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Final NASA Eagleworks Paper Confirms Promising EM Drive Results (hacked.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Hacked: Earlier this month Hacked reported that a draft version of the much expected EmDrive paper by the NASA Eagleworks team, had been leaked. Now, the final version of the paper has been published. The NASA Eagleworks paper, titled "Measurement of Impulsive Thrust from a Closed Radio-Frequency Cavity in Vacuum," has been published online as an open access "article in advance" in the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA)'s Journal of Propulsion and Power, a prestigious peer-reviewed journal. The paper will appear in the December print issue of the journal. The final version of the paper is very similar to the leaked draft. In particular, the NASA scientists confirm the promising experimental results: "Thrust data from forward, reverse, and null suggested that the system was consistently performing at 1.2 +/- 0.1 mNkW, which was very close to the average impulsive performance measured in air. A number of error sources were considered and discussed." The scientists add that, though the test campaign was not focused on optimizing performance and was more an exercise in existence proof, it is still useful to put the observed thrust-to-power figure of 1.2 mN/kW in context. "[For] missions with very large delta-v requirements, having a propellant consumption rate of zero could offset the higher power requirements. The 1.2 mN/kW performance parameter is over two orders of magnitude higher than other forms of 'zero propellant' propulsion, such as light sails, laser propulsion, and photon rockets having thrust-to-power levels in the 3.33--6.67 uN/kW (or 0.0033--0.0067 mN/kW) range." In other words, a modest thrust without having to carry fuel can be better, especially for long-distance space missions, than a higher thrust at the cost of having to carry bulky and heavy propellant reserves, and the EmDrive performs much better than the other "zero propellant" propulsion systems studied to date.

61 of 477 comments (clear)

  1. If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by tietokone-olmi · · Score: 3, Informative

    What's the usual format of an EM drive? Does it go on a satellite for maintaining orbit instead of a chemical thruster that'll one day run out of fuel? On an interplanetary probe for long-term acceleration, like solar sails might? How big should it be for useful propulsion, and what levels of power does it require -- given that heat dissipation is a perpetual issue for small spacecraft?

    1. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by blackpaw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's Steorn all over again.

      Apart from the open process and independently verified results

    2. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by sheramil · · Score: 5, Funny

      What's the usual format of an EM drive?

      Large arrays of them go on the back of our Terran Battleship to propel them out into the darkness as they bring the Light of Mankind to a savage and ignorant galaxy. Until we find someone smarter than us.

    3. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The most implication of experimentally confirming these observations would be for our fundamental physical models. Nobody can really say what it means, but it is potentially as important as the discovery of spectral lines, which was instrumental for the development of quantum theory.

      As with most discoveries in fundamental physics, the actual applications are often unpredictable and rarely match the initial expectations. If anyone tells you they know, they are talking out of their asses.

    4. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by OpenSourced · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Are you serious? If the EM drive works we are at the gates of a major revolution in Physics (as in 'our understanding of Physics'). First we should have to understand how it works, tinker with it till the smallest-lightest-efficientest designs emerge. In parallel, other people would be trying to determine WHY it works. That's a much bigger task, that requires a rewriting of most Physic's textbooks. When we have a new theory that explains the EM drive, then probably still better drives can be designed, perhaps using other kinds of radiation.

      What I'm driving at, is that discussing how possibly adequate or inadequate this EM drive is to space travel is like discussing the usefulness of electricity when good old Thales started rubbing amber pieces against animal skins.

      --
      Rome taught me patience and assiduous application to detail. Virtues which temper the boldness of great, general views.
    5. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by kuzb · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Just because you don't understand how it works doesn't mean it's instantly a "perpetual motion machine". I sincerely doubt it's creating energy from nothing.

      Seriously. Top scientists don't know how it works yet. What makes you think you have the answers?

      --
      BeauHD. Worst editor since kdawson.
    6. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by tietokone-olmi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You appear to have committed an error, here. That P=W/t converts to P=fv implies nothing about being over unity past a certain speed, or under unity below it. It's easy to see how a layperson's overreading of the words would yield such a view, however.

      Considering your views on social issues, I'm unsurprised.

    7. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 3, Informative

      If it works it violates conservation of momentum, which is just as big a deal as violating conservation of energy.

      --
      Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
    8. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by Black+Parrot · · Score: 4, Funny

      What's the usual format of an EM drive?

      NTFS.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    9. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Black holes emitted radiation back in the 19th century. Did you know that?

      Oddly enough, nothing in pre-20th century physics allowed for that to happen.

      It is just barely possible we're about to begin a 21st Century revolution in physics comparable to the one(s) in the 20th Century (Relativity, QM).

      Or not. But till you run the experiment (noone is stopping you, you know), your repeated "it doesn't work" comes across rather like a child putting his fingers in his ears and chanting "I can't hear you" over and over....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    10. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by Lumpy · · Score: 5, Funny

      It's very simple, instead of being inefficient like a regular rocket engine and moves the rocket in space, it simply allows the rocket to be stationary and it moves the universe.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    11. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by DRichardHipp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No. You are not getting it. View the result of the experiment not as a violation of CoM but rather as "unexplained momentum transfer". You continue to assume that CoM holds and go about figuring out mysterious way that the EM drive is imparting some of its momentum into its surroundings.

    12. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

      But...velocity relative to what?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    13. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by burtosis · · Score: 2

      Just because you don't understand how it works doesn't mean it's instantly a "perpetual motion machine".

      Do the math:

      thrust = 1.2mN

      power = 1kW

      power = force * velocity

      At what velocity does it go over unity?

      I sincerely doubt it's creating energy from nothing.

      Quite. It wculd if it worked. It doesn't work.

      The paper does not state that the power to thrust ratio is constant at all speeds but simply that in the tests that were performed changing the power level changed the thrust in a linear manner. What if the cavity simply exhibits a force on dark matter? Understanding exactly how this works is going to be huge in revolutionizing physics if tests continue to verify the results.

    14. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by lrichardson · · Score: 2
      "The 1.2mN/kW1.2mN/kW performance parameter is over two orders of magnitude higher than other forms of “zero-propellant” propulsion, such as light sails,"

      I have a question: What the smurf does this mean? Seriously?

      Are we talking about a ground-based laser pushing it? In which case, the idiocy of comparing a system that you have to lift into space, in which every gram is critical, versus something here that can be hooked up to the power grid, is beyond belief.

      Are we talking about a solar sail that is simply power by the sun? In which case, given the power source is external, and unending (well, good for the next 5 billion years or so), how do you make a claim that something is 'two orders of magnitude higher' in 'performance parameters' than the solar sail? Calculations?

      When the paper is 'proof of concept', but a) they don't actually do any experimentation to see what would change performance, b) have lots of explanations for all the possible sources of error ... but, again, don't actually monkey around with said sources, to see if their hand-wavium is correct (apart from the torsion pendulum), .... and c) finish with a unsupported statement claiming superiority over 'other' zero-propellant system ... honestly, they did some great science is some respects, and utterly abysmal in others.

      To be fair, they could easily be using previously published numbers on solar-sail efficiency. And their numbers could all be spot on, not to mention their conclusions. But failing to have a paper proof-read by someone NOT familiar with the subject is bad (and all too common).

      And they could have made the paper better, but some decent editing. OK, so you start with a thrust-to-power ratio of 1.2 mN/kW. The error margin, ±6 N, is buried way, way down. Seriously, putting the two together would give some real validation to the idea the thrust they got was far more than the (calculated) error margin.

    15. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by Immerman · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Umm, you realize we needed to make nuclear power plants *before* we could make the bombs, right? Granted they were designed specifically to enrich the natural fissiles into weapons-grade isotopes, but the reactors still came first.

      And no, looking at the current state of a technology based on physics that we don't yet understand in no way helps us understand how much improvement that technology may undergo. At best it gives us a glimpse at what it might enable.

      In that context though, the best initial application is likely to be deep space probes. Satellite maintenance might get included as well, but that's more a convenience than an enabling technology - there's already orbital refueling vehicles under development. Deep space though - that's where constant low thrust acceleration pays off big time.

      From what I can find, current RTGs for space applications top out at about 5W/kg. Assuming a 1kW RTG is half the total mass of the probe, that gives us a 400kg probe with 1.2mN of thrust using the current unoptimized EM drive tested. That translates to 3um/s^2 of constant acceleration. You're not going see much change right away. Starting from rest, in one minute it will travel a grand total of 5.4mm. But acceleration adds up:
      Displacement as a function of time:
      1day: 11km. 1 week:550km 1month:10,000km 1 year:1.5Mkm (yay, 0.5% of the way to Mars!) 10 years: 150Mkm (Wait, we're still not to Mars?). 100 years: 1.5Bkm (3x the distance to Pluto). 5200 years: ~4.2 light years(we've reached Proxima Centauri!)

      So yeah, with current technology it's not actually much good for deep space probes, and I haven't even factored in the losses of climbing out of the sun's gravitational well. If you're operating close enough to the sun to use solar though you can up your power to 300W/kg (near Earth orbit), and assuming the same 50/50 power to payload ratio that will get you ~60x the thrust (and thus 60x the distance per unit time). Then the numbers look a bit better: You might get most of the way to Mars in a single year for example. And more importantly be able to turn around and repeat the journey indefinitely.

      So I suppose inner-system scouting probes and perhaps interplanetary cargo transportation could be early applications. And if optimizations could yield a 10-fold improvement in engine thrust/W, well then things start getting really interesting. Travel to and from Mars in a month, with no need for refueling? That's the stuff science fiction is made of.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    16. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by Immerman · · Score: 2

      Except that all objects in the universe are equally at rest.

      Theoretically you could harness this to the rim of a wheel traveling that fast to generate power, except that we don't actually have much theory, nor even data as to how this operates, so essentially no basis to assume *anything* is possible until we've characterized it's behavior better.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    17. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by Sarten-X · · Score: 4, Insightful

      While the OP did indeed ask for practical propulsion applications, the implications of a change in physics theory is enormous, as his example illustrates quite well.

      Spectral lines led to the realization that energy is not continuous, but discrete in very small units which can interact with matter, and by inverting that principle, small changes to matter can result in large changes to energy. That directly led to the theory behind semiconductors, enabling transistors and other solid-state electronics, ultimately leading to the entirety of modern electronics technology.

      Similarly, verifying a repeatable violation of the laws of physics means that those laws are inaccurate. By refining the theory to fit the new observations, we can also revisit our assumptions about what is possible using electromechanics. To address OP's question, energy, not fuel, becomes the limiting factor in propulsion. That in turn alters the theory of rocketry, which affects the limits of human expansion, providing new areas of study for anthropology and sociology.

      However, the scope of affect also lies beyond rocketry. If EM can produce thrust, we may be able to miniaturize the device to a nanotechnology scale, as a new tool for nanomachines. As one example off the top of my head, we may be able to produce self-controlled materials that change shape by rearranging microscopic structures, similar to how animal muscles work by moving actin and myosin molecules.

      In short, the actual application of any discovery is the increase in understanding of how the universe works, and from that we can derive advances in technologies.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    18. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 2

      That looks like a lot of input power for not a lot of thrust.

      The key though is that it's not enough.

      Once you hit 1000km/s, the power increase (increase in kinetic energy per unit of time) is 1.2kW with a 1.2mN force. But the power in is only 1kW (it claims to get 1.2mn/kW), so it goes over unity.

      Note that 1000km/s is fast, but it's not relativistic, so you can stick with classical mechanics and still get a decent answer. The reason for this is that k.e. depends quadratically on speed, but the power in is independent of speed.

      Eventually those two lines cross.

      If they cross below the speed of light then you have a way of getting free energy because you can theoretically reach that speed. If they cross at c, then you can't, bcause you can't reach c. Interestingly, you get thrust from photon emission and the thrust is precisely 1/c N/W, and so those two lines do in fact meet exactly at c. But you can't very go faster than that so you can't go over unity that way.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    19. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The paper does not state that the power to thrust ratio is constant at all speeds but simply that in the tests that were performed changing the power level changed the thrust in a linear manner.

      That would be easy to test: the earth is moving continuously and changing direction all the time in a predictable manner.

      What if the cavity simply exhibits a force on dark matter?

      It's not dark matter if it interacts with the electromagnetic field, it's something else literally by definition.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    20. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 4, Interesting

      False.

      Trinity, the very first man-made nuclear explosion, used Plutonium from the Hanford Engineering Works, created in the B, D, and F reactors. You do know that Plutonium doesn't exist in nature, right? It's either created in a reactor via neutron bombardment of U238, or in a cyclotron.

      More than that, the Chicago Pile was the first man-made self-sustaining nuclear reaction (in 1941), and the basis of all reactor design that followed to support the Manhattan Project, which made bombs detonated in 1945.

      Reactors very much came before the bombs.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    21. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by Spazmania · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You vastly underestimate the situation. The EM drive could be the Michelson-Morley experiments of the 21st century. If you don't recognize that, those are the series of experiments whose "inexplicable" data led to Einstein's discovery of relativity.

      --
      Moderating "-1, Disagree" is simple censorship. Have the guts to post your opinion.
    22. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by Immerman · · Score: 2

      Except all inertial reference points in the universe are equally at rest and speed is an observer-based phenomenon. If you can expend X energy to get Y change in kinetic energy, then all you have to do is observe the same thing while passing at a much higher speed in the opposite direction to see that you're actually getting a much larger change in kinetic energy for the same expenditure of energy. Either it violates physics at all speeds, or it doesn't.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    23. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by gweihir · · Score: 2

      And that is the kicker: It would have to overturn an exceptional amount of well-established physics and this effect must be tied to very special circumstances, because otherwise it would have been observed before. This makes for an exceptionally low probability of an actual effect and a very high probability of a subtle measurement error.

      Hell, with the tiny thrust they observe, it could even be an effect of the current flowing into the grounding, maybe combined with a skin-effect or some resonance effect in the copper itself. Copper is not a perfect conductor and they are putting a lot of energy in there for a very tiny effect. It could also be an effect caused by a hairline fracture somewhere in the device. With this large difference between energy input and effect output, there are literally thousands of potential error sources and most are outside of the precision levels experimental physicists usually work with and are experienced with. There is no sane reason at this time to believe this is anything but an error and a competent experimental team would keep looking for that error instead of speculation about applications in space travel.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    24. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by cusco · · Score: 2

      It's only been a couple of decades that we've recognized that we're unable to even detect 85% (or maybe more) of the mass in the universe at less than the galactic scale. I think that there might be one or two things out there that we don't understand yet.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    25. Re:If confirmed, does this make it realistic? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 2

      EM drives have nothing to do with perpetium motion machines.

      They do because given a working EM drive, you can go over unity.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
  2. vaporising metal? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    They say that they have looked at outgassing, and assumed that its not relevant due to slow temp rise not producing rising force. But that does not cover possibility that the electromagnetic resonances are somehow vaporising and ejecting structure at much higher speeds. At .0012N thrust with 1kW input (and 100% efficiency) a rocket would need exhaust velocity of 1.6e6 m/s and consume around 0.8ng per second - damned difficult to weight with required sensitivity and hard to spot except by looking for evidence in the gases within the chamber as metals will condense out quickly.

    1. Re:vaporising metal? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But that does not cover possibility that the electromagnetic resonances are somehow vaporising and ejecting structure at much higher speeds.

      Ah yes, the "I'm sure I thought of something the experts didn't" response.
      Metal doesn't just vaporise. It takes a lot of energy to free atoms from a metal lattice, which would require the metal to be visibly glowing hot, which is not what happens in the drive.

  3. Re:How big is an EM drive by jason-eric · · Score: 2

    This is such a great question Mr. Chauhan. I am sure it would be really easy to answer for anyone who has dabbled in those kinds of equations. Or here is another permutation of the same question: Imagine the two Voyager craft that were launched in the 70's. If they were equipped with EM drive with approximately 250 watts of continuous power how much further away would they be now and how much faster would they be travelling?

    --
    United States
  4. Next step NASA by Alain+Williams · · Score: 2

    put this on top of a rocket and have the thing move around upstairs: from low earth orbit round the moon and back should convince most people. It might take a few months to make the trip, that does not matter.

  5. This is BIG news - If you want to know more.. by ihaveamo · · Score: 3, Informative

    I've been following this for a year or so - very interesting. Over at Nasa Space Flight board there are a lot of people making these EM drives in their back yard, with varying results. A lot of this comes from the original work by Roger Shawyer. He has stated that he will show a drone running EM drive in 2017. If that works ...that would change everything. Cheap access to space would mean space-based solar arrays for terrestrial use. Here's an article about his patent. There's also some very strange results with laser timing through an EM drive cavity. Almost like spacetime is being warped.

    1. Re:This is BIG news - If you want to know more.. by bruce_the_loon · · Score: 4, Informative

      Besides your exclusion of relativistic mass increases, you are also assuming that more power isn't required as the drive accelerates. Marketing claims aside, nothing in the static testing so far indicates that, it will only show up when the drive actually continually accelerates something in a test. Acceleration without expelled reaction mass doesn't equal a violation of E=MC^2, it just means the opposite force is coming from something that isn't being expelled by the drive. What it is, is unknown now, but my guess will turn out to be something already predicted by physics.

      With F=MA and E=MC^2, no matter what the source of the acceleration force, the accelerated object will start experiencing mass increasing effects and we will have to increase the thrust to maintain the same acceleration, requiring an increase in energy fed into the drive. The EM drive clearly shows a direct correlation between power input and thrust.

      If your argument was valid physics, it would apply to all lower power drives including ion thrusters capable of long term acceleration. Hell, the drives on Dawn generate 80 times the thrust force for 10 times the energy of the EM drive. If anything this thing is more inefficient than the NSTAR drives.

      --
      Trying to become famous by taking photos. Visit my homepage please.
    2. Re:This is BIG news - If you want to know more.. by serviscope_minor · · Score: 2

      It's a new low, slashdot mods modding down a post like my previous one simply for stating the facts.

      Besides your exclusion of relativistic mass increases,

      Irrelevant at the speeds we're talking about.

      you are also assuming that more power isn't required as the drive accelerates. Marketing claims aside, nothing in the static testing so far indicates that, it will only show up when the drive actually continually accelerates something in a test.

      What you suggest means that relativity is very fundamentally wrong because absolute speed exists. People have looked for absolute speed a LOT before and never found it. In fact conservation of momentum is an emergent property of the lack of it.

      Acceleration without expelled reaction mass doesn't equal a violation of E=MC^2

      You're flinging a physics word salad at the page. E=MC^2 has little to do with this. The claimed device goes over unity at non relativistic speeds. Classical mechanics is sufficient here.

      If your argument was valid physics,

      It is.

      it would apply to all lower power drives including ion thrusters capable of long term acceleration. Hell, the drives on Dawn generate 80 times the thrust force for 10 times the energy of the EM drive. If anything this thing is more inefficient than the NSTAR drives.

      No, because those have reaction mass. You can't simply apply P=f*v t othe craft because you count discount the force exerted on the ejected reaction mass. Once you take that into account, you find it all adds up and energy is conserved.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    3. Re:This is BIG news - If you want to know more.. by michelcolman · · Score: 2

      You are the one who is failing at high school physics, I am afraid. And at rocket science too.

      I am not saying that we can now produce a perpetual motion device, I'm sure something must be wrong in the assumptions, but IF the device works, and IF it produces the same amount of force per watt at any speed and IF it does not lose any mass and IF we can repeat the experiment indefinitely without depleting some unknown type of energy from the universe (the quantum background whatever), then yes, it will be violating conservation of energy. And if you can somehow convert that kinetic energy back into electricity (using a tether and a generator, for example), you could theoretically make a perpetual motion device of the first kind.

      Energy is force times distance. Exert a force of 1N over 1m and you will have converted 1J of energy.

      That means power (energy per second) equals force times speed. You will need more and more power, proportional to speed, to keep something accelerating at the same rate. Cars need more and more power at higher speed, not just because of the increase in drag but also because the same force at twice the speed requires twice as much power (though it's the same amount of energy per unit of distance since you're covering that distance in half the time).

      But what about rockets? They produce the same amount of force at any speed while using the same amount of fuel per second, right? Well, indeed they do. Read up on the Oberth effect. Turns out rockets indeed become more efficient at producing kinetic energy as their speed increases, and this effect is used to get more bang for your buck by turning on rocket engines during a gravity assist around the point where speed is highest. Any serious KSP player knows this. Problem is: as the speed of the rocket increases, its mass decreases. That keeps it from being used as a perpetual motion device. You can never get the same energy out again because you wasted so much fuel accelerating fuel which you no longer have.

      The EM device, however, theoretically keeps the same mass. Therefore, given all of the above assumptions, it would be usable as a perpetual motion device of the first kind. Which means that one of the assumptions is probably false.

  6. Re:Any idea how it works? by wierd_w · · Score: 2

    One proposed theory is that it works by exploiting unruh radiation. That explanation relies on the premise that inertia is quantum in nature, and so there can be anomalies between discrete quantum levels of inertial interactions.

    https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.034...

    The author has proposed that this mechanism may also be responsible for some other observational anomalies.

    http://phys.org/news/2011-07-g...

  7. My impressions after skimming through the paper... by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ... are more or less the same ones than before (= very unclear setup, situation very unlikely to represent the claimed break of the conservation laws, highly restricted conditions not telling much, etc.).

    Summary of my impressions after quickly reading this paper:

    - The actual methodology generating the thrust isn't clearly explained, 95% of this paper is about the testing conditions (measurements, sources of error, assumptions, etc.). Although I assume that detailed explanations on this front might drive to a level of clarity similar to the one of the tests, as explained in the next point.

    - Complex testing setup which is very difficult to be adequately understood from outside. It seems that only people with actual experience under these specific conditions (and, ideally, with physical access to an equivalent setup) are in a position to critically analyse these tests and be specific about the (very likely IMO) source(s) of error.

    - Even by ignoring the two aforementioned points, plainly believing that everything is fine and just analysing the results, there are various issues which are somehow against the reliability of this experiment and related out-of-proportion assumptions. Examples in fig. 9: a maximum displacement below 0.005 micrometres (extrapolating such a top performance to interstellar travels is sensible?!); assuming that the error in the measurements remain constant under different conditions (?!); testing just 3 different scenarios (40, 60, 80 W) and getting counter-intuitive results (30/40 = 0.75; 106/60 = 1.76; 76/80 = 0.95; 60 W delivering the best performance?!).
    Fig. 19 is even more descriptive by showing a tremendous variability of the measurements; in the best-performing 60 W scenario, they vary from 130 to 45 micronewtons!! With only a few cases being similar enough (85 and 92); out of all the about 20 cases, there are only a few which are identical under the given conditions.

    --
    Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
  8. Re:Any idea how it works? by poodlediagram · · Score: 5, Interesting

    IAATP working on quantum electrodynamics (QED) and other theories.

    The fundamental problem with this experiment is that it appears to violate conservation of momentum. This violation is not something that can be discarded easily: it has been confirmed directly and indirectly in millions of experiments over decades.

    Momentum conservation is also a cornerstone of quantum field theory (QFT) and it is a symmetry which survives quantization. The entire Standard Model (SM) is a momentum-conserving QFT. The SM has been confirmed to a high accuracy in particle accelerators for many years. Any violation of momentum conservation would have been quickly noticed. You cannot simply invoke 'quantum mechanics', 'zero point', 'vacuum fluctuations', etc. to explain excess thrust. Momentum conservation is fundamental, both classically and quantum mechanically.

    So what about the EM drive results? There is a possibility that some new physics is at play, however it is vastly more likely that there is a systematic error which has not been eliminated. (If I had to guess I would imagine that because a large amount of RF energy is being pumped into large metal cavities, the apparatus is resting at the bottom of a standing wave potential.)

    The way to finally confirm or refute this is to take the drive into space. In this case, it is almost certain that the net thrust would be equal to the momentum of the photon flux leaving the drive.

  9. Re:My impressions after skimming through the paper by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    > The actual methodology generating the thrust isn't clearly explained, 95% of this paper is about the testing conditions

    Well duh, this paper is about proving existence. It's a physical test, it doesn't have to explain why it works. If the models don't fit reality then it is the models that are wrong, not reality. Hence the details about the test infrastructure. That results don't have to make sense, they just need to show that existing models are invalid.

  10. Imagine by jsim · · Score: 5, Funny

    Just imagine this gizmo powered with cold fusion!

  11. Numbers in perspective by pere · · Score: 4, Informative

    Just to put the numbers in perspective. A force of 1.2mN/kW is equivalent of a force of 0.12 gram.

    A Tesla SP85 has a maximum effect of 350KW. This would (in theory) produce a force of roughly 40 grams, the weight of 10 sugar cubes.
    A Nuclear submarine is able to produce an effect of 100MW, giving a theoretical force of 10kg.
    A medium nuclear power plant is producing roughly 1000MW, and a force of 100kg.

    1. Re:Numbers in perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well, that's total gibberish. Who the hell modded it up? Slashdot really is on its last legs.

  12. Re:Any idea how it works? by poodlediagram · · Score: 5, Informative

    Now, does it work? No idea, frankly. I'm more inclined to believe the results of, you know, an actual test than someone who didn't do the test but insists it can't work in spite of the test....

    It's difficult to convey to a non-physicist just how accurately and consistently quantum field theory describes nature. Physicists routinely make calculations which have lower uncertainly than the best experiments. For example the anomalous magnetic moment (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anomalous_magnetic_dipole_moment) is in agreement with theory to ten significant figures.

    Physicists tend to be fairly cautious describing results, but when it comes to basic theory at energies up to a few hundred GeV we are confident that we have *all* physical effects well and truly nailed. This doesn't mean that we can always solve the equations perfectly: quantum mechanics is hard, but the equations themselves are almost beyond reproach.

    It's not undeserved hubris: it's trillions of independent experiments, billions of dollars and hundreds of thousands of man-years working on the theory by lots of very smart people. The theory, quantum field theory (QFT), is simple, consistent and universal. It describes everything we can see around us, with the exception of gravity.

    If you ask an actual physicist what he or she thinks of the EM drive, they will overwhelmingly say that is is highly likely there is an unresolved source of error because violation of moment conservation has never been observed and is inconsistent with QFT.

  13. Re:My impressions after skimming through the paper by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 2

    It is not trying to make sense - it is trying to provide data.

    Experimental data have also to make sense. Senseless data are useless (or useful to conclude that continuing on this line is useless). You can support not-too-clear tests with solid theory or against-theory behaviours with solid experimental results. Faulty (counter-intuitive, non-reproducible, under too restrictive conditions, etc.) tests going against solid theories are only indicative of high likelihood of measurement errors.

    --
    Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
  14. Re:Any idea how it works? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Yes, yes it does so appear. The "math" is astoundingly simple: No matter how you state it (N's laws, in terms of Lagrangians or Hamiltonians or Stokes vectors or Grassmannian objects, and whether you use a classical or quantum mechanical basis), 4-momentum is expected to be conserved, and conserved locally. Either that deep, deep principle is wrong, in which case a gigantic new set of possibilities opens up (despite the principle appearing to work for every other observation and experiment thus far); or not every avenue of momentum transfer has been properly quantified in the EM Drive experiment.

    My money, and the money of every other physicist I know, is on the latter.

  15. Re: Hope! by michelcolman · · Score: 2

    That's what Mexicans often yell during hunting season in the state of New York. "Donald! Duck!".

  16. Not Verified At All by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Apart from the open process and independently verified results

    This is the problem though the results are not at all verified. Have you actually read the paper? It shows an appallingly low level of scientific methodology for a paper claiming to observe a phenomenon which violates the currently know fundamental laws of physics. For example at one point it is quoting a fit to 7 significant figures without giving any uncertainty range which suggests a position accuracy of ~1nm which is less than the size of an atom. I am unconvinced that they measure the position this accurately. While this ultimately will not affect the result they claim it shows sloppy practice which is not a good for inspiring confidence.

    However most importantly when considering errors at no point do they see to consider charged particle emission as a source of thrust. They do worry about the components becoming charged which they say they fix by grounding but if you are emitting electrons grounding the engine just ensures that there is no charge build up which will allow the engine to continue to operate. Since you cannot ground a craft in space the charge would build up their until the engine's thrust stops.

    So it's great that they publish their results openly but what there is to see there in no way inspires any confidence that they have observed some new, fundamental physics phenomenon. Instead of engineers they need to get some scientists involved because the paper shows a total focus on simply measuring the thrust and zero scientific investigation to investigate the cause of the thrust.

    1. Re:Not Verified At All by Fragnet · · Score: 2

      Which laws of physics does it violate? None that I'm aware of.

    2. Re:Not Verified At All by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      which suggests a position accuracy of ~1nm which is less than the size of an atom

      Might want to double check that, I'm pretty sure atomic radii are measured in picometers.

    3. Re:Not Verified At All by thegarbz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Instead of engineers they need to get some scientists involved because the paper shows a total focus on simply measuring the thrust and zero scientific investigation to investigate the cause of the thrust.

      Yeah I know. What an absurd thing to do in a paper titled: "Measurement of Impulsive Thrust from a Closed Radio-Frequency Cavity in Vacuum"

      Have you ever considered that there may be other teams doing research on this an this just happens to be the first paper out? Damn them for not doing everything at once and reaching all conclusion at the same time.

    4. Re:Not Verified At All by ClickOnThis · · Score: 3, Insightful

      which suggests a position accuracy of ~1nm which is less than the size of an atom

      Might want to double check that, I'm pretty sure atomic radii are measured in picometers.

      They can be measured in any unit you like, but the typical size of an atom is in between 30 and 300 pm. So GP is wrong: 1 nm is greater (not less) than the size of an atom, but it's in the ballpark.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
    5. Re:Not Verified At All by lgw · · Score: 2

      There's no problem with conservation of energy - the thing is plenty power hungry.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    6. Re:Not Verified At All by lgw · · Score: 4, Informative

      Your entire post is nonsense. You're "not even wrong".

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    7. Re:Not Verified At All by slashrio · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They didn't measure the thrust at that speed, they measured it under stationary conditions.
      Your constant-thrust assumption can be what is wrong here.
      On the other hand, if thrust goes down when speed goes up, then what use is that drive?
      I also wonder how the other 'fuel-less' thrust engines behave in this respect. Do those go into 'over unity'?
      Clearly not, I would say. So why would this one...

      --
      "Trump!!", the new Godwin.
    8. Re:Not Verified At All by serviscope_minor · · Score: 2

      Can I suppose that you're not sure about the assumptions regarding:

      Well...

      constant thrust

      They report thrust versus power. Either thrust decreases with speed which implies that absolute position exists or it decreases with time. That implies either that physics changes over time, or some consumable is being used up.

      If it's the latter then it's just a rocket.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
  17. Read the Paper by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 2

    Understanding exactly how this works is going to be huge in revolutionizing physics if tests continue to verify the results.

    I extremely doubt that. Read the paper. At no point do they consider charged particle emission. Instead they do worry about drive components becoming charged but they fix that by grounding...so if he drive was emitting charged particles it will not become charged which will let it continue to function. Since you cannot ground a space craft this explanation of the thrust would make the drive useless.

    This is the problem with the paper, apart from the sloppy uncertainties, there is no investigation as to the cause of the thrust. They focus only on measuring it. By far the most likely outcome of this is that it will turn out to be particle emission of some sort which our existing physics can explain. If they want to convince anyone of anything else they need to focus on investigating possible causes and focus less on just measuring the thrust.

    1. Re:Read the Paper by vux984 · · Score: 2

      This is the problem with the paper, apart from the sloppy uncertainties, there is no investigation as to the cause of the thrust. They focus only on measuring it.

      How is that "the problem" ?

      The first step in science is often to 'observe an effect' and then to start isolating it and measuring it.

      By far the most likely outcome of this is that it will turn out to be particle emission of some sort which our existing physics can explain.

      Perhaps, but then knowing precisely how much thrust is generated and along what vector etc will help us pinpoint the source and cause.

      If they want to convince anyone of anything else they need to focus on investigating possible causes

      So... are you still skeptical of gravity too? Because we haven't really pinned that down yet either. I mean ... we know a lot about measuring it, and its relationship to mass, and we can make predictions based on it... but (to my knowledge at least) its mechanism isn't really understood yet. We don't know precisely WHY mass causes gravity... or how exactly.

      But since we can clearly see and measure its effects we don't doubt it exists.

      I think demonstrating that there really is an EM drive thrust that we can't explain is an important first step.

      And right now, because the effect is small and not predicted by our existing physics -- the most logical causes are that it was measurement error, or a flaw in the implementation of the experiments leading to an accounted for source of energy/reaction mass/etc.

        Logically the first angle of investigation will be to verify the experiment is reproducible, to start eliminate possible causes of measurement error, and to eliminate possible sources of energy in the experiment that weren't being accounted for.

      This is precisely what they've been doing.

    2. Re:Read the Paper by gweihir · · Score: 2

      This is the problem with the paper, apart from the sloppy uncertainties, there is no investigation as to the cause of the thrust. They focus only on measuring it. By far the most likely outcome of this is that it will turn out to be particle emission of some sort which our existing physics can explain. If they want to convince anyone of anything else they need to focus on investigating possible causes and focus less on just measuring the thrust.

      Very much so. Just measuring the thrust gives you zero indications whether you measure a real effect or an error. But this tactics of just measuring the effect without trying to explain it is an exceptionally well established characteristic of junk-science and scientific fraud. This tactics to get investor money for something that does not actually work is over a century old. And in many cases, it was not actually fraud, just very bad scientists with very big egos thinking the rules of proper scientific experimentations and explanations do not apply to them. The same is exceptionally likely to be at work here. That is also the reason why no respectable scientific journal will touch their stuff: Their approach is fundamentally flawed.

      We recently had an example on how to do this right: The case where some physicists measures FTL particle transmission. What they did was to publish everything, and explain that they did not actually believe this was indeed FTL and asking for help to find the source of the error. That way they remained committed to a proper scientific approach. In the end, this turned out to be a faulty connector, but it was very hard to find that flaw and needed help from a lot of smart people.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  18. Re:How big is an EM drive by PvtVoid · · Score: 2

    What would a spacecraft operating an EM drive at peak efficiency look like?

    Stationary.

  19. Define "work" by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 2

    Depends what you mean by "work". Does it produce a thrust higher than just photon emission: yes clearly the evidence supports that. Is that thrust possibly explainable under the existing laws of physics for example by particle emission? Yes it very probably is. Read the paper: they focus entirely on measuring the thrust an not at all on measuring possible causes.

  20. Re:Some back of the envelope calculations. by lgw · · Score: 2

    If it works at all, then presumably the prototype didn't stumble on the most efficient possible design.

    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  21. Re:My impressions after skimming through the paper by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 2

    only has to be accurate

    And what is the first step for something to even have the chance to be accurate? Is 5 accurate? No, 5 is nothing. Is 5 mm accurate? It depends. Is 5 mm when measuring a 6 mm length and with a 0.00001 mm tolerance accurate? Certainly not. Is 5 mm when . . . , etc. To know what accurate is you have to firstly know what you are measuring/doing. As explained in other posts, you are misinterpreting my words by assuming a meaning which they don't have. Making sense has to be understood within the specific context (i.e., experimental measurements here). As far as there is no theory, the measurements have to be reliable enough (more reliable than when just applying a working theory), this is what I meant with "making sense". Considering only 3 scenarios with very different behaviours; having a few (below 20) measuring points; observing a tremendous variability; etc. All this defines a not-making-sense-at-all situation under the current conditions (you can use any other expression to define this reality if you prefer).

    This will be my last clarification on this front. Feel free (you or anyone else) to misinterpret my words in whatever way you want, but don't expect my answer.

    (What do you think about this post, censoring-and-attacking-anything-you-don't-understand-or-share downvoters? Is it more undeserved-downvote-worthy than my previous comment or less?)

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    Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.