Climate-Exodus Expected In The Middle East And North Africa (phys.org)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Phys.Org: Researchers of the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry and the Cyprus Institute in Nicosia have calculated that the Middle East and North Africa could become so hot that human habitability is compromised. The goal of limiting global warming to less than two degrees Celsius, agreed at the recent UN climate summit in Paris, will not be sufficient to prevent this scenario. The result is deeply alarming: Even if Earth's temperature were to increase on average only by two degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial times, the temperature in summer in these regions will increase more than twofold. This means that during hot days temperatures south of the Mediterranean will reach around 46 degrees Celsius (approximately 114 degrees Fahrenheit) by mid-century. Such extremely hot days will occur five times more often than was the case at the turn of the millennium. In combination with increasing air pollution by windblown desert dust, the environmental conditions could become intolerable and may force people to migrate.

Comments

Re:Wrong as per usual Warming Alarmists

[Hylandr]

114 is a cold day for a Tucson summer.

What are these climate-whiners on about this time?

More Great Editing

[chipschap]

This is in the summary:

"the temperature in summer in these regions will increase more than twofold"

This literally means that if the temp averaged 90F it will then average 180F. That's a lot of climate change.

Could we, you know, maybe have something that makes sense? Like "the temperature in summer in these regions will increase twice as much as previously expected"?

Slashdot may have new owners but the editing hasn't quite gotten there yet.

Re:More Great Editing

[JesseMcDonald]

"the temperature in summer in these regions will increase more than twofold"

This literally means that if the temp averaged 90F it will then average 180F. That's a lot of climate change.

It's worse than that, because 0F is just an arbitrary point on the temperature scale. The only sensible way to interpret a doubling of temperature is relative to absolute zero, so this means that if the temperate averaged 90F (305 Kelvin) it will then average 638F (610 Kelvin).

That is, indeed, well outside the range of human habitability.

Re: And this makes the Republicans...

[Anonymous Coward]

Please stop with the bullshit.

There is no evidence global warming has killed anyone.

Cold, now that has killed 40,000 extra just in the UK in one winter due to being unable to afford heating due to higher bills caused by useless green costs added on the price of energy for no reason.

Re: And this makes the Republicans...

[Locke2005]

Summer heat waves have killed hundreds in Europe (mostly elderly), although it hard to distinguish "global warming" from "normal variations in temperature".

Re: Wrong as per usual Warming Alarmists

[Namarrgon]

Average high temp for a Tucson summer is 99 degrees, so no, 114 is not a cold day. In fact, there's only 7 days on record where it's ever reached that high.

Re:The Dems will see to that no matter what

[MightyMartian]

Forgetting, of course, the amount of methane trapped in the permafrost in Siberia and Canada, which would greatly accelerate the warming, as methane is a far more potent greenhouse gas than CO2.

Re:That's one way to convince the deniers

[dwywit]

You're being selective. The plagues during the first half of the second millennium were estimated to have killed killed from 30% to 60% of the population of Europe+Asia. You're making it sound like it killed 90% - that was the death rate from people who caught it. The rest of the population either a. weren't exposed, or b. resistant.