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A British Supercomputer Can Predict Winter Weather a Year In Advance (thestack.com)
The national weather service of the U.K. claims it can now predict the weather up to a year in advance.
An anonymous reader quotes The Stack: The development has been made possible thanks to supercomputer technology granted by the UK Government in 2014. The £97 million high-performance computing facility has allowed researchers to increase the resolution of climate models and to test the retrospective skill of forecasts over a 35-year period starting from 1980... The forecasters claim that new supercomputer-powered techniques have helped them develop a system to accurately predict North Atlantic Oscillation -- the climatic phenomenon which heavily impacts winters in the U.K.
The researchers apparently tested their supercomputer on 36 years worth of data, and reported proudly that they could predict winter weather a year in advance -- with 62% accuracy.
The researchers apparently tested their supercomputer on 36 years worth of data, and reported proudly that they could predict winter weather a year in advance -- with 62% accuracy.
66% of the days in London contain some form of precipitation. So, I predict rain every day. I'm right 66% of the time. Wow, I'm smarter than a supercomputer!
And more ignorant nonsense gets modded Informative. The anti-science here is getting worse. Posters like you not only drastically overestimate your own knowledge of unfamiliar fields, you then insist to others it must all be a scam.
Weather and climate models aren't some arbitrary curve-fitting; they're physically based using ridiculously detailed physical simulations of air movements and ocean currents, starting from an observed state and running the simulation forward. Read up a little, and maybe you'll learn how to learn again.