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Technology's Role In a Climate Solution (thebulletin.org)

Lasrick writes: If the world is to avoid severe, widespread, and irreversible impacts (PDF), carbon emissions must decrease quickly. Achieving such cuts, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, depends in part on the availability of "key technologies." But arguments abound against faith in technological solutions to the climate problem. Electricity grids may be ill equipped to accommodate renewable energy produced on a massive scale. Many technological innovations touted in the past have failed to achieve practical success. Even successful technologies will do little good if they mature too late to help avert climate disaster. In this debate in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, experts from India, the United States, and Bangladesh address the following questions: To what extent can the world depend on technological innovation to address climate change? And what promising technologies—in generating, storing, and saving energy, and in storing greenhouse gases or removing them from the atmosphere—show most potential to help the world come to terms with global warming?

24 of 173 comments (clear)

  1. No China? Well, then, enjoy your BS session. by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 2, Insightful

    >> Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, experts from India, the United States, and Bangladesh

    No China? Well, then, enjoy your BS session.

  2. A quote from the article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Here is a quote direct from the "article":

    "The United States and Canada must reduce their energy consumption by about 90 percent; Europe, Australasia, and Japan must do so by about 75 percent. Cities must shrink drastically and energy differentials between urban and rural areas must disappear. Localism must be prioritized and governance decentralized. Uniform risk and emissions standards must be implemented for everyone."

    Is it any wonder no one sane takes you global warming nuts seriously at this point?

    1. Re:A quote from the article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Climate change" has become it's own religion and a dangerous one that seeks to control people that do not agree.

      I agree with you that the statement you posted from the article is asinine and unachievable. One thing not really mentioned by mainstream media is this: there are several leading "climate change" scientists who advocate somewhat quietly for population control, which itself leads to manner of evils. Really take a look at China and their one baby rule. Women there are literally been dragged to abortion clinics at 6 months pregnant. This is not a one-off event; this happens regularly and is easy to verify. This mentality leads to eugenics and yet other evils.

      As a rule I distrust scientists unless they have been dead for some time. Why? Because if they are dead, people have had time to sort through all of their writings, beliefs, and theories. They are either fully agreed with or fully debunked. I want to know that a given voice not only started well, but ended well. I like proof that is borne out over a long time. Evidence from weather satellites has shown no new warming for almost 18 years. Climate change is about control, taxation, and business interests. Look who is pushing the agenda and follow the money.

    2. Re:A quote from the article by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      Yeah, that's the problem with AGW.....to actually do something substantial (get CO2 down to 350 ppm, for example) we need to take drastic measures.

      Think about the changes we would need to make to society in order to begin removing CO2 from the atmosphere. Building a few solar plants (or even putting solar panels on everyone's roof) is not enough.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    3. Re:A quote from the article by Jawnn · · Score: 2

      So... because it is something you don't want to hear, it's "insane". Got anything else, you know, like an even half-assed reasoned argument? No? Didn't think so.

    4. Re:A quote from the article by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "The United States and Canada must reduce their energy consumption by about 90 percent"

      No, we need to reduce our carbon emissions by that much.

    5. Re:A quote from the article by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

      Evidence from weather satellites has shown no new warming for almost 18 years.

      Here are some fun graphs: http://www.columbia.edu/~mhs11...

      Looks like a fairly linear increase when I hold a straight-edge up to the screen starting around 1970. No new surprises I guess?

      Aside from all that though, a climate change religion doesn't sound so bad. Give a little money to the "church" and in return you get an insurance policy. The population is getting close to the estimated carrying capacity of the Earth. Once we get there, any major crop die-off would lead to starvation problems. Why should coffee drinkers spend money on bombing tea drinkers when we could instead invest that money to ensure that both coffee and tea keep growing?

      Set your plot of linear warming alongside global CO2 concentrations. CO2 concentrations have also been rising linearly that entire time. If even the more moderate projections of warming are true, warming should be accelerating as CO2 increases. The fact it is not is suggestion/evidence that our climate sensitivity to CO2 may not be as high as feared.

  3. Use Super Computer to Remove the "adjustments" by bhlowe · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Use a super sophisticated algorithm to remove the "adjustments" that are introduced into satellite surface temperature datasets that artificially show exaggerated global warming..

    1. Re:Use Super Computer to Remove the "adjustments" by prof_robinson · · Score: 2, Informative

      the adjustments did not "reduce the amount of warming". Woods Hole was caught having manipulated the datasets to move urban heat centers out into the countryside. that's the trouble with publishing your raw data these days along with your results...people may try to duplicate them. Doh! (There was a time when that used to be called science.)

  4. Green Movement opposition to Nuclear by sinij · · Score: 3, Insightful

    All of this is surprisingly achievable by expanding electrical grid and moving to all-nuclear energy generation. Unfortunately, opposition from the green movement to nuclear doomed us to pursuit of ineffective solar and wind solutions.

    1. Re:Green Movement opposition to Nuclear by tomhath · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But that wouldn't involve massive wealth transfer from Western countries to Third World countries, which seems to be the main goal of this organization.

    2. Re:Green Movement opposition to Nuclear by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2

      Wind and solar are far from ineffective. They're growing exponentially, year on year, and costs are coming down rapidly, they're already far below nuclear power's costs in many places.

      Nuclear... isn't effective. It's expensive, inflexible, and *dangerous* technology.

      Sure, few people usually die from nuclear accidents like meltdowns... but only because people leave, in large numbers. Saying it's not dangerous is like saying fire isn't dangerous if you leave immediately, and don't let it burn you, and then you won't be hurt. Like, duh. And even then economic disruption is *immense*.

      The planning procedures for nuclear are long and drawn out- but for good reasons. Fukushima is what happens when they're not long enough. If they had done the leg work correctly, there wouldn't have been any meltdown. Meltdowns happen when people fuck up. Humans fucking up is not going stop any time soon. And Fukushima wasn't the worst case accident; it didn't dump fallout over Tokyo, that would have been enormously worse. Try to imagine.

      Organic flow batteries are coming out in 2017. They're looking to be seriously cheap storage (less than a penny average cost per kilowatt hour). If that works as well as it looks it will, nuclear power should be virtually dead, more agile, widely distributed, economically safer, renewables will eat its lunch.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    3. Re:Green Movement opposition to Nuclear by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2

      Brownouts aren't likely; but grids of all and any design do sometimes brown or black out.

      Up to about 20-30% wind/solar, brownouts are largely a non issue- the backup power already built into the network is enough to fill in the extra power.

      Going forward, as the existing generating plant wears out, much of the coal plant on many networks is being converted to gas, which has a lower carbon footprint, and is somewhat more flexible, the plant is otherwise mostly paid-off, and hence cheap. It's still wearing out, but it will run less because the wind and solar will fill in, but the grid will have to run on even gas less and less because of climate change.

      Past about 2017, brownouts are looking like they will gradually become non issues, because grid-level storage is looking like it will become ridiculously cheap, and because more and more solar and wind will be coming on line; they are both growing exponentially, and are likely to continue for the foreseeable future.

      I see no major role for nuclear power, and the amount of power generated from nuclear will reduce over time. This is a combination of its inherent relatively high cost, the fact that people don't trust it, its reliance on (mostly fresh) water, and the long lead times that new reactors require.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
  5. Virtual Reality by monkeyxpress · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Seriously, people just have a huge appetite for consuming junk. We've created a whole economic/social/political system predicated on consuming more and more junk. It keeps people under control as they slave away doing pointless stuff to get other pointless stuff. I don't see how you can break that system right now without risking massive social stability issues.

    1. Re:Virtual Reality by codeAlDente · · Score: 2

      Also that system is the envy of a lot of people in India and China, and they'll burn a lot of coal to achieve something similar.

      --
      He once inserted random mutations into his code, just so he could have the experience of debugging.
  6. Re:No China? Well, then, enjoy your BS session. by sycodon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They are building hundreds of nuclear power plants...will the world follow?

    The AGW crowd is like my ex; always complaining about a problem but always rejecting the solutions.

    Hint: Higher taxes and killing economies are not the solution.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  7. Re:No China? Well, then, enjoy your BS session. by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 2

    Actually, China is and has been taking action on climate change, and if you've ever "seen" the air in a major Chinese city, you understand why.

    It's a myth that anything the US does to offset climate change will be offset by some other countries, other countries have smart people who understand the problem, too.

    This is action on pollution, not climate change, as every industrializing nation eventually does. (And does so only after integrating the benefits of industrialization, smoke and all, and not before, and properly so, as polluted cities are better for your longevity than dirt floor existence, the precursor.)

    If you call it "climate change action", you get bonus brownie points.

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  8. Re:No China? Well, then, enjoy your BS session. by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They are building hundreds of nuclear power plants...will the world follow?

    They're also building coal plants just as fast as they can. They're just building plants, period. They don't give a shit what the outputs are like, as usual.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  9. Re:Hardly A Technical Problem by BillCable · · Score: 2

    There's not enough nuclear fuel to do that. We have enough uranium for 200 years at CURRENT consumption rates. If you build 10 times the current number of nuclear plants, you'll only have 20 years worth of fuel.

    http://www.scientificamerican....

    It would require other mystical technological advancements for all-nuclear to be a viable option.

  10. future generations by gillbates · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Future generations will marvel at the fact that we burned coal to illuminate empty highways at night. It will seem unconscionable that much of the power generated in the destruction of our environment allayed only the most trivial of concerns, if it served any useful purpose at all.

    --
    The society for a thought-free internet welcomes you.
  11. Re:Any solution is going to be worse than the prob by GameboyRMH · · Score: 2

    Climate change is going to be bad for the planet on average (especially food production) and the costs of adaptation would be worse than the costs of prevention. I encourage you to do your own research for a source, if you're interested in facts.

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  12. Reduce energy consumption by 90%? by nightfire-unique · · Score: 2

    Aside from being unachievable, we should be asking ourselves as a species: is it even a good idea to try?

    The amount of energy we "use" (ie. convert) today will register as noise relative to what we will be using in 1,000 years from now (should we survive). We've reached the age, as a species, where we need to be focusing on the long-term, as well as the short-term. If we're to survive past the next mass extinction event, we're going to have to keep the technology advancement train a'rollin. There is no going back, and there's no reason to go back.

    We should each strive to reduce our impact on the planet, our resources, and each other. We should build efficient machines, and use them efficiently. We should stop burning coal, gas, and oil, and generate our electricity through a blend of hydro, nuclear fission, solar, wind, and geothermal. These are all short-term achievable, and healthy for our civilization.

    But we should not be compromising our ability to convert enormous amounts of energy, nor the effort we put into developing this technology. For one day, we're gonna need it.

    --
    A government is a body of people notably ungoverned - AC
  13. Re:No China? Well, then, enjoy your BS session. by Ichijo · · Score: 2

    The AGW crowd is like my ex; always complaining about a problem but always rejecting the solutions.

    Also those who thinks roads are important for the economy but can't agree on how to fund them.

    Hint: Higher taxes and killing economies are not the solution.

    And that's why the USA's economy was dead between 1946 and 1964 when the top tax bracket was 91%.

    --
    Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
  14. To steal a line from a very wise person... by GrantRobertson · · Score: 2

    We are doomed because we are all cows.

    Say, "Moo," cows. Moooooo...

    We are ALL cows. The climate change deniers, stupidly repeating rhetoric and falacious logic. The ecologists, hoping beyond hope that regulations and social programs can save us. The technologists, egotistically believing their brainpower will find a fix powerful enough to overcome all the natural processes that are already in progress, and that fix will actually get implemented. The oligarchs, selfishly believing their manshions, safe rooms, private armies (which we euphemistically call police departments), and even their compounds in the southern hemisphere will protect them. ALL are cows, wandering blindly toward the slaughter. A slaughter of our own mutual creation.

    Because we, as a species, did not have the wherewithal to collectively say, "Fuck That Shit!" when those with a little bit more power and bigger sticks told us to fight others to get more stuff for ourselves, unknowingly giving even more power to the top stick-haver... Because we let someone convince us that we even needed or wanted that stuff in the first place... we have facilitated the social and technological machinery that has inexorably brought us to where we are now: in a bizzarre, collective mix of all four stages of death at the same time.

    But that death will come, regardless of what any of us want or believe or try. I hate to say it, but the only way out would be if 90% of the world population just died off. And we all know that isn't going to happen. So, the only thing left to do is to, as contentedly as we can muster, given the circumstances,...

    Say, "Moooooo."