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China To UK: 'Golden' Ties At Crucial Juncture Over Nuclear Delay (reuters.com)

mdsolar quotes a report from Reuters: China has cautioned Britain against closing the door to Chinese money and said relations were at a crucial juncture after Prime Minister Theresa May delayed signing off on a $24 billion nuclear power project. In China's sternest warning to date over May's surprise decision to review the building of Britain's first nuclear plant in decades, Beijing's ambassador to London said that Britain could face power shortages unless May approved the Franco-Chinese deal. "The China-UK relationship is at a crucial historical juncture. Mutual trust should be treasured even more," Liu Xiaoming wrote in the Financial Times. "I hope the UK will keep its door open to China and that the British government will continue to support Hinkley Point -- and come to a decision as soon as possible so that the project can proceed smoothly." The comments signal deep frustration in Beijing at May's move to delay, her most striking corporate intervention since winning power in the political turmoil which followed Britain's June 23 referendum to leave the European Union.

170 comments

  1. Greetings, Starfighter. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Greetings, Starfighter .

    You have been recruited by the Star League to defend the frontier against Xur and the Ko-Dan armada.

    1. Re:Greetings, Starfighter. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Greetings, Starfighter .

      You have been recruited by the Star League to defend the frontier against Xur and the Ko-Dan armada.

      Ahhhhhh..... old memories. I actually rather liked that movie back in the 80s.

    2. Re:Greetings, Starfighter. by gx5000 · · Score: 1

      DUDE THANKS :)

      --
      End of Line.
  2. It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Given that the wholesale price being guaranteed by the government for each kWh was massively higher than even the price consumers are expected to be paying when it was due to open I see no reason to go ahead with it. Energy prices should be dropping not climbing as we have better renewables being developed.

    1. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Chrisq · · Score: 4, Informative

      Given that the wholesale price being guaranteed by the government for each kWh was massively higher than even the price consumers are expected to be paying when it was due to open I see no reason to go ahead with it. Energy prices should be dropping not climbing as we have better renewables being developed.

      Yes but quite a few politicians would have got backhanders, erm I mean consultation fees

    2. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Going_Digital · · Score: 1

      Absolutely, the only advantage to having infrastructure projects in the private sector is to remove the risks from the public sector. This deal basically gave the government all the risk and the private sector all the rewards. The government may as well own it if they are taking the risks and therefore avoid the national security risks of having a nuclear facility owned by foreign nations.

    3. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > The UK is mostly in a poor region for solar

      Sure, but with utility installs at $1/Wp, that's actually a moot point. At this point a larger concern is lack of land.

      > wind performance isn't exactly spectacular

      The UK's average wind CF is 32% in 2014, which is slightly better than average. That is up significantly from previous years, due to the installation of newer (larger) turbines. It is also installing wind second only to Germany in Europe.

      > They would have to install massive amounts of offshore wind overcapacity

      Given that a wind turbine costs $1.50/Wp and a nuclear reactor $8.25/Wp, you can install 5.5 W of turbines for every W of reactor. With a CF of 32% vs. 72% for nuclear (old plants are terrible) that means the effective CAPEX cost is:

      wind: $1.50 / .32 = $4.70 / Wc
      nuclear: $8.25 / .80 = $10.30 / Wc

      So wind costs less than half as much to build the same capacity. Moreover, in the last 25 years wind has decreased about three times in cost while nuclear has doubled. So, given a 10 year construction time for Hinkley C, these numbers will only get worse for nuclear. The decision is quite clear.

    4. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Pax681 · · Score: 5, Informative

      The UK is mostly in a poor region for solar so that is not really an option, and wind performance isn't exactly spectacular. They would have to install massive amounts of offshore wind overcapacity to significantly reduce carbon production, which would be even more expensive. Their options are limited.

      oh.. so please.. tell my why it is that 57.7 per cent of Scotland's electricity came from renewables in 2015? Do you think it' because Scotland does rather well with shitloads of offshore and wind generation? .. I know it is .. try researching before opening your mouth and letting your belly rumble. we currently use the following...
      Hydro-electric power
      Wind power
      Wave power
      Tidal power
      Biofuels
      Biodiesel
      Biogas, anaerobic digestion and landfill gas
      Solid biomass
      Micro systems
      Solar energy
      Geothermal energy
      And are world leaders on research too! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... and behold the plethora of renewable stuff that gives us more than half our energy needs in Scotland... so tell me... how does it feel to be someone who could not be more wrong if your name was W . Wrongy Wrongenstien???

    5. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by sittingnut · · Score: 2

      you forget all the problems with wind.
      here is a videos compilation of one of the most obvious ones (from all over the place, remember this is few of the many many videos of available and remember that not most of such are recorded in video ).
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    6. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The strategy is going to be balls deep in shale, with gas powered generation (very cheap). We have enough shale to last us a century or two.

    7. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget the deaths per terawatt-hour for anything nuclear. Just those figures alone should make people reconsider things.

    8. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by knightghost · · Score: 2

      Completely disregarding that coal puts out 100x more radiation during normal operations than all the nuclear meltdowns combined.

    9. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by knightghost · · Score: 0, Troll

      Because there are still power outages while you pay several times the necessary price for fairytale power sources?

    10. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Extreme_biker0 · · Score: 0

      Nobody is 'forgetting' that wind turbines fail, but in all those videos how many people were hurt/killed? One bird, I saw. And negligible impact on the energy grid. The main issue is that a new turbine needs to be put up. Compared to the failure mode for nuclear which would you prefer?

    11. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 4, Informative

      > you forget all the problems with wind

      No, I don't. Because most of them are made up by people who don't work in the energy industry, work for other sources (the nuclear and coal industries publish a constant stream of anti-renewables materials) or just don't want turbines in their backyard and will pick up any any old crap they find on the 'net as "proof", like YouTube videos.

      Let me make this very simple: the people who actually buy, sell and finance these things *don't care about these made up problems* that anti-wind people dream up. They are as cogent as complaining about the color of the blades. Want proof?

      https://www.iea.org/Textbase/npsum/WEO2015SUM.pdf

    12. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Pop69 · · Score: 1

      Well, yes, if it wasn't for the fact the plant will be owned and operated by EDF. The French state owned power company. Not seeing a private sector there

    13. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except the UK has almost completely stopped burning coal for electricity...

    14. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The UK is mostly in a poor region for solar so that is not really an option, and wind performance isn't exactly spectacular.

      Yeah, but the minute we invent rain power we'll be laughing.

    15. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Exept ratifying that Paris climate accord means you have already agreed to leave nearly all of it in the ground.

    16. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Pax681 · · Score: 4, Informative

      power outages? only in storms or some such.. sorry bud but apart from the 1970's when strikes hit and there was a 3 day week... no power outages here apart from after storms etc. to say it's a shortage of generating power is is just plain bullshit and you made it up. .. Fairlytale? 57.7% of power generated for Scotland was renewable and we even exported some 24%..
      As for paying several times the price? you are a fucking idiot pal, i pay quite cheap rates with my electricity supplier and it's mostly renewable ( www.ovoenergy.com ) not because i am all green and that but because IT'S FUCKING CHEAPER AND I WANT TO SAVE MONEY!
      same reason i used energy saving light bulbs.. it's cheaper on my pocket You sir are full of shit!

    17. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Power outages? What are you on about?

    18. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by SomeoneFromBelgium · · Score: 1

      Well Mr. D.
      In this link you can find that the UK already produces 25% of it's energy with renewable sources.

      And this and this article remark (unsurprisingly) that the UK has an enormous potential for wind enegy, especially off-shore.

      So, limited options my ass.

    19. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Finally a reasoned argument against nuclear that actually makes sense. It only makes business sense to get power from the cheapest long term source possible, and so long as it doesn't harm the environment, everything is good.

      That environmentally friendly source was once nuclear power (Yes, there's waste, but apart from disasters or countries with a history of major issues mishandling waste, it's clean). If the numbers you're saying are true, it no longer is. You would need the argument of not having space or wind enough to install nuclear.

      (Hey, mdsolar, you want people to stop hating you? Post shit like this.)

    20. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Not these lies again? 87% of Scotland's power usage was from coal and oil, most of which was imported. Do some research yourself next time. Even the Krankie backtracked on her former disinformation campaign once she was pulled up on it.

      Like almost everything to do with Scotland, it needs external help to operate day to day.

    21. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many wind turbines would you need to install to equal the output of Hinkley? What area of land would this cover? What will your backup generation be for days when the wind is low?

    22. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      The UK is mostly in a poor region for solar so that is not really an option, and wind performance isn't exactly spectacular. They would have to install massive amounts of offshore wind overcapacity to significantly reduce carbon production, which would be even more expensive. Their options are limited.

      oh.. so please.. tell my why it is that 57.7 per cent of Scotland's electricity came from renewables in 2015? Do you think it' because Scotland does rather well with shitloads of offshore and wind generation? .. I know it is .. try researching before opening your mouth and letting your belly rumble. we currently use the following... Hydro-electric power Wind power Wave power Tidal power Biofuels Biodiesel Biogas, anaerobic digestion and landfill gas Solid biomass Micro systems Solar energy Geothermal energy And are world leaders on research too! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... and behold the plethora of renewable stuff that gives us more than half our energy needs in Scotland... so tell me... how does it feel to be someone who could not be more wrong if your name was W . Wrongy Wrongenstien???

      And how much is solar and wind, the two items I was speaking to? Solar barely registers on the scale, wind is the only growing sector, that is why I spoke of it.

    23. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Well Mr. D. In this link you can find that the UK already produces 25% of it's energy with renewable sources.

      And this and this article remark (unsurprisingly) that the UK has an enormous potential for wind enegy, especially off-shore.

      So, limited options my ass.

      Very little new renewable generation is anything but wind. And I specifically stated that offshore wind was their best option going forward. Biomass has major limits, and Hydro is basically installed, very few countries will add any any hydro generation. Like I said, options are limited.

    24. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 3, Informative

      cost is:

      wind: $1.50 / .32 = $4.70 / Wc nuclear: $8.25 / .80 = $10.30 / Wc

      An installed watt of nuclear generates 3 to 5 times the amount of electricity in a year as an installed watt of wind. And you get the added value of reliability and dependability.

    25. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 3, Funny

      Except the UK has almost completely stopped burning coal for electricity...

      Converting British coal plants to burning wood chips from shredded American trees does not count as going carbon free.

    26. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Funny

      same reason i used energy saving light bulbs.. it's cheaper on my pocket You sir are full of shit!

      Scots are the only reason I might use a site like slashdot which used video instead of text. I'm imagining your comment spoken emphatically and with the appropriate accent... and want to subscribe to your youtube channel

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    27. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by AmiMoJo · · Score: 0

      Some people just can't seem to get past their "more power = better lifestyle" fallacy. In fact it's usually the opposite way around the developed countries. Saving energy = saving money = more money to spend on other stuff, while not losing anything.

      In fact the energy saving stuff if often better. BMW drivers wet themselves when they see how fast my EV accelerates. The look on their faces is priceless.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    28. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Pax681 · · Score: 0

      Not these lies again? 87% of Scotland's power usage was from coal and oil, most of which was imported. Do some research yourself next time. Even the Krankie backtracked on her former disinformation campaign once she was pulled up on it.

      Like almost everything to do with Scotland, it needs external help to operate day to day.

      LOL.. just by calling the First minister "Krankie" you show your absolute bias against her party and thus negates your statement.
      how about you back up your claims with some verifiable links? if not ... GET IT RIGHT UP YOU! :-) back it up or blow it out yer rectum pal

    29. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by ComputerGeek01 · · Score: 1

      If only there were a form of renewable energy that could be utilized by a giant island... hmmm.... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... .

    30. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Pax681 · · Score: 2

      The UK is mostly in a poor region for solar so that is not really an option, and wind performance isn't exactly spectacular. They would have to install massive amounts of offshore wind overcapacity to significantly reduce carbon production, which would be even more expensive. Their options are limited.

      oh.. so please.. tell my why it is that 57.7 per cent of Scotland's electricity came from renewables in 2015? Do you think it' because Scotland does rather well with shitloads of offshore and wind generation? .. I know it is .. try researching before opening your mouth and letting your belly rumble. we currently use the following... Hydro-electric power Wind power Wave power Tidal power Biofuels Biodiesel Biogas, anaerobic digestion and landfill gas Solid biomass Micro systems Solar energy Geothermal energy And are world leaders on research too! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... and behold the plethora of renewable stuff that gives us more than half our energy needs in Scotland... so tell me... how does it feel to be someone who could not be more wrong if your name was W . Wrongy Wrongenstien???

      And how much is solar and wind, the two items I was speaking to? Solar barely registers on the scale, wind is the only growing sector, that is why I spoke of it.

      There are SHITELOADS and i mean SHITELOADS of wind generation in Scotland... We have an abundance of shite weather and wind to spin those puppies..LOL.. solar.. i'll grant you that. not so much but there are those who have them on their roofs. Wind farms.. seriously.. if you even just have a drive from Edinburgh to glasgow.. glasgow to Ayr or anywhere to anywhere here you will find a veritable fuck-ton of wind generation both on and offshore(for offshore see Donald Trump's pissy fit over the fact there's a rather big one that's expanding in Menie where he tried to take the Scottish Govt to court and lost... lost ...lost .
      http://www.express.co.uk/news/.....
      the below report from 2015(capacity has expanded since then...)

      The country now has 2,683 wind turbines capable of generating 5,115MW of electricity, although there are 282 more under construction and a further 2,202 with planning consent.

      Once they are all operational, Scotland will have an installed wind power capacity of 12,769MW - the sixth highest in the world behind China, the USA, Germany, Spain and India.

      It would also result in the world's highest density of wind power capacity, with 163MW for every 1,000km2.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
      1 Offshore Wind Farms
      2 Large wind farms

      2.1 Black Law Wind Farm
      2.2 Braes of Doune Wind Farm
      2.3 Clyde Wind Farm
      2.4 Crystal Rig Wind Farm
      2.5 Farr Wind Farm
      2.6 Hadyard Hill Wind Farm
      2.7 Robin Rigg Wind Farm
      2.8 Whitelee Wind Farm

      3 Under construction or proposed
      3.1 Viking Wind Farm
      3.2 Offshore wind farms

      4 Community ownership of wind farms
      so tell me... plus there the other renewables and smaller wind farms and an assload of farmers who have two to three turbines on their land as it generates extra income and gets them free electricity........ Sir.. I call you on on your BS!

    31. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only you said carbon free. The gp's were commenting on the radioactive waste from coal plants being vastly higher, on average, than from nuclear plants. Even with fuku and chern, it's still lower.

      Also, you are an ass.

    32. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Alioth · · Score: 3, Informative

      "All the problems with wind" is a bit of an overexaggeration. In fact, the video nicely shows how resilient it is. For instance, the first clip is of a wind turbine on fire. Notice how the rest of the wind farm is not on fire. The wind farm would have perhaps lost 2% of its capacity, but it has resilience in numbers.

      To start with, yes, I think the UK needs new nuclear capacity - we need *something* that's not coal that is good at doing baseload.

      But on the other hand: from the point of view of the National Grid, wind does have certain advantages:

      * Each generator is small and there are an awful lot of them. A generator or two going offline doesn't cause sudden capacity problems. However, a large nuclear generating plant going offline suddenly can cause a huge power shortage that can be solved only by shedding load (in other words, blackouts).

      * The wind, over a period of the next few hours, is pretty easy to predict. The wind doesn't just suddenly and unexpectedly stop blowing. You can pretty much say the wind will be doing in 10 minutes time what it's doing now, and if it's not going to do that (e.g. due to the passage of a frontal system) you can at least know what it's going to do. Not so with a large powerplant which may suddenly go offline with no warning.

    33. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2, Informative

      > An installed watt of nuclear generates 3 to 5 times the amount of electricity in a year

      You did *actually read the post*, right? I ask, because you quoted the part that negates your complaint right here:

      wind: $1.50 / .32 = $4.70 / Wc nuclear: $8.25 / .80 = $10.30 / Wc

      Do you see the .32 and .80? Those are the capacity factors. Capacity factor is the "amount of electricity in a year" you're trying to talk about. It is not "3 to 5" times as you claim, it is about 2.5 times, yet wind is so much cheaper than nuclear to build that it doesn't make a difference, on a per kWh basis, wind is still less than half the cost.

      Those numbers, by the way, are actually being very favorable to nuclear, because the actual value measured last year was 72%, not 80% as I put here. I used 80 because Hinkley would improve the CF, and I think that's a fair estimate of the result.

    34. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why not, if it's sustainable?

    35. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      http://www.nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/deaths-per-twh-by-energy-source.html

      Nuclear has by far the lowest deaths per terawatt hour. Those figures alone SHOULD make people reconsider things, like getting more nuclear power.

    36. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      57.7% of Electricity GENERATED comes from renewables in Scotland. Consumed electricity levels are higher due to the up and down nature of renewals which then rely on pulling electricity from down south or their other plants.

      Still, 57.7% is a good figure.

    37. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lack of land is almost nowhere a problem for solar since rooftops provide plenty of space when averaged over a whole country.
      With cheap enough panels, the roof orientation also doesn't matter much, unless it's a very steep roof. In Germany it is very common to install on both the oeast and west facing roofs, and provide peak power in morning and evening, while other roofs provide the mid-day peak power.

    38. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      No, he factored the capacity factor in. 32% for wind, 80% for nuclear (being generous, actual number is 72% in the UK). Even including that, wind is already less than half the cost of nuclear, and falling.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    39. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah renewables, where everyone ignores the mildly inconvenient truth that its no good for baseload, and the only thing good as baseload is hydro, nuke, coal, natural gas, or geothermal if you have it.

    40. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > The wind doesn't just suddenly and unexpectedly stop blowing.

      Indeed, a very much underappreciated - or deliberately ignored - point.

      I've seen the software they use for this. They're predicting wind output more than 24 hours in advance, in 15 minute baskets. They have all the information they need to bring up or down other sources as needed.

      IBM used to have a couple of pages about it but I can no longer find them.

    41. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > Still, 57.7% is a good figure.

      Hell ya!

      Of course, it's 59.3 in Canada, so take that! :-)

    42. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd take that over Fukushima or Chernobyl any day. Nobody gets hurt and no global contamination for a million years when a turbine fails.

    43. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by sjames · · Score: 1

      Even so, the projected costs for the plant are several times the cost of similar plants using the same design. Even assuming they go with nuclear, they can get a much better deal.

    44. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Dog-Cow · · Score: 1

      I believe you meant Wrongy McWrongface.

    45. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by ChumpusRex2003 · · Score: 1

      The key subsidy for the Hinkley Point C project is the contract for difference (CFD) which assures a stable level of revenue provided that the plant performs. The CFD, designed to provide an inflation linked "fixed" price for energy sold, is the exact same model as has been used for renewable generation in the UK for the last decade or so. The idea is that any "low carbon" energy source can utilise the same financial and legislative framework. (With some complications because "renewable" energy is exempt from state aid restrictions under EU law, whereas nuclear energy is not). The CFD is valued so as to provide an agreed level of earnings (after interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) which is typically around 10% per annum if the project were to be delivered as planned. This framework has proved highly successful for the deployment of wind, solar and biomass, as well as other projects which are classed as "low-carbon energy" such as development of district heating systems, combined heat-and-power schemes, etc.

      The CFD provides, for a specified duration, a known revenue per unit production. The CFD is inflation linked, but is also linked to O&M costs and financial risks to capital costs, so factors such as a change in finance rates for debt, tax rates, as well as change in staffing, maintenance, waste disposal/decommissioning or fuel costs for whatever reason, would trigger a CFD revaluation.

      While the CFD is designed to transfer macroeconomic risks to the government, it is designed to retain project risks with the project owner. The CFD has a fixed duration of operation, which will start at the scheduled date of plant commissioning. Late delivery of the project effectively shortens the duration of the CFD. There is also an option for the government to unilaterally withdraw from the CFD, in the event that the project delivery is very late (7 years).

      However, having developed this framework, the UK government did agree to take on some of the project financial risk, by agreeing to underwrite loans given to EDF in relation to the project. This would protect investors from an EDF bankruptcy, although as a French state-owned company, an insolvency would seem somewhat unlikely, as I would expect the French government to step in.

      That said, even the loan guarantees have a get-out clause. In the event that the plant under construction in France at Flamanville is not successfully commissioned by 2020, then the loan guarantees are void. There is a real risk that this clause may be triggered: Flamanville is in a precarious state; Areva, the plant vendor decided to bring fabrication of the reactor pressure vessel in house, instead of subcontracting it out. Whereas the external contractor (Japan Steel Works) had already produced a good quality RPV for a Finnish plant, Areva had experienced delays in upgrading their forge to do the work, and had not validated their forging process by destructive testing of a prototype prior to fabricating the RPV. Only after the RPV had been installed, and the rest of the plant built around it, was a prototype destructively tested, and found not to be of acceptable quality.

    46. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Until the next series of accidents, nevermind the spent fuel rods we are then stuck with so false equiv...

    47. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      I never said there was no wind power in Scotland, I said wind power is pretty much the only option for the UK for adding much new renewable power

    48. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Cost is not calculated that way. Beside, using worst case nuclear numbers vs best case wind numbers does not present the real picture. New, well maintained nuclear units run at closer to 90% CF.

    49. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1
      Let me fix that for you;

      If only there were a PRACTICAL and COST EFFECTIVE form of renewable energy that could be utilized by a giant island... hmmm.... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... .

    50. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by HiThere · · Score: 1

      The problem, though, is that Britain is pretty far North, so you get diminished intensity insolation. It also has a lot of cloudy and rainy days, which at least around were I live drastically reduces solar output. That's why they're so interested in wind. (Is off-shore wind practical yet?)

      Britain should also be able to get a lot of power out of wave and tide generators, but those seem to be more expensive to develop, and possibly only work where there's appropriate terrain...and that could mean large scale underwater construction. IIRC when it was tried in Scotland the flows were so fierce that it tore up the generators, so the power is there. I'd expect both the Irish Sea and the English Channel to be a good place for tidal generators...but the propellers might need to be larger than they would around Scotland, with the flow being both smoother and weaker. OTOH, that kind of thing hasn't yet been done successfully, at least on a large scale, so figuring expenses (especially maintenance) would be a ballpark guess.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    51. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yes but quite a few politicians would have got backhanders, erm I mean consultation fees

      We don't have corruption like that in the UK. Nobody is taking payments for this. How dare you.

      They get directorships when they come out of office with an annual fee larger than a congresional lobbyist's entertainment budget and live the rest of their lives travelling from one board meeting (in the Bahamas) to the next (in the Cayman islands). These are professionals you are talking about. Not some amateur bunch of losers.

    52. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Pax681 · · Score: 1

      The UK is mostly in a poor region for solar so that is not really an option, and wind performance isn't exactly spectacular. They would have to install massive amounts of offshore wind overcapacity to significantly reduce carbon production, which would be even more expensive. Their options are limited.

      um... they are installing massive amounts of wind generation.Both on and off shore. that's a climbdown and a half there pal..LOL.. there's already masses of them and masses more coming....thus your points are rather moot

    53. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can monitor wind turbines and schedule preventive maintenance at periods when the 2% is not even required.

    54. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's waste from mining the uranium ore which has to be taken into account, but then the full life cycle impact of wind must take into account creating the steel, concrete, etc.

    55. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by St.Creed · · Score: 1

      (Is off-shore wind practical yet?)

      Yes. The wind blows pretty much year-round over the Atlantic Ocean and the North Sea. Even The Netherlands, who still sit on a large supply of natural gas, is building windparks as fast as they can get them operational - and they're on the wrong side of the British Isles for wind. The major problem with the western side of Brittain is probably water depth. That's why the North Sea is quite attractive, because deep water platforms are NOT cheap enough to compete with more conventional methods of power production.

      As of 2023, the Dutch wind turbines now being built will produce 4450 megawatts per year. The aim is to reduce cost by 40% in 2020 with respect to the current pricing and it looks like they'll be able to reach that: they have standard 700 MW "plugging platforms" that are provided to the builders of the turbines to reduce cost. It is also assumed that the turbines to be installed will have a standard capacity of 10MW per turbine very soon (right now 4-8 MW), reducing cost per Kw/h as well.

      Charts for 2015 show different OPEX and CAPEX figures depending on where the turbines are built, ranging from pretty good to pretty expensive (source) .

      Best CAPEX/OPEX per Kw = 2500 and 125, with an estimated "full load hours" figure of 4200, giving a cost of 0,115 euro per Kw/h for sea-based windfarms (11,5 ct/w). Land-based wind is much cheaper (by about 40%), which means that to be competitive the cost needs to go down by that amount specifically for the "sea-based" part of the installation.

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
    56. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Not enough to meet the needs of the entire UK. It depends on your definition of massive, I suppose. Depending only on wind for any significant future generation additions is simply not practical.

    57. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Pax681 · · Score: 1

      Not enough to meet the needs of the entire UK. It depends on your definition of massive, I suppose. Depending only on wind for any significant future generation additions is simply not practical.

      Ah.. I see you assume I was referring to the UK as a whole while i mentioned ONLY SCOTLAND... while necessity may well be the mother of invention, presumption is the mother of fuck ups
      Scotland , being a constituent country of the UK ,for Scotland and the surplus renewables get "exported" to .. ENGLAND ...around 24% of it.
      If England wants to do the same, i suggest that you build more wind farms like we did.

    58. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      The post you and others responded to, which I made, specifically was talking about the UK. I had a lot of responses restricted to talking about Scotland. I'm not making the mistake.

    59. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Pax681 · · Score: 1

      aye dig lazarus dig! LOL..

    60. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      wind: $1.50 / .32 = $4.70 / Wc

      But the most recent estimate for installing wind for Scotland is shown here to be $6.46/w, a far cry from the $1.50 you came up with. Reality is a bitch.

      http://www.cnbc.com/2016/05/23...

    61. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Even so, the projected costs for the plant are several times the cost of similar plants using the same design. Even assuming they go with nuclear, they can get a much better deal.

      Not several times, but higher. There are two plants here proposed for the UK, to be built next to each other, not just one. I see that confused a lot.

    62. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      An actual recent estimate for installing wind for Scotland is shown here to be $6.46/w installed, a far cry from the $1.50 claimed.

      http://www.cnbc.com/2016/05/23...

    63. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by ChumpusRex2003 · · Score: 1

      Wave and tidal, seem to have catastrophic problems with cost so far. So far, no one has managed to demonstrate a scalable wave device. Many consortia have developed wave devices of various designs, but prototypes have proven usatisfactory. They tend to be of small scale and complex, and prototypes have had serious reliability problems and require extensive maintenance, making them unscaleable.

      Tidal projects have been examined on a variety of scales. A number of large scale projects such as a variety of designs of barrage across the Severn or Mersey estuaries have been assessed. The problem has been cost and environmental damage (and the cost of environmental mitigation, which can double or triple the cost of energy); estuaries hold extremely large biodiversity which can be quite sensitive to disturbance. Several Severn barrage projects have been proposed with a range of sizes between 300 and 8,600 MW, with expected energy costs (based on a 120 year asset life) of between £150-350/MWh. Mersey schemes have been costed in the region of £900-1200/MWh after environmental mitigation. There has also been some assessment of small scale tidal lagoon projects, where barriers are built around small coastal bays converting them to lagoons, rather than estuaries. Proponents have suggested that in optimal locations, they may be able to achieve a cost of around £170-200/MWh.

      So far, wind seems to be by far the most successful modality. Additionally, offshore has been remarkably successful as experience has been gained, and the CFD subsidy method has satisfied investors. There are a number of more ambitious offshore wind projects in the planning stages, but the capital costs may be higher, as the water is deeper and seabed more difficult. Additionally, there are potential connection difficulties, a number of the new sites under consideration are sufficiently far offshore than an AC electrical connection is not feasible. The problem is that the capital costs of offshore HVDC is substantial, with estimated capital costs for the inverters alone (excluding cable) in the region of £1/W; this is a similar magnitude to the capital cost of the turbines themselves!

    64. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by AHuxley · · Score: 1

      The pay back for political leaders is in party political patronage.
      Later full access to China is the lure held in front of any nation during such negotiations going back over decades.
      Political leaders see access to China for their friends in big business as their constituents not any price issues raised by voters.
      China wants to fully secure global profits and enjoy a constant flow of cash from as many different nations energy sectors as it is allowed to buy into.
      Nuclear needs experts to design, build, experts to keep the site maintained and then more experts to help with decommissioning. A wonderful way to lock in and set profits over the years of a project. The host nation just has to keep buying spare parts and passing on costs to its citizens.
      The UK should have been the exporter of such skills but like ship building, reactor vessel welding is a skill once lost that only a few nations can sell on the international market today.

      --
      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
    65. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For the same reason as 50% of Scotland's energy comes from nuclear power. Because Scotland is a huge empty expanse of land and sea, and it's an obvious place to put generating capacity of all kinds.

      Oh, that "57%" figure? That's complete and unmitigated bullshit. The only way to get to that figure is (1) to include nuclear in the total, and then (2) to assume that all the renewable energy is consumed domestically, and all the country's electricity exports are from the non-renewable-generated sector, which is of course ridiculous.

    66. Re: It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is less than new nuclear in terms of cost per installed watt. The other important figures are operating cost per watt and life cycle costs per watt, and for long lived items (e.g. over 50 years) that has to take into account rge expected variation of the cost of those inputs, and the availability of them over that period, so it can get complex.

      As an example, gas generation is cheap to build, but the North Sea is running low on gas, and shake reserves are largelt unproven, meaning a potential reliance on imports, so the input costs of gas are highly variable.

      Each of the methods of generation has its particular complexities, some of which are hard to model. For example, tidal power may affect silt dynamics and require expensive dredging in twenty five years that may be unexpected if modelling is incorrect, and the capital might not be available at that point.

      Another issue is ensuring that there is a diversity if supply to offset risk. Since private energy providers don't pay the cost of damage to the economy should there be insufficient power there is no particular incentive for them to provide it unless you do (as proposed) provide a high strike price for supply that is not intermittent to ensure it is built. One advantage that France has with EDF is that it can effectively mandate generation capacity of a type be installed at cost, which saves having to use high strike prices as a mechanism, but is only if overall benefit if the overall system also offers lower long term energy costs compared to a private system of supply. You can mitigate by trading energy over a wide geographical area to avoid intermittency, or subsidise sufficient overbuilding (which the UK is moving away from).

      Anyway, it's complicated.

    67. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by jandersen · · Score: 1

      Given that the wholesale price being guaranteed by the government for each kWh was massively higher than even the price consumers are expected to be paying when it was due to open I see no reason to go ahead with it. Energy prices should be dropping not climbing as we have better renewables being developed.

      I don't know if what you claim is factually true, and unfortunately I don't see any citations. And I don't think the numbers issue is important enough to engage me in a search, to be honest. But there are two things I think are incorrect:

      - There are plenty of reasons why we should not just abandon a project of this magnitude at such a late stage. One would assume - or at least hope - that those involved over the years have done all the necessary research into all apsects of the project, before they reach the stage where everybody were going to sign the deal; it is absolutely mindblowing that somebody pulls out of such a huge deal in this way, and I think the responses from the French and the Chinese is very, very muted, to say the least. There must be some people in high places that are absolutely fuming, right now. But that aside, we do actually need to build good business relationships both with the French and the Chinese, especially since we have stupidly chosen to walk away from the EU. It is hardly a secret that one of the main attractions of UK for foreign investors was the fact that we had a very welcoming investment climate as well as A POSITION WITHIN THE EU (sorry for shouting); us leaving has already given China and others pause for thought, and suddenly abandoning such a huge project as the Hinkley Point reactor seems to confirm that the UK aren't a reliable partner any more.

      - Another thing is, there is little reason to expect that energy must become cheaper in the future. Energy was cheap in the past because oil, gas and coal were easy to find, cheap to extract and because we burned them with no regard to the environment. Unless we build a working fusion reactor, energy prices will continue to rise; and even then it will make sense to keep the prices high through taxation, because we need to learn to economise with our resources. Perhaps at some point, when we have learned not to waste the larger part of everything we produce, we can start lowering energy prices, but I don't think we will return to the stupid energy orgy of the past.

    68. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's fine for "installed" watts, but when you want to "uninstall" later on, suddenly the price per watt goes through the roof.
      Dismounting a wind turbine, on the other hand, is super cheap, super fast, and does NOT entail burying millions of tons of construction materials underground for hundreds of years until the radiation levels reduce naturally.
      You can even relocate an existing wind turbine if the wind patterns or energy needs and locations change, but you ain't moving a fucking nuclear plant ANYWHERE!

    69. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hell, it wasn't done as a good deal for britain or its consumers, it was done because it would bring in more profit to the company.

      That means taking MORE that cost to do the work. If it were a good deal for britain, then the company wouldn't be too fussed about losing the contract because it was possible to be profitless for them.

    70. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The UK is as well placed as Germany, and it does solar no problem.

      And where the hell do you get the second claim from? The UK alone could provide all the wind power for Europe alone for the plans to 2050.

    71. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah baseload. Only trotted out by the incredulous when they want something to proclaim renewables "a failure" when ignorant of the fact that baseload is a shiboleth created by the Industrial Revolution making huge power stations that needed to be designed to produce large amounts of power consistently to run with maximum profit, therefore we WROTE OUR SOCIETY AROUND ITS PRODUCTION.

      Renewables are load following, and therefore matching the demand require less installed, since the peak production coincides with peak demand more reliably. And being "free", renewable overproduction can be just used for any old crap, whereas part of France's problem is that nuclear can't be ramped down and therefore peak renewable production means nuke power is NEGATIVE on spot prices: you can't even give it away.

    72. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Depending only on nuclear would be a disaster, as France is finding out.

      Why do you make pretend that "renewables" == Wind Only but ALSO "renewables" == Solar Only, and that "Nuclear" != Nuclear Only when you make your specious "argument"?

      Oh, I think I've worked that one out....

    73. Re:It was a terrible deal for Britain anyway by Agripa · · Score: 1

      That wholesale price reflects both the energy production cost and the cost of availability. The power from nuclear power plant is available under conditions where the power from renewable energy is not. If you are *only* going to pay for the energy production cost, then prepare for blackouts when power is not available at any price.

  3. Chinese island by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    If you're unaware, China has made an artificial island in the South China sea, near the Philippines. It's claiming a lot of sea off Vietnam, Malasia and Phillipines waters as its own territory. It's even build an airbase on the new island and placed ground-to-air missiles on it.

    It's military has targetted US spy planes flying over the islands, despite those planes having permission from the Philippines to fly over its sea.

    http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/07/30/world/asia/what-china-has-been-building-in-the-south-china-sea.html?_r=0

    UN has already adjudicated on this, and ruled the island as fake and the Chinese claim as false.

    Do you really want their nuclear power plant in a western country? They seem to want to stir up a war.

    1. Re:Chinese island by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      A lot of South East Asia is reminiscent of Europe in the 18th and 19th centuries. They're realizing their newfound power on the world stage and they're comparing dick sizes against each other. They're building monuments to try and out-impress each other and other status symbols. China is the modern day Britain or France. They want to lay claim to any rock one of their boats has ever passed. Whereas, so far they've pursued their irresponsible dreams responsibly, that could change at any time.

      China is currently looking in the mirror flexing its biceps saying:
      "Look at my guns".
      They want people to, *um* Panda, to their narcissism and say "Yes China, your abs do look buff."

      I don't think China want war. They just want people to admire them and they want to feel powerful and superior to other countries. I think China wants to pursue a peaceful path as they flex their muscle but there are dangers involved, and Britain and China could end up at odds against each other. I don't trust that China won't put something in place to ensure they take control of the plant should things turn from sweet to sour.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Chinese island by pereric · · Score: 4, Insightful

      so far they've pursued their irresponsible dreams responsibly, that could change at any time

      Mostly, from our point, yes. But probably many in in occupied Tibet or of the Uyghurs (and many other ethnical minorities) beg to differ.

    3. Re:Chinese island by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      We have to hope that is the case, but things can go from "let them have their pissing contest over some trash piles", to a complete war in a very short time. World War I is a good example of this, with "The Guns of August" being good documentation about how Europe went from the same family ruling every major country to pure chaos.

      Plus, with the leadership we have in the US and Europe (think Chamberlain and appeasement updated for the 21st century, where if Iran mined the strait of Hormuz, Merkel, Obama, and other leaders would apologize to the Supreme Leader and pay Iran for the mines their ships got destroyed by), it is very easy for a belligerent power to run without any pushback whatsoever from the West. With the changing of the guard happening next January in the US, either candidate is going to continue the same foreign policies.

      Time will tell. I hope it is just "OK, you guys are cool, we get that", and remains that way. However, it doesn't take much with all the global tensions for something relatively minor to catalyze a global conflict.

    4. Re:Chinese island by gtall · · Score: 4, Insightful

      BS: China was hegemony in S. E. Asia to tell others what to do. It wants Taiwan. It wants all of the S. China Sea. It wants the U.S. far, far away and unable to protect S. Korea and Japan from Chinese military adventures. If it needs to go to war to get that and its Communist oiks still running the show, then it will do that. There will be no public opinion to oppose it since public opinion is not allowed in their kingdom.

      Want to see what their view of S. E. Asia is? Look at Tibet and what they did to its people.

    5. Re:Chinese island by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 2

      China is busy imitating imperial Japan of the 1930s as a rogue state. Of course after less than a megaton of bombs, Japan calmed right down...

    6. Re:Chinese island by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      They weren't flying over Chinese territory. They were flying over international and Philippine waters. There just happened to be some shit in the water that China dumped there, if anything China should pay the Philippines reparations for illegal dumping.

    7. Re:Chinese island by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 2

      Actually, because of the one child policy, China is on the verge of a critical population bust.
      They know their time is now to flex their military muscle and try to grab as much as they can, because when their retiring populations come home to roost, they will have to pay for the social services to support them under their "communist" system.

      The CCP knows this and knows it will also have to make a hard decision of social spending versus everything else in the next 10-20 years.
      The US doesn't have this problem because of our immigration policies(or lack thereof...)

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
    8. Re:Chinese island by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China can do lots of things. For their sake, comparing the size of their dicks should not be one of them. However they do seem to be trying to compensate in other ways. Why can't they just buy a muscle car?

    9. Re:Chinese island by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You mean like the Indian Ocean? It seems more reasonable that it is indicating that it is a sea south of china rather than conferring ownership.

    10. Re:Chinese island by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

      Yes, and the Atlantic ocean belongs to Atlanta, GA.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    11. Re:Chinese island by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not sure why SCS has anything to do with the plant. But, if you get your timelines right, right after US announced the "pivot" to Asia, China started making more waves in the SCS and it became a huge controversy. Perhaps it's US trying to check and contain China that is making China look more "war" like.

      Look up the first island chain policy, and you know EXACTLY why China is doing what it's doing. They are trying to make sure they aren't contained like the US was trying to do during the cold war.

    12. Re:Chinese island by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Their one child policy also somewhat help China become a more developed nation. Look at India to see what happens when you have an uncontrolled birthrate. Also it's not like China's birth ratio was only equal to 1. It was something like 1.9, because the rural population and minorities were often able to have more than one child.

    13. Re:Chinese island by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps a minority of the ethnical minorities would beg to differ. Not to mention Uyghurs in Xinjiang who are separatists are ridiculous, claiming the whole of Xinjiang, when historically they were never the majority of all of Xinjiang, and only had high concentrations in the southern regions of Xinjiang.

    14. Re:Chinese island by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "they seem to want to stir up a war" - are you dumb, or something? The U.S has been waging war and strong-arming its way around foreign countries for decades, while China has never really ventured outside of its own neighborhood, but you think China is who we should be worried about, because they are "stirring up a war"? When China starts firing at other countries for no reason other than to achieve their own political ambitions, then you can talk, but for now you should stop regurgitating the U.S. propaganda that you've been swallowing for so long.

    15. Re:Chinese island by St.Creed · · Score: 1

      It still wouldn't make any sense. If that's the basis of law, pretty soon every country will have its own name for seas in the neighbourhood and chartmakers will be having a field day, producing charts that are different for each country. Followed right by the arms manufacturers.

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
    16. Re:Chinese island by CrashNBrn · · Score: 1

      You sure it doesn't belong to the Atlantic Provinces? Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, PEI and Newfoundland? ;)

  4. Not just the Chinese by Zocalo · · Score: 1

    The various unions at EDF have been less than happy with the terms of the deal for ages and have seized on this as grounds for EDF to invalidate their current agreement and re-negotiate their end of the deal on more favourable terms. Unions being what they are in matters like this, they'll probably be quite happy to sour the entire deal in the hope of getting a better deal for their members, and if a major deal between the UK and EDF goes south then that's almost certainly going to have a knock-on effect on the relationship with the French government. Yep, the same French government that is going to be taking a lead role in the Article 50 negotiations governing Brexit, already seems to be taking a hardline stance on the potential terms and, like all other members of the EU, has the ability to veto any deal that might be negotiated over Brexit. That all bodes well for a better Brexit deal with lower trade tariffs than the WTO default, doesn't it?

    Meanwhile, having annoyed the Chinese, Theresa May is now apparently trying to improve relations with Russia which, while it definitely needs to happen in its own right, doesn't exactly scan well in connection with alienating the Chinese the week prior.

    --
    UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    1. Re:Not just the Chinese by Feral+Nerd · · Score: 3, Interesting

      ...Yep, the same French government that is going to be taking a lead role in the Article 50 negotiations governing Brexit, already seems to be taking a hardline stance on the potential terms and, like all other members of the EU, has the ability to veto any deal that might be negotiated over Brexit. That all bodes well for a better Brexit deal with lower trade tariffs than the WTO default, doesn't it?

      Anybody who thinks the UK will get some sort of sweetheart deal on access to the common market is delusional ...the same goes for anybody who thinks that only getting access to the common market on WTO defaults won't have an impact on the UK economy because UK trade in goods and services with the EU is so minimal as to be unimportant. I'm pretty sure the negotiations about a post Brexit relationship with the EU nations will not be hallmarked by the EU doing Britain any favours. These negotiations will be long be hard and quite mercilessly focused on what's in the best interest of the EU and as the negotiations drag on the uncertainty over what future they will face will either deter companies from making investments in the UK or if they have UK based operations they will simply move those operations elsewhere in Europe where the political classes are less likely to shoot themselves in both feet.

      Meanwhile, having annoyed the Chinese, Theresa May is now apparently trying to improve relations with Russia which, while it definitely needs to happen in its own right, doesn't exactly scan well in connection with alienating the Chinese the week prior.

      Not to mention that fact that normalising relations with Russia as long as the Ukrainian wound continues to fester will piss off a whole string off their allies, most of whom the UK will be conducting sensitive trade and economic negotiations that will severely affect the economic future of the UK for the foreseeable future.

    2. Re:Not just the Chinese by Zocalo · · Score: 3, Informative

      I totally agree; there's never going to be a sweetheart deal, nor was there ever any chance of one. The EU has to look out for the EU at this point. Basically, I think it's going to come down a choice between an EEA access agreement similar to Norway's with all the strings that entails, or a full exit and having to pay trade tariffs to the EU with all the strings that entails. There will be a little give and take on the details, but pretty much everything else comes down to window dressing on the EEA terms & conditions. Obviously any EEA access agreement that includes the almost inevitable free travel precondition is going to be considered completely unacceptable to most of those who voted Brexit, so I'm really looking forwards to see how Theresa May tries to salvage this and get another term - and who she's going to throw under the bus to try and pull it off (other than David Davis and Boris Johnson, obviously).

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    3. Re:Not just the Chinese by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      I really wonder if May is trying to sabotage the whole thing. She put the worst of the Brexiters in charge of our negotiations and forging new deals with the rest of the world, making what was always going to be a difficult task doomed to utter failure. They all have unrealistic goals, a severe lack of talent and in Boris' case a well earned reputation for lying and xenophobia.

      May probably thinks that the situation is hopeless and that the only way she can survive is by making sure others take the blame.

      Oh, and don't forget that Scotland and maybe Gibraltar are very likely to leave the union soon, taking with them the last of our oil/gas and our best wind resources. If they are forced/decide to adopt the Euro too they could well walk away from much of the Sterling debt we amassed too.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    4. Re:Not just the Chinese by gtall · · Score: 1

      I think the biggest problem for Britain in the future is keeping their seed corn at home, the youngins weren't happy about leaving the EU and will resent having their career paths yoked to Britain's economy. If that causes a brain drain, Britain is screwed.

    5. Re: Not just the Chinese by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The youth europe-wide is going to have no career paths left anyway so why worry? Party's over for everyone.

    6. Re:Not just the Chinese by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      The EEA option would be the best we can hope for from this disaster, but I'd say the chances are remote. It will be a hard sell politically, because people want and end to freedom of movement and EU rules. Also, Norway might block us because it would create headaches for them, and potentially cause them political problems when we inevitably start trying to negotiate opt-outs and special treatment.

      I think the only way it could happen if a vote is somehow forced on Brexit. One of the legal challenges, or an early election, something like that which makes parliament have to approve the deal. And then there would need to be enough of a Tory meltdown/rebellion to reject the "full Brexit" route. Never go full Brexit.

      I think May is just hoping she can blame enough of her ministers for the inevitable disaster, and that Labour don't get their act together.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:Not just the Chinese by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Scotland doesnt own 100% of the UK's oil and gas reserves, and in any case could not afford to leave the union - their last case for independence was based around fiscal funding from massive oil and gas revenues, revenues which collapsed by 90% the year after the 2014 independence vote.

      Gibraltar won't ever leave, because the only alternative it would have to survive would be to join Spain (Spain wouldn't allow it to join the EU as an independent country), and basically no one in Gibraltar wants that.

      And I don't get where you think either country would be able to simply walk away from any Sterling debt simply because the currency changes - debt is not linked to a currency, it exists despite the currency a country uses. No country has yet been able to drop its debts on joining the Euro, so I have no idea why this rumour seems to be so persistent.

    8. Re:Not just the Chinese by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Scotland will leave. Gibraltar will join them, either as part of Scotland or as an independent micronation. Otherwise they will have to accept joint Spanish sovereignty because once outside the EU, Spain will no longer be obliged to make passing through the border they depend on easy.

      If Scotland leaves Sterling, it will only have to retain its own debts. It's bizarre to think it could be any other way. You are correct that the UK national debt is not tied to the currency, it's tied to the UK government. If Soctland retains Sterling it will be obliged to contribute to reducing that debt, because the value of Sterling is partially dependent on the ability for it to be serviced and because any agreement would likely mandate that they do. If they adopt the Euro, only debts belonging to the Scottish government and secured on Scottish assets will be carried with them, and the rest will be left to the rUK.

      That's why the rUK will likely agree to let them keep Sterling, assuming they still want it. Post Brexit, they may feel that the Euro is a better bet, especially if Gibraltar joins them.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    9. Re:Not just the Chinese by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2
      My guess is that she's hoping to be able to invoke a second referendum once the terms of the proposed deal will be and present the following choices:
      • We pay money to the EU, have a seat on the council and a bunch of MEPs, and have to abide by the free movement rules and EU regulations.
      • We pay more money to the EU, have no say in anything, and still have to abide by all of the same rules and regulations.

      You'd have to be pretty insane to prefer the second one. Given those choices, I doubt that leave would win. By negotiating the worst possible deal, she's in a good position to hold a second referendum without the leave side being able to promise unrealistic things.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    10. Re:Not just the Chinese by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1

      I think your analysis is correct.
      Mod up.

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
    11. Re:Not just the Chinese by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alternatively: England & Wales leave the U.K.

      The "U.K." (now consisting of the Rest: Scotland, Northern Ireland, Gibraltar, ...) does nothing.

      Greenland split from Denmark after all.

    12. Re:Not just the Chinese by Xest · · Score: 2

      "Meanwhile, having annoyed the Chinese, Theresa May is now apparently trying to improve relations with Russia which, while it definitely needs to happen in its own right, doesn't exactly scan well in connection with alienating the Chinese the week prior."

      Are you surprised? As leaders, both Putin and May are basically unelected dictators whatever shame of a democracy they profess to be legitamised by. No one voted in a democratic election of the populace for May to be PM. If she wants legitimacy she'll have to call elections, otherwise anything she does should frankly be deemed illegitimate if we wish to continue to profess to be a democracy. It's bad enough that FPTP allows parties to obtain 100% of power with only 38% of popular support, but the fact that internal party politics can lead to a completely different PM, with completely different political goals, ideas, and priorities than that which was elected is unacceptable.

    13. Re:Not just the Chinese by Xest · · Score: 2

      Don't disagree with the rest of what you say, but the link you're making between sterling and debt is complete drivel. It was something Salmond plastered together when he started getting desperate and is as incorrect as Farage and co's £350mill claims. It was broadly debunked at the time, so I'm amazed anyone would still parrot it.

      The fact is that debt and currency are two separate things, a debt is expressed in a currency, but is not in any way linked to that currency. The international norm for national splits is that each departing element of a nation gets a population based proportion of both a nations assets and it's debts. It doesn't matter what Scotland would choose as it's new currency, it still has to take a population share of the UK's debt. This can change but it's based on mutual agreement, and typically involves one country giving up some assets to the other in return for an equivalent reduction in debt burden, so for example, Scotland might decide it doesn't need 24 Eurofighters or whatever, and so decides to let rUK keep 12 of them in return for an equivalent reduction in debt equal to the cost of those 12 Eurofighters. There isn't however enough assets that Scotland could realistically give up to even remotely approach a complete mitigation of it's proportional debt allocation as you're suggesting.

      The problem with your argument is this line:

      "If Scotland leaves Sterling, it will only have to retain its own debts."

      It doesn't actually make any sense, Scotland doesn't have any independent debts because it's not an independent country. Whilst it has devolution, that's ultimately just giving it control of a proportion of the UK's pot, but it's still ultimately the same pot as the UK as a whole. Scotland's debts ARE the UK's debts because Scotland is part of the UK, hence, why, if there was a split, Scotland's share would need to be calculated, and that would be done on the international norm of population proportion.

      It would make absolutely no sense if a country could say, get a parent country to blow billions on defence of it, getting into debt in the process, and then declare independence, but refusing to accept that it benefitted from that debt. No international court would ever back that viewpoint because it just doesn't make any kind of sense for a splitting country to completely offload it's costs onto the other half. Scotland cannot for example argue that it did not benefit from the bank bailouts which contributed to national debt when one of the biggest bailouts at £202bn was RBS (Royal Bank of Scotland).

      I actually think it would make sense for Scotland to become independent at this point and as someone that was against it in 2014, I'm wholly for it now. Scotland is too different to the rest of the UK and I can fully understand why it wouldn't want to be associated with the ignorant, bigoted, isolationist, little Englander view that has now consumed England, but that doesn't change the fact that if they do get independence that they'd have to accept their fair share of debt, no amount of nonsense talk like pretending Scottish debt is somehow separate to British debt (it isn't) or economically illiterately suggesting there is some kind of link between currency and debt (there isn't).

      If nothing else, were Scotland to refuse to service their share of British debt upon independence then the rUK would refuse to acknowledge it also (as it would not be assigned to them anyway), such that the credit ratings firms would class Scotland to have defaulted. That's really not a good position to be in as a newly independent nation that needs to borrow to build up the necessary state institutions to thrive independently.

      No matter what wishful thinking Salmond peddled when he got desperate, it does not change the reality of international economics. I agree though, I don't think it would matter, who would want Sterling no anyway? The Euro will far and away be a better bet over the next few decades now as Europe sorts it's problems out whilst the UK hasn't even begun with it's self-inflicted harm.

    14. Re:Not just the Chinese by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The international norm

      Right, it's just the baseline for a country becoming independent. It's not a law or a requirement, it's merely the starting point of a negotiation.

      Scotland doesn't have any independent debts because it's not an independent country.

      Of course it does, that's just a bizarre statement... Do you also think that local councils can't have debts, "because they are not independent countries"? I'll try telling my bank I don't have any debts because I'm not an "independent country".

      If the Scottish government borrows money, that debt belongs to the Scottish government. If the UK government borrows money, that debt belongs to the UK government. When Soctland becomes independent, only the Scottish government's debt will have to go with it, everything else is a matter of negotiation. Of course UK government loans secured on things inside Scotland will either have to be adopted or those things handed back to the UK (impractical sometimes), but the UK government isn't going to just say "those debts are Scotland's now" and default on them.

      It would make absolutely no sense if a country could say, get a parent country to blow billions on defence of it, getting into debt in the process, and then declare independence, but refusing to accept that it benefitted from that debt.

      That's exactly what has happened many, many times in history. All those African ex-colonies that "benefited" from European military protection, infrastructure investment and the like. When they became independent most of it was just written off by their former masters, and the former colonists didn't take on a proportion of the debt.

      such that the credit ratings firms would class Scotland to have defaulted.

      No, it would be the rUK that had defaulted.

      Think about what you are saying for a moment. How would the percentage of debt given to Scotland be calculated? By the rUK government? What if they calculated 99%?

      Royal Bank of Scotland

      Scotland may well want to buy the UK government's stake in RBS. They may not of course, leaving it to become a foreign owned bank. But the rUK can't force them to, it can only sell its shares at whatever price the market will buy them for.

      link between currency and debt

      The only link is that if Scotland wants to keep Sterling it puts the rUK in a better bargaining position to had off some of its debt.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    15. Re:Not just the Chinese by Xest · · Score: 1

      "Of course it does, that's just a bizarre statement... Do you also think that local councils can't have debts, "because they are not independent countries"? I'll try telling my bank I don't have any debts because I'm not an "independent country"."

      I don't know why you're even engaging in a discussion like this if you don't know the difference between national debt, organisational debt, and personal debt. I don't believe you're really that stupid though are you? You're just arguing because you want to try and pretend Scotland could somehow lump rUK with all it's debt including the share accumulated on Scottish spending, even though that's completely nonsensical fantasy.

      "If the UK government borrows money, that debt belongs to the UK government"

      Yes, and Scotland is funded by... guess what, the UK government, because, well, it's part of the UK. Scotland doesn't have it's own version of HMRC so doesn't even collect income generated in Scotland - it's all still pulled from the UK central pot.

      "When Soctland becomes independent, only the Scottish government's debt will have to go with it, everything else is a matter of negotiation."

      No, automatically Scotland's population proportional share of the UK's national debt goes with it, along with Scotland's population proportional share of UK assets. THAT is the baseline, everything from there is the matter of negotiation. If Scotland wants independence with no debt, it has to figure out how the hell it's going to negotiate it. I suppose theoretically it could if for example it was willing to allow rUK to retain sovereignty over North Sea oil field territories or similar perhaps, but I doubt that's likely given that was the entire basis of Salmond's economic plan.

      "but the UK government isn't going to just say "those debts are Scotland's now" and default on them."

      It's not the UK that would say that, it's the ICJ whose ruling will be that adhered to by every single international creditor from whom Scotland may wish to borrow money.

      "All those African ex-colonies that "benefited" from European military protection, infrastructure investment and the like. When they became independent most of it was just written off by their former masters, and the former colonists didn't take on a proportion of the debt."

      Right, but you've explicitly pointed out you're talking about situations of written off debt. Why would anyone write off Scotland's population proportional percentage of debt? It's not the sympathy case that many African countries were when they obtained a write off. Furthermore, Scotland's share of debt wouldn't be owed to rUK, it would be owed to the creditors of the debt themselves, so it wouldn't even be rUK's decision anyway. Argentina couldn't even get certain US creditors to write off it's debt after actual bankruptcy and more than a decade later.

      "Think about what you are saying for a moment. How would the percentage of debt given to Scotland be calculated? By the rUK government? What if they calculated 99%?"

      Erm, I've said this already a few times - it's done based on population proportional percentage. That is the baseline for independence negotiations, it works the exact same way for assets.

    16. Re:Not just the Chinese by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      automatically Scotland's population proportional share of the UK's national debt goes with it, along with Scotland's population proportional share of UK assets

      You are going to have to cite the law that says this is the case. Please also explain how this "share" is calculated.

      Right, but you've explicitly pointed out you're talking about situations of written off debt.

      Sorry, I wasn't clear enough for you. I meant that the assets belonging to the former masters were written off, they didn't try to put a monetary value on them and then use them to proportion debt to the former colonies.

      done based on population proportional percentage. That is the baseline for independence negotiations

      By what law?

      I'm interested to understand what legal basis you think all this has. The ICJ will only rule on matters of law, and you mentioned them, so what would the complaint actually be?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    17. Re:Not just the Chinese by Xest · · Score: 1

      "You are going to have to cite the law that says this is the case. Please also explain how this "share" is calculated."

      I suggest you look at the international standards for past splits - Czechoslovakia for example.

      I don't understand why you're asking again how the share is calculated? I can't tell if you're really as dumb as you're sounding at this point as you've been told multiple times already. Population proportional share. Can you not read this or something? do you have some kind of browser plugin that filters inconvenient facts? you're asking a question three times that's been answered three times, I'm astounded that you're entirely incapable of taking this simple aspect in for some reason.

      "Sorry, I wasn't clear enough for you. I meant that the assets belonging to the former masters were written off, they didn't try to put a monetary value on them and then use them to proportion debt to the former colonies."

      Again, you're using the term written off, you have to explain why you think Scotland would be justified in achieving a debt write off from it's creditors if you think that's a wait it could evade paying it's proportion of UK national debt.

      I don't think you really understand how international law, particularly pertaining to the ICJ works. There isn't a global law book that references these things, there are international treaties and national laws which the ICJ can rule on. The UK (and other countries that have split) have combined treasuries, that is, there is effectively one national bank account in simplistic terms. All revenue is collected by HMRC into that pot, even in Scotland, and Scotland then receives a share of that pot to spend how it sees fit based on national law (e.g. the Barnett formula), but that pot isn't big enough to cover all spending (i.e. the bailout of banks like RBS) based on income alone, and has been buffered up with credit (that obviously creates debt), thus a percentage of the income Scotland receives has been that credit (and hence that debt). There is no separation in that account such that the debt has only been added to rUK's pile because there is no separation of piles at the point debt is obtained. Scotland cannot say therefore that it has not benefited from the debt, because there's no way it can prove it (and besides, it has).

      Your argument appears to be that because Scotland isn't in charge of this pool of money, that it shouldn't be saddled with the debt, but that inherently means that the converse is true, that it also cannot accept anything purchased from that fund either, which means every publicly purchased thing in Scotland from Holyrood to the roads, to the oil transport infrastructure are owned by rUK also. You cannot take the assets, but not take the debt, debt is merely a negative value asset and hence is treated exactly like any other asset.

      If anything, as the Barnett formula disproportionately benefits Scotland any court might in fact rule that Scotland should in fact take a higher than population proportional share of debt if it went to court, because Scotland has historically taken a larger share of the pot than is population proportional (because under Barnett population proportion was miscalculated) and hence Scotland must also have taken a larger than population proportional share of debt based finance too. I suspect in practice the rUK government wouldn't feel it was worth the time pushing that and would stick to a population proportional share however.

      If Scotland had been neglected by the rest of the country, for example say it had been left to rot with literally no national income then it might have a case, but it gains a slightly higher than proportional share, so it simply would have no leg to stand on in arguing it should take no debt upon independence.

      You're really out of your depth here and you keep talking complete nonsense and asking questions that have been answered three times already. I think it's probably time you let it go and accept that you commented on something you simply don't

    18. Re:Not just the Chinese by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I suggest you look at the international standards for past splits - Czechoslovakia for example.

      Exactly, it's not a rule, it's just what sometimes happened in the past when other countries split. Of course the UK is quite different to Czechoslovakia, not least because Scotland is a devolved power and already a country in its own right (look it up, it's a "country of the United Kingdom", just not an independent one) with its own parliament and considerable tax raising and spending powers. It's not just a subdivision of the UK government.

      In fact, if you want to use past examples as your guide rather than the law, look at other dependencies like the Isle of Man. When the financial crisis hit a lot of people with money there lost out because they were not protected by the UK banking guarantees. Didn't matter that the currency was Sterling or that the IoM is part of the UK, it has its own arrangement and that's what was applied.

      Again, you're using the term written off, you have to explain why you think Scotland would be justified in achieving a debt write off from it's creditors if you think that's a wait it could evade paying it's proportion of UK national debt.

      I'm not sure I can explain this any more clearly. When former French colonies became independent, the French did not say "we build this road and those buildings, they have an outstanding debt of X million Franks that was used to fund them, so you now owe our former creditors X million Franks". It doesn't work like that, France took out the loans and just because they lost the physical asset doesn't mean they can force the new owners to accept the debt.

      France didn't write off the debt, they still had to pay it. What they wrote off was the assets, accepting that they couldn't make the former colonies pay for them and couldn't bring them back to France.

      There is no separation in that account such that the debt has only been added to rUK's pile because there is no separation of piles at the point debt is obtained.

      True but totally irrelevant. You can't pass debt to your dependants without their agreement. Scotland will simply start its own account at zero and rise its own revenue, rather than writing the rUK a cheque and beginning in the red.

      There is simply no legal basis for what you are suggesting.

      Your argument appears to be that because Scotland isn't in charge of this pool of money, that it shouldn't be saddled with the debt, but that inherently means that the converse is true, that it also cannot accept anything purchased from that fund either, which means every publicly purchased thing in Scotland from Holyrood to the roads, to the oil transport infrastructure are owned by rUK also.

      No. That is neither my argument nor the actual case.

      Scotland, by the laws passed to enact devolution, has control over some spending. However, you are right, technically many assets in Scotland do belong to the UK. When independence happens some of them will be moved back to the UK, like the nuclear submarines stationed up there. You can't really move buildings though, so they will have to be abandoned by the rUK. Again, the rUK can't force Scotland to pay for them, there is no legal basis for that, but it can't remove them either.

      Look at how local government works in the UK. Councils are given money to spend my central government. The things they buy belong to them. It's similar to how if you give your girlfriend money to buy clothes you can't just demand them back when you break up. The law recognises that once you give money away in good faith, that's it. It doesn't become a debt or leverage.

      And actually, if you look on the property deeds for a lot of that stuff in Scotland, it has the Scottish government listed as the owner, not the UK government. That's the way it tends to work - Westminster doesn't build stuff for them, it gives them the money to build stuff for themselves.

      You have to cite some specific laws or legal principals for your position. Obviously I can't prove a negative by showing that they don't exist. You also need to show how other countries that have split and not inherited debt did so within these laws.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    19. Re:Not just the Chinese by Xest · · Score: 1

      You're still talking completely fantastical drivel, and you're backing it up with outright fabrications and ignorance of the answers I've already given you.

      The Isle of Man has a completely different relationship with the UK, it's a crown depedency, Scotland isn't, it's part of the UK proper and still is funded entirely from the UK treasury regardless of what agreements have been raised as to how much Scotland gets from the treasury.

      "True but totally irrelevant. You can't pass debt to your dependants without their agreement. Scotland will simply start its own account at zero and rise its own revenue, rather than writing the rUK a cheque and beginning in the red."

      Scotland isn't a dependency, it's a part of sovereign UK territory. Your argument is still completely based on fantasy. You still don't even understand Scotland's relationship with the UK which means you're not even remotely in a position to be arguing this. You say there's no legal basis, except there is - every split of a sovereign state in two in modern history. It even works the opposite way - when East and West Germany unified they couldn't say "Hah, our debts no longer exist, because East and West Germany have gone and they've gone with it!", Germany just inherited both states assets and debts. Czechoslovakia, former Yugoslavian states, Sudan, it's always the same. You're just outright denying reality by pretending there is no precedent backed by the ICJ. Your arguments about French ex-dependencies is equally similarly ignorant in that they were depedencies and not part of France proper as Scotland is the UK. It's an inconvenient reality for you that Scotland is a proper part of the UK, not a mere crown depedency, not that that even realistically helps this particular argument anyway - even a crown depedency would have to pay back anything owed to the UK if it chose to no longer be a dependency, but crown dependency are already typically independent enough that they do not share the UK's treasury.

      "Scotland, by the laws passed to enact devolution, has control over some spending. However, you are right, technically many assets in Scotland do belong to the UK. When independence happens some of them will be moved back to the UK, like the nuclear submarines stationed up there. You can't really move buildings though, so they will have to be abandoned by the rUK. Again, the rUK can't force Scotland to pay for them, there is no legal basis for that, but it can't remove them either."

      This is again a completely nonsensical argument. Your view is effectively that Scotland can negotiate away it's debt share by giving up all the assets, but because some assets can't be moved out of Scotland then Scotland gets to keep them even though it's refusing the debts that paid for them - that will never fly, and never has flown at the ICJ. Scotland either lets rUK keep them and pays whatever rent the UK wants to impose on them, or it takes them and accepts a respective share of debt to pay for them.

      "Look at how local government works in the UK. Councils are given money to spend my central government. The things they buy belong to them. It's similar to how if you give your girlfriend money to buy clothes you can't just demand them back when you break up. The law recognises that once you give money away in good faith, that's it. It doesn't become a debt or leverage."

      Really? So explain how the UK government seized Rotherham council when it started to fail? What about the numerous council purchased schools over the years that were doing such a bad job that central government seized control of them to sort them out.

      "The things they buy belong to them. It's similar to how if you give your girlfriend money to buy clothes you can't just demand them back when you break up."

      This is also fundamentally wrong, you're getting your understanding of credit wrong not just at a sovereign debt level, but at an organisational and personal level too. You've really not thought this through, in the not uncommon scenario that a couple with

    20. Re:Not just the Chinese by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      So explain how the UK government seized Rotherham council when it started to fail? What about the numerous council purchased schools over the years that were doing such a bad job that central government seized control of them to sort them out.

      Powers granted under the Local Government Act. It's got nothing to do with ownership, it's a power granted by an Act of Parliament.

      Do you even understand the basics of how government is structured in the UK? It's not at all based on the the "UK government" owning everything, it's based on powers granted by Acts to create and control institutions.

      Which, once again, I've obviously done, by pointing to the agreements overseen by the ICJ

      No, that's just an argument that was used in a specific case relating to other countries in differing situations. Please state precisely which law would require Scotland to accept this debt. Is it somewhere in the Acts enabling devolution, for example?

      Courts don't just make decisions based on what they feel is fair, they interpret and apply the law. If there is no written law covering Scotland that says they get a proportion of the debt, they don't get it, simple as that.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    21. Re:Not just the Chinese by Xest · · Score: 1

      "Do you even understand the basics of how government is structured in the UK? It's not at all based on the the "UK government" owning everything, it's based on powers granted by Acts to create and control institutions."

      And which can be revoked, and return control to central government, which is the ultimate controlling authority.

      Yes, congratulations, you're beginning to get it now.

      "No, that's just an argument that was used in a specific case relating to other countries in differing situations. Please state precisely which law would require Scotland to accept this debt. Is it somewhere in the Acts enabling devolution, for example?"

      It doesn't matter if it chooses to accept it or not, the fact is it'll be assigned to it, and if it doesn't pay it then it defaults. It doesn't matter what a difficult independent Scotland would choose to do, if it wants to become an international pariah and ignore international norms it can, but it'll still be held against the proportion of debt assigned to it and still be held in default if it doesn't pay. You seem to think it's all Scotland's choice, but it's not, there are two parties to an independence agreement which is precisely why Salmond's fantasy ideas about being able to unilaterally refuse debt were always complete nonsense. Scotland isn't about to just shun the world just so it can get away with it's debts, leaving itself entirely unable to trade and entirely unable to get credit ever again as a result. It wouldn't be that difficult because the cost would outweigh the cost of accepting it's apportioned share of debt by several orders of magnitude. No one leading an independent Scotland would ever do anything so stupid as you're suggesting as to become a isolation 3rd world international pariah just to dodge it's debt obligations.

      "Courts don't just make decisions based on what they feel is fair, they interpret and apply the law. If there is no written law covering Scotland that says they get a proportion of the debt, they don't get it, simple as that."

      Actually yes, some of them do, you're probably one of those people that think that criminal courts are the only type of court in existence and that all law mirrors and models that. It doesn't. The whole point in courts of arbitration for example are to determine fair outcomes without any written law. Your argument falls flat regardless, because there's similarly no law stating that the UK has to retain all the debt either, what the fuck do you think happens to it then? It doesn't just disappear just because there's no written law saying explicitly who gets what in the case of a split between the specific case between Scotland and rUK.

      You're still in this mindset that Scotland is somehow special and unique, it isn't, it's just one part of the UK breaking away from another, just like when the Czech Republic and Slovakia stopped being Czechoslovakia, and when South Sudan and Sudan stopped being just Sudan. The fact Scotland has a distinct name simply does not matter, it's still just a part of the UK splitting away from another part of the UK and you can't pretend that only one part gets lumbered with the debt (but not the assets).

      But it's clear you're determined not to get this and to keep playing stupid just because you like to stick it to rUK even though you're doing nothing but harming the cause of Scottish independence in the process by persisting discredited myth about what could happen post independence. If people like you keep spouting drivel then there's no hope for Scottish independence because the people of Scotland will continued to be put off by wishful thinking rather than pragmatic fact.

    22. Re:Not just the Chinese by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Name the law. Establish a legal basis for your claims.

      Even if Scotland did default, as part of the EU it wouldn't become a isolated 3rd world nation or unable to get credit or trade. And even if somehow it magically did, Argentina defaulted on even larger debts and didn't become a 3rd world nation. You are living in a fantasy world where some weird kind of international justice rules, regardless of the law or how this has worked in the past.

      There will be a negotiation, and the offer of having some control over Sterling is the only bargaining chip that the rUK has to convince Scotland to accept a proportion of the debt. By leaving the EU and possibly forcing Scotland to re-join and adopt the Euro, we have quite possibly lost even that.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    23. Re:Not just the Chinese by Xest · · Score: 1

      Oh god, I give up, I've answered all your questions and you still don't get it, it turns out you sadly really are just not intelligent enough for this discussion. I've explained the way international law works on issues like this and you still don't get it posing once again, a question already answered.

      Argentina didn't become a 3rd world nation because it still adhered to international law in restructuring it's debts, and settling the others in court. What you're talking about is working outside the established precedent of using the UN's ICJ as arbitrater because you're arguing that Scotland should ignore precedent and rulings from the ICJ.

      You really have no fucking clue, no matter what currency Scotland would take upon independence it gets saddled with it's population proportional share of national debt (and national assets), that's really all there is to it but that's reality, those are the facts, you can disagree all you want but you're still completely and utterly wrong at the end of the day. If you want to keep being a fuckwit about it then fine, that's entirely your choice, it will never make you right however, you'll still be wrong because you just have no idea what you're talking about as you keep proving, yet you harp on with incorrect drivel regardless.

      FWIW, this is the industry I work in, I'm an actual professional on this issue, I understand all this, you clearly are not, and clearly do not. Get over yourself and stop pretending you have any clue about something you blatantly don't have a clue about.

    24. Re:Not just the Chinese by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      What law?

      It's a simple question, and you can't answer it.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    25. Re:Not just the Chinese by Xest · · Score: 1

      I have answered it, and you're apparnetly incapable of understanding it. Repeating a questiond doesn't make the answer go away no matter how inconvenient for your lack of knowledge of the topic.

  5. Chinese imports will ruin Britain by ickleberry · · Score: 3

    Given that the British economy is mostly based on people sitting in office chairs surrounded by imported Chinese goods and that the British are already completely dependent on China for the most basic of everyday products it is in the interest of the Chinese to further nurture this culture of dependency on China. The British are deluded to think that the Chinese will continue to shower them in iPhones and PC's while they pump out nothing but intangible financial services. The Chinese are already realising they don't need the Western business suit middleman, having already made their way into the smartphone industry with completely domestic models and taken over the drone industry almost completely. Soon the Brits will have to start selling out to the Chinese bigtime if they want to continue their office chair based lifestyle for longer. I'd be very worried about the Chinese attempts to strong arm their way in and would be trying to keep them at bay and reduce dependency on imports from that country

    1. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The UK has the 5th largest industrial sector on the planet, after the USA, China, Japan and Germany.

    2. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An arrogant and clueless American, why is that not a surprise..

    3. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by jimbolauski · · Score: 2

      China will shower Great Briton in iPhones and PC's as long as the British people keep giving them money. China is hugely dependent on other countries for revenue and there is absolutely no way China could handle a sudden loss of manufacturing. There is a symbiotic relationship between China and the countries it makes trinkets for, neither can survive without the other.

      --
      Knowledge = Power
      P= W/t
      t=Money
      Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
    4. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it's because we're on Slashdot, where Yanks love to run their mouths and pretend that they know someting about countries other then their own.

      64% of Americans have never left the USA.

    5. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The UK is a net importer. I.e. outside countries get more UK money than it spends internally. Any large nation wishing to piss around with that is going to lose several billion UKP per day, and that money will be spent internally or go directly to a competing nation.

      This is why Germany shat bricks with the UK's independence vote, and made deals immediately - regardless of the state of Article 50. The UK is their biggest purchaser of mid-range vehicles, specifically from Mercedes, BMW and Audi.

      One contractor in China hoping to build a power plant is not going to carry any sway to the enormous amount of money all the other Chinese corporations make directly and indirectly from the UK. Furthermore, every single product you mention are US, S. Korean or Japanese brands, dumbass. You think Apple and Samsung will stop supplying the UK with their product because one company didn't get a contract. You are a moron if that's your logic. Go back to the Daily Mail, prat. Fuck me, you are fik (or 12).

    6. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And yet, for every 10 widgets China makes, the UK only makes one.

      If we put four quadriplegic "runners" against Usain Bolt, they'd all be in the top five.

    7. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      If we put four quadriplegic "runners" against Usain Bolt

      Actually I'd like to see that.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    8. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      The UK has been asset stripping itself for a while now. We sold off most of our industry and successful businesses.

      I sort of wonder if people will start to wake up after Brexit, when the traditional boogy-men (the EU and immigrants) can no longer be blamed for everything. The poor will probably get hammered even more, but it's hard to blame regulation and lack of jobs on them. Perhaps May is setting the Chinese up to be the next star of the Five Minutes Hate, aka the Daily Mail.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    9. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless you want to go to Mexico or Canada (which is like visiting a different state), it's a 10 hour plane trip. 27% of people in the UK have never traveled more than 10km from the place where they were born.

    10. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by unixisc · · Score: 1

      What % of any other people have left their country unless it's a war ravaged shithole like Syria? What % of Chinese have ever left China? What % of Indians have ever left India? What % of Belgians have ever left Belgium? What % of Brits have ever left the UK? I'm willing to wager that for all these countries, that number is below 50%.

    11. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1

      That you had to explain that to him is ridiculous...

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
    12. Re:Chinese imports will ruin Britain by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      That's why China has been buying up stuff in the UK and UK debt, as well as that of other western countries. It gives them some element of control over our economies. It started in the 90s with the US, and expanded from there.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  6. Missing from the story.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The Chinese will be investing money AND reactor parts. I'm all for giving them the middle finger and telling them to piss off.

  7. A lice little country you have there by grungeman · · Score: 3, Funny

    Liu: Well suppose some of your power plants was to get broken and power lines start getting cut, er, power outages could occur during general inspection, like.
    Xi: It wouldn't be good for business would it, Ma'am?
    May: Are you threatening me?
    Xi: Oh, no, no, no.
    Liu: Whatever made you think that, Ma'am?
    Xi: The Prime Minister doesn't think we're nice people, Liu.
    Liu: We're your buddies, Ma'am.
    Xi: We want to look after you.
    May: Look after me?
    https://youtu.be/pm5mtpPtW1Q?t...

    --

    Signature deleted by lameness filter.
  8. Hope Common Sense Prevails by segedunum · · Score: 1

    Hinkley was not only criminally expensive, it was a nuclear disaster waiting to happen.

    1. Re:Hope Common Sense Prevails by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yet Hinkley will produce reliable power for many decades into the future, long after the criminally expensive renewable projects are left abandoned.

      It says something about the renewable advocates that they always insist upon a comparison with the worst case first of a kind nuclear project, and still need to ignore all of the subsides they receive, backup gas plants required, storage, grid upgrades, and so on. The truth is that renewables are hideously expensive, and produced pitiful amounts of unreliable energy in spite of their impressive capacity numbers. If Europe had spent the trillion wasted on renewables on nuclear instead, they would be done with fossil fuels by now.

      Nuclear has proven able to produce prodigious amounts of reliable and clean electricity at low cost. However, nothing can compete when renewables are mandated, and so highly subsidized that they can sell power for free and still make money.

    2. Re:Hope Common Sense Prevails by segedunum · · Score: 1

      Hinkley will not produce reliable, or more to the point, affordable power, nor is it likely to be safe at all with all the competing responsibilities.

      I'm fine with nuclear power stations, and 'renewables' simply aren't going to provide the shear amount of power required, but not like this.

  9. Just ask.. by fred911 · · Score: 1

    UK steel workers (or their Indian owners) how beneficial and fair trade with China is.

    --
    09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B - D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
  10. The Good Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Was a propaganda piece.

    Remember, culturally, China takes the long view, and that includes fucking you over until you are their vassal.

  11. OMG by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who would let the chinese build a nuclear powerplant in their country? Wow. Just wow.

    1. Re:OMG by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1

      Who would let the chinese build a nuclear powerplant in their country? Wow. Just wow.

      Wow?
      The same people who would let the Chinese build a critical bridge.

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
  12. Can China be trusted? by Panoptes · · Score: 2

    The Chinese government's reaction to the delay could be construed as rather hypocritical, in view of its present action in claiming territorial rights over almost the whole of the South China Sea - in flagrant disregard of international law.

    The British government is, in my opinion, quite right to pause and consider the full ramifications of the Hinkley Point project, including the reliance on Chinese investment on such a massive scale. Britain must not make itself a hostage to fortune.

    1. Re:Can China be trusted? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Chinese government's reaction to the delay could be construed as rather hypocritical, in view of its present action in claiming territorial rights over almost the whole of the South China Sea - in flagrant disregard of international law.

      So when are the Falklands going back to the Argentinians? Or Gibraltar back to Spain?

    2. Re:Can China be trusted? by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Falklands never were part of Argentina.
      Spain complaining about Gibraltar is an example of hypocrisy. Spain maintains colonies in Africa still.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    3. Re:Can China be trusted? by AHuxley · · Score: 1

      Build more dams in Scotland? Scotland setting its own energy policy could see English power been fully imported at any price Scotland can set.
      Buy German, French and risk renting parts and support via the EU its massive bureaucracy? A made in the USA nuclear turn key multi national with its hidden parts supply chain going back to China? Ask the US if the UK is allowed to open talks with Russia?
      Where and what to build has become vital to the interests of England. If its not built in England now with some controls over prices, who could control setting the full price later?
      In the past it was easy to set a cheaper energy policy, e.g. 1953 Iranian coup or just create another oil rich British protectorate and set a low price...

      --
      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
  13. State owned enterprises by mdsolar · · Score: 2

    The nuclear business in China is state owned and supported by goverment sponsered industrial espionage. It is unsurprising that it would get diplomatic assistance as well. The forcefulness of that aid may only confirm the UKs concern over their involvement.

  14. It's shrub's fault by mdsolar · · Score: 0, Troll

    When shrub made a mess of the nuclear nonproliferation treaty by trying to sell uranium to India, he opened a Pandora's box of which this mess is perhaps the smallest misfortune. The man had no foresight whatsoever.

  15. Re:inb4 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

    You forgot that it's actually about ethics in Slashdot journalism

  16. I don't think you need to be a paranoid... by argStyopa · · Score: 2

    ...to see that a nuclear plant built in your country by a state which has shown:
    - complete disregard for international norms,
    - a callous disregard for its own citizens lives (to say nothing of others)
    - a cheerful disregard of international commitments
    - policy goals inimical to the general goals of Western powers ...might be a colossally bad idea, strategically.

    --
    -Styopa
  17. security experts were worried by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "But Nick Timothy, May's influential joint chief of staff, also said last year that security experts were worried the state-owned Chinese group would have access to computer systems that could allow it to shut down Britain's energy production.

    "Rational concerns about national security are being swept to one side because of the desperate desire for Chinese trade and investment," Timothy wrote in October 2015 in a column for a conservative news and comment website. " http://www.reuters.com/article...

    Sorry China not everyone's your bitch....

  18. China's One-Child "guideline" by CrashNBrn · · Score: 1

    You can obviate China's "one-child-policy" by paying a fee|tax for the second+ child. I'm also fairly sure the fee is less than the hospital fees for a single child in an American hospital.

    1. Re:China's One-Child "guideline" by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1

      Never the less, the fact that they have a huge dip in population, while a generation that is about to (ahem...) "retire" is going to cause major problems for China.
      My point here is that for some reason many in the West view China as this juggernaut of inevitable world domination, whereas the truth is anything but.

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
    2. Re:China's One-Child "guideline" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China has gotten rid of the one child policy and now has a 2 child policy. So there's NO extra fees or taxes on the second child. Although there's probably no need for a 2 child policy since the female population is now fairly well educated, and birthrates have gone down naturally.

  19. In other words by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 1

    "Kowtow, bitches!" Karmic payback for the Opium Wars. But if the money is right, the money-grubbing Tories will rollover and take a big old puff off their masters' pipe.

  20. Reaction shows something is amiss by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This deal has long attracted criticism from the usual suspects, how ever the Chinese reaction to this delay, speaks volumes.

  21. Go Solar, Screw Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    20 billion dollars would buy, today, a LOT of solar panel capacity - no point in even building nuclear installations - especially one constructed and controlled by a enemy state intent on dominating everyone around it.

  22. UKIP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I really wonder if May is trying to sabotage the whole thing. She put the worst of the Brexiters in charge of our negotiations and forging new deals with the rest of the world, making what was always going to be a difficult task doomed to utter failure.

    The worst of the Brexiters were the UKIP folks, and they've jumped shit (like rats, to use Christoph Waltz's phrase) a few days afterwards.

    Hopefully history will put the blame on them in time, but I think the folks that were brave (foolish?) enough to stick around will get flamed by the general public.

  23. Dear China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dear China,

    The Customer is Always Right. Even when they are annoying, contrary, indecisive, ask for too much, pay too little, keep odd hours, or wear weird shoes.

    Remember, The Customer is Always Right.

  24. The Economist says dump it by DeafAnchovy · · Score: 1
    There's another article that says it more clearly but this one will do:

    http://www.economist.com/news/...

    That's those well-known green activists at the Economist.

    As there are no working EPRs out there, I don't want to pay EDF's dev costs. I like to technology like work first before I buy it. Kind of like a car :) Give the wheels a good kicking.

    Given the uptick on global warming and the fact we're running out of time if we want to move to a zero-fossil fuels economy, I'd prefer a plutonium-recycling CANDU if at all. It works. It's there.

    As the economist says, all available research and capital should be targeted at any non-fossil fuels. We should outlaw all fossil-fuel driven devices, as of yesterday.

    --
    "We must never stop at all until we see the day when nuclear arms have been banished from the face of this earth." -- Ro
  25. Lots. So what? How much cheaper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How much cheaper would it be to install the equal to Hinkley C via wind or even solar?

    Given we're having to double the HVDC link to France AND installing a huge new backup capacity to handle an outage, AND we're producing a HVDC link to the Netherlands because of Hinkley C, how much is Hinkley C ACTUALLY costing us?

  26. The Debt Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is mostly correct, and in particular it corrects the GP on an important point. It makes no difference whatsoever, what currency an independent Scotland would adopt. Not in relation to the debt load they would have to take on.

    The splitting of the debt is a political question. It would be up for negotiation how that debt would be split and yes, splitting it based on population is a reasonable outcome. It's not the only possible outcome however. The leaving entity frequently wants to get a smaller debt load and the left-behind entity frequently wants them to take a larger debt load. The reasons are not important at this juncture.

    The Quebecois nationalists in Canada made a related mistake. Not a huge one, but a mistake nonetheless. They issued a policy statement that, should Canada block or interfere with their independence in any way, and by the sole judgement of the Quebecois, then they would unilaterally separate and take on the debt they decided upon. The reason this is a mistake is that it is provocative. Separation must be negotiated, full stop. Neither party gets to have unilateral terms. To do otherwise is an act of war and hugely dangerous. Sometimes war is necessary but not in these circumstances and it's foolish to flirt with it even tangentially.

    So what mitigated the Quebecois mistake? They said they would take on debt, not walk away.

    No, Scotland does not get to abrogate it's debt responsibilities by adopting the Euro. The presumption is that national debts are carried by the entire nation, and for the benefit of all it's citizens. They are incurred in the citizens' names for goodness sake! This is not changed one iota by the official references to the Crown, by the way.