Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin To Offer 'Amazon-Like' Moon Delivery By 2020 (geekwire.com)
Less than a week after Elon Musk's SpaceX announced it would soon offer space tourists a cruise around the moon, Blue Origin founder Jeff Bezos has announced that he would be launching an Amazon-like service shipping supplies, experiments, and crew to the Moon by 2020. From a report: Amazon billionaire Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin space venture has proposed sending a robotic lander to the moon's south polar region by 2020, as an initial step toward an "Amazon-like" lunar delivery system and eventually a permanently inhabited moon base. The report says the company's seven-page proposal, dated Jan. 4, has been circulating among NASA's leadership and President Donald Trump's transition team. It's only one of several proposals aimed at turning the focus of exploration beyond Earth orbit to the moon and its environs during Trump's term.
Last I checked, Blue Origin was strictly suborbital right now. Do they really expect to go from suborbital to lunar surface in only three years???
Or are they planning on getting to Earth orbit atop someone else's boosters, and going the rest of the way on their own?
"I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
I remember when so many people on slashdot and reddit argued that it was impossible for a private company to launch anything into orbit because of the cost and the technical requirements were only in the scope of the largest governments like the US, Russia, Japan and China. That was maybe 7+ years ago. More recently I've read that, yeah, private companies can get to orbit, but they'll never venture beyond Earth orbit because there is no profit in it.
.
Once you are in orbit, you are 60% of the way to the surface of the moon (soft landing) and pretty much anywhere else in the solar system.
It's the three year timeframe that makes it ridiculous.
I'm not saying anything about who makes the rockets, but rather who pays for the investment. There just aren't private groups who can realistically pay the likely hundreds of billions of dollars that such a project would cost, for essentially zero commercial benefit.
It may be technically possible to get to the Moon in three years, but it would take a truly massive investment to do so. I don't think that private entities exist that could put forward that kind of investment with little chance of return, and Republicans tend to balk at large spending increases unless they're military. I could see Trump wanting this due to his ego, but I don't think he could get congress on his side for this kind of massive endeavor.
My understanding is the ULA (Lockheed, Boeing, etc.) has tagged Blue Origin to provide the BE-4 engine to be their answer to a reusable vertical landing capable rocket engine the need to compete with SpaceX, and it is supposed to be ready to go in three years. That is still a bit behind similar SpaceX plans and my bet would be that their schedule will slip from planned but it's still anybodies guess how far. Blue Origin did start this rocket engine back in 2011, but didn't mention it publicly till 2014.