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F-35 Might Be Outperformed By Fourth-Generation Fighters

savuporo writes: Defensetech.org posted a story relaying a report from National Security Network titled "Thunder without Lightning: The High Costs and Limited Benefits of the F-35 Program". According to the story, F-35 is outperformed or showing only slight advantages in simulations and limited real-life tests by decades old 4th-generation fighters like F-16 and F18, but also MiG-29 Fulcrum and Su-27 Flanker, that are of course made by Russia and latter also produced in China. The story also refers back to earlier report last month of F-35 performing poorly in dogfights. "In one simulation subcontracted by the RAND Corporation, the F-35 incurred a loss exchange ratio of 2.4–1 against Chinese Su-35s. That is, more than two F-35s were lost for each Su-35 shot down."

16 of 732 comments (clear)

  1. And all they wanted was a faster horse by CxDoo · · Score: 5, Informative

    Why is dogfight a parameter in assessing 5th generation plane?
    It's like saying my car sucks because I can't use a crank to start the engine like the old cars could.

    --
    "Blah blah blah." - [citation needed]
    1. Re:And all they wanted was a faster horse by tsotha · · Score: 5, Informative

      That may be, but this is specifically a fighter plane. A plane designed to dogfight. That is the metric upon which it is being judged here.

      Not really, no. That would be the F-22. The F-35 is a multirole fighter - if history is any guide its primarily use will be for bombing.

  2. Re:I dern't believe it! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Actually they do. It was called the F-22. It was killed in favor of the (supposedly cheaper and as effective) F-35.

    Of course the problem with both jets is that they're way too expensive compared to earlier jets the US already has. Plus the F-22 only works in clear, cloudless skies (rain ablates the stealth paint) and only if you never cross the International Date Line.

    So while there was a 5th generation jet that could take on 4th generation jets, it was killed due to be an overpriced boondoggle. Its replacement is a new overpriced boondoggle that doesn't even manage to fill the role it was supposed to.

    My personal favorite F-35 issue is that the F-35B model can't fly in areas where it might be struck by lightning, because that could cause the fuel tanks to explode.

  3. Probably By Design by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    I'm not sure the Joint Strike Fighter is designed for dog fights in the first place. I think they're conceived to engage enemy aircraft beyond visible range and function more as a networked fighter platform. In a lecture on flying the F-35, David Berke made the point that to be tactically successful in an F-35 he had to change his approach to combat flying versus his previous experience flying Hornets. He described the learning curve as: 1 month loving it because it was new, followed by 6 months hating it because he felt like he didn't know what he was doing anymore, followed by another 6 months during which he got the hang of the new approach.

    There's also talk that the F-35 could be getting a new engine in the 2020s which will improve its performance.

  4. It is also a poor replacement for Thunderbolt II by blind+biker · · Score: 3, Informative

    The F-35 may have impressive tech, stealth, electronics and advanced missiles, but the Thunderbolt II is literally a flying tank that is able to take a lot of abuse and still keep flying. It also delivers an incredible amount of damage and its operating history is stellar. It's a great morale booster for ground troops, but the US air force wants to get rid of it.

    --
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  5. Re:I dern't believe it! by tsotha · · Score: 4, Informative

    The F-22 wasn't "killed". They just decided not to make as many as they originally intended. That happens with every big ticket military program - they always pad the numbers so they can divide out the development costs over more units to make it look cheaper than it really is.

  6. Re:I dern't believe it! by Karmashock · · Score: 4, Informative

    The F35 is a merely a demonstration of the fallacy that combining everything into a single platform or department reduces costs or makes things more efficient.

    Often things work better broken up with different things specializing in different things.

    A tank, that is also an artillery piece, that is also a troop carrier, that is also a scout, that is also... its going to be shitty at everything and very expensive.

    What killed the F35 was the inclusion of two very difficult features.

    Stealth and VTOL. both of these things make a plane slower, less maneuverable in dog fights, and able to carry less weaponry.

    The F35 should have been about five or six different airplanes.

    First, the value of the stealth appears to be debatable. If the F15 eagle can see the F35 and engage it then where is the stealth? The need for that feature in a work horse is debatable in and of itself.

    Second, the only people that care about VTOL are the marines and the british navy.

    So those are two separate planes. Have a stealth plane for stealth stuff. Have a VTOL workhorse for the marines and the brits. I think Boeing was pitching one as a replacement to the harrier.

    We go on from there. But the notion that you save money by having one plane is false. Look at the old Vietnam era planes. They are relatively cheap to maintain, cheap to replace if we want to do that, still very effective, and each one only suffers attrition when it is employed in what it does best. Which means the plane suffers LESS attrition than a generalized plane because a specialized plane is designed to take certain threats. A warthog is going to take more punishment than an F35 before being dropped by ground fire.

    So yeah... split the plane up. Realize what we need version of... because a lot of our old hardware is actually fine. And then do the thing we need a new version of.

    The big thing of US military doctrine is getting air superiority. We get that, its game over. Our old heavy ground support planes can come in and just pound the shit out of the ground targets with impunity. And while that's happening our armor rolls in if required... not confronting enemy armor, but largely disorganized ground troops.

    The focus should be on getting air superiority. That's where you need the high tech hardware. After that... the enemy is meat.

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  7. Re:To be fair by swb · · Score: 3, Informative

    And am I the only one who feels like we are taking pages from the playbook of the Axis in WWII and making the same dumb moves?

    And just to have the nation that defeated you take all your research and develop your ideas into practical implementations!

    The Germans larger problem wasn't their innovation, but when most of their ideas came to fruition they were so out of resources and so pressured by Allied bombing that they couldn't further refine them. You can play what-if all day, but what if the Germans had five more years of time to refine many of their (then) far-out ideas?

    We could have been fighting an army with accurate and effective ballistic missiles, jet fighters, an infantry armed with select-fire assault rifles and already highly effective (and probably further refined) man-portable squad automatic weapon (the MG-42).

  8. Re:I dern't believe it! by Karmashock · · Score: 2, Informative

    ... You think tanks are bad at dealing with dug in infantry?

    Think you back to WW1 where the tank was born, dear one. No my sweet summer child, what do you know of tanks? Nothing.

    Tanks EAT infantry. What do you think the Germans were doing to the Russians in WW2? Yes... The Russians had tanks eventually... but how many infantry charges into the teeth of the armor did it take for the Russians to learn to love armor themselves?

    I'll leave you with this:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    or if you prefer:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    And if you thinks those days are over:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    You're not arguing against me. I am repeating what US military doctrine is in these matters.

    First you obtain air superiority. The US does not like to advance without it.

    Then you use that to bring in heavy air group support. This is used to bomb or otherwise destroy fortified targets as well as tanks. The real tank killer in the US arsenal is the A10 Warthog and similar technologies like this:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    Or if you prefer:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    This air power will strike deep destroying enemy supply, vehicles, fortifications, command and control, etc.

    Into this chaos US ground forces deploy on land, sea, and dropped deep in enemy territory by air. The idea is to give the enemy no safe place to organize so they are in all places being routed at once.

    This softens enemy resistance for heavy US ground forces to advance largely unopposed by anything formidable.

    Cities are a problem mostly because we don't like to kill the civilian population wholesale. Though as WW2 makes clear, it is an option and if we take that option the cities are no barrier at all. Their defense is a moral and political one... not a military one. The defense is the human shield of the civilian population.

    As to infantry attacking tanks... that assumes you get near enough to the infantry. man portable anti tank weaponry is much shorter range than the main gun of a mainline battle tank. if the tank holds back to let infantry move forward or shells the target from a distance there isn't anything the defending infantry can do.

    As to many tools for many jobs. There we agree. However an infantry force with anti tank rockets does not enjoy an advantage against an armored column. Yes the infantry can hide in trenches or spring out of weird places to fire rockets. But the tank can blow those hiding places up from a distance, stay out of range, and keep in mind that tanks carry heavy anti infantry weapons. Multiple heavy machine guns in addition to the big gun that will obliterate pretty much whatever they're hiding behind.

    Sorry if this sounds combative... its my way. My ire is always directed at the words and the argument... not the person speaking them. :)

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  9. Re: Can the enemy actually shoot down the F35? by O('_')O_Bush · · Score: 4, Informative

    No F35 variant is VTOL. One variant is STOVL, but they scrapped the VTOL idea early on because the engineering costs were prohibitive.

    --
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  10. Re:Might be? by Runaway1956 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Far fetched claim, you say? Have you read any news, or watched any videos of the air shows around the world? Gen5 and Gen6 aircraft are flying, today. We can't get our shitty Gen5 into service, because it's a non-flying piece of shit. Pilots used to claim that they could fly a brick, if they had enough power. But, I never heard a pilot claim that he could fly a fuckiing turd - and that's the F-35, a huge god-damned turd.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    Dang - look at this - I'm way behind, myself. INDIA is a co-developer of a Gen5 fighter!
    http://www.defensenews.com/sto...

    Even Pakistan seems to be in on the act
    http://breakingdefense.com/201...

    This list is interesting, in that there are ten contenders, some of which only offer photos of static model planes.
    http://www.wonderslist.com/fif...
    Note that the Chinese offering is photographed while landing on an AIRCRAFT CARRIER - something the F-35 doesn't seem capable of doing yet.

    http://english.chinamil.com.cn...

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
  11. US airpower by sjbe · · Score: 4, Informative

    And that's the point that's being missed in this discussion, the fact that the US hasn't really gone up against anyone in head-to-head air combat since the Vietnam War

    You mean except for the first Gulf War? While it was a huge mismatch the Iraqi air force had plenty of Mig-29, Mig-25, Mig-23 and Mirage F1 fighters which were reasonably modern at the time of the conflict. 36 Iraqi aircraft were shot down in aerial combat. That counts as going head to head even if the outcome was decidedly lopsided.

    Honestly there are only a handful of countries that really could go head to head with US airpower and have a prayer of not getting massacred and even then it would really only be over their home country or close to it. The US has more planes, (generally) better planes and pilots as well trained as any in the world PLUS better infrastructure like AWACS and refueling, not to mention exactly half the worlds supply of aircraft carriers.

  12. Re:I dern't believe it! by fnj · · Score: 3, Informative

    The F-22 has all the same problems unfortunately and a totally misguided idea that stealth will solve everything.

    Twit. Stealth is the LEAST of the advantages of the F-22. Stealth is mostly to impress stupid people in headlines.

    Speed: F-22 Mach 2.25, F-35 (A, the better one) Mach 1.6
    Thrust/weight: 1.08, 0.97
    Range: 1600 nmi, 1200 nmi
    Gun: 6000 rpm with 480 rounds, 3000 rpm with 180 rounds

    We fielded 187 F-22s for a total of $67 billion; so far we've built 115 F-35s for $320 billion[1]

    The F-35 isn't even as fast as the F-104 was in 1958, or the superb F-4 Phantom was in 1960 - and the latter was hard-pressed to keep a 1:1 kill ratio against North Vietnamese interceptors.

    But hell, air combat is all about training anyway. We learned in Vietnam when you don't teach and drill (let alone equip) for dogfighting, you embarrass yourself even with excellent airframes. Since then, notably in the Gulf War and Iraq War, we made minced meat out of enemies because our training has been completely out of the ballpark superb. The way defense has gone to pot, and with operations costs through the roof, that's not going to be sustainable.

    [1] $320 billion is the actual cost to date for development + procurement. Higher figures are inane, including "operations and sustainment" and other categories, which while they definitely matter, have nothing to do with build cost.

  13. Re:Can the enemy actually shoot down the F35? by danbob999 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Nonsense. The US spends over $600 billions/year on military. China spends only 216 and Russia 84. The US could still have the most powerful military on earth while cutting the budget by half. France and the UK both have a great military with only 60 billions/year. Last I checked they weren't using slingshots.

  14. Re: Can the enemy actually shoot down the F35? by wjsteele · · Score: 4, Informative

    No F35 variant is VTOL.

    Well... except for the STOVL variant. It's not normally used, but it is most definitely capable of VTOL.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    Bill

    --
    It's my Sig and you can't have it. Mine! All Mine!
  15. Re:Can the enemy actually shoot down the F35? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Um, you realize that the USAF intentionally equips its stealth aircraft with devices that will make them visible to radar when they perform in airshows and participate in international war games, right? This is not only done for safety reasons, but also to make sure that foreign nations can't get a look at the true radar signature of the aircraft.

    That's not to say that American stealth aircraft can't be tracked by radar, because they can. But normally they're not tracked well enough for a weapons release quality lock, or they don't detect them until they're close enough to be killed first.