Finland Will Give Some Unemployed Citizens a Basic Income (theoutline.com)
Next month, the Finnish government is going to try something completely different to help its unemployed citizens: give them free money. From a report on The Outline: On Jan. 9, 2017, a randomly selected group of 2,000 unemployed citizens in Finland will receive a check for 560 euros (about $585) with no strings attached. They'll continue to receive that check every month for two years straight, even if they find a job or continue to remain unemployed. This is part of an experiment to see what happens to people's participation in the labor market after they've been guaranteed a certain amount of money.
I suspect this thread like the last will have a lot of misunderstandings about BI.
The biggest misunderstanding for the general principle is that you take the existing system as-is and simply give everyone 10k per year or something. The numbers are clearly absurd so that causes people to dismiss it.
That's not how it works.
Basically what you do is modify (increase) the tax so in most cases, people get net more or less what they do now. That way the numbers come out more or less the same as they are now but in practice on the low end people do get extra money. Most people won't see much of a change.
SJW n. One who posts facts.
They'll continue to receive that check every month for two years straight, even if they find a job or continue to remain unemployed.
I've generally talked about a Universal Social Security (a type of UBI) in its potential to create broad market effects. That's not possible in these small experiments, so you get incomplete information.
Imagine being a landlord. If an average of 10% of your theoretical rent revenue is lost to evictions and empty units, what happens? You have 10 units that must rent for $250/month to make your profit margin, yet you face a risk of $25/month per unit. Well, to retain the same profit margin, you have to charge $275/month--and what if your tenants can only afford $260/month? You can't rent these units. Mind, your tenants will more likely only be able to stably afford $260/month, meaning they have $275/month but have a good chance of sometimes having only $260, and so that $25/month needs to be higher to cover that risk, and now you've got to charge them $285/month, and it's even worse now.
You can't profit in that market.
Now imagine we change things around. Instead of your tenants being underemployed, part-time workers who can lose hours, jobs, or welfare (unemployment insurance) with the season or just bad luck, they have a guaranteed income. Your tenants will have enough money for food, clothing, personal care, utilities, and a steady $260/month. You have 10 units with a base rent of $250/month to hit your viable profit margin, and now they're only facing a 4% risk. You can charge your tenants $260/month to cover this, and they're stable at that rent: you'll lose money to evictions and empty units at an amortized cost of $10/month, on average, thus still hitting your profit margin.
Do you think landlords will gradually test the waters, then start building out rental properties and attracting low-income tenants, when that stable income is going away in 2 years, or 5 years, or 10 years? It's going to take a while to get ROI.
Financial stabilization brings economic stabilization. When people can't go below a livable income, ever, for any reason, then the supply of a basic service can't be interrupted by a sudden collapse of the demand market. That's central for a market-driven welfare system like any form of basic income.
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We have the same thing in the US - we call it the lottery. Winning still doesn't seem to correct bad choices.
You can only win the lottery if you buy a ticket. Buying lottery tickets is pretty stupid. So people that win lotteries tend to be stupid people that make poor choices. You would see much better outcomes if the lotteries winnings were assigned randomly.
Disclaimer: I only buy lottery tickets as part of the "office pool", which I view as a social activity, not an investment.
So you engage in something you consider stupid, and that makes you stupid by your own definition because of peer pressure. Lol. I'm laughing mostly because you dismiss a lot of people as stupid just because they do not see it the same way you do.
Even if statistically speaking it is almost impossible to win, if buying a cheap ticket, gives a small thrill to somebody that makes them happy, you should not qualify people as stupid like that.
By that measure, everybody going to Vegas is stupid, and I'll be damned if you don't happen to have a good time once you go there.
If you're looking for the point behind this little "experiment", they'll increase this by 17 cents a week in order to define an acceptable floor for UBI, otherwise known as the bare minimum it takes to satiate the average pleb.
As I've always said, UBI will be nothing more than Welfare 2.0, and not a damn penny more. The greedy elite will lobby to guarantee it.
Death to the Dream. Long live Greed, for it will always Leech and Prosper.
"randomly selected group of 2,000 unemployed citizens"
I'm assuming that Finland already has some type of unemployment assistance?
(their current unemployment rate is hovering above 8.5%; https://ycharts.com/indicators...)
Does this reflect people that only apply for unemployment assistance? Their labor force participation rate is 64%;
(http://www.tradingeconomics.com/finland/labor-force-participation-rate)
What I'm wondering is if any of those 2,000 "random" people will be folks who are retired and wouldn't have any other source of income anyways.
If you post as Anonymous Coward, don't expect a reply.
UBI is not about replacing work, it's about a universal backstop so that if you cannot find work, or sufficient work for the basic necessities, you will be assured enough to pay for the roof, heat and food. Presumably, in a UBI world, high income earners would essentially give all the UBI back in the form of taxes.
Sooner or later UBI will have to happen. Automation is going to remake the working world as profoundly as the Industrial Revolution did.
The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
Presumably, in a UBI world, high income earners would essentially give all the UBI back in the form of taxes.
George W. signed a $3,000 tax credit for adults to learn new job skills into law after 9/11. I used that tax credit to go back to school to learn computer programming and switched from video game testing to IT. Today I pay more in taxes than I did 15 years ago.
And finally the social "safety net" becomes a hammock
I wouldn't go that far. Their reasoning is arguably legitimate, BUT they don't directly admit to the unpleasant or complex consequences of their system.
It's essentially a modified Social Darwinism (SD) argument: to keep our citizens competitive we have to cull the herd by letting the sick and lazy wither or die, with some caveats given later.
Some citizens have to be the sacrificial lambs to keep US citizens strong and competitive.
It's a legitimate perspective, but they don't WANT to fully tell you the plan because it's embarrassing to admit to; similar to how many didn't tell pollsters that they were voting for T: he's says nutty and shameful things.
I should point out that some will claim, and perhaps even believe, that if you lower taxes and reduce regulations enough, the economy will be unleashed and "float all boats" such that there is minimal human suffering by even the laziest or sickest. Therefore, if you "do conservatism right", the down-sides of SD are minimal, and therefore GOP are not really the iron-hearted human breeders that pure SD requires.
The problem is that trickle-down has been failing in practice for several decades. It doesn't work, but they won't admit it, saying you merely "are not trying hard enough" (like you hear with many IT and project management fads).
Also, they believe churches can and will help out for the sick and afflicted. While true in many cases, it fails during deep recessions, which overwhelm churches due to both the volume and reduced donations.
And it could result in atheists, Muslims, etc. being discriminated against for having the "wrong" beliefs. The biggest churches will have the most control and influence over care. Progressives view such as an evangelical "sales" gimmick: we'll feed you if you listen to our religious spam. If you as an evangelical believe your religion is the right religion, you are okay with this lopsided influence because God is on your side and wants the system to promote The Correct religious system.
Thus, conservatives and libertarians have a valid perspective, given certain assumptions, but are usually not straight-forward about the assumptions and trade-offs of their reasoning system. Most know it's an ugly sell, not foo far off from Nazism, and try to dress it up with fluff and distraction.
Table-ized A.I.
I'm guessing you spent your UBI money on booze today.
systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
https://www.thenation.com/arti...
People dont just want handouts. They want to be able to prosper and live with dignity, do meaningful work, and contribute to their country.
I assure you there's a LOT of people who do want handouts and are quite happy to sit on the sofa all day drinking beer.
I say let them then.
There are people who complain about food assistance folks spending their money on lobster or cake or something along those lines. I say go for it... if that's what they feel they need to do, then who am I to say that they don't need that?
Another example is the person who might buy a piece of jewelry that they really want despite the fact that they have other obligations. That person may feel that they need that.
Do you want to take responsibility for their finances? No? Then shut up about it and mind your own business.
I for one am glad Finland is doing this. It will save my country from being this generation's lab rat. It seem very couple of decades we need to relearn that price fixing doesn't work. I would have hoped the Venezuelans spectacular meltdown would have been enough, but it guess not.
Economics is all about whats happening at the margins. The marginal utility of going from $0->$5 per day in income is much greater than from from $200->$205. By giving everyone (this study is only starting with a few) a guaranteed fixed income you've just hugely reduced the utility of a working a low paying job. If you're getting nothing a job that pays $30,000 is a huge improvement because you have lots of time and no money. If you're getting $20,000 UBI you have lots of time and some money, the value of going from $20,000 to $50,000 won't be worth it to some people. In order for the low paying job to have that same marginal utility it's going to need to pay a lot more. Which raises the price of everything, which means that $20,000 doesn't go as far. Yay inflation! The market will readjust, and keep readjusting, until you relearn that price fixing doesn't work.
the appointment of friends and associates to positions of authority, without proper regard to their qualifications.
Other then committing perjury for two years without ever being caught, there was some questionable circumstances about how he got his contractor license.
The former is run of the mill corruption, it's not cronyism. And the latter doesn't sound like it either, even assuming the contractor's license covered a legitimate societal need rather than just being another government feed tube.
Ironically, he did that because he couldn't find a doctor to certify that he was disabled in the knees after being an auto body specialist for 30 years.
Still not cronyism.
And unlike when they were receiving unemployment payments, these people can now go out and get at least some form of a job without losing those payments.
At least in the US, it is not totally uncommon that some folks receiving unemployment payments to work cash-jobs on the side and continue to collect unemployment checks. When they finally find a real gig, it pays them more than unemployment checks.
The real issues in the US are for those on long-term unemployment who transition to be dependent on welfare programs.
1. They would often lose medicare, childcare, food assistance and other benefits as they become partially employed, and
2. They eventually become unemployable as their job skills bitrot over time.
Right now these welfare benefits are worth way more than their "cash-equivalent" in the free market, so the reduction of those benefits are not reasonably offset by just giving people some equivalent amount of money if they transition to "some job". For example, the pay of a minimum wage jobs might not realistically offset the cost in child care benefits lost, so although you might get child-care paid for whilst you are *training* for a new job, you might not really afford to simply get just "some form of job" after your training because it won't cover the child-care benefit you would lose. The situation sorta sucks right now for the long-term unemployed.
But the employer, church, coven, etc that chooses to do this is doing it with money that was voluntarily given to them. When government does it they're using money that was taken by law. That's the key difference.
However, the government doing these things is looked down upon.
Here is a clue: The government is spending someone else's money.
If you have an apple tree in your yard, and you pick the fruit and give it to the poor, people will think you are generous.
If your neighbor has an apple tree, and you pick the fruit and give it to the poor, few people will think you are generous.
With jobs becoming more scarce
Jobs are not becoming more scarce. The American economy is generating about 180,000 additional new jobs per month, which is significantly greater than population growth.
Given the dole or turning every city into mini-Aleppos...
Perhaps those are not the only two alternatives. The violence in Aleppo was not caused by unemployment.
Really it's a shame, with or without a UBI, that legislators have not managed to take these perverse incentives out of the system. Basically benefits should fade off rather than just disappear at some threshold... the overriding rule should be "if you work, you do better." So far in the U.S. we have Republicans who hate giving anyone money for anything that doesn't involve either kickbacks or indoctrination, and Democrats who are too afraid to open the book on this business without an airtight super majority (excluding potentially backstabbing blue dogs) which they never seem to get.
Well, now that the R's have the majority, probably the entire social safety net will get gutted, so at least when the pendulum swings back, D's will have some brownfield to build on.
Someone had to do it.
He used his unemployment benefits to start a landscaping design business. Now he's self-employed fulltime. Crony capitalism at work.
This is the second time in a month I've seen this attempt to redefine crony capitalism to mean "any contact with government money". That's not what it means. Somebody, somewhere is subjecting you to propaganda and you are losing.
crony
noun, plural cronies.
1. a close friend or companion; chum.
In this context, such a close friend that they're willing to do something illegal. A crony capitalist is a person who is nominally running a business in a market-based economy who is actually collecting money from the government because of specific actions of a close personal friend actually in the government directing funds via contract. Nothing else qualifies.
It is illegal and specifically maligned over and above other forms of fraud because government is supposed to help everyone, not just people with friends in it, and because government contracts are supposed to be granted based on objective standards, in order to get the public the best value for their tax money.
People who are not crony capitalists: welfare recipients; EBT recipients; student loan recipients; student tuition grant recipients; Section 8 housing grant recipients; Social Security recipients; and unemployment insurance recipients (your brother).
The ironic thing is that this is basic investing, that businesses should be glad to be doing. I don't get why this is not done more often.
To a company, that's not investing. It's kickstarter for people... free money with no ownership stake in the outcome. It puts the company at a big disadvantage to competitors--who aren't required to participate in the investment--if the company spends its profits on people who could just go work for a competitor or not work at all.
To a nation, it's more of an investment since there's a better chance that the people will stay in the country and keep their contributions within its borders.
(I assume you are not talking about company-paid education with strings attached, since that already exists and is used in many industries.)
All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
Taxation is the only way any civilization can function. Taxation has been a feature of civilization since the beginning of civilization. Some of the earliest examples of proto-writing were basically ledgers used by early civilizations to track taxes.
Get over it. You live in the society, you get to pay a share for that society's function. Your liberty stems from the right to elect representatives to the legislative assemblies that enact taxation legislation. Your liberty does not extend to you not having a moral and lawful duty to pay taxes. Fuck off with your sociopathic selfish "I'm being robbed" crap.
The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
The US has already been giving a subset of citizens BI for years - and the result is horrific. American Indians receive basic income, free health care, free housing, and free education if they choose it - the result is the most impoverished areas in the United States.
And finally the social "safety net" becomes a hammock
I used to always be against social safety nets becoming hammocks, but I seriously don't know anymore. B/w automation and offshoring, a huge percentage of our jobs are gone, so it's not exactly an unwillingness to work that's driving unemployment numbers. Which is why a universal basic income like this Finnish experiment may not be such a bad idea. Give everybody the money they need to cover rent and food, and leave it up to them to decide whether they want to get more money to buy bigger things, such as a car, a house or whatever other toys they'd like.
On this Finnish experiment, it's not such a bad one. Yeah, there may be slackers who just wanna sit home and eat/sleep, for whom this would do wonders. And then others would join the work force, w/o feeling under threat of unemployment, so would probably perform better. One of the biggest benefits of this is that parents will be able to spend quality time w/ their kids, and maybe limit the amount of time they have on their phones or playstations. That alone would be worth all this money spent on a universal basic income
... small 3d printed basements.
Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."