Slashdot Mirror


Life Expectancy Set To Hit 90 In South Korea, Study Predicts (nature.com)

According to a study published in the journal The Lancet, researchers have predicted that South Korea will likely become the first country where the average life expectancy will exceed 90 years. The researchers led by public-health researcher Majid Ezzati at Imperial College London used data from the World Health Organization and a suite of 21 statistical models they developed to figure out how life expectancy will change in 35 developed countries by 2030. Nature reports: Life expectancy is expected to increase in all 35 countries, in keeping with steady progress in recent decades, the team found. But it is South Korean women who will be living longest by 2030: there is a nearly 60% chance that their life expectancy at birth will exceed 90 years by that time, the team calculates. Girls born in the country that year can expect to live, on average, to nearly 91, and boys to 84, the highest in the world for both sexes. The nation's rapid improvement in life expectancy -- the country was ranked twenty-ninth for women in 1985 -- is probably down to overall improvements in economic status and child nutrition, the study notes, among other factors. South Koreans also have relatively equal access to health care, lower blood pressure than people in Western countries and low rates of smoking among women. As for the United States, the life expectancy is "predicted to be among the lowest of these countries by 2030; 80 for men (similar to the Czech Republic) and 83 for women (similar to Mexico)."

19 of 108 comments (clear)

  1. Best Korea Wins! by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 4, Funny

    How much do you want to bet that North Korea releases a report of their own stating that life expectancy in their country now exceeds 95 years, only exceeded by their glorious leader, who is expected to live for two centuries?

    --
    Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    1. Re:Best Korea Wins! by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Unfortunately, due to NK's presence, SK life expectancy (on average) may well be below 90 in a not so far future.

      --
      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
  2. I know a 90 and in excellent health for a 90 yo by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 2

    and it still sucks

  3. Re:The US ranks with Mexico? by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well somebody has to because work is below most americans and stuff has to get done.

  4. Calculating age by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Let's not forget that in South Korea, you are considered to be 1 year old on the day you are born and your age increases by 1 on January 1st regardless of your date of birth. The average 5-year-old South Korean is 1.5 years younger than the average 5-year-old American.

    While this has probably been accounted for, I wouldn't be so bold as to put such an oversight past today's "scientists".

  5. Not a surprise by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 2

    since SK's Samsung stopped selling the Note 7

    --
    Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
  6. Re:Not if your named Kim-Jong-Nam by maroberts · · Score: 4, Funny

    Life expectancy for North Koreans in Malaysian airports is much shorter.

    --

    Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
    Karma: Chameleon

  7. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 3, Funny

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  8. Re: The US ranks with Mexico? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Illegals cannot, by definition, work legally. Thus they can be paid under minimum wage, be abused, be unable to communicate with the OSHA inspector, etc. It's an awful situation and we need to help these people get back home.

  9. Re:Expectancy of expectancy? by Imrik · · Score: 2

    This is a prediction of life expectancy for people that haven't been born yet.

  10. So, America might have a lower life expectancy.. by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 4, Funny

    So, America might have a lower life expectancy but we make it up by weighing three times as much. If you use "pound-years" as a metric, America on average is probably more than triple Koreans.

  11. Fan death by HalAtWork · · Score: 3, Funny

    That's what the rest of the world gets for not taking fan death seriously!

  12. Re:The US ranks with Mexico? by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 2

    Yes, I agree with you. There are some jobs Americans find so loathsome and beneath their dignity they would not do it no matter how much you pay them. Most agricultural, seasonal and fast food work does not fall into that category. But I concede there are a very small number of such jobs that Americans find it beneath them. Like marrying pervert billionaires, you have import their wives from some eastern European countries.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  13. Re: The US ranks with Mexico? by currently_awake · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If a job has so little value that only illegal workers from Mexico can do it, then that job has already been exported to Mexico. Except that American taxpayers are covering the bills (police, school for kids etc). America would be better off just making it official and let Mexico have those jobs directly (no more subsidies etc).

  14. Re:The US ranks with Mexico? by hey! · · Score: 2

    Actually the number of Mexicans in the US has been dropping for years. That's because for years US politicians have been intent on turning us into a low-wage, non-industrialized nation run by and for an economic elite.

    What's there to choose? They might as well go home.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  15. Re:It is a dog's life. by dcw3 · · Score: 2

    While dog (Kaygogi) is eaten, it's rather uncommon. I lived there for six years, and only came across it once when my landlord invited me to their elderly grandmother's birthday.

    I haven't read the article, but my knee-jerk reaction to the headline is disbelief. Korea is highly polluted, with a very large smoking population, and tuberculosis was much more common there than in the US. Many homes are heated using "Ondal", a form of charcoal, smoking out into the open air. Of the roughly 50 countries I've been to, Korea had the worst drivers...Wikipedia shows 18.2 fatalities/billion km...the U.S. has 7.3 in comparison. The country also has a habit of hiding issues...they refused to admit there were any cases of AIDS for quite a while.

    --
    Just another day in Paradise
  16. US Life Expectancy is 91.9 years by hey! · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If you're a woman in the top 1% by income. If you're a man in the top 1% it's 88.8 years.

    If you're middle class you live about 78.3 years if you're a man, which is big step up from 1980, probably because of smoking. If you're a woman you live 79.7 years, a decline of a few months since 1980.

    Now if you're a poor your life expectancy has declined since 1980, to 76.1 for men and 78.3 for women.

    So here's the picture: if you're rich, medical advances since 1980 have increased your expected lifespan by about seven years. But those advances haven't had any effect on middle class lifespans. If you're poor you apparently are having difficulty paying for medical care at all, which is not surprising because health care costs have consistently outpaced inflation since the mid-70s. If you're a working poor American health care inflation meant you basically screwed by the 2000s: you were too rich for Medicaid, to poor to avoid medical care.

    One more thing: US has a GINI coefficient (measure of income disparity) of 45. That's the highest in the industrialized world, and much higher than it's low point of 34 in 1969. Basically all of the income growth sicne 1990 have gone to the top quintile, in fact the lion's share to the top 5%. People at the 80th percentile by income and below have seen basically zero income growth when adjusted for inflation. And since health care inflation rises faster than inflation, it means 80% of the the US has seen a cut in its disposable income.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  17. BS, and more BS by s.petry · · Score: 2

    Not that long ago most of the "jobs American's won't do" were done exactly by Americans. Simple labor was done by high school kids (with record low labor participation rates today), Students on break from College (also record low labor participation), or entry level jobs for people not sure what to do with their careers (now mostly unemployed).

    Employers given the ability to pay illegal workers less money and work them more hours has led to a lack of entry level and low level jobs. Why would a farmer hire young adults, especially considering the restrictions the State puts on workers below 18 and pay minimum wage? Why pay them more than minimum wage even if they are extremely productive? They won't, because they can get more labor at less money and not have to worry about anyone from State looking at how they treat labor.

    To your last point: "ME" is the most important thing in many relationships, not "WE". That message and value has been preached by both 2nd and 3rd wave feminists since the 70s. Feminists 3rd wave has been so vocal that we now have groups of MGTOWS, massive low rates of marriage, low birthrate (which to many is the point of those movements), and a society growing more and more immoral/degenerate. Further, you can't be so foolish as to not understand that gold diggers exist. Unfortunately this means that if you want old fashioned family values, it may be easier to import them. Your slight is a troll.

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

  18. The US has a real problem by XXongo · · Score: 2

    As for the United States, the life expectancy is "predicted to be among the lowest of these countries by 2030; 80 for men (similar to the Czech Republic) and 83 for women (similar to Mexico)."

    I'm quite horrified that all the commentary on the article is almost entirely sarcasm and jokes. In fact, this is relatively horrifying. Not only is the life expectancy in the U.S. currently less than that in any of the developed countries in Europe, it's decreasing.

    This is bad. It's easy enough to make fun of Europe's universal health care, but apparently they're doing something right.

    "The culprits for our declining years, the report says, were increases in mortality from heart disease, chronic lower respiratory diseases, unintentional injuries, stroke, Alzheimer’s disease, diabetes, kidney disease and suicide. Not surprisingly, that group plus cancer and the flu make up the top 10 causes of death in the U.S....
    He (the report author) did highlight a 3% increase in "unintentional injuries." The heading includes, among other things, traffic accidents and drug overdoses — both of which often involve relatively young victims whose deaths can have a strong impact on the numbers."
    source: http://www.usatoday.com/story/...

    See also:
    http://www.cnn.com/2016/12/08/...
    http://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2016/12/08/504667607/life-expectancy-in-u-s-drops-for-first-time-in-decades-report-finds