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Citi Report: Slowing Global Warming Could Save Tens of Trillions of Dollars

Layzej writes with news carried by The Guardian about a report published by the Global Perspectives & Solutions division of Citibank (America's third-largest bank) examining the costs and benefits of a low-carbon future. The report examined two hypothetical futures: one "business as usual," and the other (the "Action" scenario) which includes an aggressive move to reduce energy use and carbon emission. From the article: "One of the most interesting findings in the report is that the investment costs for the two scenarios are almost identical. In fact, because of savings due to reduced fuel costs and increased energy efficiency, the Action scenario is actually a bit cheaper than the Inaction scenario. Coupled with the fact the total spend is similar under both action and inaction, yet the potential liabilities of inaction are enormous, it is hard to argue against a path of action." But there will be winners and losers, says the report: "The biggest loser stands to be the coal industry, where we estimate cumulative spend under our Action scenario could be $11.6 trillion less than in our Inaction scenario over the next quarter century, with renewables, wind and nuclear (as well as energy efficiency) the main beneficiaries."

19 of 248 comments (clear)

  1. Re:"Action" cheaper than "Inaction" is a surprise? by sjames · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes, I'm sure there's no chance the study of financial impact could be true given that it was written by a bunch of tree hugging granola munchers like Citibank. Wait, WHAT?

  2. Re:Nukes by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you'd stop calling them "nukes", it would help. That word is usually associated with bombing and deaths. And anyone who's pro-environment and anti-nuclear doesn't make any sense. Just because some nuclear power plants are badly designed and/or badly run doesn't mean the concept itself is flawed.

  3. Citibank by XXongo · · Score: 5, Informative

    Yes, what is interesting about this is who wrote it-- this is one of the first detailed analyses of the methods and costs of dealing with global warming that I've seen that is not from an advocacy group, and is written by people who actually have a clue about real world economics.

    1. Re:Citibank by Layzej · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, what is interesting about this is who wrote it-- this is one of the first detailed analyses of the methods and costs of dealing with global warming that I've seen that is not from an advocacy group, and is written by people who actually have a clue about real world economics.

      Here is a survey of economists who also generally do not have a stake in a transition to the new energy economy: There is a strong consensus among the top economic experts that, in fact, climate change represents a real danger to important sectors of the U.S. and global economies. Moreover, most believe that the significant benefits from curbing greenhouse gas emissions would justify the costs of action. - http://resources.ofdan.ca/docs...

    2. Re:Citibank by amicusNYCL · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Look at Citi's motivation. They are trying to plan their investments for the future. They have come to the conclusion that investing in renewables, wind, nuclear, energy efficiency, etc is both a better investment and also avoids the potential major consequences of continuing to invest in coal. Where do you find the flaw in their research?

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  4. Re:Nukes by NatasRevol · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As opposed to all the radiation being released every day by coal plants?

    --
    There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
  5. Nukes are safer than coal. by Layzej · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Compare deaths from nukes vs deaths from coal. There is no comparison. For each person killed by nuclear power generation, 4,000 die from coal. Nuclear is by far the safer option - http://www.the9billion.com/201...

    1. Re:Nukes are safer than coal. by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Wasteland? How about thriving natural areas.

      There are plenty of ways to cause mass destruction. Chemicals are far more scary. (look up Bhopal). Fear can't drive us to be impractical and ignore proven solutions in hopes of a miracle breakthrough.

    2. Re:Nukes are safer than coal. by Dixie_Flatline · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Oh, you mean versus all that pristine land that coal mines leave behind? Or if you step slightly to the side and consider the tar sands, the utterly blighted landscape left by that mining operation. The tailings ponds leak into the ground water, poisoning everything. Both Chernobyl and Fukushima have things living in their exclusion zones. There aren't any exclusion zones for the tar sands, and nothing can live there. If birds land in the tailings ponds--and they do--they pretty much immediately die.

      The tar sands are considered a SAFE operation, one that's operating within the bounds of the law. This is what happens when there are NO accidents. With operations like these, who needs meltdowns?

    3. Re:Nukes are safer than coal. by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The areas you are talking about are very small patches, and there is no where that has zero microbial life. True, there are places that are impacted very close to the plant, but far from the 'thousands of acres'.

      You can consider human life as an element, or you can ignore that element if you want. There are many factors, cost, practicality, certainty, reliability, etc. If you consider human health overall, nuclear power has been one of the most advantageous sources of energy ever devices, second probably to hydro. If you consider CO2 contribution/offset, then it is right on top as well.

    4. Re:Nukes are safer than coal. by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The same explosion of wildlife was seen in Korea's DMZ, a strip of land that cuts the peninsula in half and is chock full of landmines. It appears that the mere presence of urbanised humans is more detrimental to wildlife than a nuclear disaster. As a science based greenie I have to tentatively conclude that nuclear disasters are a very effective way to create large wilderness areas.

      Disclaimer: I would welcome a properly managed nuke replacing the local coal plant (Hazelwood - said to be the dirtiest coal plant in the world), I say "well managed and modern" because even with the spectacular benefits nuclear disasters have to the natural environment, I'm still NOT ok with a nuclear disaster in MY backyard. ;)

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  6. Re:I'm sure they are right.... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Informative

    In the short term, however, I am fairly confident that successfully slowing global warming will cost a pretty tidy penny itself

    This has not been true so far. The biggest reductions in CO2 have come from:
    1. Gas produced from hydraulic fracturing, replacing coal
    2. Efficiency improvements, such as LED lighting, variable speed DC motors, etc.
    These have SAVED money.

    Of course, massive government subsidies for solar power and electric vehicles have cost a lot, but those haven't actually contributed much to CO2 reductions.

  7. Re:Nukes by jklovanc · · Score: 5, Informative

    That seems like a long list until you look at what is on that list. You are placing Atucha in the same category with Fukushima. At Atucha one worker was exposed above the annual limit. That is very different than a meltdown. Of that list there have been 3 releases of radioactivity. Three Mile Island of those was 35 years ago. Chernobyl was built 35 years ago. Technology changes and gets better over time.

  8. Re:"Action" cheaper than "Inaction" is a surprise? by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A bank? First you have to ask yourself, "Why is a bank writing a paper on global warming?" The answer is, of course, to make money.

    Do you remember after Obama got elected, everyone was talking about "Carbon Credits" and "carbon trading?" New York bankers were giddy with delight at the prospect of a new market that they could tap into. The mayor wrote editorials saying how great it would be for the city, because of all the extra tax revenue.

    Never trust a banker. You'll know they're serious about AGW when they buy farmland in Alaska and install coal burners in all their branches.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  9. Re:I should have thought of that by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Surely you can trust a BANK. And of all the banks, Citibank is surely the most trustworthy. /SARCASM

    So let's see..we'll make a list of the people who cannot be trusted when it comes to climate change:

    1. Climate scientists
    2. NASA
    3. The Insurance Industry, which is already figuring climate change into their actuarial tables
    4. The energy industry, which is already using climate change models in their strategic planning
    5. The military, which is already using climate change models in their strategic planning
    6. The financial industry

    I guess all that's left for you to trust is Alex Jones, Breitbart, Fox News and Jesus. Good luck with that.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  10. Switch from coal to nuclear to reduce radiatiion by Layzej · · Score: 4, Informative

    If you are worried about the radiation then you have another good reason to switch from coal to nuclear. "the fly ash emitted by a power plant—a by-product from burning coal for electricity—carries into the surrounding environment 100 times more radiation than a nuclear power plant producing the same amount of energy." - http://www.scientificamerican....

    And then you need to consider the turnover time of CO2 in the atmosphere is measured in centuries, not years. - http://www.ipcc.ch/publication...

  11. Re:"Action" cheaper than "Inaction" is a surprise? by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When banks do financial analysis for clients, they give the report to their clients. They don't give the report to a newspaper.
    When they give reports to newspapers, it's to influence public opinion (which is the same reason every company gives reports to newspapers, it's not only banks who are doing that).

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  12. Re:I should have thought of that by Layzej · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I guess all that's left for you to trust is Alex Jones, Breitbart, Fox News and Jesus. Good luck with that.

    You've placed Jesus on the wrong list. He's on side with the economists/scientists/etc (so sayeth the pope): http://www.christianpost.com/n...

  13. Re:Nukes by Coren22 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Sounds good to me. It is along the lines of including the suicides when talking about gun violence.

    --
    APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?