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Second Irregularly Dimming Star Found (phys.org)

Long-time Slashdot reader RockDoctor writes: Remember the screaming and welcoming of our Dyson-Sphere-Dwelling 1500 LY distant Overlords that accompanied the news that star KIC 8462852 was irregularly dimming on both short and longer timescales? A second star with a similar light curve has been discovered and reported on ARXIV.

With the euphonious names "EPIC 204278916" and "2MASS J16020757-2257467", the star is a young M1 (red) star, traveling as part of a group of stars which haven't had time to disperse from their place of formation. The age is estimated at 5 — 11 million years. Analysis of 70+ days of data from the K2 mission epoch shows a rotation of 3.6 days, but a period of 25 days near the start of the observation epoch showed dips in intensity of up to 60% lasting for up to about a day each. Details are in the Arxiv paper linked to above, particularly figures 1 and 4.

If confirmed, this discovery changes the situation with interpreting the so-called "Tabby's Star". Firstly with a second object in the class, the odds of it representing a class of naturally occurring objects compared to a unique, unusual object is greatly increased. Secondly, the different celestial mechanical situations around the different stars allows a better estimate of plausible formation mechanisms. One potentially important point is that clumps of debris that could produce these dimmings seem to be quite large. "It is also important to note that the resulting size for the transiting and occulting clump would be quite large at with the clump being in the order of 1.5 times the radius of the Sun. Sadly, this appears to be a new class of "dirty young planetary system." no alien Overlords, no screaming in the streets. Just business-like astronomy.

151 comments

  1. Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or...now follow me on this...maybe there are *two* Kardashev-II civilizations out there?

    I mean, I know the odds of there being exactly one such civilization in the entire visible universe are pretty overwhelming (remember how shocked explorers were when they found a *second* multicontinent?), but still, it just might be possible.

    1. Re:Or... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Or...now follow me on this...maybe there are *two* Kardashev-II civilizations out there?

      Or it could be two settlements of the same civilization. They are only a few thousand LYs apart, which is a blink on cosmic timescales, so if they are both at about the same stage of development, it is unlikely to be coincidence. It is more likely that they have the same origin.

    2. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A hypothetical civilization can build dyson spheres and ships capable of sending colonists to a system a few kly away and you think the ship is the less technologically plausible of those two? We were researching interstellar probes in the 1950's, and the extent of our solar harvesting capability amounts to slapping solar panels on the roof. Not to mention a cat 2 civilization would have no problem generating antimatter fuel.

    3. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or two civilizations that originated independently, then began communicating with each other.

    4. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Um, no. It couldn't be. "A few thousand lightyears apart" is um, too far. How would someone travel a few thousand light years? It isn't possible, because, you know, Physics. This is what is wrong with Space Nutters: instead of accepting the fact that these are naturally occurring systems, the rush is to assume it is fantastic alien civilizations. Let me break to down for you: there is no intelligent life out there. We are likely the only intelligent civilization that currently exists. There likely have been many before us, and there will be many more after we are gone.

      One day you might pull your head out of your ass and realize that there just might be an organism in the known universe with wisdom and intelligence that far outshines yours. Until then, keep assuming that man-made concepts such as "physics" is the reason a far more advanced civilization wouldn't be able to travel quickly through space.

      As you try and convince others here of your theory, I should also point out the obvious irony. 100 years ago you wouldn't have been able to convince a single human on this planet that a man would walk on the moon soon, and yet you expect the masses to believe this bullshit.

    5. Re:Or... by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      What evidence do you have that you can travel faster than the speed of light? If you have evidence of it, then produce it. Einstein said it isn't possible. Do you know better? Welcome to reality. Reality isn't Star Trek.

    6. Re:Or... by FatdogHaiku · · Score: 1

      None of it is plausible. You space nutters with your "antimatter fuel" nonsense. You can't travel near the speed of light. We know that from basic Physics. How are you going to travel "a few thousands light years"?

      Well, it's an older, advanced race that moved to a younger star over a long period of time. And I think the irregularly dimming light can be simply explain by the same set of facts... Old people driving with their turn signals on all the time and hitting the brakes randomly for no apparent reason...

      --
      You have the right to remain sentient. If you give up the right to remain sentient, you will be elected to public office
    7. Re:Or... by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Um, no. It couldn't be. "A few thousand lightyears apart" is um, too far. How would someone travel a few thousand light years?

      Probably slowly, by human standards. Project Orion in the 1950s studied a hypothetical fission propulsion systems that could reach ~0.01c. So a few thousand kly = a few hundred thousand years. That's certainly a long time, but consider that it's 65 million years since the dinosaurs and billions of years since life began. If our civilization gets to be several million years old and we can't figure out anything better we might say it's better than not spreading at all. And we still have some ideas for fusion and anti-matter drives we might figure out eventually. We're pretty close to fantasy here but not wormhole/warp drive/hyperspace degrees of fantasy.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    8. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Generational ships. Also, no reason to think an alien's lifespan is similar to a human's

      Also, relativity.

    9. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you ever heard the saying, "if you run into an asshole in the morning, you ran into an asshole; if you run into assholes all day, you're the asshole?" It applies to crazy people, too. If all you run into all day are "nutters," it's far more likely you're the nutter.

    10. Re: Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Einstein also said quantum physics was ridiculous and took ages to accept it.

      We have theoretical methods of extreme acceleration, just not the expertise

    11. Re:Or... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      Generational ships ...

      That is biology based thinking. A civilization this advanced has likely made a full transition to machine based AI. There are no "generations", only periodic upgrades.

    12. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Physics, my friend, is not a man made concept. It is carefully measured and observed way in which the universe manifests itself. It is a fundamental principle that these laws apply everywhere in the universe, or they mean nothing. Consider it a universal equal protection clause if you will.
      No amount of Space nuttery allows for FTL. "Wisdom" has no bearing on the speed of light. The ONLY thing that is suspected of being capable of travelling faster than the speed of light is SPACE NUTTER BULLSHIT. (and that is already known to be just an illusion)
      ps. Jules Verne wrote 'From Earth to the Moon" in 1865 which many agreed was based on solid scientific principles of the day.

    13. Re:Or... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      You can't travel near the speed of light.

      You can get up to about 0.25c with a solar sail, using laser boosting. Your payload would not have to be big. Just enough to bootstrap a new civilization. DNA based beings could send plenty of genetic diversity encoded on a computer, and just splice a base sequence. Machine/AI based beings would not even need that.

      How are you going to travel "a few thousands light years"?

      Using vessels that can survive a ten thousand year journey. They would be self-repairing, and error correcting, to prevent systems from failing or wearing out. A civilization thousands or millions of years more advanced than us should be able to figure out how to do that.

    14. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So I guess it is impossible after all, because there's no way that ship lasted 1000+ years without being bricked by a forced update.

    15. Re:Or... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What evidence do you have that you can travel faster than the speed of light?

      Interstellar travel does not require FTL velocities.

    16. Re:Or... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      Use an induction catapult to fire a stream of metallic reaction mass at your chosen target. Then send a second induction catapult along that stream, carrying passengers, flying to the target. Most of the work is done in the originating system. Your pellets reaction mass are self guided with microcontrollers and little ion drives so they can stay aligned.

    17. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll reassure you by saying locality is indeed inviolable, and from what I've seen it's entirely likely that these phenomena are completely natural.

      That said, travel or communication across such distances is not impossible, just very difficult. If a civilization is capable of assembling a partial shell around their star, then they'd probably also be capable of building a stable, comfortable ship that could make a 100,000 year journey, over many generations if necessary. Think about what might happen to an intelligent civilization's perspective on time once their degree of medical sophistication allows individuals to live indefinitely. Alternatively, a seed ship could be sent that has no passengers, only carrying the minimum amount of equipment necessary to begin assembling a colony and grow its inhabitants from a genetic stock. Communication might take the form of exchanges of one-way briefings on discoveries and historical events every century or so. It would be a very loosely bound civilization - nothing like Star Trek - but a civilization nevertheless.

      A lot of bright people have spent a lot of time thinking about the problems involved with the realistic potential for interstellar travel and communication, acknowledging the limits of the laws of physics. From what I've seen, most of their reasoning is sound. And what they say is that not only are interstellar civilizations possible, but they are likely enough that their apparent absence is a problem in need of explaining, in and of itself. So acting like people who talk about the Kardashev scale are insane is a bit reactionary. Hyped up over nothing in this case? Sure.

    18. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What evidence do you have that you can travel faster than the speed of light? If you have evidence of it, then produce it. Einstein said it isn't possible. Do you know better? Welcome to reality. Reality isn't Star Trek.

      He did not say faster than the speed of light he said near the speed of light. You said faster than the speed of light 110010001000. This is your normal, logical fallacy laden drivel here on /. that has been debunked again and again.. As I have said before, you need to pull the remote out of your butt and stop trolling or you are never going to amount to anything.

    19. Re:Or... by beelsebob · · Score: 1

      No, Einstein said it is possible, and described its effects. What he said was impossible was to accelerate to the speed of light in a conventional Newtonian way.

    20. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Previous SETI searches targeting systems have reported sensitivities on the order of what is needed to hear a 1 GW EIRP transmitter at a distance of 100 light years. Something like Arecibo can reach 10 TW EIRP, and that is not up against some hard physical limit. A few thousand light years is surmountable with technology we already have, assuming you have a target. The actual difficulty comes from the combined effort and chance needed to find a target, assuming there even is one, to aim high gain antennas at, and the economics of getting such a thing funding from start to finish.

    21. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you ever heard the saying, "if you run into an asshole in the morning, you ran into an asshole; if you run into assholes all day, you're the asshole?" It applies to crazy people, too. If all you run into all day are "nutters," it's far more likely you're the nutter.

      110010001000 is slashdot's local idiot.. pay him no mind.. he just discovered trolling and it makes him feel intelligent. He does not have any understanding (as you can see from his drivel) about logical fallacies, errors in reasoning or considering anything outside of his cognitive biases or considering anything based on evidence. The amount of time that he spends here complaining about space nutters and trying to represent himself as having expertise that is beyond his actual ability to demonstrate said expertise, tells us that he is a kid living in his moms basement and is angry that he can't get laid, can't get into college and can't do anything to make anything important of himself, so he sits here bitching about "Space nutters" as he puts it. 110010001000 is a loser in every sense of the word "LOSER".

      Just ignore him like everyone else does.

    22. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you can build megastructures around a star you can also slap engines on the things and get up to maybe 10% of lightspeed.

      10k years for transit and you've never left home.

      That's one of the expectations for a civilization that could do this, the whole 'living on a spaceship' thing they've already mastered.

    23. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Einstein said it isn't possible.

      [Citation required.]

    24. Re:Or... by AJWM · · Score: 2

      Jules Verne was a space nutter.

      Imagine, sending people to the moon by shooting them out of a cannon? The acceleration would kill them.

      Solid scientific principles of the day? That's nutter talk. No, it's impossible, Newton said so.

      --
      -- Alastair
    25. Re:Or... by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      Such a statement is useless conjecture without observing the natural progression of such a race and then drawing a conclusion. You might as well say "A race that advanced has OBVIOUSLY replaced all their limbs with broccoli.".

      Science is based on observations. Fiction is based on wild speculation. Combining the two makes for some interesting stories, but remember that science fiction is a type of fiction, and not a type of science.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    26. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What do you think a civilisation needs the power for captured by a Dyson sphere? To drive a wormhole maybe, or something else. If both dyson sphere are colonies from the same civilisation that possibly mean there is a third Dyson sphere where they travelled from.

    27. Re:Or... by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Welcome to reality. Reality isn't Star Trek.

      Mainly because Star Trek needed to cripple its future to keep its main characters and their challenges recognizable to the audience. Thus things like cyborgs, sapient supercomputers and genetic engineering were reserved for enemies. On the other hand, we have little reason to self-limit ourselves to what natural selection came up with, so why would a thousand-year journey be any more of a problem for our descendants than morning commute is for us?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    28. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Welp, that settles it then. Our clearly incomplete models of the physical universe demonstrate that accelerating matter beyond c is impossible, therefore it is impossible to travel faster than c, never mind the fact that spacetime itself is not bound by that limit. By this indisputable logic, the outer solar system did not exist 100 years ago and the Americas didn't exist 500 years ago. It's all a giant hoax I tell ya!

      the rush is to assume it is fantastic alien civilizations

      It amazes me how little self-awareness some people can have.

    29. Re:Or... by RubberDogBone · · Score: 2

      None of it is plausible. You space nutters with your "antimatter fuel" nonsense. You can't travel near the speed of light. We know that from basic Physics. How are you going to travel "a few thousands light years"?

      Bah. Fully qualified experts used to insist going faster than 35 MPH would be fatal. Not crashing, mind you: just going faster than that. It would turn the body to jelly and shatter all your bones. You'd die instantly. When that turned out to not be true, the bar was moved to 100 MPH. That wasn't true either. Then they said we would never fly. We did. Then they said we'd never survive breaking the sound barrier. We did. Then they insisted 1000 MPH was lethal. It isn't. They said helicopters were impossible. They aren't. They said we would never survive going into space, that we would die the moment we tried, that we would never get to the moon much less back from it.

      A lot of supposed experts have said we can't do one thing or another, and of course always backed up with charts and numbers and science and stacks of absolutes. And yet time after time they are proven WRONG. The science they relied upon and swore upon to say 35 MPH was lethal---- absolute crap, despite their assurances to the contrary. Most of us break THAT one multiple times a day. I know I have exceeded over four times that speed in my car and I am still here.

      The only thing these experts have proven is the overwhelming ability to be wrong about their science and underestimate what people are capable of doing. So perhap it is possible to break the C barrier. We will try. We might even do it. And perhaps it will become just another 35 MPH barrier, meaningless and forgotten.

      --
      Sig for hire.
    30. Re: Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm off to ascribe advanced technology to the next guttering candle I see, and for one welcome our new broccoli limbed overlords with soothing cheese sauce.

    31. Re: Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These kinds of comment are only possible once the trolls outnumber the regulars. Netcraft confirms it, Slashdot is officially dead and worms feast on the corpse.

    32. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What evidence do you have that you can travel faster than the speed of light? If you have evidence of it, then produce it. Einstein said it isn't possible. Do you know better? Welcome to reality. Reality isn't Star Trek.

      A single organism representing a species that has lived for the proverbial blink of an eye on the greater timeline of space itself, existing on one out of billions of stars in a single galaxy, says that nothing can travel faster than this thing they label "light", using mathematical models also defined by this species.

      Congratulations. I think the rest of the known universe now understands just how fucking arrogant the human species can truly be.

    33. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Physics, my friend, is not a man made concept. It is carefully measured and observed way in which the universe manifests itself.

      Physics? Hmm...he sounds so fami..oh yeah, I remember that guy! He had a funny name. He said some human gave it to him. Called himself "Neutonian".

      Arrogant fucker. Always thought he was right. I mean like always.. I guess it makes sense. He was born from a species known to never be wrong, or make new discoveries. And of course, there's never any questions outstanding for Neut to answer.

      Oh, that massive high-energy particle accelerator? Yeah, that's just for testing how we can cook our burgers faster.

    34. Re:Or... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      How are you going to travel "a few thousands light years"?

      Hmm, at 0.01c, it would take 430 or so years to reach AlphaCent. It would take 20M years or so to get to the other side of the Milky Way.

      It's probably safe to say that a Type II civilisation would be capable of at least 0.01c, and that it would last 20M years or more.

      This completely ignoring that if you have the entire energy output of a star to play with, speeds closer to 0.25c+ would be more realistic than 0.01c....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    35. Re:Or... by RockDoctor · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It isn't possible, because, you know, Physics.

      Light manages it. We can't do it so fast, but that's an engineering issue, not a physics ban.

      This is what is wrong with Space Nutters: instead of accepting the fact that these are naturally occurring systems, the rush is to assume it is fantastic alien civilizations.

      You didn't actually read even the fucking summary, which I spent 3/4 of an hour writing. You fucking unspeakable cad. Piss off back down your troll hole.

      Let me break to down for you: there is no intelligent life out there.

      Certainly not in your momma's cellar, if you can't even read the fucking summary, let alone the paper linked to from it.

      To be precise, we have no evidence for intelligent life outside the Solar system (leaving aside quibbles over whether Voyager 2 has left the heliosphere, it's not even a small fraction of the way to the limit of known gravitationally-bound objects in the Solar System). Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence - or evidence of anything else, either.

      We are likely the only intelligent civilization that currently exists.

      This is the position which we have evidence for. However, given that the universe is large, and our locale doesn't seem to be particularly uncommon, it strains credulity.

      There likely have been many before us, and there will be many more after we are gone.

      Almost certainly true. And completely unsupported by any evidence except the very speculation which you decry.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    36. Re:Or... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      How are you going to travel "a few thousands light years"?

      The same way that our ancestors populated the Earth at an average speed of around 3km/year : slowly, with the technologies we have when we start, plus any that we develop along the way.

      In that previous diaspora, the travellers developed things like "clothing", then "fabric" and sewing. I'm pretty sure that pottery was also developed on that journey, probably multiple times. But they started with fire and stone tools.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    37. Re:Or... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Well, it's an older, advanced race that moved to a younger star over a long period of time.

      They'd be here by now. What plausible reason would they have for ALL stopping, once they've got a technology that can make an interstellar move in a manageable period of time?

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    38. Re:Or... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      There are no "generations", only periodic upgrades.

      I, for one, would not welcome Patch Tuesday on my AI "shell".

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    39. Re:Or... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      (1) Why would they need to communicate? YOU might feel the need to hear responses to your messages, but why do you assume that is true for others?

      (2) Which part of "slowly" do you have a problem with understanding?

      (3) How would you deal with languages evolving? Simply : with records of existing protocols and including a protocol for updating protocols. No, it wouldn't be easy. Who (apart from you and the Star Trek scriptwriters who seem to be your only source of information) believes that it will be either easy or quick?

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    40. Re:Or... by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      That is biology based thinking. A civilization this advanced has likely made a full transition to machine based AI. There are no "generations", only periodic upgrades.

      Some of us enjoy our biological meat puppets.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    41. Re:Or... by 110010001000 · · Score: 0

      You guys are hilarious. Meanwhile here on Earth we use chemical rockets. Laser boosting, and induction catapult? Why not just say "warp drive"? Equally meaningless.

    42. Re:Or... by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Completely ignoring the reality that "Type II civilizations" exist only in your imagination.

    43. Re:Or... by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Moron. Read the post I was responding to. He said "began communicating". It isn't possible. Slowly? You mean like thousands of years apart?

    44. Re:Or... by coastwalker · · Score: 1

      I am glad that you think experts have nothing to say on the subject of the impossibility of travel between stars. Because I am not an expert and I am utterly convinced by the physics and the psychology of humanity that we will never travel between stars. You are about to elect a president who is so stupid he wants to build a wall against the Mexicans and make them pay for it. What makes you think that any civilization that ugly and stupid is going to avoid war and sinking back into the stone age after the first nuclear strike? Interstellar travel my arse, we will be lucky if we get back to using metal tools after the crash we are currently heading for. There won't be any coal to get industrialization going next time, good luck with steam engines powered by wood.

      --
      Facts are history now plebs have politics for religion on social media.
    45. Re:Or... by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Well, I don't believe it, but assuming FTL is a pipe dream, a Level 2 civilization would still be quite capable of accelerating a colony ship to a sizable fraction of the speed of light, even enough so that journeys across thousands of light years would take negligible time for the passengers, though that would likely still get extremely expensive even with the full power of a star behind it.

      So, they build up their infrastructure, and then eventually send a colony ship to another rich candidate star when their other projects leave excess power available. Sill, seems unlikely they'd cross thousands of light years to colonize another star, skipping all those along the way. Unless I suppose they take "not putting all their eggs in one basket" VERY seriously, Hmm, wonder if there are any civilization-ending supernova candidates near the original star? I mean that's a serious consideration - we' know of at least one candidate that could detonate at any time and potentially destroy life on Earth. If you're going to go to all the effort of building a Dyson sphere, It's probably worth avoiding stars likely to be sterilized any time soon.

      Alternately, there may be an unknown number of fully encased stars already between these two whose leakage emissions are too dim to see, and we're only seeing newly colonized stars whose Dyson spheres are still in early construction. The galaxy's a very big, very old place, an empire could easily span thousands of light years and still not have reached us yet. If they know we're here they might even be intentionally avoiding us - if the emergence of complex life is rare it might be considered worth leaving a buffer zone around worlds that might eventually birth their own interstellar civilizations. Space is big, no sense crowding each other.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    46. Re:Or... by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Actually, no. While the true underlying rules that govern the universe are not man made, our concept of Physics most certainly is - it's our best mathematical model so far of what those real rules might be, but there's nothing sacred or "True" about it - the models have been torn down and rebuilt many times already, and it's pure hubris to assume that we wont do so again in the future. And when we do so, there's no telling what new ways of manipulating the universe may become possible for us.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    47. Re:Or... by the_bard17 · · Score: 1

      It's a big universe out there, and the further we look, the older it is. Takes a lot of hubris to announce that something only exists in a given person's imagination, based solely upon one's knowledge, limited though it may be.

      Bit like a slug under a rock being unable to fathom a jet airliner...

    48. Re:Or... by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Holographic storage.

      Fusion power.

      Flying cars.

      Real soon now.....

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    49. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we're going to go the appeal to authority route...

      A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.

      -- Max Planck

    50. Re:Or... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      We don't know that at all, warp is theoretically possible and so are worm holes.

    51. Re:Or... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Or, somewhat more seriously, destroyed by an impact with something...anything really, at large fractions of the speed of light, or destroyed by a terrorist attack from within (many generations gives time for indigenous doomsday cults to form), or cleared of all life due to an unrecoverable malfunction with any life support system. A generation ship is constantly rolling the dice for its own survival, and what I see as a major flaw in the concept is the belief that it will never roll snake eyes in however many hundreds or thousands of years it spends in space. The odds of a generation ship reaching its destination intact are just too slim.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    52. Re:Or... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "Science is based on observations. Fiction is based on wild speculation. Combining the two makes for some interesting stories"

      Yes, those stories are called hypothesis. Science is about observing and then speculating based on those observations, speculating on what else would be true if your speculation were correct, devising ways to test those something elses and observing the results. Rinse, repeat.

      Science fiction tests nothing in the physical world although it often simulates such testing in a fictional world where the hypothesis have to be able to integrate coherently with everything else in that fictional world. This lab of the mind is arguably more exentisve than that of most scientists forming a hypothesis. Nobody would claim science fiction is science but science fiction contains hypothesis (even if they are more loosely founded than those of scientists) and inspires actual scientists who often later test those hypothesis and there is a reason science fiction often later becomes science fact.

    53. Re:Or... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "Meanwhile here on Earth we use chemical rockets."

      Sure but it isn't like we haven't developed at least infant forms of these other technologies, our space program just sucks so we don't have opportunities to test and develop them. We have so few resources we can't afford to Edison it and discover all the ways not to build an FTL drive and go the next step and revisit all these techniques periodically to make sure we didn't rule them out prematurely because of some underlying tech that wasn't quite there yet.

      Look at the space elevator concept, we have numerous materials theoretically strong enough now, nobody has attempted to build a space elevator yet. Why? Resources.

    54. Re:Or... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "If you can build megastructures around a star you can also slap engines on the things and get up to maybe 10% of lightspeed."

      Maybe, maybe not. I'd contend we could build megastructures around a star already we just wouldn't do so.

      Can you imagine the human race of today pursuing a project on a term of millenia building a megastructure composed of billions or trillions of small components flocking and interacting in unison to form of a megastructure? Lots of redundancy. I don't see any huge insurmountable technological obstacle to that, the logic is already being built into our cloud computing structures, the obstacles are social. I couldn't see modern man engaging in a project like the pyramids or the great wall either.

      If we could somehow get the globe on board, possibly with an international pissing contest, we might get them to begin such a thing as an effort to terraform mars. Focus a big sun powered microwave at mars and you'd shake those water molecules up pretty good. Then we just keep expanding it bit by bit. In theory if it got ignored by the world for a bit the part that was already there should keep working until we start expanding on things again. Eventually we are doing a lot more than just terraforming mars.

    55. Re:Or... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      Flying cars have been here for a long long time. Nobody actually wants them in practice.

    56. Re: Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um no, we have no materials anywhere near strong enough yet.

    57. Re:Or... by Greyfox · · Score: 1

      Yeah! Because what's better than one Dyson sphere? TWO Dyson spheres! Or perhaps at some point your civilization gets to the point where building a Dyson sphere is the equivalent of a baking soda volcano elementary school project. "Oh look! Little Johnny made a Dyson sphere! Isn't that just the most adorable thing?"

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    58. Re:Or... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "Slowly? You mean like thousands of years apart?"

      Yes, exactly. Now you are getting it. Even we are already at a point where not dying is a reasonably forseeable possibility. We have many paths, AI, singularity, effortings to engineer away aging. As we age timescale perception changes. A young person is in a rush to make every minute count and years feel like forever, to a middle aged person a year doesn't really seem like so long after all. Imagine time perception to a being a few million years old that is part of a civilization full of beings a million years old. Perhaps they are even all just copies of the same being that evolved the capability to split and replicate it's mind without having to reset generation after generation so there is an absolute feeling of confidence, competence, and shared self-interest. What difference does it make if it's 5 minutes lag or 5000 years lag? Stars last a hell of a lot longer than that, those timescales represent an acceptable rate of expansion to continue persisting on timescales that mean something even to you and represent distances that reduce threats likely to happen on timescales of millions of years that seem very real to you.

    59. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can theoretically accelerate to relativistic speeds. The speed limit of c is only a concern at relativistic speeds, in which case length contraction also becomes a factor. You can travel "a few thousands light years" (as measured by your home world) in less than a few thousand local years if that distance is length-contracted to less than a few thousand light years.

    60. Re:Or... by CmdrTamale · · Score: 1

      Interstellar travel does not demand high speed, just long life and patience.

      More important: is it blue-shifted?
      --
      The Internet. Where science goes to die.

    61. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We've already used electric propulsion and solar sails...

    62. Re: Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't argue with the nutter troll. He has a chip on his shoulder the size of Jupiter because an aerospace engineer swept off her feet the girl he was (and still is in a sick way) desperately in love while in school. It was totally unrequited of course but he kept getting more and more unpleasant until she had to file a restraining order. From them on his sanity went downhill.

    63. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Completely ignoring the reality that "Type II civilizations" exist only in your imagination.

      Your statement is as ignorant as taking a cup of ocean water and saying that it proves whales only exist in his imagination too.

    64. Re:Or... by Locke2005 · · Score: 1
      You're assuming that, like the aliens in Independence Day, their software was supplied by Microsoft. Perhaps as _really_ advanced civilization wouldn't have such a thing as forced updates! (Yes, some redundancy would be necessary on generation ships to make sure they survived.)

      But this is all really silly... what naturally occurring phonomena could cause dimming? Could a star itself brighten and dim if something sufficiently large crashed into it?

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    65. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Haha, all you have to do is keep claiming $x is impossible because I, 110010001000, am omniscient, and you get a whole thread of people who just can't ignore your idiocy and move on.

      Come on, people, this idiot doesn't deserve the attention.

    66. Re:Or... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Yes, like thousands of years apart.

      You receive what you think may be a message (there's a few decades of decision time there, for starters), then decide (1 generation, or two) to initiate communication. You dispatch your first message. Then you wait a decade, or a generation, or a civilisation-collapse cycle?

      No, you re-send the message. With slightly different encoding. And then you repeat it again with a different preceding set of mathematical symbols to establish your language-designed-for communication. Lather, rinse, repeat.

      Bored of sending that? Repeat the same, and add some more. In both encodings.

      Bored of sending that? Repeat the same, and add some more. In three encodings. Remember, these are aliens, and they may not have understood your first message.

      Bored of sending that? Repeat the same, and add some more. In four encodings. You have no reply, but you are not going to get a reply for another 2.8 millennia.

      Bored of sending that? Repeat the same, and add some more. In five encodings.

      Bored of sending that? Repeat the same, and add some more. In four encodings. You have no reply, but you are not going to get a reply for another 2.7 millennia.

      Bored of sending that? Repeat the same, and add some more. In six encodings.

      Are you getting the message yet? This is going to be a project which extends beyond the duration of (on a human scale) your dynasty's connection to the question of interstellar communication. Possibly YOUR civilisation collapses half way through (possibly the reciever's civilisation does too, but a millennium later). So, you repeat the earlier messages, including the "establish encoding, grammar and linguistics2 messages.

      Did you not get the point of "slowly"?

      By coincidence, I happen to be listening to a programme about "Quipus". That's a communication tool between humans, from a little over 600 years ago. And we still haven't decoded them. And we can be reasonably sure (due to the absence of finger-amputated skeletons) that the people sending the message had five (not four, or six) digits. Of course, we don't know if they counted their thumbs differently to their fingers and used base 8, not 10.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    67. Re:Or... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Hmm, wonder if there are any civilization-ending supernova candidates near the original star?

      Think more about what you mean by "civilisation-ending". You're talking about space-faring organisms. That means either FTL-impossibilities (impossible - it's in the name) or generation ships. Generation ships require radiation management. Outside the immediate blast zone of a supernova (a mere few dozen LY), the issue is radiation management. And supernovae hardly happen without warning - you need a star somewhat brighter than Sirius, drastic changes in it's diameter, luminosity and neutrino flux. To miss those signals, you'd need to be talking about a uranium-level technology with an incredibly short-sighted view of the reality that surrounds them.

      Even our rather fucking stupid species has nut-cases building underground shelters capable of possibly surviving a few years of supernova bombardment. I just do not believe that level of blind stupidity persisting to the time that we are even vaguely comfortable in space.

      (How much does it take to preserve a "civilisation"? At best guess, a couple of thousand people, and a Wikipedia-dump. Say, 1 km.cu inside a 3km.diam asteroid. i.e., not a lot.)

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    68. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How would someone travel a few thousand light years? It isn't possible, because, you know, Physics.

      Robots first, then generation ships or seed ships with frozen embryos and robot nannies.

    69. Re:Or... by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Oh I see. You are just plain nuts.

    70. Re:Or... by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      "Even we are already at a point where not dying is a reasonably forseeable possibility."
      What planet do you live on? Here on Earth, the current generation of Americans is expected to live not as long as the previous generation, due to obesity. You are going to die. We are all going to die. And no: you are never never ever leaving the planet to live on another one. No one is. Grow up and learn to live on Earth.

    71. Re:Or... by BoogieChile · · Score: 1

      Resources, we have plenty of. Ability to get on with others, we have a real problem with.

      If the US spent only as much as China on defence, they could have a complete Apollo AND shuttle AND space station program EVERY YEAR.

      http://www.thespacereview.com/...

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    72. Re:Or... by uvajed_ekil · · Score: 1

      *WE* can't travel at velocities approaching the speed of light, or light years at a time, but that doesn't necessarily preclude others from doing so. When I see discoveries like this and you say it is definitely nothing especially interesting, I am reminded that any sufficiently advanced technology may be indistinguishable from magic.

      If there exists a civilization that has managed to survive and advance for say, a billion years, or maybe even 1/100th of that, they would surely have at least some technologies that would be difficult for us to comprehend. We all walk around with miniature high-powered computers in our pockets, while just a generation ago few people knew what the internet was and less powerful computers occupied a lot of desk space and stayed tethered to walls. Merely two hundred years ago there was no widespread use of electricity. I think it is the height of hubris to presume that something can't be done simply because we have no idea how to do it today. And, after all, our laws of science and mathematics are still evolving constantly, as they always have. FTL travel may be impossible, but even if we find a way to work it out theoretically we are still a long way from making it practical. So what if our understanding of the underlying physics and the nature of spacetime is less sophisticated than we presume it to be?

      --
      This is a hacked account, for which the owner can not be held responsible.
    73. Re:Or... by uvajed_ekil · · Score: 1

      You're right - we don't have that evidence. But even Einstein was wrong more than once, and we haven't been developing technology for very long at all, on cosmic, geologic, or evolutionary timescales. If you mean *we* aren't traveling to other stars any time soon, you're probably right. But if comparable life elsewhere isn't it right to assume that some civilization somewhere might be much older and much more advanced than us? Human understanding of math and science hasn't been perfected yet, so maybe we have some big things wrong and there are probably some significant technologies that we haven't even conceived of yet. So I'm not saying these stars we've just found to dim oddly are evidence of Dysonspere-esque structures or alien civilizations, but we haven't exactly been around long or traveled very far, ya know?

      --
      This is a hacked account, for which the owner can not be held responsible.
    74. Re:Or... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      On a colony ship. Take 100,000 years to cross a few thousand light years. With automation and high-latency communications, you'll arrive at your destination 1000 years behind the civilization you left, unless the colony ship "evolves" at the same or faster rate than "home".

    75. Re:Or... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Einstein never said [faster than light travel] was impossible. When corrected by idiots, the original idiots look more plausible. You should keep your incorrect corrections to yourself, furthers your cause farther than you opening up your mouth.

    76. Re:Or... by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Okay, yeah in terms of terminating a species that spans thousands of light years, it's not so much of a threat. But even at that level of technology, travel between even close stars would still be a non-trivial endeavor, it would be difficult if not impossible to physically evacuate the inhabitants of a fully domesticated star within the kill zone unless you started millenia ahead of time, and while radiation management would be possible, it would also be a very expensive and disruptive expected long-term cost of colonizing the star in the first place. It might well be more attractive to simply grow your civilization away from such threats instead of toward them.

      And just as an aside, assuming light-speed is insurmountable, with even the closest stars having decades-long ping times in communication, and physical transportation between them being even slower and very energy-expensive, such a "civilization" might well be far more fragmented than the "human civilization" on Earth currently is. Even if they shared a sense of species unity (aided no doubt by the difficulties of waging interstellar war), it might be difficult to call them a cohesive civilization in any traditional sense of the word.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    77. Re:Or... by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      Good education and the capacity to take care of everyone's basic needs should make cults and terrorists a non-issue. We are talking about an advanced civilization, I think we can assume those things would exist on a starship.

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    78. Re:Or... by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      No "fully qualified expert" said we would die if we went faster than 35 mph. The people who said that had no evidence or observation to support the idea and there was in fact evidence to the contrary (cheetahs, lions, many types of birds) that they were ignoring.

      Don't conflate saying something is too hard (likely to be proven wrong eventually) with saying something is impossible based on known physics (less likely to be proven wrong).

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    79. Re:Or... by cwsumner · · Score: 1

      Machines that advanced, would be indistinguishable from biological bodies. Except maybe a bit "better".

      Maybe, biology -is- what you get after machines?
      Except, we've just missed a few upgrades and preventive maintanance... 8-)

    80. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you not considered that a civilisation far smarter and more advanced than us would not have considered the problems and actually come up with solutions?

      You are describing a single generation ship as a bad idea, and it is, it is metaphorically putting all their eggs in one basket. So why not increase the number of baskets to put their eggs in? They could send a fleet of generation ships, ships with the ability to build more generation ships if needed, if they lose one ship it is unfortunate, but it can be replaced.

    81. Re:Or... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Theoretically, yes, but only if the exotic matter they depend on actually exists, we currently have no evidence of that being the case.

    82. Re:Or... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      with even the closest stars having decades-long ping times in communication, and physical transportation between them being even slower and very energy-expensive, such a "civilization" might well be far more fragmented than the "human civilization" on Earth currently is. Even if they shared a sense of species unity (aided no doubt by the difficulties of waging interstellar war), it might be difficult to call them a cohesive civilization in any traditional sense of the word.

      Agreed. Launching a generation ship is going to be a "fire and forget" deal. You'd try to persuade the colonies to keep some sort of transmissions going, mainly so that you'd have some idea what is killing them. It's not as if you could offer any assistance on any useful time scale. You'd have to use some pretty serious carrot to persuade them to put up with the stick of sending data back home.

      It's a topic that has been well-explored by SF.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    83. Re:Or... by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      If there exists a civilization that has managed to survive and advance for say, a billion years, or maybe even 1/100th of that, they would surely have at least some technologies that would be difficult for us to comprehend. We all walk around with miniature high-powered computers in our pockets, while just a generation ago few people knew what the internet was and less powerful computers occupied a lot of desk space and stayed tethered to walls. Merely two hundred years ago there was no widespread use of electricity

      It's worse than that. We have only had any kind of technology for about 2500 years or so; before that we were stacking rocks and that was about it. And about 1000 of those years we regressed and didn't do anything noteworthy technologically (between the fall of Rome and the Renaissance). It's only been in the last 200-300 years we've really made big strides technologically and scientifically.

      In short, our civilization is less than 10k years old at most. It's impossible for us to even comprehend a civilization that's been around for 100k years, let alone 1M - 1B, unless that civilization has progressed far, far more slowly than ours. Someone born 1000 years ago, and somehow resurrected today, would barely recognize anything or have any idea how to live in modern society, even if you could get past the language barrier. They'd basically think everything they saw was witchcraft and sorcery.

      As for FTL, even at this early stage we do have a bit of an idea how to do it (see the Alcubierre Drive). It just requires negative mass or exotic matter, which doesn't seem to exist, but if one physicist can come up with this based on Einstein's theories, with an improved understanding of physics there's no telling what could be devised in the future. Now, give us another 100K years of development and it's quite possible something would be discovered. If the ETs have had a civilization that long or longer (which is nothing in cosmic timescales), there's no reason to think they wouldn't have come up with something.

    84. Re:Or... by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      If you mean *we* aren't traveling to other stars any time soon, you're probably right.

      It's more likely that *we* aren't *ever* traveling to other stars. With too many members of our species being as stupid and short-sighted as him, we are certainly doomed as a species. Hopefully the ETs are a lot smarter than us reality-TV-watching imbeciles.

    85. Re:Or... by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      He "just discovered" trolling? He has a 6-digit UID; he's been around here for a while. He's certainly not a kid in his mom's basement, unless he's one of those 40-year-old virgins who never moved out. The fact that he's still around and prolifically posting while so many other quality posters are long gone just shows this site is on its last legs.

    86. Re:Or... by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Not sure I agree with the stick analogy - maintaining communications is unlikely to be particularly burdensome, nor is making regular "incremental backups" of your research servers into the datastream. Compared to sending a colony ship between stars, setting up a gravitational telescope to examine your target would be pocket change, and make for a wonderful insanely-high-gain communication relay as a bonus. And I think a king size carrot would be easy to offer. Sure, you can't get any short-term immediate assistance with a problem, but a colony world will have considerable long-term challenges as well, and extremely limited resources and manpower for a very long time. Local energies would likely be directed towards relatively more survival and development goals for generations.

      Meanwhile if the homeworld keeps sending them the latest and greatest new advances in science, technology, and art, the colony is getting continuous access to the intellectual bounty of an otherwise increasingly more advanced civilization - right down to plans to feed into the fabricators. And even if technology and culture have plateaued, there's also the possibilities of researchers sending back details of long-term colony challenges and getting detailed analysis from home, where many individuals would probably be interested in researching things like xenogeology, in far more depth than could be afforded on the colony. If you sent good data back, then even a ten year old geology analysis done with 10x the number of dedicated experts and 10,000x the CPU cycles might well have much to offer the local geologists.

      When it comes to getting the most bang for your research dollars, communicating with a more advanced civilization is probably hard to beat

      And as the colony builds up to rival the homeworld civilization, that's the payoff for homeworld's investment. There's much to be gained from both sides maintaining communication. Much less potentially paradigm-shattering novelty than engaging with a completely alien civilization, but you've still got two worlds worth of intellectual productivity to consider. They'll no doubt retread a lot of the same ground, but especially with some coordination to pursue different directions, they could still advance faster together than alone. And whats a decade of lag in cultural feedback matter in the face of having twice as many Mozarts, Rembrandts, etc. sharing their creations?

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  2. or, the universe is teaming with by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    cataegory 3 civilizations and we had better watch our "P"'s and "Q"'s.... Just sayin'

    1. Re:or, the universe is teaming with by aliquis · · Score: 0

      cataegory 3 civilizations and we had better watch our "P"'s and "Q"'s.... Just sayin'

      Pussys and Qocks?

    2. Re:or, the universe is teaming with by rossdee · · Score: 1

      IMHO 'Q' didn't fit in the category of 'civilized, but he could be responsible for the phenomena we are seeing.

  3. Dyson-Sphere-Dwelling by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 2

    It's a Dyson. It shines in a shop window. It dims when you start using it.

    --
    Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
    1. Re:Dyson-Sphere-Dwelling by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's funny, I'd have put my money on you begging her to get that gerbil out of your ass.

    2. Re:Dyson-Sphere-Dwelling by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's funny, I'd have put my money on you begging her to get that gerbil out of your ass.

      No way. That's there strictly for pleasure. Do you have any idea how tedious it is to de-claw and lubricate a squirming gerbil?!

    3. Re:Dyson-Sphere-Dwelling by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Since Mr Dyson is a competent engineer, I would be pretty surprised if he didn't know of the "classic" Dyson Sphere. Whether the Marketing Department (to each, their own skills) has canned the idea of using the name as "too geeky", or whether they're keeping the name in the "pool" but haven't found the right product to put it to yet, I don't know. And I doubt that we'd get an answer if asked.

      OTOH, I'll file the question in case I ever see Dyson doing a Q&A session here.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  4. of course, no alien overlords by dmoen · · Score: 1

    If you are an advanced alien race that needs more living space, it's much more practical to construct a partial dyson sphere in your own back yard, than to colonize other star systems. Our galaxy is big enough that there should be multiple inhabited star systems out there, and possibly multiple partial dyson spheres. But the laws of physics make visits from flesh and blood aliens highly unlikely.

    --
    I have written a truly remarkable program which this sig is too small to contain.
    1. Re:of course, no alien overlords by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 3, Funny

      No other civilization is going to use a Dyson sphere. Their products are so user unfriendly. I bought one of their fans and had to return it because it was so badly thought out. There's no way that company could design a sphere to enclose a sun properly.

    2. Re:of course, no alien overlords by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Faulty logic.

      Once a civilisation has the technology required to build a dyson sphere, then yes, it might be more sensible to do that, then to engage in interstellar travel.

      However, it's quite feasible to imagine species that can do interstellar species, but not have the technology to build a dyson sphere. Imagine humans can scope out a nearby star and determine that there's a habital planet that is worthwhile journeying too. Say we invent a reliable form of suspended animation + artificial gestation. Even if it takes 200 years for the ship to arrive at the new planet (max speed of 10% of light), that's a lot more feasible for us to imagine humans achieving 100 years from now, than it is for us to imagine humans being able to build a dyson sphere 100 years from now.

    3. Re:of course, no alien overlords by ultranova · · Score: 1

      But the laws of physics make visits from flesh and blood aliens highly unlikely.

      I suspect becoming a truly spacefaring species means the ability to alter your flesh and blood to forms more suitable to space and alien environments at will, for example through mind uploading. There are potential additional benefits as well, such as intelligence boost or true multitasking.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    4. Re:of course, no alien overlords by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      If you are an advanced alien race that needs more living space, it's much more practical to construct a partial dyson sphere in your own back yard,

      I really doubt it. If you're an advanced race (hoomin, alien, or our current feline overlords) living within the laws of physics, then the need for living space can be much more easily accommodated by turning asteroids into large numbers of hollow, spin-stabilised structures. It's much simpler, incredibly more fault tolerant, and doesn't require the disassembly and total matter-conversion of one or more gas giants. There's also the non-trivial detail of needing to clear every significant meteoroid out of the solar system in which you build your Dyson sphere (your home system? Come on, get real!), and then construct a 100% reliable defence against incoming extra-system debris. Otherwise, one big bang and your Dyson sphere becomes unbalanced and gravitationally unstable (instead of just being gravitationally unstable).

      If you're really, really short on living space, or you want the redundancy of inhabiting multiple stellar systems, stick a motor on the end of one of your hollowed-out asteroids, wind it up until the radiation that gets through your 20m (of ice, or 10m of asteroid rock dust) is as much as you're happy to live with for your grand children's life, et voila! you have launched your first generation ship.

      The number of generation ships cruising the Milky way, occasionally stopping in an Oort Cloud to rape an iceball for reaction mass, volatiles and some construction material, is going to far exceed the number of started Dyson spheres.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    5. Re: of course, no alien overlords by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The civilization only discovered this after the sphere was delivered and paid for.

  5. Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    "
    If confirmed, this discovery changes the situation with interpreting the so-called "Tabby's Star"."

    The most important reason why this deprecates Tabby's Star as an alien megastructure is that at 5-11 million years, this new star is far too young to have undergone planet formation, let alone a highly developed civilization. If we can identify a natural mechanism for its odd light changes, Occam says this is the most likely explanation for Tabby's Star also.

    Meanwhile, we ourselves are making these observations as a Kardashian Type I civilization, which means that we are too focused on the antics of celebrities to have a real space program. Fortunately, private sector initiatives like the Allen Telescope Array may get us the definitive data first.

    1. Re: Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What if the aliens who built the Dyson sphere around Tabby also built this one?

      Maybe they even ignited this new star specifically for their energy needs. Who knows?

      Probabilities are all well and good for modeling. But reality doesn't conform precisely to any model, and usually if something is possible and has been thought about, it has been or is being done.

    2. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Occam says this is the most likely explanation for Tabby's Star also.

      Sigh. Yet again. Occam's Razor never, ever, ever says a thing about what is more likely.

    3. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tabby's star isn't young. It's almost odd to compare the two.

    4. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      The most important reason why this deprecates Tabby's Star as an alien megastructure is that at 5-11 million years, this new star is far too young to have undergone planet formation, let alone a highly developed civilization.

      The civilization that build the megastructure may have evolved elsewhere and then migrated to this star. The lack of planet formation is an advantage since the first step in building a dyson sphere is to ... disassemble the planets. It would be much easier to start with a cloud of comets and asteroids. That may have been one reason they chose this star for their project.

    5. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Sigh. Yet again. Occam's Razor never, ever, ever says a thing about what is more likely.

      Occam's Razor says it is likely you are wrong.

    6. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Zocalo · · Score: 1

      While I do think this is just some new natural phenomenon, just to play devil's advocate for a minute, which of these is likely to be the simplest and provide the longest return on investment for a suitably advanced civilization to construct a Dyson sphere from, assuming (as would be likely) that interstellar travel isn't a significant problem:

      A: A mature star system, where most of the raw materials for construction have already coalesced into planets, and may only have 2/3 of its stellar life left.
      B: A new star system, where most of the raw materials for construction are still drifting around in the form of large rocks and the star has its entire life left.

      Pretty sure it's "B" - no matter how advanced your civilization might be, it's got to be easier to get your raw materials from asteroid sized chunks of ore that can be redirected into a more convenient orbit rather than strip mining a planet down to nothing and boosting all that mass up out of the (slowing diminishing) gravity well into suitable stellar orbits.

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    7. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      And wouldn't it make more sense to make the Dyson sphere around a nearby (cosmically speaking) young star and NOT your own home star, which would then bring about the death of your home planet?

      I mean even if you had the tech you wouldn't want to do it to your home planet, as there goes the flora and fauna and all of your historical landmarks and structures, it would be wiser to use a nearby uninhabited system (the younger the better because as you noted you'd get long use of it) and if you have the tech to build a Dyson sphere I'm sure you'd likewise have advanced methods of storing and transporting energy. This would even explain why we've detected one older star and one young star this way as you wouldn't want to waste a good chunk of the energy you're collecting hauling it across multiple systems, much more likely you'd look to convert the closest systems and even an older star would give them several billion years of energy to collect.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    8. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      t 5-11 million years, this new star is far too young to have undergone planet formation, let alone a highly developed civilization.

      Agree on the "highly developed civilisation". Disagree on the planets.

      Our current better models for the formation of the Solar system have it taking in the order of 20-100 Myr to have put the bulk of the planets together including forming the Moon, though locally we had a (probable) re-arrangement of gas giants at about 0.6-1.0 billion years after formation leading to the "Late Heavy Bombardment". Given the "slop" in such models, I wouldn't call 5-11 million years as being too young to have a well-stabilised planetary system. Of course, that may not go with having irregular, eccentric, warped, lumpy debris discs. but we have a sample of one well-studied planetary system and a handful of ones with a few of the larger components roughly characterised. As the old cry goes, "more data, more data!".

      Fortunately, private sector initiatives like the Allen Telescope Array may get us the definitive data first.

      So, you didn't read the paper? The data sources cited are Kepler (K2) and ALMA. From the paper,

      ALMA is a partnership of ESO (representing its member states), NSF (USA) and NINS (Japan), together with NRC (Canada) and NSC and ASIAA (Taiwan), in cooperation with the Republic of Chile. The Joint ALMA Observatory is operated by ESO, AUI/NRAO and NAOJ.

      Nothing to do with the Allen Telescope Array. Fine project though that is, I don't think it's suitable (receiver sensitivity, telescope mirror reflectivity at these wavelengths) for this sort of work.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    9. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      A: A mature star system, where most of the raw materials for construction have already coalesced into planets, and may only have 2/3 of its stellar life left.
      B: A new star system, where most of the raw materials for construction are still drifting around in the form of large rocks and the star has its entire life left.
      Pretty sure it's "B" -

      In your "B" scenario, don't forget that you've got a LOT of volatiles still floating around, unless you've already built your gas giants. In which case, you're into scenario "A". The volatiles do exert appreciable drag - we see the resulting collisions in terms of the debris impacting the star and being spectroscopically detectable.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    10. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      The civilization that build the megastructure may have evolved elsewhere and then migrated to this star.

      When SF authors make this sort of suggestion, they normally have some sort of hand-wavey McGuffin to explain why the civilisation in question stopped migrating. What's your McGuffin?

      (The most cringe-worthy I saw recently was "We're the dinosaurs that left Earth to it's Cretaceous asteroid fate, and we haven't stopped migrating." No names, no pack drill on that one, but it dirtied the hands of both collaborating authors.)

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    11. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Zocalo · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it would be all in the timing. You'd definitely want the first stages of planetary accretion completed in order to to get most of the initial gas and dust into a form that can be turned into asteroid sized building blocks, yet avoid things reaching the point where you have proto-planets that are binding up most of your heavy metals in a mostly molten state. I suppose that you *could* get in earlier than that if your construction tools and processes were to include a "Space Balls" style cosmic vacuum cleaner and handling of molten minerals did not present a major challenge either, of course, but waiting until to have to unbind major iron planets and strip the atmospheres from gas giants doesn't seem like the most efficient approach. The sweet spot is probably right around the time that gas giants are starting to form as by that point the bulk of the dust and gas will have been pulled into common orbits with some rocky elements and protoplanets helping to bind it all up until you need it for construction.

      Alternatively, maybe you skip all that and actually manage the early formation of the protoplanets in the first place by getting them into convenient orbits ready for the main construction phases, seeding some specifically to gravitationally "harvest" some of the denser regions of gas in the system, and so on. Steering a whole bunch of protoplanets of suitable size around on strategic orbits for a few hundred thousand years or so would almost certainly make things much cleaner in terms of rogue asteroids and other debris that could cause issues later on as well. It's not like you wouldn't have plenty of time; even with Dyson's original idea - that the sphere isn't actually solid - you're probably still going to need a lot more raw materials than one stellar dust cloud can provide, so you're likely to be shipping in materials from nearby star systems as well.

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    12. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While I do think this is just some new natural phenomenon, just to play devil's advocate for a minute, which of these is likely to be the simplest and provide the longest return on investment for a suitably advanced civilization to construct a Dyson sphere from, assuming (as would be likely) that interstellar travel isn't a significant problem:

      A: A mature star system, where most of the raw materials for construction have already coalesced into planets, and may only have 2/3 of its stellar life left.

      B: A new star system, where most of the raw materials for construction are still drifting around in the form of large rocks and the star has its entire life left.

      Pretty sure it's "B" - no matter how advanced your civilization might be, it's got to be easier to get your raw materials from asteroid sized chunks of ore that can be redirected into a more convenient orbit rather than strip mining a planet down to nothing and boosting all that mass up out of the (slowing diminishing) gravity well into suitable stellar orbits.

      Well the argument, if we are talking about where to build a dyson sphere is more nuanced than stellar life and the availability of raw materials. (This is ignoring the argument that this is or is not a dyson sphere rather than some other unnamed light anomaly.) The question relating to how long your dyson sphere is going to last is affected by they type of star in question. If long life is the main design parameter, this last star (Epic) is a red dwarf so it will last trillions of years, proxima centauri will be burning for more years from now than the universe has existed up until now.... on the order of 30 trillion years. If you want to build your dyson sphere on prime real estate near a hyper habitable earth like planet.. your choice of star would lean more towards an orange K type star more like Alpha Centauri B (not to be confused with Proxima centauri B which is the closest habitable zone extrasolar planet to us.) which would have a lifespan on the order of 30 billion years. If you are just looking for a hotrod style dyson sphere, and longevity is not a concern.. you would pick a large blue star something like Sirius A, though it will only be there a few million years before it gets blown to pieces in a supernova.

      The argument, if we are talking dyson spheres is much more nuanced than the elapsed lifetime of the star in question, not all stars live the same amount of time or put out the same amount of total power for a given arbitrary time period. Like everything in engineering, there are trade offs to be considered in each installation.

    13. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Given the comparative difficulty of turning asteroids into living space versus building a Dyson object {sphere, ring, cup, mesh ... whatever), I honestly cannot see how any space-faring species woud waste effort on building a Dyson [whatever]. Until they have literally run out of places to live in their entire galaxy, it's a non-starter. IMHO.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    14. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Some other factors:
      1) You haven't exactly built thousands of Dyson Spheres, so each one is still a big project and a big risk. Better to do it on some young star without any inhabited planets.
      2) Maybe a small, young star represents a lower engineering challenge than a larger star, much like a space elevator is a huge engineering challenge to us on Earth because of the necessary material strength, whereas building one on the Moon would be far, far easier and well within our materials technology.

    15. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Maybe they've already built asteroid-habitats and are bored of that, and want to build something much bigger and fancier. After all, if they've figured out how to eliminate aging and have virtually unlimited lifespans, maybe they have little better to do than come up with fantastic new construction projects. And with no significant death rate, maybe they're having fun breeding as many new baby aliens as they can so they need lots of space for them.

    16. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Did it? It seemed plausible to me. The Sun had a companion star, and they utilized it to build a Bowl of Heaven that could be used to travel the stars. The second book actually went into that they caused the Cretaceous disaster by returning with their "ship".

      I am wondering where they were/are going with the destination system though, that sounds...weird.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    17. Re:Good conclusion, but missed the best reason by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Well, taking off with the Bowl would itself have been sufficient to cause the K-Pg impactor, not necessarily the returning. But its probably the thick end of a year since I read it, and I'd rather given up by the time I waded though to that, so I'm not 100% sure on what was exactly the wind up. It didn't make much sense to me either.

      I don't think I'll buy the third book - if there is one. Might get it from the library, if I see it there.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  6. In a galaxy far, far away... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... Someone opened their beer on the big red button. Now the whole place went supercritical and started making stars. Oh, the universe, only if these hip guys cares to read the safety instruction...

  7. People looking for Dysons CivII shit, well, sorry. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is a lot of debris in orbit around various stars in the infinite possibilities that comprise the multitude of galaxies that make up what we can see.

    Those who wish to see aliens will see them no matter what.

  8. Not the same by uassholes · · Score: 1

    This star is different, it has a disk.

  9. oh oh by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Funny

    EPIC 204278916

    Rats, you guessed my password!

  10. What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So this article is not about Britney Spears?

  11. we'll find a lot of this by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    By the mere fact that we have noticed this twice now (and we've looked at very few stars) would suggest this is not terribly uncommon. Even if it's one in a million, there are thousands in just our own galaxy.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    1. Re:we'll find a lot of this by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      By the mere fact that we have noticed this twice now (and we've looked at very few stars) would suggest this is not terribly uncommon.

      It's up to ten now. I didn't follow the references.

      Sorry, twelve, including this star and the original "Tabby's Star." Time to split the genus into species.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    2. Re:we'll find a lot of this by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      My OpenAthens subscription doesn't cover IOP, but sci-hub did the business for getting the full paper. And WOAH!, look at EPIC (that's the catalogue for the K2 missions) 204137184 in figs 2 and particularly 3 where it's light curve is folded onto it's principal component ! That is some seriously lumpy eclipsing variable! We live in interesting times!

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    3. Re:we'll find a lot of this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My OpenAthens subscription doesn't cover IOP, but sci-hub did the business for getting the full paper. And WOAH!, look at EPIC (that's the catalogue for the K2 missions) 204137184 in figs 2 and particularly 3 where it's light curve is folded onto it's principal component ! That is some seriously lumpy eclipsing variable! We live in interesting times!

      Twinkle, Twinkle little star(s), how I wonder what you are!

  12. Different things by pjv936 · · Score: 1

    They are two different things. The young star system would have a lot of debris in it and the star itself would be still unstable. So it is reasonable for its light output to vary. The other star was old.

  13. Hypothesis by SeattleLawGuy · · Score: 1

    What evidence do you have that you can travel faster than the speed of light? If you have evidence of it, then produce it. Einstein said it isn't possible. Do you know better? Welcome to reality. Reality isn't Star Trek.

    Absolutely none, and it is not possible according to current models.

    However, maybe those models are incomplete. For example, maybe the universe is a simulation and someone exists outside of it capable of mucking about with it. Or perhaps we will discover how to create a buffer overflow.

    --
    Real lawyers write in C++
  14. Sept 14th GAIA data likely to change things again by DumbSwede · · Score: 2

    We have known for quite some time that young stars can behave this way. The reason Tabby is odd is because it DOESN’T appear to be young. I doubt the same mechanism will explain both unless Tabby’s age is radically down graded. I suppose that could happen, but the reason I believe it won’t is the highly symmetric first dip and the another dip indicating a huge ring structure object, then came the wacky random fluctuations that without the other two anomalies would like a young planetary forming nebula. On September 14th, GAIA will release its first trove of data on star distances and motion. Likely this data will give us a much better idea about what Tabby’s star is. Still only if and when another occlusion occurs we will really be able to draw some real conclusions.

  15. Working on it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's a bit of trial and error when you're firing up this sort of thing. Stars/suns take a lot of engineering and none of it is handed down.

  16. Re: I was hunted in Slab City by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I do hope you're under 6 years of age.

  17. I For One by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I for one sadly say goodbye to our Dyson Sphere building overlords...

  18. The solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    10^28 Kg of ex-lax should straighten out any stellar irregularities...

  19. civilasations are naturally forming as well. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    On a scale of a galaxy a civilisation growing up around a star is a pretty natural thing, you could even argue that a civilisation is part of a natural cycle of the start. So it is also natural when that civilisation will build a dyson sphere around one.

    1. Re:civilasations are naturally forming as well. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On a scale of a galaxy a civilisation growing up around a star is a pretty natural thing, you could even argue that a civilisation is part of a natural cycle of the start. So it is also natural when that civilisation will build a dyson sphere around one.

      According to Carl Sagan, once interstellar travel starts to happen amongst intelligent species within a galaxy it takes about 500,000 years for a species to span that galaxy. This is a geometric progression and does not at any time require faster than light travel. Despite this being completely possible given the known laws of physics , it still attracts people who poo poo the idea because they can't wrap their minds around it. It is very possible that we live in a galaxy where type 2 civilizations are widespread, but we are still not savvy of all the details to be able to know for sure.

      Upcoming spectrographic studies of these stars should allow us to determine whether the objects causing the dips in brightness are diffuse (like gas and dust) or solid (as in a swarm of solar panels or a ring world being built)

  20. Konstantin Tsiolkovsky 100 years ago by jphamlore · · Score: 1

    Actually about 100 years ago, Konstantin Tsiolkovsky was working out and publishing the theory of how humans would eventually use rockets to reach the Moon, and other places in space:

  21. Hey this just in by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just discovered our world is full of nuts. Eureka our world must be a scrotum.

  22. Twinkle, twinkle... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Twinkle, twinkle little star...

    wat die donner maak jy daar...

    There is nothing new under the sun^Wstar it seems.

  23. Re:Brightening Star by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

    and there will be rejoicing in the streets

    The Thought Police will be using tickle-sticks along with the nerve gas and whips?

    --
    Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  24. I think it's dark matter that causes the dimming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I believe that the dimming is more likely cause by dark matter rather than a Dyson Sphere.

  25. Dyson sphere? by martinfb · · Score: 1

    Wouldn't a Dyson sphere require a vastly considerable amount of resource material?

    I wonder if there is not enough material in all 8 known planets plus asteroid belt to construct a Dyson sphere around our own star.
    Not to mention the inconceivable amount of other resources needed to process and construct the thing; like workers and manufacturing facilities.

    My money would be on a more naturally occurring phenomena. Perhaps a dark object(s) occluding view, or an as-yet unknown type of core reaction.

    --


    Self-importance and self-indulgence is the root of ALL evil.