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An AI Is Finally Trouncing The World's Best Poker Players (cmu.edu)
Halfway through the "Brains vs. AI" poker competition, an AI named Libratus is trouncing its human opponents, who are four of the world's top professional players.
One of the pros, Jimmy Chou, said he and his colleagues initially underestimated Libratus, but have come to regard it as one tough player. "The bot gets better and better every day," Chou said. "It's like a tougher version of us"... Chou said he and the other pros have shared notes and tips each day, looking for weaknesses they can each exploit. "The first couple of days, we had high hopes," Chou said. "But every time we find a weakness, it learns from us and the weakness disappears the next day."
By Saturday, the AI had amassed a lead of $693,531 after 56,732 hands in the 120,000-hand match (which is being livestreamed by the Rivers Casino on Twitch). "I'm feeling good," said Tuomas Sandholm, the computer science professor at Carnegie Mellon who co-created the AI. "The algorithms are performing great. They're better at solving strategy ahead of time, better at driving strategy during play and better at improving strategy on the fly."
By Saturday, the AI had amassed a lead of $693,531 after 56,732 hands in the 120,000-hand match (which is being livestreamed by the Rivers Casino on Twitch). "I'm feeling good," said Tuomas Sandholm, the computer science professor at Carnegie Mellon who co-created the AI. "The algorithms are performing great. They're better at solving strategy ahead of time, better at driving strategy during play and better at improving strategy on the fly."
Cue the goal post shifting.
Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
Thank God. All the poker playing jobs are safe for now.
Unlike with games like Chess (best moves can be precisely calculated) and Backgammon (simple probabilities), Poker requires adapting to human behavior, indeed varying your play depending on what you learn about your opponent. The techniques are going to be applicable to a wide range of situations. For instance, I will go so far as to claim that we will shortly be wise to use an AI to advise us on investment decisions. (In the past, the computer has been used for speed, and reacting to subtle market signals, but not so much for long term investment planning.)
The next challenge is going to be independent learning. I believe human experts still supervise the learning process of all the best AIs. Once the need for the human adviser goes away, AIs are literally going to be everywhere. Your phone AI will recognize and react to your current mental state, as well as help you overcome everyday problems. The AI in your fridge could become a huge help in keeping you compliant with your diet plans.
Should it fold if the opponents bet outweighs the probability?
If the AI uses probabilities, it itself becomes predictable and therefore trivial to beat.
The game is setup to make you lose if you only play good hands, so there is no playing safe in poker.
Probabilities in poker are nearly meaningless if you play against even half-decent amateurs.
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Heads-up (2 player) Texas Holdem is not the most commonly played version of poker.
Most people play Texas Holdem in groups of 6 or 9 players. Working out an optimal strategy to beat multiple opponents is a LOT harder than beating a single player. We may have a dominant heads-up poker AI soon, but I would expect it to take several more years for a dominant multi-player to be created.
Uh, several more years? Allow me to quote one of the poker players:
"...every time we find a weakness, it learns from us and the weakness disappears the next day."
Let's not underestimate the power of learning at damn near an exponential rate. I expect an AI multi-player tournament next year to crush human opponents. How quickly do you think an AI supercomputer could process every single hand of play that a professional poker player has ever made in their life to analyze and exploit every weakness to be able to predict behavioral patterns with great accuracy? Lather, rinse and repeat for the top dozen poker players in the world. How to get AI to beat humans in a game of finite limits and statistical values is not exactly a mystery.
The largest mistake mankind could make is underestimating the speed at which AI will prove it can do a lot of things better, faster, and more accurately than any human could ever do. Underestimating that speed will greatly reduce our ability to properly prepare for a world of unemployable humans.
tl;dr Poker isn't dead, yet.
AI beating humans at a game is merely a beta test. The real application will feed unending greed, which will never die.
If it was real AI it would be self-aware. And the computer would be wearing mirrored sunglasses.
So, will Libratus play against DeepStack (from the University of Alberta etc.), which also claims to be able to beat professional level humans...?
DeepStack: Expert-Level Artificial Intelligence in No-Limit Poker
DeepStack becomes the first computer program to beat professional poker players in heads-up no-limit Texas hold'em
https://arxiv.org/abs/1701.017...
Playing in Casinos is more like a IQ test. Only idiots and the few exceptional bright would play a game where everything is in the houses favor and the house can change the rules as they see fit.
https://www.twitch.tv/libratus...
It's in the damn article if you read it.
I've never used an online gambling site, but doesn't the existence of this AI kill off the fairness of these sites?
If a user is running this in his or her basement, wouldn't it pay more to just babysit the AI, acting on all the human-check capchas the sites deploy, and just doing what the AI decides?
This makes online poker effectively gold farming?
Why aren't you encrypting your e-mail?
Libratus has a poker tell. His CPU fan speeds up whenever he gets a good hand.
Have gnu, will travel.
If it was real AI it would be self-aware.
No, that just not what "AI" means, any more than "sentient" means self-aware. Science Fiction keeps abusing those terms, but they have mainstream meanings. AI is clever algorithms that imitate intelligent behavior. Which means it could still be wearing mirrored sunglasses.
Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
Aaaand fail. I did write "strong/true AI" and hence you are the one that does not understand the "AI effect". Incidentally, the AI effect proves my point, because there are perfectly good terms for what often is called (non-strong/non-true) AI these days and hence there is zero need to call it AI. Pattern recognition, statistical classification, automation, etc. all far better terms than the entirely misleading unqualified "AI".
Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
An unsubstantiated claim at best. At least actual Science claims no such thing.
Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
Let's not underestimate the power of learning at damn near an exponential rate.
Except that you pulled that exponential rate out of your ass. AlphaGo which has by far the best record in self improvement, learns at a linear rate.
Bro, do you even dictionary? It does have a defined meaning and it's not machine consciousness. For fucks sake, that's science fiction and only science fiction. It's not the common meaning of the term. It's not what "AI researchers" research. It's fanwank. Get over it.
1 : a branch of computer science dealing with the simulation of intelligent behavior in computers
2 : the capability of a machine to imitate intelligent human behavior
Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
Heads-up (2 player) Texas Holdem
Came here to say this.
Also the real test is not against a 1 to 9 pro players. The real test is against a mix of really good players and a few who have no idea what they re doing.