Slashdot Mirror


More People In Europe Are Dying Than Are Being Born (phys.org)

jones_supa writes: More people in Europe are dying than are being born, according to a new report co-authored by a Texas A&M University demographer. In contrast, births exceed deaths, by significant margins, in Texas and elsewhere in the United States, with few exceptions. The researchers find that in Europe, deaths exceeded births in most of the counties of Germany, Hungary, Croatia, Romania, Bulgaria and the Czech Republic, as well as in Sweden and the Baltic States. Further south, natural decrease is found occurring in the majority of the counties of Greece, Portugal and Italy. More births than deaths (natural increase) is widespread in Ireland, Cyprus, Iceland, Lichtenstein and Luxembourg. "Natural decrease is much more common in Europe than in the U.S because its population is older, fertility rates are lower and there are fewer women of child-bearing age," the researchers explain. "Natural decrease is a major policy concern because it drains the demographic resilience from a region diminishing its economic viability and competitiveness."

18 of 547 comments (clear)

  1. Re:invite more people in? by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I think it means, if this trend keeps up, that EU culture, the Germans, the French, etc....will possibly start to disappear, being replaced with the Muslims that are pouring in, staying isolated and not melting into the EU cultures, and they are reproducing at a greater rate.

    I guess this is how the long term "revenge" for the crusades will happen. If the Muslim populations get high enough, they can vote in the changes to the laws and the old world cultures will fade.

    --
    Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  2. Re:invite more people in? by LubosD · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Seriously, the difference between the US and Italian / Irish cultures is nothing compared to the difference between Europeans and Arabs / Africans.

  3. Re:invite more people in? by tnk1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't want to suggest that Muslims in Europe cannot or will not assimilate, but the Irish and even the Italians had more similarities to the population in the US at the time than the Muslims do with the Europeans now. And there was a great amount of both interest and motivation in assimilating back then because no one cared much whether cultures were being oppressed or not, so you assimilated or you failed to thrive.

    Today, there's both larger cultural differences, mixed with more tolerance of other cultures which has the unfortunate side-effect of making it easier to resist assimilation.

    While I can't really make a distinction of what culture is "better", I do know that mixing cultures which are resistant to intermixing and assimilation is a recipe for serious civil strife. That's a serious danger for the future of Europe if they can't find some way to cope with the influx peacefully.

  4. Re:invite more people in? by dlt074 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    you don't know which culture is "better"? you may be a victim of political correctness. i'm not so let me help you a bit.

    the one that doesn't believe in killing and raping the infidels is better.
    the one that believes woman are equal to men is better.
    the one that believes in not killing homo sexuals is better.

    the list goes on, but it always comes back to western culture is better!

  5. Re:invite more people in? by NotDrWho · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Except most Chinatowns in the U.S. are where non-Chinese people go to eat exotic food, not a separate city-within-a-city where any non-Chinese who enter will be beaten (or worse).

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
  6. Integration by Etherwalk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Do you actually live in Europe? Integration does not work. We have whole suburbs of "insert immigrant nationality" because they don't integrate. Even politicians have to admit that multiculturalism failed. The cultures are just too different and there are far too many at the same time.

    Except when it does. If you have a large, secular society that orients more along the lines of politics than race, culture, or religion, than over time immigrants and more importantly the children of immigrants become part of the larger society. Some people are real jerks to outsiders no matter where they are or what culture they join--the idea is over generations to try to get their kids to be more and more accepting of outsiders, to be part of the larger community.

    Integration is not an experiment that succeeds or fails. It's life, and people and even entire populations change across as little as fifty years. That explains everybody's racist uncle.

    1. Re:Integration by mjwx · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Do you actually live in Europe? Integration does not work. We have whole suburbs of "insert immigrant nationality" because they don't integrate. Even politicians have to admit that multiculturalism failed. The cultures are just too different and there are far too many at the same time.

      Except when it does. If you have a large, secular society that orients more along the lines of politics than race, culture, or religion, than over time immigrants and more importantly the children of immigrants become part of the larger society. Some people are real jerks to outsiders no matter where they are or what culture they join--the idea is over generations to try to get their kids to be more and more accepting of outsiders, to be part of the larger community.

      Integration is not an experiment that succeeds or fails. It's life, and people and even entire populations change across as little as fifty years. That explains everybody's racist uncle.

      This.

      If integration is such a failure, explain why England and Anglo cultures are still around? We've been integrating for literally centuries. When a new group of immigrants comes over, they slowly become part of the fabric of a nation. If they don't it is almost always the fault of the host nation for forcing them into ghettos and disallowing them the chance to participate in a nations culture.

      Australia treated the Greeks pretty badly when they first started coming to Oz post-war. They were called "New Australians" and some stores flat out refused to serve New Australians. However the Greeks responded by becoming part of Australian society over time. They stopped being New Australians and just started being Australians. They adopted a lot of Australian traditions but this is a two way street. Some Greek traditions became part of Australian society. This process usually ends up with the best parts of a new culture being integrated in, usually food, celebrations and parts of the langauge as people travelling to a new country tend to only want to keep the parts they liked about a society.

      Its the same with Italian Americans who bought pasta, not Fascism to the US or British Indians who bought curry, not bad hygiene to the UK.

      The racists always complain that immigrants "dont speak the English" whilst this is ONLY partially true the racists like to ignore the fact that their children will speak English as their primary language if not, their only language. Integration is a process that takes a generation. Claiming it has failed after 5 years is stupidly short sighted.

      Having grown up in Australia, I've heard all this bollocks before. First it was the Asians who would take all our jobs and destroy our culture, then it was the Indians, Now its the Muslims. Next decade, it'll be someone else. Same bollocks with a different target and not once have their predictions of doom and gloom come true. When I was 8, the local Racist league told me I'd never get a job because all the Gooks were coming over to take them. Guess what, I've been gainfully employed for the most part since I was 17 (which is over 15 years ago). I bet that same idiot is sitting in the same shitty part of Adelaide spewing the same nonsense... the only thing that has changed is "Gook" is now "Muslim".

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    2. Re:Integration by sociocapitalist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "If integration is such a failure, explain why England and Anglo cultures are still around? We've been integrating for literally centuries. When a new group of immigrants comes over, they slowly become part of the fabric of a nation. If they don't it is almost always the fault of the host nation for forcing them into ghettos and disallowing them the chance to participate in a nations culture."

      There is a difference between a culture who is willing to integrate and a culture who expects everyone else to adapt to them. When the percentage of the latter in a community is small, the children, at least, will integrate over time. When you get enough of the latter together in a community they then refuse to integrate with the existing community - when the percentage is high enough not only do they refuse to integrate but they expect the integration to be reversed and the community to adopt the immigrant culture.

      When you have a great influx of immigrants they tend to stay together in the same areas. This is not 'forcing them into ghettos' but a self-made situation where people who speak the same language, have the same religion, etc. want to live near others of the same.

      Here in France there is, and has been for quite awhile, an ongoing effort to keep ghettos from forming. Developers of new housing estates are required to provide some percentage of the new construction as social housing and low income families are then distributed across the country instead of being localized.

      So no, I do not agree that the problem we see today is necessarily the fault of host countries, unless the fault is to allow such rapid immigration of a culture that refuses to integrate with the existing culture whenever enough of them are present in an area to put pressure on each other to conform to their religious constraints.

      --
      blindly antisocialist = antisocial
  7. And yet, productivity is rising. by duckintheface · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Natural decrease is a major policy concern because it drains the demographic resilience from a region diminishing its economic viability and competitiveness." What a silly argument, given that productivity and and GDP are still rising rapidly in Europe.

    Automation is accelerating with AI finally becoming a real thing. Economic output is rising in absolute terms and on a per-person basis. What this should mean is a rising standard of living. But in the US all the benefits of per capita productivity are going to the "owner class". This is the stuff of revolutions.

    As long as there are intelligent, healthy people who are unemployed, the birth rate has not fallen enough.

    --
    "He took a duck in the face at 250 knots." -- William Gibson, Pattern Recognition
    1. Re:And yet, productivity is rising. by russotto · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Between the bad Eurozone (economic) conditions and the recent resurgence of Fascism in Europe, it's looking like Europe's second renaissance may come to an end soon.

      If you want to stop a resurgence of fascism, try addressing the issues the Fascists are addressing. Give people the choice of thugs who appear to be on their side, or open minded decent politicians who are willing to allow hostile thugs to run rampant for the sake of their ideology, people will often pick door #1.

      That means you do not open the doors wide to people from incompatible cultures, and then demand that your current residents accomodate their culture. And especially you do not tell everyone complaining about crime committed by those migrants that they're racists and should just shut up.

  8. Re:invite more people in? by saider · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unless that culture results in lower birthrates, then the killing, raping, misogynistic homophobic culture is better - in an evolutionary sense.

    --


    Remember, You are unique...just like everyone else.
  9. Not revenge, just their old pattern by MikeRT · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I guess this is how the long term "revenge" for the crusades will happen.

    Between the death of Mohammed and the time of the First Crusade, the following happened:

    1. The Caliphate invaded and destroyed the Persian Empire. [Much conversion by the sword of Zoroastrians]
    2. The Caliphate took control of over 50% of the Byzantine Empire. [Mass conversion by the sword of Christians]
    3. The Caliphate conquered the Iberian peninsula and attempted to conquer the Merovingian Empire in modern day France.
    4. All throughout that period and well into the Renaissance, Muslim pirates and raiders took huge numbers of slaves from Southern Europe and coastal territories as far as Iceland.

    So no, not revenge. Just a series of efforts by the Muslim world to expand rather violently.

    And after that period we have the annexation of much of Eastern Europe, Lepanto, Vienna, need I go on? Anyone who goes "oh noes, teh Crusades" about anyone other than the poor Orthodox Greeks is an ignoramus.

  10. Re:invite more people in? by Beck_Neard · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You think muslims around the world are all part of some grand conspiracy to 'take revenge' for the crusades? No, they're just people who see the much greater opportunities and wealth available in European countries compared to the shitholes they live in, and make the rational decision to move there for personal gain.

    As for the 'decline' of Europe, they may be decreasing in number, sure, but they are definitely increasing in wealth (positive economic growth) with the effect that wealth and power is becoming concentrated in the hands of fewer individuals. Raw population size is a poor measure of the well-being of a country, otherwise India and China would be the best places to live.

    --
    A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
  11. Re:invite more people in? by stanjo74 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This. There is a difference between immigration and diaspora. Immigrants are typically very open minded members of their society - they are looking for new opportunities because their own society at home is holding them back.
    What we have in Europe right now is a diaspora - people from a totally foreign culture forced to live with another. Of course, one can argue that the refugees are in Europe by their own will, but the economic and social hardships in their own countries is so bad, that I would consider this a diaspora.

    The political correctness of the hosts will allow the new foreign culture not to assimilate, and the children of these foreigners will end up outsiders in their own country. At least when there was conscription army in Europe, young males were forcefully mingled with other members of the society. Nowadays, young males are left isolated, exploited and desperate in their own ghettos, ripe for extremist brainwashing centered around their foreign culture and ethnicity.

  12. Re:invite more people in? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That's because the USA (and Canada) are blessed by a great filter called the Atlantic Ocean, which lets through people who

    a) Passed the immigration criteria for work/residence/background check
    b) Can afford a transatlantic ticket and can sustain themselves after becoming a resident

    It would be natural that the more westernized immigrants would be coming over.

    That does not appear to be the case in Europe. Closer proximity and lower risk of making the land and sea voyages does not filter out the "cream of the crop", like it does in the Americas.

  13. Re:invite more people in? by Darinbob · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They used to be a separate city where non-Chinese would not enter. People used to complain that Chinese, Italians, whoever were not properly integrating. By which they meant abandoning their own culture and embracing the mayonaisse of American "culture". It's only over time that those other cultures became mixed in better, but the US embraced (badly) parts of their culture instead. We even bitched about the Irish and you can't get any whiter than that.

    The melting pot concept is stupid, it just doesn't work to expect immigrants to abandon the old and become clones. There was too much effort spent in the past on forced conformity in many places in US and elsewhere; forcing children to go to English speaking schools and punishing them when their native language was used so that it becomes forgotten over time (most native American languages are functionally dead, children who can't communicate with their grandparents, etc).

  14. population by Smiddi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Population growth and reduction (in this case) is NOT the issue. The issue is that economies have been created and will only work based on population (and subsequent sales) growth; this is why immigration is often "used" to keep a countries population growing. As soon as sales reduce the model falls over. A re-think of the way global economies operate is what is needed.

  15. Re:invite more people in? by elrous0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The melting pot concept is stupid

    Yeah, except your own post demonstrates that it has worked just fine in the U.S.:

    They used to be a separate city where non-Chinese would not enter.

    Emphasis mine

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.