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Is The Tech Industry Driving Families Out of San Francisco? (nytimes.com)

Why does San Francisco now have fewer children per capita than any of America's largest 100 cities? An anonymous reader writes: A move to the suburbs began in the 1970s, but "The tech boom now reinforces the notion that San Francisco is a place for the young, single and rich," according to the New York Times. "When we imagine having kids, we think of somewhere else," one software engineer tells the paper. The article describes "neighborhoods where employees of Google, Twitter and so many other technology companies live or work" where the sidewalks make it seem "as if life started at 22 and ended somewhere around 40."

Or is San Francisco just part of a larger trend? "California, which has one of the world's 10 largest economies, recently released data showing the lowest birthrate since the Great Depression. And the Los Angeles Times argues California's experience may just be following national trends. The drop "likely stems from the recession, a drop in teenage pregnancies and an increase in people attending college and taking longer to graduate, therefore putting off having children, said Walter Schwarm, a demographer at the Department of Finance."

So is this part of a larger trend -- or something unique about San Francisco? The New York Times also quotes Richard Florida, author of The Rise of the Creative Class, who believes technology workers are putting off families when they move to the Silicon Valley area because they anticipate long working hours. There's also complaints about San Francisco's public school system -- 30% of its children now attend private schools, the highest percentage of any large American city. But according to the article, Peter Thiel believes that San Francisco is just "structurally hostile to families."

15 of 386 comments (clear)

  1. Deliberately missing the forest for the trees by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They can't admit that we're in the worst economy for young people since the Depression. They can't get jobs that pay enough for food and housing, let alone a wife and kids.

    1. Re:Deliberately missing the forest for the trees by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Is the economy worse in SF than it is in NYC or Chicago?

      No. The problem is exactly the opposite. The economy is booming, driving up demand for housing, and thus prices. A couple living in SF may spend half their income to rent a studio apt. There is no way to afford a place big enough to raise a kid, especially if they want to drop down to one income. So they hop on BART and head out to the suburbs.

      The real problem is the stagnation of the housing supply. 95% of all building permits in SF were denied last year, and very few builders even bothered to apply. People that own property in the city see new construction as a threat to their sky high property values, and even renters tend to be knee-jerk anti-growth BANANAs. The people that want to live in SF but can't afford to, don't get a vote.

    2. Re:Deliberately missing the forest for the trees by ranton · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They can't admit that we're in the worst economy for young people since the Depression. They can't get jobs that pay enough for food and housing, let alone a wife and kids.

      We are talking about San Francisco, where the economy is booming. The price of housing is skyrocketing precisely because people have more money to pay for housing. The problem has nothing to do with a weak economy.

      The problem is caused by zoning. Existing property owners know new construction could lower their existing home values, so building permits are severely restricted. If they allowed more new housing to be built, along with improving public transportation to accommodate greater demand, these problems would diminish.

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      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    3. Re:Deliberately missing the forest for the trees by humptheElephant · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The middle class is being pushed out because of real estate developers taking advantage of the demand by the tech industry employees who have higher incomes. These middle class people are the writers, artists, musicians and other lower paid professions that made San Francisco such a vibrant place. The developers by up housing properties, evict the tenants and build higher priced housing that the former renters can no longer afford. It has caused a lot of resentment from these displaced people toward the tech industry. The local neighborhoods have been destroyed along with the smaller mom and pop type shops. Greed (pardon the expression) trumps the middle class. Alexandria Pelosi has made a documentary about these problems.

  2. Gay people by gatkinso · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Generally have a very low fertility rate.

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    1. Re:Gay people by mellon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You must be amazingly attractive, or else perhaps you are in the closet? I have literally never been propositioned by a gay man in all the time I've lived in and visited the Bay Area, which is closing in on thirty years. I've gotten plenty of interested looks, but never been propositioned. So I'm skeptical of this story. Sounds like what your ego wants to say happened, not what actually happened.

    2. Re:Gay people by mellon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A woman who is constantly being propositioned may well see it as normal, but she probably doesn't see it as acceptable.

  3. As a tech worker with kids... by slk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    San Francisco does a pretty good job keeping us out. Lousy schools, enough crime to be a real problem (especially since Prop 47), major homeless issues, and a terrible commute to the cites with jobs (2 hours each way = never seeing your kids).

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    1. Re:As a tech worker with kids... by CAIMLAS · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's all of that, yes. But it's also:

      * cost of living/price of housing per foot
      * food costs are insane
      * the culture is hostile to child rearing (even eg. Facebook offer bereavement leave and adoption assistance... but no on-premises childcare? That's standard for many large companies throughout the country.)
      * the tax rate is obscene
      * the tech work culture is extremely ageist, and anyone over 30 is going to encounter it
      * the SF area IT culture actively encourages career instability (which is problematic if you'd ever like to buy a house).

      You can make half as much in another locale and have twice the quality of living, if not more, in many other metro areas in the US, working in IT... if you're going to the bay area, you're likely in it to make a mark and a name, not to raise a family.

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  4. And you want more kids into STEM? by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The Rise of the Creative Class, who believes technology workers are putting off families when they move to the Silicon Valley area because they anticipate long working hours

    More like The Decline of the Creative Class, where creativity must be focused on making a buck at all costs, stifling creative exploration of alternatives, right down to individual workers. No more "let's try 3 ways to solve this problem, then take the best one" - now it's "just fix the damn thing - we'll patch it afterwards - or maybe not. The Internet generation is full of people who are willing to put up with being exploited both as workers and as users because TEH INNERTOOBS!"

    A whole industry where most of the "work" is trying to copy someone else's ideas to try to steal some of their market share is only fostering creativity in hucksterism, hype, spin, and con artistry.

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    "Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
  5. Mixing two stories by mattwarden · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This post is two stories linked together without justification. Families aren't in SF... because young people work long hours? And the public school system sucks? The public school system sucks in nearly every urban area, so pretty sure that is not it. How about SF is one of the most expensive cities for housing per sqft and land per acre? How about housing costs as a % of income leads to people sharing housing with (paying!) roommates?

    SF has geographic barriers preventing it from engaging in that evil thing called urban sprawl. And hen idiot voters and politicians overlay further anti-sprawl policies and stupid zoning decisions. Well, sprawl is a major housing price regulator. Without sprawl, your only option to address increasing demand is increasing density, and you can only squeeze more units per sq mi so much.

    Im not saying housing costs explain this phenomenon completely. But it's pretty strange that it's completely omitted!

  6. Re:My public school system is great by Snotnose · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I get so tired of this shit getting pulled out. Prop 13 was passed over 40 years ago. If the state can't figure out how to live within it's means in 40 years the problem ain't not letting it raise taxes enough to force retirees out of houses they've lived in their entire lives.

  7. Re:Nah. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Lol, just because you despise them does not mean they despise you. I have never met, nor even heard of somebody who claims to have met, a heterophobic person. And yet here you are speaking as if being gay is shorthand for "[despising] a man and woman union". I think it would be far more accurate (yet still far from true) to claim that all straight people despise man-man unions, and despise woman-woman unions unless they get to watch.

  8. Kids are expensive by bananaquackmoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Expensive areas to live in don't leave much of a budget for raising kids

  9. SF won't address the root of the problem by steveha · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If [San Francisco] allowed more new housing to be built, along with improving public transportation to accommodate greater demand, these problems would diminish.

    I believe the problem can be summed up succinctly:

    Many people in San Francisco don't want any new buildings; they say the existing buildings are part of the charm of SF and they worry about sprawl. Some of them even have the idea that building new stuff causes housing costs to go up due to "gentrification".

    Many people in San Francisco don't want the cost of housing to go up; they decry the trends where only wealthy people (many of them young technical workers at hot companies like Google) can live in SF, and they complain that the city would be more interesting with more starving artists, poets, musicians, etc. (And many hate the private bus systems offered by companies like Google.)

    Take both of the above together, and the people of San Francisco are never going to be happy. Not allowing more building capacity means prices will go up, prices going up means that artists and poets can't afford to live in the city. Protesting against the "Google Buses" does nothing to help any problems and just annoys people.

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