US Tech Companies Expected To Lose More Than $35 Billion Over NSA Spying

Patrick O'Neill writes: Citing significant sales hits taken by big American firms like Apple, Intel, Microsoft, Cisco, Salesforce, Qualcomm, IBM, and Hewlett-Packard, a new report says losses by U.S. tech companies as a result of NSA spying and Snowden's whistleblowing "will likely far exceed" $35 billion. Previously, the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation put the estimate lower when it predicted the losses would be felt mostly in the cloud industry. The consequences are being felt more widely and deeply than previously thought, however, so the number keeps rising.

Comments

Other industries

[Anonymous Coward]

Should be a great improvement for gun sales though.

Disagree with stupid wording

[vikingpower]

as a result of NSA spying and Snowden's whistleblowing

Could anyone give us a sensible and argumented answer as to how a mere whistleblower's can cost the US economy that kind of money ?

Re:Disagree with stupid wording

[gstoddart]

Because before people realized the extent to which the US government was co-opting industry to be part of the spy apparatus, people had no real understanding of the issue.

Since every US firm is covered under the Patriot Act which says "we can demand your data in secret", now that we know just how untrustworthy US firms are, buying from US firms is idiotic because it's patently obvious there can be no trust.

Snowden didn't cause this, per se, but if he hadn't made it so damned plain that the US government and US firms can't be trusted, then people would still be oblivious, and the NSA could spy in secret.

Honestly, I think US firms deserve to lose truckloads of money as they're no longer welcome to try for certain kinds of business.

Because hitting America in the pocketbook seems to be the only way to affect change.

But make no mistake, on a global scale, the US and all US industry are no longer trustworthy entities. And we no longer buy your narrative about the defenders of liberty, democracy, and freedom ... you're petty fascists who demand the world bends over for your security.

We don't give a damn about your security if it means giving up our rights. In fact, if it means giving up our rights, the world is increasingly saying "fuck your security".

So, boo hoo, people will stop buying your products. That's your problem.

Re:ABC Anywhere But China

[johanw]

If I have to choose I would prefer China spying on me than the US. China doesn't care wether I download movies and music, or if I want to smoke something else than tobacco. The US can have me extradicted and put me in jail for made up charges, China much, much less likely.

The NSA fallout here is astonishing

[Qbertino]

The NSA fallout here is astonishing. We're a Type A Agency with me as prime IT guy/consultant for everything and a half-assed Wordpress Pipeline for web projects. We don't do big things but we do quite a few as Agency Project spinnoffs and sideprojects. What strikes me is how many customers specifically ask for hosting on German soil, Google-free tracking and such - even for projects where it shouldn't matter that much. The point is, they don't want to make them selves vulnerable in case of a data-breach. Germany privacy laws are pissy like that.

Bottom line:
The negative press the US IT industry has gotten with NSA and such has a measurable impact - I myself am surprised.

Re:The NSA fallout here is astonishing

[TrimTabTim]

As another in Germany responsible for IT stuff, i can second the fact that we avoid US software, hardware and services at every chance.

Sorry US tech firms: your Industrial Military Complex has fucked you. Go fuck it back and recover your civic freedom while ending your contrived wars.

We might then start trusting you again, but until then, we're doing fine without US products. This oddly US idea that it is at the centre of the universe is delusional. Despite the best efforts of US foreign policy, we're still doing fine out here in the rest of the planet where the majority of humanity lives.

Re:ABC Anywhere But China

[bev_tech_rob]

If I have to choose I would prefer China spying on me than the US. China doesn't care wether I download movies and music, or if I want to smoke something else than tobacco. The US can have me extradicted and put me in jail for made up charges, China much, much less likely.

No, they may not care about you downloading movies or music, but bad-mouth the Chinese Premier or say something bad about the Chinese government and they can kick in your door at any time and make you disappear when they feel like it.

"Result of... Snowden's whistleblowing"?

[Thruen]

as a result of NSA spying and Snowden's whistleblowing

Also, FTA:

The actual losses "will likely far exceed $35 billion," according to the ITIF report, because the entire American tech industry has performed worse than expected as a result of the Snowden leaks.

Serious question. Does the leak actually count as part of the cause? I know if everything were still under wraps the spying might not have cost tech companies anything in lost sales, but it seems unfair to suggest that Snowden is partly responsible for the consequences of what he revealed simply because the consequences MIGHT have been avoided or at least delayed if he hadn't revealed it. I might just be making something out of nothing, it just seems like a dick move to act like it's his fault the way some people make it out to be. Not that it's anything new, but it was almost excusable when this was fresh and people still didn't fully understand the situation, now we've all had enough time to take it in and figure out who the real bad guys are.

Re:"Result of... Snowden's whistleblowing"?

[serviscope_minor]

Does the leak actually count as part of the cause?

That depends. Do you blame the police for reducing the GDP when the bust some large drugs operation?

My take is no. They were doing bad stuff and got caught red handed. The fault lies entirely with those doing bad stuff not with those who caught them at it.

Re:"Result of... Snowden's whistleblowing"?

[meta-monkey]

Depends on the words you use and the context. "Caused" can be free of value judgment. "Responsible" generally implies taking ownership of consequences. "Blame" usually implies culpability for negative consequences.

If you want to talk about assigning blame, we could look at it like a criminal case, from a common law standpoint. It's not a criminal case, as it's not (currently) a crime to cause corporations to lose profits (although I'm sure that day is coming). But, common law is a reasonable structure by which to assign blame, perhaps? I don't know much about civil law, but I read a lot about criminal law, so I'll use those terms.

I would say that yes, Snowden's revelations were "cause in fact" for the harm to profits. If he had not acted, the profits would not have been lost, regardless of the fact that he didn't create the spying situation in the first place. Someone else may have acted later, sure, but that's immaterial. If he didn't act, profits would not have been lost. Now if you look at "proximate cause," how likely it would have been that his action of revealing the spying would have caused the loss in profits, I'd say "moderately."

But that's the "actus rea" part. How about culpability? What did he intend? He intended to reveal spying, with the intention that this revelation would end the spying. If the spying ended, there would be no loss of profits. If the government had instead acted swiftly and said "whoa, this is bullshit, knock that off!" business might see that as a positive sign, even, that while yes, no one can 100% prevent bad actors, it's reassuring that bad action is corrected when discovered. Profits could have even gone up, with businesses taking faith the US government will act in their interests. Instead the government compounded the bad actions.

So I'd say that puts the culpability for the lost profits on the government, and not on Snowden. He didn't intend that profits be lost, and profits would not have been lost if the government did not continue bad action. I don't see how you can hold Snowden responsible for the decisions the government made after the revelations. While "one should know" that the government wouldn't stop, you can't be held responsible for "negligently" expecting another party to not act wrongly. Even if you could, "justification" is a defense for almost all actions. "Yes I did something that would be wrong on the face of it but it was the right thing to do so there's no crime." It's up to others to determine if your justification is valid or bullshit, of course. Legally in this case that doesn't fly because the Espionage Act prevents one from using a justification defense (which is why anybody saying "Snowden should come back and stand trial and explain what he did and let a jury decide!" is wrong. He is legally not allowed to defend his actions as justified). But from a common law standpoint, he is arguing that he was justified in revealing the information because it would have been wrong not to.

So all around, "partially caused?" Yes. "Responsible for?" No.

That was a rambling bunch of nonsense, but there you go.

US Industry betrayed a relationship of trust

[FreeUser]

US Industry (Cisco et al) betrayed a basic position of trust. They did so when they helped facilitate the Great Firewall of China and assisted the Chinese government in imprisoning dissidents. Hell, they did when obese captains of industry were on TV signing accords with Chinese politicians days after the Tiananmen Square massacre.

However, facilitating the NSA's indiscriminate violation of everybody's privacy worldwide was a step too far for just about everyone, and now they are getting the smackdown they so richly deserve after decades of betraying our most basic, sacred constitutional principles.

In short, fuck every tech company who cooperated with the NSA. You haven't even begun to get what you deserve.

Slight edit for mainstream consumption

[overshoot]

a new report says losses by U.S. tech companies as a result of NSA spying and Snowden's whistleblowing "will likely far exceed" $35 billion.

Italicized text to be deleted for use in mainstream news reports.

Re:ABC Anywhere But China

[overshoot]

Key difference: the Chinese don't, generally speaking, have the power to kick in my door here in the USA (or for that matter in most places outside of China). The USA has, on the other hand, demonstrated both the ability and willingness to vanish people to "black sites" without any regard for what most people would recognize as due process.

Re:ABC Anywhere But China

[silas_moeckel]

They can do that in china not so much the rest of the world. So for most there is little fear from the Chinese government. Primary issue would be industrial spying.

Re:Profits?

[Feral Nerd]

I haven't seen any estimates on the benefits/profits to US (tech) companies from the industrial espionage part of the NSA spying published anywhere? Would anyone have a number or a link to a source?

Just trying to get some perspective here.

There was a report issued by the European Parliament some years ago about how the NSA used the Echelon system on behalf of US corporations to spy on their competitors. That report cited somel successful NSA industrial espionage operations but it is a bit dated now. Back then the conclusion was that any company that did not switch all of its communications to encrypted tech and didn't hire security consultants was basically asking the NSA to hand its trade secrets to American competitors (and I'm sure the same applies to US companies vis a vis Russian/Chinese/European competitors). Of course very few people listened back then. I'll be disappointed if the NSA hasn't taken their industrial espionage operation to the next level since then. I keep hoping the the European Parliament will issue an updated second edition of this report.

And not a single lawsuit was filed.

[tekrat]

If you're a person and you download a song, the FBI breaks down your door, confiscates your computer, and the prosecutor will haunt you until you commit suicide because he's talking millions in fines and decades of prison.....

But the NSA can cause $35 Billion in damage making copies of everyone's data (including songs); and not a peep from anyone.

You'd think a company hard-hit, yet with deep pockets (Oracle?); and an ego-manical CEO, would bring a lawsuit against the NSA for the damages.

But no. Apparently when you're the 800-pound gorilla, you can basically ignore the rule of law. The NSA could be shooting citizens in the head live on national TV and nobody would do anything.

Pro NSA article

[EmperorOfCanada]

This article doesn't argue for curtailing the NSA to benefit US businesses but in promoting these crazy trade agreements to make it illegal for other countries to avoid the NSA. The idea being that if people can't just avoid US companies to avoid the NSA then these other countries will have no competitive advantage.

I generally hated the proposed trade agreements but now I despise them.

Plus I am seeing highly promoted links to this article all over the web. I saw multiple attempts to get this on reddit when finally their army of shill voters managed to get it to the front page.