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Mary Meeker's 2017 Internet Trends Report (recode.net)

Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers partner Mary Meeker delivered her annual rapid-fire internet trends report at Code Conference. Here's the summary: 1. Global smartphone growth is slowing: Smartphone shipments grew 3 percent year over year last year, versus 10 percent the year before.
2. Voice is beginning to replace typing in online queries. Twenty percent of mobile queries were made via voice in 2016, while accuracy is now about 95 percent.
3. In 10 years, Netflix went from 0 to more than 30 percent of home entertainment revenue in the U.S. This is happening while TV viewership continues to decline.
4. Entrepreneurs are often fans of gaming, Meeker said, quoting Elon Musk, Reid Hoffman and Mark Zuckerberg. Global interactive gaming is becoming mainstream, with 2.6 billion gamers in 2017 versus 100 million in 1995.
5. China remains a fascinating market, with huge growth in mobile services and payments and services like on-demand bike sharing.
6. While internet growth is slowing globally, that's not the case in India, the fastest growing large economy. The number of internet users in India grew more than 28 percent in 2016.
7. In the U.S. in 2016, 60 percent of the most highly valued tech companies were founded by first- or second-generation Americans and are responsible for 1.5 million employees. Those companies include tech titans Apple, Alphabet, Amazon and Facebook.
8. Healthcare: Wearables are gaining adoption with about 25 percent of Americans owning one, up 12 percent from 2016.

40 comments

  1. Immigrant pandering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'd love to see the data she derived that statistic from.

    1. Re:Immigrant pandering by rvw14 · · Score: 2

      Netcraft confirmed it of course.

  2. Number 7 sounds fishy by TimothyHollins · · Score: 4, Interesting

    7. In the U.S. in 2016, 60 percent of the most highly valued tech companies were founded by first- or second-generation Americans and are responsible for 1.5 million employees. Those companies include tech titans Apple, Alphabet, Amazon and Facebook.

    It sounds like this bulletpoint had to be massaged multiple times before it gave the "right" answer.

    1. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And how is #7 a "trend"? One of these things is not like the others...

    2. Re: Number 7 sounds fishy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      60% of the time, it works every time.

    3. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      That's interesting, I had skimmed right over that. Does seem like one heck of a contrived data point!

      Apple: (116k employees) Steve Jobs' biological father was Syrian (adoptive father was American). Wozniak maybe had one grandparent who was Canadian?

      Alphabet: (~60k employees?) Larry Page, American. Sergey Brin and his family immigrated from the former USSR.

      Amazon: (341k employees! wow) Jeff Bezos's adoptive / step-father is from Cuba (opposite of Jobs!), so I guess this counts?

      Facebook: (8k employees) Zuckberg's great-grandparents were from Germany, Austria, and Poland. (cite). Sandberg had ancestors who were Soviet Jews.

      Ok, so the lesson I take from this is that people escaping from Communist regimes are very motivated! These four companies account for more than 1/3 of the 1.5 million employees cited in the post.

    4. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More importantly, nearly none of them are the same racial composition of the African refugees the media is trying to brainwash us into taking in thinking they'll bolster our economy and social welfare systems (hah!).

    5. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      More importantly, nearly none of them are the same racial composition of the African refugees the media is trying to brainwash us into taking in thinking they'll bolster our economy and social welfare systems (hah!).

      Not everyone can walk like an Egyptian.

    6. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      My grandfather was thrown out of a communist country and my mother was born outside the US, so does that make me first generation or 1.5 or some crap like that?

      I'm sure a bunch of venture capitalists wouldn't push a narrative of need for mass immigration so they can bring in cheap workers from abroad. Investors have never done anything unethical like that.

    7. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      My forefathers were forced to flee many times. Not from commies, exactly, but from people who where willing to take all that they had. Sort of like socialism, I guess, to hear some people talk.

      - anonymous Choctaw

    8. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by sconeu · · Score: 2

      Not everyone can walk like an Egyptian.

      The Bangles can....

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    9. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or waddle like one in your case...

    10. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by avandesande · · Score: 1

      Contrived or not it doesn't change the fact that this article is pretty much pointless.

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    11. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or waddle like one in your case...

      Y... M... C... A...

    12. Re:Number 7 sounds fishy by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 1

      My feeling is that immigrants tend to have some self-selected traits, or else they probably wouldn't be immigrants. For starters, they're inherent risk-takers, looking for opportunities to better themselves. Starting a business is a huge risk, but comes with a large potential payoff, just like starting over in a new country. Additionally, many immigrants are even more appreciative of the opportunities available in the US, having lived in areas without, and try to avail themselves of those opportunities.

      You can't paint everyone with the same brush, but I wouldn't be surprised to find general trends like that among immigrants. I know my own family history is just a sample of two data points, but both my grandparents came here with a young family and not much else, and scraped and scrounged and worked unbelievably hard, and eventually started their own small businesses.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
  3. Do you want to play a game... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

    [...] gaming is becoming mainstream, with 2.6 billion gamers in 2017 versus 100 million in 1995.

    I thought that took place back in 2000 when video game companies (~2B gamers) were converging with the movie studios (~2B movie goers) to become multimedia empires. I worked at Accolade/Infogrames/Atari (same company, different owners, multiple personality disorders) when "Enter The Matrix" came into testing. Security for that game was nuts. A half-dozen testers got fired when discs went missing. The game failed to deliver and flopped. The dot com bust put an end to building multimedia empires.

    1. Re:Do you want to play a game... by rodrigoandrade · · Score: 1

      They're obviously talking about mobile gaming, which eclipsed traditional console- or PC-based gaming..

  4. Think of all the time wasted on games. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you are an entrepreneur and have already made your way in life, knock yourself out. For Joe Average and especially Joe Belowaverage it just isn't worth it in terms of time or money.

    1. Re:Think of all the time wasted on games. by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      My fellow sys admins at work are playing Fallout 4. Valve had the game free to play and for $20 (regular price is $60) during Memorial Day weekend. I spent enough time playing to get out of the fallout shelter. I couldn't see myself playing the game on a regular basis when I have a day job and a side job.

    2. Re:Think of all the time wasted on games. by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 1

      This is why I generally stick to FPS'. Even if I don't have a lot of time to budget, I can still squeeze in 30 minutes here and there to frag a few idiots.

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    3. Re:Think of all the time wasted on games. by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      This is why I generally stick to FPS'.

      New versions of Quake and Unreal Tournament games are on deck for this year. Looking forward to getting back into those — at 15 minute intervals..

  5. Good news about India by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...I only wish the use of indoor plumbing would grow as fast.

  6. It's not even a good point! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    indeed, and still not good...

    Aren't those tech companies responsible for a HUGE amount of the economy and valuations?

    But 1.5 million jobs is a VERY small portion of the jobs market, as in 1% !

    Now if we go back to the job automation post, we have a problem if this is where all those people are supposed to go :O
    Even if we DOUBLE the jobs there, they can't even absorb displaced truckers can they?

  7. Healthcare wearables more likely have peaked by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 1

    ... with recent reports (that make sense) that data captured by those wearables and presented by whatever s/w often is not all that useful for getting/being healthy.

  8. I missed the memo by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Who is Mary Meeker, other than a partner at some random legal, accounting, or advertising firm?

    Oh, Wikipedia says it's a venture capital firm. So what?

    --
    #DeleteChrome
    1. Re:I missed the memo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed. I work at a significantly larger company, do my insights matter even more? If so I'm missing out on some side revenue...

    2. Re:I missed the memo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Depends. Do you swallow?

    3. Re:I missed the memo by johnwfran · · Score: 1

      Our memories are so fucking short: http://www.nytimes.com/2004/11....

    4. Re:I missed the memo by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1

      Our memories are so fucking short: http://www.nytimes.com/2004/11....

      Thanks for that link - I had indeed forgotten. So basically it sounds like she hops from company to company, pretending to be an analyst in an attempt to sway stock prices and increase her personal fortune.

      --
      #DeleteChrome
  9. "Wearables gaining adoption, 25% Americans own one by JoeyRox · · Score: 1

    With only about 2% of Americans actually wearing one. So much more adoption figures.

  10. hard to believe by avandesande · · Score: 1

    8. Healthcare: Wearables are gaining adoption with about 25 percent of Americans owning one, up 12 percent from 2016.

    I might believe 2.5%...

    --
    love is just extroverted narcissism
  11. machine learning by narsiman · · Score: 1

    ML Firstpost - Every such deep thought post is supposed to be laced with machine learning and artificial intelligence. Mary needs to keep up with the times.

  12. #1 Trend by sexconker · · Score: 2

    The #1 trend in 2017 is #covfefe.

    1. Re:#1 Trend by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and The Donald continues to create his own reality.

    2. Re:#1 Trend by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      with great sureity

    3. Re:#1 Trend by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The number one trend is to use the hash character before words and abbreviations randomly while using the least amount of words and abbreviation at the same time.

  13. Not exactly compelling either by Solandri · · Score: 2

    Roughly 25% of Americans are first or second generation. Tech companies seem to average 2.21 founders.

    So on average you'd expect 1 - 0.75^2.21 = 47% of tech companies to have a founder who is first or second generation (for various definitions of "founder").

    TFA says the "most highly valued" tech companies have 1.5 million employees, and an even 60% of them fit the statistic. Based on some googling of number of employees, they are probably looking at just 10 companies. With a sample size of 10, the margin of error for percentages is +/- 32%.

    So the 60% figure is actually well within the margin of error of what you'd expect by random chance (47% +/- 32%). Even if you go with the low point in the graph of first and second gen Americans (about 17%), the expectation is 1 - 0.83^2.21 = 34%. Add in the +/- 32% margin of error and 60% is still within the expected range.

    1. Re:Not exactly compelling either by TimothyHollins · · Score: 1

      Wow, that is an excellent analysis, and a highly entertaining one to boot. Kudos.

  14. Re:"Wearables gaining adoption, 25% Americans own by wyHunter · · Score: 1

    Yeah - thanks, but, no thanks. I really don't need to give personal health information to...who?

  15. 2. Voice is beginning to replace typing in online by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah it takes like 5-10 tries to get the voice queries to pull what you want in real world environments (some noise). Use brand names (like Royobi) and good luck.