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China's Stock Crash: $3.5 Trillion Wiped Out, $2.6 Trillion Frozen

An anonymous reader writes: The stock market crisis going on in China is notable for the huge numbers involved. $3.5 trillion ($3,500,000,000,000) in value has been wiped out by falling prices, and over a thousand companies have forced a pause in trading. The combined value of all of these companies exceeds $2.6 trillion, and it represents about 40% of the total market capitalization. This follows attempts by the exchanges and the government to instill confidence in trading once more, but investors are still wary. The NY Times has a detailed explanation of how the market got into trouble, and why it's not likely to fix itself overnight: "Put all these pieces together, and here's what we have: a rise in Chinese share prices in the last year that seemed to be driven more by investor psychology than by anything fundamental. It is hard to see how the prices as of a month ago were justified, and easy to see why the sell-off of the last month would occur. That, in turn, implies that Chinese officials are fighting an uphill battle in their policy moves to try to stop the correction, and helps explain why their policy actions have had little effect so far."

6 of 364 comments (clear)

  1. Most stock markets ... by gstoddart · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Put all these pieces together, and here's what we have: a rise in Chinese share prices in the last year that seemed to be driven more by investor psychology than by anything fundamental

    Lately this seems to be how stock markets work.

    It has nothing to do with actual value, just the psychotic glee of investors and speculators who envision doubling their money every six months.

    The stock market has become separated from reality, with the people running the giant pyramid scheme feeling entitled to skim off the top with high-frequency trading.

    In the long term, the assumptions used in the stock market seem to be irrational, unsustainable, and pretty much impossible. And corporations are often overvalued based on valuations which is more than the company will ever earn in the next few centuries.

    Stock markets are going to fuck up our economies more than they seem to be helping. Because they stopped having anything to do with fundamentals and sane valuations a VERY long time ago.

    The stock market is a reflection of mass delusion and wishful thinking.

    --
    Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    1. Re:Most stock markets ... by gstoddart · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sorry, that's false. The stock market (rather accurately) reflects the earnings and intrinsic values of the underlying companies

      Wow, speaking of delusion and wishful thinking.

      Sorry, but I think you're pretty much full of shit. The market has become very separated from intrinsic values.

      It's what speculators and morons think the company will be worth in the future. Just look at any company going IPO ... it's massively overvalued, unrelated to any actual valuation ... it's priced on the manic glee of people knowing they'll sell the stock for way more than they paid, get the heck out, and leave some other idiot holding the bag.

      So much of the stock market these days is a complete fiction. Some of it is real, yes, but absolutely scary amounts of it are underwritten with bullshit, lies, and false optimism.

      And, in many cases, bullshit ratings by companies paid to give bullshit ratings.

      The financial meltdown in 2008 was caused by companies selling junk debt which had been carefully packaged to appear as if it actually had value .. which was done with the cooperation of the ratings agencies who basically lied to get their cut.

      Wall Street is a fucking Ponzi scheme, not some objective valuation. It's a business run by crooks to take the money from the rubes and move it around, ensuring they can skim off the top each time.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
  2. Fear by Etherwalk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It shot up 150% fro mid-2014 and then corrected way down so that now it's only up about 75%.

    Up about 75% in a year is doing fucking awesome. It's just that the big drop from the ridiculous 150% valuation will let some people sell fear and hurt the economy a bit in the short term.

    Remember the endowment effect--people who made money during the 150% rise are now going to be complaining about how much they've *lost* even though they're still up.

  3. valuation vs value by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 5, Insightful

    $3.5 trillion ($3,500,000,000,000) in value has been wiped out by falling prices

    No value has been wiped out. What has been wiped out is valuation. There's a big difference.

  4. Re:A long time coming... by Mashiki · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yeah, it'll make junk from Wal-Mart suddenly expensive. I can't say I'm upset about that.

    And there's the guy who doesn't have any idea what happens when the poor and middle class that would be directly impacted in more than one country. Suddenly it costs more for things in the US, Canada, Europe and Asia. Suddenly, everyone but the rich and ultra rich are now struggling, and no longer buying items but rather scraping by after paying for basic necessities. Well tell me what happens when growth in the economy comes to a screeching halt because people aren't buying anything?

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
  5. Re:A long time coming... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The growth has halted because nobody is buying anything because nobody in those countries have jobs any more.

    So every time we give corporations tax breaks, and then watch them waltz the jobs offshore, what we're doing is transferring money from the economy to the shareholders.

    It's the lie of globalization being good for anything but corporate profits which is killing our economies. Basically it transfers the value of our jobs to the corporations.

    Kill a CEO, feed a banker to the bears, and throw the lobbyists to the alligators. They're the ones fucking up the economy.

    As long as we stay on this suicidal path of assuming that sucking up to corporations and the wealthy is good for everybody else this will continue.

    The biggest lie perpetuated on mankind is modern economics and free trade. It's really just the corporations and the wealthy ripping us all off.