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Another Study Finds Earth's CO2 Emissions Have Flattened Over The Last Three Years (go.com)

An anonymous reader quotes the Associated Press: Worldwide emissions of heat-trapping carbon dioxide have flattened out in the past three years, a new study showed Monday, raising hopes that the world is nearing a turning point in the fight against climate change. However, the authors of the study cautioned it's unclear whether the slowdown in CO2 emissions, mainly caused by declining coal use in China, is a permanent trend or a temporary blip...

The study, published in the journal Earth System Science Data, says global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and industry is projected to grow by just 0.2 percent this year. That would mean emissions have leveled off at about 36 billion metric tons in the past three years even though the world economy has expanded, suggesting the historical bonds between economic gains and emissions growth may have been severed. "This could be the turning point we have hoped for," said David Ray, a professor of carbon management at the University of Edinburgh, who was not involved with the study. "To tackle climate change those bonds must be broken and here we have the first signs that they are at least starting to loosen."

Last week a study suggested earth's plant life is absorbing a greater percentage of global CO2 emissions -- although reductions in China could also be significant. According to the article, almost 30% of the world's carbon emissions come from China.

5 of 201 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Slowing isn't enough - with a graph. by locofungus · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Tamino doesn't see evidence of a slowdown:

    https://tamino.wordpress.com/2...

    --
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  2. Re:cost by Jack9 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    > every nuclear power plant you build is one of a kind

    That's a United States problem. France uses a template. Bad policy tends to stick around, just like any statistical disaster...which leads me to my problem with nuclear power. It's set up and run by humans.

    Yes you can generate power very cheaply for a few decades, but it ruins the site for a couple hundred years. Long term, it doesn't work out either. Now, if there is an accident (over what time period, how many will there be?) you end up contaminating more than just the site (fukishima, chernobyl).

    --

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  3. Data from Mauna Loa Hawaii contradicts this report by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/gr.html

    Last year broke the record with a growth rate over 3PPM / Year. Looking at this years monthly data, in 2016 we're on track to smash last year's record with somewhere around 3.5PPM / Year. Every year this decade has been at or above the average for previous decade. Rather than a levelling off, the data looks like continual growth.

    Confused as to how any report can be claiming a "levelling off". Mauna Loa is seen as the de-facto standard for global CO2 levels as it's in the middle of the pacific and therefore isolated from localised effects.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mauna_Loa_Observatory

  4. Re:cost by Kiuas · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sorry, but I have no faith in numbers from Wiki or the LCOE they cite, and further, they include TCO figures for wind/solar that are largely based on speculation and guesswork

    Erhm.

    he following data are from the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook released in 2015 (AEO2015). They are in dollars per megawatt-hour (2013 USD/MWh). These figures are estimates for plants going into service in 2020.[55] The LCOE below is calculated based off a 30-year recovery period using a real after tax weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.1%. For carbon intensive technologies 3 percentage points are added to the WACC. (This is approximately equivalent fee of $15 per metric ton of carbon dioxide CO2)

    Link to the report itself.
    So, what, exactly is wrong with this? I mean, oil prices are subsidized by themselves by most oil producing countries.

    EA estimates reveal that fossil-fuel subsidies are becoming increasingly concentrated in the major oil- and gas-exporting countries. The share of Middle East oil exporters, for example, in the world total has risen from 35% to 40% over the last four years. The main reason for this trend is that high oil prices over much of the period meant that they, as net oil exporters, did not have the same fiscal incentive to reform energy pricing as that in many other parts of the world. Instead, the rise in government revenues from oil exports allowed an increase in government spending, often on social support programmes, expanding infrastructure and subsidies to food and energy. Over the period 2009-2014, fossil-fuel subsidies for this group of countries have, on average, been equivalent to more than one-quarter of government expenditure.

    Soi why would it be wrong to factor in the tax-breaks and susidies given to renewables, when the point of comparison in terms of fossil fuels is also heavily subsidized by producing nations and the environmental damage caused by oil/coal means that the true cost of using these fuels is in fact externalized because there's a delay between using fossil fuel's and seeing the effect of the usage in the climate and thus the global economy?

    The inclusion of subsidies does not make the price comparisons invalid, it makes them more accurate. Unless you want to start to calculate the actual, unsubsidized cost of oil/coal as well.

    --
    "It is the business of the future to be dangerous" -Alfred North Whitehead
  5. Re:Also too early to spend trillions of dollars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

    The models are indeed failing. Just because the earth is warming don't mean the models are right. If you were really understanding of science you'd not make such a stupid statement and if you were really that aware of GW concerns you'd know that models are being dismissed left and right.

    Stop acting like "There is teh scince consensus!!!1111!!!" means that everything and everyone who agrees with AGW is automagically correct in all their presumptions.

    Another Slashtard who gets their science from the Discovery Chanel modded up by people who think that watching Junkyard Wars makes them engineers.