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Elon Musk: First Humans Who Journey To Mars Must 'Be Prepared To Die' (theverge.com)

At a conference yesterday, Elon Musk outlined his company SpaceX's plan to send humans to Mars. The vehicle is called the Interplanetary Transport System and it is capable of carrying 100 tons of cargo (people and supplies). Musk added that this rocket ship could take people to Mars in just 80 days. But he also reminded that the first batch of people who are brave enough to go to Mars should be well aware that they are almost certainly going to die. The Verge adds:During the Q&A session that followed, the question inevitably came up: what sort of person does Musk think will volunteer to get strapped to that big rocket and fired toward the Red Planet? "Who should these people be, carrying the light of humanity to Mars for all of us?" an audience member asked. "I think the first journeys to Mars will be really very dangerous," answered Musk. "The risk of fatality will be high. There's just no way around it." The journey itself would take around 80 days, according to the plan and ideas that Musk put forward. "Are you prepared to die? If that's okay, then you're a candidate for going," he added. But Musk didn't want to get stuck talking about the risks and immense danger. "This is less about who goes there first... the thing that really matters is making a self-sustaining civilization on Mars as fast as possible. This is different than Apollo. This is really about minimizing existential risk and having a tremendous sense of adventure," he said.

23 of 474 comments (clear)

  1. News Flash! by mspohr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We're all going to die.

    --
    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    1. Re:News Flash! by Thelasko · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We're all going to die.

      We're all going to die. The difference is the legacy you leave behind. For most people, it's their children. Others try to make a lasting impressions in other ways. Dying while colonizing Mars is one of those ways.

      --
      One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    2. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You can't think of anyone you would sacrifice your life for? That's kind of sad.

    3. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I find it refreshingly honest.

    4. Re: News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It is honest but is also sad but more terrifying than anything else. If an individual is so self centered that they cannot imagine dying for someone else we are in trouble as a society. "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few" isn't just a movie quote but is, in fact, what makes society work. Hopefully, if ever faced with a real threat that makes this choice necessary, you will find the strength to put others first.

      Would die to save your mother? Your father? Your wife and/or kids? How about another person and their family? Would you let a dozen people die to save yourself?

      Don't be glib. Others have died so you could live. Why is your life more important than theirs. What color is your snowflake?

    5. Re:News Flash! by gnick · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I've never understood the need to leave a legacy...

      The point of a legacy isn't some sense of satisfaction post-mortem, it's the notion that as long as some part of you carries on, what you're doing now isn't pointless.

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    6. Re: News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      My life is the most precious thing I have or will ever have. Many billionaires would give every dime they own to purchase just one more year of life. I would not ever give it up for anyone, for any reason, ever. Nothing is worth that. I don't care if it makes me the last person alive on earth - nobody else is more important than I am. To me, at least.

    7. Re:News Flash! by Knee+Patch · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm seeing a lot of Absurdist (Existentialist? Nihilistic?) braggadocio in this thread. I wonder if all of these people are really this uncaring deep down. For example, would you press the button to end all of humanity in exchange for a mystic vial of infinite happiness potion? Is it really, REALLY all about you? Every one of us alive today is a product of, and influenced (for good and bad) by the legacy of those who came before us. I wonder if people who claim to be totally uninterested in leaving a legacy are either too afraid or too confused to make the personal sacrifices that a satisfactory legacy of your life requires.

    8. Re: News Flash! by Grishnakh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Would die to save your mother? Your father? Your wife and/or kids? How about another person and their family? Would you let a dozen people die to save yourself?

      I don't know about you, but my mother is elderly and not likely to live that much longer unfortunately. I'm quite sure she would *not* want me sacrificing myself for her. In fact, I have a hard time imagining *any* parent who would want that. Parents, unless they're sociopaths (or their kid's a real shitball), *always* want their children to outlive them.

      If I had any kids, and I had spent many years and my resources raising them and providing for them, the last thing I'd want is to have them sacrifice themselves so I can live a little longer. They're young; I'm presumably not.

      For normal, rational people, the only people they should be really willing to die for are their kids, and maybe their spouse (usually the wife more than the husband, as part of that "women and children first" idea that goes back to antiquity). Parents, no (this doesn't mean you shouldn't try to save them, but not if it's an obvious suicide mission). Strangers? Not so much; maybe if it's a bunch of them.

      Others have died so you could live.

      No, they haven't. My life has never been in mortal danger where someone had to sacrifice themselves for me to avoid death. (In fact, I don't think my life's ever been in mortal danger at all, unless there was some close call somewhere that I was never even aware of.)

    9. Re:News Flash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      “Whatever you do will be insignificant, but it is very important that you do it.”

      “It's the action, not the fruit of the action, that's important. You have to do the right thing. It may not be in your power, may not be in your time, that there'll be any fruit. But that doesn't mean you stop doing the right thing. You may never know what results come from your action. But if you do nothing, there will be no result.”

    10. Re: News Flash! by fish_in_the_c · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Until you have found something worth dying for , you have never really loved, If you have not loved, you haven't really lived either.

      --
      âoeTolerance applies only to persons, but never to truth. Intolerance applies only to truth, but never to persons.
  2. Nomination by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I nominate Congress to go on the first voyage. This would be the best use of taxpayer money ever.

  3. Re:What? by shadowp157 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Ill respect a guy who can fail and ask for help over a guy who is successful without failure. The latter is always hiding something.

  4. 16-17th century sailors by Overzeetop · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Humans have precedent for sending out vessels filled with people who have a good chance of dying on their journey.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  5. Self-sustaining civilization on Mars by Ukab+the+Great · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How about we first master having a self-sustaining civilization on Earth?

    1. Re:Self-sustaining civilization on Mars by Pfhorrest · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The same technology it would take to build self-sustaining colonies on Mars could much more easily build self-sustaining colonies on Earth. Mars is already a desolate wasteland; if we could work out how to survive there, then we could, much more easily, work out how to survive Earth becoming a desolate wasteland, even if we couldn't stop other people from making that happen.

      Until we can have self-sustaining cities at the poles, in the middle of the world's deserts, on the seafloor, etc -- all much more hospitable places than Mars -- then talking about building one on Mars is a pipe dream. And once we can do that on Earth, that's much of the existential risk mitigated right there; nuclear winter, climate change, meteor impact, meh, doesn't really make anything worse than they already are underwater/on Antarctica/in the Sahara.

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
  6. This is all so pointless by WaffleMonster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If your goal is a self-sufficient colony on mars and your serious about it your opening move will not involve sending people there initially because this would be a pointless waste of resources.

    It isn't enough to just preposition supplies you need to develop and transport a highly automated industrial base using technology that does not yet exist to create the things people will need to survive.

    The solution today is basic research and development not building space buses and telling riders they are probably going to die.

    You can't just ignore reality and subscribe to new age planning doesn't matter we don't need to learn how to walk first nonsense because if you do that you will fail.

    1. Re:This is all so pointless by Necron69 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There is nothing whatsoever in Musk's plans that prohibit them from sending 10 (or 100) ships up first that are loaded with cargo for the first colonists. In fact, doing otherwise would be ridiculous. Don't take the video quite so literally.

      Musk himself said he is focused on building the transportation infrastucture, not the colony itself. He is leaving that to others and basically inviting people with resources and ideas to join in.

      - Necron69

  7. If you are into that by Jodka · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So I have this friend with a father who is a Vietnam war hero. When the base was under attack, he would grab the nearest weapon he could get his hands on and run toward the enemy. He won a medal for demonstrating that after the enemy shoots the tail off your helicopter, it is indeed still flyable if you go just go fast enough. Funny thing was, his very successful military career was something of an accident. Before joining the army, when there was nothing at stake and nothing to be gained by it, he would get in trouble by doing some damn fool wild thing. After the umpteenth time the judge finally told him, it's the jail or the military, you choose.

    It took a long time for me to understand because I am not like that myself, but some people need high-risk, crazy adventure to thrive. If that is denied to them, they will seize it anyway, however they can. So those people might as well expend that impulse on something socially redeeming, like establishing off-world human colonies, while the rest of us cower here on earth until interplanetary transport is proven safe.

    --
    Ceci n'est pas une signature.
  8. Present fact based evidence or go away by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Musk is a Space Nutter.

    You throw around the phrase "space nutter" as if that actually means something every time an article about Musk is posted. Let it go. If you want to make an evidence based case that going to Mars is not possible then fine. Ad-hominem attacks do not in any way bolster your case. They just make you look like a jerk.

    There is no way ANYONE is going to Mars.

    If you want to claim that people aren't going to be on Mars in the near future I would agree with you. Any such mission is going to take a while before it happens. If you are going to claim that it is categorically impossible that humans will ever set foot on Mars then you have no evidence to back you up. Present some actual and irrefutable evidence that putting humans on Mars is irreducibly impossible or shut up about it. So far your argument consists of calling anyone who is interested in solving the problem a "space nutter".

    The trip alone would kill you with radiation.

    And you of course have irrefutable proof not available to the rest of us that there is no possible way to mitigate that problem? Rhetorical question because of course since you don't and we know you don't. It's a known problem with numerous potential solutions. We aren't going to Mars tomorrow. If/when we do try to go it will be among the engineering challenges we face and one of the risks along the way. There is no evidence that it is a problem without any feasible solution given enough research and funding.

    This guy is a scam artist and is trying to get taxpayer money to fund it, so he can siphon it off to pay for his other projects.

    I'm not sure you know what the word means. Building at last count 4 successful and industry changing companies, three of which have nothing to do with space nor rely on any direct tax dollars, is a peculiar means of scamming people out of tax dollars. Furthermore most of the SpaceX mission list has private companies as clients as of today so basically no tax dollars are at work there either. Additionally SpaceX is actually SAVING tax dollars by reducing the cost to orbit over what NASA can do themselves. You might want to actually use some facts in your argument at some point. They tend to help.

  9. Re:Why do you have to be prepared for it? by penguinoid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you're not prepared to die, you're likelier to panic, do something stupid, and then die.

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
  10. Re:Inscrutable behaviour by Rei · · Score: 4, Insightful

    He's not "asking" anyone to do anything. It's a simple reality that if there was a mission to Mars coming up shortly and you passed a signup sheet around, and at the top of it was written in large letters "YOU WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY DIE AT SOME POINT DURING THIS TRIP", you'd still get thousands of signatures from people who are utterly thrilled at getting the chance and couldn't give a rat's arse about the risk.

    --
    Everybody point at the libertarian and laugh.
  11. Re:Why do you have to be prepared for it? by eth1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What is the difference if you are not prepared? Will you fail at it?

    Quite possibly...

    Imagine this scenario: You're halfway there, and part of the life support system break down, and can't be fixed en route. The vessel can now only support half of the people on board. If the passengers aren't prepared to calmly figure out who stays and who goes, and half the people aren't prepared to go quietly, the resulting riot will probably doom the entire mission.

    Unpleasant contingency plans for that sort of thing have to be made, and the passengers must be prepared to follow them. There won't be any lifeboats.