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The Cheap Energy Revolution Is Here, and Coal Won't Cut It (bloomberg.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: Wind and solar are about to become unstoppable, natural gas and oil production are approaching their peak, and electric cars and batteries for the grid are waiting to take over. This is the world Donald Trump inherited as U.S. president. And yet his energy plan is to cut regulations to resuscitate the one sector that's never coming back: coal. Clean energy installations broke new records worldwide in 2016, and wind and solar are seeing twice as much funding as fossil fuels, according to new data released Tuesday by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF). That's largely because prices continue to fall. Solar power, for the first time, is becoming the cheapest form of new electricity in the world. But with Trump's deregulations plans, what "we're going to see is the age of plenty -- on steroids," BNEF founder Michael Liebreich said. "That's good news economically, except there's one fly in the ointment, and that's climate."

18 of 478 comments (clear)

  1. And the side effect is safer food by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    less coal burning means less mercury in fish.

    But Trump allowed coal miners to dump their crap into water, polluting it and of course, the fish down stream.

    And while the rich coal mine owners line their pockets with more money, the communities that they destroyed have to buy bottled water.

    Privatize the profits and socialize the costs - including the health costs to the people.

    Yeah. Capitalism. Yeah. Trump. Making America Great again....more like throwing it back decades.

    Coal is a shit fuel, it's outdated, old, inefficient and should just die. It's not cheap, either. It only SEEMS cheap because the costs are being subsidized by the rest of us.

  2. Re:Incorrect by crow · · Score: 3, Informative

    With climate change, there's more energy in the atmosphere than before, so pulling a tiny amount out with wind turbines will help, not hurt. That said, the sort of wind power being installed now can't be taking more than a fraction of a rounding error of energy out of the atmosphere so it's only theoretical.

  3. Re:Total regulatory impact 2-3 percent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Coal accounts for over 40% of electric generation in the US. Solar is less than 1% and wind is about 5%. Coal is not going anywhere.

  4. Re:This is retarded conservatism to help 'coal' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    We have given them medical coverage for their black lung disease through the ACA (in the past coal industry provided doctors had to make the diagnosis, and surprisingly nobody had black lung disease, now they are being recognized and treated) and they voted for a candidate who promised to kill the ACA

    We have offered them job retraining and a future in solar energy and they voted for a candidate who promised to keep sending them underground to die by promising further deregulation to coal mine owners who regularly turn off methane detectors

    Give 'em what they want, and when they get tired of being abused, send them back down because they have already rejected our offers

    If I seem cold, it is because all of my ancestors were coal miners and WE figured this out decades ago.

  5. Coal is the single WORST way to get energy by gurps_npc · · Score: 5, Informative

    1) It produces more radioactivity than all other energy sources, including Nuclear power. (A small percentage of coal is thorium, which settles around wherever you burn the coal.)

    2) It takes more work to mine it than all other sources (including uranium - though it does require less processing).

    3) It takes more work to ship it from it's source to the plant than all other energy types.

    4) It produces more carbon pollution than all other sources. Coal is basically pure carbon plus some nasty impurities. Oil and gas are Carbon + Hydrogen + some other stuff. Carbon burns to Carbon Dioxide (or worse, monoxide). Hydrogen burns nice and clean, turning into water.

    5) Coal contains trace amounts of mercury, which when burned makes it's way into the atmosphere, then rains down into the oceans. Nasty stuff. No other energy source has this problem.

    6) Coal mining has some nasty problems, including black lung disease and sometimes starts underground fires we literally can NOT put out.

    No sane person mines coal for energy if they have any other energy source. All others are safer and better. Burning oil, gas, or wood are all better. Nuclear is better. Tidal, wind, solar, hydro, are all better.

    Coal mining should only be used after you have burned all your forests up, mined all your uraninum, pumped all your natural gas and oil, and the sun has gone out.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  6. Re:If the headline is true... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    and coal is going to die, why the worry and fret about coal deregulation (as opposed to subsidies)?

    Because clean water. And air.

  7. Re:If the headline is true... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Because a dying industry that is dumping toxic crud into creeks and rivers is still an industry that is dumping toxic crud into creeks and rivers?

    Because just because something is in the process of dying doesn't mean it is harmless... quite the opposite usually...

  8. Re: prediction... more good comments... not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    We are no where near the limit on natural gas. And natural gas is one byproduct of oil extraction. But the rest of your comment is on point.

    If we actually had to look at the total cost of coal to our country, we'd see that it would be cheaper to setup a pension for all the miners and pay to retrain the younger ones and early retirement for the older ones. It's lived long enough on our subsidies. Pay the people, not the industry and shut it all down.

  9. Re:This is retarded conservatism to help 'coal' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Activated charcoal is made from wood.

  10. Re:Storage? by MountainLogic · · Score: 4, Informative
    Pumped Hydro can provide massive storage. These are closed loop dams with an upper pool and a lower pool. To story energy you pump water from the lower pool to the upper pool and to recover energy you run water through a generator from the upper pool to the lower pool. There are pumped hydro facilities as large as 3 GW. As these are closed systems they do not have the same impact that putting a dam on a river has.

    Another solution are distributed batteries at each substation. This has the dual advantage of helping with small transients on a branch and, when scaled out, adding substantial reserve capacity for the grid as a whole. The value to the grid in transient mitigation is cheaper than adding more transmission capability so the grid level storage is a free benefit.

    Perhaps the best way of handling renewables is Demand Response. Many functions can be shifted as power becomes more plentiful, such as cooling can be moved from real time (daytime) to making ice at night when it is cooler (and more energy efficient anyway as the outside air is cooler) and then that ice can be used during the day to cool a building.

  11. Re:This is retarded conservatism to help 'coal' by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Informative

    The problem is that even if coal is completely deregulated, it's not miners who are going to be doing the extraction. The future of mining is automated. At best this will just give the coal barons a few more years of profit and do dick for the miners.

    But it's not even going to be that good. Natural gas is killing coal, so there isn't even going to be a coal industry by the time renewables dominate. This is a classic "buggy whip" problem, in that there ain't gonna be no more horse-drawn carriages, so there ain't gonna be no more buggy whips. Whatever you think of Clinton, she was telling the miners the truth, their jobs are quickly becoming obsolete.

    And the same goes for lots of other industries. Manufacturing is rapidly automating, so that even mass repatriation of US industrial capacity is not going to deliver the same level of employment that was there even thirty years ago. There's nothing the US government can do about it, short of outlawing automation and renewables, which would be sheer madness.

    Christ, no less than Rick Perry himself has admitted the US needs to stay in the Paris Accord. Even the most pro-oil of pro-oil politicians know full well the jig is up. Oil isn't coming back, and as the price falls away it's impact on the economy diminishes. Coal was the first because it's the most expensive and most obviously harmful, but it applies to all the fossil fuels.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  12. Coal won't cut it? by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 2, Informative

    From the DoE:

    Major energy sources and percent shares of U.S. electricity generation at utility-scale facilities in 2016:

    Natural gas = 33.8%
    Coal = 30.4%
    Nuclear = 19.7%
    Renewables (total) = 14.9%
    Hydropower = 6.5%
    Wind = 5.6%
    Biomass = 1.5%
    Solar = 0.9%
    Geothermal = 0.4%
    Petroleum = 0.6%
    Other gases = 0.3%
    Other nonrenewable sources = 0.3%
    Pumped storage hydroelectricity = -0.2%

    So, wind + solar = 6.5%
    Coal + natural gas + nuclear = 83.9%

    Winner = not renewables

    If coal's been on the decline it's only because the Obama administration demonized it and because we had a happy accident of finding an abundance of natural gas. Wind and solar would be nowhere without massive government subsidies.

    Meanwhile, I'm still waiting on those fusion reactors.

    --
    In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
  13. Right, and then horse shit by s.petry · · Score: 1, Informative

    You correctly arrived at one response, that nothing you do now will change the inevitable failure of coal.

    My crystal ball does not work well enough to say that coal will die. Propagandists make the claim, I wait for what really happens. That is called reality.

    You incorrectly think that market failures for growing new energy are unusual. The major thing that kept renewables down for so long was access to capital. When most nations and corporations started investing capital in renewables, costs dropped. It's how capitalism works.

    I made no such claim, but your claim is a flat out lie. Subsidies have been poured into alternative energy, and this is still happening at massive scale. Take away the tax credits, incentives and subsidies and alternatives would not be able to compete with the exception of nuclear power. Wind requires massive amounts of land, and solar is still not cost effective for about a decade and panels don't last that long. We have certainly seen improvements, but the push to _use_ is not coming from the market but Government regulations and policies. Not Capitalism, but Tyranny (text book definition).

    As to your own rates, that's probably because you haven't taken control of your own energy production, and built your own renewables, like a true capitalist would. You probably depend on Big Government for your energy supply for the most part.

    Energy production in the US is run and regulated by Federal and State authorities. Capitalism is not at play here, though in certain areas you may be permitted to install Solar panels. This reduces some costs, but lacks storage which you would not be allowed to build due to regulation. As with above, this is not Capitalism but Tyranny.

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

  14. Re:prediction... more good comments... not by Anubis+IV · · Score: 4, Informative

    For a change of pace, how about we talk about the fact that everything the article had to say about the deregulation was quoted in the summary? I actually read through the article to get more details, but none were to be found.

    The rest of the article provides some (quite interesting and informative!) graphs and analysis about the current and future state of energy both globally and in the US. Nowhere in the article did they talk about what form the deregulation would take, when it would start, when Trump approved it, or any of the other salient details you'd expect in an article that was ostensibly about coal deregulation.

    I have no reason to doubt that Trump is doing exactly as Bloomberg said, but I'd love to see some information about it, rather than the bait-and-switch they pulled with their lede that has nothing at all to do with the rest of the article. Alternatively, Bloomberg could have just shown me the graphs, since they're good in their own right and shouldn't be buried under a lede that has nothing to do with them.

    Which is to say, as you see the comments filling up with people arguing about deregulating coal, enjoy a nice laugh at the fact that they're taking sides based on an article that has nothing to do with the topic they're arguing about.

  15. The jobs aren't coming back by XXongo · · Score: 4, Informative

    Sarcasm aside, that is exactly why coal jobs are not coming back. Coal production is in fact very close to an all-time high in the United States-- we're mining about 900 million tons a year, more coal now than we did in 1990 (or any year before then).

    But we're doing it with machinery now, not with coal miners. Even if coal production increases, the jobs ain't coming back.

    Graph: http://www.insidenergy.com/wp-...

  16. Re: prediction... more good comments... not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    I thought that the Keystone Pipeline oil was supposed to be export-only, not for use in the U.S.

    http://www.factcheck.org/2015/03/more-keystone-spin/ - says that the oil is to be refined in the U.S. and then exported. So gas prices coming down from it will be indirect (by decreasing foreign demand on the open market).

    Does anyone have a more recent source?

  17. Re:This is retarded conservatism to help 'coal' by argStyopa · · Score: 2, Informative

    "something that is dying because of market forces"
    I'm not sure that's /precisely/ true? Market forces?

    Coal is dying because of massive government investment and subsidies compared to the other industries.

    As much as we'd like to simply 'declare' that coal is dead, the only reason we can afford the other technologies is ... because we're staggeringly wealthy and can afford to blow money on them.

    "U.S. Energy Information Administration data shows that:
    - solar energy was subsidized at $231.21 per megawatt hour
    - wind at $35.33 per megawatt hour
    - coal at $0.53 per mwh
    - natural gas/petroleum at $0.67 per mwh
    - hydroelectric power $1.47 per mwh
    - nuclear power $2.10 per mwh"

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/20...

    --
    -Styopa
  18. Re: prediction... more good comments... not by GLMDesigns · · Score: 2, Informative

    Good for all Americans?

    1. Jobs for the people building and maintaining the pipeline.
    2. Tax revenues on their incomes and the incomes of the companies building the pipelines.
    3. Moral for people who are ignored by coastal elites and are told that "they need to be re-educated." Not to mention the inflow of consumer dollars to hard hit communities.
    4. Stop sending money to religious fanatics who then send money to radicalize mosques (you, as an educated person, should be quite aware of this).
    5. Stop sending money (and jobs) to other the middle east and Russia.
    6. Reduce the need to "protect" dangerous areas - hence less military presence, less potential for engagement.
    7. Money will flow to Canada and Canadian companies (as opposed to Saudi). This is a general plus dovetailed with points 4 and 5.

    And at what cost?

    Not environmental.

    The Russians have never been good stewards and neither have the Saudis or the Kuwaitis or the Iranian. I would hazard a guess that the drilling and transportation of this petroleum will be *better* environmentally than drilling in Saudi Arabia and transporting to refineries elsewhere.

    As a side note - the petroleum is being extracted and we're transporting it via train and truck (dumb as$sery of the first order).

    --
    If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
    Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond