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China Is Now the World's Largest Solar Power Producer (digitaltrends.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Digital Trends: Not only is it the world's most populous country, it's now also the world's biggest producer of solar energy. On Saturday, the National Energy Administration (NEA) noted that the nation officially claimed the title after doubling its installed photovoltaic (PV) capacity last year. By the end of 2016, China's capacity hit 77.42 gigawatts, and while this is great in terms of raw numbers, it's a lot less impressive relative to the country's massive population. As it stands, solar energy represents only one percent of the country's energy output. But this may soon change as China devotes more and more of its attention towards clean energy. The NEA says that China will seek to add more than 110 gigawatts within the next three years, which could help the nation up the proportion of its renewable energy use to 20 percent by 2030. Today, it stands at 11 percent.

131 comments

  1. also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by iggymanz · · Score: 0

    China produces a quarter of the world's carbon pollution. their solar use doesn't really matter yet.

    1. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Face it, China is taking charge. Ain't nobody gonna catch them, the EU and US are falling apart.

    2. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      China certainly gives a fuck about itself, and it's moving as fast as it economy can manage towards more sustainable energy production and reducing pollution. I realize it is popular nowadays to blame China for all the woes of the world, particularly in Trumpmerica, but the reality is that the US's navel gazing is going to mean China begins to take the bull by the horns. In the greatest of ironies, it is China who is claiming it will promote free trade.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Honest question: is that figure total emissions or emissions per person?

      If they are the largest in total but not the largest per person then it seems to me that they are doing rather well, though obviously we all need to do better.

    4. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2

      China has higher emissions per capita than India per GDP. If they continue to leapfrog to clean energy rapidly, they may be able to keep it under control.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    5. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by OrangeTide · · Score: 5, Insightful

      At least China does long term planning, we throw away all our work every election cycle when chickenshit voters elect anti-science idiots full of fake promises.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    6. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Stand up to China, and let Putin take big bites out of the EU. Smart.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    7. Re: also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not "chickenshit voters" voters hanging on economically by their finger tips who finally got their problems addressed by the establishment

    8. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean like the fake promise of hope and change?

    9. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Noble713 · · Score: 1

      Russia: 144 million people, GDP PPP of $3.68 trillion

      Germany+UK+France+Poland+Sweden(basically the biggest/best military-industrial complexes in Europe): 257 million people, $10.66 trillion

      If the Europeans can't get their shit together and protect themselves when the balance of security resources is stacked so heavily in their favor...perhaps they DESERVE to have the Russians take chunks out of their ass? Also, if you are so concerned about Europe's security....are you volunteering to be on the receiving end of Russian thermobaric warheads for Europe's sake?

    10. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At least China does long term planning, we throw away all our work every election cycle when chickenshit voters elect anti-science idiots full of fake promises.

      Well, so far he seems to be pulling through on many of those promises, so fake isn't the word I'd use to describe him though there are plenty of others that fit.

    11. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Gussington · · Score: 1

      If the Europeans can't get their shit together and protect themselves when the balance of security resources is stacked so heavily in their favor..

      I think having an aggressive superpower a few hours drive away is less of an advantage that two large oceans on your borders. Americans seem to take that tactical advantage for granted, but if you behaved that same way while geographically located in Europe you would all be dead by now.

    12. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Since I live in Stockholm most of the time... I'll give you three guesses, smart guy.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    13. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Poland?! What are you smoking?

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    14. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by William+Baric · · Score: 1

      China is promoting free trade only because they are a lot more competitive than Western countries, who are now destroying themselves because of "moral values". Western countries have only two choices, either they create a protected market, or they abandon our modern moral values and go back to what Western societies were 60 years ago.

    15. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      Making America Great isn't a fake promise?

      Please don't pour any of your left over kool-aid down the sink, that would be an environmental disaster, not that the EPA can help us anymore.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    16. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Noble713 · · Score: 1

      Ahhh, so your desire for US involvement in European security is purely self-interest. That's understandable. Much more so than US chickenhawks writing checks with their mouths that they expect *my* ass to cash. But as much as I like Paradox Studios, Koenigsegg, Gothenburg melodeath, and Saab jets, I'm not coming to Sweden's aid until you guys up your defense spending past 2% GDP (currently 1.24%).

    17. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Noble713 · · Score: 1

      Poland has 3 heavy divisions with 10 brigades. At this point they've probably got the most robust heavy armor force in Central Europe. The quality and readiness of their domestic defense industry is improving, and they share a border with the Russian Kaliningrad enclave as well as Russia's puppet Belarus so they more or less anchor the center of Europe's defense against Russian aggression.

    18. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Noble713 · · Score: 1

      I absolutely understand the strategic advantages of the US's geographical position. It's why I'm a firm believer in maintaining an overwhelming Navy-Marine Corps Team but a rather atrophied Army. Our geography means we are almost always conducting Expeditionary Operations. Continental Europe doesn't have that luxury. I'm not sure how you conclude that we "would all be dead by now" though.....considering that despite our ocean border advantage we STILL maintain an Army large enough to deter even a direct invasion by Russia ...if they could ever actually reach us.

      Now compare the defense approach of another country that stands at risk of invasion: South Korea. The Koreans spend 2.6% GDP on defense and field one of the largest and most capable militaries in Asia. The Europeans instead decided to cut their militaries to the bone and then just *assume* that they could beg the US to bail them out in dark times. EU Battlegroups were a step in the right direction for combined European command & control of maneuver forces so that the sum is greater than its national parts. But this obviously hasn't been a priority focus for the people of Europe......until panic set in about Russia over the past few years. But militaries can't be torn down and rebuilt in the blink of an eye. They require a good 10-20 years of hard work and generous funding to ensure sufficient institutional knowledge from top to bottom.

    19. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Sweden's not a member of NATO. And I don't suggest anywhere that it should be.

      As a US citizen, I think it's very much in America's interest not to allow Putin to dominate Europe. Why do you want so much for him to do so?

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    20. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Noble713 · · Score: 1

      I like for people to take care of themselves. I don't believe in subsidizing weakness. I also want the US to get out of the "world police" business and focus its spending on domestic economic development. Compare US spending on JDAM Kits to our spending on the National Ignition Facility(just as one example). As I pointed out, there is no reason, from an economic perspective, for Europe to end up dominated by Russia, because they possess the manpower and resources necessary to field a sufficiently capable deterrent. Europe's failure to protect itself should not translate into a security liability for the US.

      Can you provide an itemized list of exactly which "American interests" are advanced by our involvement in Europe outside of "providing an export market to prop up our insanely huge military-industrial complex"? Do we have any examples of countries in the Russian orbit that have deliberately restricted access to other US exports?

      This is all Woodrow Wilson's fault for violating the Monroe Doctrine and sticking our nose in Europe's internecine conflicts a century ago. Oh, and Brzezinski's too. Just read "The Great Game". Every megalomaniac in the US Deep State desires to dominate the Eurasian landmass by breaking up or otherwise weakening the continent's Great Powers. The deeper you dig into truthful answers to questions of "why does the US do that?", the more you find the reasons to be some combination of "megalomania + Petrodollar greed + The Great Game".

    21. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Gussington · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure how you conclude that we "would all be dead by now" though.....considering that despite our ocean border advantage we STILL maintain an Army large enough to deter even a direct invasion by Russia ...if they could ever actually reach us.

      America might have the best hardware, but strategy wins wars, not just raw manpower. And the US has a long track record of failure in this space.
      Not that we'll eve know, but given a Division of US vs a Division or Russian soldiers on the same field, my bet would be on the Russians.

      The Europeans instead decided to cut their militaries to the bone and then just *assume* that they could beg the US to bail them out in dark times.

      Not sure what you're on about here so you may need to provide some references. European military expenditure is still in the normal range, just not in the crazy range like the US and Russia. This is why NATO is a good thing. 30 countries combined can spend less each on bombs and tanks (and more on schools and hospitals), yet achieve a better net result than each doing their own thing. Donald Trump is about to learn this the hard way.

    22. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Noble713 · · Score: 1

      Not that we'll eve know, but given a Division of US vs a Division or Russian soldiers on the same field, my bet would be on the Russians.

      Generals McMaster and MacGregor have said as much, as well. The US brigades and divisions are too light on artillery IMO. Here's a good briefing on the subject: http://douglasmacgregor.com/RS...
      But the Army never fights alone. The US relies very heavily on air power to shape the battlespace, and the argument of Russian air defenses vs USAF SEAD/PGMs is a very complex discussion.

      Not sure what you're on about here so you may need to provide some references.European military expenditure is still in the normal range

      France, the UK, and Poland are spending 2% GDP. China, Australia, India = 1.9%. The global share of GDP is 2.3%. Most of Europe is closer to 1% (Germany 1.2%, Italy 1.3%, Spain 0.6%). https://www.sipri.org/database... http://books.sipri.org/files/F...
      And it's hard to argue that the cost savings is materializing as any sort of persistent military efficiency, given that Europe has prosecuted two air campaigns in the past 10 years where they've had to borrow/buy munitions from the US in short order. http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.c... https://www.washingtonpost.com...

      International R&D/procurement programs such as the Eurofighter Typhoon and A400M probably do yield cross-national economies of scale, but without a VERY robust commitment to command & control / administration / logistics / training & readiness, you can't run a multi-national combat force with any degree of integration and proficiency. http://www.military.com/daily-...
      "The expert group comprising six defense officials, including former NATO chief Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, warned of "chronic underfunding" and "critical deficiencies" of the Alliance's member states, according to the report, as quoted by the Financial Times newspaper. The NATO report revealed that only 10 of 31 German Tiger helicopters and some three quarters of 406 Marder armored infantry vehicles were usable."
      https://sputniknews.com/world/...

    23. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      So in other words, you'd rather just hand the EU over to Putin. Thanks for playing.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    24. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Noble713 · · Score: 1

      So in other words, you'd rather just hand the EU over to Putin.

      Point 1. Motive.
      Your fear-mongering is so hyperbolic it's hard to take you seriously. The Russians, and Putin in particular, are pretty damn pragmatic. Russia has enough budget problems sustaining not-so-covert combat operations in Ukraine and very overt operations in Syria. Can the Russian government AFFORD to invade the EU? What would the cost-benefit analysis for that be? What is the end state? Russia's primary concern for the past decade has been US ABM sites in their near abroad. The ABMs themselves came after the US unilaterally withdrew from the ABM treaty. These concerns have fallen on deaf ears in Washington:
      2016: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/...
      2008: https://sputniknews.com/russia...
      2001: http://www.nytimes.com/2001/12...

      In the absence of US missiles destabilizing the balance of Mutually Assured Destruction, Russia's force structure was primarily aligned for counter-insurgency in the Caucasus, not conquest of Europe. http://turcopolier.typepad.com... And given that Russia has fought 2 devastating wars against military alliances attacking from the West in the past 100 years, are you really surprised that they are unwilling to give the US & NATO the benefit of the doubt?

      Point 2. Logistics
      Have you looked at a map lately? Kaliningrad to Warsaw: 275km. Kaliningrad to Vilnius: 300km St. Petersburg to Helsinki: ~350km
      Even the US military, probably the king of expeditionary logistics, strains to support a 300-400km mechanized blitz with a 3-6 month buildup.
      The Russians hit Tskhinvali pretty quickly but that's barely 140km from Nalchik. They have not demonstrated the ability to sustain a brigade or larger element at the distances required, let alone multiple axes of advance against national capitals in a short timeframe (such as all 3 of the Baltic States).

      Finally....you have yet to spell out exactly why I should get my legs blown off so the (numerous, tall, and well-fed) sons of Europe can sleep peaceably in their beds. How is the "EU handed over to Putin" undermining my quality of life as an American expat in Asia? Can you even begin to actually articulate that, in real terms? Or are you only capable of posting one-liners of empty rhetoric?

    25. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While the donald seems to be a disaster with regards to environmental issues
      He sure as hell is going all out in _trying_ to fulfill his election promises... wether he can pull it of is a a different issue.

    26. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      I get it, you are a polack swelling from nationalistic pride. Because what Poland has is a bunch of old German tanks that Germany gave them for free because it was cheaper than dismantling and a bunch of slightly modified T-72M (where the "m" stands for "monkey model"). Nobody takes them seriously because basically the only reason polacks can afford playing soldiers is that they are the largest receiver of the EU subsidies. Without them Poland would have no army to speak of.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    27. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by Noble713 · · Score: 1

      I get it, you are a polack swelling from nationalistic pride.

      Not even close. I'm an American military officer in Asia, and definitely not of Polish descent. Not even Caucasian. You should probably read some relevant sources to plug the glaring holes in your knowledge base. The Military Balance 2016 is a good start, you can find a PDF if you search in the right places. Here's a quote:

      Since its accession to NATO in 1999, Poland has grown into a significant European military power. This is primarily the result of the transformation of its armed forces and their participation in expeditionary operations, including in Iraq and Afghanistan. On the eve of the Ukraine conflict in 2014, Poland unveiled its largest ever defence-procurement programme and reconfigured its military-command structure.[pg.66]

      Failing that, look here: https://southfront.org/polands...

      Yes, Poland's tanks are old. But they have a significant quantity of them and are spending money to keep the best ones in operational shape. Even old MBTs are a force multiplier, especially if employed in a combined arms force with decent training.

      If you have some other country you'd like to nominate for the short list of "potential major contributors in a high-intensity war against Russia" instead of Poland, please feel free to post them. Don't forget to cite some sources to back up your assertions.

    28. Re:also the biggest carbon emitter - yay! by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      You mean like nuclear and building huge coal power plants for their foreign manufacturing. Yes, they're doing that.

  2. China is the World's Largest by turkeydance · · Score: 1

    fill in the blank

    1. Re:China is the World's Largest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Consumer of opium?

    2. Re:China is the World's Largest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China Is the World's Largest [fill in the blank]

      Solar Power Producer?

    3. Re:China is the World's Largest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      exporter of shit that ends up in a landfill.

    4. Re:China is the World's Largest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... in united states

      wonder if its better to produce shit or to eat it all up.

    5. Re: China is the World's Largest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Verbal Punching Bag for Americans

    6. Re: China is the World's Largest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Country

    7. Re:China is the World's Largest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Producer of gorgeous Chinese women!

      (I've had one for about 10 years now, and am quite satisfied with her.)

    8. Re:China is the World's Largest by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      thats you fault if you keep buying the shit and creating a market for it, you want it and they'll make it

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    9. Re:China is the World's Largest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Producer of gorgeous Chinese women!

      (I've had one for about 10 years now, and am quite satisfied with her.)

      Who has *she* been satisfying herself with for the past decade?

    10. Re:China is the World's Largest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My big ten-inch record of her favourite blues, lamer.

  3. Production... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Solid bet that within 2yrs, over 50% of their panels will require replacement; sure it's a ton of energy production, but dear god I'd bet my left nut on how piss poor terrible cheap & nasty manufactured the panels are...
    To people that DONT have solar yet, your #1 PRIORITY and concern, should be made in America solar panels. Ask multiple times, ask about everything mentioned that is actually being sold to you. Don't get screwed buying chinese crap.

    1. Re:Production... by MightyMartian · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I love it when trolls just invent claims that they can provide no evidence for. I'm assuming it's done because they know they have no real response, but attacking any jurisdiction moving towards renewables is necessary to keep investment in oil and gas up.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Production... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can't deny that there is a lot of junk manufactured in China (and elsewhere). That said, I'm sure most of that junk would still be pretty crappy if it were Made in USA, but I suspect it wouldn't be quite so bad. You would at least get what you'd paid for (see product teardowns by AvE, EEVBlog, or bigclivedotcom). This video from the ADVChina channel opened my eyes a bit: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o9eXi3RL8q4. It's more of a cultural problem; they just don't care about quality and maintenance as much as Americans or others. There's another ADVChina video where they talk about buying a Chinese-made car and getting the option of having it rebadged as another brand (like Toyota or Honda) because even the Chinese don't want to be seen in a Chinese car since they're so unreliable. There isn't the same pride as Americans have driving a Ford or Chevy.

      More on topic - sure China still produces a lot of carbon emissions, but they also produce a lot of the stuff that we buy. If that stuff wasn't made in China, it could be made in USA, but we'd have to take the pollution along with it. I'm all for buying more Made in USA stuff because it's generally better made and supports American workers, but I try not to fool myself into thinking that there aren't any downsides.

    3. Re:Production... by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Maybe you should stop confusing YouTube with reality and visit China instead. I see lots of Chinese-made cars in the streets here.

      Had one nearly back over me last night when I was out walking and took a short-cut across a dark car park. ;-)

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    4. Re:Production... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Touche :-) Yes I probably should visit in person rather than make up my mind based on one video, but it's unlikely that I'll be going there anytime soon and this was the next best thing. As well, the two ADVChina guys at least seem sincere, so there's that. It wasn't just a slideshow with Dr. Sbaitso doing the voiceover. Yes, they could just be part of the Matrix that is laid before me, but I have to take what I can get. I would also be better to visit all of North Africa before forming an opinion on events there over the past two decades, but for now I'll take reports and videos from different sources and make something with that.

      After watching that ADVChina video about China falling apart, I watched some Chery crash tests and was impressed. They're better than I expected. I also have some Chinese-made stuff that I'll admit probably wouldn't be much better if Made in USA, so stuff improves over time, but it's hard to shake the idea that Made in USA means quality.

    5. Re:Production... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These aren't "claims", they're FACTS.

      Everything is facts now. This is just one of the many alternative facts.

    6. Re:Production... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's true. There's a lot of junk manufactured in China. Much of it for non-Chinese companies.

      China can also manufacture good-quality stuff. When people are willing to pay for it.

      Stop shopping at Wal-Mart, and see if the quality of Chinese-made stuff doesn't magically go up.

  4. Am I lost??? by MerlynEmrys67 · · Score: 1
    From the summary

    As it stands, solar energy represents only one percent of the country's energy output

    and

    Today, it stands at 11 percent

    Am I missing something here? How is it that it Is it simply Solar in the first one, and all renewable energy in the second? Still seems strange

    --
    I have mod points and I am not afraid to use them
    1. Re:Am I lost??? by shanen · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, you are missing something. Solar energy is NOT the only form of renewable energy.

      Old version is hydroelectricity.

      New versions include solar, but wind power is probably larger. I'd need to check the stats. (Then again, wind power is also an old technology. It's just the electric part that is newish.)

      If you really have mod points and use them so aggressively, then it explains quite a bit about the state of moderation on Slashdot. Can't recall the last time I had a mod point to bestow.

      --
      Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
    2. Re:Am I lost??? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Well, wind is solar power in disguise.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    3. Re:Am I lost??? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      So is hydro.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    4. Re:Am I lost??? by jabuzz · · Score: 1

      Nope using wind for electricity is decidedly old hat. The RRS Discovery as captained by Scott had a wind turbine to generate electricity for lighting as far back as 1901. The turbine can be clearly seen on the bow of the ship.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    5. Re:Am I lost??? by shanen · · Score: 2

      And so are coal and petroleum.

      (I'm reading your "hydro" as "hydroelectric" rather than "hydrocarbons".)

      (And I still think the moderation system is badly broken to the point of meaninglessness. My comment certainly wasn't intended as "funny", but I might be missing the joke again.)

      --
      Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
    6. Re:Am I lost??? by shanen · · Score: 1

      I feel like I have to clarify that your example (though interesting) seems to fit within my definition of "newish". For "oldish" I was thinking of windmills used for grinding grain and pumping water. However, on second thought you are probably right unless I try to retroactively restrict it to reasonably large-scale production of electricity. Doesn't seem fair even if I was thinking along those lines at the time...

      Anyway, I am pretty certain that we had hydroelectric power plants not long after generators were developed... Just don't have time to research the issue right now.

      --
      Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
    7. Re:Am I lost??? by jandersen · · Score: 1

      Am I missing something here?

      Well, you see, that is how fast things are moving - in the time it took you to get from the sentence with the 1% to the one with 11%, things have expanded a lot.

    8. Re:Am I lost??? by Sique · · Score: 1

      But even generators are late to the game. Charles Wheatstone and Werner Siemens presented the dynamoelectrical principle in 1867, and only then electric generators were ready for generating electric power in an industrial setting.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    9. Re:Am I lost??? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      My comment certainly wasn't intended as "funny", but I might be missing the joke again.

      Don't beat yourself up, there's a lot of it about. Yuuuge amounts - believe me, folks.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    10. Re:Am I lost??? by Zarquon · · Score: 1

      So is nuclear fission... just on vastly different time scales.

      -Bob

      --
      "'Tis great confidence in a friend to tell him your faults, greater to tell him his." --Poor Richard's Almanac
    11. Re:Am I lost??? by shanen · · Score: 1

      Think I mostly agree with you, though there are always some nits that could be picked. However, right now I am in the process of putting my Slashdot affairs in order for another hiatus, perhaps permanent, so this is basically a boilerplate response drafted for the pending replies.

      --
      Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
    12. Re:Am I lost??? by shanen · · Score: 1

      Think I mostly agree with you, though there might be some nits that could be picked. However, right now I am in the process of putting my Slashdot affairs in order for another hiatus, perhaps permanent, so this is basically a boilerplate response drafted for the pending replies.

      --
      Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
  5. Re:Wow! by DeathElk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    At least they're working toward solving the problem, unlike Australia and USA, who would rather bury their head in the sand, deny there is a problem or spread FUD on renewables.

  6. Re:Because they invest in tech by aXis100 · · Score: 1

    Australia refuses to invest in solar and instead wants to build more "clean coal" plants, at nearly double the all-in cost of renewables. Their lobbyist must give great headjobs.

    No wonder Australia is falling behind too.

  7. Solar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What do you do at night when a large percentage of your installed capacity is solar? Actually, solar works only about 5 or 6 hours per day.

    1. Re:Solar by MightyMartian · · Score: 0

      Well, gawly, Andy, I guess you just have to use some sort of a storage system, like a solar-power pump water dam.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Solar by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      www.dictionary.com - look up "battery"

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  8. Re: Wow! by ralphsiegler · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No, this is a gnat fart's less in hurricane of China's carbon emissions, I'm always amused China's foreign coal ramp up that is in progress to support their manufacturing plants in other countries is also conventiently ignored

  9. Thank the Donald... by John+Allsup · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Trump, by by cozying up to Big Coal and Big Oil, has thrown China a glaring opportunity to get well ahead in the race to a post-fossil-fuel-future.

    --
    John_Chalisque
    1. Re:Thank the Donald... by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      And that's not the only race. I've already posted the link twice, but if you're interested, go check out the recent analysis by Carrie Grace on the BBC News site, it's not hard to find.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  10. Also the world's most effective government? by shanen · · Score: 3, Funny

    Those shallow little potshots... Why bother? You need to confirm your prejudices and hatreds? You think it makes your beliefs stronger because you get to read them again?

    "Reality? Bah! What a concept!"

    At least that seems to be the new motto of #PresdientTweety's administration, and if so, it goes far towards explaining why they [mostly Bannon and his cronies] seem to be imitating so many of China's authoritarian government techniques and even policies.

    Of course the reality is rather more complicated. Perhaps the deepest underlying reality is that petrochemicals are limited, and the Chinese government is only being realistic in moving away from oil and they can't help being authoritarian in how they are doing it. When your only hammer is "authoritarianism", then everything looks like a nail, eh? The coal reserves are much larger, but still limited and the externalities are much larger, again making it realistic to move away from coal and once again the Chinese government can't help but do things in an authoritarian way. Yes, climate change is a real concern, but I think the Chinese government doesn't really care that much. They just want results and if "climate change" helps ratchet up the pressure for the results they want, then that's okay.

    Even if they are successful, to my mind that does not justify remaking America in China's authoritarian image. However, from the Chinese perspective things look quite different. Only when there is a strong authoritarian government (with the "mandate of heaven") does anything get done, and the alternatives are chaos and anarchy and even civil war. You know how it is, but even China has a few bad centuries now and then. From their long-term perspective, the normal situation is a strong dictatorship (normally emperors, but now communists) and under that "normal" dictatorship China is "normally" the most civilized and most advanced and most peaceful civilization in the world.

    Or else. Troublemakers will be disposed of. Drop that mandate on 'em. Hard.

    In this particular case, they are actually right to be pushing for renewable energy as fast as they can.

    And if they were wrong? Well, that's the problem with dictators. "Wrong" is not in their dictionary. At least not as regards themselves.

    P.S. I'm still expecting the Chinese to invade North Korea and Taiwan this spring. Opportunity beckons, this offer expires soon, and so they are going to make the Donald an offer he can't refuse... The Art of War versus The Art of the Deal .

    --
    Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
    1. Re:Also the world's most effective government? by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      I'm still expecting the Chinese to invade North Korea and Taiwan this spring. ...

      Right, I remember you saying so in a recent post. "I find your ideas intriguing and would like to subscribe to your newsletter."

      Joking aside... That would certainly qualify as killing two birds with one stone. Anything specific that you can point me to that backs this up? Or is this more a gut-instinct sort of thing on your part? I'm genuinely interested. Cheers.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    2. Re:Also the world's most effective government? by Is+Don+the+new+Ron · · Score: 1

      Calling China a dictatorship is stretching the modern definition a bit. Perhaps you mean something like the original Roman imperial "dictators"? The present leaders of China have term limits, unless the guy currently in charge decides to mount a civilian coup and appoint him Great Leader for life. China is properly an oligarchy, with a largely rubber stamp parliament, and a collective leadership at the top consisting of maybe a dozen or so standing committee members that must approve major decisions. That's why you can't get Trump-style policy reversals or Putinesque military adventurism in China, and why radical reform is difficult, even if the nominal head of the government wants it. The one China policy and China's provocative moves in the South China sea reflect this collective decision making. To retreat from these accepted, already approved national policies would be political suicide.

      --
      Deja vu: In the 80s we had a 70ish actor as POTUS, a woman PM in the UK, and a bald leader of that other nuke superpower
    3. Re:Also the world's most effective government? by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Yeah, you'd almost think that they learnt a thing or two from the events of the Cultural Revolution, hey.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    4. Re:Also the world's most effective government? by dj245 · · Score: 1

      P.S. I'm still expecting the Chinese to invade North Korea and Taiwan this spring. Opportunity beckons, this offer expires soon, and so they are going to make the Donald an offer he can't refuse... The Art of War versus The Art of the Deal .

      This wouldn't make much sense. North Korea certainly causes China no end of headaches, but if China invaded them, it would ratchet up tensions in the DMZ even higher, they would gain a major humanitarian problem, and not much else. North Korea makes a great buffer zone between China and western-style democracy. It is in everyone's best interest that the current borders remain as-is.

      The only issue is whether North Korea should be recognized as a nuclear power or not, and the related question of whether sanctions should continue. If they are recognized as a nuclear power (which they arguably are), sanctions to prevent that from occurring don't make sense on that argument. However, there is the greater goal of keeping the country in squalor so that neither China nor the West wants to take it over. If either side were to take over North Korea, we would be looking at a possible resumption of the Korean war.

      --
      Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
    5. Re:Also the world's most effective government? by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      North Korea certainly causes China no end of headaches, but if China invaded them, it would ratchet up tensions in the DMZ even higher,

      I'm not sure that's a given. If anything, it might be considered a relief from the North's chronic sabre-rattling capriciousness.

      they would gain a major humanitarian problem, and not much else.

      *That* is very likely the single greatest reason Beijing continues to prop up Pyongyang. The Chinese government values stability over just about all else, and millions of starving refugees trying to swarm across the Yalu following a collapse of the DPRK could put a big crimp in that.

      North Korea makes a great buffer zone between China and western-style democracy. It is in everyone's best interest that the current borders remain as-is.
       

      I think you're trying to put an ideological spin on this that the Chinese very likely aren't.

      The only issue is whether North Korea should be recognized as a nuclear power or not, and the related question of whether sanctions should continue. If they are recognized as a nuclear power (which they arguably are), sanctions to prevent that from occurring don't make sense on that argument. However, there is the greater goal of keeping the country in squalor so that neither China nor the West wants to take it over.

      That's not a very laudable goal. The folks in charge in Beijing are not democrats in the Western sense, but they certainly recognise that large, unhappy populations within or even adjacent to their borders are not very conducive to stability. Rather than as an "invasion", they could frame it as a necessary intervention. And come out of it looking like heroes for enhancing regional peace, stability, and even humanitarianism! How about them apples?

      If either side were to take over North Korea, we would be looking at a possible resumption of the Korean war.

      You might be surprised at what China might be willing to put up with in exchange for not having to worry about a mass migration of the destitute or about the North provoking a nuclear conflict on its borders. They might actually find appealing the notion of a unified (or at least federated), neutral, non-nuclear Korea that's preoccupied for at least a generation with rebuilding the former North. And I'm not the first one to suggest such a thing by a long shot.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    6. Re:Also the world's most effective government? by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      There is nothing shallow about understanding the relative magnitude of numbers.

      Oh, and half my family is Chinese but they left that shithole for better places including the USA. Best thing that ever happened they'll tell you.

    7. Re:Also the world's most effective government? by shanen · · Score: 1

      Interesting discussion. Clarification: I think China would NOT stay in North Korea, but only conquer it long enough to remove the nuclear stuff and the main troublemakers. This discussion caused me to speculate if they might build a wall on the border as they leave. I'd like to say more, but...

      Right now I am in the process of putting my Slashdot affairs in order for another hiatus, perhaps permanent, so this is basically a boilerplate response drafted for the pending replies.

      --
      Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
    8. Re:Also the world's most effective government? by shanen · · Score: 1

      Can't even figure out if I agree with you. I'd ask you to clarify what you mean, but right now I am in the process of putting my Slashdot affairs in order for another hiatus, perhaps permanent, so this is basically a boilerplate response drafted for the pending replies.

      --
      Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
  11. Re:Wow! (pollution) by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 3, Informative

    Technically, China is converting more than 80 percent of all coal plants to modern (as in 1980s) tech clean scrubber cogeneration coal plants. This allows them to double output from the coal plants, but use only as much coal as they were using in 2010, and reduce emissions 80 percent by 2020.

    So, while they are investing quite a bit in solar and wind power, it will take a few years until they clean up their act.

    Remember what Detroit and LA and NYC used to look like, covered in brown choking haze? That's where they are.

    The main problem they have is continued conversion of bicycle and transit commuting to cars, even if some are plug-in electrics (average cost in China for a plug-in electric car is $6000 USD and around $8000 UDS for a plug-in SUV).

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  12. Very misleading summary by tomhath · · Score: 4, Insightful

    By the end of 2016, China's capacity hit 77.42 gigawatts,... As it stands, solar energy represents only one percent of the country's energy output...The NEA says that China will seek to add more than 110 gigawatts within the next three years, which could help the nation up the proportion of its renewable energy use to 20 percent by 2030

    Adding the 110 gigawatts of "capacity" is a drop in the bucket. Capacity doesn't mean much actual power generated when it comes to solar.

    1. Re:Very misleading summary by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Adding the 110 gigawatts of "capacity" is a drop in the bucket. Capacity doesn't mean much actual power generated when it comes to solar.

      We won't always use more and more power.

      My place is very well insulated, I am running LED lights all over the house, and bought the most efficient of all our appliances.

      The results? the Electrical company sends out notices regarding electrical use. Turns out my neighbors beside me use 10 percent less electricity than I do. Considering they are only home perhaps 5 days a month, that doesn't seem too bad.

      I forgot to tell you, I have an efficient outside spa that is kept at 104 degress farenheit all winter long in the Northeast. In addition to a super efficient gas furnace that likewise has a really efficient blower fan. I could switch to a Solar city shingle system like the one Musk promotes and take tiny little sips from the grid with no effect on lifestyle and comfort.

      Don't believe everything the opponents of alternative and high efficiency tell you. These things don't self destruct the second the warrantee is up. The payback times people cite are wildly pessimistic. A non electrical example is my furnace, which wasn't cheap, but considering that I'm paying about as much the entire winter what with switching from oil to gas, and the insane efficiency of the thing - there is no chimney as such, just a PVC pipe running outside - I'm spending about as much for an entire winter as people with my size place pay per month during the heating season. Payback happens pretty quickly when you save thousands every season.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    2. Re:Very misleading summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While it is true we will use more efficient products population growth will still push the need for more and more power, though at a slightly lower rate.

    3. Re:Very misleading summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Adding the 110 gigawatts of "capacity" is a drop in the bucket."

      It's worse than that, they're not adding 110GW capacity, 110GW is the 2020 target *total* capacity. They're only adding ~32.6GW of capacity.

    4. Re:Very misleading summary by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Yes, but they are also massively scaling back their coal and nuclear development. They are really pushing electric vehicles too, on target for over 90% of new bus sales to be electric by 2020.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  13. Largest solar energy producer? by PPH · · Score: 3, Funny

    Wouldn't that be the sun?

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
    1. Re:Largest solar energy producer? by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 2

      Wouldn't that be the sun?

      Heretic! You shall address his majesty as Lord Sol the Magnanimous Light Bearer, Bringer of Life and Chaser of Luna! I mean, I get why he chases Luna, she's a minx. I mean one time I was out late at night by the lake and-HEY! COME BACK HERE and apologize to Sol for your insolence! HA! That one gets me every time! ;)

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  14. Re:Because they invest in tech by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Why are you comparing apples to oranges? Why not compare apples to grapefruits instead, such as our bloated military? I suspect your fruit is fake news anyhow.

    O did invest in solar R&D. Remember the Solyndra brew-ha-ha? (Solyndra was only one of many solar co's that received investment funds, by the way.)

  15. Re: Wow! by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

    "Even a fart can contribute to the wind."

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  16. Re:Wow! by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The air quality in Guangdong is certainly improved over what it was the first time I came to the region, roughly ten years ago. Don't let "perfect" be the enemy of "better".

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  17. Re:Wow! (pollution) by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

    In Guangzhou, they've banned gas-powered motorcycles and scooters. Now there's electric bikes/scooters/carts all over the place. Haven't noticed any increase in the number of automobiles.

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  18. US states are still working on wind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wind turbines are still being put up around the United States. It's not being done on the national level, but it's still plodding along.

  19. Re:Wow! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    At least they're working toward solving the problem, unlike Australia and USA, who would rather bury their head in the sand, deny there is a problem or spread FUD on renewables.

    The world moves on, either with us in the lead, or us behind. The anti technology, anti physics, and anti science views that are becoming the law of the land will ensure that.

    I predict that in the next few years, the dollar will be replaced by the yen in international currency.

    Turn in a climate scientist for Jesus.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  20. Re:Wow! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Future of United States =(

    https://youtu.be/5AhTGK1ybkk

  21. Re: Wow! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cool! Again, let me know when they've solved their pollution problems. Talk is cheap.

  22. Thank You by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thank you Wal-mart shoppers

  23. Re:Wow! by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

    Yen only if it is a virtual currency with some huge, unknown demand. Japan is in greater debt than us, with greater old age liabilities, and has failed to reproduce an adequate replacement generation. Big oops.

  24. So much wrong.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. They're not adding 110 GW, that's the total target by 2020. ie: they will add 37GW. (https://www.pv-magazine.com/2016/11/07/breaking-china-reduces-solar-installation-target-to-110-gw-by-2020_100026817/)
    2. This is solar *capacity*, not generation. The amount generated is significantly lower.

  25. Re:Because they invest in tech by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Australia is a major exporter of black coal, which generally has less ash and sulphur content than other countries, and consequently higher energy densities.

    They therefore have a significant motive to spruik a market for coal, and therefore investing in "clean coal" plants, even if they are more expensive for power generation than other forms of power, is a significantly better investment over the medium to long term for the nation. The extra cost of the power is more than offset by the export money.

  26. Re: Wow! by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Informative

    China has already hit its peak coal consumption and it's now in decline.

    https://www.theguardian.com/en...
    https://www.carbonbrief.org/an...
    https://www.eia.gov/conference...

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  27. Broad brush by sjbe · · Score: 1

    At least they're working toward solving the problem, unlike Australia and USA, who would rather bury their head in the sand, deny there is a problem or spread FUD on renewables.

    That's an awfully broad brush you are painting with there. I cannot speak with any authority about Australia but there are literally millions of people here in the US who are very strong proponents of renewable energy and are working very hard to make it a reality. The fight against renewables is largely coming from the fossil fuel industry and those whose livelihoods and bribes depend on it. That's a powerful and wealthy industry that employs a lot of people (around 2 million directly and many times that indirectly) so it makes the fight harder in a democracy. We also have a political right wing whose members tend to regard anything good for the environment (or helpful to others for that matter) as suspicious and "socialist".

    In China they also have the problem of VERY bad and obviously present pollution from their dependence on coal and other dirty sources of energy. It's a lot harder to argue against clean energy when you can visibly see the pollution and the problems it causes. In most places in the US the pollution problem is far more subtle so it's easier to brush under the rug and ignore for those inclined to do so.

    1. Re:Broad brush by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But the new administration would rather support oil and coal. In fact, our new President actively fought a wind farm not long ago.

      Practically speaking, fracking isn't currently necessary for our energy needs and West Virginia already sucks up more Federal taxes than it sends in - we ought to just abandon coal, put them all on Welfare and let the rest of the nation move into the 21st Century.

  28. A Chinese diversion from climate change concerns? by shanen · · Score: 1

    So you want to pursue the postscript? Okay, I don't mind (but there is no newsletter). I find it an amusing topic, but more so for face to face discussions... Managed to get a Singaporean perspective yesterday. (We even made a small wager on it.) (I've also discussed it with a number of mainland Chinese, but so far no one from Taiwan.)

    Concrete evidence? Not really anything specific, though I've read a number of books about North Korea. Hard to find much available in English and it's not the kind of stuff I can easily read in Japanese. The most interesting (and in many ways insightful) book I can recall was by a French cartoonist who was hired to train North Korean animators when one of the fearless leaders had the inspiration of using cheap labor to compete in that industry. Improved computer animation obviously blew that idea out of the water. Most of the books I've seen on North Korea are Japanese perspectives, often focusing on the abductions.

    My interest in China goes much farther back, though these days most of the memorable books have been comparison-and-contrast books against India. Used to be against Russia. Can't say I really know that much about Taiwan, though I feel like I have watched the Japanese shift their focus and interest back to the mainland side.

    However I do see the current situation as a golden opportunity from the Chinese perspective. There are a number of time-critical factors, but all of the windows seem to be open right now. The window that is likely to close first is actually North Korea, because some evidence indicates that they are near collapse, and if that happens by itself, then the Chinese get nothing (or worse). However I think the two most important factors are whether the mainland's military superiority is sufficient to occupy Taiwan relatively cleanly (without demolishing too much infrastructure) and whether there would be any long-term resistance (along the lines of La Résistance).

    Yesterday's discussion was largely focused on the question of internal cohesion within mainland China, but I actually see weakened internal cohesion as a concern that might motivate Peking in favor of the adventure. This is an angle where Trump's exact words about Taiwan might be relatively more important. (I'm taking it as a precondition that it will be easy to get him to agree with the idea of a Chinese invasion of North Korea.) If he strongly reassures them about the one-China policy, but manages to make it clear that only a peaceful unification is okay, then the propaganda value is limited, but I don't think Trump is up to anything that delicate and subtle. If Trump just agrees to one China and shuts up, then I'm not sure of the effect on Chinese side. However, I think it is quite likely that Trump is foolish enough to say something threatening about independent Taiwan, and I think that recording could be quite helpful in focusing Chinese popular opinion on defending the nation's honor and all that jazz.

    --
    Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.
  29. Conservatives don't want change by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Trump, by by cozying up to Big Coal and Big Oil, has thrown China a glaring opportunity to get well ahead in the race to a post-fossil-fuel-future.

    That's what happens when you elect "conservatives" who never want things to change. Conservative by definition means "holding to traditional attitudes and values and cautious about change or innovation, typically in relation to politics or religion". Those aren't generally the people you expect to lead the charge into a bright new future.

  30. Jevon's Paradox by sjbe · · Score: 1

    We won't always use more and more power.

    There is little evidence available to support that assertion. In fact there has been considerable empirical evidence suggesting exactly the opposite.

    1. Re:Jevon's Paradox by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      We won't always use more and more power.

      There is little evidence available to support that assertion. In fact there has been considerable empirical evidence suggesting exactly the opposite.

      So when do you figure we'll be at infinity?

      Regardless - I don't really care, because I'm tailoring my electrical use, and the more that grid power goes up, the sooner I'll be saving money off grid.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  31. Re:Wow! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Yen only if it is a virtual currency with some huge, unknown demand. Japan is in greater debt than us, with greater old age liabilities, and has failed to reproduce an adequate replacement generation. Big oops.

    And you do realize that the USA would also be shrinking if if wasn't for all those darned immigrants, don't you?

    Build a Wall!

  32. Re: Wow! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You gibbering idiot, China's coal use has been decreasing for the last few years with no chance of increasing again.

  33. USA is still the winner per person by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And the USA has 3x the emissions per person than China does...

    1. Re:USA is still the winner per person by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought Canada beat us in that measure. We're like 5th, with Saudi Arabia, UAE, some other country, Canada, then the US

  34. Re: Wow! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cool! Again, let me know when they've solved their pollution problems. Talk is cheap.

    But solar energy plants cost money.

    Oh, wait...

  35. Re:Wow! by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 2

    Did you mean "by the yuan", perhaps?

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  36. Coal vs alternatives by sjbe · · Score: 1

    But the new administration would rather support oil and coal. In fact, our new President actively fought a wind farm not long ago.

    Sure. Many key players in the current administration have their financial bread buttered by the fossil fuel industry. So do many members of their political base. Republican administrations tend to be ludicrously sympathetic to the fossil fuel industry and like to pretend that science only matters when it supports their ideology.

    Practically speaking, fracking isn't currently necessary for our energy needs and West Virginia already sucks up more Federal taxes than it sends in

    It might not be strictly necessary but the currently viable replacements aren't clearly any better. If you don't do fracking and you aren't willing to install more nuclear (we clearly aren't) then the only near term alternative today is coal. Solar and wind are coming on strong but they aren't quite at the tipping point economically. Fracking is driving the price of natural gas cheap and making coal plants economically less competitive. Eliminate fracking and a lot of that capacity in the near term would go back to coal at least for the near future.

    BTW you are aware that Wyoming is a FAR bigger producer of coal than West Virginia, right?

    we ought to just abandon coal

    Not going to happen. The USA is to coal what Saudi Arabia is to oil. We have vast amounts of it. We mine about 20 quadrillion BTUs of coal annually. It's going to be nigh impossible to get this country to leave all that coal in the ground even if it is a good idea to do so.

  37. Re:Wow! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nothing wrong with reducing population. Especially when a substantial portion of it is taking more than they contribute. Many illegal aliens routinely wire money back to their homeland, removing it from the US economy. This is detrimental to the US. So they pay sales and property tax (though there are often several families under a single roof), and many pay income tax, but only a blind fool would think there's no under the table employment going on. They also make the very most out of every social program available to them, at least, in my hometown, which is rapidly becoming brazilian.

  38. Re: Wow! by vell0cet · · Score: 2

    They also recently cancelled the construction of over a hundred coal plants.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/18/world/asia/china-coal-power-plants-pollution.html

  39. Re:Wow! by wyHunter · · Score: 0

    I wouldn't say turn in a climate scientist for Jesus, but I see more anti science rants from the SJWs than from anyone else.

  40. Famous campaign slogans and fake promises by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    Hope and change is a fake promise (actually it was "Change We Can Believe In" and "Hope"). Make America Great Again is another fake promise, and not even that creative because John Kerry's 2004 slogan was "Let America be America Again". I also think Leave no Child Behind is one of the biggest jokes of any fake promise in recent history. And Compassionate Conservatism one of the most disingenuous. Kinder, Gentler Nation is an interesting one, but I can't say that anyone particularly liked it, a bit too Mister Rogers Neighborhood. "Are you better off than you were four years ago?" is perhaps the least fake campaign slogan because it's not a direct promise although it implies a lot, perfect political double talk.

    A Chicken in Every Pot and a Car in Every Garage is the only one that I can think of that actually came through.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  41. Re:Wow! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    I wouldn't say turn in a climate scientist for Jesus, but I see more anti science rants from the SJWs than from anyone else.

    All of the fringe groups hate science, bith left, right, and alt.

    Fringe groups tend to believe in things like triumph of the will, where if you only believe hard enough, you can bend the rules of physics to whatever you want them to be.

    But seriously, you actually see more anti-science from SJW's than deniers of the so called greenhouse effect? If it didn't exist, neither would we. Hey, I suspect that 3/4 of slashdot is anti-science, and this ain't no bastion of special snowflake liberals.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  42. Re: Wow! by avivasatenstein · · Score: 1

    Yes,. The dollar is on that slippery downward slide. I don't think it will last another ten years before it becomes a domestic only currency.

  43. Re:Wow! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    Future of United States

    YIKES!

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  44. Re:Wow! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    Did you mean "by the yuan", perhaps?

    Yuan all the rest of the folks are correct......

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  45. Naive extrapolation by sjbe · · Score: 1

    So when do you figure we'll be at infinity?

    Who said anything about foolish extrapolations? Our energy use will almost certainly continue to increase until it rather precipitously drops to either zero or something close to it. As long as our society holds together we should expect our energy use to increase. If energy use actually falls significantly it probably means something very bad has happened to the human race.

    I don't really care, because I'm tailoring my electrical use, and the more that grid power goes up, the sooner I'll be saving money off grid.

    Hey I'm all for distributed power generation. If you can do what you need without the grid that is awesome. I look forward to the day when most houses and businesses generate the majority of their own power from solar and/or wind (+batteries of course) and just use the grid to supplement. And yes I think that is long term realistic.

    1. Re:Naive extrapolation by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      So when do you figure we'll be at infinity?

      Who said anything about foolish extrapolations?

      Just me when I hear suppositions that suggest that. With all of my changes I made to my house, I now use less electricity than in 1993 when I bought it. My quality of life if you will, is much better, and Overall energy consumption electrical and heat via NatGas is way down. I do not consider the idea that energy use will always have to go up as inevitable.

      Our energy use will almost certainly continue to increase until it rather precipitously drops to either zero or something close to it. As long as our society holds together we should expect our energy use to increase. If energy use actually falls significantly it probably means something very bad has happened to the human race.

      As we shift to solar and wind perhaps the small nuc station here and there, we'll have to redefine energy use. The grid however, is probably in deep yogurt, because it is a strategically vulnerable area that has pretty much outlived it's original purpose. That was a fairly centralized and synchronized system that fed power out over large distances, and lost a lot of that power in lines and transformers that compensated for the losses. We are moving toward a point source power generation system where individual households are not affected by what happens on the grid.

      So really, if I am not connected to a grid sourced power system, and later, most people aren't, what does that mean for energy use?

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  46. Self sustainting off grid? by sjbe · · Score: 1

    With all of my changes I made to my house, I now use less electricity than in 1993 when I bought it.

    Which raises the question of how bad was the energy efficiency of your house when you bought it? Don't get me wrong, I'm not being a hater and I really do think what you say you are doing is great. But if the home was relatively efficient to begin with it's harder to make improvements than if it was an energy sink hole. My home for instance was built in 2001. I've done some similar improvements to what you describe and I've saved some money on my monthly bill but it's not a night and day difference because the house was comparatively efficient to begin with. Decently insulated, reasonably efficient furnace, etc. I'm probably going to replace my furnace and AC in the next 5 years and I should get a good bump in efficiency from that. But I started from a pretty good place so it's harder to make improvements without dropping a LOT of money on the problem. Far more than is economically sensible.

    I do not consider the idea that energy use will always have to go up as inevitable.

    I suppose you are correct that it is not inevitable but so far all the data we have points that way, at least for the population as a whole. I'm not aware of any meaningful period where total human energy use has declined - ever. Presumably there is some carrying capacity for humans but we clearly haven't reached it yet. Until we do, I don't really see any credible circumstance where total human energy use declines except for a major war/catastrophe unless we invoke some hypothetical technology breakthrough that we cannot currently predict.

    We are moving toward a point source power generation system where individual households are not affected by what happens on the grid.

    Though in my heart I hope you are right but my logical side tells me that the grid isn't going away any time soon. What I think will happen is that connecting to the grid will over time get more expensive but will still be a necessity for a very long time to come. I do think it would be reasonable for many/most homes and a fair number of businesses to generate a lot of their own power (at least subsistence levels) and then supplement periods of high demand from the grid. It's going to take many decades under the best circumstances to get to that point however. Retrofitting that many buildings just isn't going to happen quickly.

    So really, if I am not connected to a grid sourced power system, and later, most people aren't, what does that mean for energy use?

    It's an interesting question. First thing to consider is population growth. All other things held constant more people = more energy use. So as long as the population continues to grow we should expect to see a commensurate growth in energy use. Second is what applications for energy use will become available. Computers in the home were just starting to become a thing when I was a child. Nobody refueled their car at their house. Homes had way fewer lights, fewer had dishwashers, fewer had dishwashers, fewer had AC. Homes in the US were considerably smaller on average too. I've seen little indication that people want to walk any of this back. Home automation (for better or worse) is becoming a thing. We always seem to come up with new and clever ways to use more energy than we did before. The third thing to consider is how realistic is it that most homes will actually become energy self sufficient to the point the grid becomes unnecessary. My guess is that they won't. Not completely anyway within the lifetime of anyone reading this. I do think that lots of homes could generate most of their own power most of the time but occasionally will still need to tap into a grid. I'd be happy to be wrong but I don't see the evidence pointing that way currently.

  47. Re:Wow! by wyHunter · · Score: 1

    That's true, slashdot isn't a bastion of special snowflake liberals, but what is so interesting is that it used to be far more left wing than it is now. And of course you're right about the fringe groups hating science. They all feel like if they wish hard enough, tinkerbell will come back to life.

  48. Re:Wow! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

    That's true, slashdot isn't a bastion of special snowflake liberals, but what is so interesting is that it used to be far more left wing than it is now. And of course you're right about the fringe groups hating science.

    Now it is time for me to piss them off. The presumptive far right Trumpists, and the so called social justice warriors are actually almost identical in idealization, and with how they demand things to be run, even if they fight each other tooth and nail over silly little details. They demand freedom over some things, while demanding a hard fist or refusing other things - big deal, all of them are dangerous anti freedom groups who demand to rule everyone's lives. With either group, you end up with no freedom over anything.

    At least the libertarians - real ones, not the Republicans who try to tap dance their beating their meat while thinking of Ayn Rand, and opposing most everything she stood for - actually try to think in terms of allowing individuals to run their lives as they see fit.

    And that's why idealists hate scientists. Seeking for truth is almost always in direct conflict with ideology. When evolution is replaced by Lysenkoism or creationism, or people deny that the actions of the so-called greenhouse gases and anti-greenhouse gases exist, or that if a few people are given all of the money, it means they will naturally share it with people who don't, and all will become well to do, or that vaccines cause autism, and hold that belief long after every proof has been given that they don't or that you can rule with an iron fist forever - well, science just doesn't fit with those political ideologues.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  49. Re:A Chinese diversion from climate change concern by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    I don't think China's economy can afford to lose the U.S. market just yet. Give them another decade or two

  50. Re:A Chinese diversion from climate change concern by shanen · · Score: 1

    Basically just an ACK, but it I doubt that the Chinese dictators have a decade to wait for economic self-sufficiency, and that is part of why they may be feeling forced to seize the current opportunity. They may know that their economy is about to crash in any case, and they NEED a scapegoat like #PresidentTweety. I certainly hope a bigger international fool doesn't come along later...

    Minor supporting evidence in the recent assassination of Kim Jong-un's older brother. From the insane North Korean perspective, he was a dangerous pretender to the throne, but that is not a new thing. So why did they decide to kill him now? Perhaps because the North Korean government is on the verge of collapse? That would create the mess without giving the Chinese any benefit from it. Or perhaps because the North Korean's feared a Chinese invasion to install a puppet? The older brother could have been a good one, though I still doubt the Chinese want more involvement with North Korea no matter who is in charge there...

    I still think my scenario is plausible, and the warm weather is coming soon...

    --
    Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.