristics the Democratic and Republican parties face two very different futures. There's been much written about how millennials are becoming a reliable voting bloc for Democrats, but there's been much less attention paid to one of the biggest get-out-the-vote challenges for the Republican Party heading into the next presidential election: The Republican Party voter is old—and getting older and far more Republicans than Democrats have died since the 2012 elections. By combining presidential election exit polls with mortality rates per age group from the U.S. Census Bureau, McGraw calculated that, of the 61 million who voted for Mitt Romney in 2012, about 2.75 million will be dead by the 2016 election. About 2.3 million of President Barack Obama's voters have died too but that leaves a big gap in between, a difference of roughly 453,000 in favor of the Democrats. "I've never seen anyone doing any studies on how many dead people can't vote," laughs William Frey, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution who specializes in demographic studies. "I've seen studies on how many dead people do vote. The old Daley Administration in Chicago was very good at that."
Frey points out that, since Republicans are getting whiter and older, replacing the voters that leave this earth with young ones is essential for them to be competitive in presidential elections. "Millennials (born 1981 to 1997) now are larger in numbers than baby boomers ([born] 1946 to 1964), and how they vote will make the big difference. And the data says that if Republicans focus on economic issues and stay away from social ones like gay marriage, they can make serious inroads with millennials." Exit polling indicates that millennials have split about 65-35 in favor of the Dems in the past two elections. If that split holds true in 2016, Democrats will have picked up a two million vote advantage among first-time voters. These numbers combined with the voter death data puts Republicans at an almost 2.5 million voter disadvantage going into 2016.
Frey points out that, since Republicans are getting whiter and older, replacing the voters that leave this earth with young ones is essential for them to be competitive in presidential elections. "Millennials (born 1981 to 1997) now are larger in numbers than baby boomers ([born] 1946 to 1964), and how they vote will make the big difference. And the data says that if Republicans focus on economic issues and stay away from social ones like gay marriage, they can make serious inroads with millennials." Exit polling indicates that millennials have split about 65-35 in favor of the Dems in the past two elections. If that split holds true in 2016, Democrats will have picked up a two million vote advantage among first-time voters. These numbers combined with the voter death data puts Republicans at an almost 2.5 million voter disadvantage going into 2016.
Another assumption it makes is that both parties are frozen in time.
Some aspects can or are "frozen in time"...
The question: "how to have those Blacks voting Republican for the next 200 years"? The answer: by becoming "Democratic" and make them "NIGGERS"!
From 1964 (or even earlier), and for every election after that, about 9/10ths of Blacks (who in total are about 13% of USA's population) vote Democratic - so, for the last half of our century the Democrats made more than 10% of USA's population their "bitches". "But how" you may ask? I already answered: they made them "NIGGERS"... by making them their "bitches"! I am just a Greek, i don't care much about your Yankee's "sensitivities", but i care about USA (AND Blacks), and things are really bad when people can't call a "NIGGER"... NIGGER! That way they can not say to a fucking NIGGER "hey you, fucking NIGGER, stop being such a fucking BITCH...".
Of course Republicans are not as evil as Democrats are, so they can not hurt Blacks by doing what Democrats do - so, some other idea for them: have those ILLEGAL IMMIGRANT INVADERS voting Republican for the next 200 years! What? "Republics are patriots, they can not fuck USA by making them citizens"? Well, then better start using language for what has being designed: CALLING THINGS THE WAY THEY ARE.
P.S. when you want to discuss "THE DEMOGRAPHIC FUTURE OF AMERICA'S POLITICAL PARTIES" you should expect some people will use words/phrases like "NIGGER", "ILLEGAL IMMIGRANT INVADERS", "... fucking LIBTARDS (!)", e.t.c., because:
a) it is about "THE DEMOGRAPHIC FUTURE OF AMERICA'S POLITICAL PARTIES"!!!
b) it saves people a lot of time (e.g., i understand what a "redneck" is, try to understand what my terms mean)
- c) not all Slashdoters are fucking LIBTARDS...
Antisthenes: "Wisdom begins by examining the words/names." - excuse my English, i am (slightly...) better with my Greek!
With every election the percentage of white folks who vote Republican increases. That's why Obama keeps importing illegal aliens. He is trying to replace the white race in America.
>NOMINATE scales people based on their choices relative to contemporaries
That's exactly *why* it works across decades. Because it allows a continuous chain of comparison even between people who never served together. (E.g, person A served with person B, person B later served with person C, person C later served with person D, etc)
To make laws that man cannot, and will not obey, serves to bring all law into contempt.
--E.C. Stanton