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Physicists (String Theorists) and Philosophers Debate the Scientific Method

StartsWithABang writes: One of the most damning, albeit accurate, condemnations of String Theory that has been leveled at it is that it's untestable, non-empirical, and offers no concrete predictions or methods of falsification. Yet some have attempted to address this failing not by coming up with concrete predictions or falsifiable tests, but by redefining what is meant by theory confirmation. Many physicists and philosophers have jumped into this debate, and a recently completed workshop has produced no agreements, but lots of interesting perspectives being live blogged by a physicist. Also weighing in is a philosopher in three separate parts.

29 of 383 comments (clear)

  1. Trust the philosopher by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When it comes to the "scientific method", you may be surprised that it's more useful and illuminating to query the philosopher than the scientist.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:Trust the philosopher by Oligonicella · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Indeed, I would be incredibly surprised.

      If you can't show me how to test your hypo, it's parlor talk (philosophy).

    2. Re:Trust the philosopher by tnk1 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      A poor example. The Catholic Church was never in the business of exploration or investigation. It got involved in science as far as it did because it had some political and social implications. Not to mention that science and every other pursuit would be subordinated to the revelation of God.

      Of course, as other people pointed out, the scientific method, in the West, was in large part was pioneered by Catholic clerics. So, perhaps the answer to your question is that it took approximately 1,875 years for the Catholic Church to invent the light bulb. And 1,945 years to invent the Atomic Bomb.

      Or perhaps comparing a serious philosopher interested in science to the meddling of the Catholic hierarchy is silly. Religion may contain philosophy, but philosophy is not confined to religion.

      And you could certainly invent light bulbs even if you had an imperfect, even fallacious understanding of electricity. All you have to do is manage to replicate the rules allowing a light bulb to work, often through brute force observation and trial and error. Your backing theory doesn't have to be right if you blunder into the correct implementation.

      Anyway, science clearly has legitimacy because it does manage to produce things. That much is true.

      However, the investigation of science has gone far beyond what we could experiment on directly with the energies available to us. So, for that reason the string theorists and philosophers may have a point.

    3. Re: Trust the philosopher by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Thankfully the mathematicians and statisticians stepped in and made the philosophy robust. Sure, maybe you're a Bayesian and believe you can use Solomonoff Induction to judge purely theoretical hypotheses; good for you,but that's still strictly in the land of math and stats.

      Oy - that's not the point.

      The scientific method is exactly a philosophy. You gotta start somewhere. Intelligent design is a philosophy, so is creationism.

      The philosophy of the scientific method demands the possibility of falsification, that experiments can be performed in order to prove or disprove a theory - and please please don't interpret hypothesis or wild assed guess as theory. The philosopies of creationism annd ID do not.

      I do know the stringy guys have been bitching because their hypotheses are not testable, but if the debate to allow non-testable ideas into the philosophy of the scientific method, it will be a problem. That means that "God did it," is equally as valid as any proveable aspect of the universe we live in. We cannot prove God did or didn't, so in a falsifiable is optional philosophy, all bets are both on and off. Gravity might not exist - it might be the gentle hand of God on everyone's shoulders steadying us as we go through life. Prove that what I just wrote is wrong.

      Though I'll finally be able to force schools to teach the controversey between the Flying Spaghetti Monster, and Quicky, the Flying Skink lizard.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    4. Re:Trust the philosopher by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Really? My thought was that if we are going to listen to the philosopher on this we might as well ask the theologian as well.

      If the philosopher you ask is Roger Bacon (who advanced the scientific method), then you would definitely be also asking a theologian.

      I can't believe how bloody-minded some people are.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    5. Re: Trust the philosopher by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The most shameful part is how many philosophers never even made it to the first tier of science, much less mathematics or higher.

      Did you even bother to look at who the "philosophers" are at this conference?

      Go ahead -- look at the bios of the speakers. Visit their websites. Check their CVs and credentials.

      You'll find that many of the "philosophers" here hold a bachelor's and/or a master's degree in physics. Those who don't tend to have master's degrees or Ph.D.'s in some other area of science... generally in addition to a Ph.D. in philosophy of science.

      You can complain about the scientific ignorance of some philosophers. But those weren't the people at this conference.

  2. String Theorists Are Not Physicists by sexconker · · Score: 5, Funny

    String theorists are not physicists. They are mathturbators, at best.

    1. Re:String Theorists Are Not Physicists by phantomfive · · Score: 3

      We have a name for this already, going back a long time: Metaphysics.

      Of course, there is a place in the world for metaphysicists, but let's be honest: if something isn't testable, it isn't science.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:String Theorists Are Not Physicists by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I would also add "Dark Matter" and "Dark Energy" are the aether of the 21st century.

      Dark matter is a highly scientific and technical term that means "We don't know"

      Seriously.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    3. Re:String Theorists Are Not Physicists by careysub · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I would also add "Dark Matter" and "Dark Energy" are the aether of the 21st century.

      This is actually quite true, not sure why someone modded you "flaimbait". Must be someone that doesn't understand that subject matter.

      Dark Matter has never been directly observed, neither has Dark Energy. They are just suppositions that according to our current understanding, something must be there. This is in the same league as Aether - it was thought at the time that you needed a medium to transmit any sort of information, like sound waves.

      I believe you are confused about what it means to "observe" something.

      The observational support for Dark Matter is staggering. There is simply not enough matter of any of the types that we have in the Standard Model to explain the directly observable effect of gravity in the Universe. Dark Matter out-masses all of the types of matter we understand by 5-to-1 in the Universe; and right here at home, in our local galaxy, the Milky Way, it out-masses all conventional forms of matter 20-to-1. We can easily detect its gravitational influence, and produce maps of its distribution. Only if you believe that nothing can be "directly observed" from its gravity (as if it were "less real" than light, say) could your claim be defended.

      The discovery of cosmic acceleration similarly is direct observational evidence of the existence of Dark Energy.

      These two physical realities are so different from the hypothesized "ether" of pre-modern physics that it is clear you do not understand any of this.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    4. Re:String Theorists Are Not Physicists by turbidostato · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "I believe you are confused about what it means to "observe" something."

      Or is it you?

      "The observational support for Dark Matter is staggering. "

      As it was the case for Aether before 1905.

      "There is simply not enough matter of any of the types that we have in the Standard Model to explain the directly observable effect of gravity"

      As there were nothing to explain i.e. Michelson-Morley experiment but an inelastic aether compressing everything as it speeds up.

      "Dark Matter out-masses all of the types of matter we understand"

      Aether compresses all the types of matter we know too. Yes, just like Dark Matter has its oddities, like being able to penetrate all solids (but we know "solids" are basically vacuum with small "grains" of atoms here and there, so no problem) or not producing trails when a solid mass travels through it but, how else could you explain that light's speed doesn't change despite the emiting object's speed!?

      "The discovery of cosmic acceleration similarly is direct observational evidence of the existence of Dark Energy."

      The discovery of the speed of light being the same in the Earth's axis of movement around the Sun and perpendicular to it, is also observational evidence of the existence of Aether. You can ask Ernst Match if you don't believe me.

      Of course, by 1905 came some Einstein telling us a different story, you know.

      "These two physical realities are so different from the hypothesized "ether" of pre-modern physics that it is clear you do not understand any of this."

      Or maybe it's you the one that ignore the real history behind aether, that doesn't understand the real current state of modern cosmology or the really brilliant minds of the likes of Match, Poincaré or Lorentz before Einstein.

    5. Re:String Theorists Are Not Physicists by KGIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You are correct! No matter what it is that is causing the observed effects that is *dark matter.* There are many competing theories as to what dark matter is, some of them are outlandish. However, even if it turns out that the effects observed are caused by purple unicorn farts, the purple unicorn farts are dark matter.

      I had an excellent conversation with a Slashdotter about this, just a few days ago, and I've concluded that I hate the name as much as I hate The God Particle. I can think of no other reason why people are so unwilling to understand. It's really quite simple. It is simple enough for *me* to understand it. Something is causing an effect. No matter what that is, whatever it turns out to be that is causing that effect, it is dark matter.

      I know, I was even given some sort-of-thanks, that I explained this quite clearly in the thread that was active just this week. I even explained it multiple times and had some great replies and a good time was had by all. In that thread, I postulated that I'd need to repeat the same damned thing in this thread. Nobody ever listens to a KGIII. *sighs*

      But, well, at least you get it, I don't know why the rest don't. However, I make this post to point out that I'd not thought about the term "place holder." I'm stealing that. I'm going to tweak it a little. We call it Dark Matter, as a place holder, because that lorem ipsum whateverum is just too damned long to type and memorize. Seriously, how is this a contentious matter? Now, the various theories as to what is causing the effect are straight up stupid (some of them) but that's immaterial.

      I don't think that they thought it through very well when they decided to use this as a name. I can understand why some people are confused. I can't understand why they stay that way.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  3. Re:Trust the philosopher, my foot! by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Otherwise I'd advise to ask the scientist, since their profession is (supposed to be) an implementation of the scientific method.

    And it's a construction worker's profession to implement an architect's design, but I wouldn't ask a construction worker to design my skyscraper.

    The scientific method is a philosophical construct more than a scientific one.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  4. Re:Trust the philosopher, my foot! by Capt.Albatross · · Score: 3, Insightful

    But science has moved ahead of academic philosophy. Popper et. al. were, at best, describing how the science of their time and before was practiced, and if they had not been there, science would still have been the most amazingly productive human activity in history. It's not as if scientists were sitting around waiting for philosophers to figure out how to proceed.
     

  5. Do NOT Trust the philosopher by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Yes and it is full of tripe like the following:

    Gross proposed to distinguish among frameworks, theories, and models. Classical mechanics, quantum mechanics and string “theory” are not theories, but rather frameworks. Theories are something like Newton’s or Einstein’s theory of gravity, or the unfortunately named Standard “Model.” Theories can be tested, frameworks not so much. Models include the BCS model of superconductivity, or BSM (Beyond Standard Model) models.

    Unfortunately classical mechanics and quantum mechanics can and have been tested. Frameworks in his definition seem to be multiple applications of the same fundamental, physical principles to different situations. These can easily be tested and, for two of the examples given, have been. Then we get gems like:

    According to Gross, since physical phenomena scale as the log(energy), physicists can extrapolate theory to very high energy. Unfortunately, experiments scale only as energy^2, which means that they cannot easily be extrapolated to very high energy.

    which makes absolutely no sense whatsoever. Just off the top of my head there are the corrections to the Higgs mass which scale as energy squared (which is theory) and I've no idea what it means to say that an experiment scales with energy-squared since, for many experiments, increasing the energy is irrelevant and for others, e.g. a linear accelerator, the energy increases linearly with size.

    1. Re:Do NOT Trust the philosopher by Pseudonym · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Classical mechanics, quantum mechanics and string “theory” are not theories, but rather frameworks.

      This is an accurate statement. "Quantum mechanics" isn't a theory by itself. It's a framework in which to construct theories. So, for example, the Dirac theory of the electron is a theory built out of quantum mechanics. Quantum electrodynamics is a theory built out of quantum field theory, and so on.

      The word "theory" in "quantum field theory" or "string theory" is more like the word "theory" in "group theory". Physicists use group theory, but group theory is not a scientific theory in the sense that hard sciences like physics use the term.

      --
      sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f(q{sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f});
    2. Re:Do NOT Trust the philosopher by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes and it is full of tripe like the following:

      You do realize that the quotations you give have to do with a talk by David Gross, a Nobel Prize winning particle physicist, right?

      The report you quote is by a philosopher who participated in the conference, but the ideas you mention in the quotation come out of a talk by a PARTICLE PHYSICIST.

      You want to complain about them? Fine. Just be clear that the "tripe" you're citing came from a paper by a physicist talking about the scientific method.

      Oh, and in case you want to question the credentials of the "philosopher" who is reporting on the physicist, the philosopher who wrote the blog is Massimo Piglucci, who holds THREE doctorates: a doctorate in genetics, a Ph.D. in biology, and a Ph.D. in philosophy of science.

      He's hardly an ignorant idiot who knows nothing about how "science" is done.

    3. Re:Do NOT Trust the philosopher by serviscope_minor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      who holds THREE doctorates: a doctorate in genetics, a Ph.D. in biology, and a Ph.D. in philosophy of science.

      As someone who's now supervised and graduated a few PhD students, I'd say that multiple PhDs, especially in related field is kind of a minus point. A PhD is supposed to teach you how to research and how to get a grounding in the field. The third aspect is actually getting that grounding in the field. You shoudn't need two PhDs in genetics and biology. If you've done one, you ought to be able to pick up the other yourself. Otherwise, you're having someone tell you what to do twice rather than doing your own research the second time.

      Sure for philosophy, it's quite different, but even so a taught masters would probably be better.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    4. Re:Do NOT Trust the philosopher by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 4, Informative

      who holds THREE doctorates: a doctorate in genetics, a Ph.D. in biology, and a Ph.D. in philosophy of science.

      As someone who's now supervised and graduated a few PhD students, I'd say that multiple PhDs, especially in related field is kind of a minus point.

      As someone who also has advised and has graduated doctoral students, I'd generally agree with you. Except you need to look over the whole CV in most cases to understand what's going on. This is no exception.

      A PhD is supposed to teach you how to research and how to get a grounding in the field. The third aspect is actually getting that grounding in the field. You shoudn't need two PhDs in genetics and biology. If you've done one, you ought to be able to pick up the other yourself. Otherwise, you're having someone tell you what to do twice rather than doing your own research the second time.

      This is all true, but this specific case is perhaps different. Note that I said the first was a "doctorate," not a Ph.D. That's because it's from Italy. There's two issues there:

      (1) Terminology -- Italian "doctorates" sometimes are actually equivalent to American master's degrees, and sometimes to Ph.D.'s. I haven't looked into seeing exactly how this one would qualify, but if you just had one of the ones that would be viewed as equivalent to a U.S. master's degree, you'd want to get a "real" Ph.D. if you wanted to join academia in the U.S.

      (2) Even if the Italian "doctorate" is roughly equivalent to an American Ph.D., there are various levels of rigor at Italian universities. Many American academics are a bit skeptical of Italian credentials if they aren't familiar with the specific program. If this guy wanted to get hired in American academia, it would probably be easier to do so with a Ph.D. from an American university.

      Sure for philosophy, it's quite different, but even so a taught masters would probably be better.

      Except if you actually want to get an academic JOB as a philosopher. Recall that besides all of your stuff about "getting grounding in the field," a Ph.D. is also a credential to get a job. If you decide mid-career that you actually want to teach/do research at an American university in a very different field, a Ph.D. is the most common expected qualification. If you don't have one in that specific field, it's harder to convince a hiring committee to consider you.

      But all of this is useless theoretical consideration. My point in bringing up the credentials was not to argue that he took the most normal scientific pathway -- my guess is that he took a few turns in figuring out what he wanted to do with his career.

      Rather -- I was just trying to point out that this guy is more than a "philosopher" -- he spent a couple decades doing research in science and was for over a decade was a PROFESSOR in biology, including being tenured at Stony Brook BEFORE he became a full-time "philosopher" in his positions. He's written multiple books published by places like MIT Press and University of Chicago. Look over his CV, if you want more details.

      We can argue about the reasons multiple Ph.D.'s are usually bad or unnecessary, but in this specific case, we're clearly talking about a VERY qualified SCIENTIST, who later changed careers and now has an academic position as a philosopher of science.

      Jeez. Before bitching about somebody's credentials, take a minute and read the link to his Wikipedia bio I already had put in my previous post.

  6. Re:Trust the philosopher, my foot! by lgw · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Do you think it's a dick-measuring contest?

    Science is about the testable. Math (and logic) is about the provable. Philosophy is about the more fundamental questions.

    You may say "I know X to be true". That raises 3 fundamental questions without easy answers:
    * What does "I" mean - Theory of Identity
    * What does "know" mean - Theory of Knowledge (epistemology)
    * What does "true" mean - Meta-Logic

    Science is certainly practical. Philosophy rarely is. But philosophy does highlight how little we really know, despite our ever-growing skill at the practical. And it's worth remembering that every field of science started as philosophy, and only with the tools and the mindset did it eventually become practical, become science.
     

    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  7. Re:Trust the philosopher, my foot! by careysub · · Score: 3, Informative

    But science has moved ahead of academic philosophy. Popper et. al. were, at best, describing how the science of their time and before was practiced, and if they had not been there, science would still have been the most amazingly productive human activity in history. It's not as if scientists were sitting around waiting for philosophers to figure out how to proceed.

    And I will add that the most influential recent philosopher on the practice of science was a physicist himself: Percy Bridgman. In this landmark work The Logic of Modern Physics Bridgman clarified ideas about what it means to observe or measure something.

    --
    Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
  8. Why you should read absolutely read the article by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Funny
    The 'new' tests for measuring the quality of a hypothesis are quoted here from the article, and I think they certainly have value:

    This method is used during the development of a theory and is based on collecting indications which increase the physicists’ confidence that a theory describes nature. These indications are, for example, the amount (or absence of) alternative solutions to a problem, the degree by which a theory is connected to already confirmed theories, and the amount of unexpected insights that the theories give rise to.

    However, the reason you should read the article is because it manages to reasonably work this image into the discussion.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  9. Re:Two topics conflated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    String theory isn't a theory at all. Maybe I'm too much of a stickler about terminology, but I think it matters here. Calling something a theory implies two things:
    1) There is a model of something in the universe, which makes definite predictions that can, in principle, be tested and falsified.
    2) Experiments have been conducted and the observations support the definite predictions that are made.

    If the first condition is met, it's a hypothesis. If both the first and second conditions are met, we call it a theory. When a theory is repeatedly tested over a wide range of conditions and the observations still support the definite predictions, we may start to refer to it as a law.

    These distinctions matter. There are plenty of people who dismiss evolution and say it's just a theory. And yet there are vast amounts of evidence that support evolution. When we refer to untested ideas as theories, we diminish people's acceptance of actual theories like evolution. If we call something a theory when it isn't even an actual hypothesis, we risk confusing people into believing that things like intelligent design and young Earth creationism are also legitimate hypotheses and theories. They're not!

    We can't play fast and loose with our terminology. It confuses people who already don't really understand the scientific method. We need to be precise about what we mean.

  10. Re:Begging the question by nine-times · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That is a great example of begging the question [wikipedia.org].

    Again, it seems you have no idea what you're talking about. I wasn't begging the question, I was rephrasing for the benefit of someone who appears to be pointless. There's no significant argumentation happening here on either side, so we aren't even to the point where we can claim that someone's argument is bad or invalid.

    You don't have to codify the method of study to use it.

    The "scientific method" is precisely the codification of reasoning techniques that were in use long before. Observing something falling from a significant height, seeing it get damaged, and deciding, "I don't want that to happen to me," is not science. Science is a process involving a hypothesis, experimentation, and collection of reproducible empirical evidence. You might believe any number of rational and true things, but without engaging in some kind of experimentation or testing, those beliefs aren't science.

    And that's what this whole discussion is about. People are discussing the extent to which current theoretical physics can be considered "science", since there may not be any way to directly test the models that theoretical physicists are creating.

  11. No, yes, and I think you missed the obvious. by s.petry · · Score: 3, Interesting

    But is the scientific method a tool to discover what is true? Is truth the same as "ever more accurate and predictive models"? It's not a scientific question

    No, that is correct. The scientific method is a method of determining if something is possibly true, and then rate the truthfulness. For example, we can use the scientific method and analyze the evolution of species and conclude that it's "probably" true. We have not witnessed it so have no "proof", but the evidence we have seems to indicate that it's not only possible but probable. The more evidence we have, the more accurate the scientific method becomes.

    Socrates once said that the only wisdom he had was in understanding how little he knew.

    A bit simple, but works. He actually said that the Oracle of Delphi told him he was the wisest person in the world, and that the gods tasked him to find someone wiser (which he never could).

    What do you say today? How much do we not know ? How could you even answer such a question? It's not a scientific question.

    At great risk to my Karma I'll point out that Science has become a Religion. As a several decades long student of Philosophy, I find that many people claiming to be scientific and atheists trust certain scientific theories just like a holy book. You have your evangelists attempting to convert believers in other faiths to their ways of thinking, and even have the zealots trying to make other Religions illegal.

    Given that some questions are only Philosophical, such as the beginning of the Universe, you get similar answers to a formal Theology. "Philosophy" is taught to be a dirty word to the "science" religion, they can be as impossible to debate as any theological believer.

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

    1. Re:No, yes, and I think you missed the obvious. by KGIII · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Meh, I'll burn some karma with you.

      Science is very much a belief system. I find it a bit disconcerting that people will claim they're logical and reasoned and, if you ask the best of them, they'll tell you how they believe science. When you point out that science is, quite literally, openly admitting that it's "best guess" and probably always will be (in certain areas) and that it is illogical to believe that it is the truth they get feisty.

      Of course this doesn't mean you should take something else on faith. But there's a huge difference between what we believe to be true and what is true which can be followed to all sorts of absurd conclusions. It's a hierarchal faith based belief system complete with dogma, dictation of values, proselytizing, shunning, and a greater power.

      We just don't like to admit it. It's no more logical to place complete faith in it than it is to place complete faith in Jesus though we'll try to spin it that way in our heads - just like God-botherers. Of course, science has tangible benefits but we can, literally, claim everything is from science. That hammer? Yup, a product of science.

      I'm far more likely to rely on science than I am a deity but that's because I understand it and I know it's an imperfect model and I do not believe it to be infallible. I do like the odds better with science than with Jesus but I've actually found the God-botherers to be a little less pushy in many areas.

      (I'm pretty sure I can piss off both sides at once. What's karma if you can't burn it?)

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    2. Re:No, yes, and I think you missed the obvious. by Sique · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Science is not a belief system. There are some people who use it as one, but that doesn't make Science a belief system in itself. Science is literally about "making a cut" (Latin: scire = to know and scindere = to split), a collection of best practices how to discern between a good and a bad idea.

      There are methods like experiments and also methods like trying to logically compare an idea to things already known. In the end, any idea you throw Science at gets evaluated, and that's the point where some people might think that it has something to do with a belief, the belief that any idea should be evaluated by Science in general, and that the evaluation results are valid and in some way important to us.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
  12. Other views by mbone · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Massimo Pigliucci did a very nice blog of the Conference, with separate posts for day 1, 2 and 3.

    There is also Joseph Polchinski's String theory to the rescue paper, which has a ridiculously bad probabilistic argument in Section 3. (Peter Woit thought it was a joke, but apparently not.)

    For myself, I favor loop quantum gravity, which as far as I can tell wasn't represented at the conference at all.

  13. Re:Trust the philosopher, my foot! by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 4, Insightful

    But science has moved ahead of academic philosophy.

    Actually, more accurately, science -- since about 1950 -- tends to ignore a lot of the interesting insights that philosophy of science tends to offer. Hence your citation of a guy who died decades ago, rather than a lot of the stuff that has happened since.

    Popper et. al. were, at best, describing how the science of their time and before was practiced, and if they had not been there, science would still have been the most amazingly productive human activity in history.

    A few things here:

    If Popper's ideas weren't very interesting or innovative, why does his idea of falsificationism get cited on Slashdot as the foundation of science all the time? How precisely do you think scientists formulated this idea before Popper? Answer -- they didn't. If you look at how science was practiced in the late 1800s, you'll see a lot more haphazard theorizing, the nature of mathematical models and statistics in relation to causality and significance was less formalized, and while people spoke in terms of "hypotheses" and "theories," it wasn't discussed in the way people on Slashdot talk about it today.

    Popper's falsificationism developed out of a philosophical movement called logical positivism, which had tremendous influence on lots of people in the first half of the 20th century who were looking into the nature of the foundations of mathematics and science, the nature of "proof," etc. Stuff like Godel's incompleteness theorem came out of this.

    But the scientific outlook was fundamentally changed as the nature of causality and explanation was invoked, rather than simple description.

    With this heavier empirical burden, people like Popper criticized some of these concepts while offering new ideas about formulating hypotheses. If you think scientists just "intuited" the idea of falsifiability before Popper, you obviously haven't read a lot of science writing in the generations before him. Yes, some scientists were basically doing falsificationism, but Popper formalized the idea, and thus it caught on as a standard way of considering the validity of empirical methodology.

    Of course, the naive view of falsificationism as usually presented by people on Slashdot isn't actually how science works, and Popper recognized this. He didn't believe that's how science advanced -- his theories were actually quite complex. And others followed in critiquing and coming up with new ways that more accurately reflects how science actually advances -- you get various perspectives from people like Kuhn, Lakatos, and even the wacky Feyerabend. And now we're only up to 1970 or so. Philosophers of science have had a lot more interesting things to say in the past 45 years too.

    It's not as if scientists were sitting around waiting for philosophers to figure out how to proceed.

    And you may say, "But it's philosophy! Who cares?!"

    The thing is -- science doesn't actually work according to the oversimplified "scientific method" or according to pseudo-Popperian naive falsificationism. It's a lot more complicated, and it has a lot of methodological flaws. Philosophers of science identified many of these in the 1950s through 1970s, but scientists by then had stopped reading philosophy journals. Instead, this naive empiricism led to all sorts of abuses and missteps (see medical studies of the mid-20th century for lots of interesting examples).

    But there's more. For the past few decades (beginning seriou