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Government Watchdog Says SpaceX Falcon 9s Are Prone To Cracks (engadget.com)

An anonymous reader shares an Engadget article: SpaceX's Falcon 9 rockets apparently have a serious issue that could delay the company's manned missions. According to the Wall Street Journal, the Government Accountability Office investigated both Boeing and SpaceX -- the corporations that won NASA's space taxi contracts -- and found that Falcon 9's turbine blades suffer from persistent cracks. GAO's preliminary report says these turboblades' tendency to crack is a "major threat to rocket safety," since they pump fuel into Falcon 9's rocket engines. NASA's acting administrator Robert Lightfoot told the WSJ that government officials have known about the issue for months or even years. The agency even told SpaceX that the cracks are too much risk for manned flights. A spokesperson said SpaceX has "qualified [its] engines to be robust" to cracks, but it's now "modifying the design to avoid them altogether."

139 comments

  1. Shun by Elongelist · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Shun the non-believer! Shuuuuuun, Shuuuun!

  2. Funny by Luthair · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How all the positive stories about Tesla and SpaceX make reference to Elon but all the negative stories don't even mention him in the summary and often (as in this case) in the article.

    1. Re:Funny by NIGGERpenisbestPENIS · · Score: 1, Insightful

      How all the positive stories about Tesla and SpaceX make reference to Elon but all the negative stories don't even mention him in the summary and often (as in this case) in the article.

      It could just be that you've become a cynical bastard.

      The positive stories tend to be based on press releases during which Elon is choosing to point something out. It's no big surprise he isn't running to the media to give them quotes highlighting the latest setbacks. That's more of a damage control deal, not a press release deal. All companies behave this way. It's likely all organizations behave this way.

      --
      The best is simply the best.
    2. Re:Funny by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      How all the positive stories about Tesla and SpaceX make reference to Elon but all the negative stories don't even mention him

      That is because when there is good news, Elon is front and center to deliver it himself. When there is bad news, it is buried in paragraph 3 of some PR webpage.

    3. Re:Funny by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2

      the negative stories don't even mention him

      It should - he was just tweeting recently that the block 5 Falcon was making reliability improvements (this) and that man-rated would wait for those.

      Not sure how you get more upfront in 140 characters.

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    4. Re:Funny by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Maybe because many positive things about Tesla and SpaceX are his ideas and his tweets, but many negative things are just hyperbole or standard operational issues ... like NASA saying there's a problem in an engine and SpaceX needing to fix it. Why would you need to quote Elon Musk for that? He has provided nothing to quote on.

    5. Re:Funny by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I don't see this as negative.
      They have found some cracks and are dealing with the problem.
      Anyone who expects prototypes to be born perfect is either deluded or an economist.

  3. Whaaaaaat? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Space fuckers probing ass cracks?!? Whaaaaat?

    1. Re:Whaaaaaat? by Tyrannicsupremacy · · Score: 0

      Thanks for saying so

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      http://i.cubeupload.com/T6cyLu.png
  4. This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by hkultala · · Score: 5, Informative

    Falcon 9 and the space shuttle are the only rockets whose engines have survived the launch so that they could have been inspected. And similar cracks have been found on shuttle engines too. Many other rocket engines very probbly have generated similar cracks during their burn, but those have not been inspected because the engines have gone to the bottom of the ocean.

    There have been 28 launches of falcon. During those 28 launches, 279 Merlin 1-series engines have been used, with only 1 major engine problem. And even in that case, the rocket delivered the primary payload to the desired orbit; Each falcon 9 has 10 engines and only on of those 10 engines is critical whose failure leads to mission failure.

    So, until now, the engines have had 99.64% reliability, and due the engine redundancy, only 10% of engine failures means mission failure on most launches(upper stage engine may not fail), meaning mission failure probability of 0.04% due failing engine if the engines keep working equally well in the future than they previously have been working.

    No, the this turbine thing is not a big problem. Bigger problems are elsewhere, and spaceX is improving the turbine blades. They will continue launching the version with the weak turbine blanes for some time, and it's very unlikely it will cause ANY problems at all, and then later the will release the block 5 model of the rocket with more robust turbine blades.

    It seem that the whole issue is "leaked" by some guy who is pissed to spaceX/Elon for something and the media is always eager to post this kind of "leaks" without really understanding what it is all about.

    1. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by Jzanu · · Score: 0, Troll

      You mean, the launch reliability of a rocket isn't important? Not even for the Spacecom satellite? A business model based on re-using equipment that isn't fit for reuse is a failed model relying on luck to avoid disaster.

    2. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by OldMugwump · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, he didn't say reliability was unimportant. He said this is extremely unlikely to affect reliability.

      --
      "Shoot, a fella could have a pretty good weekend in Vegas with all that stuff."
    3. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      The other engines that went to the bottom of the ocean weren't scheduled to be reused over and over again.

    4. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by Tyrannicsupremacy · · Score: 0

      All rockets have an average failure rate. If SpaceX wants to lose lots of money they'll let their rockets keep blowing up. If not, then don't worry about it.

      --
      http://i.cubeupload.com/T6cyLu.png
    5. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by zuckie13 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Plenty of other engines have been inspected on the ground after running one or more full flight cycles on engine test stands (like every engine ever used), so there is actually data on more engine types than just those two. The damage comes from the part where they run the turbines at ludicrous speed for several minutes, not the fact that they re-enter

      Standards when a human is on board are way more stringent than for cargo. They have to meet an overall 1 in 500 probability of failure during ascent, and it sounds like the blades are bad enough that that hurts them on meeting this requirement.

      That being said, there are plenty of other parts I'm worried about, like structural failures in fuel tanks (they've had two of those that have actually destroyed rockets).

    6. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "So, until now, the engines have had 99.64% reliability, and due the engine redundancy, only 10% of engine failures means mission failure on most launches(upper stage engine may not fail), meaning mission failure probability of 0.04% due failing engine if the engines keep working equally well in the future than they previously have been working."

      I think perhaps you fail to see how horrible this really is.

    7. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many times can you re-use the engines? Maybe it's best to dedicate all new engines for manned flight, and re-use THOSE for anything else if it's such a concern.

    8. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By NASA's measure of a rocket being "human capable", it's fine - they need better than 0.2% failure rate for that. Hewever, NASA clearly thinks that the 0.36% chance of one engine failing is what matters, not the 0.04% chance of the mission failing.

    9. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by catchblue22 · · Score: 2

      Yep. With non-recoverable rockets that end up on the ocean floor, we never know if the rocket engines were consistently on the edge of catastrophic failure. Without looking at the used engines, the only thing we really know about expendable rockets is that they generated nominal telemetry during operation.

      --
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    10. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by fubarrr · · Score: 2

      >Falcon 9 and the space shuttle are the only rockets whose engines have survived the launch

      Not true. 11F35's RD170s were recovered after parachute landing and are still standing at Energomash museum. First standalone Zenit launches were also all recovered. All Russian engines has to be test fired multiple times prior to launch. Yes, even beryllium/H2O2 sludge and B5H9 + ClF5 burning wunderwaffes like RD270M were test fired.

    11. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by rijrunner · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That's actually a much higher safety rating than NASA'a man rating requirement. It is also a much higher safety rating than any manned system to date.

    12. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by Rei · · Score: 1

      No, I think you do.

      1) Mission failure does not mean explosion; it means mission failure. Aka, you fail to reach the desired orbit.
      2) Explosion does not mean death; Dragon has a launch escape system, unlike the Shuttle.
      3) Even if that was "0,04% chance of death", that would be an exceedingly low rate by spaceflight standards.

      --
      Next to my desk we have an Ire Extinguisher. Our boss is really assertive, so we like the idea of having it.
    13. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Turbine blades are x-rayed and inspected between uses. Short of human error, it's impossible this will cause issue in subsequent launches.

    14. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by ljw1004 · · Score: 1

      Standards when a human is on board are way more stringent than for cargo. They have to meet an overall 1 in 500 probability of failure during ascent

      Are you sure? Ars mentions "NASA's mission requirement for a loss-of-crew probability of 1-in-270" -- presumably "mission requirement" covers ascent, orbit and descent.

      https://arstechnica.com/scienc...

    15. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would appear that is already happening, SpaceX has already set a price for second use boosters (SES is getting a discount). Its quite likely that new Falcon 9 stages will go to high priority cargo (ISS resupply, Manned launches, high end satellites, etc), second use will go to mid level cargo (satellite constellations, low end science payloads, etc) and at least for the time being third use and beyond will probably go towards low end cargo. As the reuse of first stages begins to show its reliability (hopefully) more launches will probably be put on reused stages, but for the foreseeable future high end payloads will probably always be put on new vehicles.

    16. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by naughtynaughty · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Why don't you share how horrible a 0.04% launch failure rate is.

      Let me help, that's 1 failure every 2500 launches. If there were 5 people on board and they launched 100 rockets per year that would mean an average of 1/5th of a death per year.

      And that statistic doesn't take into account the crew capsule escape mechanism.

      About 2 million people a year die in the US.

      Go see how many astronauts have died in car accidents. None in a Tesla, so far.

    17. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by zuckie13 · · Score: 2

      Two different number there. 1 in 270 for the whole mission (so ascent, on-orbit issues, and descent/landing). Ascent by itself (the only portion of flight that uses these engines) has to meet 1 in 500.

    18. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ULA is shitting their pants that SpaceX is going to eat them alive. The GAO is being used to help protect the incumbent (i.e. ULA). For shame...

    19. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry kids, but if you LOSE A BLADE you are DONE, END, FIN.
      First the blade, or part of it, breaks free, doing tens of thousands of RPM's in a dense blade assembly.
      Then centrifugal force slams it into and if you're VERY LUCKY which rarely happens, straight through the housing into free external space.
      If not, it either gets lodged in the housing, or passed around the gumball machine. All the while RIPPING it's way into all the other blades at that stage and all the way BACK, creating more chips and breaks and scarring and stress points.
      Basically, you'll be damn fucking lucky if you're entire engine core doesn't disintegrate.
      Then, once you eject all that loose debris out your ass end, and IF you're still alive and still got enough compression to run your engine, you're now plagued with GODAWFUL balance issues that rob your power even further, and start pounding on your bearings like a fucking BANSHEE raping a bonobo.
      If you don't shut it down right then, you'll cook the fucker into bearing meltdown, all the while transmitting hella vibration noise through your mounts risking their weakness, and inducing weakness in other engines and framing.

      Bottom line, rockets are not cute jetliners drifting around the clouds, they're fucking hellbeasts on a very thin leash, you DO NOT want to lose a blade.

    20. Re:This is not a serious issue. This is very minor by godefroi · · Score: 1

      Loss of a blade certainly means shutdown of the engine. This is normal, accepted, and accounted for. It has happened before on a Falcon 9 flight (shutdown of an engine, I mean, I don't know if a blade was thrown). It also happened during Apollo 13's second stage burn.

      Even if the entire rocket was lost, it STILL doesn't mean loss of life. All manned rockets I'm aware of (and I'm not a rocket scientist or even a particularly devoted follower of rocketry) have launch escape systems, and they get tested; the one for Apollo was even tested semi-unintentionally; the Little Joe II booster that was carrying the capsule for the test blew up before the test was supposed to start, and the capsule separated and survived just like it was designed to.

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  5. baloons to space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    how the Egyptians used to do it, but getting up to 17,000 mph to maintain orbit is the hard part

    1. Re:baloons to space by link-error · · Score: 2

      with a whole bunch of African Swallows?

      --
      -Unresolved symbol? Byte me!
  6. Nothing to worry about by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 4, Funny

    As Elon would say, the cracks may simply lead to Rapid Unscheduled Passenger Disembarkation.

    --
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    1. Re:Nothing to worry about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and the brown pants phenomenon.

  7. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Jzanu · · Score: 0

    He hasn't taken quality control seriously in any of his ventures, that is why they are all get-rich-quick schemes.

    Reply, don't just hide the truth of Musk avoiding responsibility.

  8. another example why manned spaceflight is bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Redesigning the entire engine to avoid any cracks, despite the cracks not posing a threat, just so we feel safer.

    Manned spaceflight results in massive overdesign, to necessarily reduce the possibility of loss of life.

    The cost of this overdesign, both in terms of dollars and in things like weight that compromise the science of the mission itself, is staggering, and does not offset any added utility of having the human aboard in the first place. Space Station? A complete waste. The whole thing should be done by robots, not humans. Sending a man to the moon or mars? A feel good venture at best.

    1. Re:another example why manned spaceflight is bad by Traf-O-Data-Hater · · Score: 1

      And without manned spaceflight how would we ever know that the eyeball changes shape, or the gut bacteria changes? Manned spaceflight is HARD. Doing it is dangerous, expensive but completely worthwhile.

  9. Re:Musk always ignores safety by rhazz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    He hasn't taken quality control seriously in any of his ventures, that is why they are all get-rich-quick schemes.

    You want to back that up with... anything?

  10. Forge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hematite angel forbearance
    three angular bottle
    freedom whisper elephant
    cellophane breathe soliloquy
    orange
    banish

    1. Re:Forge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would love to know what C&C this is for.

    2. Re:Forge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Me too, but I love the poetry.

  11. Re: Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    PayPal. Easily the most dishonest company on the internet.

  12. Rocket Science is Hard by mykepredko · · Score: 2

    I think somebody said that over the past year or so.

    While an important safety issue, it's good that it is identified and plans are in place to fix them before the Falcon is considered man-rated.

    Excelsior!

  13. Re:Musk always ignores safety by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

    they are all get-rich-quick schemes.

    1. He was already rich.
    2. If he wanted to get richER, then an aerospace company would have been about the worst possible way to do that. Historically, aerospace tends to make large fortunes into small fortunes rather than the other way around.

  14. Get Rid of Regulations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Safety regulations are onerous and expensive to comply with. Trump should just get rid of them.

  15. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Jzanu · · Score: 0, Interesting

    SpaceX is based on materials science that doesn't exist and risks payloads as long as they don't have to pay for them, all based on ignoring all contrary evidence. Read to the end of the abstract. Tesla will never be safer than regular cars, and it will never even be as safe as regular cars. It is statistically impossible.

  16. Re:Musk always ignores safety by fluffernutter · · Score: 1, Informative

    Autopilot is half baked. I don't think he's even looking into the fact that humans cannot safely 'take over' from autopilot. This from a person who is apparently so afraid of how AI will be dangerous for people, he makes no effort to make it as safe as possible in his own products.

    --
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  17. Can someone explain the turbine here? by damn_registrars · · Score: 2

    I am not a rocket scientist, and I do not play one on TV either. How does the turbine function in this rocket?

    --
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    1. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      After exhaustive research and digging,some deep soul searching, and some visits to top rocket propulsion laboratories worldwide I have concluded that the summary states "they pump fuel into Falcon 9's rocket engines".

    2. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's part of the fuel pump. Turns out, injecting a hair under 400 tonnes of liquid oxygen and RP-1 into 95 atmosphere chambers over the course of three minutes takes quite a bit of doing, and the pumps to do that are much of what makes up a liquid fuel rocket engine.

    3. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

      The rocket uses turbine pumps to push fuel and oxidizer to the engines.

    4. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by fubarrr · · Score: 1

      Gases push them and they rotate to power the kerosene pump

    5. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      95 bar??!!

    6. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      pumps fuel.

    7. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yup. 97 bar is the chamber pressure of a merlin engine. The gain from combustion is basically a volume change, not a pressure change, so you /are/ pumping that up that pressure differential - the fuel at the pump is a much smaller volume than the fuel leaving the engine, so the mechanical energy input is much lower than the mechanical output (the power is the pressure x volume flow rate, which reduces down to force x velocity, the usual units for power). It's still huge, though. Even the parts of these machines that seem like probably not such a big deal are /huge/.

    8. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yup. 97 bar is the chamber pressure of a merlin engine, and you don't have any periodic low point in a cycle to inject fuel into it; you just have to pump it in at full pressure. The volume of the fuel going in is much smaller than the products going out, though, which is why this makes any sense at all.

      But yes, almost the whole volume of that falcon 9 booster, move it all in 3 minutes, up a 97 bar pressure differential. (less some for the helium, but that's more about keeping the rocket rigid enough than about making the pump do less work.)

    9. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by mandolin · · Score: 1

      I'm not much better educated than yourself, but here's an attempt (which may be wrong):

      The higher the pressure a combustion chamber runs at, the more efficient the combustion tends to be, so your rocket goes higher for a given amount of fuel. To get enough fuel into a high pressure chamber you need a good fuel pump. To drive this fuel pump, a gas turbine is used (the resulting fuel pump is called a "turbopump").

      Inside the gas turbine, the turbine proper (the spinning fan-thingy at the back) is driven from a combustion chamber (normally different than the main chamber) that uses the same fuel/oxidizer as the main engine (though the plumbing paths/pressures are different). That turbine pressurizes the fuel for use by the main chamber. (Separate turbopumps are used to pressurize fuel and oxidizer)

      Did you have a more specific question?

    10. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by gman003 · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's a fuel pump. Unlike a reciprocating engine, where you can inject the fuel at low pressure and then compress it, a rocket engine has to inject the propellant at the same pressure it's burned at, and thermodynamics wants that pressure to be as high as possible in order to get maximum efficiency (imagine a car engine that injected fuel at the top of the cylinder stroke instead of the bottom). Combined with the sheer amount of propellant being used, that means you need an absolutely insane amount of power in your fuel and oxidizer pumps.

      So they use a turbopump. A small amount of fuel and oxidizer are tapped off and burned. The resulting hot CO2 and H2O are used to run a turbine, which drives the pump. In the Merlin engines, and in many other engines, it ends up just exhausting, generating no additional thrust. Other designs, including Raptor, find ways to re-use that exhaust to generate a bit more power.

    11. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How a rocket operates https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ln1TDuayIIA
      Another about the Saturn V https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SBmuc8kD08g

    12. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      Is the turbopump subject to combustion temperatures; as well as alarming pressures; or is it at a point in the fuel delivery system where most of the material isn't on fire yet(I assume a modest amount is being used to drive the turbopump; but that's less alarming than the conditions in the rocket engine itself)?

      I ask because, in jet engines, where the turbine blades are exposed to combustion temperatures, fabricating them is a considerable challenge because optimal operating temperatures are well above the melting point of even the comparatively exotic nickel alloys preferred for the job; and metals tend to suffer substantial reductions in their mechanical properties well below their melting points. I'm not an expert by any means; but my understanding is that the demands of even fairly prosaic civil aviation jet engines are such that very fiddly and demanding fabrication techniques, like casting with sufficient precision that the entire turbine blade is monocrystalline(because ordinary polycrystalline castings tend to fail at grain boundaries); then wire-EDM-ing cooling channels into the structure, without compromising its mechanical properties; and finishing up with an insulative ceramic coating.

      The fact that it is hard doesn't make failure acceptable if it compromises the system; but if these turbopump blades are anything like turbojet blades; I can't say I'm entirely surprised that keeping them from cracking is proving to be a serious challenge.

    13. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      In general, very general, a powerful rocket engine needs to pump large amounts of fuel and oxidizer at a very high rate. Then consider handling something like liquid oxygen is also very difficult. It's part of a system (nozzle, tank, feed lines) that operates at pressures and temperatures way beyond what's in your car. I like how you phrased the question, silly but actually quite honest. And consider searching for ***good*** info on rocket fuel pumps, lots of luck finding something worthwhile on the internet that enables you to build your own fuel pump equivalent to those for Merlin engine. There is some interesting historical mentions about struggles to achieve reliable pumps for Saturn V and Space Shuttle.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    14. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I remember reading lately that the Germans needed a really powerful and compact enough pump, as there's no way you might build a liquid fueled ballistic missile without one. They thought it would be a really hard engineering problem or one they couldn't tackle in an affordable way. Then Wernher von Braun or someone in his team found out the more powerful kinds of fire-fighting pumps were pretty close to what was needed. Indeed blasting water with enough pressure to reach the highs of a tall building has to be not very trivial.

    15. Re:Can someone explain the turbine here? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      because optimal operating temperatures are well above the melting point of even the comparatively exotic nickel alloys preferred for the job

      To get some perspective so is your lawn mower engine, but conduction through the Al-Si alloy block means that the parts don't get anywhere near the flame temperature.
      Jet turbine blades get hot but still nothing like the flame temperature so nothing like the melting point of Inconel or the more modern alloys used - but they do get hot enough that the mechanical properties are reduced, as you've pointed out with things like single crystals to reduced grain boundary contributions to creep.
      This turbine is not the same thing and has stress problem instead of heat and stress combined.

  18. Re: Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nah, I'll go with Uber for that crown, with Amazon second. PayPal is a close 3rd though.

  19. Equal scrutiny? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    SpaceX's engines still have a pretty good flight history.

    I wonder if the competitor's engines have the same level of scrutiny.

    Could be a case of X's engines are the worst around except for all the other options.

    1. Re:Equal scrutiny? by zuckie13 · · Score: 1

      Well, the RD-180 on the Atlas V (the one Boeing will use for their first flight) has been a very reliable engine.

    2. Re:Equal scrutiny? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have the RD-180's been inspected for the same issue or do they get a bye because they were not recovered?

  20. Yet that is not a problem. Just news ink... by joao.cordeiro · · Score: 2

    On all F9 history only 1 engine have failed. And that rocket has 9 engines. The other 8 compensated and the primary objective was ok.
    Also GAO does not find technical problems....
    Spacex and Nasa found it, a long time ago.
    GAO only predicts it can be a cause for delays beyond 2018.

  21. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Lumpy · · Score: 1

    He doesn't have to his alternative facts stand on their own.

    Only an enemy of the USA would question alternative facts.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  22. Apollo 13 blew up by jfdavis668 · · Score: 2

    Yet, it was man rated. So was Apollo 14-17. Apollo 1 burned up during a test. They were man rated, yet much less reliable than the Falcon 9. No rocket is perfect.

    1. Re:Apollo 13 blew up by NormalVisual · · Score: 2

      The Saturn V could also put six times the payload into LEO, and each one of its first-stage engines produced more thrust than the entire F9 first stage. Apples and oranges, and the S-V was also designed 50 years ago without the benefit of modern computers and materials science.

      --
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    2. Re:Apollo 13 blew up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apollo 1 and 13 did not have engine problems. Apollo 1 wasn't even a launch.

    3. Re:Apollo 13 blew up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, they weren't man-rated. That's a much, much newer certification.

    4. Re:Apollo 13 blew up by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

      Neither of the Falcon 9 failures were engine related, either.

    5. Re:Apollo 13 blew up by dbIII · · Score: 1

      The fire in Apollo 1 was in the capsule not any of the rocket stages.

    6. Re:Apollo 13 blew up by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      SpaceX's planned endgame will have more payload to orbit than the SaturnV (Falcon XX heavy)

      Right now there aren't such big rockets because there isn't a _need_ for them. I'd still like someone to build a Sea Dragon though.

  23. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    SpaceX is based on materials science that doesn't exist and risks payloads as long as they don't have to pay for them, all based on ignoring all contrary evidence. Read to the end of the abstract.

    That's your evidence? Posting a link to a paper regarding cracks in solid propellant rocket motors when the Falcon 9 is a solely liquid engine launch vehicle? Seems like you have yet to uncover anything approaching evidence to back your assertion.

  24. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Instead of obsessing on a word, You should try reading the paper faggot. Or at least comprehending the abstract.

  25. C'mon SpaceX by JWW · · Score: 1

    This is NASA, they're pretty anal about manned spaceflight. You damn well better engineer the turbines to get rid of the cracks.

    There is a huge potential for savings with SpaceX's model for launching and reusing rockets, but it all collapses given just a few failures.

    If they get very high reliability of their rockets, reuse will end up being a cost destroyer. If they blow some rockets up the reuse savings will disappear.

    1. Re:C'mon SpaceX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't eat up fake news so easily, this is spun BS. Be sceptical and develop a BS umbrella!

    2. Re:C'mon SpaceX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "This is NASA, they're pretty anal about manned spaceflight."

      Reallllyyyy........... Isn't this the same agency that launched Challenger despite engineers screaming at the top of their lungs about the absurdity of launching the shuttle in cold weather with its know O-ring problem? Isn't this the same agency that flew Columbia despite knowing for years that chunks of foam were coming off of the tank and smacking holes in the shuttle? Don't get me wrong NASA has done some amazing things over the years, but their attention to detail in terms of manned spaceflight safety seems to wain every few years.

    3. Re:C'mon SpaceX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      uh... space shuttle turbines had blade cracks too...

  26. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Rei · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    No, you should try comprehending the abstract. Solid and liquid rocket motors are about as different as internal combustion engines and steam engines. Pointing to some generic study about some arbitrary solid rocket propellant as if that's supposed to mean anything whatsoever concerning a rocket that does not use solid rocket propellants of any kind just makes you look you don't know anything about the topic being discussed.

    --
    Next to my desk we have an Ire Extinguisher. Our boss is really assertive, so we like the idea of having it.
  27. Re:Musk always ignores safety by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 2, Informative

    Humans may not be able to "take over" but accidents were reduced according to the NHTSA investigation. So... that would mean humans being able to take over aren't necessary.

    That being said, there are plenty of videos online of humans taking over so you're claim is patently false. Maybe they can't take over while watching Harry Potter but that's not the intended use.

  28. Re:Musk always ignores safety by artgriego · · Score: 1

    We don't have to worry about evil AI anymore. After much deliberation and analysis, Elon has arrived at the conclusion that we are almost certainly living in an advanced race's computer simulation!

  29. Article pretty light on facts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The "article" (four paragraphs?) is lacking any serious information on how "persistent" these cracks are and at what point in the flight they are believed to occur. This could simply be an issue with reuse, with the cracks occurring due to reentry stresses. Also the Falcon 9 is also DESIGNED to survive catastrophic engine failures, and has done so on at least one flight. That's not to say that this issue shouldn't be fixed, but without more information it seems a pretty big leap to say that this is a showstopper for manned flights.

    1. Re:Article pretty light on facts by zuckie13 · · Score: 2

      My understanding is that Space-X has not actually re-used any engines on a real flight to this point. They have only fired some of the returned ones on test pads. That means any cracks on a returned engine were from just one flight.

      It's good engineering design to have it be able to survive a loss of an engine.

      It's bad engineering design to have a known failure mode and not address it - especially if humans are going to be on board - even if the rocket can handle the loss.

    2. Re:Article pretty light on facts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (Same AC) I didn't mean to suggest that the cracks were occurring because of reuse, but that if they are occurring after release of the second stage during an orbital launch (temperature change cracking, aerodynamic stress, etc) they would only possibly effect the reuse of the stage not the delivery of cargo/crews. And as I noted, I definitely feel this issue needs to be addressed, but depending on when it is occurring it could have no bearing on the first use of a Falcon 9 stage.

    3. Re:Article pretty light on facts by Luthair · · Score: 1

      Its a post on a gadget blog, what do you expect real journalism?

    4. Re:Article pretty light on facts by dbIII · · Score: 1

      That is why you have prototypes such as the thing that failed.

  30. Re:Musk always ignores safety by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    I wasn't sure about the NHTSA investigation. All it seems to prove to me is that people heard about how not to use Autopilot through the first crash and were shit scared/shocked into using it more sparingly and cautiously. Somehow it got spun that Autopilot was safer but I wonder if they tracked whether people were just disengaging it more often because they were afraid. People will forget eventually until the next thing happens.

    So an online video of one person taking over means all people have the attention span to be able to do it. That's some interesting logic there.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  31. I think that is great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What America needed to go along with it's very expensive Atlas V, was a cheap, and less reliable rocket. In the 90s, someone in NASA called for cheap rockets, which would blow up 1 out of every 3 launches. SpaceX has answered the call. Sure, their failure rate is more like 1 out of every 10 launches, but that is good enough for me. When it comes to sending payload to the iss, or cheap, mass produced satellites into orbit, SpaceX is the low cost company you can pay less for.

    So yes, every corner cut, every dissatisfied employee, and every explosion, makes me glad that SpaceX, and its flimsy rockets exist. I'd never let SpaceX handle astronauts though.

    1. Re: I think that is great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As if nasa never blew anything up on the pad.

    2. Re:I think that is great by naughtynaughty · · Score: 0

      It's always a delight to see ULA shills here.

      Let us know how reliable ULA's new rocket will be, once they actually have one they can launch.

    3. Re:I think that is great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.space.com/30738-united-launch-alliance-100th-rocket-launch.html

      ULA delivers on reliability. If you have a billion dollar spy satellite, you want a reliable rocket. If you want to send cheap crap to a space station, get a cheap, unreliable rocket. America needs both kinds of rockets. I would like to see Jupiter and exoliner used instead of Dragon and Cygnus.

  32. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't think you understand the making an aerospace company could make him richer. Who else is in the space industry and can send satellites? There's only Boeing (rest are government owned).

  33. Re:Musk always ignores safety by wbr1 · · Score: 2

    A paper faggot? Interesting, normally they are made out of pre-processed wood. have any images?

    --
    Silence is a state of mime.
  34. tantamount to treason. by Thud457 · · Score: 1

    I'm sorry, did you just suggest that we build our critical Defense infrastructure on components sourced from Soviet Russia?!!
    That's insane.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    1. Re:tantamount to treason. by zuckie13 · · Score: 2

      No, I suggested that a current rocket, that is currently in use, uses a very reliable engine (and is currently routinely used to launch our critical defense infrastructure - more often that it's US made competitors right now) and will also be used to launch humans in the next couple of years.

      Please address all complaints about the current status to your congressman...

    2. Re:tantamount to treason. by tsotha · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure the engines we buy from Russia post-date the Soviet Union.

    3. Re:tantamount to treason. by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure the engines we buy from Russia post-date the Soviet Union.

      Not by much:
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RD-180
      It's a scaled down version of a Soviet Union rocket engine (RD-170).

  35. Re: This is not a serious issue. This is very mino by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The blades crack DURING the first launch.

  36. Re:Musk always ignores safety by naughtynaughty · · Score: 0

    The report says you might need to drive autonomous vehicles 100's of millions of miles to have statistically valid conclusions. You sat "it is statistically impossible". At last report Tesla's were approaching 140 million miles.

    You confuse whether you can show conclusive results due to sample size with whether something is or is not safer.

    Tesla will likely have over 1 million vehicles on the road in the next 5 years and will be generating billions of miles per year. The sample size will be large enough to come to statistically valid conclusions.

  37. Re: This is not a serious issue. This is very mino by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes. If only they did some kind of testing with those rocket engines so they could evaluate their performance before they launched them.....like maybe put them on a test stand and run them and then take them apart to see how they did.

  38. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How about his recent reliability record?

  39. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    I don't think you understand the making an aerospace company could make him richer.

    I don't think you understand that aerospace is a very, very risky way to become richer.

    If your goal is simply to become richer, being a asshole, owning a bunch of real estate and stiffing the people who work for you is a much more surefire method.

  40. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

    With regards to the cars: that's not what the link says. It says that it'll be extremely difficult to prove that they're safer, but not impossible that they are safer. Those are very different things.

    --
    Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
  41. Re:Musk always ignores safety by jdharm · · Score: 0

    Solid and liquid rocket motors are about as different as internal combustion engines and steam engines.

    I take your meaning, but you didn't go far enough. Both of those liberate the energy stored in a vaporized liquid to increase pressures in a sealed area to increase the volume of the area by pushing a reciprocating piston attached to a system of connections that output rotational mechanical motion.

    How about internal combustion and horses?

  42. Re:Musk always ignores safety by jdharm · · Score: 1

    Dang it. I can't mod a thread I comment in. Please accept my lol.

    lol

  43. Re:Musk always ignores safety by mikael · · Score: 1

    Liquid rocket engines pump the cold fuel around the engine cone to simultaneously heat the fuel up and to keep the engine cool. You can shut down a liquid fuel engine, but once you've started up a solid fuel engine, it's impossible to shut down.

    --
    Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  44. Re:Musk always ignores safety by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    Autopilot is half baked.

    The most advanced driver assist system ever released is half-baked, that government investigations have shown reduced the rate of crashes more than they caused? Thanks for the advice fluffer, your contribution was valuab.. sorry I couldn't finish that sentence.

  45. Re:Who cares? by sexconker · · Score: 1

    Sorry, this one was worn out within 24 hours of the first run.

  46. Commas, people... by tsotha · · Score: 1

    While he's looking for that paper faggot, he can help his friend Jack off his horse.

    1. Re:Commas, people... by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Just never greet your friend Jack in an airport, that can lead to uncomfortable questions.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
  47. Re: This is not a serious issue. This is very mino by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Other way around, if they want to lose tons of money they can target 100% reliability. If you want to make a lot of money, they need to find the right balance of cost versus reliability.

  48. Re:Musk always ignores safety by thegarbz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    2. If he wanted to get richER, then an aerospace company would have been about the worst possible way to do that.

    Reminds me of the Richard Branson quote:
    "If you want to be a Millionaire, start with a billion dollars and launch a new airline."

  49. Re:Musk always ignores safety by haruchai · · Score: 1

    "If he wanted to get richER, then an aerospace company would have been about the worst possible way to do that"
    And became the major backer and then the CEO of an AUTO company around the same time - another great way to turn a large fortune into a small one even if you weren't trying to make fully electric cars.

    --
    Pain is merely failure leaving the body
  50. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    God damn you austistic little fucktard, the point is the structural integrity of the motor. Re-use in launch increases damage more than simply storing them after damage.

  51. Re: This is not a serious issue. This is very mino by haruchai · · Score: 1

    Yes. If only they did some kind of testing with those rocket engines so they could evaluate their performance before they launched them.....like maybe put them on a test stand and run them and then take them apart to see how they did.

    Very worthwhile testing no doubt but still a pale substitute for actually launching & retrieving them

    --
    Pain is merely failure leaving the body
  52. On the other hand these ones don't by dbIII · · Score: 1

    The Antares uses these which were left over from the Soviet Union:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    Take a look at the section on "design" here:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

  53. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    you just need to go back to sucking musk's cock

  54. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or become President.

  55. Re:Musk always ignores safety by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 1

    Exactly. when I read the article of his own link, it was clearly mentioned: "Under even aggressive testing assumptions, *existing* fleets would take tens and sometimes hundreds of years to drive these miles"

    Maybe he didn't read the article well himself? Obviously, if one would have an 'existing fleet' of 1000 vehicles it could take tens of years, but if you have 1000000 vehicles you could have that within a couple of months.

    I find it sometimes puzzling that people want to make a point , but than don't read their own linked articles, which doesn't corroborate their claim at all if you read them comprehensively.

    --
    --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
  56. Re: This is not a serious issue. This is very mino by N3wsByt3 · · Score: 1

    In regard to cracks caused by the pressure and heat of the fuel when ignited, or of the turbineblades which pump the fuel, etc., it gives an exact representation, not a 'pale substitute'. There are some form of stresses that are less accurate when measured on ground-tests, but most of it provides excellent proof of reliability (or lack thereof) at the same level as if the rocket *were* retrieved afterwards.

    --
    --- "To pee or not to pee, that is the question." ---
  57. Agile? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    From TFA [I know, I know]:

    > Besides this particular problem, the investigators cite Falcon 9's frequent modifications for the delay.

    "But hey, this is agile development. Turbine blades are in the next sprint!"

  58. Re: Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So... autopilot is now AI?

  59. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or become President.

    And/or, whatever.

  60. Not SpaceX by Jfetjunky · · Score: 1

    Dunno why it hasn't been said, but SpaceX did not design the turbopump in their engines.

  61. Re:Musk always ignores safety by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 1

    Kick his ass while he is down. Do it again!

  62. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    faggot

  63. NASA by Agripa · · Score: 1

    There is an easy solution to this. Do what NASA did for the Shuttle engines and redefine cracks in the turbines to be a maintenance problem instead of a flight safety problem.

  64. Re:Musk always ignores safety by knorthern+knight · · Score: 1

    > Or become President.

    Or run unsuccessfully for president.

    http://business.financialpost.... Leading up to the 2000 presidential election, Al Gore filed a financial report claiming a net worth of less than $2 million. Today he's worth $200 million. Let's just say those $100,000+ speaking fees didn't hurt.

    --

    I'm not repeating myself
    I'm an X window user; I'm an ex-Windows user
  65. Re:Musk always ignores safety by rhazz · · Score: 1

    That adds no more clarity than the original post...

  66. Re:Musk always ignores safety by Coren22 · · Score: 1

    I'm still waiting for him to announce that he is Iron Man...

    --
    APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?