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Barack Obama: America Will Take the Giant Leap To Mars, To Send People There by the 2030s (cnn.com)

The United States President Barack Obama said Tuesday the country will send Americans to Mars by the 2030s and return them "safely to Earth." This is all part of a longer-term goal of making it possible to "one day remain there for an extended time," he added in an op-ed published on CNN. The effort will require cooperation between public and private space interests in meeting that goal, the president added. As a sign of forward progress, private space companies will send astronauts to the International Space Station within the next two years. "Someday, I hope to hoist my own grandchildren onto my shoulders. We'll still look to the stars in wonder, as humans have since the beginning of time," Obama wrote. "But instead of eagerly awaiting the return of our intrepid explorers, we'll know that because of the choices we make now, they've gone to space not just to visit, but to stay -- and in doing so, to make our lives better here on Earth." The White House in a joint blog post with NASA said that seven companies have received awards to develop habitation systems. And this fall, NASA will provide companies with the opportunity to add modules and other capabilities to the International Space Station.

38 of 348 comments (clear)

  1. BIG ROCK CANDY MOUNTAIN by Thud457 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Every outgoing presimadent since the Reagan, blessings upon him, makes the same grandiose claims that we'll put a Man on Mars real soon now.

    Just like Lucy tricking Charlie Brown into thinking she's not going to yank the football away this time.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    1. Re:BIG ROCK CANDY MOUNTAIN by Salgak1 · · Score: 2

      In 1963, a guy named Vaungh Meader released a comedy album about the Kennedies, "The First Family".

      Among the skits,was a press conference, in which President Kennedy was asked, "When will we send a man to the Moon", and the answer was, "Whenever Senator Goldwater wants to go. . . "

      Just update it with Obama, Mars, and Donald Trump. . .

    2. Re:BIG ROCK CANDY MOUNTAIN by JoshuaZ · · Score: 2

      Kennedy's promise did go through but that was primarily due to his death. Subsequent Presidents and congresspeople felt too bad about changing things away from what he wanted. Somehow I don't think Obama wants to get assassinated just so we can go to Mars.

    3. Re: BIG ROCK CANDY MOUNTAIN by Penguinisto · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Like the sex scandals destroyed FDR?

      Apples/Oranges comparison... here's why:

      * no social media, no Internet

      * the GOP at the time was about as popular as catching syphilis (Fairly or not, Herbert Hoover presided over what became The Great Depression, he and his party got the blame, so...)

      * media at the time was almost exclusively run by newspapers and radio, and news stories that made it to these media were controlled by a relative select cabal

      * much of the scandal (and pretty much all of the evidence) was quashed even before it could make its way to the media, and most of it wasn't really studied or verified until after his death.

      * most of the country was a bit preoccupied - either with the Great Depression, or WWII.

      * During WWII, any further mention of the scandal would be instantly dismissed as Nazi propaganda (whether it was true or not).

      * rumors like this about presidential candidates were as common as white on rice (and was pretty tame compared to the mud they used to sling at each other), so at the time most of it was almost instantly dismissed unless corroborating evidence was present, undeniable, and obvious.

      --
      Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
    4. Re:BIG ROCK CANDY MOUNTAIN by hey! · · Score: 2

      Well, there is one good reason to say the "2030s" though: the energy requirement for a Mars mission is at its minimum in 2035. If the schedule slips to 2042, the energy requirements just to get the payload there will double, and your next "sweet spot" will be 2050.

      For a lot of us there's a big difference between 19 years away and 34 years away. I'm 55, and in my prime tax paying years. If I'm funding a mission for 2050, there's a 50% chance as a male in my cohort I'll be dead by 2043. So for me (and President Obama, who's the same age as me), the difference between a 2035 landing and a later landing is the difference between one we'll probably be alive to see and one we probably won't be alive to see.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    5. Re:BIG ROCK CANDY MOUNTAIN by hey! · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Earth and Mars make their closest approaches every 2.16 years roughly, but note that each time we get a launch window it's not equally favorable. That's because the orbits of Earth and Mars are elliptical, not circular. That means each time we get a launch window it's at a slightly more favorable or less favorable distance than the previous one because of the *absolute* positions of the planets in their elongated orbits.

      This variation in the closeness of the closest approach follows a fifteen year cycle.

      Note that a mission to Mars is still physically possible even if you launch in a year where the closest approach isn't very close (e.g. 2041). It just means that your mission takes longer, costs more, and requires vastly more energy. Since Mars is at the extreme of what we can probably do, your chances of success are much greater if you choose the closest possible approach for your mission.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  2. Re:Lame duck making lame promises by Travis+Mansbridge · · Score: 3

    The Apollo program was not entirely symbolic, it was in large part an effort to develop rockets powerful enough to plant a nuclear weapon anywhere on Earth. This is also why budgets fell out after ICBMs were complete.

  3. Yeah. by argStyopa · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What is it about presidents at the end of their second terms that they love to float space goals?

    Bush, near the end of his 2nd term:
    ""Our third goal," Bush said, "is to return to the moon by 2020, as the launching point for missions beyond." He proposed sending robotic probes to the lunar surface by 2008, with a human mission as early as 2015, "with the goal of living and working there for increasingly extended periods of time." "

    While I'd love it ever to be true, I can't imagine any post Obama congress will fund it at all.

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:Yeah. by internerdj · · Score: 2

      I had this discussion with a friend who works with NASA. Space is a presidential legacy issue. When you get into your last couple of years of your second term as president then you can stop campaigning and think about how you will be remembered by history.

    2. Re:Yeah. by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      If it happens they get to claim credit for starting it. If it doesn't happen they can just blame their successor. They have nothing to lose.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  4. Really... by johnsmithperson123 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Mars is a dull spot to colonize- wouldn't get much. The moon is really only useful for rocket launches and observatories. The best spots in the solar system to colonize are Mercury (heavy metals), the Jovian satellites (liquid water, loads of raw material) and the Saturnian moons (same story). These are also the ones being ignored.

    1. Re:Really... by Archtech · · Score: 2

      But... Mars is bigger! 8-)

      --
      I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
    2. Re:Really... by torkus · · Score: 2

      Mars is much, much closer than Jovian moons and cold poses less of a challenge than heat.

      I wouldn't say they're being ignored, but they're significantly further outside of our abilities today.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    3. Re:Really... by joh · · Score: 5, Informative

      Mercury lacks water, which is the foremost thing you need, just for oxygen and propellants. Some of the Jovian and Saturnian moons are great, but they are so far away that getting there takes years, also solar power out there is sparse and radiation thick enough to kill you within hours. They are ignored for now with good reason.

      Mars has loads of water, an atmosphere of CO2 (so you have oxygen, hydrogen and carbon) and is not too far away. The atmosphere also makes landing much easier, since you can use it to brake. Dragging enough fuel with you to slow down several km/s just by propulsion makes things much harder. If you have to also take the fuel with you (and brake and land it) to launch back again as with Mercury this gets just impossible.

    4. Re:Really... by k6mfw · · Score: 2
      Yes, but if you talk about the Moon then that means you got to get funding and start building a transfer vehicle, lander, EVA suits, etc. now. Mars is set as a goal because you can defer having to do that stuff into the far future (same old story of we will have humans on Mars in 20 years, controlled fusion in 10 years, flying cars, etc.). A recent discussion at http://www.spudislunarresource... has some interesting insights. While everyone likes to discuss the BFR (SLS vs. Falcon Heavy), "Joe" wrote in the comments of Paul Spudis blog:

      As an additional note, the Portable Life Support System (PLSS) for the Lunar EVA Pressure Suits was intended to do double duty for the American Suits used on the ISS. When the program was cancelled this work also got shelved. So far NASA has succeeded in keeping the current PLSSs operating. But the hardware design and even the components date back to the Shuttle Programs beginnings in the 1970’s. As a consequence they will eventually (the heroic work being done to keep them operating not withstanding) have to cease use. Then, I suppose, we can start paying our Russian friends for EVA maintenance services as well.
      [snip]
      After the cancellation of Constellation Systems there was an (underfunded) effort to work on a new PLSS, but even that was cancelled (I know because a guy I used to work with was on it and he lost his job when it was defunded).

      There is still some work going on for a new pressure suit (as opposed to PLSS (because that effort is cheaper). Even then they can only do sea level pressure testing because they do not have the money for altitude chamber runs.

      The irony (if you like that sort of thing) is that the new PLSS is the more urgent need, but they can only work on what they have the funding to pursue.

      Yes, going OT but for me I'm thinking there's a lot of stuff that is being deferred or ignored. Oh, one big solar flare and crew is dead. Yes, lots of shielding will help but that's a lot of mass that has to be launched from earth. Yes we can get resources from the Moon but that's off limits because nobody except Paul Spudis and Dennis Wingo talks about the Moon.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
  5. Re:Lame duck making lame promises by NEDHead · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No purpose to it?

    People go to Death Valley, Philadelphia, church, and climb Mt. Everest.

    No purpose is required, just curiosity.

  6. Re:We've already taken the first step by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 2

    We invented Facebook.

    That should be enough to get people running screaming to go off-planet.

    --
    "Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
  7. Re:Forget Mars... by invid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Colonizing Venus with floating cities is a far more sexier venture.

    ...or at least send a solar powered robotic drone into the atmosphere. The winds can get a little rough (over 200 kph) but we would have a freakin' plane flying around through the clouds of another world.

    Before sending people to Mars we should send a practice mission to the moon for 2 years. If you can't send people to the moon and have them survive on their own for 2 years, you certainly can't send them to Mars.

    --
    The Moore-Murphy Law: The number of things that will go wrong will double every 2 years.
  8. No, we won't, because we'll be flat broke. by DirkDaring · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Mars in 2030s? Dream on! We'll have defaulted by then. NASA won't have funds to even stare at Mars.

  9. We should have a Moon colony first by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We should establish a permanent presense on the Moon first. Maybe even build industrial infrastructure there, use it as a staging area for a future manned Mars mission. Honestly, how much easier would it be to launch from the Moon? Also, if we can't work out the kinks of living on the Moon, then how can we reasonably expect to live on Mars for extended periods of time? The Moon is the perfect Proving Grounds for this sort of endeavor, and it's literally right in our backyard. Seems like a no-brainer to me to take advantage of it. Also, in future decades, why couldn't any number of industries or research facilities build their facilities and do their work there? There's no environment to pollute, no ecosystem to destroy, you could do any number of things that are expensive or even prohibited on Earth without harming anything.

    1. Re:We should have a Moon colony first by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      Mars has more resources readily available for supporting some kind of habitation. There's a CO2 atmosphere and plentiful water, both of which could be used to produce oxygen. Nitrogen might be a bit of a problem, but I have been reading there's probably enough trace nitrogen in the atmosphere for a habitat's purposes.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:We should have a Moon colony first by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 2

      Okay.. it's not a matter of resources, it's a matter of being close enough to deal with problems, instead of watching people die and not being able to do anything about it. We're going to make many mistakes with our first off-world colony, why should those mistakes be fatal if we have a way to do a 'dry run' closer to Earth? Additionally having facilities on the Moon can't be a bad thing.

    3. Re:We should have a Moon colony first by k6mfw · · Score: 2

      Yep, here's more reasons why. http://www.spudislunarresource...

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
  10. Re:Forget Mars... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Before sending people to Mars we should send a practice mission to the moon for 2 years.

    From what I read elsewhere, one of the Martian moons would become a way station for the initial flyby and landing missions.

  11. Re:Lame duck making lame promises by bobbied · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Other than "it's there" and "Nobody else has gone" what's the point?

    I seriously don't think it's worth the trouble to go to Mars, just to go. However, I support the effort because it will advance technology and likely lead to gains in scientific knowledge should we actually get there (which I don't think is likely).

    What's sad here is that this is *obviously* Obama searching for a legacy, not a full hearted attempt to actually do this. Had this been important, why didn't he do it 8 years ago when his party had both cambers? Oh, no, wasn't important then. He has 180 days left with Obama Care is as popular as getting a root canal, it's over for him. Now he has a Congress that won't give him the time of day even if he asked nicely and literally zero power (legally and politically) to get this funded this so he's been reduced to plagiarizing JFK and banging on the bully pulpit trying to get attention in the middle of a election that is a whole circus of side shows. He's spitting into the wind.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  12. Re:Forget Mars... by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 2

    It's certainly more doable. Don't have to worry about low gravity screwing with your health, there's plenty of oxygen and water that can be extracted from the CO2 and H2SO4 atmosphere, and the temperature in parts of the clouds is just right. It even has an induced magnetosphere.

    --
    "Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
  13. Purpose of a mission by sjbe · · Score: 3

    No one's going to Mars, coming back or not.

    Really? You can tell the future? If you want to say you think no one is going to Mars in the time frame specified I probably would agree with you. I think pulling it off by the 2030s without a crash government program seems improbable given the technological, economic, and political realities of the day. If you are claiming no one will go to Mars ever I think that stands a very high probability of being a false statement.

    There is simply no purpose to it.

    Entirely false. There absolutely is a purpose to it. More than one in fact. You may not like or appreciate the reasons for trying to get to Mars but they are real and meaningful. Here's just a few of them. Scientific exploration, technology development, national pride, joy of exploration, curiosity, preserving our species, financial gain, biotechnology, and the list goes on and on and on. It's an expensive and difficult task and it will probably take decades if not centuries to actually pull off but to claim there is no purpose or value to it is just idiotic.

    Apollo was the Mother Of All Demos, and it was a big stunt.

    Yes it was. That doesn't mean it wasn't worth doing or that something like it won't be worth doing ever again. Furthermore the cost of getting to space has fallen substantially since then and we are a lot better at it now. Every indicator points towards cost to orbit continuing to fall. Once it gets cheap enough to get to space I would argue that a manned mission to Mars will become almost an inevitability. First for exploration and then for other purposes.

  14. Re:China says otherwise by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Are you serious? They're basically where the Soviets and US were in the early 1960s.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  15. Economics is the big obstacle by sjbe · · Score: 2

    Other than "it's there" and "Nobody else has gone" what's the point?

    Lots of reasons. Scientific discover, technology development (particularly biotech and life support), financial gain (funding tech R&D has a huge and long term payback), preserving our species, spinoff technologies, learning how to explore away from Earth, national pride, colonizing, and quite a bit more. Certainly more than "because it's there".

    However, I support the effort because it will advance technology and likely lead to gains in scientific knowledge should we actually get there (which I don't think is likely).

    I think our likelihood of getting to Mars depends heavily on how low we can drive cost to orbit. If it gets cheap enough a manned mission to Mars will become almost inevitable because just getting off the Earth accounts for the lion's share of the cost and a pretty substantial percent of the risk as well. There are some significant engineering obstacles but there is no reason to believe these could not be overcome if the economics can be made to work.

  16. If Obama were on the rocket to Mars... by mschaffer · · Score: 3, Funny

    Lame duck or not. If Obama were on the rocket to Mars, Trump would get the Martians to pay for it.

  17. Apollo distributed more than wealth! by p51d007 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    $7 to $8 dollars in goods and services produced, for every $1 of government money spent. Acceleration of computer, miniaturization of computer parts, which benefited mankind. Software development Freeze dried foods Countless others. Before you go on with your anti-capitalist socialist agenda, you might want to look this up. It will help you from looking like a FOOL.

    1. Re:Apollo distributed more than wealth! by hey! · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Very little, for two reasons. One, technical advances that go into weapons tend to be classified. Second, science and exploration are not only by definition more open processes, they are are also more complex and interdisciplinary.

      It's safe to say that medical and food technology spinoffs from manned space flight would not have occurred in a missile-only program. Likewise most of the advances in materials technology wouldn't have happened either without the need to man-rate space vehicles and equipment. It is unlikely we'd have the photovoltaic technology we have today if we'd only done missiles alone. Chemical batteries will do for a short intercontinental hop.

      I think some people here have a problem with cognitive dissonance: if nothing the government tries does anyone any good unless it's defense spending, then any benefits we got from the civilian space program must have been something we got because of the missile program. That simply doesn't fit the historical facts for the US space program after 1960 or so.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  18. Re:Hmm, do you think CNN was fair? by lgw · · Score: 2

    Its really clear how CNN attacks the big O and H of America

    Well, going to Mars will involve a lot of love for the O and the H and the exothermic combining thereof!

    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  19. Re:Forget Mars... by invid · · Score: 2

    From what I read elsewhere, one of the Martian moons would become a way station for the initial flyby and landing missions.

    The thing about a mission to Earth's moon is that if there is a major failure it would only take a few days to return to Earth. It would still take months to get back from Phobos or Demos.

    --
    The Moore-Murphy Law: The number of things that will go wrong will double every 2 years.
  20. Re:Lame duck making lame promises by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The Apollo program was not entirely symbolic, it was in large part an effort to develop rockets powerful enough to plant a nuclear weapon anywhere on Earth. This is also why budgets fell out after ICBMs were complete.

    Well, that was pretty much accomplished in 1957 by Sergei Korolev with the R-7 rocket that put Sputnik in orbit, and von Braun a few months later with the Juno 1. The Minuteman 1 (n.b. a solid fuel rocket) went into service in 1962, and from that point forward there wasn't really a lot of overlap between the US space and ballistic missile program. The situation was different in the Soviet Union, whose space program was really much more a step-child of the weapons programs. Soviet designers were just as capable as America (and America's Germans), but they could only dream of the kind of funding Apollo got.

    Anyhow the whole argument about "symbolic" vs "practical" is naive. Something as massive a the Apollo program doesn't happen for "a" reason. It is necessarily the confluence of many different interests and purposes. One of them was clearly "symbolic", although that does *not* mean it wasn't practical. At its peak Apollo approached almost 1% of US GDP, and the politicians who approved it were not all interested in space at all. They had very practical, Earth-bound reasons to value the symbolic power of a US Moon landing.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  21. Re:China says otherwise by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

    Okay, to be fair, they do still (for a very brief while) have a space station, so let's say they're where the US and the Russians were in the mid-1970s. They have a bit of a leg up because of the work the Soviet and US space programs did, and they also have a lot more computer power at their disposal than their predecessors did in the 60s and 70s.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  22. Re:Lame duck making lame promises by DidgetMaster · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...and by "ripped it apart" you really mean Congress "failed to throw boatloads of more taxpayer cash at it to keep it afloat". It did pass without a SINGLE Republican vote so there was no need to concede anything to them. Obamacare is exactly what Democrats wanted and they own it entirely. Some wanted even an more radical version (e.g. Single Payer), but they could get enough support from their own side to go an inch further.

  23. Re:a lot of essays lately from him by djcopi · · Score: 2

    I agree, it's a good strategy from a political perspective, which is Obama's wheelhouse. This sound bite is getting a lot of attention in the media, but the inevitable NASA Mars Mission budget cutting will only get a short blurb on page 3 of newspapers that fewer and fewer people read. One thing I'm not sure of, though: how will going to Mars and returning safely, or for that matter, inhabiting Mars, make things better here on Earth? Why don't we just spend the billions of dollars this mission would cost in a more practical way?