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US Wind Capacity Surpasses Hydro, Overall Generation To Follow (arstechnica.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Ars Technica: Wind power is now the largest source of renewable energy generating capacity, passing hydroelectric power in 2016. And since the two sources produce electricity at nearly the same rate, we'll soon see wind surpass hydro in terms of electricity produced. Wind power capacity has been growing at an astonishing pace (as shown in the graph above), and 2016 was no exception. As companies rushed to take advantage of tax incentives for renewable power, the U.S. saw 8.7 Gigawatts of new wind capacity installed in 2016. That's the most since 2012, the last time tax incentives were scheduled to expire. This has pushed the U.S.' total wind capacity to over 81 GW, edging it past hydroelectric, which has remained relatively stable at roughly 80 GW. Note that this is only capacity; since generators can't be run non-stop, they only generate a fraction of the electricity that their capacity suggests is possible. That fraction, called a capacity factor, has been in the area of 34 percent for U.S. wind, lower than most traditional sources of electricity. But hydropower's capacity factor isn't that much better, typically sitting at 37-38 percent. As a result, wind won't need to grow much to consistently exceed hydro. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Electricity Data Browser

172 comments

  1. Tax Incentives by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 1, Insightful

    What will happen though when tax incentives fall away?

    1. Re:Tax Incentives by TWX · · Score: 5, Funny

      Then we'll be left with a lot of wind plants, I wonder how they'll be able to afford to provide fuel for them...

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    2. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The turbines spin until they fall over.

    3. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, without regular maintenance it might not be all that long before they do.

    4. Re:Tax Incentives by badraig · · Score: 0

      Lol, but seriously folks, will the power pay for the cost of maintenance, even if wind is free?

    5. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's below $100/MWh for O&M costs now. But that curve has flattened. So given that US electric energy prices have generally been less than that except during peak periods, I suspect wind energy will plateau. Especially if tax incentives are reduced.

      Also in each ISO there still has to be spinning generation to maintain voltage and VAR support. So that adds to the cost of wind generation - it's not fossil fuel free.

      Solar is in the same boat. As long as natural gas prices stay low, combined cycle plants will still be more cost efficient. This is why hydraulic fracturing has been attacked in order to drive the prices back up.

    6. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Then the coal and oil industries will be in a whole lot of trouble? Or were you talking about the incentives given to renewables?

    7. Re:Tax Incentives by gravewax · · Score: 2

      Wind generators have a finite lifespan usually in the 20 year range upon which time they need to either be replaced or refurbished in addition to ongoing maintenance, things with moving parts breakdown!

    8. Re:Tax Incentives by tomhath · · Score: 2

      What will happen though when tax incentives fall away?

      Wind can be economically viable in the right location. Hopefully without the incentives people will stop putting them up where they will never pay.

    9. Re:Tax Incentives by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What will happen though when tax incentives fall away?

      Check with the Oil and Natgas industry and ethanol industry. Cancel that, they're still getting subsidies.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    10. Re: Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Does there need to be spinning _generation_? Or would spinning inertial mass be sufficient?

    11. Re:Tax Incentives by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Then we'll be left with a lot of wind plants, I wonder how they'll be able to afford to provide fuel for them...

      We'll build a lot of nukes, then run windmills as fans and cool the earth. :)

    12. Re:Tax Incentives by TWX · · Score: 1
      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    13. Re:Tax Incentives by haruchai · · Score: 1

      So job creation, then?

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    14. Re:Tax Incentives by Neuronwelder · · Score: 1

      New Generation wind generators will have double or triple the years that current ones do. Technology moves forward because businesses want More Profits in the name of greed!!

    15. Re:Tax Incentives by zieroh · · Score: 4, Informative

      This is why hydraulic fracturing has been attacked in order to drive the prices back up.

      No. Fracking has been attacked because it runs the risk of poisoning the groundwater.

      --
      People who say "sheeple" have about as much sophistication as an AOL user, and in fact are probably actually AOL users.
    16. Re:Tax Incentives by hey! · · Score: 1

      Well, anything you build eventually has to be taken down, or falls down But decommissioning a wind turbine is a pretty straightforward process -- all you need is a pair of cranes and it takes just a few hours.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    17. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      umm the double to triple ones ARE THE 20-25 year ones. prior to that it was common to have 10 year lifespans. The ones on or property were initially the 10 year ones but with subsidies they were still profitable to put up and keep running.

    18. Re:Tax Incentives by donaldm · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Wind generators have a finite lifespan usually in the 20 year range upon which time they need to either be replaced or refurbished in addition to ongoing maintenance, things with moving parts breakdown!

      What you said is very true but that also applies to all power generating and distribution infrastructure. When considering power generation and distribution you have to consider the overall cost/benefits. In some places wind, hydro, coal, gas, nuclear, solar arrays etc are more viable long term or even short term solutions.

      All energy generating plants require distribution infrastructure be it above ground or underground and there are pros and cons with each, likewise with the energy generation plant themselves. One size does not suit all so it is always best to pick the one that is best suited for the geographics area although you also have to consider politics as well.

      --
      There ain't no such thing as proprietary standards only proprietary formats. Standards are by definition open.
    19. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then we'll be able to (at last!) re-funnel those resources towards Oil. They're in need of help! It would be unpatriotic to let 'em down!

    20. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      is that the reason they just tore down 80's turbines close to me ???

    21. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they were built in 1987 and torn down in 2008

    22. Re:Tax Incentives by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      You might want to read this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    23. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hard to say, many of them get refurbished. So you can have a 20 or 30 year old turbine but in actuality it has been refurbed so it has an real age of 10 years. The ones on our property were refurbed, basically they gut them and upgrade them.

    24. Re:Tax Incentives by DrXym · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Somehow I doubt the cost of maintaining a wind farm is a major overhead compared to other forms of power generation especially when the cost of controlling emissions / pollutants and decommissioning is taken into account.

    25. Re:Tax Incentives by gtall · · Score: 2

      Yeah, yer right. If we could just eliminate greed, then we could eliminate technology's forward progress. What were we thinking?

    26. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Holy crap! January 2016 was 80 years ago? How did this happen?

      http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-35406301

    27. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This one was better (Feb 2017):

      Thousands of spills at US oil and gas fracking sites - BBC News

      http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-39032748

    28. Re:Tax Incentives by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Wind is already cheaper than fossil fuels when all subsidies are removed and externalized costs considered. In 20 years time the cost of the turbines will have fallen even further.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    29. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And this is totally opposed to the beloved nuclear power plants, which are all well known for not needing any maintenance or refurbishing or any other alternative source of energy.... oh wait..

      Logic fail is logic fail. And a turbine is a turbine whether it's powered by steam or wind. And there is a fuckton more overhead which moves and needs service and maintenance (e.g cooling systems) in a conventional power-plant than there is in a windmill.

    30. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What will happen though when tax incentives fall away?

      Wind will be fine. Solar will suffer. Wind is kicking solar's ass up and down the street, and twice on Wednesdays.

    31. Re:Tax Incentives by Neuronwelder · · Score: 1

      Between EULA, Never Ending Patents and DCMA, you don't have a chance of launching something that doesn't have someone in wait to either sue, or cry out that you stole their idea. (What a bunch of garbage!) Not to mention all the corruption of Law for sale, from the bottom - Up to the highest court. - This "Country" is Finished!! Everyone and their mother will pass up this country.

    32. Re:Tax Incentives by binkless · · Score: 2

      What is so hard to understand about this? Wind farms are located in remote areas, have tall structures with high-performing mechanical components in them, and are necessarily exposed to weather. The structures are subject to significant stress and have a limited lifetime.

      I think the source of your doubt is limited information or imagination.

    33. Re: Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hydro and fossil fuel plants have maintenance requirements. High load parts, ash disposal, etc.

    34. Re:Tax Incentives by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 3, Funny

      Also in each ISO there still has to be spinning generation to maintain voltage and VAR support.

      No, it's just a file when it's an ISO. It doesn't start spinning until you burn it to the CD.

      --
      I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
    35. Re:Tax Incentives by meta-monkey · · Score: 2

      The fracking issue comes down to conflicting narratives, both of which are true:

      Pro fracking: "Fracking is proven safe!" This is true!

      Anti fracking: "Fracking is fucking up our water!" This is also true!

      The problem is that yes, while fracking can absolutely be done safely, our fracking industry is not doing it safely. The answer is not to ban fracking but to make the fracking companies comply with safety standards and slap them with huge lawsuits should they fuck up.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    36. Re:Tax Incentives by TWX · · Score: 2

      And how do you propose to do that when the party in-power is threatening to do away with departments like the EPA whose job is to regulate this stuff?

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    37. Re:Tax Incentives by TWX · · Score: 1

      Sure. And they're bolted to footings that are either piles driven into the earth or are poured reinforced concrete.

      It's reasonable to consider standardizing on a mounting system for the pylons so that most pylons could mount to most bases. It's also reasonable to maintain pylon and blade maintenance equipment with a ratio of so many generators to a set of maintenance equipment, so that large plants will have the necessary equipment on-hand and smaller plants in close geography may share a set. If the foundations are designed properly they could support multiple generations of individual windmills. Drive up, set up, idle the windmill, remove the blades and lower them down to cart them off, remove the generator room, lower it down, cart it off. Secure to the pylon and free it from the foundation, lower it down, cart it off. You're looking at a few days or weeks depending on weather conditions and planning.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    38. Re:Tax Incentives by meta-monkey · · Score: 2

      Beats me, but they weren't doing it before, either. Odd. It's almost as if the two party system is a sham, where they rile up the public to fight over tranny bathrooms while the industries that fund both parties capture the regulatory agencies...

      As a thought, I'd bring attention to the actual, solvable problems. My impression of Trump is not that he wants to eliminate all regulation, just unnecessary and over-burdensome regulation. I'd recommend the environmental lobby switch from screaming about doomsday shit we can't fix but makes them rich trying (like global warming) and focus instead on practical things we can fix (like unsafe fracking practices).

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    39. Re:Tax Incentives by DrXym · · Score: 1

      There is nothing hard to understand about this. A wind turbine has an average life span of 20 years and an annual maintenance cost of 1-2%. Getting people to "remote areas" to service the things can be achieved by means of a wonderful invention called a road.

    40. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Human created surplus value = profits allow human culture to stay-ahead of bitch-Gaias BLACK SWAN ASSAULTS. She almost got us a couple-a times - - historically - - and for the USA nibberizing parasites She'll fo-sho get us the next time. Kinda like the Orcs, eh pad're except snowflake progressives and tyrannous Semites can't give Orcs a blo-job.

    41. Re:Tax Incentives by Straif · · Score: 1

      The majority of 'subsidies' given to the oil and natural gas industry are not actually subsidies in any real sense. Most of the 'studies' that like to report such enormous world wide subsides inflate their figures by defining a subsidy in such a way that even if when gas companies themselves don't get any money out of it it's added to their totals.

      For instance the top 3 'subsidies' in the US, making up half +/- a few percentage points every year are, the strategic oil reserve, farm fuel tax credit and the various low income home heating credits.

      The first is, as the name implies, a strategic reserve of oil that the US government keeps on hand to act as both a security blanket if anything bad happens to the oil supply or at times a tool to help control pricing if they believe their is not enough supply to meet normal demand.

      The farm credit is simply the amount of money farmers don't have to pay torwards normal road taxes on fuel for equipment that does not run on roads.

      The home heating credits are just that, credits given to low income people in colder climates to ensure they can heat their homes during winter.

      None of those really go into the pockets of the oil companies but they are all counted towards the 'subsidy' totals reported. Similar programs exist in many other countries and help greatly inflate the global subsidy numbers.

      Even regular business expenses are often deemed subsidies for the purpose of these reports. For example, say the normal practice allows for depreciation of an asset over some fixed period of time like 5 years. If an oil company requests the ability to depreciate that asset over an 8 year timespan instead and someone writes an exemption for them then all the tax savings from their ability to depreciate that asset are generally included in the 'subsidy' total. Never mind that all companies do that and it's not usually considered anything special, but when you're trying to make numbers as big as possible anything with the word oil or gas on it counts.

      That's not to say they don't get direct subsidies too, they do, but the real numbers are just a fraction of the numbers used by most of the studies about ff subsidies.

      --
      Of course that's just my opinion...... you could be wrong!
    42. Re:Tax Incentives by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2

      The majority of 'subsidies' given to the oil and natural gas industry are not actually subsidies in any real sense.

      I don't look at it the same way some people do. Let me illustrate.

      In Pennsylvania, the Republican Governer made certain that there was no state extraction fee for the Gas companies who were fracking here. Pennsylvania was teh only state in the union that didn't have one.

      According to his expressed logic, if Pennsylvania had any extraction fee whatsoever, the companies wouldn't drill here. The logic is compelling, since all other states had fees, it didn't stop the companies from drilling there. That probably had something to do with the Gas was here, and you can't extract the gas form where it is without being where it is. But I digress. So some people would call this not a subsidy. Okay, than what is it. Do the math. Is the company making more money than it otherwise would?

      Same with any tax breaks. These "Alternative energy support is fuckin subsidized, but my petrofuel is making it's way all by itself with no help at all ever!" is a lot more about your outlook. If you want petrofuels and coal to be the only source of power until the world falls apart, you'll be pretty pissed about the competition. BTW, the largest "alternative" energy subsidies go to corn ethanol, which few alternative energy people want.

      So anyhow, is your solution for other countries who don't share your outlook to move on, giving support until alternatives are on their own, while the USA has a 1970's style collapse when we run low on coal and oil? Then what do we do? Maybe go for some Lebensraum? Which by the way, one does not fight wars with solar or wind power, the lack of portable energy dense petrofuels that they might have conserved, while we thumbed our nose and burned it in our Escalades, might make a problem for say, our fighter planes. Odd how many people who want to fight the world over any reason whatsoever don't take into account that to kill your enemies, you gotta get to them first. I'm not accusing you of that, but many people I know have exactly that outlook. All tactic, no strategic outlook at all. A rather active group in the past century was brought low in no small part because of lack of fuel. Or do you subscribe to the abiotic oil concept which means we won't ever run low because something something will make more forever? I'm not kidding, there are some who believe this.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    43. Re:Tax Incentives by Yaakov2k · · Score: 2

      Why do the tax incentives have to fall away? That has never happened for the oil industry and it is the main reason why the price of energy is so low. If you remove the wind subsidies, remove the fossil fuel subsidies as well and you will find that the price of generation goes up for all sources and wind will remain competitive.

      Of course this is not likely to happen since Republicans will cut wind while continuing to give huge tax breaks to their buddies at ExxonMobil, etc.

    44. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you deserve a score of 5 for this! The two party system is exactly a sham, both parties are in the pockets of big business, just one party is better at lying about it!

    45. Re:Tax Incentives by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      As a thought, I'd bring attention to the actual, solvable problems.

      Great!

      • Healthcare - posted rates for all providers, insurance may have no direct links to providers, and potentially universal single payer "base" system.
      • Air pollution - raise CAFE standards for CO2 emitting vehicles
      • CO2 emitting energy plants - continue adding wind, solar, hydro, tidal power generation and continue to reduce coal/natural gas

      That's just a few major ones, all with direct impact to your health and wallet. What's not said is that while coal and natural gas workers will suffer, all those technicians and construction folks involved with the cleaner energy build up will benefit. It's just that those that live in undiversified economic areas based on coal, oil, and/or natural gas will suffer or move. It's not any different than any other job market - when the need for work dries up, you migrate to where there is an unmet need. It won't always be better or what you want, but it's what you need to do. Demanding that people support you and your desire to make money a certain way seems... unamerican.

      My impression of Trump is not that he wants to eliminate all regulation, just unnecessary and over-burdensome regulation. I'd recommend the environmental lobby switch from screaming about doomsday shit we can't fix but makes them rich trying (like global warming) and focus instead on practical things we can fix (like unsafe fracking practices).

      There certainly is some overburdensome regulation and that should be addressed. The other thing that should be addressed is product tax generation recovery (also known more simply as sales tax, or a universal import tariff) After all, all those imports are not generating any tax dollars for the fed which shifts the burden to those that are still working instead of those choosing to put people out of work so they can save 2 cents on their soon to be trashed plastic trinket.

      We can fix unsafe fracking practices - hold everyone accountable associated with them, including their backers and investors. Jail time mandatory for intentionally polluting ground water seems reasonable. Note: injecting chemical mixtures into the ground would be considered intentionally polluting ground water, unless you've created a nice leak-proof reservoir to hold said chemical mixture. And that only covers 1 problem with fracking.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    46. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That travel to them by road massively increases maintenance costs and turbines need to be regularly checked so you can't just only look at them once every 6 or 12 months otherwise small issues become catastrophic failures.

    47. Re:Tax Incentives by tbannist · · Score: 2

      Getting people to "remote areas" to service the things can be achieved by means of a wonderful invention called a road.

      Or if we want to get really crazy, we could hire local people to maintain them. Imagine. Rural jobs for the mechanically inclined...

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    48. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also in each ISO there still has to be spinning generation to maintain voltage and VAR support. So that adds to the cost of wind generation - it's not fossil fuel free.

      How do you figure? Spinning reserves have been around a long time, they are needed for the grid whether there is wind on the system or not. High-voltage DC lines and vast interconnected grids are part of the solution to higher and higher renewable market share. As batteries become economical that will provide an additional source of reserves and ancillaries. Synchronous condensers are currently used for voltage and VAR support.

    49. Re:Tax Incentives by DrXym · · Score: 1
      Oh please. "Massively increases maintenance costs"? The average windfarm is remotely operated for the most part with site engineers who go around on a routine and non-routine basis performing maintenance that can't be done remotely. Clearly the effort involved is hardly exorbitant because annual maintenance costs are documented to be 1-2%.

      And operations & maintenance are only part of the picture as I said originally.

    50. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they are also woefully inefficient, which is why many of them have to be built. Individual windmills only produce anywhere from 2% - 6% of the total electrical output. So I wonder if this article means that more wind generators have been built or the total output of those plants exceeds solar?

    51. Re:Tax Incentives by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      What will happen though when tax incentives fall away?

      Then coal will come back to polute you and to shorten miner's lives due to cancer.

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
    52. Re:Tax Incentives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wind is only cheaper in a very limited number of positions that have consistent optimal wind speed otherwise without subsidies it is not cheaper at all. We have had wind farms on our property on and off over the last 30 years and at no time have they been profitable without the subsidies for them.

  2. 8.7 gigawatts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's a little overkill when all we need is 1.21!

  3. How long till the eco human haters attack this? by BlueCoder · · Score: 1, Troll

    You know it going to happen.... we're harvesting the natural flow of energy around the globe and hence harming nature... changing weather patterns... blah blah blah

    1. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by denzacar · · Score: 1

      Won't someone please think of the birds!

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    2. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, I've given this some thought. We should treat the potential bird mortality like we do carbon release and sequestration. There's a ready solution that actually solves another large problem, unwanted kittens. Cats kill birds. Domestic cats, if allowed to roam the neighborhood kill hundreds of birds throughout their lifetime. If we were to provide bird life credits for euthanizing kittens (has to be kittens, before they start their life of serial killing), we solve two problems at once. We'd have to come up with some kitten/bird life equivalency, but that's a quick study of cat behaviors & voila a new way to be green.

      Note to the sarcasm-challenged: The above note is not a serious proposal. I like kittens. I also like birds... and wind power.

    3. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Eco nuts already hate wind turbines because they kill birds that fly into them.

      Just like buildings, trees and mountains.

      Birds are stupid.

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    4. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by Bodhammer · · Score: 2

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      "Birds eat up a lot of food"
      -- Monolithic Oil - "We want you to pay"

      --
      "I say we take off, nuke the site from orbit. It's the only way to be sure."
    5. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 2

      The above note is not a serious proposal.

      But it has much in common with a modest proposal.

      --
      Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
    6. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      NP - those ground up birds are just part of making America grate again.

    7. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by Neuronwelder · · Score: 1

      Bird problem? Not here! Stop looking at the ancient, out of date, "fans" they are putting up, and do some research on helical wind generators. That's only One type of configuration!! Things are going to change - special interest groups that make these dinosaurs will get mowed down eventually.

    8. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 0

      Don't windmills tend to kill large birds, like hawks? Hawks kill kittens, domestic cats don't kill hawks.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    9. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly! We've got to do something about those cats. And if we have to take a couple of crazy cat ladies down with them, so be it.

    10. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by denzacar · · Score: 1

      Things are going to change - special interest groups that make these dinosaurs will get mowed down eventually.

      Wait... I thought that the moving down of flying dinosaurs WAS the problem with windmills?

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    11. Re:How long till the eco human haters attack this? by denzacar · · Score: 1

      MoWing down of flying dinosaurs...

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  4. Re:And then... by TWX · · Score: 4, Funny

    Why? He's supplying enough pressure to keep 'em running his whole presidency.

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  5. Re:And then... by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Something-something golf course something-something Scotland.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  6. Yes but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Coal is still king and Natural Gas is still Queen. This won't change any time soon.

    1. Re:Yes but... by zieroh · · Score: 1

      It will. You won't know it, though, because your head is stuck in a hole in the ground.

      --
      People who say "sheeple" have about as much sophistication as an AOL user, and in fact are probably actually AOL users.
  7. Doc Brown? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Great Scott! 8.7 gigawatts? Enough for nearly 6.7 time traveling DeLoreans.

    1. Re:Doc Brown? by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      8.7 divided by 1.21 = 7.1900826446281

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    2. Re:Doc Brown? by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 1

      That reply is so Slashdot

      --
      I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
  8. Poor Timing by FatdogHaiku · · Score: 1

    With a title starting "US Wind Capacity Surpasses Hydro..."
    I would think this is a Taco Tuesday story...

    --
    You have the right to remain sentient. If you give up the right to remain sentient, you will be elected to public office
  9. Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fossil fuels are gonna die in our lifetimes.

    New tech - is my game and fossil fuel is lame.

    1. Re:Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is overly optimistic, It certainly won't happen in the next 40-50 years. hard to predict beyond that but with new fossil fuel generators and capacity constantly being brought online and planned to be brought online in the next decade or so it will be a long time before a significant reduction happens let alone its death. Unless you expect your lifetime to be more than another 100+ years you are not living in reality with your expectations.

    2. Re:Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The investment community is already talking about FF stock prices crashing because of stranded assets.

      As far as timelines go, the global warming skeptics like our president want us to say on FF's forever.

      Here's a question for you: if renewable energy and storage got so cheap (without subsidies) in 10 years that most new cars were EV's and FF generating plants were being rapidly replaced, would you be sad or happy?

    3. Re: Who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we all won the lottery and gamma rays gave us superpowers, would you be sad or happy?

      It's a non-sequitur, because you're talking science fiction.

  10. Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    The issue with Wind and Solar is that they require large areas to be installed on (and power distribution, but I'll focus on the former).

    Considere this:
    The Larges Solar Farm (Kamuthi Solar Power Project, India) produces 648 MW but uses 10.1 km^2 [1]

    In Comparison:
    The Laguna Verde Nuclear Power Station in Mexico produces 1620 MW (2 x 810 MW) and is no larger than a warehouse.[2]
    AND, it was commissioned in the 90s...

    Conclusion:
    Progressives have been brainwashed by the Renewable cartel, just like Conservatives were by the Fossil Fuel Cartel.

    [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_photovoltaic_power_stations Note:Longyangxia Dam is mainly a hydroelectric power plant.
    [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laguna_Verde_Nuclear_Power_Station

    1. Re:Nuclear by Jeremi · · Score: 3

      The issue with Wind and Solar is that they require large areas to be installed on (and power distribution, but I'll focus on the former).

      That is an issue. Fortunately there are large areas available to install them on, both on land and at sea.

      Progressives have been brainwashed by the Renewable cartel, just like Conservatives were by the Fossil Fuel Cartel.

      Or, they realize that we'll continue to want to use energy long after fossil fuels are no longer practical to use, and are making sure we'll have the ability to do so.

      Would nuclear plants help solve that problem? They absolutely would, but only if they get built -- and post-Fukushima/Chernobyl, not many people want them built; fewer still want to pay the huge amounts of money it takes to secure them forever against all conceivable failure modes. Is that "brainwashing"? I guess you could call it that; another way to look at it is that people have seen what nuclear power is capable of, and decided they don't want it.

      I'd say that nuclear-fission power is in a similar position to fuel cells -- advanced technology with lots of promise, but trailing so badly behind the competition at this point that (barring some miraculous technological leap forward) it probably won't ever catch up and be competitive against other approaches.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    2. Re:Nuclear by by+(1706743) · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Except the US has a *lot* of land, a hefty chunk of which gets a lot of sun and has little development, yet is still relatively close to major metropolitan areas (namely Los Angeles, but add in Las Vegas, Phoenix, etc. for good measure). Additionally, solar (and to an extent wind) can be deployed on very small scales, making decentralized power generation feasible in certain areas (currently not legal with nuclear, though an RTG might do well in Alaska...).

      I'm all for nuclear as a source of clean energy, but having multiple sources of clean/renewable energy is a Good Thing.

    3. Re:Nuclear by dbIII · · Score: 2

      Additionally, solar ... Alaska

      Considering solar is used in summer at the Dome A camp a long way south in Antarctica it's not such a silly idea to use solar cut down on fuel usage for power generation in Alaska which gets far more sunlight. Apparently the panels were incredibly easy to install at Dome A - mounted vertically on poles!

    4. Re:Nuclear by haruchai · · Score: 1

      In the case of solar, you can install it locally, it scales up & down quite well.
      For wind turbines, bigger is better but that tends to upset of lot of people

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    5. Re:Nuclear by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The issue with Wind and Solar is that they require large areas to be installed on

      Why is that an "issue"? Do you actually believe that we are running out of land?

      Windfarms can have co-use as grazing or cropland

      Solar panels can go on rooftops, over parking lots, or in deserts.

    6. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That is an issue. Fortunately there are large areas available to install them on, both on land and at sea.

      So there are, in the US. We are also blessed with natural resources; should we squander those too? It is baffling how willing greens are to turn a blind eye to resource use, even as it directly relates to environmental impact. Using large geographical areas to farm energy also engages NIMBYs on a large scale, both for the generators and transmission network.

      Nuclear has the smallest environmental impact of any energy source, requiring the least land and resources. A wind turbine or solar panel may not look like much, but when you multiply the resources required to produce an equivalent amount of energy, even a conventional nuclear plant is downright tiny by comparison. Advanced nuclear can shrink it further yet.

      Or, they realize that we'll continue to want to use energy long after fossil fuels are no longer practical to use, and are making sure we'll have the ability to do so.

      Would nuclear plants help solve that problem? They absolutely would, but only if they get built -- and post-Fukushima/Chernobyl, not many people want them built; fewer still want to pay the huge amounts of money it takes to secure them forever against all conceivable failure modes. Is that "brainwashing"? I guess you could call it that; another way to look at it is that people have seen what nuclear power is capable of, and decided they don't want it.

      What people want is largely irrelevant, if it is incompatible with reality. If not nuclear, then the bulk of energy will continue to come from fossil fuels. Within renewable “success” stories like those of Germany and California, this truth is evident in the results. A little education would help people see through the blatant lies and elaborate deception that anti-nuclear and green propaganda are built upon.

      People don’t appreciate being lied to, and they will eventually learn the truth. Hopefully before too much more damage is done.

    7. Re:Nuclear by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      People would have no problem with nuclear if you can prevent a chernobyl/fukishima ever happening and you could decommission it safely with no fall out and do it cheaply. At the moment its expensive to build and expensive to take down. get rid of those issues and it would be fine.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    8. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except the US has a *lot* of land, a hefty chunk of which gets a lot of sun and has little development...

      But said land is home to the flippery minnow. You shall not built anything there said some environmentalist.

    9. Re:Nuclear by poofmeisterp · · Score: 1

      The issue with Wind and Solar is that they require large areas to be installed on (and power distribution, but I'll focus on the former).

      That is an issue. Fortunately there are large areas available to install them on, both on land and at sea.

      Progressives have been brainwashed by the Renewable cartel, just like Conservatives were by the Fossil Fuel Cartel.

      Or, they realize that we'll continue to want to use energy long after fossil fuels are no longer practical to use, and are making sure we'll have the ability to do so.

      Would nuclear plants help solve that problem? They absolutely would, but only if they get built -- and post-Fukushima/Chernobyl, not many people want them built; fewer still want to pay the huge amounts of money it takes to secure them forever against all conceivable failure modes. Is that "brainwashing"? I guess you could call it that; another way to look at it is that people have seen what nuclear power is capable of, and decided they don't want it.

      I'd say that nuclear-fission power is in a similar position to fuel cells -- advanced technology with lots of promise, but trailing so badly behind the competition at this point that (barring some miraculous technological leap forward) it probably won't ever catch up and be competitive against other approaches.

      I'm going to laugh when "eco people" blame the changes in the localized weather patterns on global warming and other shit before accepting that their disruption of the boundary layer (surface-> ~= 0-100-1000ft) winds is absorbing energy that fuels weather. (Planetary Boundary Layer)

      I'm "crazy" because I can see the future, but I already see lawsuits being filed against companies and neighbors for disruption of outdoor comfort at home (in the future, less than 20 years away).

    10. Re:Nuclear by poofmeisterp · · Score: 1

      I'm all for nuclear as a source of clean energy, but having multiple sources of clean/renewable energy is a Good Thing.

      I've never understood why we don't use spacecraft to transport depleted uranium into space, given how much "space" matter enters our atmosphere and increases the volume of our planet on a daily basis. I guess that's technically interfering with the normal processes of natural design because at the moment, our planet keeps gaining mass (the loss of atmospheric molecules to solar wind is much less than the amount of accretion via meteors/meteorites every day). If we "make it lose mass", we're interfering. Then again, altering the low-level surface winds and IR radiation effects with 'wind and solar' does, too, but proponents don't seem to mind that. Why don't those proponents shift their focus toward "not minding" the release of depleted uranium into space? Unless, of course, we can find a way to 100% reuse that depleted matter in the future... I digress.

    11. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The outrageous costs to "clean up" after Fukushima are largely due to the insane radiation standards in place, which do cause real damage both in terms of lives lost and economics. Read Petition EPA to Establish Scientific Bases for Risk-Based Radiation Regulations for details about the nature of the problem.

      Interestingly, Ukraine to increase nuclear share to 60%. It would seem that they have a different perspective on Chernobyl, probably because they witnessed firsthand just how exaggerated the threat of radiation is.

      Have a bit of perspective with Fukushima; no one was killed by radiation. Do you even remember what the actual disaster was? Many people probably don't, given that the media wholeheartedly seized the opportunity to terrorize people over harmless levels of radiation. The area is almost entirely habitable today, and no one is expected to die.

      Nuclear doesn't have to be expensive; a lot of people worked very hard to make it so. In fact, it isn't expensive everywhere. The predominant reactor technology doesn't help, but better designs already exist. If the political problems can be solved, serially produced molten salt reactors will make nuclear the lowest cost option of any energy source. This is a much better path than trying to drive up prices for carbon emitting sources so that expensive renewables can compete.

    12. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hydro takes a lot more space and is incredibly destructive:
      http://www.chinatravelca.com/wp-content/uploads/Three-Gorges-Dam-area-NASA.jpg

  11. Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    this is misleading because it measures nameplate capacity and not actual output. Wind turbines run about 30% of the time while hydro is normally 24/7. Besides, all this wind generation is a product of wasting the taxpayer's money on subsidies for non economic power generation assets.

    1. Re:Numbers? by haruchai · · Score: 2, Informative

      Read it again. The claim is that capacity factor for both is not that different. Hydro tends to be seasonal, especially if you're doing run-of-river but even reservoirs have low periods so you can't get close to 100% for very long

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    2. Re:Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wrote the water level and power generation monitoring systems for a four generator 13.5MW run of the river hydro in Honduras. I can confirm that at least for part of the year the generation and water levels are a lot lower. The company always had a lot less money those days. Probably varies from place to place tough.

    3. Re:Numbers? by boskone · · Score: 2

      with the new requirements to keep "spinning capacity" at a higher level than used to be required. Hydro is a *really* nice way to do that. just run enough water through the turbines to keep them in sync with the grid with basically zero load on them and you can drop a full load on them pretty damned quick if you lose a transmission line or see a spike in demand.

    4. Re:Numbers? by haruchai · · Score: 1

      "with the new requirements to keep "spinning capacity" at a higher level than used to be required"

      What's the reason & what's the diff between old requirements & new?

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
  12. How fucking dumb can a human be? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, right, the wind turbines remove ALL THE MOVEMENT FROM THE ATMOSPHERE.

    FFS, you're a moron. How do you manage to fit food into the right hole for eating in the first 8 times? I take it you have to extract that food back from the wrong hole many many times otherwise you'll starve to death, right?

    Oh, nukes are about 60% capacity (the USA deduct the time it's down for maintenance and when it's unable to run because there's not enough water flow or the water is too hot in the summers which is most of the missing 40%), whereas renewables are around 40%. So 50% increase. But, unlike nukes, renewables peak when demand is highest so you need less overcapacity and you have less negative profit energy, making them much better fitting. It's figured that you only need 60% of capacity for "baseload" when you use SPV and wind. So factoring that in you only need about 1/6th as much nameplate as nukes to come out even.

    And both are far FAR cheaper than nukes.

    1. Re:How fucking dumb can a human be? by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      Oh, nukes are about 60% capacity

      You have nuclear's capacity factor way wrong. According to this report, these are the average capacity factors in the US:

      Nuclear–90.3%
      Coal–63.8%
      Natural Gas Plant–42.5%
      Hydroelectric–39.8%
      Renewables (Wind/Solar/Biomass)–33.9%
      Oil–7.8%

      If you have different data that shows otherwise, please provide it.

      But, unlike nukes, renewables peak when demand is highest

      Nope, hydro is the only major renewable that peaks when demand is highest, and that's just because it's dispatchable. Solar peaks earlier in the day than the peak demand and wind has random peaks.

      --

      Enigma

    2. Re:How fucking dumb can a human be? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      You can not put Wind, Solar and Biomass into one kettle regarding CFs.
      Solar e.g. is usually just above 10%, Wind is around 35%, and biomass is dispatch able, that means you can have what ever CF you want.

      Solar peaks earlier in the day than the peak demand and wind has random peaks. Solar peaks for every plant individually depending into wich direction the panels are pointing. Big plants usually follow the sun, especially molten slat thermal ones. In general solar energy peaks around noon, obviously.

      When your demand is peaking depends on country and consumer behaviour. E.g. in Germany the load curve of the combined solar plants more or less follows the consumers.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re:How fucking dumb can a human be? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > wind has random peaks
      No, it does not. It is very predictable. Look at a real wind map. scratch that. Provide me with a real, actually occured wind map where all of the US has NO wind. or where all of the US has a lot of wind ...
      You will not be able to, because that is physically impossible.

  13. BFD by LeftCoastThinker · · Score: 1

    BFD wind just surpassed the measly 6% generated by hydro... Call me when it surpasses natural gas. We are stuck with fossil fuels or nuclear until we can commercialize the technology to store large amounts of electricity (real efficient storage, not compressed air).

    --
    If you disagree, please post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like
    1. Re:BFD by dbIII · · Score: 3, Informative

      commercialize the technology to store large amounts of electricity

      I did some work at one of those places you appear to think don't exist in 1996, and that pump storage plant was not new at the time. We certainly have the technology but you are looking at things the wrong way around. Since all storage methods are lossy the answer that has already happened is having a lot of little distributed generators (since gas is currently cheap that's where that huge percentage of gas has come from) that can be switched in as required by demand. The problem you are going on about has really already been solved at both ends.

      What I see in a lot of posts here is one dimensional thinking of single windmills (what do you do if there is no wind people cry - the blatantly obvious answer, already done, is build in more than one place!) or similar that ignore the existence of grids and interconnections between grids so assume that their single generator from their 1D thinking should have it's stuff stored when there is no demand for it. That's a very limited way of looking at things and it's almost always going to lead to very unrealistic conclusions. For a start, the low hydro number ignores the vast amount of power coming into the grid from Canada.

    2. Re:BFD by johnsie · · Score: 2

      With hydro you often have to get permission to drill a long tunnel through a mountain. Some governments are ok with this, but as seen in La Esperanza, Honduras where environmentalist Berta Cáceres was executed, sometimes the locals are not too happy about seeing their rivers and resources taken and other environmental impacts that a hydro can cause. You end up with big companies taking the law into their own hands. Wind, especially offshore is easier because it's a bit more out of the way and doesn't impact people's lives in the same way.

    3. Re:BFD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Spoken like a true professional, thanks.

    4. Re:BFD by LeftCoastThinker · · Score: 1

      LOL, I will not go into my qualifications to discuss the issue, but they are significant, I will allow my arguments to stand on their own.

      The problem with wind is that even if you build a shit ton of wind turbines all over the place, you can still have slack times where there is not enough wind on enough turbines to meet demand. You reference using gas turbines as backup, and while it is true that that is what takes up the slack now, it highlights the fact that wind/solar are not viable without fossil fuels to back them up when they fail, because the integrity of our electrical grid is not negotiable and can cause loss of life and certainly massive economic losses if the power goes down.

      What we need is something like the liquid metal battery or the ionospheric capacitor where we can store massive amounts of electricity efficiently for later efficient discharge. Storing electricity by converting it to compressed air in a volume loses about 70% of the energy between converting to mechanical and then back to electrical.

      --
      If you disagree, please post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like
    5. Re:BFD by dbIII · · Score: 1

      The problem with wind

      I mentioned gas as well (not as a backup but as it's actually used, as a peaking power source) to avoid smug little rants like yours. What's with all the charging at windmills?

      What we need is something like the liquid metal battery

      You have a fucking enormous grid spread over a lot of timezones with HVDC links all over the place reducing the losses to the point where storage looks incredibly stupid unless there is some other way around it. Storage is very lossy, even liquid metal batteries. Compressed air is indeed about as lossy as it gets but all storage methods suck in comparison to just bringing another small generator on line as needed.

      ionospheric capacitor

      Tinfoil hat time! Tesla had the excuse that tiny fragments of very weird information were all that was available about the ionosphere, so he thought he'd give a few things a go and see if they worked or not. You don't.

      I will not go into my qualifications to discuss the issue

      I actually don't know a lot about pumped hydro I was just giving an example, besides, this discussion is at the high school level anyway.

    6. Re:BFD by LeftCoastThinker · · Score: 1

      In power generation, you must always be able to generate the entire load of the grid, or you have brown outs or forced blackouts to balance the load with the supply. This means that things like wind must be backstopped with 100% capacity gas/coal/storage, not peak load gas as you assert. It may only happen a few times a year, but if you EVER have a moment when wind generation drops to zero (and you will), your gas turbines have to generate 100% of that load (not peak load) or bad things happen. The only way you could theoretically prevent this is if your wind turbine grid spans the entire globe and has something like 300-600% baseline capacity. As we don't have a grid like that, wind as anything but a small supplement to grid power is a pipe dream.

      If you do have brownouts, it can damage electronics and/or the grid hardware, and blackouts can cause car accidents, fatalities at hospitals and surgery centers as well as numerous other deleterious consequences.

      Take a look at this graph of a month long generation of wind power. See every time it dips to zero, that means no wind power during that period (which is minutes to hours). Compared to gas, coal or nuclear which are horizontal lines that match demand exactly.

      http://www.esru.strath.ac.uk/E...

      "tinfoil hat time"

      No need to be an ass, I was merely making the point that we do not currently have an efficient method of storing large amounts of electricity, and any proposed methods are theoretical and nowhere near production worthy.

      --
      If you disagree, please post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like
  14. Capacity factor misused again! by dbIII · · Score: 2

    OK kids - here's the rundown on power generation given to seventh graders visiting power stations on field trips.
    Base load is the minimum demand and it's handy having stuff running 24/7/365 to produce it. Thermal power (coal/nukes/gas when gas is cheap) and hydro are good for that.
    Peak loads are when demand is higher and you switch in other generators as needed.
    If you only need something for a few hours a day it has a low capacity factor no matter whether it's capable of running 24/7/365 or not.
    It's that simple.
    Think of that when somebody uses "capacity factor" to push an agenda and pretends it's an indication of downtime due to mechanical failure or a lack of wind/sun/gas/water. It appears to be the term of choice for political opposition to various sources of electricity generation and the misuse probably came from some pimply Washington intern who thought he was being deviously clever instead of a manipulative prick.

    1. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by Enigma2175 · · Score: 2

      Capacity factor absolutely matters when it comes to solar and wind because they are not dispatchable. The power they generate is at the mercy of the conditions, they generate when THEY want to generate, not when you want them to. The other types of generation you mentioned (hydro, coal, gas, nukes) are dispatchable so capacity factor is related to business needs and technical needs, not the weather conditions. A certain amount of solar and wind can be incorporated into the grid with good forecasting and a lot of load following or spinning reserve capacity (hydro is great at this, which is one of the reasons that its capacity factor is relatively low) but past a certain point you need grid storage to be able to incorporate intermittent sources like solar and wind.

      --

      Enigma

    2. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      Capacity factor absolutely matters when it comes to solar and wind because they are not dispatchable
      Are you sure you wanted to write that? This makes no sense.
      CF is completely irrelevant regarding dispatchability.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by dbIII · · Score: 1
      Why not just come out and say you don't believe me or don't want others to believe me?

      People who honestly doubt what I've written should just look it up.

      they generate when THEY want to generate, not when you want them to

      I really can't understand why some people today have such a naive idea about capitalism and also state run generators. In the former, they have to generate when wanted or they don't make money, in the latter they have to do what they are told or people get fired. There's no magic independence from the rest of the world that comes with owning a windmill.

    4. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by iris-n · · Score: 0

      Try running a hydroelectrical power plant 24/7/365 and see what happens.

      --
      entropy happens
    5. Re: Capacity factor misused again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Manitoban here.

      It works just fine. Sod off.

    6. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by bazorg · · Score: 1

      I don't have a hydroelectrical power plant handy to find out. What happens?

    7. Re: Capacity factor misused again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It works fine because it does not work at full capacity.

    8. Re: Capacity factor misused again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That wasn't the question. The question was "can it run 24/7/365?"

      It can. It does. Hundreds of thousands rely on it to heat their homes in some of the worst winter conditions on the planet.

    9. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by dwillden · · Score: 2

      The GP statement about generating when they want to generate has nothing to do with capitalism. It has to do with the fact that they generate only when there is wind or sufficient light. You have a peak event and need more power in the winter at night you can't turn to your solar sources for power.

      GP's comment had nothing to do with human choices or desires but all about the variability of nature and the direct impact it has on wind and solar.

      --
      I'm too lazy to compose a creative sig.
    10. Re: Capacity factor misused again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You get large amounts of low cost power for a really long time.

      It's terrible.

    11. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by iris-n · · Score: 1

      The reservoir gets empty.

      --
      entropy happens
    12. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by johnsie · · Score: 2

      I wrote the software to monitor water levels and and generation for a 13.5MW hydro. Here's what happens when the water levels are low, at least in our place. The operator in the control room presses a button* which causes less water to go through the turbines. This creates less kW but means you can save water. If there are multiple generators (we had four) then you can also disable one or more of those. That also saves water. We were pretty much running all the time, but sometimes had to manage the output using the methods I've described. If you're completely running out of water then you're doing it wrong. *Our 'button' was on a proface screen that used modbus protocol to control a relay which opened and closed water valves, allowing the operator to control water usage and kW output.

    13. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by dbIII · · Score: 0
      How convenient it is that you overlooked wind, gas, thermal co-generation and other non-solar generating sources with low capacity factor.

      Most of the time the stuff is offline because the are not needed at that moment FFS - hence the low capacity factor that manipulative folks pretend means the generating source is no good.

      GP's comment had nothing to do with human choices

      The GP's comment was really just pushing a political party line and was somewhat orthogonal to reality. I didn't point it out because is should have been obvious.

    14. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by dbIII · · Score: 1

      The reservoir gets empty.

      Cool - so with that Niagara plant running all the time that means you'll be able to walk from Cleveland to Canada across the bed of Lake Erie? Or does it mean you are incorrect?
      Hoover would have thought?
      How about those Canadians running hydro all the time - dam nation!

    15. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by iris-n · · Score: 1

      There is no point in replying to you, since you are just playing dumb.

      --
      entropy happens
    16. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by dbIII · · Score: 2

      My point unfortunately is that you were not playing at being dumb. Best comment on something you know about if you do not wish to be laughed at. Most hydro around the world uses something close to the normal flow of whatever body of water they are located on. Most hydro around the world is base load power.

    17. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      The subsidy farmers have issued a new press release and of course the media picks it up and runs with it without asking any real questions because SavingThePlanet.

    18. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by johnsie · · Score: 1

      Our privately owned hydro supplemented the power running on the publicly owned national grid (who mainly used carbon based generators). The national supplier couldn't power the city without us, and we couldn't power the city without them. So when the grid power failed the people in town often mistakenly blamed us. This happens a lot in countries where the national grid is badly managed. You do on the whole try to keep the water usage a little bit lower than what is coming in from the rivers. This is averaged out during the day. Sometimes you can increase the intake at certain parts of the day. If your contract with the grid pays more per kWh during peak periods then obviously you're going to want to generate as much power as possible during the day. Then you might have to make up for that during the off-peak periods by using a lot less water to balance things out. Our town often had a low voltage at night, probably for that reason. A few times the operator mistakenly used too much water during the night and generated too much off-peak power. That was pretty much throwing money away.

    19. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      What the fuck are you talking about? I didn't say anything at all about politics. As dwilden stated, I only pointed out capacity factor is relevant when discussing wind or solar. You partisan fucks that can't even discuss a technical issue without determining which "team" the other poster is on make me sick.

      The GP's comment was really just pushing a political party line

      Nope

      and was somewhat orthogonal to reality. I didn't point it out because is should have been obvious.

      What did I say that is "orthogonal to reality"? It's not obvious to ME (the person who actually posted the comment) so please point out where you think I erred, but please provide your sources and leave politics out of it.

      --

      Enigma

    20. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by iris-n · · Score: 1

      I was simply not expecting you to deliberately misunderstand me, so I didn't write precisely enough. Sigh. It's much easier to have a constructive discussion when there is a minimal amount of goodwill.

      What I meant is that you cannot run a hydroelectric power plant at full power all the time, as this would quickly drain the reservoir. And it is not even useful to do that, as you would just waste the energy produced at night. So lacking water for producing energy is actually a thing, unlike for example a nuclear power plant, which can run at full power pretty much all the time (i.e. but for maintenance and refuelling).

      As a concrete example, Brazil had a major crisis in 2001 when its hydroelectrics couldn't produce enough energy due to a drought (I mean, the real cause was incompetence in planning, but the problem was triggered by a drought).

      --
      entropy happens
    21. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by Enigma2175 · · Score: 2

      Absolutely dispatchability is relevant when discussing capacity factor. For example, the reason that hydro's capacity factor isn't near 100% is that it can be dispatched to load follow so it's not running all the time, decreasing its capacity factor. When building a hydro installation they size the generators for a higher load than the inputs can provide. If CF wasn't related to dispatchability the generators would just be sized to generate the amount of power the input river generates on average and run at 100% all the time (some hydro plants are like this, but only in areas where they don't need the flexibility). The reason nuclear's CF is so high is the plants have a huge capital costs, low fuel costs and long ramp times so it makes economic sense to run the plant near full blast as much as you can. For a natural gas turbine fuel costs are high and dispatchability is high, so they are usually run as load following or peaking plants, hence a lower CF. Dispatchability is related to the load factor in all three types of generation that I mentioned, I don't see how you think it isn't.

      --

      Enigma

    22. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Absolutely dispatchability is relevant when discussing capacity factor.
      Discussing? No idea what you want to discuss there.

      For example, the reason that hydro's capacity factor isn't near 100% is that it can be dispatched to load follow [wikipedia.org] so it's not running all the time

      Depends on the plant. Dams are usually load following and river flow crafts are usually base load.

      The CF is a result how you run the plant.

      Dispatchability is related to the load factor in all three types of generation that I mentioned, I don't see how you think it isn't.
      Because OP said it opposite around. He claimed CF is the reason for dispatching or not dispatching a plant. And for non dispatachble plants like a wind or solar plant: this makes no sense at all.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    23. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      Depends on the plant. Dams are usually load following and river flow crafts are usually base load.

      Yes, because run of the river plants have limited dispatchability (no dispatchability if they have no impoundment at all) so they are run as base load. Which point are you arguing? Originally you said that CF has nothing to do with dispatchability but then you post an example where the capacity factor is directly related to how dispatchable the plant is (RotR vs dams). Which it it?

      The CF is a result how you run the plant.

      Exactly. And how you run the plant is predicated on its dispatchability.

      --

      Enigma

    24. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by dbIII · · Score: 1

      What I meant is that you cannot run a hydroelectric power plant at full power all the time

      Many do.
      It's best not to just make things up on a site like this where others actually know something about the topic.

    25. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by dbIII · · Score: 1

      You deliberately equated capacity factor with unavoidable downtime. You are obviously doing it to manipulate for partisan political reasons. It's annoying as fuck that power generation has been chosen as a point of difference between parties and that I get exposed to people like you.
      It's even more annoying that you cannot work that out from a more polite post.

    26. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      Nope, sorry no political agenda. The fact that you see a political opponent any time someone disagrees with you might point to you being the problem, not everyone else.

      --

      Enigma

    27. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Considering you are arguing against reality there's got to be some strong motive such as politics in such madness - plus it's all out of a worn party playbook, you're something like the 20th partisan prick that's attempted this misinformation here this year and it's only March. How about thinking for yourself instead of following some bullshit "talking points" dreamed up by a political intern much dumber and younger than you?

    28. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Originally you said that CF has nothing to do with dispatchability
      Because they have not? They are orthogonal concepts? I can have a non dispatchable solar plant with 12% CF and a highly dispatchable bio mass plant which I use for balancing power with 12% CF ...

      Why don't you simply go back in the chain of posts and check the post I answered to?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    29. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by iris-n · · Score: 1

      [citation needed]

      --
      entropy happens
    30. Re:Capacity factor misused again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're an idiot. Do your keepers even let you near light switches ?

      Renewables generate power when they generate power.
      Demand occurs when demand occurs.

      Turning on a light switch doesn't make the sun shine or the wind blow.

      So yes dispatchable power is important, and high availability are important.

  15. Obligatory XKCD. by Falconhell · · Score: 2
  16. Wind can be seasonal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Last year I had the chance to work for several months in the Allegheny Mountains of far western Maryland and southwestern Pennsylvannia, and northern West Virginia. There are hundreds of wind turbines throughout the region. But what I noticed is that during the summertime, the air was often still for days at a time and those blades weren't turning. The towers are everywhere, and you just couldn't help but notice the lack of movement.

  17. Trump will need to put a stop to that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That is the one way to put the Coal Miners back to work.

    1. Re:Trump will need to put a stop to that. by gtall · · Score: 2

      More probably the new machines the coal operators have planned for when the Trump Gravy Train leaves the station. The coal workers will get nothing, and then get screwed out of ACA benefits by the new Republican ACA Light Plan for not working yet obstinately continue to suffer for the conditions they received from digging said coal before gas stole their lunch. They can always petition the Baby Christian in Chief but it won't do them any good.

  18. It drains energy from athmosphere! by aglider · · Score: 1

    That's the most important part, to me.

    --
    Sent as ripples into the electromagnetic field. No single photon has been harmed in the process.
    1. Re:It drains energy from athmosphere! by dehachel12 · · Score: 1

      You are and idiot. Where does that energy go? If it would disappear it would violate some laws.

    2. Re:It drains energy from athmosphere! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A butterfly flapping its wings in the Amazon causes a drought in California. Tens of thousands of windmills cause California to fall into the ocean. Yes I'm all for windmills.

    3. Re:It drains energy from athmosphere! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The wind is what makes the earth spin.
      Put too many windmills and the earth will slow down.
      And if the earth slows down work days will become longer and the 1% will use it as an excuse to make us work longer and pay us less.

    4. Re:It drains energy from athmosphere! by aglider · · Score: 1

      Maybe it becomes electricity. But I could be wrong and all that energy becomes idiots like you and me.

      --
      Sent as ripples into the electromagnetic field. No single photon has been harmed in the process.
    5. Re:It drains energy from athmosphere! by aglider · · Score: 1

      > The wind is what makes the earth spin. I thought that the wind was what makes the dust spin into your empty head.

      --
      Sent as ripples into the electromagnetic field. No single photon has been harmed in the process.
    6. Re:It drains energy from athmosphere! by dehachel12 · · Score: 1

      that electricity is immediately turned into waste-heat, which enters the atmosphere again.

    7. Re:It drains energy from athmosphere! by aglider · · Score: 1

      Immediately ???
      Maybe after some use.
      The alternative is not to harvest any from the atmosphere and brun something in order to "immediately turn it into waste-heat".
      The idea is to subtract energy from the atmosphere, convert (part of) it into energy and use it.
      Maybe I am wrong, but I don't see this plan any worse than any other plan about renewables. This very one has this plus to drain energy from atmosphere: do you know any other way to do it?

      --
      Sent as ripples into the electromagnetic field. No single photon has been harmed in the process.
  19. Hypocrite Greens hate hydro by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This isn't a surprise. My gay roommate worked on getting four of the Iron Gate dams and three other dams in Oregon shutdown, this is certainly not a surprise. They are very against clean power. They don't like wind cause it kills the birds. They don't like hydro cause it kills the fish. They don't like coal cause it kills the chinamen. Do they like nuclear? Who knows.

    I know this much: I don't like greens. If I got drunk at a bar I'd kick one in the teeth so hard that he would need dentures.

  20. POTENTIAL capacity. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not actually delivered on demand capacity.

    1. Re:POTENTIAL capacity. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Same problem for nukes. They produce when they're on and don't when they're off. If your whine was important to consider a problem, then it's a problem for every other system apart from gas. Which is the most expensive power generation system in widespread use.

  21. Probably 4-6x the power output. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For the same rough footprint, modern designs are cheaper, easier to maintain, and give several times the power output today that they did back in the 80s.

  22. Demand can be seasonal. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So quite why your post is of any point whatsoever remains nonexistent bullshit.

    1. Re:Demand can be seasonal. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Looks like inconvenient facts made your neurons misfire.

  23. Capacity factor by stabiesoft · · Score: 1

    I think hydro at least in cases where water is available, can be used for peaking. I think equating the cap factor of wind and water is somewhat misleading. I know locally the generation is targeted to meet demand for the hydro. Its hard to store up a big gust of wind for later use.

    1. Re:Capacity factor by johnsie · · Score: 1

      Both depend on mother nature providing the goods. Climate change is affecting many hydros especially in Central America where they have gone several years without a decent amount of rainfall in the "rainy seasons". What you end up with is hydros sitting at the minimum kWh output because it's a lot drier than it used to be. And so the carbon burning generators need to make up for that.

  24. Is it any wonder? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is it any wonder? There have been HUGE tax incentives (read they are giving away your money and mine) to install windmills, and at the same time, have been "busting dams" since the Clinton Administration in the name of "save the fish". http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/obama-administration-orders-study-removing-dams-snake-river-help-fish

  25. Destroying the Natural Beauty of our Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Windmills are the worst. Their destruction of our natural environment goes unnoticed by many, but really, do they have to scar up some of the most beautiful landscapes in the world?

  26. Annual repair bill by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most whirly gigs need their main bearings replaced each year. This is a minimum of $100000. And that is for a 2.75MW unit.

  27. Bird problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bird problem

    No bird problem here. I have enough cats that they kill the birds before they can drop shit randomly from the sky.

  28. Online Tech Dictionary for IT Professionals. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I do some work at one of those spots you seem to think don't exist in 1997, and that pump stockpiling plant was not new at the time. We positively have the innovation however you are taking a gander at things the wrong route around. Since all stockpiling strategies are misfortune the appropriate response that has as of now happened is having a ton of minimal dispersed generators (since gas is presently shoddy that is the place that tremendous rate of gas has originated from) that can be exchanged in as required by request. The issue you are going ahead about has truly as of now been tackled at both closures. What I find in a great deal of posts here is one dimensional considering single windmills (what do you do if there is no wind individuals cry - the glaringly evident answer, officially done, is work in more than one place!) or comparable that disregard the presence of frameworks and interconnections between networks so accept that their single generator from their 1D intuition ought to have it's stuff put away when there is no interest for it. That is an exceptionally constrained method for taking a gander at things and it's quite often going to prompt to extremely implausible conclusions. For a begin, the low hydro number overlooks the unfathomable measure of force coming into the network from Canada. read more visit http://www.webopedia.com/

  29. What about my time machine? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There's barely enough power there to power more than a handful of flux capacitors.

    The US better start catching up on power generation or it's going to be a big problem when everyone starts demanding their own 1.21GW for their time machines.