Workers In China, India, USA Believe AI and Robots Will Replace Them (qz.com)
An anonymous reader cites a Quartz article: Chinese workers have seen the future, and it involves artificial intelligence, robots, and other forms of automation replacing them, at least for repetitive tasks. That's how workers responded to interviews about the future of work conducted in 13 countries by the ADP Research Institute, part of the payroll systems company ADP. In contrast to China, a minority of workers in Germany think machines will take over repetitive tasks in the future. Workers in Chile, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and France among other countries agree. But American workers and those in India are inclined to see things the Chinese way; nearly two-thirds of those polled said they thought the machines were coming for repetitive work.
Humanity is in a system with an only bias, to fit the economic model.
Robots are going to replace and AI for services will slice huge swaths of the labor force into oblivion.
My optimistic assumption, even financial planners are even more doomed in 2016/2017 than programmers FYI.
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Robots cost more than Chinese workers, and aren't as easily replaceable.
The global elite have already transferred most of the assets upwards. The next step is automation and separation, and they will simply leave the rest of us to rot.
The global elites have already completed the real asset transfer upwards. The greatest generation and the American dream was a glitch; they fixed the glitch. Once war can be automated, they will cut the rest of use off and leave us to rot.
I don't think the danger is immediate but it definitely is on the horizon. Soon, human beings will be the first living organism to cause self-obsolescence. Human beings will make themselves redundant.
The robots will take over, but they won't kill us physically. They will kill us in our economy as poor and middle class lose jobs and the managers and CEO's find ways to raise production and lower human costs. The fact robots can work tirelessly for cheap is very attractive. But the fact nobody is looking at the negatives of replacing so many jobs is frightening.
A recently released poll of earthlings indicates those living in China, The Netherlands, India, and America have a firmer fundamental grasp of the obvious than the Germans and Chileans.
Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.
Ernest Hemingway
Ignorant twats... Where is ya energy now?
Tehe
The whole system willl grind to a halt fairly quickly if that happens. Consumerism will die a death and the robots will soon be idle. Think about it, how much of the crap that people buy do they actually need? Out of what they need, how much do they only need because they have a full time job?
Seriously. It's already happening. It's well documented that Foxconn is only keeping their employees under pressure from the Chinese gov't to avoid causing social unrest. The 1% don't need us to buy their stuff when they've got robots to make it, Robots to defend it and then a very, very, very small class of servant to attend to their health needs and entertain them. The other 95% (98?) of the population is utterly superfluous. You can do just fine selling 100 computers for $2000 each instead of 1000 for $200. Apple's doing it, and they're the most profitable company in human history.
Oh, and before everybody starts going on about "There'll be all these new jobs in the Server Sector" no, there won't. If nobody has any money nobody will be able to hire people. That doesn't phase the 1%. Henry Ford only thought about this crap because there were limits to his global reach and ability to automate and obtain the wealth he wanted. That's not true anymore.
And as for the Industrial Revolution let's not forget there was 70 years of mass unemployment and misery. The Luddites who lost jobs never say employment again. Their Children didn't either. It wasn't until their grandchildren that we started seeing the new economy and by then the Luddites were dead and buried. Plus a lot of that was solved by shipping people overseas, but there really isn't an 'overseas' anymore. We've already colonized the new world.
Basically we're either going to redistribute the wealth of the machines or enter a new Dark Ages. Everybody sorta forgets the human race spent 1200 years with everyone but the 1% and their servants living like shit.
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First of all I applaud those workers for understanding and acknowledging the reality.
In Finland even the cashiers are demanding heavy salary raises and are completely ignorant to what is about to happen. Instead of shaping the Finnish economy towards high-tech & high-education one, the Finnish people demand that we cut education (and tech, meaning exports) and instead direct all that money to the increasing salaries of cashiers and factory workers. The Finnish economy has been in downhill since 2007 and is now one of the worst performers in the Eurozone. Finnish society used to be praised for its wide adoption of Internet and IT and it is amazing how much things can change in just one single decade.
Currently the whole country is in a gridlock because about 250,000 cashiers are demanding a raise. Finland having a workforce or about 2.4 million, this one union of cashiers is enough to cripple the whole politic process aimed to stall the ever increasing salaries of the soon-obsolete jobs (and basically all the others as well, since Finland has completely lost its edge in the global economic competition). Even the people in the high tech sector are willing to give up their salary increases for the sake of the common good but I guess that's because of their higher education.
If anyone is interested in a case study of a welfare state gone wrong then please study Finland 1985-2017. It has been one hell of a ride to the top and down.
Robots are superior to humans in any simple, repetitive task such as playing what used to be the most intellectual of games.
Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
Instead of paying $100k for college just spend it on buying shares in the robot factories, or ask your government to tax their profits and give you shares. Get your college education for free online.
Forcing companies to hire humans is a form of taxation. So by allowing companies to use robots, you get the same benefit and the human with basic income gets to sleep all day or pursue other tuff while still getting paid just for existing. It's a win-win.
Because I program automation system, and one thing I do know is that Executives are so fucking fickle that they can not make a decision to save their own life. No A.I. on the planet will be able to handle an Executive or CEO.
CEO:"I do not like this system there are black bars on the screen."
A.I.: "you demanded we use a 16:10 projector on a 16:9 screen, you even used executive override protocol even though we told you they were incompatible and would have black bars"
CEO:" make it work without black bars"
A.I.: " we will have to change the screen or the projector, what do you prefer"
CEO:" Use what I wanted, make it work"
A.I.:"......... Illogical...... Murder...... Kill.... Destroy......."
Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
It was my understanding that the whole point of Automation is to leave repititive tasks to machines so people have more time for interesting things. Why would this be surprising (or even news) then?
Also, Americans will be busy building border walls, and Mexico will pay our wages. It's gonna be a great country!
I don't see the problem. Just program the robots to print money and deliver it by drone to all the poors. There will be no end to the demand for robot-made goods! Capitalism forever!
The system as we know it currently ("American Dream Failure") will fail.
Wasn't there a company holding back total automation because of fear of social unrest?
Won't happen in the long run since the human robots on top need to make positive numbers or get replaced by silicon colleagues.
Looks like the calamities seen from "ideas in peoples heads with weapons" right now causing streams of refugees going north in larger numbers on an area way eastern of the US mainland with abuses and great suffering may be continuing in another flavor closer:
Can't pay your mortgage, please vacate this property! Unluckily as things are, there are weapons on this property....
Interesting times, for sure...
that's what the Dark Ages were. 1200 years of zero progress until a plague came along and killed off enough of the ruling class to cause some social disruption and let things get moving again.
Think of it this way. Let's say you're actually a member of the 1%. You have the best civilization has to offer. Do you want things to change? Do you want new tech to disrupt your power? No, of course not. You get really conservative, really fast when you're the king. Nothing changes, nothing improves because you won't let it. Because any change risks everything you have, and you have everything. That's the Dark Ages in a nut shell. And there's not a damned reason why we couldn't just go right back into that.
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Europeans know that a "robot takeover" would piss people off, hell would break loose, then it'd be over. People in the U.S. would vote in some dipshit that has fucked over people for a living and feel appeased. People in China will let someone run them over by tanks until they stfu.
Having to work for a living is the root of all evil.
It might just play out like that Animatrix cartoon... without the "happy" The Matrix later.
An AI that can beat the human champion at the Go game (https://slashdot.org/index2.pl?fhfilter=alphago) is capable of learning a task of unlimited complexity. The only limitation will be the difficulty of training the AI. Given enough training time, there is no job that can't be replaced.
"He took a duck in the face at 250 knots." -- William Gibson, Pattern Recognition
No, no. Not "replaced"; There will be a reduction in work force. And you can go retrain yourself, at your own cost. sucks to be you H1B genius.
EU politicians have the naive (or racist?) idea that in the future, China will produce goods and western countries will design them.
EU workers are not stupid and understood that China also want to do the design. Hence their fate is to be replaced not by a machine, but by a Chineese worker designing machine-made products.
DARPA Robots are full 2.1D autonomous. Cars have far less degrees of liberty and their "environment" is heavily subsidized.
Why are drones (3D evolution) and electric train (1.xD evolution) easy to build?
Well in the case of drones makers don't care about limiting the movements so rules of feedbacks are easy. In case of train, it is even easier.
It is all about the size of the decision tree and the number of input(sensors)/output(effectors) that are coupled you need to control. There probably is a metric to give you the domain of "accessible" low hanging fruits of automation that can be set according to the domain.
General purpose automates are at best expensive, at worst a scam (see the mechanical Türk).
One way to make bots efficient is to specialize them. Hence the Jacquart mecanic computer that created the industrial revolution of the XIXth and set the workers on fights and created the conditions for WWI.
I guess no one saw the problem of efficiency still exists even with infinite R&D budget (thanks the FED and the QE, free K-PEX).
The problem of robots is by requiring quite a lot of investment for their deployment they set an unfair competition between people being backed up by capital and innovative self made man without capital. But it has nothing to do with the robots. It is all about the unfair access to investment/capital and letting the one having the money makes the rules.
That was the reason to be of the Luddites.
Everyone is getting their panties in a bunch over this when it's just not going to happen. There is no such thing as 'AI', there are just cheesy 'expert systems' that mimick intelligence for a very limited subject. There are simply too many things that humans need to do that you can't make a machine to do, and there are too many things that humans won't accept a non-human to do. Also you want to invoke World War 3? Put hundreds of millions of people out of work worldwide. There WILL be war. But it's all good: Because it's not going to happen anyway. Everyone is spreading FUD on this subject just like they're doing with self-driving cars. None of this technology is anywhere NEAR the point where people are being led to believe it is. Rest assured that you'll all live out the rest of your lives without having to worry about some robot taking your job.
Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
The "I Am Rich" app would have been a sufficient replacement for most of them. Fortunately for them, it was removed from the iShiny app store.
The idea that automation will obsolete all workers, is fundamentally wrong, as there is at least one field of work that is effectively infinite and neverending:
Scientific Research.
Even if you successfully replicate the human mind perfectly, such that machines can perform scientific research well beyond the abilities of humans, that doesn't even matter, as there will always be more of this work left to do, and the breadth of work here will be enormous - so humans will still be capable of participating - and given how random a lot of scientific/technological progress can be, humans will even have the advantage of having to approach this from a different, more limited perspective, that will require very different thinking abilities, particularly distilling knowledge into simpler more manageable forms (which can help in gaining unique insights).
AI will definitely supplement this, but I don't think humans and AI will be mutually exclusive - with AI replacing humans - in the manner that todays utopian buzz around AI speculates.
If corporations use robots and AI to make huge cuts into their workforces and create massive unemployment, who's going to buy their stuff?
Looks like unregulated/poorly regulated market forces are a suicide pact for free-market neoliberal capitalism and we'll need big gubbermint to sort this mess out... again.
title should read:
Countries with huge manufacturing jobs think AI/Robots will replace their workforce..
Countries with little manufacturing jobs and robot programming expertise think AI/Robots will NOT replace their workforce..
When robots start building robots, I'm sure the Germans will have a different attitude.
A lot of Koreans are now intrigued by the tech of AI and the future with AI, because of the Go match between Lee and AlphaGo. What I can see is that a lot of Koreans are afraid of losing their jobs because of advanced AI. But I do feel a little bit uncomfortable with mass media of Korea trying to alert public that "we have to be prepared for that situation happening". I think the disappearance of jobs has happened all the time since the very old human had found out how to use fire. Because of advance of tech, some jobs are gone while some new jobs come. It is not something that we have to be afraid of, I think it is better for us to think about how can I enhance the performance of my job with the AI tech.
past 3. The bad news is you're wrong...
/. the 1% are getting shit done...
Yes, we say "AI" when we really mean "Expert System" but you're massively underestimating the power of a modern expert system. Self driving cars alone show you want works. Yes, they have problems, but there's so much money to be made with them that even if the problems aren't solved they'll be lived with. The squishy humans will have to learn to live with the self driving cars, not the other way around. If all else fails the folks driving (pun) the change will buy laws that shift liability so they can have them. You will note that here in the USA we just passed laws making Arbitration Agreements legally binding in all cases. While you and me are posting to
As for war, not gonna happen. The best example of this I've seen is when a bunch of Pakistani Terrorists showed up with guns at a major skyscraper in India and blew a bunch of folks away. It came out that the Pakistani gov't knew it was gonna happen and didn't bother telling India. That's the kinda thing that should have started a war. Remember Arch Duke Ferdinand? Back in the 20s minor crap like that could set things off. Today a large scale terrorist attack just gets brushed off.
Basically our corporate overlords are now global. They no longer have anything to be gained from large scale wars. Small scale ones like Iraq are fine. They keep the pleebs in line, breed a few terrorists to keep everyone too scared to ask for better working conditions and let them run a Military Industrial Complex for profit. But the real big ones that bite into profits are a thing of the past.
The only way out of this is Socialism and redistribution of wealth. I knew it feels bad. You don't like the idea of someone with a good life not stressing out at work because, well, you do, so why shouldn't they. That's why the 1% always talk about how hard they work (lies) and why they make it sound like they're risking capital when investing (also lies). They don't want you to notice they're living the life they deny everybody else...
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We used to have 4 administrative and 20 floor workers in out factory. Now we have 2 administrative and 6 floor workers. I continue to build robots...