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BMW Says Self-Driving Car To Be Level 5 Capable In Five Years (reuters.com)

German carmaker BMW is on track to deliver a self-driving car by 2021, the company's senior vice president for Autonomous Driving, Elmar Frickenstein, said on Thursday. From a report: "We are on the way to deliver a car in 2021 with level 3, 4 and 5," Frickenstein told a panel discussion in Berlin, explaining the vehicle will have different levels of autonomy, depending on how and where it is used. A level 5 vehicle is capable of navigating roads without any driver input, while a level 3 car still needs a steering wheel and a driver who can take over if the car encounters a problem.

23 of 149 comments (clear)

  1. Five years? by freeze128 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Hell! I'm Level 5 right NOW.

    BTW: WTF is Level 5?

  2. blinker too? by Frederic54 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It would be cool is future BMW have blinkers, because all the ones I see on the road do not!

    --
    "Science will win because it works." - Stephen Hawking
  3. Re:No one can afford german, not my generation by GrumpySteen · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So you can't afford a $17k VW Jetta, but you're confident that the $30k Tesla 3 will replace it in the market?

    Are you Joe the Plumber?

  4. Yawn. by Ichijo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    the vehicle will have different levels of autonomy, depending on how and where it is used.

    So it's autonomous except when it isn't.

    Wake me when we have a car that's full-time Level 5.

    --
    Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    1. Re:Yawn. by b0bby · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If it can drive 80% or more of a 200 mile trip, I'm buying one. I can handle the edge cases myself for a few more years.

    2. Re:Yawn. by MadCow42 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, that's only valid if the 80% or more of the trip that it CAN handle are known ahead of time. If the 20% of cases that it can't handle are "surprise, there's a deer on the road ahead!" or "surprise, the guy in front of you slammed on his brakes!", then you still have to sit there 100% of the time ready to react.

      you need 100% confidence that the care is fully capable of handling EVERYTHING that comes up for the next XYZ minutes/hours/miles/whatever to be able to really have a useful Level 5.

      Personally I'd rather be driving the car than sitting there prepared to take over just in case something goes wrong. Until I'm not needed at all for driving, I'll keep the control thank you.

      --
      I used to have a sig, but I set it free and it never came back.
    3. Re:Yawn. by Immerman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      At least far enough ahead of time to give you take a few minutes to wake up and figure out what's going on before you have to take control.

      I mean I'm totally fine with "hey, there's snow/mudslides/migrating crabs covering the road, and I'm not sure what to do, so I'll pull over while I wake you up to decide what to do."

      For the faulty, over-hyped present though there's far too much "I'm confused. Catch!" going on. Or worse, "I misunderstood what I thought I saw, goodbye." I'll keep control myself, thanks.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    4. Re:Yawn. by BasilBrush · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Reacting to stuff in the road in front of you like your 2 examples is the easy stuff where automation is already better than you are.

    5. Re:Yawn. by Kjella · · Score: 5, Informative

      So it's autonomous except when it isn't. Wake me when we have a car that's full-time Level 5.

      Level 3: Within known, limited environments (such as freeways), the driver can safely turn their attention away from driving tasks, but must still be prepared to take control when needed.

      When a level 3 car is driving, you're not. You will not be required to jump in and intercept or overrule the car. But it will be normal for the car to say "Your exit is coming up, please take over" or "The road markings are too unclear, please take over" or "There's road construction ahead, please take over" or "There's emergency services with sirens nearby, please take over" and so on and if you don't it'll pull over and refuse to drive. Unless you want clogged roads with pulled over SDCs, the driver has to be ready to take control within a reasonably short time. This is basically "I'll handle the best conditions", level 4 is "I'll handle all normal conditions" and level 5 "I'll handle all conditions". But they're all genuinely self-driving within those confines.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    6. Re:Yawn. by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Flying is hours of boredom punctuated by seconds of pure terror.
      Pilots train long and hard for this.

    7. Re:Yawn. by BasilBrush · · Score: 2

      The automated car doesn't have to be better than humans for every single case. It just has to statistically have less collisions and less fatalities than when the cars are people are driving.

  5. Even better by s.petry · · Score: 2

    LUDICROUS SPEED!

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

  6. Re:So what? by Altus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I suspect you will see a pretty big shift in what makes a car desirable when self driving cars become the norm, its hard to say if ownership will even be as common as it is now, it seems unlikely that kids who grow up in a family that has a self driving car will ever learn to drive.

    I suspect that more and more, in car entertainment, comfort, ride smoothness and fuel economy/range will be the primary things used to market cars in the future and not the ultimateness of the driving machine.

    --

    "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

  7. Doubtful by Arkham · · Score: 2

    Level 5 takes full autonomy to "all driving modes." That means the car is fully capable of driving itself anywhere in any condition, from a snowy, moonlit road to an unmapped desert. It should be noted that, at this point, Level 5 is theoretical. One Audi representative went so far as to describe it as "mythical." It's unlikely we'll see Level 5 autonomous driving in our lifetimes.

    http://mashable.com/2016/08/26...

    Level 4 is definitely obtainable though.

    --
    - Vincit qui patitur.
  8. Re:Would like to see what different levels mean by Ultra64 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Level 3: Within known, limited environments (such as freeways), the driver can safely turn their attention away from driving tasks, but must still be prepared to take control when needed.
    Level 4: The automated system can control the vehicle in all but a few environments such as severe weather. The driver must enable the automated system only when it is safe to do so. When enabled, driver attention is not required.
    Level 5: Other than setting the destination and starting the system, no human intervention is required. The automatic system can drive to any location where it is legal to drive and make its own decisions.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

  9. CIA etc might kill you... by ClarkMills · · Score: 2

    I'm an advocate for:

    * Electric
    * Autonomous
    * Shared (ie I don't own it)

    vehicles. I like the potential for:

    * Quiet roads
    * Efficient travel (I'm a lead-foot)
    * No fumes
    * Shared rides even
    * Time to browse /. :)
    * TXT/IM/phone & drive legally
    * Clear the parked cars of the streets (more lanes, even more efficient)
    * Garage & driveway space freed up

    I'm just a little worried about people tampering with the smarts and picking you off. I know of two incidents where people who were about to "talk" within days /hours seemed to have their high-tech cars go nuts and kill them.

    That really is my only concern... (adjusts tin foil hat)...

  10. Re:So what? by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

    As a counter example I put up my German Aunt. Took her more than two years and five figures to get her license, but she still can't drive for shit. She will stop in the middle of an intersection to argue about the route with her passenger.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  11. Re:So what? by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Yeah, I remember being called names and downvoted when I said no way that was going to happen. I even wonder about five years. I took a ferry last week and despite talking with three different people I was still clueless, not to mention the hand signals that people were giving me.

    wait, what lane do you want me to go in?

    Randomly picks a lane, wait for yelling to commence if I guess wrong.

  12. Re:So what? by tlhIngan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Wanta drive, kid? Show how much you want it by learning how or take public transportation.

    The problem is needing to drive in the first place.

    In places with good public transportation (e.g., Europe), you don't need to drive - you can get around pretty damn effectively with just public transportation. Hell, you can even get between cities taking the trains and planes and never needing to step in a car.

    Problem is, then you go to places like North America, where the vast majority of cities are car-only. Walking only gets you from one big box store to another (assuming you can cross that 10 lane highway in-between them), and public transit is non-existent. There you less WANT to drive but instead NEED to drive.

    Driving's a chore. It's something most drivers in North America don't want to do (as evidenced by their attention being held elsewhere, typically on small handheld devices). What needs to be done is eliminating the need to drive, so those who drive are those that want to.

  13. Re:So what? by Overzeetop · · Score: 2

    Better yet, if we can get your sorry ass off the road and replace you with a self-driving vehicle, we won't have to pay your salary and all the shit you peddle will be cheaper. You'll be fine because you've saved your money and have a comfy retirement, so we all win. Or you'll die penniless having spent your money and had your job eliminated due to automation, in which case we win. Either way, it's a win for most of us.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  14. Missing the point of Level 5 by thisisauniqueid · · Score: 3, Insightful

    He's totally missing the point of the definitions. Level 3 is "can drive autonomously, in some conditions, with occasional human intervention". Level 4 is "can drive autonomously, in some conditions, without human intervention". Level 5 is "can drive autonomously, in any conditions that a human can drive in, without human intervention". Saying "We can do Level 3, 4, or 5, depending on the conditions" is saying "We can do Level 3".

  15. Weather by fluffernutter · · Score: 2

    Not in all weather they won't. Only people in moderate climates will be able to use these.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  16. Re:So what? by Xenna · · Score: 2

    > In places with good public transportation (e.g., Europe)

    What? Have you ever been to Europe? I live there, probably in one of the places with the best public transport and it's STILL a disaster. Sure, I can get to work with public transport but it'll take me 3 times as long and I'll be stuck in a cramped space with people I don't want to be stuck with.

    I'll just take the car, thank you, like most people around here who can afford one.