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US Releases Declassified Report On Russian Hacking, Concludes That Putin 'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump (theverge.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Verge: The Office of the Director of National Intelligence has released its unclassified report on Russian hacking operations in the United States. "We assess Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered an influence campaign in 2016 aimed at the U.S. presidential election," according to the report. "Russia's goals were to undermine public faith in the U.S. democratic process, denigrate Secretary Clinton, and harm her electability and potential presidency. We further assess Putin and the Russian Government developed a clear preference for President-elect Trump." The report, titled "Assessing Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent U.S. Elections," details the successful hack of the Democratic National Committee. "The Kremlin's campaign aimed at the U.S. election featured disclosures of data obtained through Russian cyber operations; intrusions into U.S. state and local electoral boards; and overt propaganda," according to the report. The report states that Russian intelligence services made cyber-attacks against "both major U.S. political parties" to influence the 2016 election. The report also publicly names Guccifer 2.0 and DCLeaks.com, two sources of stolen information released to the public, as Russian operatives working on behalf of the country's military intelligence unit, the GRU. Officials from the organization were recently the target of U.S. sanctions. WikiLeaks is also cited as a recipient of stolen information. The report also notes that the U.S. has determined Russia "accessed elements of multiple state or local electoral boards," though no vote-tallying processes were tampered with. The FBI and CIA have "high confidence" the election tampering was ordered by Putin to help then-candidate Trump, according to the report. NSA has "moderate confidence" in the assessment. bongey writes: The declassified DNI report offers no direct evidence of Russia hacking DNC or Podesta emails. Exactly half of the report (subtract blank and TOC) 9 of 18 is just devoted to going after RT.com by claiming they have close ties to Russia and therefore a propaganda arm, trying to imply that rt.com is related to the hacking. "Many of the key judgments in this assessment rely on a body of reporting from multiple sources that are consistent with our understanding of Russian behavior. Insights into Russian efforts -- including specific cyber operations -- and Russian views of key U.S. players derive from multiple corroborating sources. Some of our judgments about Kremlin preferences and intent are drawn from the behavior of Kremlin loyal political figures, state media, and pro-Kremlin social media actors, all of whom the Kremlin either directly uses to convey messages or who are answerable to the Kremlin." UPDATE 1/6/17: President-elect Donald Trump met with U.S. intelligence officials Friday, calling the meeting "constructive" and offering praise for intel officials. "While Russia, China, other countries, outside groups and people are consistently trying to break through the cyber infrastructure of our governmental institutions, businesses and organizations including the Democrat National Committee, there was absolutely no effect on the outcome of the election, including the fact that there was no tampering whatsoever with voting machines," Trump said in a statement after the meeting.

26 of 734 comments (clear)

  1. 'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by dohzer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump? Wow, I never thought the US people and Putin could have so much in common.

    1. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      If we used the popular vote it would be called "United State" not "United States".

      You agreeed to the rules when you played the game.

    2. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by jjo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Counted one way, the US people favored Trump. Counted another way, the US people favored Clinton. Almost without exception, political observers now profess a clear preference for the vote-counting method that would have worked best for their favored candidate: Clinton supporters have discovered a new passion for using the aggregate popular vote, while Trump supporters see great virtue in the Electoral College. Politics as usual.

    3. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You mean the US electoral college and Putin, because in popular vote terms, California preferred Clinton.

      FTFY. And of course those who want citations: http://www.politico.com/2016-e....

      California chose Hillary by 3.4 million cotes. Hillary won nationwide popular vote by 2.9 million votes. The entire difference and then some is the state of California.

      Aaaaaaaand..... your point being that California is not..... a part of America?

    4. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Informative

      Read the whole document (I wish that were a requirement before any reporter could write a news story on the topic, but whatever).

      The most entertaining part to me is the part where it says, "it was revenge for the Panama papers." Heh. As if Russia had no other reason to hack US computers.

      Another interesting part is where it mentions Assange's ties to the official Russian news channel (RT). I was unaware that he sometimes appeared on TV there.

      Another interesting part is where it analyzes Russian television support for Trump as a candidate. For example, as soon as he won, they say that the Russian TV stopped criticizing the election process as "unfair." So their analysis that Russia wanted Trump to win seems reasonable.

      Their analysis of the hacking is not good though. They say:
      1) Guccifier 2.0 is the Russian government because: he is probably a Russian speaker, not Romanian speaker. That's it? Very not convincing.
      2) The leaks to Wikileaks were from the Russian government because Assange appears on the Russian news channel (RT). Again, that's it? Not very convincing.
      3) They claim "Russia accessed elements of multiple state or local electoral boards." Of this, they give no evidence. Absolutely nothing to support this claim. Seriously, tell us which electoral board, or arrest the members of the board, or something.

      Some things we do know: John Podesta had an extremely insecure password, and that's how his email leaked. We know that Assange claims the email came from a disgruntled DNC operative. That is not unreasonable, if I saw what they were doing in the DNC, I would have been upset about it too.

      Enough Americans are good people, that if you have some surveillance program, or are doing things to mess with our free election process, sooner or later someone is going to leak that.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by roninmagus · · Score: 4, Informative

      The US is a group of 50 states with completely separate governments, ideals, constitutions. My point is that the ideals and size of the state of California account for the entirety of the difference.

      My state, Tennessee, is VASTLY different than California. Everybody is using a popular vote argument like the country is united against Trump, which is not accurate.

    6. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Headline: most populous state in the country has an opinion on who should lead it.

      Clinton also won New York by 1.5 million votes. You could try to make a story of "without New York, Clinton would have only won by 1.4 million votes!", but that would also be dumb and misleading. In fact, if you skip all states where Clinton won, then Trump would have lead by 8.4 million votes! Of course, the opposite would have Clinton winning by 11.2 million, so you might want to keep that inconvenient fact in your pocket.

      America preferred Clinton. "America, except for..." doesn't matter for shit because it wasn't "America, except for..." who votes on these things.

      --
      Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    7. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm not saying Clinton didn't lose fair and square. But the GP made the claim the American people favored Trump, which is, in fact false. No one disputes that the Electors have the ultimate constitutional authority to choose the POTUS, and that constitutionally Trump is the rightful winner of the election. But whatever that may represent, what it does not represent is that Trump is the popular pick.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    8. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In several obvious ways:

      1) He brings up the popular vote, which is pretty much irrelevant within the current American electoral system (i.e., the one used for the 2016 election). It's a pointless distraction within the context of this submission's discussion.

      2) He disparages the electoral college, presumably because he disagrees with the result in this particular case. Yet the American electoral system is well-established, fair, and well-understood. He's just upset that his candidate lost, although he probably would be completely supportive of the electoral college were the outcome in his preferred candidate's favor.

      3) He suggests that Putin had an impact on the outcome of the election, when the evidence suggests there was no such impact.

      So in summary, his comment doesn't contribute to the discussion here, and in fact it appears to be trying to derail it with irrelevant points, false accusations, an undeserved sense of entitlement, and just a lot of whining in general.

      He's just upset that his candidate lost in a fair election, and now he appears to be trying to disrupt the conversation here with nonsense.

    9. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by Freischutz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Last I checked, California was still part of the United States. Unless you can cite something that proves otherwise.

      A large portion of Trump voters is of the opinion that California's votes should not count in elections. Apparently they are, however, perfectly happy to collect the money California's voters pay into the federal coffers and that gets eaten up by federal aid to red states.

    10. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by Solandri · · Score: 4, Informative
      The U.S. people didn't prefer Clinton - she only got 48% of the popular vote. A plurality, not a majority. If you break down the popular vote by political spectrum:
      • Liberal canddiates (Clinton, Sanders, Stein, Riva) got 49.24% of the vote.
      • Conservative candidates (Trump, Kasich, Johnson, McMullin, Castle) got 49.91% of the vote.
      • The remaining 0.85% was split among other candidates.

      So a more fair assessment of the popular vote tally would be that the U.S. people preferred a conservative candidate.

    11. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by cecurry · · Score: 5, Informative

      1.) The popular vote may or may not be relevant to the current American political system, but it certainly seems like an appropriate and relevant response to determine what the U.S. population's preference is, which is exactly the subject of the comment he was replying to. 2.) Your presumption about someone's intent is just that. I presume you've never studied political systems and base your opinion on your own inherent biases. The electrical system is well-established, but that means nothing, except that it's difficult to get rid of. It is well-understood, and people who understand it the most (constitutional scholars and such) say it's no longer a good idea. 3.) You suggest that Putin didn't have an impact, and that's clearly a debatable point. We simply don't know. What are almost certain of is that Putin attempted to have an impact on the election, and if a nation-state dedicated resources towards that goal then I'd certainly say it's plausible.

    12. Re:'Developed a Clear Preference' For Trump by ClickOnThis · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How is this trolling?

      Clinton didn't win even 50% of the vote. The majority of voters voted ABC - anybody but Clinton.

      You could flip that and claim that an even greater majority of voters voted ABT.

      You can nitpick that MightyMartian's post was inaccurate because a majority of US voters in fact did not prefer Clinton. But a majority did not prefer Trump either. And Clinton did get more votes than any other candidate. And that bugs the hell out of Trump, so much that he created a fiction of 'millions' of illegal aliens voting for Clinton.

      Yes, I know that it's the Electoral College that matters. That doesn't mean the popular vote is not of interest.

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  2. Wow, it's effing nothing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    TL;DR:

    - Russia wanted the candidate who didn't want to start WW3 to win
    - The wikileaks emails were all real
    - Russia didn't hack the election
    - The Russian propaganda network dispensed Russian propaganda

  3. Re:Also in the report by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    No, Assange has simply claimed it wasn't Russia (why anyone would believe Assange is beyond me, even if he was in a position to know that all the intermedaries weren't Russians). People like you keep trying to make Rich into some sort of victim of the Clinton Crime FAmily. It's a deep irony that you'll reject multiple US security services' claims that Russia was the source, but buy into a completely unevidenced and really quite idiotic conspiracy theory that Hillary Clinton had a DNC staffer murdered. And for what? So that voting for Trump doesn't make you a fucking moron? Well, too bad, you're a fucking moron.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  4. Gee, I wonder... by The+Last+Gunslinger · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Let's compare/contrast the historical veracity of information released by Assange/WikiLeaks with that of any US intelligence service, shall we?

    One has an impeccable record of authenticity, while the other is run by documented liars. In fact, both Brennan and Clapper sat before Congress and bald-faced LIED when asked about the existence and activities of the NSA's domestic spying apparatus.

    The better question would be: Why would anyone in their right mind not believe Assange over the Liar McPantsonFires in Washington DC?

  5. An Actual Sentence? by painandgreed · · Score: 4, Interesting

    "While Russia, China, other countries, outside groups and people are consistently trying to break through the cyber infrastructure of our governmental institutions, businesses and organizations including the Democrat National Committee, there was absolutely no effect on the outcome of the election, including the fact that there was no tampering whatsoever with voting machines," Trump said in a statement after the meeting.

    OMG! That seems like an actual, complete sentence with a coherent message from Trump!

  6. Hypocrisy? by Feyshtey · · Score: 4, Interesting

    How does what Russia is accused of differ from the Obama administration influencing the Israeli presidential election by giving over $300k to groups acting against Netanyahu?

    --
    "But we have to pass the bill so that you can find out what is in it,..." - Nancy Pelosi
  7. Re:A clear preference by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Would be Obama/Clinton, given the number of "red lines" enacted and withdrawn.

    Assad crossed the "red line" when Hillary was no longer SOS. So it was Obama/Kerry not Obama/Clinton. Hillary has said she would have been more aggressive in Syria.

    Personal opinion: Obama made the right choice. Bombing would have accomplished nothing. So instead we demanded that Assad destroy his entire stockpile of chemical weapons, and then we verified that he did it. That was an accomplishment.

    More personal opinion: We are backing the wrong side in Syria. Assad is preferable to the opposition in almost every way. We don't need to oppose him just because the Russians support him.

  8. NSA has moderate confidence by bongey · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The NSA said it has moderate confidence or about 50% that it was the Russians. So for nearly the same probability of flipping a coin, 35 diplomats were kicked out and 2 Russian sites that have been open since the 1970s were closed down.

    The NSA opinion holds vastly more weight related to hacking because the NSA are the hacking experts, the FBI/CIA are doing political guessing.

    The FBI changed there opinion on the CIAs information. Considering the former CIA head came out for Clinton and the current head John Brennan spoke out against Trump. Both the CIA/FBI ended with highly confident, sure not political at all, wink, wink.

    I will trust the NSA over the CIA/FBI.

  9. Re:A clear preference by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We want a decades long, bloody stalemate between Sunni/Shia. Keep them busy and out of trouble.

    Wars don't reduce trouble. They create radicalized and desperate people. Syrian refugees are destabilizing the EU, and many of the recent terrorist attacks in France, Germany, and Turkey can be traced back to Syria.

  10. Re: A clear preference by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Fuck you! I'm from the Balkans and US involvement only made things worse. Facts were turned upside down, people were killed and their rapists and torturers were praised and supported by US. You are right about Bill knowing the crime lords there, he and CIA created most of them to benefit from smuggling and other illegal activities. Do die in a ditch you piece of shit, you don't know what you are talking about!

  11. Re:A clear preference by Blaskowicz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That's fucking horrible. Perhaps thinking that makes you feel smart as if you were Sun Tzu or were playing a game of Sid Meier's Civilization, but there are actual people living there. This sounds like ramblings of a jerky hand lunatic Hitler waiting it out in the bunker.
    What would you rather like (assuming in the US) : functioning education, health, Department of Transportation, EPA etc., DoJ, Police and so on, or three decades of protestant vs catholic war? While, far from leaving the rest out of trouble, the situation spills into Canada and Mexico with even a couple bombings in Brazil, and US Jews have to flee wherever they can.

    If that was bitter sarcasm, let us know.

  12. Still waiting for evidence by WaffleMonster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So far US government has utterly failed to provide any compelling evidence to support it's assertions. Yet another worthless mostly off-topic 13 page document crying about success of foreign propaganda rather than supporting any of it's positions with evidence.

    Everyone knows what "RT" is. It's no secret to anyone who isn't living under a rock why they exist and what they do any more than it's no secret why VOA/CNN exist.

    All I've seen on CNN the past few weeks is... Wikileaks is an agent of Russia, Wikileaks stole information, Assange is wanted for rape, Assange rapes little girls and persistently pathetic stories of low morale and despair among TLAs because Trump won't listen to them.... WAHHHHHHH.

    Do I trust US intel to provide truthful and accurate "assessments" to the public? After curveball's mobile production facilities, aluminum tubes and Uranium (dramatic pause) from Africa do you really need to ask?

  13. Re:Well by tsotha · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The other consideration is Trump may have been able to win the popular vote if it mattered. The Republicans sensibly wrote off California early in the campaign, so it's hard to know things would have turned out if they'd had to compete here.

  14. Re:Who says I believe either? by WaffleMonster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Given that the Democrats are trying to start WWIII by doing everything from poking Russia with a pointy stick to rolling out tanks on their border, this is a damned good thing.

    Every time I hear "trying to start WWIII" it becomes hard not to tune out. This is such a tired old talking point devoid of any coherent information or useful context to the extent of being virtually non-falsifiable in nature.

    If a training exercise in Norway = WWWIII god can only guess what conducting the same in SK territory means with respect to DPRK, US warships "invading" Chinese territory in South China Sea, Russia annexing land in foreign countries, Russia invading Georgia, Russian invading a country they signed defense treaties with (e.g. Budapest Memorandum), planting flags in Artic and conducting joint training exercises in Cuba.

    Anyone could make reverse argument being a pussy and standing down or otherwise perusing appeasement and capitulation can also lead to war by empowering those with expansionist aims to become blind to consequences.

    None of these statements are worth anything in and of themselves. They are two sides of the same worthless coin.

    If you don't agree with a particular course of action much better simply to support your position by providing falsifiable evidence explaining specifically why a course of action is reckless or dangerous.