DRM Will Be Gone By 2025, Predicts Cory Doctorow (theregister.co.uk)
An anonymous reader writes:
It's been two years since Cory Doctorow joined the EFF's campaign to eliminate DRM within 8 years -- and he still believes it'll happen. "Farmers and the Digital Right To Repair Coalition have done brilliantly and have a message which is extremely resonant with the political right as well as the political left." And now even the entertainment industry seems to oppose extending the DMCA to tractors. "The entertainment industry feels very proprietary towards laws that protect DRM. They really feel that they lobbied for and bought these laws in order to protect the business model they envisioned. For these latecomer upstarts to turn up and stretch and distort these laws out of proportion has really exposed one of the natural cracks in copyright altogether."
Doctorow also says that "If there's anything good that might come of Brexit, it's that the UK will renegotiate and reevaluate its relationship to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and other directives. The UK enjoys a really interesting market position if it wants to be the only nation in the region that makes, exports, and supports DRM-breaking tools."
Doctorow also says that "If there's anything good that might come of Brexit, it's that the UK will renegotiate and reevaluate its relationship to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and other directives. The UK enjoys a really interesting market position if it wants to be the only nation in the region that makes, exports, and supports DRM-breaking tools."
DRM will be gone because most of us will be using devices in walled gardens and will have to get content from the iTunes, Amazon, Play, whatever.
Now jail broken devices or Linux? Well, you are gonna have to get your stuff from sources that have broken the walled garden content - and risk getting rooted, crap content, or something.
And proprietary software will be gone by 2030.
My first program:
Hell Segmentation fault
I read the article and this guy never really addresses what comes next after DRM. Obviously you will get very little good content if DRM goes away and artists begin to basically give away their creations. Sadly their is more and more people who will take advantage of anything they can get for free then paying for. Nobody feels obligated to pay the artist. Then they use some excuse as they do it because of government control, or big business control. Maybe DRM will go away, but protecting what you created and worked hard to develop will not. To expect that everything will be open sourced and freely available is not accepting reality.
Umm, the OECD is not EU related and is not affected by the Brexit. Those would be separate negotiations.
DRM gone? Not if the powers that be (...lobbying and bribing politicians) have anything to say about it.
Slashdot social media options: AIM, ICQ, Yahoo, Jabber and Mobile Text. Why no MySpace?
Individual farmers may be furious at John Deere here, but there's a massive difference between that and a lobby big enough to actually get Congress to take action and pass laws. On top of that, there's a massive difference between passing a "right to repair" law aimed at pacifying upset farmers, and a "right to build your own Blu-ray disc player" law.
Add to that the fact that DRM would have to be effectively outlawed to prevent it from actually being used, and, well, how is it going to disappear? Because, sure, it'd be nicer if it became legal to try to break DRM, but there are people all over the world who are breaking DRM anyway, a law change making it legal probably isn't going to affect whether Hollywood et al continue to use it.
I'm skeptical. I hope he's right but I just don't see how he could be.
You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
... all modern videogames have just been rebranded "mmo" or "online or always online" it's still drm, smite, league of legends, dota 2, all the f2p games where game devs want money with no ownership for gamers. The man is smoking something to believe drm will disappear it has gotten worse, every server locked game is a drm'd game. Hell the game industry has been experimenting with encryption and virtual machines like denuvo.
Windows 10 basically wants to re-engineer the whole application environment so that people don't have access to their own files via encrypted file systems, etc. What of Magicka: wizard wars?
http://www.pcgamer.com/magicka...
The whole game industry is basically destroying games willy nilly and steam has been slowly hiding the fact they encrypt game files and make it difficult for people to modifiy the games they paid for. Shit's out of control and it's because the average person is grade A tech illiterate moron.
Do I want proprietary software gone by 2030? And if so, what are you willing to do software, hard, and legal development-wise to make it happen?
We can have any kind of society we want. We just need enough people pooling in one place to make it happen.
Are you willing to make the lifestyle changes necessary to obtain the world(region) that most matches your worldview? If not, sit down, shut up and be a good little cog.
If anything, leaving the EU will serve as a pretext to make our copyright laws even stricter, and DRM even more legally-supporter.
Why? Because very few voters care even the tiniest amount about copyright policy. It's just not an issue in elections, at all, not in the slightest, which means the only voice there to influence MPs comes from lobby groups who are happy to point out the economic success of the entertainment industry and hint at favorable media support and a bit of help with the fund-raising come next election season.
Only days ago we passed the Digital Economy Act which, among many other things, increased the criminal penalty for copyright infringement from two years to ten. A provision that went largely unnoticed, as most of the attention of even the technical press has been on ridiculing another section of the act introduces another entirely unworkable attempt to restrict access to pornography on the internet.
Whilst the Digital Industries (currently predominantly music, film, television and software) pile on ever more restrictive rights, both they and the law seem to be overlooking the need for the reciprocal terms in this arrangement.
If a company (say a game studio, for example) wants to enforce an always-on internet connection as part of their DRM control over their software, then at the same time it is only fair that the same studio commit to hosting the on-line services required to play that game for a minimum period, even after sales of the game stop. Either that or the studio must issue a "final update" patch to allow players to continue to play the game in solo mode.
Our society is well aware what happened to the ill-fated Zune music player, developed by Microsoft as an iPod competitor - but which failed to gain the market share it needed to survive and so was cancelled. Shortly after that, when Zune players were unable to connect to the Mothership, their integrated DRM simply bricked the devices. Owners of Zune players lost not just their investment in the devices themselves, but all the music they had purchased with it, too.
There are other complexities. We've seen news stories of people who have left [sometimes huge] iTunes music collections to their children as part of their estate, only to have Apple attempt to tell those children that they could not inherit the assets purchased by their deceased parent because the children were not party to the original agreement and therefore had no legal right to access the content... it is only a matter of time before 8K TVs and media players are released - I am waiting for the announcement that the media players will all be internet-only devices.
I share the anger and frustration of other slashdotters with respect to this one-sided and corrupt state of affairs, but fear that for as long as the majority of people continue to purchase DRM-protected content, those of us who understand how are rights and freedoms are being eroded will remain out of luck. The vast corporations we are dealing with care about one thing and one thing only: profit. The only thing that will persuade them to change their minds and step back from DRM will be a direct challenge to that profit.
Nothing else will make a difference.
I just hope that if the human race survives another couple of thousand years - and if we're able to move past the current control structures in our society - that dictionaries may well have entries such as:-
Democracy - n. A form of government popular up until the mid-21st century, in which groups of populations known as nations were governed by a tiny minority of representatives. Although the selection of the minority was originally intended to be fair, open, transparent and above-board, the mechanisms of democracy proved to be ideal for corruption, the formation of monopolies, indentured servitude and dictatorships - the very things that the democracies were formed to defeat. Eventually, democracy fell out of favour after a steady succession of corruption scandals showed how large multi-national corporations were colluding with governments to keep populations in poverty and indentured. Overthrown by the AI-led coups of 2066 through 2068 and the subsequent introduction of Egalitocracy, in which, by law, every government decision is undertaken transparently and through the use of one-citizen-one-vote digital voting systems.
"... they lobbied for and bought these laws..."
While this is the most accurate statement I've seen in a long time regarding how laws are passed, there's no need to be redundant about it.
Just say they bought the laws, because that's exactly what the fuck lobbying is.
Any prediction farther than a few years makes no sense.
Sent as ripples into the electromagnetic field. No single photon has been harmed in the process.
No they will not ever. This is just a fact.
we will erect statues of Cory Doctorow.
Not with the shit us internet much less 8k. Now we may see PAY OTA tv come back with atsc 3.0
Will creators be allowed to create without pricks like him shitting on them for things that having nothing to do with whether it's any good e.g. Witcher 3 not being "diverse" enough while the themes of prejudice and hatred are a major part of the story and in fact of the entire universe.
The only "powers that be" that matter are that consumers are willing to open their pocketbooks and buy it.
If people don't buy DRM, DRM fails. If people buy DRM, DRM succeeds. It's that simple..
So far, they have been willing and even eager to buy it..
when it will impact groups that have lobbies as powerful as theirs. If the farm lobby is successful, there may be collateral damage to the entertainment industry. Changes in the law may not be limited to right to repair or such changes may be broadly interpreted by courts to allow things the entertainment industry fears; such as circumvention technology that gives users access to DRM protected materials. Since what is at issue is software it's not hard to imagine a scenario where changes to the DCMA have unknown, potentially far reaching implications and that is what the industry fears. Now if only some gun manufacturer introduced software that required you to use a factory technician to clean your gun...
I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
They'll have thought of a new name for it by then.
Yes, this just looks like wishful thinking.
By standard metrics, since it's more than five years out, it's wishful thinking by default.
Elon Musk might get a pass on that but only because his people have a detailed plan. Everybody needs to show a detailed plan for a five-year prediction, to be believed.
My God, it's Full of Source!
OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
Blur - Song 2
What in hell is DRM? Can you at least spell it ONE time, just ONE time, in the lead-in paragraph?
I'm hoping it stands for Dumbass Removal Management. Clean this place up. Get rid of the illiterates.
The entertainment industry only thinks that DRM in tractors "goes too far" because they want this rolled out slowly enough that they can get full control over consumer devices before anyone can raise enough of a fuss to stop thehttps://yro.slashdot.org/story/17/05/01/079239/drm-will-be-gone-by-2025-predicts-cory-doctorow#m. Once it's too late, only controlled protests will be allowed to maintain the illusion that they value open debate, and other complaints about DRM will be mysteriously added to the blacklists they probably have on most devices by then.
The entertainment industry - in fact, most of the industries that rely on copyright in general - want to control all the content and all the devices you can consume it on, and they want to be the ones to decide how you can use those devices, whether or not you legally, technically own the hardware. Don't ever kid yourself and think otherwise. That's their long game at this point, starting with a recurring fee for anything you access... but make no mistake about it, that's only the beginning.
Think about that next time you buy a "walled garden" device, although that's getting harder and harder to avoid.
Hey folks! Just to clarify: I said that the UK would renegotiate its relationship to the EUCD (European Union Copyright Directive) and Iain (reasonably enough, given the noisy room) heard OECD (Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development). Just a minor clarification, but I'd appreciate an upvote so confused people see it.
Some of them look pretty good.
Increased security my ass. People don't give a shit about security. Ordinary users are fucking lazy, and are "willingly gravitating" towards anything that can do everything for them without lifting a finger.
Not true at all. They care about security to a reasonable degree. The problem is that A) security isn't their only or most pressing concern and B) most of them are not security experts nor should they be expected to be. Too many programmers write system that fail to assume that the computer will be utilized by someone who does not understand security and cannot reasonably be expected to understand it even if they wanted to.
My parents are delightful people who are smart and capable and they certainly aren't lazy. But expecting them to be well versed in the nuances of computer security is both naive and unrealistic. It has nothing to do with laziness but simply where their competencies lie and what time they have available. You would do a shit job at what they do for a living most likely. That doesn't mean you are lazy or stupid but merely that you have focused your energies elsewhere.
Furthermore there is NOTHING wrong with the expectation that the software you use be designed to be secure and to make your life simpler. If your software doesn't do that for users it will eventually be replaced by software that does and rightfully so.
Voice activated assistants and press-to-order buttons hanging on the wall are two prime examples of just how lazy people have become. Getting online to search and order a product manually is considered hard labor for the Siri generation.
That's akin to arguing that people are lazy for not wanting to drive to the store to do their shopping. Spending your time efficiently isn't sloth - it's just smart. Spending more time than absolutely required to do a task is idiotic and wasteful. Time is the most precious resource any of us have and wasting it bothering with navigating unnecessary websites out of some misplaced idea of what laziness is is foolish. Maybe you enjoy spending your time jumping through extra hurdles to order something. Personally I have better things to do with my time. I'd rather spend even that modest amount of time doing something that adds value to my life.
I predict that if the UK were to do this, then all future villains in entertainment media produced outside the UK would have strong British accents. All of them.
Also, the UK is whole-heartedly chasing the power-mad 1%-er's dream of citizen repression just as hard as we are here in the US. So I don't think there's any chance at all that they would do this.
DRM's not going away. DRM is the sugar in the authoritarian's tea.
I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
Well, it might be, but the only way to find out is to try it. And all I see are ridiculously steep prices. It doesn't make me take a black hat approach – IMHO, piracy is ethically bankrupt – but I won't pay those prices. So I don't see a lot of new movies until they're quite old, resulting in them landing in the group that a reasonably priced streaming service will include.
$10 / month for lots of not-all-that-new content is okay with me. $10 / movie is not. But $1 to stream a new movie once? Sure, I think I'd bite that biscuit quite regularly. As it stands, they get nothing from me. That's a loss no matter how you try to account for it.
I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
Decide they are Madame Blavatsky? So tired of these 'predictions' from clueless windbags. Trust me, there will still be DRM in 100 years. And contributors: how about finding interesting peices that are actually based on real events instead of conjecture or coulds, mights, or mays? It's gotta be a millennial thing, they can't tell the difference (but love throwing a hissy fit when conjecture is proved wrong). Seriously. This is like Tiger Beat tech. It enriches the minds and experiences of precisely no one.
Cory Doctorow, who predicted eight years ago that DRM would be dead by now, acknowledges he may have been slightly optimistic, but that DRM will be definitely be gone by 2030 because "consumers will insist on it."
Responses:
- FRST POST! Frst post
- Cory Who? I've heard of E.L. Doctorow, but who's Cory?
- Big Fat DUPE You morons posted this three days ago. Don't we have any editors here?
Jews in Europe/the JewNitedStates != true israeli jews. They're turkic khazars who St. John spoke of and Jesus chastised in pharisees. They can't trace their lineage to the holy land and their DNA shows they are not true jews. This bore out with Rosenthal, Jacob Javits' aide, who lost it when Walter White confronted him on all of this. Rosenthal then said, just as their evil talmud does that all goy/gentile/non-jews are just pigs and cattle to be killed and robbed whenever possible. That means you fellow non JUDES! St. John Revelation Chapter 3 verse 9 "I will make those who are of the synagogue of Satan, who claim to be Jews though they are not, but are liars". They are the devil. Jesus also said many things of them as he whipped their asses literally out of the temple they debased https://www.google.com/?gws_rd=ssl#q=Jesus+to+pharisees&spf=1/ . What ST. John and Jesus said came from real jews. Everyone knows it about them and they try hide it twice now https://yro.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=10555275&cid=54332401/ and https://yro.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=10555275&cid=54332513/ but can't. Even Hassidic jews know the talmud is abused by these fake satanic jews. They got angry about it even though they use Kaballah mysticism (more satanic bs). True jews and the Torah is good/real. These pack of wolves in sheeps clothing are not. They ruin everywhere they go and have been banned worldwide at least 10 times in a 10 or more nations like Argentines in the 1940 under Perrone, Spanish inquistion, France (1306), Egypt (despoiled/robbed by jews), Arabs (pre & post 1948), England (1330 Edward longshanks), Romans under titus, Russia pogroms and Germany!
DMCA should protect John Deere from you selling the code to someone else.
ie, you get the latest update and sell it to your neighbors.
It should NOT keep you from fixing your machine.
It should NOT keep you from replacing the touch sensor or your phone.
The most common apps are safe to download from the proprietary stores so that keeps idiots from downloading the trojans.
I predict Corey Doctrow and his feminazis will be gone by 2025 when people finally figure out how retarded SJWs are. The moment third wave feminism started biongboing turned in to a steaming pile of shit.
DRM are a necessary evil if you want a rental market.
The concept of "renting" an intangible product with near-as-makes-no-difference zero marginal cost to reproduce is more than a little absurd. If you need DRM to protect your product then your product is overpriced and you will induce piracy. A from Princess Leia seems to fit here rather well.
With the ability to easily copy and distribute digital media, it is hard to tell if extra copies are being made unlawfully.
Doesn't necessarily matter if they make extra copies. It matters if they DISTRIBUTE extra copies. It's not hard to determine if someone has a the legal right to distribute a given bit of copyrighted material. They have an absolute right to so-called fair use copying. DRM is a problem in large part because it attacks the wrong issue. It is an effort to inappropriately control distribution via controlling copying but copying is not the same thing as distribution. DRM is a blunt instrument that restricts all copying whether or not it is legal or desirable.
So, I know DRM is evil and we do not want that. What are the alternatives that can keep traditional shops open? I am all ears.
Implicit in your question is that we should care about keeping "traditional shops" open. I'm not convinced that is an important consideration.
We may have a couple good points against DRM, but there have been good points against LOTS of things that are still in place. As long as the people with money and power want DRM and think* it helps, we'll have DRM.
* Note: it doesn't have to ACTUALLY help. All that matters is what the people on top think.
Dear Slashdot: next time you want to mess with the site, add a rich-text editor for comments.
factory technician to clean your gun... the army will stop that / not want a gun that needs battery's to work
There is a non-walled garden option and they opted not to buy it.
Between the April 2010 release of the iPad and the January 2011 introduction of the Motorola Xoom, the first Android tablet with Android Market, what was the viable non-walled-garden alternative to the iPad? People who entered the tablet market in that nine-month period got locked into a walled garden.
And 2025 will also be the year of Linux on the desktop, too.
There's no good way to kill a bad idea.
ELOI, ELOI, LAMA SABACHTHANI!?
DRM Will never die!
I have proof that the next big DRM boom is just around the corner, and any company that doesn't hop on the band wagon will be left behind. Millions lost in software "theft". Trade secrets open to everyone. Do you want to be the CIO responsible for that?
Of course you don't. So pay me, Honest John, $7000.00 US in cash and I will give you the secret to DRM software.
Here's a crazy idea: if you don't like a product or the terms it is offered under, don't buy or otherwise use it.
That's difficult when a product is tied to another product that is a necessity. A portion of the price of food I buy at a grocery store goes toward the performance royalty for the non-free background music that the store plays.
is another's time management. If you view technology as interesting and exciting then spending hours managing security settings and learning which repositories are safe (and occasionally cleaning up when one goes rouge after it gets bought out by a spammer) isn't a big deal.
If, OTOH, your interests are in say, Law, then you probably spend your days pouring over legal briefs instead of computer code. Speaking of Law, I never hear lawyers say "The problem with my clients is they're _lazy_". And I seldom hear Doctors saying that either. Sure, my doc tells me to eat better and exercise more, but he also recognizes that that's hard to do and takes a significant commitment. It's only computer techs that have this utter disdain for everyone who's not a computer tech.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
Cory Doctorow wears the habitual rose-colored glasses of the impassioned activist, so I tend to take what he says with more than a few grains of salt. Nonetheless, it's nice to hear a little optimism even if it may be largely unfounded. We'll just have to wait and see what comes of it.
Editor Emeritus and Senior Writer, TeleRead.org
Step 1: Embed DRM'd webfilter into management firmware.
Step 2: Protect said DRM'd webfilter via copyright law. (Already done. Now punishable for 10 years per infraction!)
Step 3: Mandate said DRM'd webfilter in all products.
Step 4: Send me a check for giving your "think of the children" MPs exactly what they want using the laws that the public doesn't care about. (They won't do this..)
Step 5: ????
Step 6: Profits at the expense of public freedoms! (They've always done this.)
I don't think you're paying enough attention..... In the US there's the idea to do this while also charging people $20.00 per device to disable the filter, and create registries of the undesirable porn addicts. (Your progeny seems to have taken after you well.)
So you are saying if I don't know how to fix the brakes on my car I should not be allowed to drive bad certainly shouldn't consider buying car with better brakes?
I'm sorry, but Doctorow's prediction reminds me of nothing so much as Bob Metcalfe's prediction the internet would collapse. In 1995!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Metcalfe#Incorrect_predictions
Bob at least had the good grace to admit his prediction was wrong and (literally!) ate his words.
The tech space is notorious for people predicting things they would like to see happen, but aren't likely to happen.
- "This year is the Year of Linux on the Desktop!"
- "Microsoft will implode based upon [Zune/Windows RT/Windows Phone/Anti-trust/You Name It]!"
- "Sun and Solaris will take over the World!"
- "ARM Servers are Destined to Break the Stranglehold of Intel Servers!"
- "SAAS/PAAS/FAAS/Objects/Grid/RFID/CASE/Cloud/Services/Thin Clients/Mobile/Web/IoT will sweep all before them, and destroy our systems legacy infrastructure!"
Even when there is some truth to the predictions, it's rare that a successful new technology actually completely displaces prior successful technologies. And that's the problem: Excessive enthusiasm and hype.
Really, will content producers completely abandon their desire to control and monetize their creations? Even if you take Hollywood, Nashville, and Big Business out of it, and it's only the artists you are dealing with. They naturally want to make money to support themselves, and maybe, just maybe, get rich if the artistic output proves to be very popular.
I totally get how DRM is at odds with the boundaryless internet, the free flow of information, consumers rights and all that. I just don't believe that the social and economic forces behind DRM are going away.
Where's the kickstarter to get rid of Doctorow by 2025? His books are at best advocacy thinly described as fiction.
In case you haven't noticed, modern cars are designed in order to reduce the workload on the driver and soon enough we won't need drivers anymore. Computing devices are the same. You are just another autistic geek who is not only out of touch with reality, but an annoyance as well. Your opinion is irrelevant.
Naw, it's much more effective to charge for the ammunition, like they do with missiles. Also, vehicle attached to said gun needing replacement parts provided through a pair of contractors. Hell, they could (and probably do) GIVE them the guns for free, and go all Razor Blade model on them.
Spending more time than absolutely required to do a task is idiotic and wasteful.
That's what I try to tell my wife, but she doesn't buy it ...
You must admit though, that the paper toilets were a boondoggle. They leak, they get soggy, and they last what? Maybe a month? If that?