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Elon Musk: 'One In Billions' Chance We're Not Living In A Computer Simulation (vox.com)

An anonymous reader writes: At Recode's annual Code Conference, Elon Musk explained how we are almost certainly living in a more advanced civilization's video game. He said: "The strongest argument for us being in a simulation probably is the following. Forty years ago we had pong. Like, two rectangles and a dot. That was what games were. Now, 40 years later, we have photorealistic, 3D simulations with millions of people playing simultaneously, and it's getting better every year. Soon we'll have virtual reality, augmented reality. If you assume any rate of improvement at all, then the games will become indistinguishable from reality, even if that rate of advancement drops by a thousand from what it is now. Then you just say, okay, let's imagine it's 10,000 years in the future, which is nothing on the evolutionary scale. So given that we're clearly on a trajectory to have games that are indistinguishable from reality, and those games could be played on any set-top box or on a PC or whatever, and there would probably be billions of such computers or set-top boxes, it would seem to follow that the odds that we're in base reality is one in billions. Tell me what's wrong with that argument. Is there a flaw in that argument?" You can watch Elon Musk's full interview on YouTube.

3 of 951 comments (clear)

  1. Re:"Is there a flaw in that argument?" by Capsaicin · · Score: 5, Funny

    ... where did the uber-advanced civilization come from which created our Universe?

    You're very clever Nutria, but it's simulations all the way down.

    --
    Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
  2. Re:Scientology not Science by Dashiva+Dan · · Score: 5, Funny

    Without ANY bugs? Really? The only way this idea works is if you have a divine programmer who cannot make any mistakes who created the universe. This is more like scientology than science.

    If my life has been a software simulation let me assure you, there's a LOT of bugs.

    --
    "lt;dr" is the correct response to most of my posts.
  3. Re:Scientology not Science by NickFortune · · Score: 5, Funny

    Without ANY bugs? Really? The only way this idea works is if you have a divine programmer who cannot make any mistakes who created the universe

    Reminds me of one of my favourites from /usr/games/fortune


            "Yo, Mike!"
            "Yeah, Gabe?"
            "We got a problem down on Earth. In Utah."
            "I thought you fixed that last century!"
            "No, no, not that. Someone's found a security problem in the physics program. They're getting energy out of nowhere."
            "Blessit! Lemme look... Hey, it's there all right! OK, just a sec... There, that ought to patch it. Dist it out, wouldja?"
                    -- Cold Fusion, 1989

    --
    Don't let THEM immanentize the Eschaton!