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Climate Change Will Stir 'Unimaginable' Refugee Crisis, Says Military (theguardian.com)

Posted by msmash on from the shape-of-things-to-come dept.

Citing military experts, The Guardian is reporting that if the rise in global warming is held under 2 degrees Celsius, there still could be a major humanitarian crisis to sort out. From the report: Climate change is set to cause a refugee crisis of "unimaginable scale," according to senior military figures, who warn that global warming is the greatest security threat of the 21st century and that mass migration will become the "new normal." The generals said the impacts of climate change were already factors in the conflicts driving a current crisis of migration into Europe, having been linked to the Arab Spring, the war in Syria and the Boko Haram terrorist insurgency. Military leaders have long warned that global warming could multiply and accelerate security threats around the world by provoking conflicts and migration. They are now warning that immediate action is required. "Climate change is the greatest security threat of the 21st century," said Maj Gen Munir Muniruzzaman, chairman of the Global Military Advisory Council on climate change and a former military adviser to the president of Bangladesh. He said one metre of sea level rise will flood 20% of his nation. "Weâ(TM)re going to see refugee problems on an unimaginable scale, potentially above 30 million people."

2 of 333 comments (clear)

  1. YAWN by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Redundant

    Thanks for the political propaganda! Now back to technology articles!

  2. Climate change skeptic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: -1, Redundant

    I just copy and paste this into threads every time it comes up, it's formatted for reddit so the links are jacked up, sorry about that. I'm too lazy to fix but I'm sure you guys will figure it out

    Man made climate change, or Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW), is the theory that climate is driven almost solely as a result of CO2 emissions. There are lots of reasons I am skeptical of this:

    1. A primary method of convincing others is to ridicule and insult them. Notice the responses and downvotes this post will get.
    2. We have seen vastly higher CO2 levels in planetary history and right now we are seeing what is actually all time lows. We should expect CO2 increases and, in fact, hope for them as going much below 300 ppm would see the beginning of a massive plant die off - there's a reason commercial greenhouses pump CO2 into their facilities.
    3. The temperature change we are seeing now is far from unusual, we've seen similar changes in both rate and magnitude before. In fact, what we are seeing now does not stand out from background noise.
    4. Measuring temperatures from millions of years ago to tenths of a degree with any certainty is not realistic. Yet, that's what we're doing.
    5. The measuring devices we use, known as Stevenson Screens, have approximately 70% of them improperly cited in such a way as to produce more than 2 degrees of error making it appear hotter (see http://www.surfacestations.org/).
    6. We know some, perhaps a lot, of data has been fabricated (e.g. Yamal tree ring data) or manipulated in such a way as to produce the desired results (e.g. the so called hockey stick graph) and how it conveniently always gets colder in the past as data is adjusted.
    7. We know from the ClimateGate email leaks that coordinated efforts to suppress any conflicting information/studies occurred and were successful.
    8. Many times the data and methodology of studies supporting AGW is not shared and that even occurs illegally in the refusal of FOIA requests.
    9. So many of the predicted side effects of AGW have not come to pass. For example, we were supposed to be seeing Katrina like hurricanes as the norm but instead the exact opposite happened and we have the longest stretch of reduced cyclonic activity since we began keeping records or the millions of climate refugees that were supposed to be created by now - the UN 62nd General assembly in July 2008 said: it had been estimated that there would be between 50 million and 200 million environmental migrants by 2010. They now say it'll be by 2020 - only a little over 3 years from now. It's not happening. [More here](https://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/04/02/the-big-list-of-failed-climate-predictions/).
    10. Experiments allegedly proving AGW are sometimes blatantly faked ([see here](https://wattsupwiththat.com/climate-fail-files/gore-and-bill-nye-fail-at-doing-a-simple-co2-experiment/)).
    11. The breakdown of the scientific method as it becomes science by consensus with massive reliance on appeals to authority and popularity as well as theories that are not falsifiable.
    12. Computer models are based on assumptions that may or may not be accurate, computer models are not necessarily "proof" of the future. For example, the "pause" of the last 15 years that is causing all the confusion now.

    By the way, did you know that these claims of warming have been made before and it goes cyclically between warming and cooling and has done so since at least the 1800's? Roughly every 30 years, it's cooling that is the threat (as we saw in the 1970's) and it eventually switches to warming for about 30 years. We've been on the warming kick lately [and right on cue](https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=scientists%20predict%20global%20cooling).

    As for the timing, this list was compiled by James P. Hogan:

    **GLOBAL COOLING: 1890s-1930s**

    The Times, February 24, 1895
    "Geologists Think the World May Be Frozen Up Again"
    Fears of a "second glacial period" brought on by increases in nor